Skip to main content
Skip to main content
MRCY logo

Mercury Systems, Inc. (MRCY) Stock Analysis

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$80.43 -$0.33 (-0.41%) |Fair · 49
Mercury Systems, Inc. (MRCY) bottom line: Split View — our Council read (53/100) and AI Score (49/100) broadly agree. Strongest signal: Ken Griffin bullish · Biggest watch-out: Valuation weak.Educational signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Compare sector peers → · Read the method →
MCap: $4.83B| Vol: 421.5K| Target: $116.00 (+44.2%) (Aug 25, 2026) (estimate, not advice)| 52-wk range: $65.04 – $128.45

Market cap $4.83B is the value of all shares combined. Beta 0.84: the stock has moved about 16% less than the S&P 500.

Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated May 10, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR

Quick Answer

Mercury Systems, Inc. (MRCY) trades at $80.43 with MoonshotScore 49/100 (Grade C). Mercury Systems, Inc. provides advanced technology solutions to the aerospace and defense industries. Market cap: $4.83B, Sector: Industrials.

Price as of Sep 11, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 10, 2026
Mercury Systems, Inc. provides advanced technology solutions to the aerospace and defense industries. The company specializes in manufacturing and selling components, modules, and subsystems for critical defense applications.

MRCY stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $116.00 for Mercury Systems, Inc., suggesting 44.2% upside from the current price of $80.43. The AI MoonshotScore is 49/100, in the Fair band (45-64) — a research signal, not a recommendation. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the MRCY film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Split View 53/100 · B

MRCY: the 3 scored disciplines are evenly split. Dominant signal: Ken Griffin bullish.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Five-pillar engine · 49/100
Business Quality
Neutral Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Neutral Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Weak Am I paying a fair price?
Growth Durability
Neutral Is the growth real and likely to last?
Momentum
Weak Is the market already moving on this?

Strongest side: Financial Safety (6/10, Neutral). Weakest side: Valuation (2/10, Weak).

Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Dalio-style lens (simulated)Ray Dalio
Favorable read
Griffin-style lens (simulated)Ken Griffin
Favorable read
Englander-style lens (simulated)Izzy Englander
Favorable read
Klarman-style lens (simulated)Seth Klarman
Neutral read
Moon AI lens (model)
Neutral read
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Weak
Margin of Safety
Fairly Valued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →
The lenses are modelled on the published principles of the investors named. We are not affiliated with them, they have not endorsed this, and it is not their opinion of this stock.

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Mercury Systems, Inc. (MRCY) Industrial Operations Profile

CEOWilliam L. Ballhaus
Employees2,102
HeadquartersAndover, MA, US
IPO Year1998

Mercury Systems, Inc. delivers advanced solutions for the aerospace and defense sectors, providing components, modules, and subsystems. With a presence in approximately 300 programs and serving 25 defense contractors, the company focuses on high-tech applications within a competitive industry landscape, marked by innovation and stringent performance requirements.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NASDAQ Analysis: May 10, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for MRCY?

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

The company's established presence in approximately 300 programs with 25 defense contractors provides a stable revenue base. Key value drivers include continued innovation in embedded processing, radio frequency, and microwave technologies. Growth catalysts involve expanding its product offerings in areas such as electronic warfare and UAV systems. However, investors should be aware of potential risks such as fluctuations in defense spending and intense competition. With a market capitalization of $4.83B and a negative profit margin of -1.5%, the company's future profitability is a key area to monitor. The company's beta of 0.84 suggests lower volatility compared to the broader market.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

MRCY Key Highlights

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Market Cap of $4.83B indicates a significant presence in the aerospace and defense technology sector.

  • Gross Margin of 28.7% reflects the company's ability to generate revenue from its products and services after accounting for the cost of goods sold.
  • Participation in approximately 300 programs with 25 defense contractors highlights the company's established position and diverse customer base.
  • Beta of 0.84 suggests lower volatility compared to the broader market, potentially appealing to risk-averse investors.
  • No Dividend Yield reflects a focus on reinvesting earnings for growth rather than returning capital to shareholders.

Who Are MRCY's Competitors?

MRCY is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap MoonshotScore
PL Planet Labs PBC $17.00 +1.86% $5.66B
POWL Powell Industries, Inc. $176.89 -1.87% $6.44B 765-pillar
ENS EnerSys $179.02 -0.04% $6.53B 885-pillar
ECG Everus Construction Group, Inc. $115.23 -1.76% $5.88B 745-pillar
AMTM Amentum Holdings, Inc. $19.56 +1.29% $4.77B 625-pillar
AIR AAR Corp. $124.47 -0.10% $4.97B 605-pillar
FNCNF Fincantieri S.p.A. $15.09 +6.89% $5.39B 459-signal
LOAR Loar Holdings, Inc. $64.76 -1.95% $6.06B 685-pillar

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance This table mixes two scoring engines — compare a number only with others carrying the same tag.

