Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (CLF) Stock Analysis

Why this analysis is different

• A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
• An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
• Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (CLF) Materials & Commodity Exposure

Cleveland-Cliffs Inc., founded in 1847, is a leading North American flat-rolled steel producer with integrated iron ore mining operations. Serving diverse sectors including automotive and infrastructure, the company offers a wide range of steel products and operates five iron ore mines in the Great Lakes region.

What Is the Investment Thesis for CLF?

Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. presents a complex investment case. The company's integrated business model, encompassing both iron ore mining and steel production, offers a degree of supply chain control. However, recent financial performance, indicated by a negative profit margin of -6.4% and a gross margin of -2.8%, raises concerns. The company's high beta of 1.92 suggests significant volatility relative to the market. Future growth hinges on the ability to capitalize on infrastructure spending and automotive sector demand. Investors should closely monitor steel prices, production costs, and overall economic conditions. Key catalysts include potential infrastructure projects and increased automotive production, while risks include fluctuating steel prices and economic downturns.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

CLF Key Highlights

Cleveland-Cliffs operates as a flat-rolled steel producer in North America, serving key sectors like automotive and infrastructure.

• The company owns five iron ore mines in Minnesota and Michigan, providing a vertically integrated supply chain.
• Cleveland-Cliffs offers a wide range of steel products, including carbon steel, stainless steel, and electrical steel.
• The company's market capitalization is $6.90B.
• Cleveland-Cliffs has a beta of 1.92, indicating higher volatility compared to the market.

Who Are CLF's Competitors?

CLF is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance This table mixes two scoring engines — compare a number only with others carrying the same tag.

What Are CLF's Key Strengths?

Integrated iron ore mining and steel production.

• Diversified product portfolio.
• Strong presence in North American market.
• Long-standing relationships with key customers.

What Are CLF's Weaknesses?

Negative profit and gross margins.

• High beta indicating volatility.
• Dependence on cyclical industries.
• Exposure to fluctuating steel prices.

What Could Drive CLF Stock Higher?

Potential infrastructure projects driving demand for steel.

• Automotive industry recovery boosting steel consumption.
• Government policies supporting domestic steel production.
• Potential acquisitions to expand market share.

What Are the Key Risks for CLF?

Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of 1.28 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).

• Negative return on equity (-18.6%) — the business is not currently generating profit on shareholder capital.
• Insider selling — insiders were net sellers of roughly $2.7M recently.
• Economic downturns reducing steel demand.
• Fluctuations in steel prices impacting profitability.
• Increased competition from domestic and foreign producers.
• Rising raw material costs squeezing margins.
• Environmental regulations increasing compliance costs.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for CLF?

• Growth opportunity 1: Increased infrastructure spending in the United States represents a significant growth opportunity for Cleveland-Cliffs. The Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, passed in 2021, allocates billions of dollars to infrastructure projects, driving demand for steel products. Cleveland-Cliffs is well-positioned to benefit from this increased demand, particularly for its carbon steel products used in bridges, roads, and other infrastructure projects. The timeline for realizing this growth is ongoing, as infrastructure projects are implemented over the next decade.
• Growth opportunity 2: The automotive industry's shift towards electric vehicles (EVs) presents both challenges and opportunities. While EVs require less steel than traditional internal combustion engine vehicles, the overall growth of the automotive market and the increasing use of advanced high-strength steel in EVs can drive demand for Cleveland-Cliffs' products. The company can focus on developing and supplying specialized steel products for the EV market, capturing a share of this growing segment. This growth is expected to materialize over the next 5-10 years.
• Growth opportunity 3: Expanding into new markets and product lines can diversify Cleveland-Cliffs' revenue streams and reduce its reliance on specific sectors. The company can explore opportunities in renewable energy infrastructure, such as wind turbines and solar farms, which require steel components. Additionally, investing in research and development to develop new steel products with enhanced properties can create a competitive advantage and open up new market segments. This expansion can be pursued over the next 3-5 years.
• Growth opportunity 4: Optimizing operational efficiency and reducing production costs can improve Cleveland-Cliffs' profitability and competitiveness. Implementing advanced technologies, such as automation and data analytics, can streamline production processes, reduce waste, and improve quality. Additionally, negotiating favorable contracts with suppliers and optimizing logistics can lower raw material and transportation costs. These operational improvements can be implemented on an ongoing basis.
• Growth opportunity 5: Strategic acquisitions and partnerships can expand Cleveland-Cliffs' market share and geographic reach. Acquiring smaller steel producers or entering into joint ventures with companies in complementary industries can provide access to new markets, technologies, and customer bases. These strategic moves can be pursued opportunistically over the next 2-3 years.

