Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO) Stock Analysis

Why this analysis is different

• A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
• An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
• Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO) Technology Profile & Competitive Position

Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO) is a leading provider of analytic and decision management software solutions, enabling businesses across various sectors to automate and enhance their decision-making processes, with a strong focus on scoring and data management.

What Is the Investment Thesis for FICO?

Fair Isaac Corporation's strong market position is underscored by a robust profit margin of 33.7% and a gross margin of 84.2%, indicating efficient operations and high-value offerings. The company's dual-segment strategy allows it to capitalize on diverse revenue streams, with the Scores segment providing recurring revenue through subscription services. Growth catalysts include increasing demand for advanced analytics across industries, with a projected market growth rate of 12% annually in the analytics sector. FICO's ongoing investment in the FICO Platform positions it to capture emerging opportunities in decision management. However, potential risks include increased competition from emerging technology firms and the need to continuously innovate in a rapidly evolving market.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

FICO Key Highlights

Market Cap of $20.8B, reflecting strong investor confidence and market presence.

• P/E ratio of 27.60, indicating a premium valuation compared to industry peers.
• Profit margin of 33.7%, showcasing operational efficiency and strong profitability.
• Gross margin of 84.2%, significantly higher than the industry average, highlighting product value.
• Beta of 1.38, suggesting higher volatility compared to the broader market.

Who Are FICO's Competitors?

FICO is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are FICO's Key Strengths?

High profit margins indicating operational efficiency.

• Strong brand recognition in analytics and decision management.
• Diverse product offerings catering to multiple industries.
• Global presence with a wide customer base.

What Are FICO's Weaknesses?

Dependence on a few key markets for revenue.

• No dividend yield may deter income-focused investors.
• High valuation metrics may limit stock appeal to value investors.

What Could Drive FICO Stock Higher?

FICO catalyst: Continued investment in the FICO Platform to enhance product capabilities and address new market demands.

• Strong demand for scoring solutions and analytics services driving revenue growth.
• Expansion initiatives into emerging markets to capture new customer segments.

What Are the Key Risks for FICO?

Negative return on equity (-43.1%) — the business is not currently generating profit on shareholder capital.

• Insider selling — insiders were net sellers of roughly $3.4M recently.
• Increased competition from new entrants in the analytics space.
• Regulatory challenges related to data privacy and compliance affecting operations.
• Economic downturns impacting client budgets for software and analytics services.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for FICO?

• Growth opportunity 1: The global analytics market is expected to reach $274 billion by 2026, growing at a CAGR of 12%. FICO's advanced analytics solutions position the company to capture a significant share of this expanding market, particularly as organizations increasingly adopt data-driven decision-making processes.
• Growth opportunity 2: The demand for fraud detection and compliance solutions is rising, particularly in the financial services sector. With increasing regulatory scrutiny, FICO's expertise in financial crimes compliance presents a unique opportunity to expand its customer base and enhance service offerings in this critical area.
• Growth opportunity 3: The FICO Platform is designed to support a wide range of decision-making use cases, making it adaptable to various industries. As more businesses seek integrated solutions for customer engagement and management, FICO can leverage this platform to drive growth across multiple sectors.
• Growth opportunity 4: The rise of artificial intelligence and machine learning technologies offers FICO the chance to enhance its product offerings. By integrating AI capabilities into its analytics solutions, FICO can provide clients with more sophisticated tools for data analysis and decision-making, further solidifying its market position.
• Growth opportunity 5: Expansion into emerging markets presents a significant growth opportunity for FICO. With increasing digitalization in regions such as Asia Pacific and Africa, FICO can tap into new customer segments seeking advanced analytics and decision management solutions.

What Threats Does FICO Face?

• Intense competition from emerging technology firms.
• Rapid technological changes requiring continuous innovation.
• Regulatory challenges in data privacy and compliance.

What Are FICO's Competitive Advantages?

• Strong brand recognition in the analytics and decision management space.
• High customer retention rates due to subscription-based services.
• Proprietary technology and algorithms that provide competitive advantages.
• Established relationships with major clients across various industries.

What Does FICO Do?

