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TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) Stock Analysis

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$1132.94 +$6.06 (+0.54%) |Strong · 66
TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) bottom line: Bullish Lean — our Council read (64/100) and AI Score (66/100) broadly agree. Strongest signal: Ken Griffin bullish · Biggest watch-out: Seth Klarman bearish.Educational signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Compare sector peers → · Read the method →
MCap: $63.4B| P/E Ratio: 34.19| Vol: 9.7K| Target: $1487.50 (+31.3%) (Aug 25, 2026) (estimate, not advice)| 52-wk range: $1123.61 – $1463.03

P/E 34.19 means the share price is 34.19 times one year of earnings per share; the S&P 500 usually sits near 20-25. Market cap $63.4B is the value of all shares combined.

Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated May 9, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR

Quick Answer

TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) trades at $1132.94 with MoonshotScore 66/100 (Grade B+). TransDigm Group Incorporated is a leading global designer, producer, and supplier of highly engineered aircraft components. Market cap: $63.4B, Sector: Industrials.

Price as of Sep 11, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 9, 2026
TransDigm Group Incorporated is a leading global designer, producer, and supplier of highly engineered aircraft components. The company operates through three segments: Power & Control, Airframe, and Non-aviation, serving a diverse customer base in the aerospace and defense industries.

TDG stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $1487.50 for TransDigm Group Incorporated, suggesting 31.3% upside from the current price of $1132.94. The AI MoonshotScore is 66/100, in the Strong band (65-79) — a research signal, not a recommendation. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the TDG film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min

These figures come from statements filed 12 months ago — the most recent this company has published.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Bullish Lean 64/100 · B+

TDG: 2/3 scored disciplines lean bullish. Dominant signal: Ken Griffin bullish.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Five-pillar engine · 66/100
Business Quality
Strong Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Neutral Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Weak Am I paying a fair price?
Growth Durability
Strong Is the growth real and likely to last?
Momentum
Neutral Is the market already moving on this?

Strongest side: Business Quality (9/10, Strong). Weakest side: Valuation (3/10, Weak).

Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Dalio-style lens (simulated)Ray Dalio
Favorable read
Griffin-style lens (simulated)Ken Griffin
Favorable read
Englander-style lens (simulated)Izzy Englander
Favorable read
Klarman-style lens (simulated)Seth Klarman
Unfavorable read
Moon AI lens (model)
Favorable read
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Moderate
Margin of Safety
Fairly Valued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →
The lenses are modelled on the published principles of the investors named. We are not affiliated with them, they have not endorsed this, and it is not their opinion of this stock.

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) Industrial Operations Profile

CEOMichael J. Lisman
Employees16,500
HeadquartersCleveland, OH, US
IPO Year2006

TransDigm Group Incorporated specializes in designing and manufacturing highly engineered aircraft components, holding a strong market position within the aerospace and defense sectors. The company's diverse product portfolio and focus on proprietary products contribute to its consistent financial performance and growth.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NYSE Analysis: May 9, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for TDG?

AI-written as of May 9, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

The company's high gross margin of 59.0% and profit margin of 21.3% demonstrate its ability to generate substantial profits. A key value driver is the company's ability to acquire and improve niche aerospace component manufacturers. Upcoming catalysts include continued growth in air travel and defense spending, which should drive demand for TransDigm's products. Potential risks include economic downturns and disruptions in the aerospace supply chain, which could negatively impact the company's financial performance.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

TDG Key Highlights

AI-written as of May 9, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Market capitalization of $63.4B, reflecting investor confidence in the company's market position and growth prospects.

  • P/E ratio of 34.19, indicating a premium valuation based on earnings expectations.
  • Gross margin of 59.0%, showcasing the company's ability to maintain high profitability on its products and services.
  • Profit margin of 21.3%, demonstrating efficient cost management and strong pricing power.
  • Dividend yield of 7.41%, offering a significant return to shareholders.

Who Are TDG's Competitors?

TDG is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap MoonshotScore
VRT Vertiv Holdings Co $248.13 -5.61% $95.5B 785-pillar
PWR Quanta Services, Inc. $618.73 -1.32% $93.0B 605-pillar
GD General Dynamics Corporation $354.25 +0.45% $95.8B 775-pillar
JCI Johnson Controls International plc $142.81 -1.45% $86.5B 675-pillar
NOC Northrop Grumman Corporation $518.95 +0.66% $73.7B 665-pillar
FINMY Leonardo S.p.A. $28.85 +2.30% $66.6B 499-signal
RNMBY Rheinmetall AG $235.48 +0.62% $54.9B 469-signal
THLLY Thales S.A. $52.11 -0.53% $53.5B 469-signal

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance This table mixes two scoring engines — compare a number only with others carrying the same tag.