What Are CLF's Competitive Advantages?

• Integrated iron ore mining operations provide cost advantages.
• Long-standing relationships with key customers in the automotive and infrastructure sectors.
• Diversified product portfolio caters to various market segments.
• Strategic location of mines and production facilities in North America.

What Does CLF Do?

Founded in 1847 and headquartered in Cleveland, Ohio, Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. has evolved into a prominent flat-rolled steel producer in North America. Originally known as Cliffs Natural Resources Inc., the company rebranded in August 2017 to reflect its strategic shift towards steel production. Cleveland-Cliffs operates five iron ore mines located in Minnesota and Michigan, providing a vertically integrated supply chain. The company's extensive product portfolio includes carbon steel products such as hot-rolled, cold-rolled, electrogalvanized, hot-dip galvanized, and advanced high-strength steel. Additionally, it offers stainless steel products, plates, grain oriented and non-oriented electrical steel, and tubular components. Cleveland-Cliffs serves a diverse range of industries, including automotive, infrastructure and manufacturing, distributors and converters, and steel producers, solidifying its position as a key supplier in the North American steel market.

What Products and Services Does CLF Offer?

• Produces flat-rolled carbon steel products.
• Manufactures stainless steel products.
• Offers plates and electrical steel products.
• Provides tubular components.
• Produces tinplate products.
• Operates five iron ore mines in Minnesota and Michigan.

How Does CLF Make Money?

• Integrated steel production from iron ore mining to finished products.
• Sales of steel products to automotive, infrastructure, and manufacturing sectors.
• Supply of raw materials to other steel producers.
• Revenue generation through product diversification and market reach.

What Industry Does CLF Operate In?

Cleveland-Cliffs operates within the cyclical steel industry, which is heavily influenced by macroeconomic factors, infrastructure spending, and automotive production. The North American steel market is characterized by intense competition and fluctuating prices. Companies like Ternium S.A. (TX) and Gerdau S.A. (GGB) represent significant competitors. Market trends include a growing demand for high-strength steel and a focus on sustainable production practices. Cleveland-Cliffs' integrated business model aims to provide a competitive advantage through control over raw material supply.

Who Are CLF's Key Customers?

• Automotive industry manufacturers.
• Infrastructure and manufacturing companies.
• Distributors and converters of steel products.
• Other steel producers.

Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. Financial Trajectory

Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (CLF) reported $5.23B in revenue for Q2 FY2026, reflecting 6.2% growth compared to the prior quarter. The company recorded a net loss of $145.0M, with diluted EPS of $-0.25. Revenue has increased across the last three reported quarters, suggesting sustained momentum for this mid-cap Basic Materials company. Across the four most recent quarters, CLF averaged $-0.42 in diluted EPS.

Company Profile

Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. operates in the Steel industry within the Basic Materials sector. It is headquartered in Cleveland, US. The company is led by CEO C. Lourenco Goncalves. CLF has traded publicly since 1987.

How Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. Is Valued

Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. carries a market capitalization of $6.90B, placing it in the mid-cap category. Analyst price targets span from $9.00 to $15.60, with a consensus of $11.66. At the current price of $12.10, that implies roughly 4% downside from the consensus target. Relative to its peer group, CLF's quantitative score of 25/100 is below the peer average of 63/100.

Return on equity for Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. stands at -18.6%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is -2.7%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. CLF trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 18.73, below the Basic Materials sector average of ~21.40x. A current ratio of 2.02 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations.

Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 4/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 1.28 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.

Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reported quarters — more hits than misses. Reported results have landed about 6.7% above estimates on average.

Over the past six months, Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. insiders filed 14 SEC Form 4 transactions — 2 sales and 12 purchases. On net that is roughly 87K shares disposed (about $2.7M), a signal worth weighing alongside the fundamentals.

CLF Financials

CLF Latest News

CLF Analyst Consensus

CLF MoonshotScore

Latest Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. Analysis

Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. Basic Materials Stock: Key Questions Answered

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources