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Tesco PLC (TSCDY) Stock Analysis

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$18.93 -$0.10 (-0.53%) |CouncilBullish Lean · 58 · B
Tesco PLC (TSCDY) bottom line: signals are mixed — the Council read leans Bullish Lean (58/100) while the AI fundamental score is 46/100 (grade C); the two lenses disagree, so weigh the breakdown below. Strongest single signal: Ken Griffin bullish.Educational signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Compare sector peers → · Read the method →
MCap: $39.5B| P/E Ratio: 17.31| Vol: 6.7K| Target: $20.70 (estimate, not advice)| 52-wk range: $16.65 – $20.54

P/E 17.31 means the share price is 17.31 times one year of earnings per share; the S&P 500 usually sits near 20-25. Market cap $39.5B is the value of all shares combined. Beta 0.65: the stock has moved about 35% less than the S&P 500.

Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated Mar 16, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR

Quick Answer

Tesco PLC (TSCDY) trades at $18.93 with MoonshotScore 46/100 (Grade C). Tesco PLC is a leading international grocery and retail bank, operating primarily in the UK and Europe. Market cap: $39.5B, Sector: Consumer defensive.

Price as of Sep 11, 2026 · Last analyzed: Mar 16, 2026
Tesco PLC is a leading international grocery and retail bank, operating primarily in the UK and Europe. With a history dating back to 1919, Tesco has evolved into a multi-channel retailer offering food, banking, and other services.

TSCDY stock analysis for 2026: The stored analyst price target for Tesco PLC is $20.70; its date is unknown, so no upside or downside is derived from it against the current price of $18.93. The AI MoonshotScore is 46/100, in the Fair band (45-64) — a research signal, not a recommendation. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the TSCDY film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Bullish Lean 58/100 · B

TSCDY: 1/3 scored disciplines lean bullish. Dominant signal: Ken Griffin bullish.

How is this calculated? →
Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Dalio-style lens (simulated)Ray Dalio
Favorable read
Griffin-style lens (simulated)Ken Griffin
Favorable read
Simons-style lens (simulated)Jim Simons
Favorable read
Englander-style lens (simulated)Izzy Englander
Favorable read
Klarman-style lens (simulated)Seth Klarman
Favorable read
Moon AI lens (model)
Neutral read
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Neutral
Margin of Safety
Undervalued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →
The lenses are modelled on the published principles of the investors named. We are not affiliated with them, they have not endorsed this, and it is not their opinion of this stock.

Why this analysis is different

  • A 9-signal quantitative MoonshotScore built from filings, insider activity, and market data — computed from the numbers, not from opinion.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Tesco PLC (TSCDY) Consumer Business Overview

CEOKen Murphy
Employees342,303
HeadquartersWelwyn Garden City, GB
IPO Year1999

Tesco PLC is a multinational grocery and retail bank operating across the UK and Europe, distinguished by its extensive store network, online presence, and integrated banking services. With a market capitalization of $39.5B, Tesco maintains a 2.1% profit margin and offers a 2.91% dividend yield.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis Analysis: Mar 16, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for TSCDY?

AI-written as of Mar 16, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Tesco PLC presents a stable investment opportunity within the consumer defensive sector, supported by its established market presence and diverse revenue streams. The company's dividend yield of 2.91% offers an attractive income component. Key value drivers include its extensive store network and growing online sales channel. Ongoing catalysts involve leveraging data science and technology to improve operational efficiency and customer experience. Potential risks include increasing competition from discount retailers and fluctuations in currency exchange rates, particularly given its international operations. With a P/E ratio of 17.31, Tesco's valuation reflects its mature business model and consistent profitability.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

TSCDY Key Highlights

AI-written as of Mar 16, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Market capitalization of $39.5B, reflecting its significant presence in the grocery retail market.

  • P/E ratio of 17.31, indicating a moderate valuation relative to earnings.
  • Gross margin of 7.7%, highlighting the competitive pricing environment in the grocery sector.
  • Dividend yield of 2.91%, providing a steady income stream for investors.
  • Beta of 0.65, suggesting lower volatility compared to the overall market.

