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Danone S.A. (GPDNF) Stock Analysis

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$70.69 -$0.85 (-1.19%) |CouncilSplit View · 44 · C
Danone S.A. (GPDNF) bottom line: signals are mixed — the Council read leans Split View (44/100) while the AI fundamental score is 44/100 (grade C); the two lenses disagree, so weigh the breakdown below. Strongest signal: Ray Dalio bullish · Biggest watch-out: Seth Klarman bearish.Educational signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Compare sector peers → · Read the method →
MCap: $45.4B| P/E Ratio: 20.31| Vol: 672| 52-wk range: $70.50 – $93.05

P/E 20.31 means the share price is 20.31 times one year of earnings per share; the S&P 500 usually sits near 20-25. Market cap $45.4B is the value of all shares combined. Beta 0.21: the stock has moved about 79% less than the S&P 500.

Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated Mar 16, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR

Quick Answer

Danone S.A. (GPDNF) trades at $70.69 with MoonshotScore 44/100 (Grade C). Danone S.A. is a global food and beverage company operating in the Essential Dairy & Plant-Based, Specialized Nutrition, and Waters segments. Market cap: $45.4B, Sector: Consumer defensive.

Price as of Sep 11, 2026 · Last analyzed: Mar 16, 2026
Danone S.A. is a global food and beverage company operating in the Essential Dairy & Plant-Based, Specialized Nutrition, and Waters segments. With a history dating back to 1899, Danone distributes its products through various channels, including retail chains, convenience stores, and e-commerce.

Analyst Coverage for GPDNF: GPDNF does not currently have published analyst price targets in our coverage universe. This is common for smaller-cap names with limited Wall Street coverage. In the absence of analyst consensus, our AI model evaluates GPDNF against Consumer Defensive peers across nine fundamental dimensions and assigns an underweight signal based on the underlying data.

Watch the GPDNF film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Split View 44/100 · C

GPDNF: the 3 scored disciplines are evenly split. Dominant signal: Ray Dalio bullish.

How is this calculated? →
Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Dalio-style lens (simulated)Ray Dalio
Favorable read
Englander-style lens (simulated)Izzy Englander
Unfavorable read
Klarman-style lens (simulated)Seth Klarman
Unfavorable read
Moon AI lens (model)
Neutral read
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Neutral
Margin of Safety
Fairly Valued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →
The lenses are modelled on the published principles of the investors named. We are not affiliated with them, they have not endorsed this, and it is not their opinion of this stock.

Why this analysis is different

  • A 9-signal quantitative MoonshotScore built from filings, insider activity, and market data — computed from the numbers, not from opinion.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Danone S.A. (GPDNF) Consumer Business Overview

CEOAntoine Bernard de Saint-Affrique
Employees88,670
HeadquartersParis, FR
IPO Year2001

Danone S.A., a global leader in the packaged foods industry, focuses on Essential Dairy & Plant-Based products, Specialized Nutrition, and Waters. The company leverages a diverse brand portfolio, including Actimel, Activia, and evian, to serve consumers across Europe, Noram, Latin America, Asia Pacific, Africa, and the Middle East, distributing through retail and e-commerce channels.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis Analysis: Mar 16, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for GPDNF?

AI-written as of Mar 16, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Danone S.A. presents a stable investment opportunity within the consumer defensive sector, supported by its diverse product portfolio and global presence. The company's focus on Essential Dairy & Plant-Based, Specialized Nutrition, and Waters caters to evolving consumer preferences for health and wellness. With a market capitalization of $45.4B and a dividend yield of 2.99%, Danone offers a blend of value and income. The company's beta of 0.21 indicates low volatility relative to the market. Growth catalysts include expansion in emerging markets and continued innovation in plant-based and specialized nutrition products. However, investors may want to evaluate potential risks such as fluctuating raw material costs and competitive pressures from companies like Unilever and Nestle.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

GPDNF Key Highlights

AI-written as of Mar 16, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Market capitalization of $45.4B, reflecting its significant presence in the global food and beverage industry.

  • P/E ratio of 20.31, indicating investor valuation relative to earnings.
  • Profit margin of 6.7%, showcasing profitability in a competitive market.
  • Gross margin of 50.6%, demonstrating efficient cost management in production and distribution.
  • Dividend yield of 2.99%, providing a steady income stream for investors.

