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Genius Sports Limited (GENI) Stock Analysis

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$6.72 -$0.31 (-4.41%) |Weak · 16
Genius Sports Limited (GENI) bottom line: Bearish Lean — our Council read (34/100) and AI Score (16/100) broadly agree. Strongest signal: Ray Dalio bullish · Biggest watch-out: Financial Safety weak.Educational signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Compare sector peers → · Read the method →
MCap: $1.73B| Vol: 5.62M| Target: $9.85 (+46.6%) (Aug 27, 2026) (estimate, not advice)| 52-wk range: $3.83 – $13.69

Market cap $1.73B is the value of all shares combined. Beta 2.08: the stock has moved about 108% more than the S&P 500.

Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gpt-4o-mini, generated May 10, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR

Quick Answer

Genius Sports Limited (GENI) trades at $6.72 with MoonshotScore 16/100 (Grade F). Genius Sports Limited is a leading provider of technology solutions for the sports, sports betting, and sports media industries. Market cap: $1.73B, Sector: Communication services.

Price as of Sep 11, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 10, 2026
Genius Sports Limited is a leading provider of technology solutions for the sports, sports betting, and sports media industries. The company specializes in data collection, streaming services, and integrity monitoring, positioning itself as a key player in the rapidly evolving sports technology sector.

GENI stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $9.85 for Genius Sports Limited, suggesting 46.6% upside from the current price of $6.72. The AI MoonshotScore is 16/100, in the Weak band (below 45) — a research signal, not a recommendation. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the GENI film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min

These figures come from statements filed 12 months ago — the most recent this company has published.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Bearish Lean 34/100 · D

GENI: 1/3 scored disciplines lean bearish. Dominant signal: Financial Safety weak.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Five-pillar engine · 16/100
Business Quality
Weak Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Negative Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Weak Am I paying a fair price?
Growth Durability
Weak Is the growth real and likely to last?
Momentum
Neutral Is the market already moving on this?

Strongest side: Momentum (4/10, Neutral). Weakest side: Financial Safety (1/10, Negative).

Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Dalio-style lens (simulated)Ray Dalio
Favorable read
Griffin-style lens (simulated)Ken Griffin
Neutral read
Simons-style lens (simulated)Jim Simons
Neutral read
Englander-style lens (simulated)Izzy Englander
Unfavorable read
Klarman-style lens (simulated)Seth Klarman
Neutral read
Moon AI lens (model)
Neutral read
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Weak
Margin of Safety
Fairly Valued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →
The lenses are modelled on the published principles of the investors named. We are not affiliated with them, they have not endorsed this, and it is not their opinion of this stock.

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Genius Sports Limited (GENI) Media & Communications Profile

CEOMark Locke
Employees2,000
HeadquartersLondon, GB
IPO Year2020

Genius Sports Limited stands out in the sports technology sector by offering a comprehensive suite of data solutions, streaming services, and integrity monitoring, catering to the needs of sports leagues and betting operators globally.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NYSE Analysis: May 10, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for GENI?

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

With a market capitalization of $1.73B, the company is poised to benefit from the increasing demand for live sports data and integrity services, particularly as global betting markets expand. The company's gross margin of 22.6% reflects its operational efficiency, although it currently operates at a profit margin of -22.3%, indicating potential for improvement as it scales its services. Key growth catalysts include the ongoing digitization of sports media and the rising popularity of sports betting, which is projected to grow significantly over the next few years. Furthermore, Genius Sports' innovative technology solutions, such as its live streaming and risk management services, provide a competitive advantage in attracting new clients. However, the company must navigate challenges related to regulatory changes in the betting industry and competition from established players. Overall, Genius Sports' unique offerings and market positioning suggest a strong potential for future growth.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

GENI Key Highlights

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Market Cap of $1.73B, indicating a significant presence in the sports technology sector.

