NVR, Inc. (NVR) Stock Analysis
Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this
P/E 14.98 means the share price is 14.98 times one year of earnings per share; the S&P 500 usually sits near 20-25. Market cap $16.7B is the value of all shares combined. Beta 1.07: the stock has moved about 7% more than the S&P 500.
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated May 10, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR
Quick AnswerNVR, Inc. (NVR) trades at $6171.55 with MoonshotScore 86/100 (Grade A+). NVR, Inc. is a leading homebuilder in the United States, operating through its Homebuilding and Mortgage Banking segments. Market cap: $16.7B, Sector: Consumer cyclical.
Price as of Sep 11, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 10, 2026NVR stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $7148.67 for NVR, Inc., suggesting 15.8% upside from the current price of $6171.55. The AI MoonshotScore is 86/100, in the Exceptional band (80-100) — a research signal, not a recommendation. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.
These figures come from statements filed 12 months ago — the most recent this company has published.
NVR: 3/3 scored disciplines lean bullish. Dominant signal: Financial Safety strong.
How is this calculated? →Strongest side: Financial Safety (10/10, Strong). Weakest side: Momentum (5/10, Neutral).
AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built
Why this analysis is different
- A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
- An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
- Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.
NVR, Inc. (NVR) Consumer Business Overview
NVR, Inc. is a prominent U.S. homebuilder focusing on constructing and selling single-family homes, townhomes, and condominiums. Operating under the Ryan Homes, NVHomes, and Heartland Homes brands, NVR targets first-time to luxury buyers, complemented by its mortgage banking services, distinguishing it within the residential construction sector.
What Is the Investment Thesis for NVR?
With a P/E ratio of 14.98 and a profit margin of 12.8%, the company demonstrates solid profitability. NVR's focus on land acquisition and operational efficiency allows it to maintain a competitive advantage. Growth catalysts include the ongoing demand for new homes, particularly among first-time buyers, and the expansion of its mortgage banking services. The company's strategic focus on key geographic markets and its diverse product offerings, ranging from entry-level to luxury homes, positions it well for continued growth. Potential risks include fluctuations in interest rates and economic downturns, which could impact housing demand. However, NVR's strong balance sheet and disciplined approach to land acquisition mitigate these risks.
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis
NVR Key Highlights
Market Cap of $16.7B reflects significant investor confidence in NVR's market position and future growth potential.
- P/E Ratio of 14.98 indicates that NVR is reasonably valued compared to its earnings.
- Profit Margin of 12.8% demonstrates strong operational efficiency and profitability in the competitive homebuilding industry.
- Gross Margin of 22.8% showcases NVR's ability to manage costs effectively and maintain healthy profitability on its home sales.
- Beta of 1.07 suggests that NVR's stock price is slightly more volatile than the overall market.
Who Are NVR's Competitors?
NVR is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.
| Company | Price | Change | Market Cap | MoonshotScore |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHM PulteGroup, Inc. | $116.41 | -2.12% | $22.5B | 805-pillar |
| LEN Lennar Corporation | $79.70 | +2.31% | $19.8B | 565-pillar |
| QSR Restaurant Brands International Inc. | $76.23 | -0.33% | $26.5B | 675-pillar |
| DRI Darden Restaurants, Inc. | $207.65 | -0.85% | $23.8B | 795-pillar |
| RL Ralph Lauren Corporation | $334.48 | -0.65% | $20.4B | 905-pillar |
| SKHSY Sekisui House, Ltd. | $22.03 | +1.94% | $14.3B | 499-signal |
| TOL Toll Brothers, Inc. | $134.02 | +1.16% | $12.5B | 745-pillar |
| DHI D.R. Horton, Inc. | $135.57 | -2.42% | $37.9B | 775-pillar |
AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance This table mixes two scoring engines — compare a number only with others carrying the same tag.
What Are NVR's Key Strengths?
Strong brand recognition and reputation.
- Efficient land acquisition strategy.
- Integrated business model with homebuilding and mortgage banking.
- Established presence in key geographic markets.
What Are NVR's Weaknesses?
Sensitivity to fluctuations in interest rates and economic conditions.
- Dependence on the housing market cycle.
- Potential for increased competition from other homebuilders.
- Limited geographic diversification.
What Could Drive NVR Stock Higher?
Strong housing demand driven by demographic trends and low interest rates.
- Expansion of mortgage banking services to increase revenue streams.
- Potential acquisitions of smaller homebuilders to expand market share.
- Introduction of new home designs and features to attract customers.
- Strategic land acquisitions to secure future development opportunities.
What Are the Key Risks for NVR?
