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Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) Stock Analysis

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$366.10 -$7.96 (-2.13%) |Exceptional · 96
Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) bottom line: Strongly Bullish — our Council read (75/100) and AI Score (96/100) broadly agree. Strongest signal: Business Quality strong · Biggest watch-out: Valuation weak.Educational signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Compare sector peers → · Read the method →
MCap: $25.3B| P/E Ratio: 46.64| Vol: 305.9K| Target: $639.00 (+74.5%) (Aug 25, 2026) (estimate, not advice)| 52-wk range: $269.23 – $547.20

P/E 46.64 means the share price is 46.64 times one year of earnings per share; the S&P 500 usually sits near 20-25. Market cap $25.3B is the value of all shares combined.

Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated May 9, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR

Quick Answer

Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) trades at $366.10 with MoonshotScore 96/100 (Grade A+). Texas Pacific Land Corporation operates in land and resource management, as well as water services, primarily within the Permian Basin. Market cap: $25.3B, Sector: Energy.

Price as of Sep 10, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 9, 2026
Texas Pacific Land Corporation operates in land and resource management, as well as water services, primarily within the Permian Basin. The company manages extensive land holdings and generates revenue through royalties, leases, and water-related services.

TPL stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $639.00 for Texas Pacific Land Corporation, suggesting 74.5% upside from the current price of $366.10. The AI MoonshotScore is 96/100, in the Exceptional band (80-100) — a research signal, not a recommendation. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the TPL film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min

These figures come from statements filed 12 months ago — the most recent this company has published.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Strongly Bullish 75/100 · A

TPL: 3/3 scored disciplines lean bullish. Dominant signal: Business Quality strong.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Five-pillar engine · 96/100
Business Quality
Strong Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Strong Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Negative Am I paying a fair price?
Growth Durability
Moderate Is the growth real and likely to last?
Momentum
Weak Is the market already moving on this?

Strongest side: Business Quality (10/10, Strong). Weakest side: Valuation (1/10, Negative).

Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Dalio-style lens (simulated)Ray Dalio
Favorable read
Griffin-style lens (simulated)Ken Griffin
Favorable read
Englander-style lens (simulated)Izzy Englander
Neutral read
Klarman-style lens (simulated)Seth Klarman
Unfavorable read
Moon AI lens (model)
Favorable read
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Strong
Margin of Safety
Overvalued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →
The lenses are modelled on the published principles of the investors named. We are not affiliated with them, they have not endorsed this, and it is not their opinion of this stock.

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) Energy Operations & Outlook

CEOTyler Glover
Employees114
HeadquartersDallas, TX, US
IPO Year1980
SectorEnergy

Texas Pacific Land Corporation, managing approximately 880,000 acres primarily in the Permian Basin, generates revenue through land and resource management, including oil and gas royalties, commercial leases, and water services, distinguishing itself via significant land ownership and water solutions for energy operators.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NYSE Analysis: May 9, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for TPL?

AI-written as of May 9, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Texas Pacific Land Corporation presents a compelling, albeit high multiple, investment case predicated on its extensive land holdings in the Permian Basin and its strategic positioning in water services. The company's royalty income from oil and gas production, coupled with increasing demand for water solutions, drives revenue growth. With a P/E ratio of 46.64, the valuation reflects high expectations. Key catalysts include continued development in the Permian Basin and expansion of its water infrastructure. The company's high gross margin of 97.7% and profit margin of 60.0% demonstrate operational efficiency. However, reliance on the Permian Basin and fluctuations in commodity prices pose risks.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

TPL Key Highlights

AI-written as of May 9, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Market capitalization of $25.3B reflects investor confidence in TPL's asset base and future growth potential.

  • P/E ratio of 46.64 indicates a premium valuation, suggesting high growth expectations.
  • Gross margin of 97.7% showcases the profitability of TPL's royalty and water services business model.
  • Profit margin of 60.0% highlights efficient operations and strong pricing power.
  • Dividend yield of 0.56% provides a modest income stream for investors.

Who Are TPL's Competitors?

TPL is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap MoonshotScore
HAL Halliburton Company $36.07 -2.85% $30.1B 635-pillar
TS Tenaris S.A. $57.31 +0.69% $30.8B 895-pillar
DVN Devon Energy Corporation $50.02 +2.12% $55.0B 635-pillar
FTI TechnipFMC plc $75.58 -2.87% $29.6B 835-pillar
IPXHF Inpex Corporation $25.09 0.00% $29.2B 509-signal
EXE Expand Energy Corporation $94.70 -2.24% $21.9B 865-pillar
PR Permian Resources Corporation $23.70 +0.34% $19.8B 795-pillar
EQT EQT Corporation $54.95 +0.59% $34.4B 785-pillar

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance This table mixes two scoring engines — compare a number only with others carrying the same tag.

