Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN)
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.
Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) trades at $53.66 with AI Score 38/100 (Grade D). Karman Holdings Inc. , operating through Karman Space and Defense, specializes in mission-critical systems for the aerospace and defense sectors. Market cap: $7.11B, Sector: Industrials.
Price live · AI analysis from May 9, 2026KRMN stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $119.67 for Karman Holdings Inc., suggesting 123.0% upside from the current price of $53.66. The AI MoonshotScore is 38/100, indicating a bearish outlook. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.
KRMN: 3/7 perspectives are bearish. Dominant signal: Seth Klarman bearish.
How is this calculated? →Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) Industrial Operations Profile
Karman Holdings Inc. focuses on the aerospace and defense sectors, providing mission-critical systems and hardware. With a focus on missile defense, space programs, and launch vehicles, Karman differentiates itself through specialized solutions in payload protection, aerodynamic systems, and propulsion technologies, competing in a high-growth, technologically advanced market.
What Is the Investment Thesis for KRMN?
Karman Holdings Inc. presents a compelling investment case based on its specialization in the high-growth aerospace and defense sectors. With a current P/E ratio of 206.4 and a profit margin of 3.7%, the company demonstrates potential for earnings growth. Key value drivers include increasing demand for mission-critical systems in missile defense, space exploration, and hypersonic technologies. Growth catalysts involve securing new contracts with government and commercial space programs. Potential risks include intense competition, technological obsolescence, and dependence on key contracts. Investors should monitor revenue growth, gross margin (currently at 33.6%), and backlog to assess the company's ability to capitalize on market opportunities and manage operational efficiencies.
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis
KRMN Key Highlights
- Market capitalization of $7.11B reflects investor confidence in Karman's growth potential.
- Profit margin of 3.7% indicates room for improvement in operational efficiency and cost management.
- Gross margin of 33.6% demonstrates the company's ability to generate value from its products and services.
- Beta of 2.59 suggests higher volatility compared to the market, potentially offering higher returns but also increased risk.
- Focus on high-growth sectors like missile defense, space programs, and hypersonic technologies positions the company for long-term expansion.
Who Are KRMN's Competitors?
KRMN is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.
| Company | Price | Change | Market Cap | AI Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ERJ Embraer S.A. | $64.52 | -1.06% | $47.38B | 48 |
| STRL Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. | $713.14 | +1.77% | $21.88B | 94 |
| TXT Textron Inc. | $93.66 | +1.25% | $16.29B | 71 |
| BLD TopBuild Corp. | $354.53 | -1.45% | $9.94B | 59 |
| HII Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc. | $294.10 | +0.89% | $11.59B | 64 |
| FLY Firefly Aerospace Inc. | $27.88 | -3.53% | $4.58B | 68 |
| DUKR DUKE Robotics Corp. | $5.23 | +8.73% | $11.53M | 67 |
| PL Planet Labs PBC | $31.04 | -1.10% | $10.33B | 66 |
AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance
What Are KRMN's Key Strengths?
- Specialization in mission-critical systems.
- Strong relationships with government and commercial clients.
- Expertise in advanced materials and manufacturing processes.
- Focus on high-growth sectors like hypersonic technologies.
What Are KRMN's Weaknesses?
- Relatively small size compared to major competitors.
- Dependence on key contracts and government spending.
- Limited diversification in product offerings.
- High P/E ratio may indicate overvaluation.
What Could Drive KRMN Stock Higher?
- Securing new contracts for missile defense systems with government agencies.
- Launch of new products and solutions for hypersonic technologies.
- Expansion of partnerships with commercial space exploration companies.
- Increased government spending on defense and space programs.
What Are the Key Risks for KRMN?
- Rich valuation — a P/E of 206.4 runs well above the Industrials sector’s ~30x, leaving little room for a miss.
- Intense competition from established players in the aerospace and defense industry.
- Technological obsolescence and the need for continuous innovation.
- Economic downturns and budget cuts affecting government spending.
- Regulatory changes and compliance requirements impacting operations.
