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Yum! Brands, Inc. (YUM) Stock Analysis

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$141.26 -$2.63 (-1.82%) |Strong · 79
Yum! Brands, Inc. (YUM) bottom line: Bullish Lean — our Council read (65/100) and AI Score (79/100) broadly agree. Strongest signal: Business Quality strong · Biggest watch-out: Seth Klarman bearish.Educational signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Compare sector peers → · Read the method →
MCap: $38.9B| P/E Ratio: 17.96| Vol: 904.2K| Target: $175.33 (+24.1%) (Sep 11, 2026) (estimate, not advice)| 52-wk range: $137.33 – $170.14

P/E 17.96 means the share price is 17.96 times one year of earnings per share; the S&P 500 usually sits near 20-25. Market cap $38.9B is the value of all shares combined. Beta 0.66: the stock has moved about 34% less than the S&P 500.

Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated May 10, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR

Quick Answer

Yum! Brands, Inc. (YUM) trades at $141.26 with MoonshotScore 79/100 (Grade A). Yum! Brands, Inc. operates and franchises quick-service restaurants globally, including KFC, Pizza Hut, Taco Bell, and The Habit Burger Grill. Market cap: $38.9B, Sector: Consumer cyclical.

Price as of Sep 11, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 10, 2026
Yum! Brands, Inc. operates and franchises quick-service restaurants globally, including KFC, Pizza Hut, Taco Bell, and The Habit Burger Grill. The company focuses on expanding its global footprint and enhancing its digital capabilities.

YUM stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $175.33 for Yum! Brands, Inc., suggesting 24.1% upside from the current price of $141.26. The AI MoonshotScore is 79/100, in the Strong band (65-79) — a research signal, not a recommendation. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the YUM film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min

These figures come from statements filed 12 months ago — the most recent this company has published.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Bullish Lean 65/100 · B+

YUM: 1/3 scored disciplines lean bullish. Dominant signal: Business Quality strong.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Five-pillar engine · 79/100
Business Quality
Strong Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Neutral Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Weak Am I paying a fair price?
Growth Durability
Moderate Is the growth real and likely to last?
Momentum
Moderate Is the market already moving on this?

Strongest side: Business Quality (10/10, Strong). Weakest side: Valuation (3/10, Weak).

Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Dalio-style lens (simulated)Ray Dalio
Favorable read
Griffin-style lens (simulated)Ken Griffin
Favorable read
Klarman-style lens (simulated)Seth Klarman
Unfavorable read
Moon AI lens (model)
Neutral read
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Neutral
Margin of Safety
Fairly Valued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →
The lenses are modelled on the published principles of the investors named. We are not affiliated with them, they have not endorsed this, and it is not their opinion of this stock.

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Yum! Brands, Inc. (YUM) Consumer Business Overview

CEOChristopher Lee Turner
Employees49,000
HeadquartersLouisville, KY, US
IPO Year1997
IndustryRestaurants

Yum! Brands, Inc. is a global leader in the quick-service restaurant industry, franchising and operating KFC, Pizza Hut, Taco Bell, and The Habit Burger Grill. With a significant international presence and a focus on digital innovation, Yum! Brands caters to diverse consumer tastes across approximately 157 countries and territories.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NYSE Analysis: May 10, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for YUM?

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Yum! With a market capitalization of $38.9B and a P/E ratio of 17.96, the company demonstrates financial stability. A profit margin of 20.5% and a gross margin of 45.7% indicate efficient operations. Growth catalysts include continued international expansion, particularly in emerging markets, and ongoing digital transformation initiatives. The company's dividend yield of 1.90% offers an additional incentive for investors. However, potential risks include fluctuating consumer preferences and intense competition within the quick-service restaurant industry. Yum! Brands' beta of 0.66 suggests lower volatility compared to the broader market.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

YUM Key Highlights

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Market Cap of $38.9B reflects substantial investor confidence in Yum! Brands' market position.

  • P/E ratio of 17.96 indicates a premium valuation, reflecting expectations of future earnings growth.
  • Profit Margin of 20.5% showcases effective cost management and pricing strategies.
  • Gross Margin of 45.7% demonstrates strong brand value and efficient supply chain management.
  • Dividend Yield of 1.90% provides a steady income stream for investors.

Who Are YUM's Competitors?

