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Millrose Properties, Inc. (MRP) Stock Analysis

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$29.59 -$0.90 (-2.95%) |Exceptional · 95
Millrose Properties, Inc. (MRP) bottom line: Strongly Bullish — our Council read (76/100) and AI Score (95/100) broadly agree. Strongest signal: Ray Dalio bullish · Biggest watch-out: Izzy Englander bearish.Educational signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Compare sector peers → · Read the method →
MCap: $4.56B| P/E Ratio: 10.31| Vol: 1.33M| Target: $38.60 (estimate, not advice)| 52-wk range: $26.30 – $35.45

P/E 10.31 means the share price is 10.31 times one year of earnings per share; the S&P 500 usually sits near 20-25. Market cap $4.56B is the value of all shares combined. Beta 0.29: the stock has moved about 71% less than the S&P 500.

Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated May 10, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR

Quick Answer

Millrose Properties, Inc. (MRP) trades at $29.59 with MoonshotScore 95/100 (Grade A+). Millrose Properties, Inc. operates as a Homesite Option Purchase Platform (HOPP'R), connecting homebuilders with land positions. Market cap: $4.56B, Sector: Real estate.

Price as of Sep 11, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 10, 2026
Millrose Properties, Inc. operates as a Homesite Option Purchase Platform (HOPP'R), connecting homebuilders with land positions. The company offers investors a unique opportunity to invest in residential real estate-backed assets.

MRP stock analysis for 2026: The stored analyst price target for Millrose Properties, Inc. is $38.60; its date is unknown, so no upside or downside is derived from it against the current price of $29.59. The AI MoonshotScore is 95/100, in the Exceptional band (80-100) — a research signal, not a recommendation. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the MRP film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Strongly Bullish 76/100 · A

MRP: 3/3 scored disciplines lean bullish. Dominant signal: Ray Dalio bullish.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Five-pillar engine · 95/100
Business Quality
Strong Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Strong Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Strong Am I paying a fair price?
Growth Durability
Strong Is the growth real and likely to last?
Momentum
Neutral Is the market already moving on this?

Strongest side: Business Quality (9/10, Strong). Weakest side: Momentum (5/10, Neutral).

Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Dalio-style lens (simulated)Ray Dalio
Favorable read
Griffin-style lens (simulated)Ken Griffin
Neutral read
Englander-style lens (simulated)Izzy Englander
Unfavorable read
Klarman-style lens (simulated)Seth Klarman
Favorable read
Moon AI lens (model)
Favorable read
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Neutral
Margin of Safety
Undervalued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →
The lenses are modelled on the published principles of the investors named. We are not affiliated with them, they have not endorsed this, and it is not their opinion of this stock.

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Millrose Properties, Inc. (MRP) Real Estate Portfolio & Strategy

CEODarren L. Richman
Employees11
HeadquartersMiami, FL, US
IPO Year2025

Millrose Properties, Inc. (MRP) is a publicly traded Homesite Option Purchase Platform (HOPP'R), facilitating capital-efficient land acquisition for homebuilders. It provides investors access to residential real estate-backed income, differentiating itself through a specialized platform and a high dividend yield within the REIT sector.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NYSE Analysis: May 10, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for MRP?

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

With a P/E ratio of 10.31 and a high dividend yield of 10.88%, the company offers a potentially attractive income stream. Key catalysts include the continued expansion of the HOPP'R platform and increasing demand for residential land. Potential risks include fluctuations in real estate values and changes in interest rates. The company's low beta of 0.29 suggests lower volatility compared to the broader market.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

MRP Key Highlights

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Market Cap of $4.56B reflecting investor confidence in the HOPP'R platform and its growth potential.

  • P/E Ratio of 10.31 indicating that the company may be undervalued compared to its earnings.
  • Profit Margin of 65.0% demonstrating strong operational efficiency and profitability.
  • Gross Margin of 96.9% highlighting the company's ability to generate substantial revenue from its land option purchase platform.
  • Dividend Yield of 10.88% offering investors a significant income stream from their investment.

Who Are MRP's Competitors?

