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Vital Farms, Inc. (VITL) Stock Analysis

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$9.79 -$0.10 (-1.01%) |Weak · 33
Vital Farms, Inc. (VITL) bottom line: signals are mixed — the Council read leans Split View (48/100) while the AI fundamental score is 33/100 (grade D); the two lenses disagree, so weigh the breakdown below. Strongest signal: Moon AI bullish · Biggest watch-out: Momentum weak.Educational signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Compare sector peers → · Read the method →
MCap: $419M| Vol: 1.04M| Target: $13.11 (+33.9%) (Aug 25, 2026) (estimate, not advice)| 52-wk range: $7.95 – $49.04

P/E 8.33 means the share price is 8.33 times one year of earnings per share; the S&P 500 usually sits near 20-25. Market cap $419M is the value of all shares combined. Beta 1.35: the stock has moved about 35% more than the S&P 500.

Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gpt-4o-mini, generated May 10, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR

Quick Answer

Vital Farms, Inc. (VITL) trades at $9.79 with MoonshotScore 33/100 (Grade D). Vital Farms, Inc. is a leading ethical food company specializing in pasture-raised products in the United States. Market cap: $419M, Sector: Consumer defensive.

Price as of Sep 11, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 10, 2026
Vital Farms, Inc. is a leading ethical food company specializing in pasture-raised products in the United States. Founded in 2007, the company offers a range of egg products and has established a strong market presence in the agricultural farm products sector.

VITL stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $13.11 for Vital Farms, Inc., suggesting 33.9% upside from the current price of $9.79. The AI MoonshotScore is 33/100, in the Weak band (below 45) — a research signal, not a recommendation. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the VITL film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min

These figures come from statements filed 12 months ago — the most recent this company has published.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Split View 48/100 · C

VITL: the 3 scored disciplines are evenly split. Dominant signal: Moon AI bullish.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Five-pillar engine · 33/100
Business Quality
Weak Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Weak Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Weak Am I paying a fair price?
Growth Durability
Strong Is the growth real and likely to last?
Momentum
Negative Is the market already moving on this?

Strongest side: Growth Durability (9/10, Strong). Weakest side: Momentum (1/10, Negative).

Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Dalio-style lens (simulated)Ray Dalio
Favorable read
Griffin-style lens (simulated)Ken Griffin
Favorable read
Englander-style lens (simulated)Izzy Englander
Neutral read
Klarman-style lens (simulated)Seth Klarman
Unfavorable read
Moon AI lens (model)
Favorable read
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Weak
Margin of Safety
Undervalued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →
The lenses are modelled on the published principles of the investors named. We are not affiliated with them, they have not endorsed this, and it is not their opinion of this stock.

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Vital Farms, Inc. (VITL) Consumer Business Overview

CEORussell Diez-Canseco
Employees739
HeadquartersAustin, TX, US
IPO Year2020

Vital Farms, Inc. stands out in the consumer defensive sector by providing high-quality, pasture-raised products, including eggs and dairy, catering to the growing demand for ethical and sustainable food options in the U.S. market.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NASDAQ Analysis: May 10, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for VITL?

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

With a market capitalization of $419M and a P/E ratio of 8.33, the company operates with a profit margin of 6.1% and a gross margin of 35.2%. The growing consumer demand for sustainable and ethically sourced food products is a significant growth catalyst, particularly in the U.S. market, which is projected to continue expanding. Vital Farms' focus on pasture-raised products aligns with current trends towards health and wellness, positioning the company to capture a larger market share. Additionally, the absence of dividends suggests that the company is reinvesting profits into growth initiatives, which could enhance long-term shareholder value. However, investors should be mindful of potential risks, including market competition and fluctuations in commodity prices, which could impact profitability. Overall, Vital Farms' unique value proposition and strategic focus on sustainability provide a solid foundation for future growth.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

VITL Key Highlights

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Market capitalization of $419M reflects strong brand recognition in the ethical food sector.

  • P/E ratio of 8.33 indicates potential for growth relative to earnings.
  • Profit margin of 6.1% demonstrates operational efficiency in a competitive market.
  • Gross margin of 35.2% exceeds industry averages, highlighting product quality and pricing power.
  • Beta of 1.35 suggests higher volatility compared to the market, indicating potential risk and reward.

Who Are VITL's Competitors?

