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Fastenal Company (FAST) Stock Analysis

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$49.01 +$0.22 (+0.45%) |Exceptional · 95
Fastenal Company (FAST) bottom line: Bullish Lean — our Council read (69/100) and AI Score (95/100) broadly agree. Strongest signal: Financial Safety strong · Biggest watch-out: Ken Griffin bearish.Educational signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Compare sector peers → · Read the method →
MCap: $56.2B| P/E Ratio: 41.53| Vol: 7.2M| Target: $49.00 (-0.0%) (Sep 9, 2026) (estimate, not advice)| 52-wk range: $38.97 – $52.92

P/E 41.53 means the share price is 41.53 times one year of earnings per share; the S&P 500 usually sits near 20-25. Market cap $56.2B is the value of all shares combined.

Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated May 9, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR

Quick Answer

Fastenal Company (FAST) trades at $49.01 with MoonshotScore 95/100 (Grade A+). Fastenal Company is a wholesale distributor of industrial and construction supplies, operating through a network of in-market locations and distribution centers. Market cap: $56.2B, Sector: Industrials.

Price as of Sep 11, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 9, 2026
Fastenal Company is a wholesale distributor of industrial and construction supplies, operating through a network of in-market locations and distribution centers. The company serves diverse markets, including manufacturing, construction, and governmental entities, providing fasteners and related products.

FAST stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $49.00 for Fastenal Company, suggesting 0.0% downside from the current price of $49.01. The AI MoonshotScore is 95/100, in the Exceptional band (80-100) — a research signal, not a recommendation. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the FAST film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min

These figures come from statements filed 12 months ago — the most recent this company has published.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Bullish Lean 69/100 · B+

FAST: 1/3 scored disciplines lean bullish. Dominant signal: Financial Safety strong.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Five-pillar engine · 95/100
Business Quality
Strong Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Strong Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Weak Am I paying a fair price?
Growth Durability
Moderate Is the growth real and likely to last?
Momentum
Moderate Is the market already moving on this?

Strongest side: Financial Safety (10/10, Strong). Weakest side: Valuation (2/10, Weak).

Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Griffin-style lens (simulated)Ken Griffin
Unfavorable read
Englander-style lens (simulated)Izzy Englander
Favorable read
Klarman-style lens (simulated)Seth Klarman
Unfavorable read
Moon AI lens (model)
Favorable read
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Moderate
Margin of Safety
Overvalued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →
The lenses are modelled on the published principles of the investors named. We are not affiliated with them, they have not endorsed this, and it is not their opinion of this stock.

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Fastenal Company (FAST) Industrial Operations Profile

CEODaniel L. Florness
Employees22,230
HeadquartersWinona, MN, US
IPO Year1987

Fastenal Company distributes industrial and construction supplies, primarily fasteners, through a vast network of in-market locations. Serving diverse sectors like manufacturing and construction, Fastenal leverages its extensive distribution network and product range to maintain a strong position in the industrial supply market, despite competition from larger players.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NASDAQ Analysis: May 9, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for FAST?

AI-written as of May 9, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

With a market capitalization of $56.2B and a P/E ratio of 41.53, the company demonstrates financial stability. A consistent dividend yield of 2.08% offers investors steady returns. Growth catalysts include the expansion of its in-market locations and the increasing demand for industrial supplies in key sectors. However, potential risks include economic downturns affecting construction and manufacturing, and competition from larger distributors. Investors should monitor Fastenal's ability to maintain its profit margin of 15.4% and gross margin of 44.9% amidst evolving market conditions.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

FAST Key Highlights

AI-written as of May 9, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Market capitalization of $56.2B reflects Fastenal's significant presence in the industrial distribution market.

  • P/E ratio of 41.53 indicates investor expectations of future earnings growth.
  • Profit margin of 15.4% demonstrates Fastenal's efficiency in managing costs and generating profits.
  • Gross margin of 44.9% highlights the value Fastenal adds through its distribution services.
  • Dividend yield of 2.08% provides a steady income stream for investors.

Who Are FAST's Competitors?

FAST is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap MoonshotScore
GWW W.W. Grainger, Inc. $1271.49 -0.57% $60.0B 925-pillar
CARR Carrier Global Corporation $56.64 -2.26% $46.7B 535-pillar
AME AMETEK, Inc. $234.24 -0.86% $53.7B 785-pillar
FERG Ferguson plc $223.28 +1.05% $43.3B 595-pillar
ROK Rockwell Automation, Inc. $421.37 -1.11% $46.9B 765-pillar
WCC WESCO International, Inc. $355.85 +3.44% $17.3B 535-pillar
QXO QXO, Inc. $12.36 +0.60% $12.8B
WSO Watsco, Inc. $310.90 +0.37% $12.8B 655-pillar

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are FAST's Key Strengths?

