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Pinnacle West Capital Corporation (PNW) Stock Analysis

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$96.59 -$0.59 (-0.61%) |Fair · 45
Pinnacle West Capital Corporation (PNW) bottom line: Split View — our Council read (48/100) and AI Score (45/100) broadly agree. Strongest signal: Ray Dalio bullish · Biggest watch-out: Seth Klarman bearish.Educational signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Compare sector peers → · Read the method →
MCap: $11.7B| P/E Ratio: 18.16| Vol: 723K| Target: $106.86 (+10.6%) (Aug 29, 2026) (estimate, not advice)| 52-wk range: $85.32 – $111.16

P/E 18.16 means the share price is 18.16 times one year of earnings per share; the S&P 500 usually sits near 20-25. Market cap $11.7B is the value of all shares combined. Beta 0.48: the stock has moved about 52% less than the S&P 500.

Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated May 10, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR

Quick Answer

Pinnacle West Capital Corporation (PNW) trades at $96.59 with MoonshotScore 45/100 (Grade C). Pinnacle West Capital Corporation is a regulated electric utility company operating primarily in Arizona. Market cap: $11.7B, Sector: Utilities.

Price as of Sep 11, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 10, 2026
Pinnacle West Capital Corporation is a regulated electric utility company operating primarily in Arizona. Through its subsidiary, Arizona Public Service Company, it generates, transmits, and distributes electricity to approximately 1.3 million customers.

PNW stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $106.86 for Pinnacle West Capital Corporation, suggesting 10.6% upside from the current price of $96.59. The AI MoonshotScore is 45/100, in the Fair band (45-64) — a research signal, not a recommendation. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the PNW film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min

These figures come from statements filed 12 months ago — the most recent this company has published.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Split View 48/100 · C

PNW: the 3 scored disciplines are evenly split. Dominant signal: Seth Klarman bearish.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Five-pillar engine · 45/100
Business Quality
Neutral Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Neutral Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Moderate Am I paying a fair price?
Growth Durability
Weak Is the growth real and likely to last?
Momentum
Moderate Is the market already moving on this?

Strongest side: Valuation (6/10, Moderate). Weakest side: Growth Durability (3/10, Weak).

Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Dalio-style lens (simulated)Ray Dalio
Favorable read
Griffin-style lens (simulated)Ken Griffin
Neutral read
Simons-style lens (simulated)Jim Simons
Favorable read
Englander-style lens (simulated)Izzy Englander
Neutral read
Klarman-style lens (simulated)Seth Klarman
Unfavorable read
Moon AI lens (model)
Neutral read
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Neutral
Margin of Safety
Fairly Valued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →
The lenses are modelled on the published principles of the investors named. We are not affiliated with them, they have not endorsed this, and it is not their opinion of this stock.

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Pinnacle West Capital Corporation (PNW) Utility Operations & Dividend Profile

CEOTheodore N. Geisler
Employees6,610
HeadquartersPhoenix, AZ, US
IPO Year1961
SectorUtilities

Pinnacle West Capital Corporation, via Arizona Public Service, is a regulated electric utility in Arizona, generating and distributing power through diverse sources like coal, nuclear, and solar. With 1.3 million customers and a 3.65% dividend yield, it operates in a stable, regulated market.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NYSE Analysis: May 10, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for PNW?

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Pinnacle West Capital Corporation presents a stable investment opportunity within the regulated utilities sector. The company's consistent dividend yield of 3.65% and a beta of 0.48 indicate lower volatility compared to the broader market. The P/E ratio of 18.16 suggests a reasonable valuation relative to earnings. Growth catalysts include increasing demand for electricity in Arizona and investments in renewable energy infrastructure. However, regulatory risks and potential increases in operating costs could impact profitability. Investors should monitor regulatory decisions and the company's ability to manage its diverse generation portfolio effectively.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

PNW Key Highlights

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Market capitalization of $11.7B, reflecting substantial investor confidence in the company's stability and market position.