MRP is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap MoonshotScore
REXR Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc. $37.00 -0.18% $8.46B
BPYPO Brookfield Property Partners $15.11 -0.26% $6.34B
PECO Phillips Edison & Company, Inc. $38.72 -0.03% $4.97B 665-pillar
MAC The Macerich Company $22.61 -1.82% $6.73B
KRG Kite Realty Group Trust $25.95 -0.31% $5.20B
LEGIF LEG Immobilien SE $60.15 0.00% $4.62B 489-signal
AIRC Apartment Income REIT Corp. $39.08 -0.03% $5.67B
UDR UDR, Inc. $35.19 +0.13% $11.3B 715-pillar

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance This table mixes two scoring engines — compare a number only with others carrying the same tag.

What Are MRP's Key Strengths?

Innovative HOPP'R platform.

  • High profit and gross margins.
  • Attractive dividend yield.
  • Low beta indicating lower volatility.

What Are MRP's Weaknesses?

Reliance on the residential real estate market.

  • Relatively small number of employees (11).
  • Potential impact from interest rate fluctuations.
  • Concentration in specific geographic markets.

What Could Drive MRP Stock Higher?

Expansion of the HOPP'R platform into new geographic markets.

  • Continued partnerships with homebuilders to secure land options.
  • Development of value-added services for homebuilder partners.
  • Leveraging technology to enhance the efficiency of the HOPP'R platform.

What Are the Key Risks for MRP?

Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of 1.02 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).

  • Inconsistent delivery — missed Wall Street EPS estimates in 3 of the last 5 reported quarters.
  • Economic downturn impacting housing demand and land values.
  • Increased competition from other land banking companies.
  • Changes in government regulations affecting real estate development.
  • Fluctuations in interest rates impacting the cost of capital.
  • Reliance on a small number of employees to manage operations.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for MRP?

  • Expansion of the HOPP'R Platform: Millrose can expand its HOPP'R platform to new geographic markets and increase its partnerships with homebuilders. The market for residential land acquisition is substantial, estimated at billions of dollars annually. By increasing its market penetration, Millrose can significantly grow its revenue and earnings. This expansion can be achieved within the next 3-5 years.
  • Strategic Acquisitions: Millrose can pursue strategic acquisitions of smaller land banking companies or related businesses to expand its portfolio and geographic reach. The consolidation of land assets can create economies of scale and increase the company's market share. This strategy can be implemented over the next 2-3 years.
  • Development of Value-Added Services: Millrose can develop value-added services for its homebuilder partners, such as land planning, zoning assistance, and environmental consulting. These services can generate additional revenue streams and strengthen the company's relationships with its customers. This can be rolled out incrementally over the next 1-2 years.
  • Leveraging Technology: Millrose can invest in technology to enhance the efficiency and transparency of its HOPP'R platform. This includes developing a mobile app for homebuilders to easily access land options and track their investments. Technological advancements can streamline operations and improve customer satisfaction. This is an ongoing opportunity.
  • Capitalizing on Demographic Trends: Millrose can capitalize on demographic trends, such as the increasing demand for single-family homes and the migration to suburban areas. By focusing on markets with strong population growth, Millrose can ensure a steady demand for its land options. This is a long-term growth driver that will continue to benefit the company.

What Are MRP's Competitive Advantages?

  • Proprietary HOPP'R platform providing a unique solution for land acquisition.
  • Strong relationships with homebuilders.
  • Access to a diversified portfolio of land options.
  • High dividend yield attracting income-seeking investors.

What Does MRP Do?

Millrose Properties, Inc. has pioneered the Homesite Option Purchase Platform (HOPP'R), an innovative approach to residential land banking. This platform accelerates homebuilders' ability to grow their controlled land positions in a capital-efficient manner. Traditionally, investments in this type of real estate asset were limited to institutional investors; Millrose Properties has democratized access through its publicly traded structure. The company's core business revolves around acquiring and managing land options, providing homebuilders with the flexibility to secure land for future development without tying up significant capital upfront. Millrose's HOPP'R platform allows homebuilders to focus on their core competencies of construction and sales, while Millrose manages the complexities of land acquisition and option management. This model creates a mutually beneficial ecosystem, driving growth for both Millrose and its homebuilder partners. Millrose Properties is headquartered in Miami, USA, and focuses on residential real estate markets.