Who Are TSCDY's Competitors?

TSCDY is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap MoonshotScore
ACI Albertsons Companies, Inc. $11.70 -1.27% $5.68B 565-pillar
CGUIF Casino, Guichard-Perrachon S.A. $0.23 -17.31% $91.0M
CRERF Carrefour S.A. $19.42 +6.12% $13.7B 459-signal
DFILF DFI Retail Group Holdings Limited $3.65 0.00% $4.94B
KR The Kroger Co. $59.13 +3.83% $36.2B 625-pillar
ADRNY Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize N.V. $36.05 +0.03% $31.8B 529-signal
LBLCF Loblaw Companies Limited $44.25 -1.95% $51.5B 499-signal
SVNDY Seven & i Holdings Co., Ltd. $12.97 -1.22% $30.0B 429-signal

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance This table mixes two scoring engines — compare a number only with others carrying the same tag.

What Are TSCDY's Key Strengths?

Strong brand recognition and customer loyalty.

  • Extensive store network and online presence.
  • Diversified revenue streams from grocery retail, banking, and other services.
  • Effective supply chain management.

What Are TSCDY's Weaknesses?

Relatively low profit margins compared to other industries.

  • Exposure to intense price competition in the grocery sector.
  • Dependence on the UK market.
  • Past accounting scandals have damaged the company's reputation.

What Could Drive TSCDY Stock Higher?

Continued expansion of online grocery services, driving revenue growth.

  • Leveraging data analytics to improve operational efficiency and personalize customer experiences.
  • Growth in convenience store network, catering to busy lifestyles.
  • Potential expansion of retail banking services, diversifying revenue streams.
  • Possible selective expansion into new international markets with high growth potential.

What Are the Key Risks for TSCDY?

Intense price competition in the grocery sector, impacting profit margins.

  • Fluctuations in currency exchange rates, affecting the value of ADRs.
  • Changes in consumer preferences, requiring adaptation and innovation.
  • Economic downturns, reducing consumer spending.
  • Supply chain disruptions, impacting product availability and costs.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for TSCDY?

  • Expansion of Online Grocery Services: Tesco has the opportunity to further expand its online grocery services, capitalizing on the increasing demand for online shopping. The global online grocery market is projected to reach $260 billion by 2028, growing at a CAGR of 11.2%. Tesco can leverage its existing infrastructure and customer base to capture a larger share of this market.
  • Leveraging Data Analytics: Tesco can utilize its vast data resources to improve operational efficiency, personalize customer experiences, and optimize pricing strategies. By investing in data analytics capabilities, Tesco can gain a competitive edge and drive revenue growth.
  • Growth in Convenience Stores: Tesco's network of One-Stop convenience stores offers a significant growth opportunity. The convenience store market is driven by busy lifestyles and the demand for quick and easy shopping solutions. Tesco can expand its convenience store network in strategic locations to cater to this growing demand.
  • Expansion of Retail Banking Services: Tesco Bank offers an opportunity to diversify revenue streams and enhance customer loyalty. By expanding its range of financial products and services, Tesco can attract new customers and increase cross-selling opportunities. The retail banking market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 3.5% over the next five years.
  • International Expansion: While Tesco has scaled back its international operations in recent years, there may be opportunities to selectively expand into new markets with high growth potential. Emerging markets with a growing middle class and increasing urbanization offer attractive opportunities for expansion. However, Tesco must carefully assess the risks and challenges associated with entering new markets.

What Are TSCDY's Competitive Advantages?

  • Scale: Tesco's large store network and online presence provide a significant scale advantage.
  • Brand Recognition: Tesco is a well-known and trusted brand in the UK and Europe.
  • Customer Loyalty: Tesco's Clubcard loyalty program helps to retain customers and drive repeat purchases.
  • Integrated Business Model: Tesco's combination of grocery retail, banking, and other services provides a diversified revenue stream and enhances customer loyalty.

What Does TSCDY Do?

