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The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC) Stock Analysis

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$24.43 +$0.04 (+0.16%) |Weak · 25
The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC) bottom line: signals are mixed — the Council read leans Split View (45/100) while the AI fundamental score is 25/100 (grade F); the two lenses disagree, so weigh the breakdown below. Strongest signal: Seth Klarman bullish · Biggest watch-out: Growth Durability weak.Educational signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Compare sector peers → · Read the method →
MCap: $29.0B| Vol: 4.02M| Target: $22.75 (-6.9%) (Aug 25, 2026) (estimate, not advice)| 52-wk range: $21.04 – $28.09

Market cap $29.0B is the value of all shares combined. Beta 0.05: the stock has moved about 95% less than the S&P 500.

Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated May 10, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR

Quick Answer

The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC) trades at $24.43 with MoonshotScore 25/100 (Grade F). The Kraft Heinz Company manufactures and markets food and beverage products globally. Market cap: $29.0B, Sector: Consumer defensive.

Price as of Sep 11, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 10, 2026
The Kraft Heinz Company manufactures and markets food and beverage products globally. With a history dating back to 1869, the company offers a diverse portfolio of well-known brands across various grocery categories.

KHC stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $22.75 for The Kraft Heinz Company, suggesting 6.9% downside from the current price of $24.43. The AI MoonshotScore is 25/100, in the Weak band (below 45) — a research signal, not a recommendation. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the KHC film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min

These figures come from statements filed 12 months ago — the most recent this company has published.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Split View 45/100 · C

KHC: 2/3 scored disciplines lean bearish. Dominant signal: Seth Klarman bullish.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Five-pillar engine · 25/100
Business Quality
Weak Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Weak Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Moderate Am I paying a fair price?
Growth Durability
Weak Is the growth real and likely to last?
Momentum
Moderate Is the market already moving on this?

Strongest side: Momentum (7/10, Moderate). Weakest side: Growth Durability (2/10, Weak).

Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Dalio-style lens (simulated)Ray Dalio
Favorable read
Griffin-style lens (simulated)Ken Griffin
Favorable read
Englander-style lens (simulated)Izzy Englander
Favorable read
Klarman-style lens (simulated)Seth Klarman
Favorable read
Moon AI lens (model)
Neutral read
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Weak
Margin of Safety
Fairly Valued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →
The lenses are modelled on the published principles of the investors named. We are not affiliated with them, they have not endorsed this, and it is not their opinion of this stock.

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC) Consumer Business Overview

CEOSteven A. Cahillane
Employees35,000
HeadquartersPittsburgh, PA, US
IPO Year2015

The Kraft Heinz Company, a global leader in packaged foods, offers a diverse portfolio including condiments, sauces, cheese, and beverages. With a significant market presence and a dividend yield of 6.68%, the company navigates a competitive landscape while adapting to evolving consumer preferences and focusing on operational efficiency.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NASDAQ Analysis: May 10, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for KHC?

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

The Kraft Heinz Company presents a mixed investment thesis. While the company boasts a substantial market capitalization of $29.0B and a high dividend yield of 6.68%, its negative profit margin of -23.0% raises concerns about profitability. A key value driver is the company's portfolio of well-known brands, which provide a degree of pricing power and customer loyalty. Upcoming catalysts include potential efficiency improvements and strategic portfolio optimization. However, potential risks include changing consumer preferences and intense competition within the packaged foods industry. Investors should carefully weigh these factors when considering KHC.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

KHC Key Highlights

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Market capitalization of $29.0B, reflecting its significant presence in the packaged foods industry.

  • Dividend yield of 6.68%, offering an attractive income stream for investors.
  • Gross margin of 33.3%, indicating the company's ability to generate revenue after covering the cost of goods sold.
  • Beta of 0.05, suggesting low volatility compared to the overall market.
  • Employs 36,000 people, highlighting its scale of operations.

Who Are KHC's Competitors?

KHC is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap MoonshotScore
ABEV Ambev S.A. $3.04 +1.00% $47.0B 935-pillar
ADM Archer-Daniels-Midland Company $86.91 +0.42% $41.9B 655-pillar
JBS JBS N.V. $12.62 +0.32% $28.0B 945-pillar
KVUE Kenvue Inc. $17.79 0.00% $34.2B 705-pillar
EL The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. $96.78 +0.33% $35.0B 575-pillar
GIS General Mills, Inc. $35.96 -3.05% $19.2B 545-pillar
MKC McCormick & Company, Incorporated $51.10 -0.74% $13.7B 655-pillar
SJM The J. M. Smucker Company $120.66 -0.34% $12.9B 645-pillar

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are KHC's Key Strengths?

