The J. M. Smucker Company (SJM) Stock Analysis
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.
The J. M. Smucker Company (SJM) trades at $124.09 with AI Score 29/100 (Grade F). The J. M. Smucker Company manufactures and markets branded food and beverage products globally. Market cap: $13.3B, Sector: Consumer defensive.
Price as of Aug 21, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 10, 2026SJM stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $118.25 for The J. M. Smucker Company, suggesting 4.7% downside from the current price of $124.09. The AI MoonshotScore is 29/100, indicating a bearish outlook. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.
SJM: 2/3 scored disciplines lean bearish. Dominant signal: Seth Klarman bullish.
How is this calculated? →Why this analysis is different
- A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
- An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
- Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.
The J. M. Smucker Company (SJM) Consumer Business Overview
The J. M. Smucker Company, a stalwart in the packaged foods sector, focuses on branded food and beverage products across North America. With a diverse portfolio including coffee, pet foods, and consumer foods, Smucker's leverages established brands and extensive distribution networks to maintain its market position amidst evolving consumer preferences.
What Is the Investment Thesis for SJM?
The J. M. Smucker Company presents a stable investment opportunity within the consumer defensive sector, supported by its established brands and consistent dividend yield of 4.41%. The company's diverse product portfolio across pet food, coffee, and consumer foods provides resilience against fluctuating consumer preferences. However, the negative profit margin of -14.1% raises concerns about operational efficiency and cost management. Future growth hinges on successful product innovation and effective adaptation to evolving market trends. Investors should monitor the company's ability to improve profitability and maintain market share amidst increasing competition from both established players and emerging brands.
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis
SJM Key Highlights
Market capitalization of $13.3B, reflecting its significant presence in the packaged foods industry.
- Gross margin of 32.7%, indicating the company's ability to manage production costs and maintain pricing power.
- Dividend yield of 4.41%, offering a steady income stream for investors.
- Beta of 0.26, suggesting lower volatility compared to the overall market.
- Operates in three segments: U.S. Retail Pet Foods, U.S. Retail Coffee, and U.S. Retail Consumer Foods, providing diversification within the consumer defensive sector.
Who Are SJM's Competitors?
SJM is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.
| Company | Price | Change | Market Cap | AI Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COKE Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc. | $187.60 | +0.41% | $14.7B | 68 |
| HRL Hormel Foods Corporation | $24.07 | -1.39% | $13.3B | 56 |
| ACI Albertsons Companies, Inc. | $11.98 | -1.16% | $5.81B | 52 |
| PPC Pilgrim's Pride Corporation | $31.24 | -0.13% | $7.43B | 58 |
| SFM Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. | $80.79 | +3.08% | $7.53B | 75 |
| MKC McCormick & Company, Incorporated | $55.22 | -2.23% | $14.9B | 62 |
| ORKLF Orkla ASA | $10.90 | +0.00% | $10.7B | 56 |
| DAR Darling Ingredients Inc. | $65.49 | -3.46% | $10.4B | 73 |
AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance
What Are SJM's Key Strengths?
Strong brand portfolio with well-known brands.
- Extensive distribution network.
- Diversified product offerings across multiple categories.
- Established presence in the consumer defensive sector.
What Are SJM's Weaknesses?
Negative profit margin of -14.1%.
- Dependence on traditional retail channels.
- Limited international presence compared to some competitors.
- Exposure to commodity price fluctuations.
What Could Drive SJM Stock Higher?
Launch of new product lines in the pet food segment targeting health-conscious pet owners.
- Expansion of e-commerce partnerships to increase online sales and reach a wider customer base.
- Implementation of cost-saving initiatives to improve profit margins and operational efficiency.
- Potential acquisitions of smaller food companies to expand the product portfolio and market share.
What Are the Key Risks for SJM?
Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of 1.31 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).
- Negative return on equity (-2.4%) — the business is not currently generating profit on shareholder capital.
- Insider selling — insiders were net sellers of roughly $5.7M recently.
- Fluctuations in commodity prices impacting input costs and profitability.
- Intense competition from other food manufacturers and private-label brands.
- Changing consumer preferences and dietary trends affecting demand for certain products.
- Supply chain disruptions and logistical challenges impacting production and distribution.
What Are the Growth Opportunities for SJM?
- Expansion in the Pet Food Market: The global pet food market is projected to reach $130 billion by 2028, driven by increasing pet ownership and a rising demand for premium pet food products. Smucker's, with its established brands like Meow Mix and Milk-Bone, can capitalize on this trend by expanding its product offerings and distribution channels. Focusing on innovative and health-conscious pet food options could drive significant revenue growth in this segment.
- Innovation in Coffee Products: The coffee market is experiencing growth in the premium and single-serve segments. Smucker's can leverage its Folgers and Café Bustelo brands to introduce new and innovative coffee products that cater to evolving consumer preferences. Investing in research and development to create unique flavors and sustainable packaging options can attract new customers and increase market share.
- E-commerce Growth: The increasing shift towards online shopping presents a significant growth opportunity for Smucker's. By strengthening its online presence and partnerships with e-commerce platforms, the company can reach a wider customer base and drive sales. Investing in digital marketing and optimizing the online shopping experience can enhance customer engagement and brand loyalty.
