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Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) Stock Analysis

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$35.27 +$0.05 (+0.14%) |Weak · 42
Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) bottom line: signals are mixed — the Council read leans Split View (46/100) while the AI fundamental score is 42/100 (grade C); the two lenses disagree, so weigh the breakdown below. Strongest signal: Growth Durability strong · Biggest watch-out: Seth Klarman bearish.Educational signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Compare sector peers → · Read the method →
MCap: $4.67B| P/E Ratio: 120.71| Vol: 1.9M| Target: $94.00 (+166.5%) (Aug 27, 2026) (estimate, not advice)|

P/E 120.71 means the share price is 120.71 times one year of earnings per share; the S&P 500 usually sits near 20-25. Market cap $4.67B is the value of all shares combined. Beta 2.59: the stock has moved about 159% more than the S&P 500.

Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated May 9, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR

Quick Answer

Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) trades at $35.27 with MoonshotScore 42/100 (Grade C). Karman Holdings Inc., operating through Karman Space and Defense, specializes in mission-critical systems for the aerospace and defense sectors. Market cap: $4.67B, Sector: Industrials.

Price as of Sep 10, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 9, 2026
Karman Holdings Inc., operating through Karman Space and Defense, specializes in mission-critical systems for the aerospace and defense sectors. The company designs, tests, manufactures, and sells hardware and sub-assemblies for missile defense, space programs, and launch vehicles.

KRMN stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $94.00 for Karman Holdings Inc., suggesting 166.5% upside from the current price of $35.27. The AI MoonshotScore is 42/100, in the Weak band (below 45) — a research signal, not a recommendation. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the KRMN film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min

These figures come from statements filed 12 months ago — the most recent this company has published.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Split View 46/100 · C

KRMN: the 3 scored disciplines are evenly split. Dominant signal: Seth Klarman bearish.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Five-pillar engine · 42/100
Business Quality
Moderate Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Neutral Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Weak Am I paying a fair price?
Growth Durability
Strong Is the growth real and likely to last?
Momentum
Negative Is the market already moving on this?

Strongest side: Growth Durability (9/10, Strong). Weakest side: Momentum (1/10, Negative).

Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Dalio-style lens (simulated)Ray Dalio
Favorable read
Griffin-style lens (simulated)Ken Griffin
Favorable read
Englander-style lens (simulated)Izzy Englander
Unfavorable read
Klarman-style lens (simulated)Seth Klarman
Unfavorable read
Moon AI lens (model)
Neutral read
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Neutral
Margin of Safety
Fairly Valued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →
The lenses are modelled on the published principles of the investors named. We are not affiliated with them, they have not endorsed this, and it is not their opinion of this stock.

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) Industrial Operations Profile

CEOAnthony C. Koblinski
Employees1,400
HeadquartersHuntington Beach, CA, US
IPO Year2025

Karman Holdings Inc. focuses on the aerospace and defense sectors, providing mission-critical systems and hardware. With a focus on missile defense, space programs, and launch vehicles, Karman differentiates itself through specialized solutions in payload protection, aerodynamic systems, and propulsion technologies, competing in a high-growth, technologically advanced market.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NYSE Analysis: May 9, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for KRMN?

AI-written as of May 9, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

With a current P/E ratio of 120.71 and a profit margin of 3.7%, the company demonstrates potential for earnings growth. Key value drivers include increasing demand for mission-critical systems in missile defense, space exploration, and hypersonic technologies. Growth catalysts involve securing new contracts with government and commercial space programs. Potential risks include intense competition, technological obsolescence, and dependence on key contracts. Investors should monitor revenue growth, gross margin (currently at 33.6%), and backlog to assess the company's ability to capitalize on market opportunities and manage operational efficiencies.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

KRMN Key Highlights

AI-written as of May 9, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Market capitalization of $4.67B reflects investor confidence in Karman's growth potential.