Strong brand portfolio with iconic brands.

  • Extensive distribution network.
  • High dividend yield.
  • Global presence.

What Are KHC's Weaknesses?

Negative profit margin.

  • High debt levels.
  • Exposure to changing consumer preferences.
  • Dependence on a limited number of key brands.

What Could Drive KHC Stock Higher?

Implementation of cost-saving initiatives and supply chain optimization efforts to improve profitability.

  • Potential strategic acquisitions or divestitures to streamline the company's portfolio and focus on high-growth categories.
  • Innovation in product development to meet changing consumer preferences and health trends.
  • Expansion of e-commerce and direct-to-consumer channels to reach a wider customer base.

What Are the Key Risks for KHC?

Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of 0.50 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).

  • Negative return on equity (-13.8%) — the business is not currently generating profit on shareholder capital.
  • Intense competition from other packaged food companies and private label brands.
  • Rising commodity prices and supply chain disruptions.
  • Changing consumer preferences and health trends that could impact demand for certain products.
  • Economic downturns that could reduce consumer spending on packaged foods.
  • High debt levels that could limit the company's financial flexibility.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for KHC?

  • Expansion in Emerging Markets: Kraft Heinz can pursue growth by expanding its presence in emerging markets, where demand for packaged foods is increasing due to rising disposable incomes and urbanization. This involves tailoring product offerings to local tastes and preferences, establishing efficient distribution networks, and forming strategic partnerships with local players. Market size is estimated to reach $1 trillion by 2030.
  • Product Innovation and Healthier Options: Kraft Heinz can capitalize on the growing consumer demand for healthier food options by investing in product innovation and developing healthier alternatives to its existing products. This includes reducing sugar, salt, and fat content, incorporating natural and organic ingredients, and offering plant-based options. The global healthy food market is projected to reach $1.4 trillion by 2027.
  • E-commerce and Direct-to-Consumer Channels: Kraft Heinz can enhance its online presence and reach a wider customer base by expanding its e-commerce capabilities and developing direct-to-consumer channels. This involves investing in online marketing, improving website functionality, and offering personalized shopping experiences.
  • Strategic Acquisitions and Partnerships: Kraft Heinz can pursue growth through strategic acquisitions and partnerships that complement its existing product portfolio and expand its market reach. This involves identifying attractive acquisition targets, negotiating favorable terms, and integrating acquired businesses effectively. The company can also form partnerships with other companies to leverage their expertise and resources.
  • Supply Chain Optimization and Cost Reduction: Kraft Heinz can improve its profitability by optimizing its supply chain and reducing costs. This involves streamlining its manufacturing processes, improving its logistics and distribution networks, and negotiating favorable terms with suppliers. The company can also leverage technology to automate tasks and improve efficiency.

What Are KHC's Competitive Advantages?

  • Strong brand recognition and customer loyalty for iconic brands like Heinz and Kraft.
  • Extensive distribution network and established relationships with retailers and foodservice providers.
  • Economies of scale in manufacturing and procurement.
  • Portfolio of well-known brands provides pricing power.

What Does KHC Do?

The Kraft Heinz Company was founded in 2015 through the merger of Kraft Foods Group and H.J. Heinz Holding Corporation, though its roots trace back to 1869 with the establishment of H.J. Heinz. Headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, the company manufactures and markets a wide array of food and beverage products across the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, and internationally. Its product portfolio includes iconic brands in categories such as condiments and sauces (Heinz Ketchup, Heinz Mustard), cheese and dairy products (Kraft Singles, Philadelphia Cream Cheese), meals (Kraft Macaroni & Cheese), meats (Oscar Mayer), refreshment beverages (Kool-Aid, Capri Sun), coffee, and other grocery products. Kraft Heinz serves a diverse customer base, including chain, wholesale, and independent grocery accounts, convenience stores, drug stores, mass merchants, club stores, and foodservice distributors. The company utilizes its own sales organization, along with independent brokers, agents, and distributors, to reach these customers. Kraft Heinz also leverages e-commerce platforms and retailers to expand its online presence. With a workforce of approximately 36,000 employees, Kraft Heinz continues to focus on innovation, efficiency, and brand building to maintain its competitive position in the global packaged foods market.

What Products and Services Does KHC Offer?

  • Manufactures and markets food and beverage products.
  • Offers a wide range of products including condiments, sauces, cheese, and dairy products.
  • Provides meals, meats, refreshment beverages, and coffee.
  • Sells products through various channels including grocery stores, convenience stores, and e-commerce platforms.
  • Operates in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, and internationally.
  • Focuses on brand building and product innovation.