- Dependence on key contracts and the potential loss of major clients.
What Are the Growth Opportunities for KRMN?
- Expansion in Hypersonic Technologies: The increasing demand for hypersonic systems presents a significant growth opportunity for Karman. The hypersonic technology market is projected to reach $35.74 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 8.97% from 2024 (Source: Maximize Market Research). Karman's expertise in designing and manufacturing mission-critical systems positions it to capture a substantial share of this market by developing advanced components and solutions for hypersonic vehicles and weapons systems.
- Increased Government Defense Spending: Rising geopolitical tensions and evolving security threats are driving increased government defense spending globally. Karman can capitalize on this trend by securing contracts for missile defense systems and other defense-related products. The U.S. defense budget for 2024 is over $886 billion, providing ample opportunities for companies like Karman to expand their defense business (Source: U.S. Department of Defense).
- Growth in Space Exploration Programs: The resurgence of space exploration, driven by both government agencies and private companies, offers significant growth potential. Karman can benefit from this trend by providing payload protection systems, aerodynamic interstage systems, and other critical components for launch vehicles and spacecraft. The global space economy is projected to reach $1 trillion by 2040, creating a vast market for Karman's products and services (Source: Morgan Stanley).
- Strategic Partnerships and Acquisitions: Karman can pursue strategic partnerships and acquisitions to expand its product portfolio, enhance its technological capabilities, and enter new markets. Collaborating with other aerospace and defense companies can provide access to complementary technologies and expertise, while acquiring smaller companies can accelerate innovation and market penetration. This strategy can help Karman strengthen its competitive position and drive long-term growth.
- Development of Advanced Materials: Investing in the development of advanced materials, such as lightweight composites and high-temperature alloys, can provide a competitive advantage. These materials are essential for improving the performance and efficiency of aerospace and defense systems. Karman's focus on material science and engineering can lead to the development of innovative solutions that meet the evolving needs of its customers and differentiate it from competitors.
What Opportunities Does KRMN Have?
- Expansion into new markets and applications.
- Strategic partnerships and acquisitions.
- Increased government defense spending.
- Growth in space exploration programs.
What Threats Does KRMN Face?
- Intense competition from established players.
- Technological obsolescence.
- Economic downturns and budget cuts.
- Regulatory changes and compliance requirements.
What Are KRMN's Competitive Advantages?
- Specialized expertise in mission-critical systems for aerospace and defense.
- Proprietary designs and manufacturing processes.
- Long-term relationships with key customers.
- High barriers to entry due to stringent regulatory requirements and technological complexity.
What Does KRMN Do?
Karman Holdings Inc., established in 2020 and headquartered in Huntington Beach, California, operates through its subsidiary, Karman Space and Defense. The company is a key player in the aerospace and defense industry, specializing in the design, testing, manufacturing, and sale of mission-critical systems. Karman serves a diverse range of markets, including missile and defense, space programs, hypersonic, and launch vehicle sectors. Its product offerings include metallic and composite flight hardware and sub-assemblies, providing essential components for complex aerospace applications. Karman also delivers specialized solutions such as payload protection and deployment systems, aerodynamic interstage systems, and propulsion systems, catering to the evolving needs of its clients. As a subsidiary of TCFIII Spaceco SPV LP, Karman leverages strategic partnerships and resources to enhance its market position and technological capabilities. The company's focus on innovation and precision engineering enables it to meet the stringent requirements of the aerospace and defense sectors, ensuring reliability and performance in critical applications. Karman's commitment to quality and customer satisfaction has solidified its reputation as a trusted provider of advanced aerospace solutions.
What Products and Services Does KRMN Offer?
- Designs mission-critical systems for missile and defense applications.
- Manufactures systems for space programs.
- Develops systems for hypersonic technologies.
- Produces systems for launch vehicle markets.
- Supplies metallic and composite flight hardware.
- Provides sub-assemblies for aerospace applications.
- Offers payload protection and deployment systems.
- Creates aerodynamic interstage systems and propulsion systems.
How Does KRMN Make Money?