YUM is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap MoonshotScore
EBAY eBay Inc. $105.03 +1.47% $46.6B 885-pillar
DHI D.R. Horton, Inc. $135.57 -2.42% $37.9B 775-pillar
CMG Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. $36.12 +0.24% $46.3B 705-pillar
CCL Carnival Corporation & plc $22.47 -1.01% $30.8B 575-pillar
LVS Las Vegas Sands Corp. $42.82 +0.52% $27.7B 765-pillar
CMPGY Compass Group PLC $30.85 +1.28% $52.5B 459-signal
QSR Restaurant Brands International Inc. $76.23 -0.33% $26.5B 675-pillar
DRI Darden Restaurants, Inc. $207.65 -0.85% $23.8B 795-pillar

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance This table mixes two scoring engines — compare a number only with others carrying the same tag.

What Are YUM's Key Strengths?

Strong brand portfolio with iconic brands like KFC, Pizza Hut, and Taco Bell.

  • Extensive global presence with a large number of restaurants in diverse markets.
  • Capital-light franchise model allows for rapid expansion and reduced capital expenditure.
  • Efficient supply chain management ensures consistent product quality and cost control.

What Are YUM's Weaknesses?

Dependence on franchise operators can lead to inconsistencies in service and quality.

  • Exposure to fluctuating consumer preferences and health trends.
  • Intense competition within the quick-service restaurant industry.
  • Vulnerability to economic downturns and changes in consumer spending patterns.

What Could Drive YUM Stock Higher?

Continued expansion in emerging markets, particularly in Asia and Africa.

  • Digital transformation initiatives to enhance customer experience and streamline operations.
  • Menu innovation and adaptation to changing consumer preferences.
  • Strategic partnerships and collaborations to expand market reach.

What Are the Key Risks for YUM?

Negative return on equity (-30.3%) — the business is not currently generating profit on shareholder capital.

  • Inconsistent delivery — missed Wall Street EPS estimates in 3 of the last 8 reported quarters.
  • Rising labor costs and minimum wage requirements.
  • Increasing raw material costs and supply chain disruptions.
  • Changing consumer preferences and health trends.
  • Intense competition from other quick-service restaurant chains and alternative dining options.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for YUM?

  • Expansion in Emerging Markets: Yum! Brands has significant growth potential in emerging markets, particularly in Asia and Africa. These regions offer favorable demographics and increasing disposable incomes. By tailoring menus to local tastes and leveraging its established infrastructure, Yum! Brands can capture a larger share of these rapidly growing markets. The company's focus on franchising facilitates rapid expansion with reduced capital expenditure. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Digital Transformation: Investing in digital technologies, such as mobile ordering, delivery platforms, and loyalty programs, can enhance customer experience and drive sales growth. The company can leverage data analytics to personalize marketing efforts and optimize operations. The global digital transformation market is expected to grow substantially, presenting a significant opportunity for Yum! Brands. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Menu Innovation: Introducing new menu items and adapting to changing consumer preferences can attract new customers and retain existing ones. Yum! Brands can focus on healthier options, plant-based alternatives, and innovative flavor combinations. The company's ability to quickly adapt to market trends is a key competitive advantage. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Brand Repositioning: Repositioning existing brands to appeal to new demographics can unlock additional growth opportunities. Yum! Brands can focus on enhancing brand image, improving customer service, and creating unique dining experiences. The company's diverse brand portfolio allows for targeted marketing campaigns and customized offerings. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Strategic Acquisitions: Acquiring complementary businesses can expand Yum! Brands' market reach and diversify its revenue streams. The company can target smaller restaurant chains with strong regional presence or innovative concepts. Strategic acquisitions can provide access to new customer segments and enhance Yum! Brands' competitive position. Timeline: Ongoing.

What Are YUM's Competitive Advantages?

  • Brand Recognition: Strong brand recognition for KFC, Pizza Hut, and Taco Bell.
  • Global Scale: Extensive global presence with a large number of restaurants.
  • Franchise Model: Capital-light franchise model allows for rapid expansion.
  • Supply Chain: Efficient supply chain management ensures consistent product quality and cost control.

What Does YUM Do?