What Are TPL's Key Strengths?

Extensive land holdings in the Permian Basin.

  • High gross and profit margins.
  • Diversified revenue streams from royalties, leases, and water services.
  • Strategic location in a key oil and gas producing region.

What Are TPL's Weaknesses?

Reliance on the Permian Basin.

  • Exposure to commodity price fluctuations.
  • Limited diversification outside of oil and gas.
  • High P/E ratio indicates premium valuation.

What Could Drive TPL Stock Higher?

TPL catalyst: Continued development of oil and gas resources in the Permian Basin, driving increased royalty income.

  • Expansion of water services infrastructure and service offerings, capitalizing on growing demand.
  • Potential strategic land leases for commercial and renewable energy projects.
  • Implementation of data analytics and optimization technologies to improve operational efficiency.

What Are the Key Risks for TPL?

Inconsistent delivery — missed Wall Street EPS estimates in 3 of the last 8 reported quarters.

  • Rich valuation — a P/E of 46.64 runs well above the Energy sector’s ~15.80x, leaving little room for a miss.
  • Decline in oil and gas prices, impacting royalty income.
  • Increased regulation of oil and gas production, increasing compliance costs.
  • Competition from other water service providers, reducing market share.
  • Environmental concerns related to oil and gas production, potentially leading to operational restrictions.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for TPL?

  • Expansion of Water Services: The increasing need for water management solutions in the Permian Basin presents a significant growth opportunity for TPL. As oil and gas production intensifies, the demand for water sourcing, treatment, and disposal services will rise. TPL can capitalize on this by expanding its water infrastructure and service offerings.
  • Increased Royalty Income: Continued development of oil and gas resources on TPL's land will drive increased royalty income. As operators drill more wells and increase production, TPL's royalty revenue will grow proportionally. The Permian Basin is expected to remain a key oil and gas producing region for decades, ensuring a steady stream of royalty income for TPL. This organic growth opportunity requires minimal additional investment from TPL.
  • Strategic Land Leases: TPL can generate additional revenue by strategically leasing its land for various commercial purposes, including pipelines, storage facilities, and renewable energy projects. As infrastructure development in the Permian Basin continues, the demand for land leases will increase. TPL can capitalize on this by offering attractive lease terms and locations. This diversified revenue stream can supplement its royalty income and water services revenue.
  • Renewable Energy Initiatives: TPL can explore opportunities to develop renewable energy projects on its land, such as solar and wind farms. The demand for renewable energy is growing, and TPL's vast land holdings provide ample space for these projects. By partnering with renewable energy developers, TPL can generate additional revenue and diversify its business. This initiative aligns with the growing focus on sustainable energy solutions.
  • Data Analytics and Optimization: Investing in data analytics and optimization technologies can improve the efficiency of TPL's water services and land management operations. By leveraging data to optimize water usage, predict demand, and identify new opportunities, TPL can enhance its profitability and competitive advantage. This data-driven approach can also help TPL make more informed decisions about land leases and resource allocation.

What Are TPL's Competitive Advantages?

  • Extensive Land Holdings: TPL's ownership of approximately 880,000 acres in the Permian Basin provides a significant competitive advantage.
  • Royalty Income: The company's royalty income stream provides a stable and predictable source of revenue.
  • Water Services: TPL's water services business addresses a critical need for oil and gas operators in the Permian Basin.
  • Strategic Location: TPL's land is strategically located in a key oil and gas producing region.

What Does TPL Do?

Founded in 1888, Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) has evolved from its origins as a land grant stemming from railroad development into a prominent land and resource management company. Headquartered in Dallas, Texas, TPL's primary business revolves around managing its extensive land holdings, which total approximately 880,000 acres, predominantly located in the Permian Basin of West Texas. The company operates through two main segments: Land and Resource Management, and Water Services and Operations. The Land and Resource Management segment generates revenue through oil and gas royalties, commercial leases (including those for pipelines, utilities, and storage facilities), and the sale of materials like caliche. TPL holds significant nonparticipating royalty interests (NPRI) across a large portion of its acreage. The Water Services and Operations segment provides comprehensive water solutions to oil and gas operators in the Permian Basin, including water sourcing, produced-water gathering and treatment, infrastructure development, disposal solutions, and water tracking services. This segment also benefits from royalties on water sourced from TPL's land. TPL's unique business model, centered on land ownership and resource management, positions it as a key player in supporting energy production in the Permian Basin.

What Products and Services Does TPL Offer?