Founded in 1919, Tesco PLC has grown from a market stall in London's East End to become one of the world's leading retailers. The company operates approximately 4,752 stores across the United Kingdom, Republic of Ireland, the Czech Republic, Slovakia, and Hungary, as well as a robust online platform. Tesco's core business is providing food products, but it has diversified into retail banking and insurance services in the UK. The company also engages in food and drink wholesaling activities. Tesco operates a network of One-Stop convenience stores, catering to immediate consumer needs. Furthermore, Tesco provides data science, technology, software, and consultancy services, leveraging its vast operational data. Headquartered in Welwyn Garden City, UK, Tesco continues to adapt to changing consumer preferences and technological advancements, maintaining its competitive position through innovation and customer-centric strategies.

What Products and Services Does TSCDY Offer?

  • Operates a network of grocery stores across the UK and Europe.
  • Provides online grocery shopping services.
  • Offers retail banking and insurance services in the UK.
  • Engages in food and drink wholesaling activities.
  • Operates a network of One-Stop convenience stores.
  • Provides data science, technology, software, and consultancy services.

How Does TSCDY Make Money?

  • Generates revenue from the sale of food products and other merchandise in its stores and online.
  • Earns income from retail banking and insurance services.
  • Derives revenue from food and drink wholesaling activities.
  • Provides data science, technology, software, and consultancy services to other businesses.

What Industry Does TSCDY Operate In?

Tesco PLC operates in the highly competitive grocery retail industry, characterized by thin margins and intense price competition. The industry is undergoing significant transformation, driven by the growth of online grocery shopping and the increasing popularity of discount retailers. Tesco competes with traditional supermarkets, convenience stores, and online retailers. The company's scale and brand recognition provide a competitive advantage, but it must continuously adapt to changing consumer preferences and technological advancements to maintain its market share.

Who Are TSCDY's Key Customers?

  • Individual consumers shopping for groceries and household goods.
  • Businesses purchasing food and drink products through wholesale channels.
  • Customers using Tesco's retail banking and insurance services.
  • Businesses seeking data science, technology, software, and consultancy services.
Model self-rating on this text: 72% (not a measure of the evidence) Updated: Mar 16, 2026

Research confidence

Medium 49/100

Enough evidence to be useful, with gaps worth knowing about.

  • Scoring coverage unknown
  • Price is current
  • Latest filing 195 days ago
  • Covered by analysts
  • Reported in GBP, converted to USD

Why 46?

This rating comes from our nine-signal model, which produces a score but not a per-factor breakdown. The sector-relative five-pillar model, which explains its own contributions, does not cover this listing yet. How the score is built →

MoonshotScore History

Recorded daily since 2026-08-23 · 19 snapshots

2026-08-23 46
2026-08-26 46
2026-08-29 46
2026-09-01 46
2026-09-04 46
2026-09-07 46
2026-09-10 46

What changed?

The score has stayed at 46.

Over the same 18 days the stock moved +0.5%.

Tesco PLC (TSCDY) Valuation Context

Valued at $39.5B, TSCDY is classified as a large-cap stock. Relative to its peer group, TSCDY's quantitative score of 46/100 is roughly in line with the peer average of 51/100.

TSCDY Revenue & Earnings Trend

In Q4 FY2026, TSCDY generated $50.86B in top-line revenue, marking a sequential increase of 4.4%. The company recorded net income of $1.13B, with diluted EPS of $0.53. Revenue has increased across the last three reported quarters, suggesting sustained momentum for this large-cap Consumer Defensive company. Across the four most recent quarters, TSCDY averaged $0.51 in diluted EPS.

Company Profile

Tesco PLC operates in the Grocery Stores industry within the Consumer Defensive sector. It is headquartered in Welwyn Garden City, GB. The company is led by CEO Ken Murphy. TSCDY has traded publicly since 1999.

ROE 16%

Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Tesco PLC stands at 16.0%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 4.5%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. TSCDY trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 17.31, below the Consumer Defensive sector average of ~27.60x. Its free cash flow yield is 9.2%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 0.59 means current liabilities exceed short-term assets, a liquidity point worth watching. Its earnings yield is 6.0%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

F-Score 8/9

Financial Health

Tesco PLC's Piotroski F-Score is 8/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — signaling solid underlying fundamentals. Its Altman Z-Score of 4.80 places it in the safe zone, indicating low near-term bankruptcy risk.