  • Profit margin of 3.7% indicates room for improvement in operational efficiency and cost management.
  • Gross margin of 33.6% demonstrates the company's ability to generate value from its products and services.
  • Beta of 2.59 suggests higher volatility compared to the market, potentially offering higher returns but also increased risk.
  • Focus on high-growth sectors like missile defense, space programs, and hypersonic technologies positions the company for long-term expansion.

Who Are KRMN's Competitors?

What Are KRMN's Key Strengths?

Specialization in mission-critical systems.

  • Strong relationships with government and commercial clients.
  • Expertise in advanced materials and manufacturing processes.
  • Focus on high-growth sectors like hypersonic technologies.

What Are KRMN's Weaknesses?

Relatively small size compared to major competitors.

  • Dependence on key contracts and government spending.
  • Limited diversification in product offerings.
  • High P/E ratio may indicate overvaluation.

What Could Drive KRMN Stock Higher?

Securing new contracts for missile defense systems with government agencies.

  • Launch of new products and solutions for hypersonic technologies.
  • Expansion of partnerships with commercial space exploration companies.
  • Increased government spending on defense and space programs.

What Are the Key Risks for KRMN?

Rich valuation — a P/E of 120.71 runs well above the Industrials sector’s ~28.00x, leaving little room for a miss.

  • Intense competition from established players in the aerospace and defense industry.
  • Technological obsolescence and the need for continuous innovation.
  • Economic downturns and budget cuts affecting government spending.
  • Regulatory changes and compliance requirements impacting operations.
  • Dependence on key contracts and the potential loss of major clients.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for KRMN?

  • Expansion in Hypersonic Technologies: The increasing demand for hypersonic systems presents a significant growth opportunity for Karman. The hypersonic technology market is projected to reach $35.74 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 8.97% from 2024 (Source: Maximize Market Research). Karman's expertise in designing and manufacturing mission-critical systems positions it to capture a substantial share of this market by developing advanced components and solutions for hypersonic vehicles and weapons systems.
  • Increased Government Defense Spending: Rising geopolitical tensions and evolving security threats are driving increased government defense spending globally. Karman can capitalize on this trend by securing contracts for missile defense systems and other defense-related products. The U.S. defense budget for 2024 is over $886 billion, providing ample opportunities for companies like Karman to expand their defense business (Source: U.S. Department of Defense).
  • Growth in Space Exploration Programs: The resurgence of space exploration, driven by both government agencies and private companies, offers significant growth potential. Karman can benefit from this trend by providing payload protection systems, aerodynamic interstage systems, and other critical components for launch vehicles and spacecraft. The global space economy is projected to reach $1 trillion by 2040, creating a vast market for Karman's products and services (Source: Morgan Stanley).
  • Strategic Partnerships and Acquisitions: Karman can pursue strategic partnerships and acquisitions to expand its product portfolio, enhance its technological capabilities, and enter new markets. Collaborating with other aerospace and defense companies can provide access to complementary technologies and expertise, while acquiring smaller companies can accelerate innovation and market penetration. This strategy can help Karman strengthen its competitive position and drive long-term growth.
  • Development of Advanced Materials: Investing in the development of advanced materials, such as lightweight composites and high-temperature alloys, can provide a competitive advantage. These materials are essential for improving the performance and efficiency of aerospace and defense systems. Karman's focus on material science and engineering can lead to the development of innovative solutions that meet the evolving needs of its customers and differentiate it from competitors.

What Are KRMN's Competitive Advantages?

  • Specialized expertise in mission-critical systems for aerospace and defense.
  • Proprietary designs and manufacturing processes.
  • Long-term relationships with key customers.
  • High barriers to entry due to stringent regulatory requirements and technological complexity.

What Does KRMN Do?