- Designs, tests, and manufactures mission-critical systems.
- Sells products to missile and defense, space programs, hypersonic, and launch vehicle markets.
- Supplies metallic and composite flight hardware and sub-assemblies.
- Provides specialized solutions for payload protection and deployment, aerodynamic interstage, and propulsion systems.
What Industry Does KRMN Operate In?
Karman Holdings Inc. operates within the aerospace and defense industry, a sector characterized by high barriers to entry, technological innovation, and significant government regulation. The industry is experiencing growth driven by increased defense spending, space exploration initiatives, and the development of advanced technologies like hypersonic systems. Karman competes with established players such as Embraer S.A. (ERJ), Textron Inc. (TXT), and Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc. (HII). The company differentiates itself through its specialization in mission-critical systems and its focus on emerging markets within the aerospace and defense sectors.
Who Are KRMN's Key Customers?
- Government defense agencies.
- Commercial space exploration companies.
- Prime contractors in the aerospace and defense industry.
- Hypersonic technology developers.
Company Profile
Karman Holdings Inc. operates in the Aerospace & Defense industry within the Industrials sector. It is headquartered in Huntington Beach, US. The company is led by CEO Jonathan Rambeau. KRMN has traded publicly since 2025.
How Karman Holdings Inc. Is Valued
Karman Holdings Inc. carries a market capitalization of $7.11B, placing it in the mid-cap category. Relative to its peer group, KRMN's quantitative score of 38/100 is below the peer average of 67/100.
ROE 8%Key Financial Metrics
Return on equity for Karman Holdings Inc. stands at 7.9%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 2.1%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. KRMN trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 206.37, above the Industrials sector average of ~30x. Its free cash flow yield is -0.4%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 3.53 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 0.4%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.
F-Score 5/9Financial Health
Karman Holdings Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 5/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 5.24 places it in the safe zone, indicating low near-term bankruptcy risk.
FY2026 estForward Outlook
Wall Street analysts project Karman Holdings Inc. revenue of about $731.6M for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $0.58. The estimate reflects 8 contributing analysts.
Net buyingInsider Activity
Over the past six months, Karman Holdings Inc. insiders filed 13 SEC Form 4 transactions — 0 sales and 13 purchases. On net that is roughly 130K shares acquired (about $0) — insiders putting money in tends to read as conviction.
KRMN Financials
Fundamental Snapshot
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025
Bull Case vs Bear Case
Bull Case
- Recent insider buying suggests confidence in KRMN's future, indicating that those closest to the company believe in its potential.
- Community sentiment has turned more positive, with discussions highlighting innovative projects that could drive growth.
- KRMN's recent partnerships have sparked interest, positioning the company strategically within its industry.
- Market perception is shifting as analysts note KRMN's resilience in a challenging environment, suggesting a strong operational foundation.
Bear Case
- Some community members express skepticism about KRMN's ability to scale its operations effectively, raising concerns about long-term sustainability.
- Recent news has highlighted regulatory challenges that could impact KRMN's business model, creating uncertainty among investors.
- Insider selling activity has been noted, which may signal a lack of confidence from key stakeholders in the company's direction.
- Overall market conditions remain volatile, and KRMN may be vulnerable to broader economic shifts that could negatively affect its performance.
AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · January 2026
KRMN Latest News
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9 Industrials Stocks With Whale Alerts In Today’s Session
benzinga · Jul 1, 2026
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How Karman Holdings (KRMN) Is Using Space and Defense Demand to Build a Larger Backlog Story
Insider Monkey · Jun 19, 2026
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Karman Space & Defense (KRMN) Prices Upsized $854M Secondary Stock Offering
Insider Monkey · Jun 17, 2026
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What Makes Karman Holdings (KRMN) One of the Best Mid-Cap Stocks
Insider Monkey · Jun 17, 2026
KRMN Analyst Consensus
Consensus Rating
Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for KRMN.
Price Targets
Consensus target: $119.67
KRMN MoonshotScore
What does this score mean?
