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Smithfield Foods, Inc. (SFD) Stock Analysis

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$20.26 -$0.33 (-1.60%) |Exceptional · 80
Smithfield Foods, Inc. (SFD) bottom line: Bullish Lean — our Council read (74/100) and AI Score (80/100) broadly agree. Strongest signal: Ray Dalio bullish · Biggest watch-out: Ken Griffin bearish.Educational signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Compare sector peers → · Read the method →
MCap: $7.97B| P/E Ratio: 7.65| Vol: 1.95M| Target: $30.50 (+50.5%) (Sep 10, 2026) (estimate, not advice)| 52-wk range: $20.36 – $29.80

P/E 7.65 means the share price is 7.65 times one year of earnings per share; the S&P 500 usually sits near 20-25. Market cap $7.97B is the value of all shares combined.

Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated May 10, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR

Quick Answer

Smithfield Foods, Inc. (SFD) trades at $20.26 with MoonshotScore 80/100 (Grade A+). Smithfield Foods, Inc. is a global leader in packaged meats and fresh pork production. Market cap: $7.97B, Sector: Consumer defensive.

Price as of Sep 11, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 10, 2026
Smithfield Foods, Inc. is a global leader in packaged meats and fresh pork production. The company operates across the United States and internationally, focusing on delivering a wide range of protein products to retail and foodservice customers.

SFD stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $30.50 for Smithfield Foods, Inc., suggesting 50.5% upside from the current price of $20.26. The AI MoonshotScore is 80/100, in the Exceptional band (80-100) — a research signal, not a recommendation. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the SFD film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min

These figures come from statements filed 12 months ago — the most recent this company has published.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Bullish Lean 74/100 · A

SFD: 3/3 scored disciplines lean bullish. Dominant signal: Ken Griffin bearish.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Five-pillar engine · 80/100
Business Quality
Moderate Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Strong Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Strong Am I paying a fair price?
Growth Durability
Neutral Is the growth real and likely to last?
Momentum
Weak Is the market already moving on this?

Strongest side: Financial Safety (9/10, Strong). Weakest side: Momentum (3/10, Weak).

Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Dalio-style lens (simulated)Ray Dalio
Favorable read
Griffin-style lens (simulated)Ken Griffin
Unfavorable read
Englander-style lens (simulated)Izzy Englander
Favorable read
Klarman-style lens (simulated)Seth Klarman
Favorable read
Moon AI lens (model)
Favorable read
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Moderate
Margin of Safety
Undervalued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →
The lenses are modelled on the published principles of the investors named. We are not affiliated with them, they have not endorsed this, and it is not their opinion of this stock.

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Smithfield Foods, Inc. (SFD) Consumer Business Overview

CEOC. Shane Smith
Employees34,000
HeadquartersSmithfield, VA, US
IPO Year2025

Smithfield Foods, Inc., established in 1936, is a major player in the packaged meats and fresh pork industry, boasting a diverse brand portfolio and extensive operations across the United States and international markets. With a vertically integrated business model, Smithfield controls hog production, processing, and distribution.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NASDAQ Analysis: May 10, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for SFD?

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

With a market capitalization of $7.97B and a P/E ratio of 7.65, the company demonstrates financial stability. A gross margin of 13.4% and a profit margin of 6.5% reflect efficient operations. The dividend yield of 4.09% provides an attractive income stream for investors. Growth catalysts include expansion in international markets, particularly China, and continued innovation in packaged meat products. Potential risks include fluctuations in hog prices, disease outbreaks, and changing consumer preferences.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

SFD Key Highlights

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Market capitalization of $7.97B indicates substantial market presence.

  • P/E ratio of 7.65 suggests a reasonable valuation compared to earnings.
  • Gross margin of 13.4% reflects efficient cost management in production.
  • Profit margin of 6.5% demonstrates the ability to convert revenue into profit.
  • Dividend yield of 4.09% offers an attractive income component for investors.

Who Are SFD's Competitors?

SFD is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap MoonshotScore
EDU New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. $55.57 +1.81% $8.77B 875-pillar
ACI Albertsons Companies, Inc. $11.70 -1.27% $5.68B 565-pillar
PPC Pilgrim's Pride Corporation $29.93 -1.03% $7.12B 635-pillar
SFM Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. $71.97 -0.31% $6.71B 805-pillar
TAP Molson Coors Beverage Company $38.44 -0.10% $7.21B
SALRY SalMar ASA $15.15 -2.63% $8.21B 469-signal
AGRO Adecoagro S.A. $12.33 -1.04% $6.96B 535-pillar
MHGVY Mowi ASA $22.15 +1.93% $11.7B 509-signal

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance This table mixes two scoring engines — compare a number only with others carrying the same tag.