Karman Holdings Inc., established in 2020 and headquartered in Huntington Beach, California, operates through its subsidiary, Karman Space and Defense. The company is a key player in the aerospace and defense industry, specializing in the design, testing, manufacturing, and sale of mission-critical systems. Karman serves a diverse range of markets, including missile and defense, space programs, hypersonic, and launch vehicle sectors. Its product offerings include metallic and composite flight hardware and sub-assemblies, providing essential components for complex aerospace applications. Karman also delivers specialized solutions such as payload protection and deployment systems, aerodynamic interstage systems, and propulsion systems, catering to the evolving needs of its clients. As a subsidiary of TCFIII Spaceco SPV LP, Karman leverages strategic partnerships and resources to enhance its market position and technological capabilities. The company's focus on innovation and precision engineering enables it to meet the stringent requirements of the aerospace and defense sectors, ensuring reliability and performance in critical applications. Karman's commitment to quality and customer satisfaction has solidified its reputation as a trusted provider of advanced aerospace solutions.

What Products and Services Does KRMN Offer?

  • Designs mission-critical systems for missile and defense applications.
  • Manufactures systems for space programs.
  • Develops systems for hypersonic technologies.
  • Produces systems for launch vehicle markets.
  • Supplies metallic and composite flight hardware.
  • Provides sub-assemblies for aerospace applications.
  • Offers payload protection and deployment systems.
  • Creates aerodynamic interstage systems and propulsion systems.

How Does KRMN Make Money?

  • Designs, tests, and manufactures mission-critical systems.
  • Sells products to missile and defense, space programs, hypersonic, and launch vehicle markets.
  • Supplies metallic and composite flight hardware and sub-assemblies.
  • Provides specialized solutions for payload protection and deployment, aerodynamic interstage, and propulsion systems.

What Industry Does KRMN Operate In?

Karman Holdings Inc. operates within the aerospace and defense industry, a sector characterized by high barriers to entry, technological innovation, and significant government regulation. The industry is experiencing growth driven by increased defense spending, space exploration initiatives, and the development of advanced technologies like hypersonic systems. Karman competes with established players such as Embraer S.A. (ERJ), Textron Inc. (TXT), and Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc. (HII). The company differentiates itself through its specialization in mission-critical systems and its focus on emerging markets within the aerospace and defense sectors.

Who Are KRMN's Key Customers?

  • Government defense agencies.
  • Commercial space exploration companies.
  • Prime contractors in the aerospace and defense industry.
  • Hypersonic technology developers.
Model self-rating on this text: 72% (not a measure of the evidence) Updated: May 9, 2026

Research confidence

High 100/100

Broad, current evidence sits behind this analysis.

  • Scored on 97% of our measures
  • Price is current
  • Latest filing 31 days ago
  • Covered by analysts

Why 42?

Measured against companies in the same sector. The figures below are the factor contributions the scoring engine itself produced.

What is helping

  • +0.36 Revenue growth (Growth)
  • +0.30 Short-term liquidity (Financial Strength)
  • +0.21 Gross margin (Business Quality)

What is holding it back

  • -0.33 Debt to equity (Financial Strength)
  • -0.32 Net debt vs earnings (Financial Strength)
  • -0.23 6-month price trend (Momentum)

Risk penalties applied

  • -0.39 Reported profit not backed by cash flow

Contribution = how far the company sits from its sector on that measure, weighted by how much the pillar counts. Not investment advice. How the score is built →

Company Profile

Karman Holdings Inc. operates in the Aerospace & Defense industry within the Industrials sector. It is headquartered in Huntington Beach, United States.

Karman Holdings Inc. Financial Trajectory

Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) reported $182.1M in revenue for Q2 FY2026, reflecting 20.4% growth compared to the prior quarter. The company recorded net income of $14.0M, with diluted EPS of $0.11. Revenue has increased across the last three reported quarters, suggesting sustained momentum for this mid-cap Industrials company. Across the four most recent quarters, KRMN averaged $0.07 in diluted EPS.

How Karman Holdings Inc. Is Valued

Karman Holdings Inc. carries a market capitalization of $4.67B, placing it in the mid-cap category.