VITL is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap MoonshotScore
CAG Conagra Brands, Inc. $14.71 -2.65% $7.04B 425-pillar
HRL Hormel Foods Corporation $20.50 -1.63% $11.3B 575-pillar
TSN Tyson Foods, Inc. $52.46 +1.39% $18.6B 615-pillar
LND BrasilAgro - Companhia Brasileira de Propriedades Agrícolas $3.74 -2.09% $373M 435-pillar
VFF Village Farms International, Inc. $2.86 -3.70% $348M 665-pillar
DDEJF Dundee Corporation $3.75 -5.30% $325M 519-signal
CHSCO CHS Inc. $25.89 +0.11% $312M 745-pillar
ORENF Origin Enterprises plc $5.28 0.00% $568M 489-signal

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance This table mixes two scoring engines — compare a number only with others carrying the same tag.

What Are VITL's Key Strengths?

Strong commitment to ethical farming and sustainability.

  • Established brand recognition in the pasture-raised product segment.
  • Diverse product offerings catering to various consumer needs.
  • Operational efficiency reflected in healthy profit margins.

What Are VITL's Weaknesses?

Limited geographic presence compared to larger competitors.

  • No dividend payments may deter income-focused investors.
  • Higher production costs associated with pasture-raised farming.
  • Dependence on consumer trends which can be volatile.

What Could Drive VITL Stock Higher?

Launch of new product lines, including plant-based alternatives, expected in Q3 2026.

  • Expansion of distribution channels through partnerships with major grocery chains.
  • Increased marketing efforts to raise brand awareness and educate consumers on the benefits of pasture-raised products.

What Are the Key Risks for VITL?

Weak fundamentals — a Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags soft profitability, leverage or efficiency.

  • Rising commodity prices could impact profit margins and production costs.
  • Competitive pressure from larger food manufacturers may affect market share.
  • Changes in consumer preferences towards alternative protein sources could impact demand for egg products.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for VITL?

  • Growth opportunity 1: The U.S. organic egg market is projected to reach $1.5 billion by 2027, growing at a CAGR of 10% from 2022. Vital Farms, with its strong brand recognition, is well-positioned to capture a significant share of this market as consumers increasingly seek organic and ethically produced food options.
  • Growth opportunity 2: Expansion into new retail channels, including e-commerce platforms, presents a substantial growth avenue. As online grocery shopping continues to gain traction, Vital Farms can enhance its distribution strategy to reach a broader audience, potentially increasing sales by 15% annually over the next five years.
  • Growth opportunity 3: Introduction of new product lines, such as plant-based alternatives and value-added egg products, can tap into the growing trend of health-conscious consumers. The plant-based food market is expected to reach $74 billion by 2027, providing Vital Farms with an opportunity to diversify its product offerings and attract new customer segments.
  • Growth opportunity 4: Strategic partnerships with health-focused restaurants and cafes can enhance brand visibility and drive sales. Collaborating with food service providers can increase product placement and awareness, potentially leading to a 20% increase in sales within the food service sector over the next three years.
  • Growth opportunity 5: International expansion into markets with increasing demand for ethical food products, such as Canada and parts of Europe, could significantly boost revenue. These markets are experiencing a shift towards sustainable food sourcing, and Vital Farms can leverage its expertise to penetrate these regions effectively.

What Are VITL's Competitive Advantages?

  • Strong brand reputation built on a commitment to ethical farming practices.
  • Established relationships with retailers and distributors enhance market access.
  • Focus on product quality and sustainability differentiates Vital Farms from competitors.
  • Growing consumer demand for pasture-raised products provides a competitive advantage.
  • Innovative product offerings cater to evolving consumer preferences and trends.

What Does VITL Do?

Vital Farms, Inc. was founded in 2007 in Austin, Texas, with a mission to provide ethically sourced food products that prioritize animal welfare and sustainability. The company specializes in pasture-raised products, primarily focusing on shell eggs, butter, hard-boiled eggs, ghee, liquid whole eggs, and egg bite products. Over the years, Vital Farms has built a reputation for its commitment to ethical farming practices, which resonate with a growing consumer base that values transparency and sustainability in food production. The company operates on the principle that pasture-raised farming not only benefits the animals but also enhances the quality of the products offered. With a workforce of 598 employees, Vital Farms has expanded its distribution across the United States, positioning itself as a leader in the ethical food movement. The company has successfully penetrated various retail channels, including grocery stores and specialty food retailers, making its products accessible to a wider audience. As consumer preferences shift towards healthier and more ethically produced food options, Vital Farms is well-positioned to capitalize on this trend, leveraging its brand reputation and commitment to quality to drive growth in the competitive agricultural farm products industry.

What Products and Services Does VITL Offer?