Who Are GPDNF's Competitors?

GPDNF is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap MoonshotScore
BMBOY Grupo Bimbo, S.A.B. de C.V. $13.44 -3.70% $14.5B 479-signal
DGEAF Diageo plc $21.85 -0.38% $48.6B
HEINY Heineken N.V. $41.09 -0.34% $45.6B 449-signal
JAPAF Japan Tobacco Inc. $44.10 0.00% $78.3B 519-signal
JBS JBS N.V. $12.62 +0.32% $28.0B 945-pillar
GIS General Mills, Inc. $35.96 -3.05% $19.2B 545-pillar
KRYAF Kerry Group plc $97.25 0.00% $15.5B 469-signal
MKC-V McCormick & Company $56.53 -2.70% $15.2B 469-signal

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance This table mixes two scoring engines — compare a number only with others carrying the same tag.

What Are GPDNF's Key Strengths?

Strong brand portfolio with well-known brands like Activia and Evian.

  • Global presence with operations in Europe, Noram, Latin America, and Asia Pacific.
  • Focus on health and wellness, aligning with consumer trends.
  • Diverse product range across dairy, plant-based, nutrition, and water categories.

What Are GPDNF's Weaknesses?

Exposure to fluctuating raw material costs.

  • Intense competition in the packaged foods industry.
  • Dependence on retail channels for distribution.
  • Potential for brand damage from product recalls or safety concerns.

What Could Drive GPDNF Stock Higher?

GPDNF catalyst: Expansion of plant-based product lines to capture growing consumer demand for vegan and vegetarian options.

  • Strategic partnerships with retailers to enhance distribution and market reach.
  • Launch of new specialized nutrition products targeting specific health needs in Q3 2026.
  • Cost optimization initiatives to improve profitability and efficiency.
  • Investments in sustainability and environmental responsibility to enhance brand reputation.

What Are the Key Risks for GPDNF?

Fluctuations in raw material costs, such as milk and sugar, could impact profitability.

  • Intense competition from other major food and beverage companies could erode market share.
  • Changes in consumer preferences and dietary trends could reduce demand for certain products.
  • Regulatory changes and food safety regulations could increase compliance costs.
  • Economic downturns and reduced consumer spending could impact sales volume.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for GPDNF?

  • Expansion in Emerging Markets: Danone has significant growth potential in emerging markets across Asia Pacific, Africa, and Latin America. These regions are experiencing rising disposable incomes and increasing demand for packaged foods and beverages. By tailoring its product offerings to local tastes and preferences, Danone can capture a larger share of these rapidly growing markets. This expansion strategy could contribute significantly to revenue growth over the next 3-5 years, with a potential market size exceeding $100 billion.
  • Innovation in Plant-Based Products: The plant-based food and beverage market is experiencing rapid growth, driven by increasing consumer interest in health, sustainability, and ethical concerns. Danone, with its Alpro brand, is well-positioned to capitalize on this trend. By continuing to innovate and expand its plant-based product offerings, Danone can attract new customers and increase its market share. The global plant-based food market is projected to reach $74.2 billion by 2027, offering substantial growth opportunities for Danone.
  • Strengthening Specialized Nutrition Segment: The Specialized Nutrition segment, which includes products for infants, young children, and individuals with specific dietary needs, offers significant growth potential. As populations age and awareness of the importance of nutrition grows, demand for these products is expected to increase. Danone can strengthen its position in this segment by investing in research and development to create innovative and scientifically-backed products. The global market for infant formula alone is projected to reach $56.8 billion by 2028.
  • Enhancing E-Commerce Presence: E-commerce is becoming an increasingly important channel for food and beverage sales. Danone can enhance its e-commerce presence by investing in its online platforms, partnering with online retailers, and developing targeted digital marketing campaigns. This will allow Danone to reach a wider audience and capitalize on the growing trend of online grocery shopping. The global online food and beverage market is projected to reach $278.4 billion by 2027.
  • Focus on Sustainability: Consumers are increasingly concerned about the environmental and social impact of the products they purchase. Danone can enhance its brand reputation and attract environmentally conscious consumers by focusing on sustainability initiatives, such as reducing its carbon footprint, using sustainable packaging, and sourcing ingredients responsibly. By communicating its sustainability efforts effectively, Danone can differentiate itself from competitors and drive sales. The market for sustainable products is growing rapidly, with consumers increasingly willing to pay a premium for products that are environmentally friendly.