  • Profit margin of 12.0%, indicating efficient operations and effective cost management within the regulated utility environment.
  • Gross margin of 40.7%, demonstrating the company's ability to generate revenue above the direct costs of providing electricity services.
  • Dividend yield of 3.65%, offering a steady income stream for investors seeking stable returns in the utility sector.
  • Beta of 0.48, suggesting lower volatility compared to the overall market, making it a noteworthy option for risk-averse investors.

Who Are PNW's Competitors?

PNW is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap MoonshotScore
CMS CMS Energy Corporation $67.68 -0.72% $21.2B 485-pillar
EMA Emera Incorporated $49.48 -1.79% $15.1B 415-pillar
WTRG Essential Utilities, Inc. $41.69 -0.26% $11.8B 695-pillar
OGE OGE Energy Corp. $46.62 +0.06% $9.63B 835-pillar
AES The AES Corporation $14.79 -0.03% $10.6B 415-pillar
ELIAF Elia Group SA/NV $138.38 0.00% $15.1B 529-signal
KEP Korea Electric Power Corporation $12.21 +2.73% $15.7B 535-pillar
LNT Alliant Energy Corporation $67.25 -0.90% $17.4B 545-pillar

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance This table mixes two scoring engines — compare a number only with others carrying the same tag.

What Are PNW's Key Strengths?

Stable revenue stream due to regulated utility model.

  • Diversified energy generation portfolio.
  • Established infrastructure and customer base.
  • Strong presence in a growing Arizona market.

What Are PNW's Weaknesses?

Dependence on regulatory approvals and policies.

  • Exposure to commodity price fluctuations.
  • Potential for environmental liabilities.
  • Capital-intensive business model.

What Could Drive PNW Stock Higher?

PNW catalyst: Investments in renewable energy projects, such as solar and wind farms, are expected to drive long-term growth and reduce carbon emissions.

  • Infrastructure modernization projects, including upgrades to transmission and distribution networks, will improve reliability and efficiency.
  • Regulatory decisions on rate cases are expected to impact revenue and profitability.
  • Expansion of electric vehicle charging infrastructure will capitalize on the growing EV market.

What Are the Key Risks for PNW?

Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of 0.69 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).

  • Insider selling — insiders were net sellers of roughly $5.3M recently.
  • Changes in regulatory policies could negatively impact revenue and profitability.
  • Fluctuations in commodity prices, particularly natural gas and coal, could increase operating costs.
  • Cybersecurity threats to grid infrastructure could disrupt operations and compromise customer data.
  • Economic downturn in Arizona could reduce electricity demand.
  • Environmental regulations could require additional investments in pollution control equipment.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for PNW?

  • Increased Demand in Arizona: Arizona's growing population and expanding economy are driving increased demand for electricity. Pinnacle West, through APS, is positioned to capitalize on this growth by expanding its generation capacity and distribution infrastructure. The company can leverage its existing customer base and established infrastructure to meet the rising demand, potentially increasing revenue and profitability. This growth is expected to continue over the next decade, driven by both residential and commercial development.
  • Renewable Energy Investments: Pinnacle West is investing in renewable energy sources, including solar and wind, to meet growing demand and comply with environmental regulations. These investments not only reduce the company's carbon footprint but also provide opportunities for cost savings through federal tax credits and reduced fuel costs. The company's commitment to renewable energy positions it favorably in the evolving energy landscape, attracting environmentally conscious investors and customers. This transition is expected to accelerate over the next five years.
  • Infrastructure Modernization: Upgrading and modernizing its transmission and distribution infrastructure will improve reliability and efficiency, reducing outages and improving customer satisfaction. These investments also enable the integration of renewable energy sources and smart grid technologies. The company's focus on infrastructure modernization will enhance its operational performance and ensure long-term sustainability. These upgrades are planned over the next three to seven years.
  • Smart Grid Technologies: Implementing smart grid technologies will enhance grid management and enable more efficient energy distribution. Smart grids allow for real-time monitoring of energy consumption, enabling better demand response and reducing waste. These technologies also facilitate the integration of distributed generation sources, such as rooftop solar panels. The adoption of smart grid technologies will improve the company's operational efficiency and enhance customer engagement. These technologies are expected to be deployed over the next two to five years.
  • Electric Vehicle Charging Infrastructure: The increasing adoption of electric vehicles (EVs) presents a significant growth opportunity for Pinnacle West. By investing in EV charging infrastructure, the company can capture a share of the growing EV market and increase electricity demand. The company can partner with local businesses and municipalities to install charging stations, providing a convenient and reliable charging network for EV owners. This investment will position the company as a leader in the EV charging market and contribute to the electrification of transportation. This infrastructure buildout is expected to occur over the next three to ten years.

