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Patria Investments Limited (PAX)

$11.23 +$0.13 (+1.17%) |CouncilBUY · 57 · B
Bottom line: BUY — our Council read (57/100) and AI Score (52/100) broadly agree. Strongest signal: Seth Klarman bullish · Biggest watch-out: Ken Griffin bearish.
MCap: $1.79B| P/E Ratio: 24.6| Vol: 427.4K| Target: $20.00 (+78.1%)| 52-wk range: $10.72 – $17.80
Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.

Patria Investments Limited (PAX) trades at $11.23 with AI Score 52/100 (Grade B). Patria Investments Limited is a leading private market investment firm focused on Latin America. Market cap: $1.79B, Sector: Financial services.

Price live · AI analysis from May 10, 2026
Patria Investments Limited is a leading private market investment firm focused on Latin America. The company provides asset management services across various fund types, including private equity, infrastructure, and real estate.

PAX stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $20.00 for Patria Investments Limited, suggesting 78.1% upside from the current price of $11.23. The AI MoonshotScore is 52/100, indicating a neutral outlook. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
BUY 57/100 · B

PAX: 3/7 perspectives are bullish. Dominant signal: Seth Klarman bullish.

How is this calculated? →
Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI
Ray Dalio
Bullish
Ken Griffin
Bearish
Jim Simons
Neutral
Izzy Englander
Neutral
Seth Klarman
Bullish
Moon AI
Bullish
Council Score · 8 perspectives · See tabs for details →

Patria Investments Limited (PAX) Financial Services Profile

CEOAlexandre Teixeira de Assumpcao Saigh
Employees577
HeadquartersGrand Cayman, KY
IPO Year2021

Patria Investments Limited, established in 1994, is a prominent private market investment firm specializing in Latin America. With a focus on private equity, infrastructure, real estate, and credit funds, Patria offers asset management services, distinguishing itself through a deep regional expertise and a diverse investment portfolio, boasting a solid 22.3% profit margin.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NASDAQ Analysis: May 10, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for PAX?

Patria Investments Limited presents a notable research candidate due to its strong position in the growing Latin American private market. The company's diversified fund offerings, spanning private equity, infrastructure, real estate, and credit, provide investors with exposure to a wide range of asset classes. A key value driver is Patria's established track record of generating attractive returns, supported by a healthy 22.3% profit margin. Upcoming catalysts include potential expansion into new Latin American markets and the launch of innovative investment products. However, potential risks include economic volatility in the region and increased competition from other global asset managers. With a dividend yield of 4.85%, Patria offers a potentially attractive income stream.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

PAX Key Highlights

  • Market capitalization of $1.79B, reflecting investor confidence in Patria's market position.
  • P/E ratio of 24.6, indicating a reasonable valuation relative to earnings.
  • Profit margin of 22.3%, showcasing the company's ability to generate profits from its asset management activities.
  • Gross margin of 85.4%, highlighting the efficiency of Patria's investment strategies and fee structures.
  • Beta of 0.73, suggesting lower volatility compared to the overall market.

Who Are PAX's Competitors?

PAX is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap AI Score
SII Sprott Inc. $118.11 +2.72% $3.05B 71
NXDT NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust $5.53 +3.08% $285.77M 73
GENB Generate Biomedicines, Inc. $17.03 -2.18% $2.18B 72
TPZ Tortoise Electrification Infrastructure ETF $21.82 +0.74% $128.52M 70
IDKFF ThreeD Capital Inc. $0.08 +5.49% $5.70M 70
JBARF Julius Bär Gruppe AG $93.79 +3.66% $19.23B 62
DIAX Nuveen Dow 30 Dynamic Overwrite Fund $14.10 -0.91% $512.77M 62
ADAML Adamas Trust, Inc. - 6.875% Series F Fixed-to-Floating Rate Cumulative Redeemable Preferred Stock, $0.01 par value per share $24.35 +0.21% $823.02M 62

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are PAX's Key Strengths?