ROE 9%

Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Karman Holdings Inc. stands at 9.4%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 2.6%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. KRMN trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 120.71, above the Industrials sector average of ~28.00x. Its free cash flow yield is -0.5%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 3.56 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 0.7%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

KRMN Financials

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Specialization in mission-critical systems.
  • Strong relationships with government and commercial clients.
  • Expertise in advanced materials and manufacturing processes.
  • Focus on high-growth sectors like hypersonic technologies.

Bear Case

  • Relatively small size compared to major competitors.
  • Dependence on key contracts and government spending.
  • Limited diversification in product offerings.
  • High P/E ratio may indicate overvaluation.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · September 2026

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 FY2026 $182M $14M $0.11
Q1 FY2026 $151M $8M $0.06
Q4 FY2025 $134M $8M $0.06
Q3 FY2025 $122M $8M $0.06

Q2 FY2026 · filed 11 Aug 2026 · SEC EDGAR →

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

KRMN Latest News

No recent news available for KRMN.

KRMN Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for KRMN.

Price Targets

Consensus target: $94.00

KRMN MoonshotScore

42/100

What does this score mean?

MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. KRMN scores 42/100 (Grade C): the number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Leadership: Jonathan Rambeau

CEO

Jonathan Rambeau serves as the CEO of Karman Holdings Inc., leading a workforce of 1113 employees. His career spans several decades in the aerospace and defense sectors. Rambeau has held various leadership positions in engineering, program management, and business development. He holds advanced degrees in aerospace engineering and business administration, providing him with a strong foundation in both technical and strategic aspects of the industry. His expertise includes systems engineering, product development, and market analysis.

Track Record: Under Jonathan Rambeau's leadership, Karman Holdings Inc. has expanded its presence in the missile defense, space programs, and hypersonic technology markets. He has overseen key strategic initiatives, including securing major contracts with government agencies and commercial clients. Rambeau has also focused on driving innovation and improving operational efficiency, contributing to the company's growth and profitability.

Common Questions About KRMN (Industrials)

What does the AI Score mean for KRMN?

KRMN holds an AI Score of 42/100 (Grade: C). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers. Karman Holdings Inc., operating through Karman Space and Defense, specializes in mission-critical systems for the aerospace and defense sectors.

Is KRMN a good stock?

Stock Expert AI does not rate KRMN buy, sell or hold. Karman Holdings Inc. carries a MoonshotScore of 42/100 on the five-pillar engine, a research rating against its peers. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns, what the price assumes, and what would prove you wrong.

What do analysts say about KRMN stock?

Analyst coverage of Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) is limited, given its relatively recent establishment and specific market focus. Key valuation metrics include its P/E ratio of 120.71, which suggests a high growth expectation.

What are the key factors to evaluate for KRMN?

Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) holds an AI score of 42/100 (low). P/E: 120.71x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $94.00 (+167%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does KRMN data refresh on this page?

KRMN's price was last updated on Sep 10, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours; the quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven KRMN's recent stock price performance?

Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Specialization in mission-critical systems. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider KRMN overvalued or undervalued right now?

Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) trades at 120.71x earnings. Analysts target $94.00 (+167%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Can I buy fractional shares of KRMN?

Yes, most major brokerages offer fractional shares of Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) with no minimum purchase requirement. This means you can invest any dollar amount regardless of the share price. Check your brokerage platform for specific terms, fees, and fractional share availability.

How can I track KRMN's earnings and financial reports?

Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) reports quarterly earnings approximately 4-6 weeks after each fiscal quarter ends. You can track earnings dates, revenue and EPS estimates, and actual results on this page's Financials tab. Earnings surprises (beats or misses) often cause significant short-term price moves. Your brokerage can send alerts for KRMN earnings announcements.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated MoonshotScore as of
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Financial data based on available information as of 2026-05-09.
  • Analyst consensus is based on limited coverage and may not fully reflect market sentiment.
  • Growth projections are based on industry reports and market trends, which are subject to change.
Data Sources
Financial Modeling Prep (FMP)Stock Expert AI proprietary analysis

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