Skip to main content
Skip to main content
HLIT logo

Harmonic Inc. (HLIT) Stock Analysis

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$11.83 +$0.0313 (+0.27%) |Weak · 19
Harmonic Inc. (HLIT) bottom line: signals are mixed — the Council read leans Split View (36/100) while the AI fundamental score is 19/100 (grade F); the two lenses disagree, so weigh the breakdown below. Strongest signal: Ken Griffin bullish · Biggest watch-out: Growth Durability weak.Educational signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Compare sector peers → · Read the method →
MCap: $1.28B| P/E Ratio: 17.37| Vol: 579K| Target: $17.00 (+43.7%) (Aug 25, 2026) (estimate, not advice)| 52-wk range: $8.47 – $17.68

P/E 17.37 means the share price is 17.37 times one year of earnings per share; the S&P 500 usually sits near 20-25. Market cap $1.28B is the value of all shares combined. Beta 1.10: the stock has moved about 10% more than the S&P 500.

Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated May 9, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR

Quick Answer

Harmonic Inc. (HLIT) trades at $11.83 with MoonshotScore 19/100 (Grade F). Harmonic Inc. provides video delivery infrastructure solutions, enabling media companies and service providers to stream and broadcast content. Market cap: $1.28B, Sector: Technology.

Price as of Sep 10, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 9, 2026
Harmonic Inc. provides video delivery infrastructure solutions, enabling media companies and service providers to stream and broadcast content. The company operates through two segments: Video and Cable Access, offering software, hardware, and services.

HLIT stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $17.00 for Harmonic Inc., suggesting 43.7% upside from the current price of $11.83. The AI MoonshotScore is 19/100, in the Weak band (below 45) — a research signal, not a recommendation. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the HLIT film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min

These figures come from statements filed 12 months ago — the most recent this company has published.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Split View 36/100 · D

HLIT: 1/3 scored disciplines lean bearish. Dominant signal: Growth Durability weak.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Five-pillar engine · 19/100
Business Quality
Neutral Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Neutral Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Neutral Am I paying a fair price?
Growth Durability
Negative Is the growth real and likely to last?
Momentum
Moderate Is the market already moving on this?

Strongest side: Momentum (6/10, Moderate). Weakest side: Growth Durability (1/10, Negative).

Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Griffin-style lens (simulated)Ken Griffin
Favorable read
Englander-style lens (simulated)Izzy Englander
Unfavorable read
Klarman-style lens (simulated)Seth Klarman
Favorable read
Moon AI lens (model)
Unfavorable read
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Weak
Margin of Safety
Fairly Valued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →
The lenses are modelled on the published principles of the investors named. We are not affiliated with them, they have not endorsed this, and it is not their opinion of this stock.

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Harmonic Inc. (HLIT) Technology Profile & Competitive Position

CEONimrod Ben-Natan
Employees552
HeadquartersSan Jose, CA, US
IPO Year1995

Harmonic Inc. delivers video and broadband access solutions, enabling media companies and service providers to optimize content delivery across various platforms. With a focus on software-based solutions and cloud technologies, Harmonic caters to the evolving demands of streaming and broadcast industries, positioning itself in the competitive communication equipment sector.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NASDAQ Analysis: May 9, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for HLIT?

AI-written as of May 9, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

The company's focus on software-based solutions, particularly its CableOS platform, aligns with the industry's shift towards cloud-native technologies. With a market capitalization of $1.28B, Harmonic's growth potential is underpinned by increasing demand for high-quality video streaming and broadband access. Key catalysts include expanding its SaaS offerings and penetrating new geographic markets. Potential risks include competition from larger players and the negative profit margin of -8.5%. The company's gross margin of 53.9% indicates strong pricing power. Investors should monitor Harmonic's ability to maintain its technological edge and capitalize on industry trends to drive sustainable growth.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

HLIT Key Highlights

AI-written as of May 9, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Market Cap of $1.28B reflects Harmonic's established position in the video delivery solutions market.

  • Gross Margin of 53.9% indicates strong pricing power and efficient cost management in its operations.
  • Beta of 1.10 suggests that HLIT's stock price is slightly more volatile than the overall market.
  • Operates in two segments: Video and Cable Access, diversifying its revenue streams and market reach.
  • Provides software-as-a-service (SaaS) solutions, aligning with the industry's shift towards cloud-based technologies.

Who Are HLIT's Competitors?