Yum! Brands, Inc. was established in 1997, formerly known as TRICON Global Restaurants, Inc., and rebranded in May 2002. Headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky, the company has grown to become one of the world's largest quick-service restaurant companies. Yum! Brands operates through four key divisions: KFC, Pizza Hut, Taco Bell, and The Habit Burger Grill. Each brand offers a distinct menu, specializing in chicken, pizza, Mexican-style food, and chargrilled burgers, respectively. As of December 31, 2021, Yum! Brands had a substantial global footprint, with 26,934 KFC units, 18,381 Pizza Hut units, 7,791 Taco Bell units, and 318 The Habit Burger Grill units across approximately 157 countries and territories. The company's strategy focuses on franchising, allowing for rapid expansion with reduced capital expenditure. Yum! Brands also emphasizes digital innovation, aiming to enhance customer experience and streamline operations through technology.

What Products and Services Does YUM Offer?

  • Develops and operates quick-service restaurants globally.
  • Franchises its restaurant brands to independent operators.
  • Operates through four divisions: KFC, Pizza Hut, Taco Bell, and The Habit Burger Grill.
  • Specializes in chicken, pizza, Mexican-style food, and chargrilled burgers.
  • Manages a global supply chain to ensure consistent product quality.
  • Invests in digital technologies to enhance customer experience and streamline operations.
  • Adapts menus to local tastes and preferences in different markets.

How Does YUM Make Money?

  • Franchising: Generates revenue through franchise fees and royalties based on sales.
  • Company-Operated Restaurants: Earns revenue from direct sales in company-owned restaurants.
  • Supply Chain Management: Derives income from managing the supply chain for its restaurants.
  • Brand Licensing: Collects fees for licensing its brand names and trademarks.

What Industry Does YUM Operate In?

Yum! Brands operates in the competitive quick-service restaurant industry, characterized by evolving consumer preferences and intense rivalry. The global fast-food market is projected to reach significant growth in the coming years, driven by urbanization and changing lifestyles. Key competitors include CMG: Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc., and other major restaurant chains. Yum! Brands differentiates itself through its diverse brand portfolio and extensive international presence. The company's focus on digital innovation and menu diversification positions it to capitalize on emerging market trends.

Who Are YUM's Key Customers?

  • General Consumers: Caters to a broad range of consumers seeking quick and affordable meals.
  • Families: Offers family-friendly dining options and value meals.
  • Young Adults: Targets young adults with innovative menu items and digital marketing campaigns.
  • International Markets: Serves diverse customer segments in approximately 157 countries and territories.
Model self-rating on this text: 83% (not a measure of the evidence) Updated: May 10, 2026

Research confidence

High 100/100

Broad, current evidence sits behind this analysis.

  • Scored on 94% of our measures
  • Price is current
  • Latest filing 37 days ago
  • Covered by analysts

Why 79?

Measured against companies in the same sector. The figures below are the factor contributions the scoring engine itself produced.

What is helping

  • +0.78 Return on invested capital (Business Quality)
  • +0.66 Operating margin (Business Quality)
  • +0.65 Net margin (Business Quality)

What is holding it back

  • -0.34 Return on equity (Business Quality)
  • -0.20 Short-term liquidity (Financial Strength)
  • -0.15 Enterprise value vs sales (Valuation)

Contribution = how far the company sits from its sector on that measure, weighted by how much the pillar counts. Not investment advice. How the score is built →

MoonshotScore History

Recorded daily since 2026-08-23 · 19 snapshots

2026-08-23 83
2026-08-26 84
2026-08-29 85
2026-09-01 79
2026-09-04 79
2026-09-07 79
2026-09-10 79

What changed?

The grade moved from 83 to 79 (-4).

What moved it up or down:

  • -13 Financial Safety
  • -4 Growth Durability
  • -1 Business Quality

Held back by:

  • +12 Momentum

Over the same 18 days the stock moved -4.9%.

Net buying

Insider Activity

Over the past six months, Yum! Brands, Inc. insiders filed 13 SEC Form 4 transactions — 7 sales and 6 purchases. On net that is roughly 17K shares acquired (about $1.2M) — insiders putting money in tends to read as conviction.

Quarterly Financial Performance: Yum! Brands, Inc.

Revenue for Yum! Brands, Inc. came in at $2.17B during Q2 FY2026, a 5.3% improvement versus the preceding quarter. The company recorded net income of $853.0M, with diluted EPS of $3.06. Quarter-over-quarter revenue has been mixed, typical for a large-cap company operating in Consumer Cyclical. Across the four most recent quarters, YUM averaged $1.99 in diluted EPS.