How Does KHC Make Money?

  • Manufactures and distributes packaged food and beverage products.
  • Generates revenue through sales to retailers, foodservice distributors, and consumers.
  • Focuses on cost management and operational efficiency.
  • Invests in marketing and advertising to promote its brands.

What Industry Does KHC Operate In?

The Kraft Heinz Company operates within the competitive packaged foods industry, characterized by evolving consumer preferences, health trends, and intense competition. The industry is experiencing a shift towards healthier and more sustainable food options, requiring companies to innovate and adapt their product offerings. Kraft Heinz competes with other major players such as Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM), JBS N.V. (JBS), and Kenvue Inc. (KVUE). The company's success depends on its ability to maintain brand relevance, optimize its supply chain, and effectively manage costs.

Who Are KHC's Key Customers?

  • Chain, wholesale, and independent grocery accounts.
  • Convenience stores, drug stores, and mass merchants.
  • Foodservice distributors and institutions (hotels, restaurants, hospitals).
  • Consumers through e-commerce platforms and retailers.
Model self-rating on this text: 81% (not a measure of the evidence) Updated: May 10, 2026

Research confidence

High 100/100

Broad, current evidence sits behind this analysis.

  • Scored on 94% of our measures
  • Price is current
  • Latest filing 37 days ago
  • Covered by analysts

Why 25?

Measured against companies in the same sector. The figures below are the factor contributions the scoring engine itself produced.

What is helping

  • +0.29 Free cash flow yield (Business Quality)
  • +0.27 Price to book (Valuation)
  • +0.20 Volatility vs the market (Financial Strength)

What is holding it back

  • -0.41 Net margin (Business Quality)
  • -0.39 Operating margin (Business Quality)
  • -0.33 Earnings yield (Valuation)

Risk penalties applied

  • -0.54 Bankruptcy-risk score in the distress zone
  • -1.31 Loss-making with negative retained earnings

Contribution = how far the company sits from its sector on that measure, weighted by how much the pillar counts. Not investment advice. How the score is built →

MoonshotScore History

Recorded daily since 2026-08-23 · 19 snapshots

2026-08-23 23
2026-08-26 22
2026-08-29 23
2026-09-01 25
2026-09-04 26
2026-09-07 25
2026-09-10 25

What changed?

The grade moved from 23 to 25 (+2).

What moved it up or down:

  • +12 Valuation
  • +7 Growth Durability
  • +3 Business Quality

Held back by:

  • -22 Financial Safety

Over the same 18 days the stock moved -4.5%.

Net buying

Insider Activity

Over the past six months, The Kraft Heinz Company insiders filed 15 SEC Form 4 transactions — 1 sales and 14 purchases. On net that is roughly 279K shares acquired (about $6.5M) — insiders putting money in tends to read as conviction.

7/8 beats

Earnings Track Record

The Kraft Heinz Company has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reported quarters — a consistent record of delivering on expectations. Reported results have landed about 6.7% above estimates on average.

F-Score 5/9

Financial Health

The Kraft Heinz Company's Piotroski F-Score is 5/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 0.50 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.

ROE -14%

Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for The Kraft Heinz Company stands at -13.8%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is -7.0%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. Its free cash flow yield is 13.4%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 1.20 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is -19.6%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC) Valuation Context

Valued at $29.0B, KHC is classified as a large-cap stock. Analyst price targets span from $18.00 to $26.00, with a consensus of $22.75. At the current price of $24.43, that implies roughly 7% downside from the consensus target. Relative to its peer group, KHC's quantitative score of 25/100 is below the peer average of 70/100.

KHC Revenue & Earnings Trend

In Q2 FY2026, KHC generated $6.26B in top-line revenue, marking a sequential increase of 3.6%. The company recorded a net loss of $5.46B, with diluted EPS of $-4.60. Quarter-over-quarter revenue has been mixed, typical for a large-cap company operating in Consumer Defensive. Across the four most recent quarters, KHC averaged $-0.72 in diluted EPS.

Company Profile

The Kraft Heinz Company operates in the Packaged Foods industry within the Consumer Defensive sector. It is headquartered in Pittsburgh, US. The company is led by CEO Steven A. Cahillane. KHC has traded publicly since 2015.

KHC Financials

Next earnings report:

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
-3.5%
Net Income Growth (FY)
-313.0%
EPS Growth (FY)
-317.2%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
+15.9%
Return on Equity (TTM)
-13.8%
Current Ratio
1.2

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Strong brand portfolio with iconic brands.
  • Extensive distribution network.
  • High dividend yield.
  • Global presence.

