Century Aluminum Company (CENX) Stock Analysis

Why this analysis is different

• A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
• An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
• Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Century Aluminum Company (CENX) Materials & Commodity Exposure

Century Aluminum Company (CENX) is a primary aluminum producer with operations in the United States, Iceland, and the Netherlands. The company focuses on standard-grade and value-added aluminum products, operating in a cyclical industry influenced by global economic conditions and raw material prices.

What Is the Investment Thesis for CENX?

With a market capitalization of $4.33B and a P/E ratio of 7.27, the company demonstrates profitability with a profit margin of 13.7%. Key value drivers include the company's ability to maintain efficient production processes and capitalize on favorable aluminum pricing trends. Growth catalysts involve expanding value-added product offerings and leveraging its international operations in the United States and Iceland. However, potential risks include the cyclical nature of the aluminum industry, fluctuations in energy costs, and exposure to environmental regulations. Investors should monitor aluminum prices, production costs, and regulatory developments to assess the company's performance and outlook.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

CENX Key Highlights

Market Cap of $4.33B indicates substantial size and market presence within the aluminum industry.

• P/E Ratio of 7.27 suggests a reasonable valuation relative to earnings, reflecting investor expectations for future growth.
• Profit Margin of 13.7% demonstrates the company's ability to generate profit from its revenue, indicating operational efficiency.
• Gross Margin of 12.7% reflects the company's profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, highlighting its production efficiency.
• Beta of 2.00 indicates higher volatility compared to the market, suggesting potential for significant price fluctuations.

Who Are CENX's Competitors?

CENX is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance This table mixes two scoring engines — compare a number only with others carrying the same tag.

What Are CENX's Key Strengths?

Strategic locations in the United States and Iceland.

• Ownership of carbon anode production facility.
• Production of both standard and value-added aluminum.
• Established relationships with industrial customers.

What Are CENX's Weaknesses?

Exposure to cyclical aluminum prices.

• Dependence on energy-intensive production processes.
• Sensitivity to environmental regulations.
• Limited diversification beyond primary aluminum production.

What Could Drive CENX Stock Higher?

Increasing demand for aluminum in electric vehicles and renewable energy infrastructure.

• Government investments in infrastructure projects driving aluminum demand.
• Potential for strategic acquisitions to expand production capacity.
• Focus on sustainable production practices attracting environmentally conscious investors.

What Are the Key Risks for CENX?

Inconsistent delivery — missed Wall Street EPS estimates in 5 of the last 8 reported quarters.

• Insider selling — insiders were net sellers of roughly $9.2M recently.
• Fluctuations in aluminum prices impacting profitability.
• Rising energy costs increasing production expenses.
• Stringent environmental regulations requiring significant investments.
• Global economic downturn reducing demand for aluminum.
• Competition from low-cost aluminum producers in emerging markets.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for CENX?

• Expansion of Value-Added Products: Century Aluminum can drive growth by expanding its portfolio of value-added aluminum products. These products, which include alloys and specialized aluminum sheets, command higher margins and cater to specific industry needs, such as aerospace and automotive. The global market for value-added aluminum products is projected to reach $150 billion by 2028, offering significant revenue potential for Century Aluminum. Timeline: Ongoing.
• Strategic Partnerships and Acquisitions: Century Aluminum can pursue strategic partnerships and acquisitions to expand its production capacity and geographic reach. Collaborating with or acquiring smaller aluminum producers or specialized manufacturers can provide access to new markets and technologies. This strategy can enhance Century Aluminum's competitive positioning and drive long-term growth. Timeline: Ongoing.
• Optimization of Energy Consumption: Given the energy-intensive nature of aluminum production, Century Aluminum can focus on optimizing its energy consumption to reduce costs and improve its environmental footprint. Investing in energy-efficient technologies and renewable energy sources can lower operating expenses and enhance the company's sustainability profile. The global market for energy-efficient technologies in the aluminum industry is expected to grow at a CAGR of 6% over the next five years. Timeline: Ongoing.
• Leveraging Operations in Iceland: Century Aluminum's operations in Iceland benefit from access to renewable energy sources, particularly geothermal and hydropower. The company can leverage this advantage to produce aluminum with a lower carbon footprint, catering to increasing demand for sustainable aluminum products. The market for green aluminum is projected to grow significantly as industries prioritize environmental responsibility. Timeline: Ongoing.
• Capitalizing on Infrastructure Development: The increasing investments in infrastructure development globally, particularly in emerging markets, present a significant growth opportunity for Century Aluminum. Aluminum is a key material in construction, transportation, and electrical infrastructure. By securing contracts for supplying aluminum to infrastructure projects, Century Aluminum can drive revenue growth and expand its market share. Timeline: Ongoing.