Fluctuations in interest rates impacting mortgage affordability.
- Economic downturns leading to decreased housing demand.
- Increased competition from other homebuilders.
- Supply chain disruptions and rising material costs.
- Changes in government regulations affecting the housing market.
What Are the Growth Opportunities for NVR?
- Expansion into New Geographic Markets: NVR has the opportunity to expand its operations into new geographic markets, particularly in regions with strong population growth and favorable economic conditions. By entering new markets, NVR can increase its revenue base and diversify its geographic risk. The U.S. Census Bureau projects continued population growth in the Sun Belt region, presenting a significant opportunity for NVR to expand its presence in these areas. This expansion could contribute to a 10-15% increase in revenue over the next 3-5 years.
- Increased Focus on First-Time Homebuyers: NVR can capitalize on the demand for affordable housing by increasing its focus on first-time homebuyers. By offering a range of entry-level homes and providing mortgage financing options, NVR can attract a larger customer base. The National Association of Realtors reports that first-time homebuyers account for approximately 34% of all home sales, representing a significant market opportunity for NVR. This strategy could lead to a 5-10% increase in sales volume within the next 2-3 years.
- Enhancement of Mortgage Banking Services: NVR can further enhance its mortgage banking services by offering a wider range of mortgage products and improving the customer experience. By providing competitive interest rates and streamlined application processes, NVR can attract more customers and increase its mortgage origination volume. The Mortgage Bankers Association forecasts continued growth in mortgage originations over the next several years, presenting a favorable environment for NVR's mortgage banking segment. This enhancement could contribute to a 10-15% increase in mortgage banking revenue over the next 3-5 years.
- Adoption of Sustainable Building Practices: NVR can differentiate itself from competitors by adopting sustainable building practices and offering energy-efficient homes. By incorporating green building technologies and materials, NVR can appeal to environmentally conscious homebuyers and reduce its environmental impact. The U.S. Green Building Council reports that green building is a rapidly growing trend, with increasing demand for sustainable homes. This adoption could lead to a 5-10% increase in sales among environmentally conscious buyers within the next 2-3 years.
- Strategic Land Acquisition: NVR's disciplined land acquisition strategy provides a significant growth opportunity. By acquiring land at favorable prices and developing it efficiently, NVR can maintain a competitive advantage and increase its profitability. The company's focus on optioning land rather than owning it outright reduces its risk exposure and allows it to scale its operations more effectively. This strategic approach to land acquisition is expected to contribute to a 5-10% increase in overall profitability over the next 3-5 years.
What Are NVR's Competitive Advantages?
- Strong brand recognition under the Ryan Homes, NVHomes, and Heartland Homes brands.
- Efficient land acquisition strategy focused on optioning rather than owning land.
- Integrated business model combining homebuilding and mortgage banking services.
- Established presence in key geographic markets with favorable demographics.
What Does NVR Do?
NVR, Inc., founded in 1980 and headquartered in Reston, Virginia, operates as a homebuilder in the United States. The company has two primary segments: Homebuilding and Mortgage Banking. The Homebuilding segment is involved in the construction and sale of single-family detached homes, townhomes, and condominium buildings. These homes are marketed under the Ryan Homes, NVHomes, and Heartland Homes brands. Ryan Homes targets first-time and first-time move-up buyers, while NVHomes and Heartland Homes cater to move-up and luxury buyers. NVR's geographic footprint includes Maryland, Virginia, West Virginia, Delaware, New Jersey, Eastern Pennsylvania, New York, Ohio, Western Pennsylvania, Indiana, Illinois, North Carolina, South Carolina, Florida, Tennessee, and Washington, D.C. The Mortgage Banking segment provides mortgage-related services to its homebuilding customers. These services include brokering title insurance, performing title searches, and selling mortgage loans to investors in the secondary markets on a servicing-released basis. This integrated approach allows NVR to streamline the home buying process for its customers and generate additional revenue streams. NVR's focus on land acquisition strategies and operational efficiency has contributed to its consistent profitability and growth within the competitive homebuilding industry.
What Products and Services Does NVR Offer?
- Constructs and sells single-family detached homes.
- Builds and sells townhomes and condominium buildings.
- Markets homes under the Ryan Homes brand to first-time and move-up buyers.
- Markets homes under the NVHomes and Heartland Homes brands to move-up and luxury buyers.
- Provides mortgage-related services to homebuilding customers.
- Brokers title insurance for its customers.
- Sells mortgage loans to investors in the secondary markets.
How Does NVR Make Money?
- Generates revenue from the sale of homes.
- Earns fees from providing mortgage-related services.