What Are PNW's Competitive Advantages?

  • Regulated Monopoly: Operates as a regulated utility, providing a natural monopoly in its service territory.
  • High Barriers to Entry: Significant capital investment and regulatory approvals required to enter the market.
  • Established Infrastructure: Extensive transmission and distribution network provides a competitive advantage.
  • Long-Term Contracts: Enters into long-term power purchase agreements, ensuring stable revenue streams.

What Does PNW Do?

Pinnacle West Capital Corporation, incorporated in 1985 and headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona, is the holding company for Arizona Public Service Company (APS). APS, its primary subsidiary, is a regulated electric utility providing retail and wholesale electricity services, primarily in Arizona. APS generates, transmits, and distributes electricity using a mix of energy sources, including coal, nuclear, gas, oil, and solar. The company's infrastructure includes approximately 5,814 pole miles of overhead transmission lines and 74 miles of underground lines, alongside 11,258 miles of overhead and 22,821 miles of underground distribution lines. APS maintains 475 transmission and distribution substations and owns or leases approximately 6,323 megawatts of regulated generation capacity. Serving approximately 1.3 million customers, APS is a crucial energy provider in Arizona, navigating the evolving energy landscape with a focus on reliability and sustainability.

What Products and Services Does PNW Offer?

  • Generates electricity using coal, nuclear, gas, oil, and solar facilities.
  • Transmits electricity through approximately 5,814 pole miles of overhead lines and 74 miles of underground lines.
  • Distributes electricity through approximately 11,258 miles of overhead lines and 22,821 miles of underground primary cable.
  • Owns and maintains 475 transmission and distribution substations.
  • Owns or leases approximately 6,323 megawatts of regulated generation capacity.
  • Provides retail and wholesale electric services primarily in Arizona.
  • Serves approximately 1.3 million customers.

How Does PNW Make Money?

  • Generates revenue through the sale of electricity to residential, commercial, and industrial customers.
  • Operates under a regulated utility model, with rates and service standards set by regulatory bodies.
  • Invests in and maintains its generation, transmission, and distribution infrastructure.
  • Manages a diverse portfolio of energy sources, including coal, nuclear, gas, oil, and solar.

What Industry Does PNW Operate In?

Pinnacle West Capital Corporation operates within the regulated electric utility industry, characterized by stable demand and government oversight. The industry is undergoing a transition towards renewable energy sources, driven by environmental concerns and technological advancements. Competition primarily comes from other regulated utilities within the region, such as CMS Energy Corporation and OGE Energy Corp. The market is influenced by regulatory policies, energy prices, and infrastructure investments. The shift towards cleaner energy sources presents both opportunities and challenges for companies like Pinnacle West, requiring significant capital investments and strategic adaptation.

Who Are PNW's Key Customers?

  • Residential customers throughout Arizona.
  • Commercial businesses, including retail stores, offices, and restaurants.
  • Industrial customers, such as manufacturing plants and data centers.
  • Wholesale customers, including other utilities and municipalities.
Model self-rating on this text: 73% (not a measure of the evidence) Updated: May 10, 2026

Research confidence

High 100/100

Broad, current evidence sits behind this analysis.