Extensive distribution network with numerous in-market locations.

  • Wide range of product offerings, including fasteners and related supplies.
  • Strong relationships with key suppliers.
  • Established presence in the industrial distribution market.

What Are FAST's Weaknesses?

Reliance on economic cycles affecting manufacturing and construction.

  • Exposure to competition from larger distributors.
  • Potential for supply chain disruptions.
  • Dependence on North American market.

What Could Drive FAST Stock Higher?

Expansion of in-market locations to enhance localized service and quick delivery.

  • Increasing sales through e-commerce platforms to reach a broader audience.
  • Potential acquisitions to expand product offerings and geographic reach.
  • Development of strategic partnerships with key suppliers to improve product portfolio.

What Are the Key Risks for FAST?

Inconsistent delivery — missed Wall Street EPS estimates in 3 of the last 8 reported quarters.

  • Rich valuation — a P/E of 41.53 runs well above the Industrials sector’s ~28.00x, leaving little room for a miss.
  • Insider selling — insiders were net sellers of roughly $2.0M recently.
  • Economic downturns affecting manufacturing and construction activity.
  • Increased competition from online retailers and larger distributors.
  • Fluctuations in raw material prices impacting profit margins.
  • Supply chain disruptions affecting product availability.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for FAST?

  • Growth opportunity 1: Expanding the network of in-market locations represents a significant growth opportunity for Fastenal. By increasing its physical presence, the company can enhance its localized service and quick delivery capabilities, attracting more customers. The industrial distribution market is estimated to be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, and Fastenal's expansion allows it to capture a larger share of this market. This ongoing expansion strategy aims to improve customer proximity and responsiveness, driving sales growth.
  • Growth opportunity 2: Increasing sales through e-commerce platforms offers a substantial growth avenue. As more customers shift to online purchasing, Fastenal can leverage its digital presence to reach a broader audience and streamline the ordering process. The global e-commerce market is experiencing double-digit growth annually, and Fastenal's investment in its online platform positions it to capitalize on this trend. This initiative is expected to enhance customer convenience and drive incremental revenue growth over the next few years.
  • Growth opportunity 3: Penetrating new geographic markets presents a strategic growth opportunity. By expanding its operations into underserved regions, Fastenal can tap into new customer bases and diversify its revenue streams. Emerging markets in Asia and South America offer significant potential for industrial supply distribution. This expansion strategy requires careful market analysis and adaptation to local business practices, but it can yield substantial long-term growth.
  • Growth opportunity 4: Enhancing value-added services, such as vendor-managed inventory (VMI) programs, can drive customer loyalty and increase sales. By providing customized inventory management solutions, Fastenal can help customers optimize their supply chains and reduce costs. The market for VMI services is growing as companies seek to improve efficiency and reduce inventory holding costs. This strategy is expected to strengthen customer relationships and generate recurring revenue streams.
  • Growth opportunity 5: Developing strategic partnerships with key suppliers can enhance Fastenal's product offerings and improve its competitive position. By collaborating with leading manufacturers, the company can gain access to innovative products and technologies, differentiating itself from competitors. The industrial supply market is characterized by a wide range of suppliers, and strategic partnerships can provide a competitive edge. These alliances are expected to enhance Fastenal's product portfolio and drive sales growth.

What Are FAST's Competitive Advantages?

  • Extensive network of in-market locations providing localized service.
  • Comprehensive product range catering to diverse customer needs.
  • Strong relationships with key suppliers.
  • Vendor-managed inventory (VMI) solutions enhancing customer loyalty.

What Does FAST Do?

Founded in 1967 and headquartered in Winona, Minnesota, Fastenal Company has grown into a major wholesale distributor of industrial and construction supplies. The company operates through a network of 3,209 in-market locations and 15 distribution centers across North America and internationally. Fastenal's core product offerings include fasteners such as threaded fasteners, bolts, nuts, screws, and studs, essential for both manufacturing and construction applications. Beyond fasteners, the company provides a wide range of miscellaneous supplies and hardware, including pins, machinery keys, concrete anchors, metal framing systems, wire ropes, strut products, and rivets. Fastenal serves a diverse customer base, including original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), maintenance, repair, and operations (MRO) businesses, and the non-residential construction market. The company also caters to farmers, truckers, railroads, mining companies, schools, retail trades, and governmental entities. Fastenal distinguishes itself through its extensive distribution network, enabling localized service and quick delivery, and a comprehensive product range that meets the varied needs of its industrial and construction clients.