What Are MRCY's Key Strengths?

Strong presence in the aerospace and defense industries.

  • Diverse product portfolio of components, modules, and subsystems.
  • Established relationships with major defense contractors.
  • Focus on innovation and technological advancement.

What Are MRCY's Weaknesses?

Negative profit margin indicates potential financial challenges.

  • Reliance on government defense spending can create volatility.
  • Intense competition in the aerospace and defense sectors.
  • Potential supply chain disruptions affecting component availability.

What Could Drive MRCY Stock Higher?

Continued government investment in defense technology and electronic warfare.

  • Potential new contracts for UAV and radar systems in 2027.
  • Strategic acquisitions to expand product portfolio and market reach.
  • Innovation in embedded processing and artificial intelligence for defense applications.

What Are the Key Risks for MRCY?

Negative return on equity (-1.0%) — the business is not currently generating profit on shareholder capital.

  • Insider selling — insiders were net sellers of roughly $36.7M recently.
  • Fluctuations in defense spending due to geopolitical instability.
  • Intense competition from established players in the aerospace and defense sectors.
  • Cybersecurity threats targeting sensitive defense technologies.
  • Supply chain disruptions affecting component availability and production costs.
  • Economic downturns impacting defense budgets and contract awards.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for MRCY?

  • Expansion in Electronic Warfare: Mercury Systems can capitalize on the growing demand for advanced electronic warfare (EW) solutions. The global electronic warfare market is projected to reach $27.9 billion by 2026. By developing innovative EW technologies, such as digital radio frequency memory (DRFM) units, Mercury Systems can secure lucrative contracts with defense agencies and contractors. This expansion aligns with the increasing need for sophisticated EW capabilities in modern warfare.
  • Penetration of the UAV Market: The unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) market presents a significant growth opportunity for Mercury Systems. With its onboard UAV processor systems for real-time wide area motion imagery and signals intelligence payloads, the company is well-positioned to serve the burgeoning UAV sector. As UAVs become increasingly integral to military and commercial applications, Mercury Systems can expand its market share by offering advanced processing and intelligence solutions.
  • Strategic Acquisitions: Mercury Systems can pursue strategic acquisitions to expand its product portfolio and market reach. By acquiring companies with complementary technologies or access to new customer segments, Mercury Systems can accelerate its growth trajectory. Targeted acquisitions can enhance the company's capabilities in areas such as artificial intelligence, cybersecurity, and advanced sensors, strengthening its competitive position.
  • International Expansion: Expanding its presence in international markets represents a significant growth opportunity for Mercury Systems. By targeting key regions such as Europe and Asia Pacific, the company can diversify its revenue streams and reduce its reliance on the U.S. defense market. Establishing partnerships with local defense contractors and tailoring its solutions to meet specific regional needs can facilitate successful international expansion.
  • Advancements in Radar Technology: The increasing demand for advanced radar systems in both military and commercial applications presents a growth opportunity for Mercury Systems. The company's radar environment simulation and test systems cater to the evolving needs of defense and intelligence agencies. By investing in research and development to enhance its radar technology offerings, Mercury Systems can secure contracts for next-generation radar systems and maintain its competitive edge.

What Are MRCY's Competitive Advantages?

  • Specialized Technology: Proprietary technology and expertise in embedded processing, radio frequency, and microwave solutions.
  • Established Customer Relationships: Long-standing relationships with major defense contractors and government agencies.
  • High Barriers to Entry: Stringent regulatory requirements and high capital investment in the aerospace and defense industries.
  • Reputation for Reliability: Proven track record of delivering reliable and high-performance solutions for critical applications.

What Does MRCY Do?

Founded in 1981 and headquartered in Andover, Massachusetts, Mercury Systems, Inc. has evolved into a prominent technology company serving the aerospace and defense industries. Originally named Mercury Computer Systems, Inc., the company rebranded in 2012 to reflect its expanded capabilities. Mercury Systems manufactures and sells a range of components, products, modules, and subsystems, including power amplifiers, digital converters, embedded processing modules, and integrated radio frequency assemblies. These solutions are deployed in approximately 300 programs, serving 25 defense contractors and commercial aviation customers across the United States, Europe, and the Asia Pacific region. The company's products are integral to various applications, such as electronic warfare, radar systems, and signals intelligence. Mercury Systems also develops digital radio frequency memory units, radar environment simulation systems, and onboard UAV processor systems, catering to the evolving needs of modern defense and intelligence operations. With a focus on innovation and reliability, Mercury Systems continues to strengthen its position as a key technology provider in the aerospace and defense sectors.

What Products and Services Does MRCY Offer?