What Are SFD's Key Strengths?

Vertically integrated operations.

  • Strong brand portfolio.
  • Extensive distribution network.
  • Established market presence.

What Are SFD's Weaknesses?

Exposure to commodity price fluctuations.

  • Vulnerability to disease outbreaks in hog populations.
  • Dependence on export markets.
  • Potential for environmental liabilities.

What Could Drive SFD Stock Higher?

Expansion into new international markets, particularly in Asia, to increase sales volume.

  • Continued product innovation in the packaged meats segment to meet changing consumer preferences.
  • Optimization of vertically integrated operations to reduce costs and improve efficiency.
  • Growth in bioscience operations to diversify revenue streams.

What Are the Key Risks for SFD?

Insider selling — insiders were net sellers of roughly $4.4M recently.

  • Fluctuations in hog prices impacting profitability.
  • Outbreaks of diseases affecting hog populations, leading to supply disruptions.
  • Changes in consumer preferences away from meat products.
  • Trade barriers and tariffs impacting export markets.
  • Regulatory changes affecting farming practices and environmental compliance.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for SFD?

  • Expansion in Asian Markets: Smithfield has a significant opportunity to expand its presence in Asian markets, particularly China, where demand for pork products is high. By leveraging its existing export channels and establishing local partnerships, Smithfield can increase its market share and revenue. The Asian pork market is estimated to be worth billions of dollars, offering substantial growth potential for Smithfield. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Product Innovation in Packaged Meats: Smithfield can drive growth through continuous innovation in its packaged meats segment. Developing new flavors, formats, and healthier options can attract new customers and increase sales. The market for convenient and ready-to-eat meals is growing, presenting an opportunity for Smithfield to capitalize on this trend. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Vertical Integration Efficiencies: Smithfield's vertically integrated business model provides a competitive advantage by controlling costs and ensuring quality across the supply chain. Optimizing operations and leveraging economies of scale can further improve profitability. The company can invest in technology and infrastructure to enhance efficiency and reduce waste. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Bioscience Expansion: Smithfield's bioscience operations offer a unique growth opportunity by leveraging raw materials from hog processing to produce heparin products and other pharmaceutical ingredients. Expanding this segment can diversify revenue streams and increase profitability. The market for heparin products is growing, driven by increasing demand for blood clot prevention. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Sustainable Farming Practices: Implementing and promoting sustainable farming practices can enhance Smithfield's brand image and attract environmentally conscious consumers. Investing in renewable energy, reducing waste, and improving animal welfare can differentiate Smithfield from its competitors. The market for sustainable food products is growing, presenting an opportunity for Smithfield to lead in this area. Timeline: Ongoing.

What Are SFD's Competitive Advantages?

  • Vertically integrated operations provide cost advantages and quality control.
  • Established brand portfolio with well-known brands like Smithfield, Eckrich, and Nathan's Famous.
  • Extensive distribution network reaching retail, foodservice, and industrial customers.
  • Long-standing relationships with key customers and suppliers.

What Does SFD Do?

Founded in 1936 and headquartered in Smithfield, Virginia, Smithfield Foods, Inc. has grown into one of the world's leading vertically integrated pork producers and packaged meats companies. Originally a small meatpacking plant, the company expanded its operations over the decades through strategic acquisitions and organic growth. Today, Smithfield is a subsidiary of SFDS UK Holdings Limited, reflecting its global reach and ownership structure. Smithfield operates through three primary segments: Packaged Meats, Fresh Pork, and Hog Production. The Packaged Meats segment processes fresh meat into a variety of products, including bacon, sausage, hot dogs, deli meats, and ready-to-eat meals, marketed under well-known brands such as Smithfield, Eckrich, Nathan's Famous, and Farmland. The Fresh Pork segment processes live hogs into primal and sub-primal cuts, serving retail, foodservice, and industrial customers, as well as export markets. The Hog Production segment manages hog farming operations across company-owned and contract farms in the United States and Mexico. Additionally, Smithfield's bioscience operations leverage raw materials from hog processing to produce heparin products, a critical pharmaceutical ingredient. The company employs approximately 36,500 people and maintains a strong presence in both domestic and international markets.

What Products and Services Does SFD Offer?