HLIT is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap MoonshotScore
FSLY Fastly, Inc. $22.71 0.00% $3.55B 345-pillar
VISN VISN $6.40 -0.08% $1.44B 475-pillar
YSS York Space Systems, Inc. $7.96 -1.30% $1.05B
ITRN Ituran Location and Control Ltd. $51.75 +0.84% $1.03B 915-pillar
VTKLY Vtech Holdings Limited $6.50 +1.03% $1.65B 499-signal
OKIEY Oki Electric Industry Co., Ltd. $21.18 0.00% $1.84B 529-signal
FLTCF Filtronic plc $3.37 -5.48% $740M 629-signal
GILT Gilat Satellite Networks Ltd. $9.54 -2.15% $720M 495-pillar

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance This table mixes two scoring engines — compare a number only with others carrying the same tag.

What Are HLIT's Key Strengths?

Strong product portfolio in video delivery solutions

  • Focus on software-based and cloud technologies
  • Established relationships with key customers
  • Expertise in video processing and delivery

What Are HLIT's Weaknesses?

Negative profit margin

  • Intense competition in the communication equipment industry
  • Dependence on cable and media industries
  • Smaller size compared to major competitors

What Could Drive HLIT Stock Higher?

Expansion of CableOS platform and increasing adoption by cable operators.

  • Growing demand for video streaming and broadband access driving revenue growth.
  • Development and launch of new SaaS offerings for cloud-based video processing.
  • Strategic partnerships and acquisitions to expand product portfolio and market reach.

What Are the Key Risks for HLIT?

Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of -0.28 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).

  • Negative return on equity (-10.3%) — the business is not currently generating profit on shareholder capital.
  • Insider selling — insiders were net sellers of roughly $1.4M recently.
  • Intense competition from larger players in the communication equipment industry.
  • Technological obsolescence and the need for continuous innovation.
  • Economic downturn affecting cable and media industries.
  • Changes in video consumption patterns and the shift towards new platforms.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for HLIT?

  • Expansion of CableOS Platform: Harmonic's CableOS platform presents a significant growth opportunity as cable operators increasingly adopt software-based solutions for cable access. The market for virtualized cable access solutions is projected to grow substantially, driven by the need for greater network flexibility and scalability. By enhancing the capabilities of CableOS and expanding its customer base, Harmonic can capture a larger share of this growing market. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Penetration of the Streaming Media Market: The streaming media market continues to expand rapidly, driven by the increasing popularity of online video consumption. Harmonic's video processing and delivery solutions are well-positioned to serve the needs of streaming media companies. By focusing on innovative solutions for live streaming, video-on-demand, and personalized advertising, Harmonic can capitalize on the growth in this market. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Geographic Expansion: Harmonic has the opportunity to expand its geographic presence, particularly in emerging markets where demand for video streaming and broadband access is growing rapidly. By establishing partnerships with local service providers and tailoring its solutions to meet the specific needs of these markets, Harmonic can drive revenue growth and diversify its customer base. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Development of New SaaS Offerings: Harmonic's software-as-a-service (SaaS) solutions are gaining traction in the market, offering customers a flexible and cost-effective way to deliver video content. By developing new SaaS offerings that address specific customer needs, such as cloud-based video processing and analytics, Harmonic can drive recurring revenue and strengthen its competitive position. Timeline: Upcoming.
  • Strategic Partnerships and Acquisitions: Harmonic can pursue strategic partnerships and acquisitions to expand its product portfolio, enhance its technological capabilities, and enter new markets. By partnering with complementary technology providers or acquiring companies with innovative solutions, Harmonic can accelerate its growth and strengthen its position in the video delivery market. Timeline: Ongoing.

What Are HLIT's Competitive Advantages?

  • Technological Expertise: Harmonic's deep expertise in video processing and delivery technologies provides a competitive advantage.
  • Software-Based Solutions: The company's focus on software-based solutions offers greater flexibility and scalability compared to traditional hardware-based approaches.
  • CableOS Platform: The CableOS platform provides a differentiated solution for cable access, offering advanced features and capabilities.
  • Established Customer Relationships: Harmonic has established long-term relationships with key customers in the video and cable industries.

What Does HLIT Do?

Harmonic Inc., founded in 1988 and headquartered in San Jose, California, specializes in video delivery software, products, system solutions, and services. The company operates through two primary segments: Video and Cable Access. The Video segment provides video processing, production, and playout solutions to cable operators, satellite and telecommunications Pay-TV service providers, and broadcast and media companies, including streaming media entities. This segment offers a range of solutions, including network management and application software, hardware products like encoders and video servers, and software-as-a-service (SaaS) solutions for streaming services. The Cable Access segment focuses on CableOS software-based cable access solutions and CableOS central cloud services, primarily catering to cable operators. Harmonic's products enable customers to create, prepare, store, playout, and deliver broadcast and streaming video services to various consumer devices. Additionally, the company offers technical support and professional services, including maintenance, consulting, implementation, and training, supporting its customers through direct sales, independent resellers, and systems integrators.