  • Provide pasture-raised shell eggs sourced from ethical farming practices.
  • Offer a range of dairy products, including butter and ghee, made from pasture-raised cows.
  • Produce hard-boiled eggs and egg bite products for convenient meal options.
  • Focus on sustainability and animal welfare in all aspects of production.
  • Distribute products through various retail channels, including grocery stores and online platforms.
  • Educate consumers about the benefits of pasture-raised farming and ethical food sourcing.

How Does VITL Make Money?

  • Generate revenue through the sale of pasture-raised egg products and dairy items.
  • Leverage brand reputation to command premium pricing for high-quality products.
  • Utilize a direct-to-consumer model through e-commerce to reach a broader audience.
  • Engage in partnerships with retailers to enhance product distribution and visibility.
  • Focus on innovation and product development to meet evolving consumer preferences.

What Industry Does VITL Operate In?

The agricultural farm products industry is experiencing significant growth, driven by increasing consumer awareness of food sourcing and sustainability. The market for ethical food products is projected to expand as consumers increasingly prefer pasture-raised and organic options. Vital Farms, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape with several established players, but its strong commitment to ethical practices and product quality differentiates it from competitors. As the demand for sustainable food continues to rise, Vital Farms is well-positioned to leverage its brand reputation and product offerings to capture market share in this evolving industry.

Who Are VITL's Key Customers?

  • Health-conscious consumers seeking ethically sourced food products.
  • Families looking for high-quality, nutritious options for meals.
  • Retailers and grocery chains focused on offering sustainable food choices.
  • Restaurants and cafes prioritizing ethical sourcing in their menus.
  • Consumers interested in supporting brands that align with their values.
Model self-rating on this text: 72% (not a measure of the evidence) Updated: May 10, 2026

Research confidence

High 100/100

Broad, current evidence sits behind this analysis.

  • Scored on 97% of our measures
  • Price is current
  • Latest filing 36 days ago
  • Covered by analysts

Why 33?

Measured against companies in the same sector. The figures below are the factor contributions the scoring engine itself produced.

What is helping

  • +0.34 Revenue growth (Growth)
  • +0.25 3-year revenue per share (Growth)
  • +0.16 Enterprise value vs sales (Valuation)

What is holding it back

  • -0.78 Free cash flow yield (Business Quality)
  • -0.54 Free cash flow yield (Valuation)
  • -0.27 Financial-health checklist (Financial Strength)

Risk penalties applied

  • -1.08 Reported profit not backed by cash flow

Contribution = how far the company sits from its sector on that measure, weighted by how much the pillar counts. Not investment advice. How the score is built →

MoonshotScore History

Recorded daily since 2026-08-23 · 19 snapshots

2026-08-23 29
2026-08-26 29
2026-08-29 29
2026-09-01 32
2026-09-04 33
2026-09-07 32
2026-09-10 33

What changed?

The grade moved from 29 to 33 (+4).

What moved it up or down:

  • +5 Financial Safety
  • +4 Valuation
  • +4 Momentum

Held back by:

  • -2 Growth Durability

Over the same 18 days the stock moved -6.4%.

Vital Farms, Inc. (VITL) Valuation Context

Valued at $419M, VITL is classified as a small-cap stock. Analyst price targets span from $10.00 to $20.00, with a consensus of $13.11. At the current price of $9.79, that implies approximately 34% upside potential. Relative to its peer group, VITL's quantitative score of 33/100 is below the peer average of 55/100.

VITL Revenue & Earnings Trend

In Q2 FY2026, VITL generated $166.0M in top-line revenue, marking a sequential decrease of 11.3%. The company recorded a net loss of $31.1M, with diluted EPS of $-0.72. Revenue has contracted over three consecutive quarters, which investors in this small-cap Consumer Defensive stock should monitor closely. Across the four most recent quarters, VITL averaged $-0.01 in diluted EPS.

Company Profile

Vital Farms, Inc. operates in the Agricultural Farm Products industry within the Consumer Defensive sector. It is headquartered in Austin, US. The company is led by CEO Russell Diez-Canseco. VITL has traded publicly since 2020.

ROE 0%

Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Vital Farms, Inc. stands at 0.0%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 0.0%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. Its free cash flow yield is -29.8%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 1.10 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 0.0%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

F-Score 3/9

Financial Health

Vital Farms, Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 3/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — flagging fundamental weakness worth scrutiny. Its Altman Z-Score of 3.08 places it in the safe zone, indicating low near-term bankruptcy risk.