Fair Isaac Corporation, founded in 1956, has established itself as a pioneer in the field of analytic software and data management solutions. Originally known as Fair Isaac & Company, Inc., the company rebranded to Fair Isaac Corporation in July 1992, reflecting its evolution in the technology landscape. Headquartered in Bozeman, Montana, FICO operates globally, serving clients across the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. The company is organized into two primary segments: Scores and Software. The Scores segment focuses on providing business-to-business scoring solutions, enabling clients to integrate advanced analytics into their transaction streams. This includes consumer-facing offerings through myFICO.com, which provides subscription-based scoring solutions. The Software segment offers a suite of pre-configured decision management solutions tailored to address various business challenges, including marketing, fraud detection, and customer engagement. Additionally, the FICO Platform serves as a modular software solution designed to support advanced analytics and decision-making use cases. With a workforce of 3,718 employees, FICO leverages its deep expertise in analytics to deliver innovative solutions that enhance operational efficiency and drive business success for its clients.

What Products and Services Does FICO Offer?

• Develop analytic software solutions for businesses to enhance decision-making.
• Provide scoring solutions for both businesses and consumers through myFICO.com.
• Offer a modular software platform designed for advanced analytics and decision-making.
• Deliver professional services to support clients in implementing decision management solutions.
• Market products through direct sales, indirect channels, and online platforms.
• Focus on various sectors including financial services, marketing, and fraud detection.

How Does FICO Make Money?

• Generate revenue through software licensing and subscription models.
• Offer professional services for implementation and support of software solutions.
• Provide business-to-business scoring solutions that integrate into client operations.
• Leverage online platforms to reach consumers for scoring services.

What Industry Does FICO Operate In?

The software application industry is experiencing robust growth, driven by increasing demand for data analytics and decision management solutions. As businesses seek to leverage data for competitive advantage, the market for analytic software is projected to grow at an annual rate of approximately 12%. FICO is well-positioned within this landscape, competing against established players like Nokia Oyj, Ubiquiti Inc., Garmin Ltd., Block, Inc., and Celestica Inc. The company's focus on scoring and decision management differentiates it from competitors, allowing it to capture a significant share of the growing analytics market.

Who Are FICO's Key Customers?

• Financial institutions seeking advanced analytics for risk management.
• Retailers looking to enhance customer engagement through data-driven insights.
• Businesses requiring fraud detection and compliance solutions.
• Consumers utilizing myFICO.com for personal credit scoring.

Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO) Valuation Context

Valued at $20.8B, FICO is classified as a large-cap stock. Analyst price targets span from $1139.00 to $1750.00, with a consensus of $1539.33. At the current price of $960.67, that implies approximately 60% upside potential. Relative to its peer group, FICO's quantitative score of 85/100 is roughly in line with the peer average of 79/100.

FICO Revenue & Earnings Trend

In Q3 FY2026, FICO generated $674.2M in top-line revenue, marking a sequential decrease of 2.5%. The company recorded net income of $237.2M, with diluted EPS of $10.45. Quarter-over-quarter revenue has been mixed, typical for a large-cap company operating in Technology. Across the four most recent quarters, FICO averaged $8.65 in diluted EPS.

Company Profile

Fair Isaac Corporation operates in the Software - Application industry within the Technology sector. It is headquartered in Bozeman, US. The company is led by CEO William J. Lansing. FICO has traded publicly since 1987.

Return on equity for Fair Isaac Corporation stands at -43.1%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 37.1%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. FICO trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 27.60, below the Technology sector average of ~32.70x. Its free cash flow yield is 3.2%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 2.22 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 2.7%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

Fair Isaac Corporation's Piotroski F-Score is 8/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — signaling solid underlying fundamentals. Its Altman Z-Score of 8.89 places it in the safe zone, indicating low near-term bankruptcy risk.

Fair Isaac Corporation has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reported quarters — a consistent record of delivering on expectations. Reported results have landed about 5.1% above estimates on average.

Over the past six months, Fair Isaac Corporation insiders filed 24 SEC Form 4 transactions — 13 sales and 11 purchases. On net that is roughly 830 shares disposed (about $3.4M), a signal worth weighing alongside the fundamentals.

FICO Financials

Next earnings report: Nov 4, 2026

FICO Latest News

FICO Analyst Consensus

FICO MoonshotScore

Latest Fair Isaac Corporation Analysis

Fair Isaac Corporation Technology Stock: Key Questions Answered

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

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