What Are GPDNF's Competitive Advantages?

  • Strong brand recognition and reputation, built over decades.
  • Extensive distribution network, reaching consumers in numerous countries.
  • Focus on health and wellness, catering to evolving consumer preferences.
  • Innovation in plant-based and specialized nutrition products.

What Does GPDNF Do?

Danone S.A., founded in 1899 and headquartered in Paris, France, is a multinational food and beverage company. Originally known as Groupe Danone, the company adopted its current name in 2009. Danone operates across three primary segments: Essential Dairy & Plant-Based, Specialized Nutrition, and Waters. The Essential Dairy & Plant-Based segment produces and distributes yogurts, milk products, coffee creamers, drinks, beverages, plant-based alternatives, ice creams, desserts, and nutritional powdered protein products. Key brands include Actimel, Activia, Alpro, Danette, Danio, and Danonino, along with licensed brands like International Delight, Dunkin' Donuts, and Bailey's. The Specialized Nutrition segment focuses on products for pregnant and breastfeeding mothers, infants, and young children, marketed under brands like Aptamil, Nutrilon, Gallia, Cow & Gate, Blédina, Bebelac, Olvarit, and Happy Family Organics. This segment also provides tube feeding products (Nutrison), oral nutritional supplements (Fortimel and NutriDrink), and hypoallergenic products (Aptamil ProSyneo, Aptamil Pepti Syneo, and Neocate Syneo). The Waters segment offers water with natural fruit extracts, fruit juice, and vitamins under brands such as evian, Volvic, Aqua, Mizone, Bonafont, Villavicencio, Villa del Sur, Hayat, Sirma, Fontvella, Lanjarón, Salus, Aqua d'Or, and Zywiec Zdroj. Danone distributes its products through a wide network including retail chains, traditional market outlets, convenience stores, hospitals, clinics, pharmacies, and e-commerce platforms, reaching consumers across Europe, Noram, Latin America, the Asia Pacific, Africa, and the Middle East.

What Products and Services Does GPDNF Offer?

  • Produces and distributes yogurts and other dairy products.
  • Offers plant-based alternatives to dairy products.
  • Manufactures specialized nutrition products for infants, children, and adults with specific dietary needs.
  • Provides bottled water and flavored water beverages.
  • Markets its products under well-known brands such as Actimel, Activia, Alpro, and evian.
  • Distributes products through retail chains, convenience stores, and e-commerce platforms.
  • Focuses on health and wellness through its product offerings.

How Does GPDNF Make Money?

  • Develops, manufactures, and markets a diverse range of food and beverage products.
  • Sells its products through various distribution channels, including retail, e-commerce, and foodservice.
  • Generates revenue through the sale of its branded products.
  • Invests in research and development to innovate and improve its product offerings.

What Industry Does GPDNF Operate In?

Danone S.A. operates in the consumer defensive sector, specifically within the packaged foods industry. This sector is characterized by relatively stable demand, even during economic downturns, as consumers continue to purchase essential food and beverage products. The global packaged foods market is highly competitive, with major players like Nestle, Unilever, and Kraft Heinz. Danone differentiates itself through its focus on health and wellness, particularly in the Essential Dairy & Plant-Based and Specialized Nutrition segments. The industry is experiencing growth in plant-based alternatives and functional foods, driven by changing consumer preferences and increasing health awareness.

Who Are GPDNF's Key Customers?

  • Consumers seeking dairy and plant-based products.
  • Parents and caregivers looking for specialized nutrition products for infants and children.
  • Individuals seeking bottled water and flavored beverages.
  • Retailers and distributors who sell Danone's products to end consumers.
Model self-rating on this text: 72% (not a measure of the evidence) Updated: Mar 16, 2026

Research confidence

Medium 45/100

Enough evidence to be useful, with gaps worth knowing about.

  • Scoring coverage unknown
  • Price is current
  • Latest filing 73 days ago
  • No analyst coverage
  • Reported in EUR, converted to USD

Why 44?