5/8 beats

Earnings Track Record

Tesco PLC has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reported quarters — more hits than misses. Reported results have landed about 0.6% below estimates on average.

TSCDY Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
+4.8%
Net Income Growth (FY)
+9.3%
EPS Growth (FY)
+12.5%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
+66.2%
P/E (TTM)
17.31
Return on Equity (TTM)
+16.0%
Current Ratio
0.6
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
8.9

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2026

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Strong brand recognition and customer loyalty.
  • Extensive store network and online presence.
  • Diversified revenue streams from grocery retail, banking, and other services.
  • Effective supply chain management.

Bear Case

  • Relatively low profit margins compared to other industries.
  • Exposure to intense price competition in the grocery sector.
  • Dependence on the UK market.
  • Past accounting scandals have damaged the company's reputation.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · March 2026

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q4 FY2026 $50.86B $1.13B $0.53
Q2 FY2026 $48.72B $1.28B $0.58
Q4 FY2025 $47.52B $777M $0.34
Q2 FY2025 $47.02B $1.42B $0.61

Q4 FY2026 · filed 28 Feb 2026 · SEC EDGAR →

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · Converted to USD from GBP at today's rate

TSCDY Latest News

TSCDY Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for TSCDY.

Price Targets

Consensus target: $20.70

TSCDY MoonshotScore

46/100

What does this score mean?

MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. TSCDY scores 46/100 (Grade C): the number comes from the legacy nine-factor engine (quantitative signals from revenue growth to news sentiment), written once, not refreshed.

Leadership: Ken Murphy

Chief Executive Officer

Ken Murphy is the Chief Executive Officer of Tesco PLC. He has extensive experience in the retail industry, having previously served as Chief Commercial Officer at Boots UK and Ireland. Prior to that, he held various senior leadership roles at Alliance Boots. Murphy has a strong track record of driving growth and improving operational efficiency. He is a graduate of Harvard Business School's Advanced Management Program.

Track Record: Since becoming CEO, Ken Murphy has focused on strengthening Tesco's core business, improving customer service, and investing in technology. He has overseen the expansion of Tesco's online grocery services and the implementation of new data analytics capabilities. Under his leadership, Tesco has maintained its market share and improved its financial performance.

Tesco PLC ADR Information Unsponsored

An American Depositary Receipt (ADR) is a certificate representing shares of a foreign company trading on U.S. stock exchanges. TSCDY is a Level 1 ADR, meaning it trades over-the-counter (OTC) rather than on a major exchange. This allows U.S. investors to invest in Tesco PLC without directly dealing with foreign markets.

  • Home Market Ticker: London Stock Exchange (LSE), United Kingdom
  • ADR Level: 1
  • ADR Ratio: 1:1
  • Home Market Ticker: TSCD
Currency Risk: As an ADR, TSCDY is subject to currency risk. The value of the ADR is affected by fluctuations in the exchange rate between the British pound (GBP) and the U.S. dollar (USD). If the pound weakens against the dollar, the value of the ADR may decrease, and vice versa.
Tax Implications: Dividends paid on TSCDY are subject to foreign dividend withholding tax by the UK government. The standard withholding tax rate is typically 0-15%, but this may be reduced or eliminated depending on the provisions of any applicable tax treaty between the UK and the investor's country of residence. Investors should consult with a tax advisor to determine their specific tax obligations.
Trading Hours: The London Stock Exchange (LSE) operates from 8:00 AM to 4:30 PM GMT. This translates to 3:00 AM to 11:30 AM EST. Therefore, there is a significant overlap in trading hours between the LSE and the U.S. markets, but U.S. investors may need to trade during early morning hours to participate fully in the trading of TSCDY.

TSCDY OTC Market Information

The OTC Other tier represents the lowest tier of the over-the-counter (OTC) market. Companies in this tier often have limited or no financial disclosure and may not meet minimum listing requirements. Trading on the OTC Other tier carries significant risks due to the lack of regulation and transparency compared to exchanges like the NYSE or NASDAQ, where companies must meet stringent listing standards.