  • Manages approximately 880,000 acres of land in Texas.
  • Generates revenue from oil and gas royalties on its land.
  • Provides water sourcing and treatment services to oil and gas operators.
  • Leases land for pipelines, storage facilities, and other commercial purposes.
  • Sells materials such as caliche from its land.
  • Offers water disposal solutions for produced water.
  • Develops water infrastructure in the Permian Basin.
  • Provides water tracking and analytics services.

How Does TPL Make Money?

  • Generates royalty income from oil and gas production on its land.
  • Provides water services to oil and gas operators in the Permian Basin.
  • Leases land for commercial purposes, including pipelines and storage facilities.
  • Sells materials extracted from its land.

What Industry Does TPL Operate In?

Texas Pacific Land Corporation operates within the oil and gas exploration and production industry, specifically benefiting from the activity in the Permian Basin. The industry is characterized by cyclical commodity prices and capital-intensive operations. TPL distinguishes itself through its unique land ownership model, generating revenue from royalties and water services rather than direct oil and gas production. The Permian Basin is a key growth area, driving demand for TPL's services. Competitors include companies like Halliburton Company (HAL) and Devon Energy Corporation (DVN), which are involved in various aspects of oil and gas production and services.

Who Are TPL's Key Customers?

  • Oil and gas exploration and production companies operating in the Permian Basin.
  • Pipeline companies requiring easements for transportation.
  • Energy companies needing land for storage and processing facilities.
  • Renewable energy developers seeking land for solar and wind farms.
Model self-rating on this text: 83% (not a measure of the evidence) Updated: May 9, 2026

Research confidence

High 100/100

Broad, current evidence sits behind this analysis.

  • Scored on 97% of our measures
  • Price is current
  • Latest filing 37 days ago
  • Covered by analysts

Why 96?

Measured against companies in the same sector. The figures below are the factor contributions the scoring engine itself produced.

What is helping

  • +0.78 Return on invested capital (Business Quality)
  • +0.78 Return on assets (Business Quality)
  • +0.78 Gross profit per dollar of assets (Business Quality)

What is holding it back

  • -0.26 Enterprise value vs EBITDA (Valuation)
  • -0.26 Price to book (Valuation)
  • -0.20 Enterprise value vs free cash flow (Valuation)

Contribution = how far the company sits from its sector on that measure, weighted by how much the pillar counts. Not investment advice. How the score is built →

MoonshotScore History

Recorded daily since 2026-08-23 · 19 snapshots

2026-08-23 96
2026-08-26 96
2026-08-29 96
2026-09-01 96
2026-09-04 95
2026-09-07 95
2026-09-10 96

What changed?

The score has stayed at 96.

What moved it up or down:

  • -11 Valuation
  • -3 Momentum
  • +2 Growth Durability

Over the same 18 days the stock moved -4.6%.

Company Profile

Texas Pacific Land Corporation operates in the Oil & Gas Exploration & Production industry within the Energy sector. It is headquartered in Dallas, US. The company is led by CEO Tyler Glover. TPL has traded publicly since 1980.

Texas Pacific Land Corporation Financial Trajectory

Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) reported $246.1M in revenue for Q2 FY2026, reflecting 3.9% growth compared to the prior quarter. The company recorded net income of $153.9M, with diluted EPS of $2.23. Revenue has increased across the last three reported quarters, suggesting sustained momentum for this large-cap Energy company. Across the four most recent quarters, TPL averaged $1.96 in diluted EPS.

How Texas Pacific Land Corporation Is Valued

Texas Pacific Land Corporation carries a market capitalization of $25.3B, placing it in the large-cap category. Analyst price targets span from $639.00 to $639.00, with a consensus of $639.00. At the current price of $366.10, that implies approximately 75% upside potential. Relative to its peer group, TPL's quantitative score of 96/100 is above the peer average of 74/100.

ROE 36%

Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Texas Pacific Land Corporation stands at 35.8%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 29.1%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. TPL trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 46.64, above the Energy sector average of ~15.80x. Its free cash flow yield is 2.1%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 4.55 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 2.2%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

F-Score 6/9

Financial Health

Texas Pacific Land Corporation's Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 84.24 places it in the safe zone, indicating low near-term bankruptcy risk.

3/8 beats

Earnings Track Record

Texas Pacific Land Corporation has missed Wall Street's EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reported quarters — a mixed record worth weighing. Reported results have landed about 2.5% below estimates on average.

Net buying

Insider Activity

Over the past six months, Texas Pacific Land Corporation insiders filed 15 SEC Form 4 transactions — 0 sales and 15 purchases. On net that is roughly 15 shares acquired (about $6K) — insiders putting money in tends to read as conviction.