This rating comes from our nine-signal model, which produces a score but not a per-factor breakdown. The sector-relative five-pillar model, which explains its own contributions, does not cover this listing yet. How the score is built →

MoonshotScore History

Recorded daily since 2026-08-23 · 19 snapshots

2026-08-23 44
2026-08-26 44
2026-08-29 44
2026-09-01 44
2026-09-04 44
2026-09-07 44
2026-09-10 44

What changed?

The score has stayed at 44.

Over the same 18 days the stock moved -6.5%.

Danone S.A. (GPDNF) Valuation Context

Valued at $45.4B, GPDNF is classified as a large-cap stock. Relative to its peer group, GPDNF's quantitative score of 44/100 is below the peer average of 55/100.

GPDNF Revenue & Earnings Trend

In Q2 FY2026, GPDNF generated $16.14B in top-line revenue, marking a sequential increase of 2.8%. The company recorded net income of $1.36B, with diluted EPS of $2.11. Quarter-over-quarter revenue has been mixed, typical for a large-cap company operating in Consumer Defensive. Across the four most recent quarters, GPDNF averaged $1.71 in diluted EPS.

Company Profile

Danone S.A. operates in the Packaged Foods industry within the Consumer Defensive sector. It is headquartered in Paris, FR. The company is led by CEO Antoine Bernard de Saint-Affrique. GPDNF has traded publicly since 2001.

ROE 11%

Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Danone S.A. stands at 11.3%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 4.0%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. GPDNF trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 20.31, below the Consumer Defensive sector average of ~27.60x. Its free cash flow yield is 5.7%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 0.97 means current liabilities exceed short-term assets, a liquidity point worth watching. Its earnings yield is 4.7%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

F-Score 6/9

Financial Health

Danone S.A.'s Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 2.94 places it in the grey zone, a middle ground that warrants monitoring.

5/8 beats

Earnings Track Record

Danone S.A. has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reported quarters — more hits than misses. Reported results have landed about 2.2% above estimates on average.

GPDNF Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
-0.4%
Net Income Growth (FY)
-9.8%
EPS Growth (FY)
-9.6%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
-6.4%
P/E (TTM)
20.31
Return on Equity (TTM)
+11.3%
Current Ratio
1.0
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
13.1

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Strong brand portfolio with well-known brands like Activia and Evian.
  • Global presence with operations in Europe, Noram, Latin America, and Asia Pacific.
  • Focus on health and wellness, aligning with consumer trends.
  • Diverse product range across dairy, plant-based, nutrition, and water categories.

Bear Case

  • Exposure to fluctuating raw material costs.
  • Intense competition in the packaged foods industry.
  • Dependence on retail channels for distribution.
  • Potential for brand damage from product recalls or safety concerns.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · March 2026

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 FY2026 $16.14B $1.36B $2.11
Q4 FY2025 $15.71B $909M $1.41
Q2 FY2025 $15.94B $1.21B $1.87
Q4 FY2024 $15.80B $931M $1.45

Q2 FY2026 · filed 30 Jun 2026 · SEC EDGAR →

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · Converted to USD from EUR at today's rate

GPDNF Latest News

GPDNF Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for GPDNF.

Price Targets

Wall Street price target analysis for GPDNF.

GPDNF MoonshotScore

44/100

What does this score mean?

MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. GPDNF scores 44/100 (Grade C): the number comes from the legacy nine-factor engine (quantitative signals from revenue growth to news sentiment), written once, not refreshed.

Leadership: Antoine Bernard de Saint-Affrique

Chief Executive Officer

Antoine Bernard de Saint-Affrique has extensive experience in the consumer goods industry. Prior to joining Danone, he served as the CEO of Barry Callebaut, a leading manufacturer of chocolate and cocoa products. He has also held various leadership positions at Unilever, including executive vice president for food Europe. His background includes a strong focus on strategy, innovation, and operational excellence. He brings a wealth of international experience and a deep understanding of the food and beverage market to Danone.

Track Record: Since becoming CEO, Antoine Bernard de Saint-Affrique has focused on streamlining Danone's operations and accelerating growth in key markets. He has emphasized innovation in plant-based and specialized nutrition products and has overseen efforts to improve the company's sustainability practices. His leadership has been marked by a commitment to enhancing shareholder value and strengthening Danone's competitive position.