  • Gross Margin of 22.6%, showcasing operational efficiency despite current losses.
  • Employee count of 1,850, reflecting the company's substantial workforce dedicated to innovation and service delivery.
  • Profit Margin of -22.3%, highlighting the potential for operational improvements as the company scales.
  • Beta of 2.08, indicating higher volatility compared to the market, which may appeal to risk-tolerant investors.

Who Are GENI's Competitors?

GENI is benchmarked below against 4 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap MoonshotScore
CNK Cinemark Holdings, Inc. $35.15 -0.57% $4.07B 655-pillar
IAC IAC/InterActiveCorp $46.15 -0.60% $3.43B
MANU Manchester United plc $20.33 -0.44% $3.51B
JOYY JOYY Inc. $74.83 +1.52% $3.87B 535-pillar

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are GENI's Key Strengths?

Strong technological capabilities in data collection and integrity monitoring.

  • Established brand reputation in the sports technology sector.
  • Diverse service offerings catering to various customer needs.

What Are GENI's Weaknesses?

Current negative profit margin indicates operational challenges.

  • Dependence on the sports betting market, which is subject to regulatory changes.
  • Relatively high beta suggests increased volatility in stock performance.

What Could Drive GENI Stock Higher?

Expansion into new international markets as sports betting regulations evolve.

  • Development of new technology solutions to enhance data collection and integrity monitoring.
  • Launch of new marketing campaigns targeting digital publishers and sports leagues.
  • Strengthening partnerships with major sports leagues to enhance service offerings.

What Are the Key Risks for GENI?

Negative return on equity (-22.2%) — the business is not currently generating profit on shareholder capital.

  • Regulatory changes that could impact the sports betting industry and demand for services.
  • Competition from other technology firms offering similar data and integrity solutions.
  • Market volatility affecting investor sentiment and stock performance.
  • Dependence on the sports betting market, which is subject to fluctuations.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for GENI?

  • Growth opportunity 1: The global sports betting market is projected to grow significantly, reaching approximately $155 billion by 2028. Genius Sports can leverage this growth by expanding its data solutions and integrity services to new markets, particularly in regions where sports betting is becoming legalized. This expansion could enhance revenue streams and increase market share over the next five years.
  • Growth opportunity 2: The increasing demand for live streaming services in sports presents a substantial opportunity for Genius Sports. As more leagues look to monetize their content through digital platforms, Genius Sports can enhance its streaming solutions, providing comprehensive packages that include data integration and viewer engagement tools. This segment is expected to grow as digital consumption of sports content rises.
  • Growth opportunity 3: The rise of eSports and its integration into traditional sports betting markets offers a unique growth avenue for Genius Sports.
  • Growth opportunity 4: The demand for integrity services in sports betting is increasing, driven by regulatory pressures and the need for transparency. Genius Sports can capitalize on this trend by enhancing its monitoring technologies and expanding its educational services to betting operators, positioning itself as a leader in compliance and integrity solutions.
  • Growth opportunity 5: The expansion of personalized marketing campaigns in sports presents an opportunity for Genius Sports to enhance its offerings. By leveraging data analytics to create targeted marketing solutions for clients, the company can improve client engagement and retention, driving additional revenue growth in the coming years.

What Are GENI's Competitive Advantages?

  • Proprietary technology for data collection and integrity monitoring, providing a competitive edge.
  • Established relationships with major sports leagues and betting operators enhance customer loyalty.
  • Comprehensive service offerings that integrate data, streaming, and integrity solutions in one package.

What Does GENI Do?