TPL Financials

Next earnings report:

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
+13.1%
Net Income Growth (FY)
+6.0%
EPS Growth (FY)
+6.2%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
+5.5%
P/E (TTM)
46.64
Return on Equity (TTM)
+35.8%
Current Ratio
4.6
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
33.4

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Extensive land holdings in the Permian Basin.
  • High gross and profit margins.
  • Diversified revenue streams from royalties, leases, and water services.
  • Strategic location in a key oil and gas producing region.

Bear Case

  • Reliance on the Permian Basin.
  • Exposure to commodity price fluctuations.
  • Limited diversification outside of oil and gas.
  • High P/E ratio indicates premium valuation.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · September 2026

From the Earnings Call

“Year-to-date, capital expenditures were $29 million. As Ty discussed, in the second half of this year, we will be spending capital to investigate colocation cooling and waste heat capture opportunities at our Orla Phase 2b desalination facility. This spend was embedded in our original CapEx guidance at the beginning of the year, and we reaffirm the fiscal year guide of $65 million to $75 million.”

— Chris Steddum, CFO

“Produced water royalty volumes were 4.9 million barrels per day during the quarter, which represents growth of 6% sequentially and 15% year-over-year, driven by strong demand for TPL's in-basin and out-of-basin pore space.”

— Tyler Glover, CEO

TPL Q2 FY2026 earnings call transcript · 2026-08-06

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 FY2026 $246M $154M $2.23
Q1 FY2026 $237M $143M $2.07
Q4 FY2025 $212M $123M $1.79
Q3 FY2025 $203M $121M $1.76

Q2 FY2026 · filed 5 Aug 2026 · SEC EDGAR →

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

TPL Latest News

TPL Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for TPL.

Price Targets

Low
$639.00
Consensus
$639.00
High
$639.00

Median: $639.00 (+74.5% from current price)

Source: FMP analyst consensus · as of Aug 25, 2026 · an estimate, not advice

TPL MoonshotScore

96/100

What does this score mean?

MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. TPL scores 96/100 (Grade A+): the number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Latest Texas Pacific Land Corporation Analysis

Leadership: Tyler Glover

CEO

Tyler Glover serves as the CEO of Texas Pacific Land Corporation. As CEO, he is responsible for overseeing the company's strategic direction, operational performance, and financial results. His leadership is crucial in navigating the dynamic energy landscape and maximizing the value of TPL's extensive land holdings.

Track Record: Details regarding Tyler Glover's specific achievements and strategic decisions as CEO are not available in the provided context. However, his leadership is instrumental in guiding TPL's growth and maintaining its position as a key player in the Permian Basin. He manages 111 employees.

Common Questions About TPL (Energy)

What does the AI Score mean for TPL?

TPL holds an AI Score of 96/100 (Grade: A+). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Is TPL a good stock?

Stock Expert AI does not rate TPL buy, sell or hold. Texas Pacific Land Corporation carries a MoonshotScore of 96/100 on the five-pillar engine, a research rating against its peers. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns, what the price assumes, and what would prove you wrong.

What do analysts say about TPL stock?

Analyst consensus on Texas Pacific Land Corporation stock reflects a generally positive outlook, driven by the company's strong asset base and growth potential in the Permian Basin. Key valuation metrics, such as the P/E ratio of 46.64, suggest a premium valuation, reflecting high growth expectations. Analysts consider the company's royalty income and water services business to be key growth drivers.

What are the key factors to evaluate for TPL?

Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) holds a MoonshotScore of 96/100 (high). P/E: 46.64x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $639.00 (+75%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does TPL data refresh on this page?

TPL's price was last updated on Sep 10, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours; the quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven TPL's recent stock price performance?

Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Extensive land holdings in the Permian Basin. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider TPL overvalued or undervalued right now?

Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) trades at 46.64x earnings. Analysts target $639.00 (+75%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Can I buy fractional shares of TPL?

Yes, most major brokerages offer fractional shares of Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) with no minimum purchase requirement. This means you can invest any dollar amount regardless of the share price. Check your brokerage platform for specific terms, fees, and fractional share availability.

How can I track TPL's earnings and financial reports?

Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) reports quarterly earnings approximately 4-6 weeks after each fiscal quarter ends. You can track earnings dates, revenue and EPS estimates, and actual results on this page's Financials tab. Earnings surprises (beats or misses) often cause significant short-term price moves. Your brokerage can send alerts for TPL earnings announcements.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated MoonshotScore as of
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Information is based on provided company profile and financial data.
  • Analyst consensus and market data may vary.
  • Forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties.
Data Sources
Financial Modeling Prep (FMP)Stock Expert AI proprietary analysis

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