The MoonshotScore rates KRMN's growth potential on a scale of 0-100 across multiple factors including innovation, market disruption, financial health, and momentum.
Latest News
9 Industrials Stocks With Whale Alerts In Today’s Session
How Karman Holdings (KRMN) Is Using Space and Defense Demand to Build a Larger Backlog Story
Karman Space & Defense (KRMN) Prices Upsized $854M Secondary Stock Offering
What Makes Karman Holdings (KRMN) One of the Best Mid-Cap Stocks
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2 min readLeadership: Jonathan Rambeau
CEO
Jonathan Rambeau serves as the CEO of Karman Holdings Inc., leading a workforce of 1113 employees. His career spans several decades in the aerospace and defense sectors. Rambeau has held various leadership positions in engineering, program management, and business development. He holds advanced degrees in aerospace engineering and business administration, providing him with a strong foundation in both technical and strategic aspects of the industry. His expertise includes systems engineering, product development, and market analysis.
Track Record: Under Jonathan Rambeau's leadership, Karman Holdings Inc. has expanded its presence in the missile defense, space programs, and hypersonic technology markets. He has overseen key strategic initiatives, including securing major contracts with government agencies and commercial clients. Rambeau has also focused on driving innovation and improving operational efficiency, contributing to the company's growth and profitability.
Common Questions About KRMN (Industrials)
What does Karman Holdings Inc. do?
Karman Holdings Inc., through its subsidiary Karman Space and Defense, specializes in designing, testing, manufacturing, and selling mission-critical systems for the aerospace and defense sectors. The company's products and services cater to missile defense, space programs, hypersonic technologies, and launch vehicle markets. Karman supplies metallic and composite flight hardware and sub-assemblies, offering solutions for payload protection, aerodynamic interstage systems, and propulsion systems. The company is a key supplier to government agencies and commercial entities in these high-growth sectors.
What do analysts say about KRMN stock?
Analyst coverage of Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) is limited, given its relatively recent establishment and specific market focus. Key valuation metrics include its P/E ratio of 206.4, which suggests a high growth expectation. Investors should monitor revenue growth, gross margin (33.6%), and backlog to assess the company's ability to capitalize on market opportunities. The company's focus on high-growth sectors like hypersonic technologies and space exploration presents significant potential, but also involves inherent risks associated with technological innovation and market competition. Further analysis is needed to determine long-term sustainability.
What are the main risks for KRMN?
Karman Holdings Inc. faces several key risks, including intense competition from larger, more established players in the aerospace and defense industry. Technological obsolescence is a significant concern, requiring continuous investment in research and development. Economic downturns and budget cuts can impact government spending on defense and space programs, affecting the company's revenue. Regulatory changes and compliance requirements pose ongoing challenges. Dependence on key contracts also creates vulnerability, as the loss of a major client could significantly impact financial performance. Investors should carefully consider these factors when evaluating KRMN.
What are the key factors to evaluate for KRMN?
Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) holds an AI score of 38/100 (low). P/E: 206.4x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $119.67 (+123%). Not financial advice.
How frequently does KRMN data refresh on this page?
KRMN prices update in real time during U.S. market hours. Fundamentals refresh after quarterly filings; analyst ratings and AI insights update daily; news is aggregated continuously.
What has driven KRMN's recent stock price performance?
Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Specialization in mission-critical systems. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.
Should investors consider KRMN overvalued or undervalued right now?
Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) trades at 206.4x earnings. Analysts target $119.67 (+123%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.
What research should beginners do before buying KRMN?
Before investing in Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN), research these four areas: (1) the company's revenue model and competitive position (see Company Overview), (2) financial health through revenue growth, margins, and cash flow (see MoonshotScore), (3) what Wall Street analysts recommend and their price targets (see Analyst tab), and (4) specific risk factors that could impact the stock (see Risk Factors section).
Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.
Official Resources
Data provided for informational purposes only.
- Financial data based on available information as of 2026-05-09.
- Analyst consensus is based on limited coverage and may not fully reflect market sentiment.
- Growth projections are based on industry reports and market trends, which are subject to change.