- Strategic Acquisitions: The packaged foods industry is characterized by consolidation, and strategic acquisitions can provide Smucker's with access to new markets, brands, and technologies. Identifying and acquiring companies with complementary product portfolios can expand Smucker's reach and strengthen its competitive position. Careful integration of acquired businesses is crucial for realizing synergies and maximizing value.
- International Expansion: While Smucker's has a strong presence in North America, expanding into international markets can unlock new growth opportunities. Identifying regions with growing demand for its products and establishing distribution networks can drive revenue growth. Adapting product offerings to local tastes and preferences is essential for success in international markets.
What Are SJM's Competitive Advantages?
- Strong brand recognition with established brands like Folgers, Jif, and Smucker's.
- Extensive distribution network reaching various retail channels.
- Diversified product portfolio across multiple food and beverage categories.
- Long-standing history and reputation in the packaged foods industry.
What Does SJM Do?
The J. M. Smucker Company, founded in 1897 and headquartered in Orrville, Ohio, has evolved from a small family business producing apple butter to a global manufacturer and marketer of branded food and beverage products. The company operates through three primary segments: U.S. Retail Pet Foods, U.S. Retail Coffee, and U.S. Retail Consumer Foods. Its product portfolio includes mainstream roast, ground, single-serve, and premium coffee under brands like Folgers and Café Bustelo. In the peanut butter and specialty spreads category, Jif and Smucker's are key brands. The company also offers fruit spreads, shortening and oils, and frozen sandwiches and snacks under the Smucker's Uncrustables brand. The pet food segment features well-known brands such as Meow Mix, 9Lives, Kibbles 'n Bits, Milk-Bone, Pup-Peroni, Rachael Ray Nutrish, and Nature's Recipe. Smucker's distributes its products through direct sales and brokers to a wide range of retailers, including food retailers, club stores, online retailers, and pet specialty stores. With a history spanning over a century, The J. M. Smucker Company has established a strong presence in the consumer packaged goods industry through strategic acquisitions and brand building.
What Products and Services Does SJM Offer?
- Manufactures and markets branded food and beverage products worldwide.
- Operates in three segments: U.S. Retail Pet Foods, U.S. Retail Coffee, and U.S. Retail Consumer Foods.
- Offers mainstream roast, ground, single serve, and premium coffee.
- Provides peanut butter and specialty spreads.
- Produces fruit spreads, shortening and oils, and frozen sandwiches and snacks.
- Offers pet food and pet snacks.
- Provides foodservice hot beverage and portion control products.
- Offers flour products, dog and cat food, frozen handheld products, juices and beverages, and baking mixes and ingredients.
How Does SJM Make Money?
- Manufacturing and marketing branded food and beverage products.
- Selling products through direct sales and brokers to various retailers.
- Generating revenue through three main segments: U.S. Retail Pet Foods, U.S. Retail Coffee, and U.S. Retail Consumer Foods.
What Industry Does SJM Operate In?
The J. M. Smucker Company operates within the competitive packaged foods industry, characterized by evolving consumer preferences and intense competition. The industry is influenced by trends such as increasing demand for healthier and convenient food options, as well as the growing popularity of private-label brands. Smucker's competes with other major food manufacturers and must adapt to changing consumer tastes and preferences to maintain its market share. The company's focus on established brands and strategic acquisitions positions it to navigate the dynamic landscape of the packaged foods industry.
Who Are SJM's Key Customers?
- Food retailers
- Club stores
- Online retailers
- Pet specialty stores
- Discount and dollar stores
Company Profile
The J. M. Smucker Company operates in the Packaged Foods industry within the Consumer Defensive sector. It is headquartered in Orrville, US. The company is led by CEO Captain Mark T. Smucker. SJM has traded publicly since 1994.
How The J. M. Smucker Company Is Valued
The J. M. Smucker Company carries a market capitalization of $13.3B, placing it in the large-cap category. Relative to its peer group, SJM's quantitative score of 29/100 is below the peer average of 62/100.
Key Financial Metrics
Return on equity for The J. M. Smucker Company stands at -2.4%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is -0.9%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. Its free cash flow yield is 9.1%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 0.78 means current liabilities exceed short-term assets, a liquidity point worth watching. Its earnings yield is -1.1%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.
Financial Health
The J. M. Smucker Company's Piotroski F-Score is 5/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 1.31 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.
Forward Outlook
Wall Street analysts project The J. M. Smucker Company revenue of about $9.04B for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $9.02. The estimate reflects 14 contributing analysts.
Insider Activity
Over the past six months, The J. M. Smucker Company insiders filed 28 SEC Form 4 transactions — 18 sales and 10 purchases. On net that is roughly 20K shares acquired (about $5.7M) — insiders putting money in tends to read as conviction.
SJM Financials
SJM earnings history & estimates →
Fundamental Snapshot
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2026
Bull Case vs Bear Case
Bull Case
- Community sentiment has shifted positively, with discussions highlighting strong brand loyalty and product diversification.