Founded in London, Genius Sports Limited has evolved into a pivotal technology provider for the sports, sports betting, and sports media industries. The company specializes in technology-led products and services that enable the collection, integration, and distribution of live sports data. Its innovative solutions include live data collection, pre-game and in-game odds feeds, and risk management services, which are integral for betting operators. Additionally, Genius Sports offers streaming solutions that allow sports leagues to commercialize their video content effectively. The company is also recognized for its integrity services, which utilize advanced algorithms to detect and flag suspicious betting activities, thereby ensuring fair play in global betting markets. With a workforce of approximately 1,850 employees, Genius Sports has established a strong presence in the industry, providing a full suite of online and offline educational and consultancy services to its clients. Its commitment to enhancing fan engagement through personalized online marketing campaigns and live game statistics further solidifies its position in the market. As the demand for sports data and integrity solutions continues to rise, Genius Sports is well-positioned to capitalize on these trends, making it a significant player in the sports technology landscape.

What Products and Services Does GENI Offer?

  • Develops technology infrastructure for live sports data collection and distribution.
  • Offers streaming solutions for sports leagues to monetize their video content.
  • Provides integrity services to monitor and flag suspicious betting activities.
  • Delivers risk management services for betting operators, including customer profiling and bet monitoring.
  • Creates personalized online marketing campaigns for sports organizations.
  • Engages fans through digital widgets that provide live game statistics and betting-related content.

How Does GENI Make Money?

  • Generates revenue through technology solutions and services for sports leagues and betting operators.
  • Offers subscription-based services for live data feeds and streaming solutions.
  • Provides consultancy and educational services related to sports integrity and compliance.
  • Monetizes through risk management solutions that enhance betting operators' operational capabilities.

What Industry Does GENI Operate In?

The sports technology industry is experiencing rapid growth, driven by the increasing integration of technology in sports and betting markets. With the global sports betting market projected to reach $155 billion by 2028, companies like Genius Sports are well-positioned to capitalize on this trend. The demand for real-time data and integrity solutions is rising, as sports leagues and betting operators seek to enhance their offerings and maintain fair play. Genius Sports faces competition from both traditional sports data providers and emerging technology firms, necessitating continuous innovation to maintain its competitive edge.

Who Are GENI's Key Customers?

  • Sports leagues seeking data solutions and integrity monitoring.
  • Betting operators requiring real-time data and risk management services.
  • Media companies looking to enhance their sports content offerings.
  • Digital publishers needing engagement tools for sports-related content.
Model self-rating on this text: 65% (not a measure of the evidence) Updated: May 10, 2026

Research confidence

High 100/100

Broad, current evidence sits behind this analysis.

  • Scored on 91% of our measures
  • Price is current
  • Latest filing 36 days ago
  • Covered by analysts

Why 16?

Measured against companies in the same sector. The figures below are the factor contributions the scoring engine itself produced.

What is helping

  • +0.38 Revenue growth (Growth)
  • +0.20 Free cash flow growth (Growth)
  • +0.15 3-year revenue per share (Growth)

What is holding it back

  • -0.48 5-year net income per share (Growth)
  • -0.45 Share dilution (Growth)
  • -0.41 Financial-health checklist (Financial Strength)

Risk penalties applied

  • -0.97 Bankruptcy-risk score in the distress zone
  • -1.38 Loss-making with negative retained earnings

Contribution = how far the company sits from its sector on that measure, weighted by how much the pillar counts. Not investment advice. How the score is built →

Genius Sports Limited Financial Trajectory

Genius Sports Limited (GENI) reported $195.5M in revenue for Q2 FY2026, reflecting 4.0% growth compared to the prior quarter. The company recorded a net loss of $76.7M, with diluted EPS of $-0.28. Quarter-over-quarter revenue has been mixed, typical for a small-cap company operating in Communication Services. Across the four most recent quarters, GENI averaged $-0.17 in diluted EPS.

Company Profile

Genius Sports Limited operates in the Internet Content & Information industry within the Communication Services sector. It is headquartered in London, GB. The company is led by CEO Mark Locke. GENI has traded publicly since 2020.

How Genius Sports Limited Is Valued

Genius Sports Limited carries a market capitalization of $1.73B, placing it in the small-cap category. Relative to its peer group, GENI's quantitative score of 16/100 is below the peer average of 59/100.