What Products and Services Does HLIT Offer?

  • Provides video processing and delivery solutions.
  • Offers software-based cable access solutions.
  • Develops and sells video processing appliances.
  • Provides SaaS solutions for streaming services.
  • Offers technical support and professional services.
  • Enables creation, preparation, storage, and delivery of broadcast and streaming video services.

How Does HLIT Make Money?

  • Sells video processing and delivery software and hardware.
  • Offers software-as-a-service (SaaS) subscriptions for streaming services.
  • Provides technical support and professional services for its products.
  • Generates revenue through direct sales, resellers, and systems integrators.

What Industry Does HLIT Operate In?

Harmonic Inc. operates within the communication equipment industry, a sector experiencing rapid transformation driven by the increasing demand for high-quality video streaming and broadband access. The market is characterized by intense competition and technological innovation. Harmonic's focus on software-based solutions and cloud technologies positions it to capitalize on the shift towards more flexible and scalable video delivery infrastructure. The company competes with larger players and specialized vendors, navigating a landscape where agility and innovation are critical for sustained growth.

Who Are HLIT's Key Customers?

  • Cable operators
  • Satellite and telecommunications Pay-TV service providers
  • Broadcast and media companies
  • Streaming media companies
Model self-rating on this text: 67% (not a measure of the evidence) Updated: May 9, 2026

Research confidence

High 100/100

Broad, current evidence sits behind this analysis.

  • Scored on 97% of our measures
  • Price is current
  • Latest filing 25 days ago
  • Covered by analysts

Why 19?

Measured against companies in the same sector. The figures below are the factor contributions the scoring engine itself produced.

What is helping

  • +0.20 Interest cover (Financial Strength)
  • +0.18 Free cash flow growth (Growth)
  • +0.16 Gross profit per dollar of assets (Business Quality)

What is holding it back

  • -0.48 Revenue growth (Growth)
  • -0.48 5-year revenue per share (Growth)
  • -0.22 Earnings growth (Growth)

Risk penalties applied

  • -1.25 Bankruptcy-risk score in the distress zone
  • -1.28 Loss-making with negative retained earnings

Contribution = how far the company sits from its sector on that measure, weighted by how much the pillar counts. Not investment advice. How the score is built →

MoonshotScore History

Recorded daily since 2026-08-23 · 19 snapshots

2026-08-23 20
2026-08-26 19
2026-08-29 19
2026-09-01 20
2026-09-04 19
2026-09-07 20
2026-09-10 20

What changed?

The score has stayed at 20.

What moved it up or down:

  • -11 Valuation
  • +11 Momentum
  • -5 Financial Strength

Over the same 18 days the stock moved -5.1%.

Net buying

Insider Activity

Over the past six months, Harmonic Inc. insiders filed 69 SEC Form 4 transactions — 40 sales and 29 purchases. On net that is roughly 609K shares acquired (about $1.4M) — insiders putting money in tends to read as conviction.

Quarterly Financial Performance: Harmonic Inc.

Revenue for Harmonic Inc. came in at $133.5M during Q2 FY2026, a 9.7% improvement versus the preceding quarter. The company recorded a net loss of $2.3M, with diluted EPS of $-0.02. Revenue has increased across the last three reported quarters, suggesting sustained momentum for this small-cap Technology company. Across the four most recent quarters, HLIT averaged $-0.10 in diluted EPS.

HLIT Valuation & Market Position

With a $1.28B market cap, Harmonic Inc. sits in the small-cap segment of the market. Analyst price targets span from $15.00 to $19.00, with a consensus of $17.00. At the current price of $11.83, that implies approximately 44% upside potential. Relative to its peer group, HLIT's quantitative score of 19/100 is below the peer average of 55/100.

ROE -10%

Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Harmonic Inc. stands at -10.3%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is -5.9%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. Its free cash flow yield is 2.6%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 2.26 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is -2.3%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

F-Score 6/9

Financial Health

Harmonic Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of -0.28 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.

8/8 beats

Earnings Track Record

Harmonic Inc. has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reported quarters — a consistent record of delivering on expectations. Reported results have landed about 82.7% above estimates on average.