  • Manufactures and sells components for aerospace and defense industries.
  • Offers power amplifiers, limiters, switches, and oscillators.
  • Provides digital and analog converters, chips, and monolithic microwave integrated circuits.
  • Develops embedded processing modules, switched fabric boards, and digital receiver boards.
  • Creates integrated radio frequency and microwave multi-function assemblies.
  • Designs digital radio frequency memory units for electronic warfare applications.
  • Builds radar environment simulation and test systems.
  • Offers signals intelligence payloads and EO/IR technologies for UAVs.

How Does MRCY Make Money?

  • Designs, manufactures, and sells components, modules, and subsystems to aerospace and defense industries.
  • Generates revenue through contracts with defense contractors and commercial aviation customers.
  • Focuses on providing high-value, specialized solutions for critical applications.
  • Invests in research and development to maintain technological leadership and innovation.

What Industry Does MRCY Operate In?

Mercury Systems operates within the aerospace and defense industry, a sector characterized by high barriers to entry, stringent regulatory requirements, and long product lifecycles. The industry is driven by government defense spending, technological advancements, and geopolitical factors. Key trends include increasing demand for electronic warfare systems, unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs), and advanced radar technologies. Mercury Systems competes with companies like Amentum Holdings, Inc. and others specializing in defense electronics and embedded computing solutions. The company's focus on innovation and its established relationships with major defense contractors position it favorably within this competitive landscape.

Who Are MRCY's Key Customers?

  • Defense contractors in the United States, Europe, and Asia Pacific.
  • Commercial aviation customers.
  • Government defense agencies.
  • Intelligence organizations.
Model self-rating on this text: 83% (not a measure of the evidence) Updated: May 10, 2026

Research confidence

High 100/100

Broad, current evidence sits behind this analysis.

  • Scored on 100% of our measures
  • Price is current
  • Latest filing 24 days ago
  • Covered by analysts

Why 49?

Measured against companies in the same sector. The figures below are the factor contributions the scoring engine itself produced.

What is helping

  • +0.32 Operating income growth (Growth)
  • +0.20 Short-term liquidity (Financial Strength)
  • +0.14 Bankruptcy-risk score (Financial Strength)

What is holding it back

  • -0.48 5-year revenue per share (Growth)
  • -0.25 Enterprise value vs EBITDA (Valuation)
  • -0.17 Enterprise value vs free cash flow (Valuation)

Contribution = how far the company sits from its sector on that measure, weighted by how much the pillar counts. Not investment advice. How the score is built →

MoonshotScore History

Recorded daily since 2026-08-23 · 19 snapshots

2026-08-23 52
2026-08-26 49
2026-08-29 49
2026-09-01 50
2026-09-04 49
2026-09-07 49
2026-09-10 49

What changed?

The grade moved from 52 to 49 (-3).

What moved it up or down:

  • -16 Growth Durability
  • -16 Momentum
  • -11 Valuation

Held back by:

  • +3 Business Quality

Over the same 18 days the stock moved -11.6%.

Mercury Systems, Inc. Financial Trajectory

Mercury Systems, Inc. (MRCY) reported $289.8M in revenue for Q4 FY2026, reflecting 22.9% growth compared to the prior quarter. The company recorded net income of $798K, with diluted EPS of $0.01. Revenue has increased across the last three reported quarters, suggesting sustained momentum for this mid-cap Industrials company. Across the four most recent quarters, MRCY averaged $-0.13 in diluted EPS.

Company Profile

Mercury Systems, Inc. operates in the Aerospace & Defense industry within the Industrials sector. It is headquartered in Andover, US. The company is led by CEO William L. Ballhaus. MRCY has traded publicly since 1998.

How Mercury Systems, Inc. Is Valued

Mercury Systems, Inc. carries a market capitalization of $4.83B, placing it in the mid-cap category. Analyst price targets span from $68.00 to $131.00, with a consensus of $116.00. At the current price of $80.43, that implies approximately 44% upside potential. Relative to its peer group, MRCY's quantitative score of 49/100 is below the peer average of 68/100.

ROE -1%

Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Mercury Systems, Inc. stands at -1.0%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is -0.6%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. Its free cash flow yield is 1.1%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 3.19 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is -0.2%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

F-Score 4/9

Financial Health

Mercury Systems, Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 4/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 4.39 places it in the safe zone, indicating low near-term bankruptcy risk.

6/8 beats

Earnings Track Record

Mercury Systems, Inc. has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reported quarters — a consistent record of delivering on expectations. Reported results have landed about 156.1% above estimates on average.

Net selling

Insider Activity

Over the past six months, Mercury Systems, Inc. insiders filed 30 SEC Form 4 transactions — 25 sales and 5 purchases. On net that is roughly 404K shares disposed (about $36.7M), a signal worth weighing alongside the fundamentals.