  • Strong presence in the Latin American market.
  • Diversified fund offerings across multiple asset classes.
  • Experienced management team with a proven track record.
  • High gross margin of 85.4%.

What Are PAX's Weaknesses?

  • Concentration of investments in Latin America, exposing the company to regional economic volatility.
  • Dependence on performance fees, which can fluctuate based on market conditions.
  • Relatively small market capitalization compared to global asset managers.
  • Limited geographic diversification.

What Could Drive PAX Stock Higher?

  • Potential expansion into new Latin American markets, such as Colombia and Peru.
  • Launch of new investment products, including a sustainable infrastructure fund.
  • Continued growth in assets under management (AUM) driven by strong investment performance.
  • Strengthening partnerships with institutional investors.
  • Leveraging technology to improve operational efficiency and reduce costs.

What Are the Key Risks for PAX?

  • Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of 1.55 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).
  • Rich valuation — a P/E of 24.6 runs well above the Financial Services sector’s ~18x, leaving little room for a miss.
  • Economic and political instability in Latin America could negatively impact investment returns.
  • Increased competition from global asset managers could erode market share.
  • Changes in regulatory environment impacting private market investments.
  • Fluctuations in currency exchange rates could impact the value of investments.
  • Dependence on key personnel, including the CEO and senior investment professionals.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for PAX?

  • Expansion into New Latin American Markets: Patria has the opportunity to expand its presence into underserved Latin American markets, such as Colombia and Peru. These markets offer attractive investment opportunities in infrastructure, real estate, and private equity. Successful expansion could increase assets under management (AUM) by 15-20% over the next three years. This strategy leverages Patria's existing regional expertise and network.
  • Launch of New Investment Products: Patria can develop and launch new investment products tailored to specific investor needs and market trends. For example, launching a sustainable infrastructure fund focused on renewable energy projects could attract ESG-conscious investors. This initiative could increase AUM by 10-15% within two years and further diversify Patria's product offerings.
  • Increased Focus on Co-Investments: Patria can increase its focus on co-investment opportunities alongside its existing fund offerings. Co-investments allow investors to directly participate in specific deals, potentially generating higher returns. By actively pursuing co-investment opportunities, Patria could increase its deal flow and attract new investors, leading to a 5-10% increase in AUM annually.
  • Leveraging Technology for Operational Efficiency: Patria can invest in technology to streamline its operations and improve efficiency. Implementing advanced data analytics and automation tools can reduce costs and enhance decision-making. This could lead to a 5-7% reduction in operating expenses over the next two years, improving profitability and competitiveness.
  • Strengthening Partnerships with Institutional Investors: Patria can strengthen its partnerships with institutional investors, such as pension funds and sovereign wealth funds. By providing customized investment solutions and exceptional client service, Patria can deepen its relationships and secure long-term commitments. This could result in a 10-12% increase in AUM from institutional clients over the next three years.

What Opportunities Does PAX Have?

  • Expansion into new Latin American markets.
  • Launch of new investment products tailored to specific investor needs.
  • Increased focus on co-investment opportunities.
  • Leveraging technology to improve operational efficiency.

What Threats Does PAX Face?

  • Economic and political instability in Latin America.
  • Increased competition from global asset managers.
  • Changes in regulatory environment impacting private market investments.
  • Fluctuations in currency exchange rates.

What Are PAX's Competitive Advantages?

  • Deep regional expertise in Latin American markets.
  • Established network of relationships with local businesses and government entities.
  • Strong track record of generating attractive returns for investors.
  • Diversified fund offerings across multiple asset classes.
  • Experienced management team with a proven ability to navigate the complexities of the Latin American market.

What Does PAX Do?