What Are CENX's Competitive Advantages?

• Strategic locations in the United States and Iceland provide access to resources and energy.
• Ownership of a carbon anode production facility ensures a stable supply of critical materials.
• Established relationships with industrial customers provide recurring revenue streams.
• Expertise in producing both standard-grade and value-added aluminum products.

What Does CENX Do?

Century Aluminum Company, incorporated in 1981 and headquartered in Chicago, Illinois, is a key player in the primary aluminum production industry. The company, along with its subsidiaries, specializes in producing both standard-grade and value-added primary aluminum products. These products are utilized in various sectors, including transportation, construction, electrical, and packaging. Century Aluminum operates production facilities in the United States and Iceland, leveraging resources and energy infrastructure in these regions. Additionally, the company owns and operates a carbon anode production facility in the Netherlands, which is critical for the aluminum smelting process. Century Aluminum's strategic focus involves optimizing production efficiency, managing costs, and adapting to market dynamics in the global aluminum market. The company's operations are significantly influenced by factors such as aluminum prices, energy costs, and environmental regulations. Century Aluminum continues to evolve its strategies to maintain a competitive edge in the aluminum industry, emphasizing sustainable practices and technological advancements to enhance its production capabilities and product offerings.

What Products and Services Does CENX Offer?

• Produces standard-grade primary aluminum products.
• Manufactures value-added primary aluminum products.
• Operates aluminum production facilities in the United States.
• Operates aluminum production facilities in Iceland.
• Owns and operates a carbon anode production facility in the Netherlands.
• Supplies aluminum products to various industries including transportation, construction, and electrical.

How Does CENX Make Money?

• Produces and sells standard-grade primary aluminum.
• Produces and sells value-added primary aluminum products.
• Generates revenue through sales contracts with industrial customers.
• Focuses on cost-efficient production to maximize profitability.

What Industry Does CENX Operate In?

Century Aluminum Company operates within the global aluminum industry, which is characterized by cyclical demand and fluctuating prices. The industry is influenced by macroeconomic factors, including global economic growth, infrastructure development, and automotive production. Key trends include increasing demand for aluminum in lightweighting applications, particularly in the automotive and aerospace sectors, and growing emphasis on sustainable production practices. Century Aluminum competes with other primary aluminum producers, such as Constellium SE (CSTM) and global giants like Rio Tinto and Alcoa. The company's success depends on its ability to manage production costs, optimize energy consumption, and adapt to changing market dynamics.

Who Are CENX's Key Customers?

• Transportation industry (automotive, aerospace)
• Construction industry
• Electrical industry
• Packaging industry

Company Profile

Century Aluminum Company operates in the Aluminum industry within the Basic Materials sector. It is headquartered in Chicago, US. The company is led by CEO Jesse E. Gary. CENX has traded publicly since 1996.

Return on equity for Century Aluminum Company stands at 32.3%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 5.5%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. CENX trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 7.27, below the Basic Materials sector average of ~21.40x. A current ratio of 2.30 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations.

CENX Valuation & Market Position

With a $4.33B market cap, Century Aluminum Company sits in the mid-cap segment of the market. Analyst price targets span from $60.00 to $77.00, with a consensus of $70.67. At the current price of $43.73, that implies approximately 62% upside potential. Relative to its peer group, CENX's quantitative score of 70/100 is roughly in line with the peer average of 67/100.

Quarterly Financial Performance: Century Aluminum Company

Revenue for Century Aluminum Company came in at $752.1M during Q2 FY2026, a 15.9% improvement versus the preceding quarter. The company recorded net income of $249.3M, with diluted EPS of $2.39. Revenue has increased across the last three reported quarters, suggesting sustained momentum for this mid-cap Basic Materials company. Across the four most recent quarters, CENX averaged $1.44 in diluted EPS.

Century Aluminum Company's Piotroski F-Score is 5/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 3.56 places it in the safe zone, indicating low near-term bankruptcy risk.

Century Aluminum Company has missed Wall Street's EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reported quarters — a mixed record worth weighing. Reported results have landed about 36.1% below estimates on average.

Over the past six months, Century Aluminum Company insiders filed 8 SEC Form 4 transactions — 3 sales and 5 purchases. On net that is roughly 157K shares disposed (about $9.2M), a signal worth weighing alongside the fundamentals.

CENX Financials

CENX Latest News

CENX Analyst Consensus

CENX MoonshotScore

Latest Century Aluminum Company Analysis

CENX Basic Materials Stock FAQ

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

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