MRCY Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
+7.9%
Net Income Growth (FY)
+21.7%
EPS Growth (FY)
+23.1%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
-42.8%
Return on Equity (TTM)
-1.0%
Current Ratio
3.2
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
79.2

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2026

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Strong presence in the aerospace and defense industries.
  • Diverse product portfolio of components, modules, and subsystems.
  • Established relationships with major defense contractors.
  • Focus on innovation and technological advancement.

Bear Case

  • Negative profit margin indicates potential financial challenges.
  • Reliance on government defense spending can create volatility.
  • Intense competition in the aerospace and defense sectors.
  • Potential supply chain disruptions affecting component availability.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · September 2026

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q4 FY2026 $290M $798,000 $0.01
Q3 FY2026 $236M -$3M -$0.05
Q2 FY2026 $233M -$15M -$0.26
Q1 FY2026 $225M -$13M -$0.21

Q4 FY2026 · filed 18 Aug 2026 · SEC EDGAR →

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

MRCY Latest News

MRCY Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for MRCY.

Price Targets

Low
$68.00
Consensus
$116.00
High
$131.00

Median: $120.00 (+44.2% from current price)

Source: FMP analyst consensus · as of Aug 25, 2026 · an estimate, not advice

MRCY MoonshotScore

49/100

What does this score mean?

MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. MRCY scores 49/100 (Grade C): the number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Leadership: William L. Ballhaus

CEO

William L. Ballhaus serves as the CEO of Mercury Systems, Inc., bringing extensive experience in the aerospace and defense industries. Prior to joining Mercury Systems, he held leadership positions at various technology companies, including SRA International and DynCorp International. Ballhaus holds a Ph.D. in Aeronautics and Astronautics from Stanford University and has a strong background in engineering and business management. His career spans over 30 years, marked by a focus on driving innovation and growth in technology-driven organizations.

Track Record: Under William L. Ballhaus's leadership, Mercury Systems, Inc. has focused on expanding its product offerings and strengthening its position in the aerospace and defense markets. He has overseen strategic acquisitions and investments in research and development to drive technological advancements. Ballhaus has also emphasized building strong customer relationships and fostering a culture of innovation within the company. His tenure has been marked by a commitment to delivering high-performance solutions for critical defense applications.

What Investors Ask About Mercury Systems, Inc. (MRCY) — Industrials

What does the AI Score mean for MRCY?

MRCY holds an AI Score of 49/100 (Grade: C). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers. Mercury Systems, Inc. provides advanced technology solutions to the aerospace and defense industries.

Is MRCY a good stock?

Stock Expert AI does not rate MRCY buy, sell or hold. Mercury Systems, Inc. carries a MoonshotScore of 49/100 on the five-pillar engine, a research rating against its peers. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns, what the price assumes, and what would prove you wrong.

What are the key financial metrics investors watch for MRCY?

Investors closely monitor several key financial metrics for Mercury Systems, Inc., including revenue growth, gross margin, and operating income. Revenue growth indicates the company's ability to expand its market share and secure new contracts. Gross margin reflects the efficiency of its production processes and pricing strategies.

What are the key factors to evaluate for MRCY?

Mercury Systems, Inc. (MRCY) holds a MoonshotScore of 49/100 (low). Analysts target $116.00 (+44%). Growth catalysts involve expanding its product offerings in areas such as electronic warfare and UAV systems. Not financial advice.

How frequently does MRCY data refresh on this page?

MRCY's price was last updated on Sep 11, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours; the quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven MRCY's recent stock price performance?

Mercury Systems, Inc. (MRCY) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Strong presence in the aerospace and defense industries. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider MRCY overvalued or undervalued right now?

Mercury Systems, Inc. (MRCY) has no trailing P/E available here, so lean on price-to-sales and cash flow in the Financials tab. Analysts target $116.00 (+44%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Can I buy fractional shares of MRCY?

Yes, most major brokerages offer fractional shares of Mercury Systems, Inc. (MRCY) with no minimum purchase requirement. This means you can invest any dollar amount regardless of the share price. Check your brokerage platform for specific terms, fees, and fractional share availability.

How can I track MRCY's earnings and financial reports?

Mercury Systems, Inc. (MRCY) reports quarterly earnings approximately 4-6 weeks after each fiscal quarter ends. You can track earnings dates, revenue and EPS estimates, and actual results on this page's Financials tab. Earnings surprises (beats or misses) often cause significant short-term price moves. Your brokerage can send alerts for MRCY earnings announcements.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated MoonshotScore as of
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Information is based on available data and may be subject to change.
  • Financial metrics are based on the most recent filings and may not reflect current performance.
Data Sources
Financial Modeling Prep (FMP)Stock Expert AI proprietary analysis

More Stocks We Cover