  • Scored on 97% of our measures
  • Price is current
  • Latest filing 38 days ago
  • Covered by analysts

Why 45?

Measured against companies in the same sector. The figures below are the factor contributions the scoring engine itself produced.

What is helping

  • +0.19 Interest cover (Financial Strength)
  • +0.17 Operating margin (Business Quality)
  • +0.16 Gross margin (Business Quality)

What is holding it back

  • -0.48 5-year net income per share (Growth)
  • -0.28 Share dilution (Growth)
  • -0.17 Short-term liquidity (Financial Strength)

Risk penalties applied

  • -0.37 Bankruptcy-risk score in the distress zone

Contribution = how far the company sits from its sector on that measure, weighted by how much the pillar counts. Not investment advice. How the score is built →

MoonshotScore History

Recorded daily since 2026-08-23 · 19 snapshots

2026-08-23 45
2026-08-26 45
2026-08-29 46
2026-09-01 46
2026-09-04 47
2026-09-07 44
2026-09-10 45

What changed?

The score has stayed at 45.

What moved it up or down:

  • -9 Momentum
  • -8 Financial Safety
  • +6 Growth Durability

Over the same 18 days the stock moved -0.2%.

Net buying

Insider Activity

Over the past six months, Pinnacle West Capital Corporation insiders filed 36 SEC Form 4 transactions — 19 sales and 17 purchases. On net that is roughly 54K shares acquired (about $5.3M) — insiders putting money in tends to read as conviction.

Quarterly Financial Performance: Pinnacle West Capital Corporation

Revenue for Pinnacle West Capital Corporation came in at $1.46B during Q2 FY2026, a 26.6% improvement versus the preceding quarter. The company recorded net income of $178.6M, with diluted EPS of $1.43. Revenue has increased across the last three reported quarters, suggesting sustained momentum for this large-cap Utilities company. Across the four most recent quarters, PNW averaged $1.30 in diluted EPS.

PNW Valuation & Market Position

With a $11.7B market cap, Pinnacle West Capital Corporation sits in the large-cap segment of the market. Analyst price targets span from $94.00 to $129.00, with a consensus of $106.86. At the current price of $96.59, that implies approximately 11% upside potential. Relative to its peer group, PNW's quantitative score of 45/100 is below the peer average of 55/100.

ROE 9%

Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Pinnacle West Capital Corporation stands at 9.0%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 2.0%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. PNW trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 18.16, roughly in line with the Utilities sector average of ~16.60x. Its free cash flow yield is -7.2%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 0.59 means current liabilities exceed short-term assets, a liquidity point worth watching. Its earnings yield is 5.3%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

F-Score 6/9

Financial Health

Pinnacle West Capital Corporation's Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 0.69 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.

4/8 beats

Earnings Track Record

Pinnacle West Capital Corporation has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reported quarters — more hits than misses. Reported results have landed about 133.3% above estimates on average.

Company Profile

Pinnacle West Capital Corporation operates in the Regulated Electric industry within the Utilities sector. It is headquartered in Phoenix, US. The company is led by CEO Theodore N. Geisler. PNW has traded publicly since 1961.

PNW Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
+4.2%
Net Income Growth (FY)
+1.3%
EPS Growth (FY)
-3.7%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
-28.2%
P/E (TTM)
18.16
Return on Equity (TTM)
+9.0%
Current Ratio
0.6
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
10.8

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Stable revenue stream due to regulated utility model.
  • Diversified energy generation portfolio.
  • Established infrastructure and customer base.
  • Strong presence in a growing Arizona market.

Bear Case

  • Dependence on regulatory approvals and policies.
  • Exposure to commodity price fluctuations.
  • Potential for environmental liabilities.
  • Capital-intensive business model.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · September 2026

From the Earnings Call

“Our weather-normalized sales growth was 9.4% for the quarter, driven by strong C&I growth of 14.6% and residential growth of 1.8%.”