  • Manufactures and markets packaged meats.
  • Produces and distributes fresh pork products.
  • Operates hog production facilities in the US and Mexico.
  • Processes live hogs into primal and sub-primal cuts.
  • Sells products to retail, foodservice, and industrial customers.
  • Exports pork products to international markets, including China and Mexico.
  • Manufactures heparin products through its bioscience operations.

How Does SFD Make Money?

  • Vertically integrated operations from hog production to processing and distribution.
  • Focus on packaged meats, fresh pork, and hog production.
  • Sales to retail, foodservice, and industrial customers, as well as export markets.
  • Revenue generated through the sale of packaged meats, fresh pork, and bioscience products.

What Industry Does SFD Operate In?

Smithfield Foods operates within the agricultural farm products industry, which is characterized by stable demand and cyclical price fluctuations. The market is influenced by factors such as commodity prices, consumer preferences, and global trade dynamics. Competitors like Pilgrim's Pride Corporation (PPC) and Albertsons Companies, Inc. (ACI) vie for market share in the packaged meats and fresh pork segments. The industry is experiencing a trend towards increased demand for convenient and ready-to-eat products, driving innovation in product development and packaging. Smithfield's vertically integrated model provides a competitive advantage by controlling costs and ensuring quality across the supply chain.

Who Are SFD's Key Customers?

  • Retail consumers purchasing packaged meats and fresh pork products.
  • Foodservice providers, including restaurants and cafeterias.
  • Industrial customers using pork products in their own manufacturing processes.
  • Export markets, including China, Mexico, Japan, South Korea, and Canada.
Model self-rating on this text: 73% (not a measure of the evidence) Updated: May 10, 2026

Research confidence

High 100/100

Broad, current evidence sits behind this analysis.

  • Scored on 100% of our measures
  • Price is current
  • Latest filing 31 days ago
  • Covered by analysts

Why 80?

Measured against companies in the same sector. The figures below are the factor contributions the scoring engine itself produced.

What is helping

  • +0.46 Volatility vs the market (Financial Strength)
  • +0.33 Enterprise value vs EBITDA (Valuation)
  • +0.26 Earnings yield (Valuation)

What is holding it back

  • -0.21 Gross margin (Business Quality)
  • -0.18 Share dilution (Growth)
  • -0.18 5-year revenue per share (Growth)

Contribution = how far the company sits from its sector on that measure, weighted by how much the pillar counts. Not investment advice. How the score is built →

MoonshotScore History

Recorded daily since 2026-08-23 · 19 snapshots

2026-08-23 75
2026-08-26 74
2026-08-29 74
2026-09-01 78
2026-09-04 78
2026-09-07 79
2026-09-10 79

What changed?

The grade moved from 75 to 79 (+4).

What moved it up or down:

  • +8 Financial Safety
  • +2 Business Quality
  • +2 Growth Durability

Held back by:

  • -2 Momentum

Over the same 18 days the stock moved -7.5%.

Net selling

Insider Activity

Over the past six months, Smithfield Foods, Inc. insiders filed 7 SEC Form 4 transactions — 5 sales and 2 purchases. On net that is roughly 165K shares disposed (about $4.4M), a signal worth weighing alongside the fundamentals.

Quarterly Financial Performance: Smithfield Foods, Inc.

Revenue for Smithfield Foods, Inc. came in at $3.67B during Q2 FY2026, a 3.5% contraction versus the preceding quarter. The company recorded net income of $238.0M, with diluted EPS of $0.60. Revenue has contracted over three consecutive quarters, which investors in this mid-cap Consumer Defensive stock should monitor closely. Across the four most recent quarters, SFD averaged $0.67 in diluted EPS.

SFD Valuation & Market Position

With a $7.97B market cap, Smithfield Foods, Inc. sits in the mid-cap segment of the market. Analyst price targets span from $29.00 to $32.00, with a consensus of $30.50. At the current price of $20.26, that implies approximately 51% upside potential. Relative to its peer group, SFD's quantitative score of 80/100 is above the peer average of 62/100.

ROE 16%

Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Smithfield Foods, Inc. stands at 15.6%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 8.8%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. SFD trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 7.65, below the Consumer Defensive sector average of ~27.60x. Its free cash flow yield is 9.9%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 2.56 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 13.1%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

F-Score 5/9

Financial Health

Smithfield Foods, Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 5/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 3.46 places it in the safe zone, indicating low near-term bankruptcy risk.

5/8 beats

Earnings Track Record

Smithfield Foods, Inc. has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reported quarters — more hits than misses. Reported results have landed about 6.9% above estimates on average.