What Products and Services Does FAST Offer?

  • Distributes fasteners, including bolts, nuts, screws, and studs.
  • Offers a wide range of industrial and construction supplies.
  • Provides miscellaneous hardware, such as pins, machinery keys, and concrete anchors.
  • Serves the manufacturing market, including original equipment manufacturers (OEMs).
  • Caters to the maintenance, repair, and operations (MRO) sector.
  • Supports the non-residential construction market.
  • Operates a network of in-market locations and distribution centers.
  • Offers vendor-managed inventory (VMI) solutions.

How Does FAST Make Money?

  • Wholesale distribution of industrial and construction supplies.
  • Sales through a network of in-market locations.
  • E-commerce platform for online sales.
  • Vendor-managed inventory (VMI) services for customers.

What Industry Does FAST Operate In?

Fastenal operates within the industrial distribution sector, a market characterized by a wide range of products and diverse customer needs. The industry is influenced by economic cycles, with growth tied to manufacturing and construction activity. Key competitors include W.W. Grainger, Inc. (GWW) and Ferguson plc (FERG), which offer similar industrial supplies. Fastenal differentiates itself through its extensive network of in-market locations, providing localized service and quick delivery. The company's focus on fasteners and related products positions it as a specialized supplier within the broader industrial distribution landscape.

Who Are FAST's Key Customers?

  • Original equipment manufacturers (OEMs).
  • Maintenance, repair, and operations (MRO) businesses.
  • Non-residential construction companies.
  • Governmental entities.
Model self-rating on this text: 73% (not a measure of the evidence) Updated: May 9, 2026

Research confidence

High 100/100

Broad, current evidence sits behind this analysis.

  • Scored on 100% of our measures
  • Price is current
  • Latest filing 57 days ago
  • Covered by analysts

Why 95?

Measured against companies in the same sector. The figures below are the factor contributions the scoring engine itself produced.

What is helping

  • +0.78 Gross profit per dollar of assets (Business Quality)
  • +0.60 Bankruptcy-risk score (Financial Strength)
  • +0.60 Return on invested capital (Business Quality)

What is holding it back

  • -0.17 Enterprise value vs EBITDA (Valuation)
  • -0.15 Price to book (Valuation)
  • -0.14 Enterprise value vs free cash flow (Valuation)

Contribution = how far the company sits from its sector on that measure, weighted by how much the pillar counts. Not investment advice. How the score is built →

MoonshotScore History

Recorded daily since 2026-08-23 · 19 snapshots

2026-08-23 95
2026-08-26 96
2026-08-29 96
2026-09-01 93
2026-09-04 94
2026-09-07 94
2026-09-10 94

What changed?

The grade moved from 95 to 94 (-1).

What moved it up or down:

  • -12 Valuation
  • -4 Momentum

Held back by:

  • +8 Growth Durability

Over the same 18 days the stock moved -5.7%.

Company Profile

Fastenal Company operates in the Industrial - Distribution industry within the Industrials sector. It is headquartered in Winona, US. The company is led by CEO Jeffery Michael Watts. FAST has traded publicly since 1987.

ROE 33%

Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Fastenal Company stands at 33.3%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 24.9%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. FAST trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 41.53, above the Industrials sector average of ~28.00x. Its free cash flow yield is 2.1%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 4.39 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 2.4%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

FAST Valuation & Market Position

With a $56.2B market cap, Fastenal Company sits in the large-cap segment of the market. Analyst price targets span from $42.00 to $55.00, with a consensus of $49.00. At the current price of $49.01, that implies roughly 0% downside from the consensus target. Relative to its peer group, FAST's quantitative score of 95/100 is above the peer average of 68/100.

Quarterly Financial Performance: Fastenal Company

Revenue for Fastenal Company came in at $2.39B during Q2 FY2026, a 8.4% improvement versus the preceding quarter. The company recorded net income of $382.8M, with diluted EPS of $0.33. Revenue has increased across the last three reported quarters, suggesting sustained momentum for this large-cap Industrials company. Across the four most recent quarters, FAST averaged $0.29 in diluted EPS.

F-Score 6/9

Financial Health

Fastenal Company's Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 32.02 places it in the safe zone, indicating low near-term bankruptcy risk.