Bear Case

  • Negative profit margin.
  • High debt levels.
  • Exposure to changing consumer preferences.
  • Dependence on a limited number of key brands.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · September 2026

From the Earnings Call

“the inflation outlook for next year is not anything that we're fearful of. In fact, we can absolutely manage it. But as always, our first line of defense is productivity. If we could cover all of the inflation with productivity, we would do that. But we are looking to maintain and strengthen our margins over time.”

— Steven Cahillane

“we also protected the cash flow. So we increased cash conversion expectation for the year. So free cash flow is the same dollar amount essentially that we have committed at the beginning of the year... Our balance sheet remains very strong. You have seen that we have paid down $1.9 billion of debt in the quarter. After the quarter closed, we also paid another $1 billion in 2027.”

— Andre Maciel

KHC Q2 FY2026 earnings call transcript · 2026-08-07

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 FY2026 $6.26B -$5.46B -$4.60
Q1 FY2026 $6.05B $798M $0.67
Q4 FY2025 $6.35B $651M $0.55
Q3 FY2025 $6.24B $615M $0.52

Q2 FY2026 · filed 5 Aug 2026 · SEC EDGAR →

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

KHC Latest News

KHC Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for KHC.

Price Targets

Low
$18.00
Consensus
$22.75
High
$26.00

Median: $23.00 (-6.9% from current price)

Source: FMP analyst consensus · as of Aug 25, 2026 · an estimate, not advice

KHC MoonshotScore

25/100

What does this score mean?

MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. KHC scores 25/100 (Grade F): the number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Latest The Kraft Heinz Company Analysis

Leadership: Steven A. Cahillane

Chief Executive Officer

Steven A. Cahillane has served as the Chief Executive Officer of The Kraft Heinz Company since 2017. Prior to joining Kraft Heinz, he served as Chairman and CEO of the Kellogg Company from 2014 to 2017, where he oversaw a portfolio of well-known cereal and snack brands. Cahillane also held various leadership positions at Coca-Cola Refreshments and InterContinental Hotels Group. He holds an MBA from Harvard Business School and a BA in Political Science from Northwestern University.

Track Record: Since becoming CEO of Kraft Heinz, Cahillane has focused on driving operational efficiency, streamlining the company's portfolio, and investing in key brands. He has led efforts to improve the company's supply chain, reduce costs, and enhance its marketing capabilities. Under his leadership, Kraft Heinz has also pursued strategic acquisitions and partnerships to expand its market reach and product offerings.

KHC Consumer Defensive Stock FAQ

What does the AI Score mean for KHC?

KHC holds an AI Score of 25/100 (Grade: F). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers. The Kraft Heinz Company manufactures and markets food and beverage products globally.

Is KHC a good stock?

Stock Expert AI does not rate KHC buy, sell or hold. The Kraft Heinz Company carries a MoonshotScore of 25/100 on the five-pillar engine, a research rating against its peers. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns, what the price assumes, and what would prove you wrong.

What is KHC's dividend and shareholder return track record?

Summarize The Kraft Heinz Company's dividend growth history, payout ratio, and share buyback programs.

What are the key factors to evaluate for KHC?

The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC) holds a MoonshotScore of 25/100 (low). Analysts target $22.75 (-7%). The Kraft Heinz Company presents a mixed investment thesis. Not financial advice.

How frequently does KHC data refresh on this page?

KHC's price was last updated on Sep 11, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours; the quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals follow quarterly filings. V2 calculations are scheduled daily at 10:15 UTC; the score's own date shows its last successful run.

What has driven KHC's recent stock price performance?

The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Strong brand portfolio with iconic brands. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider KHC overvalued or undervalued right now?

The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC) has no trailing P/E available here, so lean on price-to-sales and cash flow in the Financials tab. Analysts target $22.75 (-7%) — near fair value. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Can I buy fractional shares of KHC?

Yes, most major brokerages offer fractional shares of The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC) with no minimum purchase requirement. This means you can invest any dollar amount regardless of the share price. Check your brokerage platform for specific terms, fees, and fractional share availability.

How can I track KHC's earnings and financial reports?

The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC) reports quarterly earnings approximately 4-6 weeks after each fiscal quarter ends. You can track earnings dates, revenue and EPS estimates, and actual results on this page's Financials tab. Earnings surprises (beats or misses) often cause significant short-term price moves. Your brokerage can send alerts for KHC earnings announcements.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated MoonshotScore as of
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • The information provided is based on publicly available sources and is for informational purposes only. It is not intended as investment advice.
Data Sources
Financial Modeling Prep (FMP)Stock Expert AI proprietary analysis

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