Company Profile

Harmonic Inc. operates in the Communication Equipment industry within the Technology sector. It is headquartered in San Jose, US. The company is led by CEO Nimrod Ben-Natan. HLIT has traded publicly since 1995.

HLIT Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
-46.9%
Net Income Growth (FY)
-210.4%
EPS Growth (FY)
-211.8%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
+83.7%
P/E (TTM)
17.37
Return on Equity (TTM)
-10.3%
Current Ratio
2.3
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
36.7

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Strong product portfolio in video delivery solutions
  • Focus on software-based and cloud technologies
  • Established relationships with key customers
  • Expertise in video processing and delivery

Bear Case

  • Negative profit margin
  • Intense competition in the communication equipment industry
  • Dependence on cable and media industries
  • Smaller size compared to major competitors

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · September 2026

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 FY2026 $133M -$2M -$0.02
Q1 FY2026 $122M $7M $0.07
Q4 FY2025 $98M -$55M -$0.49
Q3 FY2025 $142M $3M $0.02

Q2 FY2026 · filed 17 Aug 2026 · SEC EDGAR →

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

HLIT Latest News

HLIT Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for HLIT.

Price Targets

Low
$15.00
Consensus
$17.00
High
$19.00

Median: $17.00 (+43.7% from current price)

Source: FMP analyst consensus · as of Aug 25, 2026 · an estimate, not advice

HLIT MoonshotScore

19/100

What does this score mean?

MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. HLIT scores 19/100 (Grade F): the number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Latest Harmonic Inc. Analysis

Leadership: Nimrod Ben-Natan

CEO

Nimrod Ben-Natan serves as the CEO of Harmonic Inc., bringing extensive experience in the technology and telecommunications sectors. Prior to Harmonic, he held leadership positions at various technology companies, focusing on strategic planning, product development, and market expansion. His background includes a strong emphasis on driving innovation and delivering customer-centric solutions. He is known for his expertise in navigating complex market dynamics and fostering a culture of innovation within organizations.

Track Record: Since assuming the role of CEO, Nimrod Ben-Natan has focused on driving Harmonic's transition to software-based and cloud-native solutions. He has overseen the expansion of the CableOS platform and the development of new SaaS offerings. His leadership has been instrumental in positioning Harmonic as a key player in the evolving video delivery landscape.

Harmonic Inc. Technology Stock: Key Questions Answered

What does the AI Score mean for HLIT?

HLIT holds an AI Score of 19/100 (Grade: F). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers. Harmonic Inc. provides video delivery infrastructure solutions, enabling media companies and service providers to stream and broadcast content.

Is HLIT a good stock?

Stock Expert AI does not rate HLIT buy, sell or hold. Harmonic Inc. carries a MoonshotScore of 19/100 on the five-pillar engine, a research rating against its peers. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns, what the price assumes, and what would prove you wrong.

What does Harmonic Inc. do?

Harmonic Inc. specializes in providing video delivery infrastructure solutions to media companies and service providers. The company offers a range of software, hardware, and services that enable customers to create, prepare, store, playout, and deliver broadcast and streaming video content. Harmonic operates through two segments: Video and Cable Access, catering to the evolving needs of the video and broadband industries.

What are the key factors to evaluate for HLIT?

Harmonic Inc. (HLIT) holds an AI score of 19/100 (low). P/E: 17.37x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $17.00 (+44%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does HLIT data refresh on this page?

HLIT's price was last updated on Sep 10, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours; the quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven HLIT's recent stock price performance?

Harmonic Inc. (HLIT) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Strong product portfolio in video delivery solutions. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider HLIT overvalued or undervalued right now?

Harmonic Inc. (HLIT) trades at 17.37x earnings. Analysts target $17.00 (+44%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Can I buy fractional shares of HLIT?

Yes, most major brokerages offer fractional shares of Harmonic Inc. (HLIT) with no minimum purchase requirement. This means you can invest any dollar amount regardless of the share price. Check your brokerage platform for specific terms, fees, and fractional share availability.

How can I track HLIT's earnings and financial reports?

Harmonic Inc. (HLIT) reports quarterly earnings approximately 4-6 weeks after each fiscal quarter ends. You can track earnings dates, revenue and EPS estimates, and actual results on this page's Financials tab. Earnings surprises (beats or misses) often cause significant short-term price moves. Your brokerage can send alerts for HLIT earnings announcements.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated MoonshotScore as of
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Information is based on available company data and industry reports.
  • Future performance is subject to market conditions and company-specific factors.
Data Sources
Financial Modeling Prep (FMP)Stock Expert AI proprietary analysis

More Stocks We Cover