- Market perception is buoyed by recent successful product launches that resonate well with consumers.
- Analysts note that Smucker's focus on sustainability aligns with current consumer trends, enhancing its market position.
Bear Case
- Concerns over rising input costs have been a hot topic, potentially impacting margins and profitability.
- Recent social sentiment indicates some skepticism regarding the effectiveness of their marketing strategies in a competitive landscape.
- Bearish views have emerged from discussions about supply chain challenges that could hinder operational efficiency.
- The overall economic uncertainty is causing caution among investors, affecting confidence in consumer goods stocks like Smucker's.
AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · March 2026
SJM Latest News
-
3 Profitable Stocks We Approach with Caution
Yahoo! Finance: SJM News · Aug 16, 2026
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JP Morgan Maintains Overweight on JM Smucker, Raises Price Target to $139
benzinga · Aug 14, 2026
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Will Smucker (SJM) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?
zacks.com · Aug 14, 2026
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3 Top-Ranked Dividend Stocks: A Smarter Way to Boost Your Retirement Income
Yahoo! Finance: SJM News · Aug 14, 2026
SJM Analyst Consensus
Consensus Rating
Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for SJM.
Price Targets
Consensus target: $118.25
SJM MoonshotScore
What does this score mean?
The MoonshotScore rates SJM 0-100 on quantitative fundamentals — growth, financial health, valuation, momentum, and risk.
Latest News
3 Profitable Stocks We Approach with Caution
JP Morgan Maintains Overweight on JM Smucker, Raises Price Target to $139
Will Smucker (SJM) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?
3 Top-Ranked Dividend Stocks: A Smarter Way to Boost Your Retirement Income
Leadership: Captain Mark T. Smucker
Chief Executive Officer
Captain Mark T. Smucker has served as the Chief Executive Officer of The J. M. Smucker Company, leading a workforce of 9,000 employees. His career within the company spans several leadership roles, providing him with deep insights into the business. He is a member of the fifth generation of the Smucker family to lead the company. His experience includes strategic planning, brand management, and operational oversight. He is actively involved in industry associations and community initiatives, reflecting his commitment to both business and social responsibility.
Track Record: Under Captain Mark T. Smucker's leadership, The J. M. Smucker Company has focused on strategic acquisitions and product innovation to drive growth. He has overseen the expansion of the company's presence in the pet food market and the modernization of its coffee business. His tenure has been marked by efforts to adapt to changing consumer preferences and strengthen the company's competitive position. He has emphasized sustainability initiatives and community engagement.
SJM Consumer Defensive Stock FAQ
What does the AI Score mean for SJM?
SJM holds an AI Score of 29/100 (Grade: F). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The J. M. Smucker Company manufactures and markets branded food and beverage products globally. It operates through U.S. Retail Pet Foods, U.S. Retail Coffee, and U.S. Retail Consumer Foods segments.
What does The J. M. Smucker Company do?
The J. M. Smucker Company manufactures and markets a wide range of branded food and beverage products across North America and internationally. Its core business segments include U.S. Retail Pet Foods, U.S. Retail Coffee, and U.S. Retail Consumer Foods. The company's product portfolio encompasses coffee, peanut butter, fruit spreads, pet food, and other consumer staples.
What do analysts say about SJM stock?
Analyst consensus on The J. M. Smucker Company stock reflects a neutral outlook, acknowledging the company's stable position in the consumer defensive sector and consistent dividend yield. Key valuation metrics, such as price-to-earnings ratio and dividend payout ratio, are closely monitored.
What are the main risks for SJM?
The J. M. Smucker Company faces several risks, including fluctuations in commodity prices, intense competition from other food manufacturers, and changing consumer preferences. Rising input costs can impact profitability, while competition may pressure market share. Shifts in consumer dietary trends and preferences require continuous product innovation and adaptation. Supply chain disruptions and logistical challenges can also affect production and distribution.
How does The J. M. Smucker Company adapt to changing consumer preferences?
The J. M. Smucker Company adapts to changing consumer preferences through continuous product innovation, market research, and strategic acquisitions. The company invests in research and development to create new products that cater to evolving consumer tastes and dietary trends. Market research helps identify emerging trends and consumer needs.
What is SJM's dividend and shareholder return track record?
The J. M. Smucker Company has a long history of dividend payments and a commitment to shareholder returns. The company has consistently increased its dividend payout over the years, reflecting its financial stability and commitment to rewarding investors. The dividend yield of 4.41% provides a steady income stream for shareholders.
What are the key factors to evaluate for SJM?
The J. M. Smucker Company (SJM) holds an AI score of 29/100 (low). P/E: 9.7x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $118.25 (-5%). Not financial advice.
How frequently does SJM data refresh on this page?
SJM's price was last updated on Aug 21, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours — it is not a real-time exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.
What has driven SJM's recent stock price performance?
The J. M. Smucker Company (SJM) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Strong brand portfolio with well-known brands. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.
Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.
Official Resources
Data provided for informational purposes only.
- The information provided is based on available data and market analysis as of 2026-05-10.
- Future performance is subject to market conditions and company-specific factors.