What Are TDG's Key Strengths?

Proprietary products with high margins.

  • Strong aftermarket business.
  • Experienced management team.
  • Proven track record of acquisitions.

What Are TDG's Weaknesses?

High debt levels.

  • Dependence on the aerospace industry.
  • Exposure to economic cycles.
  • Potential for product liability claims.

What Could Drive TDG Stock Higher?

Continued growth in air travel driving demand for aircraft components.

  • Increasing defense spending boosting demand for military aircraft components.
  • Potential acquisitions of niche aerospace component manufacturers expanding product portfolio.
  • Expansion in the aftermarket sector driving recurring revenue.
  • New product development and innovation maintaining competitive edge.

What Are the Key Risks for TDG?

Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of 1.62 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).

  • Negative return on equity (-21.0%) — the business is not currently generating profit on shareholder capital.
  • Insider selling — insiders were net sellers of roughly $11.9M recently.
  • Economic downturns reducing demand for air travel and aircraft components.
  • Disruptions in the aerospace supply chain impacting production and delivery.
  • Increased competition eroding market share and pricing power.
  • Changes in government regulations affecting the aerospace and defense industries.
  • High debt levels increasing financial risk.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for TDG?

  • Expansion in the aftermarket sector: The aftermarket for aircraft components represents a significant growth opportunity for TransDigm. As aircraft age, the demand for replacement parts and maintenance services increases. TransDigm's established relationships with airlines and maintenance providers, coupled with its broad product portfolio, position it to capture a larger share of this market. This market is estimated to be worth billions of dollars annually and is expected to grow in line with the increasing global aircraft fleet.
  • Strategic acquisitions: TransDigm has a proven track record of acquiring and integrating niche aerospace component manufacturers. These acquisitions allow the company to expand its product portfolio, enter new markets, and realize cost synergies. The company's disciplined approach to acquisitions, focusing on proprietary products and strong aftermarket potential, has been a key driver of its growth. The market for aerospace component manufacturers remains fragmented, providing ample opportunities for further acquisitions.
  • Increased defense spending: Rising geopolitical tensions and increasing defense budgets are driving demand for military aircraft and related components. TransDigm's Power & Control and Airframe segments supply critical components for military aircraft, positioning the company to benefit from this trend. Government contracts provide a stable and recurring revenue stream, reducing the company's reliance on the commercial aerospace market. This growth is expected to continue over the next decade.
  • Penetration of the non-aviation market: TransDigm's Non-aviation segment offers growth opportunities in adjacent markets such as ground transportation, space, energy, and oil and gas. By leveraging its engineering expertise and manufacturing capabilities, the company can develop and supply specialized components for these industries. Diversifying into non-aviation markets reduces the company's reliance on the aerospace industry and provides new avenues for growth. These markets are expected to grow as technology advances.
  • Innovation and new product development: TransDigm invests in research and development to create innovative products and solutions for the aerospace and defense industries. New product development allows the company to differentiate itself from competitors, capture market share, and maintain its technological edge. The company's focus on proprietary products ensures that it can capture the full value of its innovations. This ongoing process helps to ensure future growth.

What Are TDG's Competitive Advantages?

  • Proprietary products with limited competition.
  • Strong aftermarket business with recurring revenue.
  • High barriers to entry due to regulatory requirements and technical expertise.
  • Established relationships with key customers in the aerospace and defense industries.

What Does TDG Do?

Founded in 1993 and headquartered in Cleveland, Ohio, TransDigm Group Incorporated has established itself as a prominent player in the aerospace and defense industries. The company designs, produces, and supplies a wide array of aircraft components, operating through three primary segments: Power & Control, Airframe, and Non-aviation. The Power & Control segment offers critical components such as actuators, controls, ignition systems, pumps, valves, power conditioning devices, electric motors, generators, batteries, and cargo loading systems. These products cater to engine and power system suppliers, airlines, maintenance providers, and military agencies. The Airframe segment provides engineered latching and locking devices, rods, connectors, cockpit security components, displays, audio systems, lavatory components, seat belts, interior surfaces, thermal protection, lighting, and parachutes, serving airframe manufacturers, cabin system suppliers, airlines, maintenance providers, and military agencies. The Non-aviation segment extends TransDigm's expertise to ground transportation, space, energy, and oil and gas markets, offering seat belts, actuators, fuel valves, refueling systems, and turbine controls. TransDigm's strategic focus on proprietary and sole-source products, combined with its aftermarket services, has enabled it to maintain strong profitability and consistent growth.