  • OTC Tier: OTC Other
Liquidity: Liquidity for TSCDY on the OTC market is likely to be low, potentially leading to wider bid-ask spreads and difficulty in executing large trades without significantly impacting the price. The trading volume may be thin, making it challenging to buy or sell shares quickly. Investors should be prepared for potential price volatility and limited trading opportunities.
OTC Risk Factors:
  • Limited Financial Disclosure: The lack of publicly available financial information makes it difficult to assess the company's financial health and prospects.
  • Low Liquidity: Thin trading volume can lead to price volatility and difficulty in executing trades.
  • Regulatory Risk: OTC-traded companies are subject to less regulatory oversight than those listed on major exchanges.
  • Potential for Fraud: The OTC market has a higher risk of fraud and manipulation due to the lack of regulation.
  • Information Asymmetry: Limited information availability can create an uneven playing field for investors.
Due Diligence Checklist:
  • Verify the company's registration and legal status.
  • Research the company's management team and their track record.
  • Attempt to obtain financial statements and other relevant information.
  • Assess the company's business model and competitive landscape.
  • Understand the risks associated with investing in OTC-traded securities.
  • Consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
  • Be wary of unsolicited investment offers or guarantees of high returns.
Legitimacy Signals:
  • Established Operating History: Tesco PLC has a long and established operating history, which provides some reassurance.
  • Listing on Home Market: The company is listed on the London Stock Exchange (LSE), a reputable exchange.
  • Recognizable Brand: Tesco is a well-known and trusted brand in the UK and Europe.

What Investors Ask About Tesco PLC (TSCDY) — Consumer Defensive

What does the AI Score mean for TSCDY?

TSCDY holds an AI Score of 46/100 (Grade: C). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the legacy nine-factor engine (quantitative signals from revenue growth to news sentiment), written once, not refreshed. Tesco PLC is a leading international grocery and retail bank, operating primarily in the UK and Europe.

Is TSCDY a good stock?

Stock Expert AI does not rate TSCDY buy, sell or hold. Tesco PLC carries a MoonshotScore of 46/100 on the legacy nine-factor engine, a research rating against its peers. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns, what the price assumes, and what would prove you wrong.

What are the main risks for TSCDY?

The main risks for TSCDY include intense price competition in the grocery sector, which can pressure profit margins. Fluctuations in currency exchange rates pose a risk to the value of the ADR for U.S. investors.

What are the key factors to evaluate for TSCDY?

Tesco PLC (TSCDY) holds a MoonshotScore of 46/100 (low). P/E: 17.31x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. The company's dividend yield of 2.91% offers an attractive income component. Not financial advice.

How frequently does TSCDY data refresh on this page?

TSCDY's price was last updated on Sep 11, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours; the quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven TSCDY's recent stock price performance?

Tesco PLC (TSCDY) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Strong brand recognition and customer loyalty. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider TSCDY overvalued or undervalued right now?

Tesco PLC (TSCDY) trades at 17.31x earnings. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Can I buy fractional shares of TSCDY?

Yes, most major brokerages offer fractional shares of Tesco PLC (TSCDY) with no minimum purchase requirement. This means you can invest any dollar amount regardless of the share price. Check your brokerage platform for specific terms, fees, and fractional share availability.

How can I track TSCDY's earnings and financial reports?

Tesco PLC (TSCDY) reports quarterly earnings approximately 4-6 weeks after each fiscal quarter ends. You can track earnings dates, revenue and EPS estimates, and actual results on this page's Financials tab. Earnings surprises (beats or misses) often cause significant short-term price moves. Your brokerage can send alerts for TSCDY earnings announcements.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • OTC market data may be less reliable than exchange-listed data.
  • Analyst ratings and price targets are subject to change.
  • Investment decisions should be based on individual risk tolerance and financial circumstances.
Data Sources
Financial Modeling Prep (FMP)Stock Expert AI proprietary analysis

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