What Products and Services Does MRP Offer?

  • Operate a Homesite Option Purchase Platform (HOPP'R).
  • Facilitate capital-efficient land acquisition for homebuilders.
  • Acquire and manage land options.
  • Provide homebuilders with flexibility to secure land for future development.
  • Generate income from residential real estate-backed assets.
  • Offer investors access to a unique real estate investment opportunity.

How Does MRP Make Money?

  • Acquire land options in strategic locations.
  • Partner with homebuilders to provide access to these land options.
  • Generate revenue from option fees and potential land sales.
  • Distribute income to investors through dividends.

What Industry Does MRP Operate In?

Millrose Properties operates within the REIT - Residential sector, which is influenced by factors such as interest rates, housing demand, and economic growth. The residential real estate market has seen increased demand due to demographic shifts and urbanization. Millrose differentiates itself through its HOPP'R platform, offering a unique solution for homebuilders seeking capital-efficient land acquisition. Competitors in the REIT sector include companies like Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc. (REXR) and Phillips Edison & Company, Inc. (PECO), but Millrose's focus on land options provides a distinct niche.

Who Are MRP's Key Customers?

  • Homebuilders seeking to expand their land positions.
  • Residential real estate developers.
  • Institutional investors looking for real estate-backed income.
  • Individual investors seeking dividend income.
Model self-rating on this text: 73% (not a measure of the evidence) Updated: May 10, 2026

Research confidence

High 100/100

Broad, current evidence sits behind this analysis.

  • Scored on 100% of our measures
  • Price is current
  • Latest filing 38 days ago
  • Covered by analysts

Why 95?

Measured against companies in the same sector. The figures below are the factor contributions the scoring engine itself produced.

What is helping

  • +0.78 Free cash flow yield (Business Quality)
  • +0.69 Operating margin (Business Quality)
  • +0.65 Net margin (Business Quality)

What is holding it back

  • -0.78 Return on invested capital (Business Quality)
  • -0.21 5-year revenue per share (Growth)
  • -0.11 Short-term liquidity (Financial Strength)

Contribution = how far the company sits from its sector on that measure, weighted by how much the pillar counts. Not investment advice. How the score is built →

MoonshotScore History

Recorded daily since 2026-08-23 · 19 snapshots

2026-08-23 91
2026-08-26 92
2026-08-29 91
2026-09-01 94
2026-09-04 95
2026-09-07 96
2026-09-10 95

What changed?

The grade moved from 91 to 95 (+4).

What moved it up or down:

  • +15 Momentum
  • +11 Growth Durability
  • +3 Valuation

Over the same 18 days the stock moved +0.3%.

Net buying

Insider Activity

Over the past six months, Millrose Properties, Inc. insiders filed 13 SEC Form 4 transactions — 0 sales and 13 purchases. On net that is roughly 275K shares acquired (about $6.7M) — insiders putting money in tends to read as conviction.

Quarterly Financial Performance: Millrose Properties, Inc.

Revenue for Millrose Properties, Inc. came in at $196.9M during Q2 FY2026. The company recorded net income of $125.9M, with diluted EPS of $0.76. Revenue has increased across the last three reported quarters, suggesting sustained momentum for this mid-cap Real Estate company. Across the four most recent quarters, MRP averaged $0.72 in diluted EPS.

MRP Valuation & Market Position

With a $4.56B market cap, Millrose Properties, Inc. sits in the mid-cap segment of the market. Relative to its peer group, MRP's quantitative score of 95/100 is above the peer average of 62/100.

ROE 8%

Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Millrose Properties, Inc. stands at 7.9%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 4.8%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. MRP trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 10.31, below the Real Estate sector average of ~29.00x. Its free cash flow yield is 96.0%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 28.65 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 9.3%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

F-Score 5/9

Financial Health

Millrose Properties, Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 5/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 1.02 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.

0/5 beats

Earnings Track Record

Millrose Properties, Inc. has missed Wall Street's EPS estimate in 3 of its last 5 reported quarters — a recurring pattern of falling short of estimates. Reported results have landed about 5.1% below estimates on average.