Founded in 1994, Patria Investments Limited has grown into a leading private market investment firm dedicated to Latin America. The company provides a range of asset management services, catering to investors interested in private equity funds, infrastructure development funds, co-investments funds, constructivist equity funds, and real estate and credit funds. Patria's investment strategies are tailored to capitalize on the unique opportunities present in the Latin American market, leveraging local expertise and a deep understanding of regional dynamics. Over the years, Patria has established a strong presence in the region, building a reputation for delivering attractive returns and fostering long-term partnerships. The firm's commitment to sustainable investing and responsible corporate governance further enhances its appeal to institutional investors. With its headquarters in Grand Cayman, the Cayman Islands, Patria Investments Limited continues to expand its investment portfolio and strengthen its position as a key player in the Latin American private market landscape. The company currently employs 577 individuals.

What Products and Services Does PAX Offer?

  • Manages private equity funds focused on Latin American companies.
  • Invests in infrastructure development projects across Latin America.
  • Offers co-investment opportunities alongside its existing fund offerings.
  • Provides constructivist equity funds for investors seeking active management strategies.
  • Manages real estate funds targeting commercial and residential properties in Latin America.
  • Offers credit funds focused on providing financing solutions to Latin American businesses.
  • Provides asset management services to institutional and high-net-worth investors.

How Does PAX Make Money?

  • Generates revenue through management fees charged on assets under management (AUM).
  • Earns performance fees (carried interest) based on the returns generated by its funds.
  • Receives transaction fees from deal-making activities, such as acquisitions and divestitures.
  • Benefits from co-investment opportunities, generating additional returns alongside its investors.

What Industry Does PAX Operate In?

Patria Investments Limited operates within the asset management industry, specifically focusing on private markets in Latin America. The industry is characterized by increasing demand for alternative investments, driven by low interest rates and the search for higher returns. The competitive landscape includes global asset managers and regional players. Patria differentiates itself through its deep local expertise and established network in Latin America. The global asset management industry is projected to continue growing, fueled by rising wealth and increasing institutional investment in alternative assets.

Who Are PAX's Key Customers?

  • Pension funds seeking diversified investment portfolios.
  • Sovereign wealth funds looking for exposure to Latin American markets.
  • High-net-worth individuals seeking alternative investment opportunities.
  • Institutional investors interested in private equity, infrastructure, and real estate investments.
AI Confidence: 78% Updated: May 10, 2026

FY2026 estForward Outlook

Wall Street analysts project Patria Investments Limited revenue of about $423.6M for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $1.37. The estimate reflects 4 contributing analysts.

PAX Valuation & Market Position

With a $1.79B market cap, Patria Investments Limited sits in the small-cap segment of the market. Relative to its peer group, PAX's quantitative score of 52/100 is below the peer average of 71/100.

ROE 12%Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Patria Investments Limited stands at 12.1%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 4.2%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. PAX trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 24.62, above the Financial Services sector average of ~18x. Its free cash flow yield is 14.3%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 1.70 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 4.1%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

F-Score 6/9Financial Health

Patria Investments Limited's Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 1.55 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.

Company Profile

Patria Investments Limited operates in the Asset Management industry within the Financial Services sector. It is headquartered in Grand Cayman, BR. The company is led by CEO Alexandre Teixeira de Assumpcao Saigh. PAX has traded publicly since 2021.

PAX Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
+2.6%
Net Income Growth (FY)
+19.1%
EPS Growth (FY)
+14.9%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
+87.6%
P/E (TTM)
24.6
Return on Equity (TTM)
+12.1%
Current Ratio
1.7
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
12.7

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Patria's insider buying suggests strong confidence in the company's future, mirroring situations like executives loading up on Apple before major product launches.
  • Community sentiment indicates a growing positive outlook, reminiscent of the early buzz around Shopify's e-commerce potential.
  • Market perception sees Patria as a key player in Latin American investments, similar to how Blackstone is viewed globally.
  • Recent developments suggest expansion into new markets, a strategy that fueled Amazon's growth beyond online retail.

Bear Case

  • Recent insider selling, although not always indicative, can sometimes signal concerns, like when some executives trimmed holdings before the dot-com bubble burst.
  • Community chatter also reveals worries about increased competition in the Latin American investment space, akin to the challenges faced by traditional retailers against Amazon.
  • Market perception includes concerns about political instability in Latin America, similar to the risks companies face in emerging markets.
  • Some bearish community members are questioning Patria's ability to maintain its growth trajectory, a concern similar to doubts surrounding Netflix's subscriber growth after its initial surge.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · March 2026

PAX Latest News

PAX Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for PAX.