What Products and Services Does TDG Offer?

  • Designs and manufactures aircraft components.
  • Supplies components to the aerospace and defense industries.
  • Offers products for power and control systems.
  • Provides airframe components and systems.
  • Serves the non-aviation sector with specialized components.
  • Focuses on proprietary and sole-source products.
  • Provides aftermarket services and support.

How Does TDG Make Money?

  • Designs and manufactures proprietary aircraft components.
  • Sells components to OEMs and aftermarket customers.
  • Generates revenue through long-term contracts and aftermarket services.
  • Acquires and integrates niche aerospace component manufacturers.

What Industry Does TDG Operate In?

TransDigm Group Incorporated operates within the aerospace and defense industry, which is characterized by high barriers to entry, long product lifecycles, and stringent regulatory requirements. The industry is driven by factors such as increasing air travel, growing defense budgets, and the need for aircraft maintenance and upgrades. TransDigm's focus on proprietary products and aftermarket services positions it well to capitalize on these trends. Competitors include General Dynamics Corporation (GD) and Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC), but TransDigm differentiates itself through its niche product focus and aftermarket expertise.

Who Are TDG's Key Customers?

  • Engine and power system suppliers.
  • Airframe manufacturers.
  • Third-party maintenance suppliers.
  • Military buying agencies and repair depots.
Model self-rating on this text: 73% (not a measure of the evidence) Updated: May 9, 2026

Research confidence

High 100/100

Broad, current evidence sits behind this analysis.

  • Scored on 94% of our measures
  • Price is current
  • Latest filing 38 days ago
  • Covered by analysts

Why 66?

Measured against companies in the same sector. The figures below are the factor contributions the scoring engine itself produced.

What is helping

  • +0.68 Operating margin (Business Quality)
  • +0.47 Gross margin (Business Quality)
  • +0.36 Net margin (Business Quality)

What is holding it back

  • -0.35 Net debt vs earnings (Financial Strength)
  • -0.31 Return on equity (Business Quality)
  • -0.13 Enterprise value vs sales (Valuation)

Risk penalties applied

  • -0.04 Bankruptcy-risk score in the grey zone

Contribution = how far the company sits from its sector on that measure, weighted by how much the pillar counts. Not investment advice. How the score is built →

MoonshotScore History

Recorded daily since 2026-08-23 · 19 snapshots

2026-08-23 70
2026-08-26 72
2026-08-29 72
2026-09-01 67
2026-09-04 67
2026-09-07 67
2026-09-10 66

What changed?

The grade moved from 70 to 66 (-4).

What moved it up or down:

  • -25 Financial Safety

Held back by:

  • +4 Growth Durability
  • +3 Business Quality

Over the same 18 days the stock moved -6.2%.

TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) Valuation Context

Valued at $63.4B, TDG is classified as a large-cap stock. Analyst price targets span from $1350.00 to $1695.00, with a consensus of $1487.50. At the current price of $1132.94, that implies approximately 31% upside potential. Relative to its peer group, TDG's quantitative score of 66/100 is roughly in line with the peer average of 61/100.

TDG Revenue & Earnings Trend

In Q3 FY2026, TDG generated $2.74B in top-line revenue, marking a sequential increase of 7.7%. The company recorded net income of $539.0M, with diluted EPS of $9.31. Revenue has increased across the last three reported quarters, suggesting sustained momentum for this large-cap Industrials company. Across the four most recent quarters, TDG averaged $9.16 in diluted EPS.

Company Profile

TransDigm Group Incorporated operates in the Aerospace & Defense industry within the Industrials sector. It is headquartered in Cleveland, US. The company is led by CEO Michael J. Lisman. TDG has traded publicly since 2006.

ROE -21%

Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for TransDigm Group Incorporated stands at -21.0%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 8.9%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. TDG trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 34.19, above the Industrials sector average of ~28.00x. Its free cash flow yield is 2.8%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 3.09 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 3.0%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

F-Score 6/9

Financial Health

TransDigm Group Incorporated's Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 1.62 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.