1/8 beats

Earnings Track Record

Fastenal Company has missed Wall Street's EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reported quarters — a recurring pattern of falling short of estimates. Reported results have landed about 12.5% below estimates on average.

Net selling

Insider Activity

Over the past six months, Fastenal Company insiders filed 20 SEC Form 4 transactions — 13 sales and 7 purchases. On net that is roughly 41K shares disposed (about $2.0M), a signal worth weighing alongside the fundamentals.

FAST Financials

Next earnings report:

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
+8.7%
Net Income Growth (FY)
+9.4%
EPS Growth (FY)
+10.0%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
+11.0%
P/E (TTM)
41.53
Return on Equity (TTM)
+33.3%
Current Ratio
4.4
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
29.2

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Extensive distribution network with numerous in-market locations.
  • Wide range of product offerings, including fasteners and related supplies.
  • Strong relationships with key suppliers.
  • Established presence in the industrial distribution market.

Bear Case

  • Reliance on economic cycles affecting manufacturing and construction.
  • Exposure to competition from larger distributors.
  • Potential for supply chain disruptions.
  • Dependence on North American market.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · September 2026

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 FY2026 $2.39B $383M $0.33
Q1 FY2026 $2.20B $340M $0.30
Q4 FY2025 $2.03B $294M $0.26
Q3 FY2025 $2.13B $336M $0.29

Q2 FY2026 · filed 16 Jul 2026 · SEC EDGAR →

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

FAST Latest News

FAST Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for FAST.

Price Targets

Low
$42.00
Consensus
$49.00
High
$55.00

Median: $47.00 (-0.0% from current price)

Source: FMP analyst consensus · as of Sep 9, 2026 · an estimate, not advice

FAST MoonshotScore

95/100

What does this score mean?

MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. FAST scores 95/100 (Grade A+): the number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Latest Fastenal Company Analysis

Leadership: Daniel L. Florness

CEO

Daniel L. Florness has served as the CEO of Fastenal Company since January 2016. He joined Fastenal in 1996 and has held various leadership positions within the company, including Chief Financial Officer and Executive Vice President. His extensive experience within Fastenal provides him with a deep understanding of the company's operations and strategic direction. Florness is known for his focus on operational efficiency and customer service.

Track Record: Under Daniel L. Florness's leadership, Fastenal has expanded its network of in-market locations and enhanced its e-commerce capabilities. He has overseen the company's growth in key markets and the development of its value-added services, such as vendor-managed inventory (VMI) programs. Florness has also focused on improving operational efficiency and driving shareholder value.

FAST Industrials Stock FAQ

What does the AI Score mean for FAST?

FAST holds an AI Score of 95/100 (Grade: A+). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Is FAST a good stock?

Stock Expert AI does not rate FAST buy, sell or hold. Fastenal Company carries a MoonshotScore of 95/100 on the five-pillar engine, a research rating against its peers. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns, what the price assumes, and what would prove you wrong.

What are the main risks for FAST?

The primary risks for Fastenal include economic downturns that could reduce demand from the manufacturing and construction sectors. Increased competition from online retailers and larger distributors also poses a threat to Fastenal's market share. Fluctuations in raw material prices, particularly for steel and other metals, could impact the company's profit margins.

What are the key factors to evaluate for FAST?

Fastenal Company (FAST) holds a MoonshotScore of 95/100 (high). P/E: 41.53x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $49.00 (0%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does FAST data refresh on this page?

FAST's price was last updated on Sep 11, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours; the quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven FAST's recent stock price performance?

Fastenal Company (FAST) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Extensive distribution network with numerous in-market locations. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider FAST overvalued or undervalued right now?

Fastenal Company (FAST) trades at 41.53x earnings. Analysts target $49.00 (0%) — near fair value. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Can I buy fractional shares of FAST?

Yes, most major brokerages offer fractional shares of Fastenal Company (FAST) with no minimum purchase requirement. This means you can invest any dollar amount regardless of the share price. Check your brokerage platform for specific terms, fees, and fractional share availability.

How can I track FAST's earnings and financial reports?

Fastenal Company (FAST) reports quarterly earnings approximately 4-6 weeks after each fiscal quarter ends. You can track earnings dates, revenue and EPS estimates, and actual results on this page's Financials tab. Earnings surprises (beats or misses) often cause significant short-term price moves. Your brokerage can send alerts for FAST earnings announcements.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated MoonshotScore as of
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Information is based on available data and may be subject to change.
  • Financial metrics are as of the latest available reporting period.
Data Sources
Financial Modeling Prep (FMP)Stock Expert AI proprietary analysis

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