Price Targets

Consensus target: $20.00

PAX MoonshotScore

52/100

What does this score mean?

The MoonshotScore rates PAX's growth potential on a scale of 0-100 across multiple factors including innovation, market disruption, financial health, and momentum.

Latest Patria Investments Limited Analysis

Leadership: Alexandre Teixeira de Assumpcao Saigh

CEO

Alexandre Teixeira de Assumpcao Saigh is the CEO of Patria Investments Limited. His career spans over two decades in the financial services industry, with a strong focus on private equity and investment management. Prior to joining Patria, he held leadership positions at prominent financial institutions, where he oversaw significant investment portfolios and spearheaded strategic initiatives. He holds an MBA from a top-tier business school and is a frequent speaker at industry conferences.

Track Record: Under Alexandre Saigh's leadership, Patria Investments Limited has experienced significant growth in assets under management and expanded its presence in key Latin American markets. He has been instrumental in launching new investment products and strengthening the company's relationships with institutional investors. His strategic vision has positioned Patria as a leading player in the Latin American private market landscape.

Patria Investments Limited Financial Services Stock: Key Questions Answered

What does Patria Investments Limited do?

Patria Investments Limited is a private market investment firm focused on Latin America. The company offers asset management services to investors focusing on private equity funds, infrastructure development funds, co-investments funds, constructivist equity funds, and real estate and credit funds. Patria aims to capitalize on the growth opportunities in the Latin American market by providing investors with access to a diversified portfolio of private market investments, leveraging its deep regional expertise and established network.

What do analysts say about PAX stock?

Analysts generally view Patria Investments Limited favorably, citing its strong position in the Latin American private market and its diversified fund offerings. Key valuation metrics, such as the P/E ratio of 24.6 and the dividend yield of 4.85%, suggest a reasonable valuation. Growth considerations include the potential for expansion into new markets and the launch of innovative investment products. However, analysts also caution about the risks associated with economic and political instability in Latin America.

What are the main risks for PAX?

The main risks for Patria Investments Limited include economic and political instability in Latin America, which could negatively impact investment returns. Increased competition from global asset managers could erode market share. Changes in the regulatory environment impacting private market investments could also pose a threat. Fluctuations in currency exchange rates could impact the value of investments. Additionally, the company is dependent on key personnel, including the CEO and senior investment professionals.

How does Patria Investments Limited make money in financial services?

Patria Investments Limited primarily generates revenue through management fees charged on assets under management (AUM). These fees are typically a percentage of the total value of the assets managed. The company also earns performance fees, also known as carried interest, based on the returns generated by its funds. Additionally, Patria receives transaction fees from deal-making activities, such as acquisitions and divestitures, and benefits from co-investment opportunities, generating additional returns alongside its investors.

What regulatory challenges does Patria Investments Limited face?

Patria Investments Limited faces regulatory challenges related to the oversight of private market investments, both in Latin America and in the jurisdictions where its investors are located. Compliance with securities laws, anti-money laundering regulations, and tax regulations is crucial. The company must also navigate the complexities of cross-border transactions and adhere to local regulations in each of the countries where it operates. Changes in these regulations could impact Patria's business model and increase compliance costs.

What are the key factors to evaluate for PAX?

Patria Investments Limited (PAX) holds an AI score of 52/100 (moderate). P/E: 24.6x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $20.00 (+78%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does PAX data refresh on this page?

PAX prices update in real time during U.S. market hours. Fundamentals refresh after quarterly filings; analyst ratings and AI insights update daily; news is aggregated continuously.

What has driven PAX's recent stock price performance?

Patria Investments Limited (PAX) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Strong presence in the Latin American market. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated AI Score refreshed daily
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Information is based on publicly available sources and may be subject to change.
  • Financial data is as of the latest available reporting period.
Data Sources

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