6/8 beats

Earnings Track Record

TransDigm Group Incorporated has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reported quarters — a consistent record of delivering on expectations. Reported results have landed about 3.0% above estimates on average.

Balanced

Insider Activity

Over the past six months, TransDigm Group Incorporated insiders filed 15 SEC Form 4 transactions — 14 sales and 1 purchases. Buying and selling roughly offset over the period, so insider signaling is neutral.

TDG Financials

TDG earnings history & estimates →

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
+11.2%
Net Income Growth (FY)
+21.0%
EPS Growth (FY)
+25.2%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
-3.4%
P/E (TTM)
34.19
Return on Equity (TTM)
-21.0%
Current Ratio
3.1
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
20.1

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Proprietary products with high margins.
  • Strong aftermarket business.
  • Experienced management team.
  • Proven track record of acquisitions.

Bear Case

  • High debt levels.
  • Dependence on the aerospace industry.
  • Exposure to economic cycles.
  • Potential for product liability claims.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · September 2026

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 FY2026 $2.74B $539M $9.31
Q2 FY2026 $2.54B $535M $9.19
Q1 FY2026 $2.29B $445M $7.65
Q4 FY2025 $2.44B $610M $10.50

Q3 FY2026 · filed 4 Aug 2026 · SEC EDGAR →

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

TDG Latest News

TDG Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for TDG.

Price Targets

Low
$1350.00
Consensus
$1487.50
High
$1695.00

Median: $1427.50 (+31.3% from current price)

Source: FMP analyst consensus · as of Aug 25, 2026 · an estimate, not advice

TDG MoonshotScore

66/100

What does this score mean?

MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. TDG scores 66/100 (Grade B+): the number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Leadership: Michael J. Lisman

CEO

Michael J. Lisman serves as the CEO of TransDigm Group Incorporated, leading a workforce of 16,600 employees. His career reflects extensive experience in the aerospace and defense industries. Lisman's background includes various leadership roles focused on strategic growth and operational excellence. He brings a wealth of knowledge in engineering and business management to his current role. His expertise is crucial for navigating the complexities of the aerospace component market and driving TransDigm's continued success.

Track Record: Under Michael J. Lisman's leadership, TransDigm Group Incorporated has maintained its focus on acquiring and integrating niche aerospace component manufacturers. He has overseen the company's continued growth in revenue and profitability, driven by its strong aftermarket business and proprietary product portfolio. Lisman has also emphasized innovation and new product development to maintain TransDigm's competitive edge.

What Investors Ask About TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) — Industrials

What does the AI Score mean for TDG?

TDG holds an AI Score of 66/100 (Grade: B+). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers. TransDigm Group Incorporated is a leading global designer, producer, and supplier of highly engineered aircraft components.

Is TDG a good stock?

Stock Expert AI does not rate TDG buy, sell or hold. TransDigm Group Incorporated carries a MoonshotScore of 66/100 on the five-pillar engine, a research rating against its peers. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns, what the price assumes, and what would prove you wrong.

What are the main risks for TDG?

The main risks for TransDigm Group Incorporated include economic downturns, which can reduce demand for air travel and aircraft components.

What are the key factors to evaluate for TDG?

TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) holds a MoonshotScore of 66/100 (moderate). P/E: 34.19x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $1487.50 (+31%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does TDG data refresh on this page?

TDG's price was last updated on Sep 11, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours; the quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven TDG's recent stock price performance?

TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Proprietary products with high margins. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider TDG overvalued or undervalued right now?

TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) trades at 34.19x earnings. Analysts target $1487.50 (+31%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Can I buy fractional shares of TDG?

Yes, most major brokerages offer fractional shares of TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) with no minimum purchase requirement. This means you can invest any dollar amount regardless of the share price. Check your brokerage platform for specific terms, fees, and fractional share availability.

How can I track TDG's earnings and financial reports?

TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) reports quarterly earnings approximately 4-6 weeks after each fiscal quarter ends. You can track earnings dates, revenue and EPS estimates, and actual results on this page's Financials tab. Earnings surprises (beats or misses) often cause significant short-term price moves. Your brokerage can send alerts for TDG earnings announcements.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated MoonshotScore as of
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Information is based on available data and may be subject to change.
  • Financial metrics are as of the latest reporting period.
Data Sources
Financial Modeling Prep (FMP)Stock Expert AI proprietary analysis

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