Company Profile

Smithfield Foods, Inc. operates in the Packaged Foods industry within the Consumer Defensive sector. It is headquartered in Smithfield, US. The company is led by CEO Charles Shane Smith. SFD has traded publicly since 2025.

SFD Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
+9.8%
Net Income Growth (FY)
+3.6%
EPS Growth (FY)
+3.7%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
-8.8%
P/E (TTM)
7.65
Return on Equity (TTM)
+15.6%
Current Ratio
2.6
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
5.5

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Vertically integrated operations.
  • Strong brand portfolio.
  • Extensive distribution network.
  • Established market presence.

Bear Case

  • Exposure to commodity price fluctuations.
  • Vulnerability to disease outbreaks in hog populations.
  • Dependence on export markets.
  • Potential for environmental liabilities.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · September 2026

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 FY2026 $3.67B $238M $0.60
Q1 FY2026 $3.80B $245M $0.62
Q4 FY2025 $4.23B $327M $0.83
Q3 FY2025 $3.75B $248M $0.63

Q2 FY2026 · filed 11 Aug 2026 · SEC EDGAR →

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

SFD Latest News

SFD Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for SFD.

Price Targets

Low
$29.00
Consensus
$30.50
High
$32.00

Median: $30.50 (+50.5% from current price)

Source: FMP analyst consensus · as of Sep 10, 2026 · an estimate, not advice

SFD MoonshotScore

80/100

What does this score mean?

MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. SFD scores 80/100 (Grade A+): the number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Leadership: Charles Shane Smith

CEO

Charles Shane Smith is the CEO of Smithfield Foods, Inc., leading a workforce of approximately 36,500 employees. His career trajectory within the food industry has provided him with extensive experience in operations, supply chain management, and strategic planning. Smith's leadership is characterized by a focus on efficiency, innovation, and sustainable practices. He is committed to maintaining Smithfield's position as a leading provider of high-quality pork products while ensuring responsible and ethical business operations.

Track Record: Under Charles Shane Smith's leadership, Smithfield Foods has focused on expanding its international presence and enhancing its product portfolio. Key achievements include strengthening the company's supply chain, improving operational efficiency, and implementing sustainable farming practices. Smith has also overseen the expansion of Smithfield's bioscience operations, contributing to revenue diversification.

Smithfield Foods, Inc. Consumer Defensive Stock: Key Questions Answered

What does the AI Score mean for SFD?

SFD holds an AI Score of 80/100 (Grade: A+). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers. Smithfield Foods, Inc. is a global leader in packaged meats and fresh pork production.

Is SFD a good stock?

Stock Expert AI does not rate SFD buy, sell or hold. Smithfield Foods, Inc. carries a MoonshotScore of 80/100 on the five-pillar engine, a research rating against its peers. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns, what the price assumes, and what would prove you wrong.

What does Smithfield Foods, Inc. do?

Smithfield Foods, Inc. is a global food company specializing in the production and processing of pork. Its vertically integrated business model encompasses hog production, fresh pork processing, and the manufacturing of packaged meats.

What are the key factors to evaluate for SFD?

Smithfield Foods, Inc. (SFD) holds a MoonshotScore of 80/100 (high). P/E: 7.65x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $30.50 (+51%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does SFD data refresh on this page?

SFD's price was last updated on Sep 11, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours; the quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven SFD's recent stock price performance?

Smithfield Foods, Inc. (SFD) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Vertically integrated operations. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider SFD overvalued or undervalued right now?

Smithfield Foods, Inc. (SFD) trades at 7.65x earnings. Analysts target $30.50 (+51%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Can I buy fractional shares of SFD?

Yes, most major brokerages offer fractional shares of Smithfield Foods, Inc. (SFD) with no minimum purchase requirement. This means you can invest any dollar amount regardless of the share price. Check your brokerage platform for specific terms, fees, and fractional share availability.

How can I track SFD's earnings and financial reports?

Smithfield Foods, Inc. (SFD) reports quarterly earnings approximately 4-6 weeks after each fiscal quarter ends. You can track earnings dates, revenue and EPS estimates, and actual results on this page's Financials tab. Earnings surprises (beats or misses) often cause significant short-term price moves. Your brokerage can send alerts for SFD earnings announcements.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated MoonshotScore as of
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Information is based on available data and may be subject to change.
  • Financial metrics are as of 2026-05-10.
Data Sources
Financial Modeling Prep (FMP)Stock Expert AI proprietary analysis

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