— Andrew D. Cooper, CFO

“We continue to see a consistent ongoing influx of customers into our region, as customer growth for the quarter was again strong at 2.2%, near the high end of our annual customer growth guidance.”

— Andrew D. Cooper, CFO

PNW Q1 FY2026 earnings call transcript · 2026-05-04

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 FY2026 $1.46B $179M $1.43
Q1 FY2026 $1.15B $33M $0.27
Q4 FY2025 $1.13B $15M $0.13
Q3 FY2025 $1.82B $413M $3.39

Q2 FY2026 · filed 4 Aug 2026 · SEC EDGAR →

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

PNW Latest News

PNW Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for PNW.

Price Targets

Low
$94.00
Consensus
$106.86
High
$129.00

Median: $106.00 (+10.6% from current price)

Source: FMP analyst consensus · as of Aug 29, 2026 · an estimate, not advice

PNW MoonshotScore

45/100

What does this score mean?

MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. PNW scores 45/100 (Grade C): the number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Leadership: Theodore N. Geisler

Unknown

Information about Theodore N. Therefore, details regarding his career history, education, previous roles, and credentials cannot be provided. Further research would be needed to compile a comprehensive profile.

Track Record: Information about Theodore N. Geisler's track record is not available in the provided context. Therefore, details regarding his key achievements, strategic decisions, and company milestones under his leadership cannot be provided. Further research would be needed to compile a comprehensive profile.

Pinnacle West Capital Corporation Utilities Stock: Key Questions Answered

What does the AI Score mean for PNW?

PNW holds an AI Score of 45/100 (Grade: C). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers. Pinnacle West Capital Corporation is a regulated electric utility company operating primarily in Arizona.

Is PNW a good stock?

Stock Expert AI does not rate PNW buy, sell or hold. Pinnacle West Capital Corporation carries a MoonshotScore of 45/100 on the five-pillar engine, a research rating against its peers. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns, what the price assumes, and what would prove you wrong.

What do analysts say about PNW stock?

Analyst consensus on Pinnacle West Capital Corporation (PNW) reflects a generally stable outlook, given its position as a regulated utility. Key valuation metrics, such as the P/E ratio of 18.16, are often compared to peers in the utility sector.

What are the key factors to evaluate for PNW?

Pinnacle West Capital Corporation (PNW) holds a MoonshotScore of 45/100 (low). P/E: 18.16x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $106.86 (+11%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does PNW data refresh on this page?

PNW's price was last updated on Sep 11, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours; the quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven PNW's recent stock price performance?

Pinnacle West Capital Corporation (PNW) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Stable revenue stream due to regulated utility model. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider PNW overvalued or undervalued right now?

Pinnacle West Capital Corporation (PNW) trades at 18.16x earnings. Analysts target $106.86 (+11%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Can I buy fractional shares of PNW?

Yes, most major brokerages offer fractional shares of Pinnacle West Capital Corporation (PNW) with no minimum purchase requirement. This means you can invest any dollar amount regardless of the share price. Check your brokerage platform for specific terms, fees, and fractional share availability.

How can I track PNW's earnings and financial reports?

Pinnacle West Capital Corporation (PNW) reports quarterly earnings approximately 4-6 weeks after each fiscal quarter ends. You can track earnings dates, revenue and EPS estimates, and actual results on this page's Financials tab. Earnings surprises (beats or misses) often cause significant short-term price moves. Your brokerage can send alerts for PNW earnings announcements.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated MoonshotScore as of
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Information is based on available data as of 2026-05-10.
  • Financial metrics are based on the most recent available data.
  • CEO profile information is limited due to lack of available data.
Data Sources
Financial Modeling Prep (FMP)Stock Expert AI proprietary analysis

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