ROE -22%

Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Genius Sports Limited stands at -22.2%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is -15.6%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. Its free cash flow yield is 0.9%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 1.59 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is -8.7%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

GENI Financials

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Strong technological capabilities in data collection and integrity monitoring.
  • Established brand reputation in the sports technology sector.
  • Diverse service offerings catering to various customer needs.
  • Upcoming: Expansion into new international markets as sports betting regulations evolve.

Bear Case

  • Current negative profit margin indicates operational challenges.
  • Dependence on the sports betting market, which is subject to regulatory changes.
  • Relatively high beta suggests increased volatility in stock performance.
  • Potential: Regulatory changes that could impact the sports betting industry and demand for services.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · September 2026

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 FY2026 $196M -$77M -$0.28
Q1 FY2026 $188M -$55M -$0.21
Q4 FY2025 $240M -$21M -$0.08
Q3 FY2025 $166M -$29M -$0.11

Q2 FY2026 · filed 6 Aug 2026 · SEC EDGAR →

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

GENI Latest News

No recent news available for GENI.

GENI Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for GENI.

Price Targets

Consensus target: $9.85

GENI MoonshotScore

16/100

What does this score mean?

MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. GENI scores 16/100 (Grade F): the number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Leadership: Mark Locke

CEO

Mark Locke has extensive experience in the technology and sports sectors. He has held various leadership roles, focusing on innovation and growth strategies. With a strong background in operational management, Locke has been instrumental in driving Genius Sports' strategic direction and expanding its market presence.

Track Record: Under Mark Locke's leadership, Genius Sports has significantly expanded its service offerings and client base, enhancing its position in the sports technology industry. His strategic vision has led to the development of key partnerships and innovative solutions.

What Investors Ask About Genius Sports Limited (GENI) — Communication Services

What does the AI Score mean for GENI?

GENI holds an AI Score of 16/100 (Grade: F). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers. Genius Sports Limited is a leading provider of technology solutions for the sports, sports betting, and sports media industries.

Is GENI a good stock?

Stock Expert AI does not rate GENI buy, sell or hold. Genius Sports Limited carries a MoonshotScore of 16/100 on the five-pillar engine, a research rating against its peers. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns, what the price assumes, and what would prove you wrong.

What do analysts say about GENI stock?

Analysts generally view GENI stock as a high-risk, high-reward investment, given its significant market potential in the sports technology sector. Key valuation metrics include its current market cap of $1.73B and a gross margin of 22.6%.

What are the key factors to evaluate for GENI?

Genius Sports Limited (GENI) holds an AI score of 16/100 (low). Analysts target $9.85 (+47%). Overall, Genius Sports' unique offerings and market positioning suggest a strong potential for future growth. Not financial advice.

How frequently does GENI data refresh on this page?

GENI's price was last updated on Sep 11, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours; the quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven GENI's recent stock price performance?

Genius Sports Limited (GENI) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Strong technological capabilities in data collection and integrity monitoring. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider GENI overvalued or undervalued right now?

Genius Sports Limited (GENI) has no trailing P/E available here, so lean on price-to-sales and cash flow in the Financials tab. Analysts target $9.85 (+47%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Can I buy fractional shares of GENI?

Yes, most major brokerages offer fractional shares of Genius Sports Limited (GENI) with no minimum purchase requirement. This means you can invest any dollar amount regardless of the share price. Check your brokerage platform for specific terms, fees, and fractional share availability.

How can I track GENI's earnings and financial reports?

Genius Sports Limited (GENI) reports quarterly earnings approximately 4-6 weeks after each fiscal quarter ends. You can track earnings dates, revenue and EPS estimates, and actual results on this page's Financials tab. Earnings surprises (beats or misses) often cause significant short-term price moves. Your brokerage can send alerts for GENI earnings announcements.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated MoonshotScore as of
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Data is based on the latest available information and may be subject to change.
Data Sources
Financial Modeling Prep (FMP)Stock Expert AI proprietary analysis

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