GPDNF OTC Market Information

The OTC Other tier represents the lowest tier of the over-the-counter (OTC) market. Companies in this tier often have limited or no financial disclosure, making it difficult for investors to assess their financial health and operational performance. Unlike companies listed on major exchanges like the NYSE or NASDAQ, OTC Other companies do not have to meet specific listing requirements, such as minimum asset size or profitability thresholds. This lack of regulation and oversight can increase the risk of investing in these companies.

  • OTC Tier: OTC Other
Liquidity: Trading volume for GPDNF on the OTC market is likely to be lower compared to stocks listed on major exchanges. This can result in wider bid-ask spreads and make it more difficult to buy or sell large quantities of shares without significantly impacting the price. Investors should be aware of the potential for illiquidity and exercise caution when trading GPDNF on the OTC market.
OTC Risk Factors:
  • Limited financial disclosure, making it difficult to assess the company's financial health.
  • Lower trading volume and liquidity compared to stocks listed on major exchanges.
  • Higher potential for price volatility due to limited regulation and oversight.
  • Increased risk of fraud or manipulation due to lack of regulatory scrutiny.
  • Potential for delisting or suspension of trading due to non-compliance with OTC market rules.
Due Diligence Checklist:
  • Verify the company's registration and legal status.
  • Review any available financial statements and disclosures.
  • Assess the company's business model and competitive landscape.
  • Evaluate the management team and their track record.
  • Understand the risks associated with investing in OTC stocks.
  • Monitor trading volume and price activity.
  • Consult with a financial advisor before investing.
Legitimacy Signals:
  • Established history as Danone S.A., a well-known international company.
  • Operations in multiple countries and a diverse product portfolio.
  • Presence in the consumer defensive sector, which tends to be more stable than other sectors.
  • Availability of company information on its official website.
  • CEO with a strong background in the consumer goods industry.

What Investors Ask About Danone S.A. (GPDNF) — Consumer Defensive

What does the AI Score mean for GPDNF?

GPDNF holds an AI Score of 44/100 (Grade: C). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the legacy nine-factor engine (quantitative signals from revenue growth to news sentiment), written once, not refreshed.

Is GPDNF a good stock?

Stock Expert AI does not rate GPDNF buy, sell or hold. Danone S.A. carries a MoonshotScore of 44/100 on the legacy nine-factor engine, a research rating against its peers. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns, what the price assumes, and what would prove you wrong.

What does Danone S.A. do?

Danone S.A. is a global food and beverage company with a focus on health and wellness. It operates through three main segments: Essential Dairy & Plant-Based, Specialized Nutrition, and Waters.

What are the key factors to evaluate for GPDNF?

Danone S.A. (GPDNF) holds a MoonshotScore of 44/100 (low). P/E: 20.31x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Danone S.A. presents a stable investment opportunity within the consumer defensive sector, supported by its diverse product portfolio and global presence. Not financial advice.

How frequently does GPDNF data refresh on this page?

GPDNF's price was last updated on Sep 11, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours; the quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven GPDNF's recent stock price performance?

Danone S.A. (GPDNF) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Strong brand portfolio with well-known brands like Activia and Evian. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider GPDNF overvalued or undervalued right now?

Danone S.A. (GPDNF) trades at 20.31x earnings. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Can I buy fractional shares of GPDNF?

Yes, most major brokerages offer fractional shares of Danone S.A. (GPDNF) with no minimum purchase requirement. This means you can invest any dollar amount regardless of the share price. Check your brokerage platform for specific terms, fees, and fractional share availability.

How can I track GPDNF's earnings and financial reports?

Danone S.A. (GPDNF) reports quarterly earnings approximately 4-6 weeks after each fiscal quarter ends. You can track earnings dates, revenue and EPS estimates, and actual results on this page's Financials tab. Earnings surprises (beats or misses) often cause significant short-term price moves. Your brokerage can send alerts for GPDNF earnings announcements.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • OTC data may be less reliable than exchange-listed data.
Data Sources
Financial Modeling Prep (FMP)Stock Expert AI proprietary analysis

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