Company Profile

Millrose Properties, Inc. operates in the REIT - Residential industry within the Real Estate sector. It is headquartered in Miami, US. The company is led by CEO Darren L. Richman. MRP has traded publicly since 2025.

MRP Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Net Income Growth (FY)
+254.3%
EPS Growth (FY)
+264.9%
P/E (TTM)
10.31
Return on Equity (TTM)
+7.9%
Current Ratio
28.7
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
11.6

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Innovative HOPP'R platform.
  • High profit and gross margins.
  • Attractive dividend yield.
  • Low beta indicating lower volatility.

Bear Case

  • Reliance on the residential real estate market.
  • Relatively small number of employees (11).
  • Potential impact from interest rate fluctuations.
  • Concentration in specific geographic markets.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · September 2026

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 FY2026 $197M $126M $0.76
Q1 FY2026 $195M $123M $0.74
Q4 FY2025 $190M $122M $0.74
Q3 FY2025 $179M $105M $0.63

Q2 FY2026 · filed 4 Aug 2026 · SEC EDGAR →

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

MRP Latest News

MRP Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for MRP.

Price Targets

Consensus target: $38.60

MRP MoonshotScore

95/100

What does this score mean?

MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. MRP scores 95/100 (Grade A+): the number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Leadership: Darren L. Richman

CEO

Darren L. Richman serves as the CEO of Millrose Properties, Inc. He brings extensive experience in real estate investment and development to the company. His background includes leadership roles in various real estate firms, where he focused on land acquisition, property management, and strategic planning. Richman holds a degree in Business Administration and has completed advanced courses in real estate finance. He is responsible for overseeing the company's overall strategy and operations.

Track Record: Under Darren L. Richman's leadership, Millrose Properties has successfully launched and expanded its HOPP'R platform, establishing itself as a unique player in the residential real estate market. He has overseen the company's growth in land option acquisitions and partnerships with homebuilders. His strategic decisions have contributed to the company's high profit margins and attractive dividend yield.

What Investors Ask About Millrose Properties, Inc. (MRP) — Real Estate

What does the AI Score mean for MRP?

MRP holds an AI Score of 95/100 (Grade: A+). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers. Millrose Properties, Inc. operates as a Homesite Option Purchase Platform (HOPP'R), connecting homebuilders with land positions.

Is MRP a good stock?

Stock Expert AI does not rate MRP buy, sell or hold. Millrose Properties, Inc. carries a MoonshotScore of 95/100 on the five-pillar engine, a research rating against its peers. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns, what the price assumes, and what would prove you wrong.

What do analysts say about MRP stock?

Analysts generally view Millrose Properties, Inc. favorably due to its innovative HOPP'R platform and strong financial metrics. The company's high profit margin and attractive dividend yield are seen as positive indicators. Key valuation metrics include the P/E ratio and dividend yield.

What are the key factors to evaluate for MRP?

Millrose Properties, Inc. (MRP) holds a MoonshotScore of 95/100 (high). P/E: 10.31x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Not financial advice.

How frequently does MRP data refresh on this page?

MRP's price was last updated on Sep 11, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours; the quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven MRP's recent stock price performance?

Millrose Properties, Inc. (MRP) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Innovative HOPP'R platform. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider MRP overvalued or undervalued right now?

Millrose Properties, Inc. (MRP) trades at 10.31x earnings. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Can I buy fractional shares of MRP?

Yes, most major brokerages offer fractional shares of Millrose Properties, Inc. (MRP) with no minimum purchase requirement. This means you can invest any dollar amount regardless of the share price. Check your brokerage platform for specific terms, fees, and fractional share availability.

How can I track MRP's earnings and financial reports?

Millrose Properties, Inc. (MRP) reports quarterly earnings approximately 4-6 weeks after each fiscal quarter ends. You can track earnings dates, revenue and EPS estimates, and actual results on this page's Financials tab. Earnings surprises (beats or misses) often cause significant short-term price moves. Your brokerage can send alerts for MRP earnings announcements.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated MoonshotScore as of
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • The information provided is based on available data and is subject to change.
  • Investment decisions should be based on individual research and consultation with a financial advisor.
Data Sources
Financial Modeling Prep (FMP)Stock Expert AI proprietary analysis

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