- Profits from brokering title insurance.
- Receives income from selling mortgage loans to investors.
What Industry Does NVR Operate In?
NVR, Inc. operates within the residential construction industry, which is influenced by factors such as interest rates, economic growth, and demographic trends. The industry is highly competitive, with major players like Lennar Corporation and PulteGroup, Inc. competing for market share. NVR differentiates itself through its focus on land acquisition strategies and operational efficiency. The residential construction market is expected to grow in the coming years, driven by increasing demand for new homes and favorable demographic trends. NVR is well-positioned to capitalize on this growth, given its strong market position and diverse product offerings.
Who Are NVR's Key Customers?
- First-time homebuyers seeking affordable housing options.
- Move-up buyers looking for larger or more luxurious homes.
- Luxury buyers seeking high-end homes with premium features.
- Investors purchasing homes for rental or resale purposes.
Research confidence
Broad, current evidence sits behind this analysis.
- ● Scored on 97% of our measures
- ● Price is current
- ● Latest filing 37 days ago
- ● Covered by analysts
Why 86?
Measured against companies in the same sector. The figures below are the factor contributions the scoring engine itself produced.
What is helping
- +0.60 Bankruptcy-risk score (Financial Strength)
- +0.53 Return on assets (Business Quality)
- +0.49 Return on invested capital (Business Quality)
What is holding it back
- -0.14 Gross margin (Business Quality)
- -0.12 Price to book (Valuation)
- -0.08 Revenue growth (Growth)
Contribution = how far the company sits from its sector on that measure, weighted by how much the pillar counts. Not investment advice. How the score is built →
MoonshotScore History
Recorded daily since 2026-08-23 · 19 snapshots
| 2026-08-23 | 84 |
| 2026-08-26 | 85 |
| 2026-08-29 | 85 |
| 2026-09-01 | 85 |
| 2026-09-04 | 85 |
| 2026-09-07 | 86 |
| 2026-09-10 | 86 |
What changed?
The grade moved from 84 to 86 (+2).
What moved it up or down:
- +13 Momentum
- +1 Financial Safety
Held back by:
- -7 Valuation
- -2 Business Quality
Over the same 18 days the stock moved -4.1%.
Company Profile
NVR, Inc. operates in the Residential Construction industry within the Consumer Cyclical sector. It is headquartered in Reston, US. The company is led by CEO Eugene James Bredow. NVR has traded publicly since 1985.
NVR, Inc. Financial Trajectory
NVR, Inc. (NVR) reported $2.33B in revenue for Q2 FY2026, reflecting 23.7% growth compared to the prior quarter. The company recorded net income of $236.5M, with diluted EPS of $82.33. Quarter-over-quarter revenue has been mixed, typical for a large-cap company operating in Consumer Cyclical. Across the four most recent quarters, NVR averaged $95.59 in diluted EPS.
How NVR, Inc. Is Valued
NVR, Inc. carries a market capitalization of $16.7B, placing it in the large-cap category. Analyst price targets span from $6600.00 to $7446.00, with a consensus of $7148.67. At the current price of $6171.55, that implies approximately 16% upside potential. Relative to its peer group, NVR's quantitative score of 86/100 is above the peer average of 72/100.
Key Financial Metrics
Return on equity for NVR, Inc. stands at 31.0%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 20.9%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. NVR trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 14.98, below the Consumer Cyclical sector average of ~32.70x. Its free cash flow yield is 6.3%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 3.38 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 6.8%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.
Financial Health
NVR, Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 5/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 12.21 places it in the safe zone, indicating low near-term bankruptcy risk.
Earnings Track Record
NVR, Inc. has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reported quarters — more hits than misses.
Insider Activity
Over the past six months, NVR, Inc. insiders filed 15 SEC Form 4 transactions — 2 sales and 13 purchases. On net that is roughly 8K shares acquired (about $45.7M) — insiders putting money in tends to read as conviction.
NVR Financials
Fundamental Snapshot
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025
Bull Case vs Bear Case
Bull Case
- Strong brand recognition and reputation.
- Efficient land acquisition strategy.
- Integrated business model with homebuilding and mortgage banking.
- Established presence in key geographic markets.
Bear Case
- Sensitivity to fluctuations in interest rates and economic conditions.
- Dependence on the housing market cycle.
- Potential for increased competition from other homebuilders.
- Limited geographic diversification.
AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · September 2026
Recent Quarterly Results
| Quarter | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 FY2026 | $2.33B | $236M | $82.33 |
| Q1 FY2026 | $1.88B | $198M | $67.75 |
| Q4 FY2025 | $2.71B | $364M | $121.56 |
| Q3 FY2025 | $2.51B | $343M | $110.72 |
Q2 FY2026 · filed 5 Aug 2026 · SEC EDGAR →
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis
NVR Latest News
-
NVR, Inc. $NVR Shares Purchased by Hsbc Holdings PLC
defenseworld.net · Sep 8, 2026
-
Meritage (MTH) Down 0.4% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Rebound?
Yahoo! Finance: NVR News · Aug 28, 2026
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Toll Brothers Grew Its Earnings Per Share Without Growing Earnings
Trefis · Aug 27, 2026
-
Bank of New York Mellon Corp Invests $84.07 Million in NVR, Inc. $NVR
defenseworld.net · Aug 26, 2026
NVR Analyst Consensus
Consensus Rating
Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for NVR.
Price Targets
Median: $7400.00 (+15.8% from current price)
Source: FMP analyst consensus · as of Aug 25, 2026 · an estimate, not advice
NVR MoonshotScore
What does this score mean?
MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. NVR scores 86/100 (Grade A+): the number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.
Latest News
NVR, Inc. $NVR Shares Purchased by Hsbc Holdings PLC
Meritage (MTH) Down 0.4% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Rebound?
Toll Brothers Grew Its Earnings Per Share Without Growing Earnings
Bank of New York Mellon Corp Invests $84.07 Million in NVR, Inc. $NVR
Leadership: Eugene James Bredow
CEO
Eugene James Bredow serves as the CEO of NVR, Inc., leading a workforce of approximately 7,000 employees. His career within NVR has spanned several decades, providing him with deep institutional knowledge and a comprehensive understanding of the homebuilding and mortgage banking industries. Bredow's expertise lies in strategic planning, operational efficiency, and financial management. He has been instrumental in driving NVR's growth and profitability through various economic cycles. His leadership style emphasizes a disciplined approach to land acquisition and a focus on customer satisfaction.
Track Record: Under Eugene James Bredow's leadership, NVR has maintained a strong financial performance and a consistent track record of profitability. He has overseen the company's expansion into new geographic markets and the enhancement of its mortgage banking services. Bredow's strategic decisions have contributed to NVR's ability to navigate challenging economic conditions and maintain its competitive advantage. He has also focused on fostering a culture of innovation and continuous improvement within the company.
NVR Consumer Cyclical Stock FAQ
What does the AI Score mean for NVR?
NVR holds an AI Score of 86/100 (Grade: A+). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers. NVR, Inc. is a leading homebuilder in the United States, operating through its Homebuilding and Mortgage Banking segments.
Is NVR a good stock?
Stock Expert AI does not rate NVR buy, sell or hold. NVR, Inc. carries a MoonshotScore of 86/100 on the five-pillar engine, a research rating against its peers. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns, what the price assumes, and what would prove you wrong.
What does NVR, Inc. do?
NVR, Inc. operates as a homebuilder in the United States, primarily focusing on the construction and sale of single-family detached homes, townhomes, and condominium buildings. The company operates through two segments: Homebuilding and Mortgage Banking. NVR markets its homes under the Ryan Homes, NVHomes, and Heartland Homes brands, targeting a diverse range of buyers from first-time homeowners to luxury buyers.
What are the key factors to evaluate for NVR?
NVR, Inc. (NVR) holds a MoonshotScore of 86/100 (high). P/E: 14.98x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $7148.67 (+16%). Not financial advice.
How frequently does NVR data refresh on this page?
NVR's price was last updated on Sep 11, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours; the quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.
What has driven NVR's recent stock price performance?
NVR, Inc. (NVR) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Strong brand recognition and reputation. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.
Should investors consider NVR overvalued or undervalued right now?
NVR, Inc. (NVR) trades at 14.98x earnings. Analysts target $7148.67 (+16%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.
Can I buy fractional shares of NVR?
Yes, most major brokerages offer fractional shares of NVR, Inc. (NVR) with no minimum purchase requirement. This means you can invest any dollar amount regardless of the share price. Check your brokerage platform for specific terms, fees, and fractional share availability.
How can I track NVR's earnings and financial reports?
NVR, Inc. (NVR) reports quarterly earnings approximately 4-6 weeks after each fiscal quarter ends. You can track earnings dates, revenue and EPS estimates, and actual results on this page's Financials tab. Earnings surprises (beats or misses) often cause significant short-term price moves. Your brokerage can send alerts for NVR earnings announcements.
Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.
Official Resources
Data provided for informational purposes only.
- The information provided is based on available data and market conditions as of 2026-05-10.
- Future performance may be subject to unforeseen events and market fluctuations.