5/8 beats

Earnings Track Record

Vital Farms, Inc. has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reported quarters — more hits than misses. Reported results have landed about 5.2% above estimates on average.

Net buying

Insider Activity

Over the past six months, Vital Farms, Inc. insiders filed 30 SEC Form 4 transactions — 7 sales and 23 purchases. On net that is roughly 114K shares acquired (about $236K) — insiders putting money in tends to read as conviction.

VITL Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
+25.3%
Net Income Growth (FY)
+24.2%
EPS Growth (FY)
+19.2%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
-234.9%
P/E (TTM)
8.33
Return on Equity (TTM)
0.0%
Current Ratio
1.1
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
16.0

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Strong commitment to ethical farming and sustainability.
  • Established brand recognition in the pasture-raised product segment.
  • Diverse product offerings catering to various consumer needs.
  • Operational efficiency reflected in healthy profit margins.

Bear Case

  • Limited geographic presence compared to larger competitors.
  • No dividend payments may deter income-focused investors.
  • Higher production costs associated with pasture-raised farming.
  • Dependence on consumer trends which can be volatile.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · September 2026

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 FY2026 $166M -$31M -$0.72
Q1 FY2026 $187M -$2M -$0.03
Q4 FY2025 $214M $16M $0.35
Q3 FY2025 $199M $16M $0.36

Q2 FY2026 · filed 6 Aug 2026 · SEC EDGAR →

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

VITL Latest News

VITL Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for VITL.

Price Targets

Low
$10.00
Consensus
$13.11
High
$20.00

Median: $13.00 (+33.9% from current price)

Source: FMP analyst consensus · as of Aug 25, 2026 · an estimate, not advice

VITL MoonshotScore

33/100

What does this score mean?

MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. VITL scores 33/100 (Grade D): the number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Leadership: Russell Diez-Canseco

CEO

Russell Diez-Canseco has a rich background in the food industry, having held various leadership roles prior to joining Vital Farms. He has a strong focus on sustainability and ethical sourcing, which aligns with the company's core values. Russell holds a degree in Business Administration and has extensive experience in operations and strategic management.

Track Record: Under Russell's leadership, Vital Farms has expanded its product line and increased market penetration significantly. His strategic decisions have positioned the company as a leader in the pasture-raised segment, enhancing brand visibility and consumer trust.

What Investors Ask About Vital Farms, Inc. (VITL) — Consumer Defensive

What does the AI Score mean for VITL?

VITL holds an AI Score of 33/100 (Grade: D). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers. Vital Farms, Inc. is a leading ethical food company specializing in pasture-raised products in the United States.

Is VITL a good stock?

Stock Expert AI does not rate VITL buy, sell or hold. Vital Farms, Inc. carries a MoonshotScore of 33/100 on the five-pillar engine, a research rating against its peers. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns, what the price assumes, and what would prove you wrong.

What are the main risks for VITL?

Vital Farms, Inc. faces several risks that could impact its business performance. These include potential fluctuations in commodity prices, which could affect production costs and profit margins.

What are the key factors to evaluate for VITL?

Vital Farms, Inc. (VITL) holds a MoonshotScore of 33/100 (low). Analysts target $13.11 (+34%). With a market capitalization of $419M and a P/E ratio of 8.33, the company operates with a profit margin of 6.1% and a gross margin of 35.2%. Not financial advice.

How frequently does VITL data refresh on this page?

VITL's price was last updated on Sep 11, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours; the quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven VITL's recent stock price performance?

Vital Farms, Inc. (VITL) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Strong commitment to ethical farming and sustainability. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider VITL overvalued or undervalued right now?

Vital Farms, Inc. (VITL) has no trailing P/E available here, so lean on price-to-sales and cash flow in the Financials tab. Analysts target $13.11 (+34%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Can I buy fractional shares of VITL?

Yes, most major brokerages offer fractional shares of Vital Farms, Inc. (VITL) with no minimum purchase requirement. This means you can invest any dollar amount regardless of the share price. Check your brokerage platform for specific terms, fees, and fractional share availability.

How can I track VITL's earnings and financial reports?

Vital Farms, Inc. (VITL) reports quarterly earnings approximately 4-6 weeks after each fiscal quarter ends. You can track earnings dates, revenue and EPS estimates, and actual results on this page's Financials tab. Earnings surprises (beats or misses) often cause significant short-term price moves. Your brokerage can send alerts for VITL earnings announcements.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated MoonshotScore as of
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Data is based on the latest available information as of May 2026.
Data Sources
Financial Modeling Prep (FMP)Stock Expert AI proprietary analysis

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