YUM Valuation & Market Position

With a $38.9B market cap, Yum! Brands, Inc. sits in the large-cap segment of the market. Analyst price targets span from $168.00 to $185.00, with a consensus of $175.33. At the current price of $141.26, that implies approximately 24% upside potential. Relative to its peer group, YUM's quantitative score of 79/100 is roughly in line with the peer average of 70/100.

ROE -30%

Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Yum! Brands, Inc. stands at -30.3%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 25.5%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. YUM trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 17.96, below the Consumer Cyclical sector average of ~32.70x. Its free cash flow yield is 4.2%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 0.59 means current liabilities exceed short-term assets, a liquidity point worth watching. Its earnings yield is 5.6%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

F-Score 6/9

Financial Health

Yum! Brands, Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 2.21 places it in the grey zone, a middle ground that warrants monitoring.

3/8 beats

Earnings Track Record

Yum! Brands, Inc. has missed Wall Street's EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reported quarters — a mixed record worth weighing. Reported results have landed about 1.6% above estimates on average.

Company Profile

Yum! Brands, Inc. operates in the Restaurants industry within the Consumer Cyclical sector. It is headquartered in Louisville, US. The company is led by CEO Christopher Lee Turner. YUM has traded publicly since 1997.

YUM Financials

Next earnings report:

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
+8.8%
Net Income Growth (FY)
+4.9%
EPS Growth (FY)
+5.9%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
+14.5%
P/E (TTM)
17.96
Return on Equity (TTM)
-30.3%
Current Ratio
0.6
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
17.8

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Strong brand portfolio with iconic brands like KFC, Pizza Hut, and Taco Bell.
  • Extensive global presence with a large number of restaurants in diverse markets.
  • Capital-light franchise model allows for rapid expansion and reduced capital expenditure.
  • Efficient supply chain management ensures consistent product quality and cost control.

Bear Case

  • Dependence on franchise operators can lead to inconsistencies in service and quality.
  • Exposure to fluctuating consumer preferences and health trends.
  • Intense competition within the quick-service restaurant industry.
  • Vulnerability to economic downturns and changes in consumer spending patterns.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · September 2026

From the Earnings Call

“Excluding Pizza Hut, we delivered 7% system sales growth, 6% unit growth and 4% same-store sales growth. This capped a solid first half of the year with KFC delivering a first half development record, Taco Bell meaningfully outperforming the QSR industry in same-store sales and Habit delivering 4% same-store sales growth.”

— Christopher Turner, CEO

“Scaling Byte puts Yum! on a common technology foundation across every channel, simplifying operations and allowing teams in each market to manage menus, pricing, promotions and store hours across all our ordering channels via a single platform. This reduces operational execution risk, increases pricing and promotional agility and leads to a more consistent guest experience.”

— Ranjith Roy, CFO

YUM Q2 FY2026 earnings call transcript · 2026-07-30

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 FY2026 $2.17B $853M $3.06
Q1 FY2026 $2.06B $432M $1.55
Q4 FY2025 $2.51B $535M $1.92
Q3 FY2025 $1.98B $397M $1.41

Q2 FY2026 · filed 5 Aug 2026 · SEC EDGAR →

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

YUM Latest News

YUM Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for YUM.

Price Targets

Low
$168.00
Consensus
$175.33
High
$185.00

Median: $174.50 (+24.1% from current price)

Source: FMP analyst consensus · as of Sep 11, 2026 · an estimate, not advice

YUM MoonshotScore

79/100

What does this score mean?

MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. YUM scores 79/100 (Grade A): the number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Latest Yum! Brands, Inc. Analysis

Leadership: Christopher Lee Turner

CEO

Christopher Lee Turner serves as the CEO of Yum! Brands, Inc., overseeing the strategic direction and operational performance of the company's global restaurant chains. His career spans various leadership roles within the food and beverage industry, demonstrating expertise in brand management, franchising, and international expansion. Turner's experience includes driving innovation, enhancing customer experience, and optimizing supply chain operations. He is responsible for managing a workforce of approximately 49,000 employees.

Track Record: Under Christopher Lee Turner's leadership, Yum! Brands has focused on expanding its digital capabilities and enhancing its global footprint. Key achievements include implementing new technologies to improve customer service and streamlining operations to reduce costs. Turner has also overseen the introduction of innovative menu items and the expansion of the company's presence in emerging markets. His strategic decisions have contributed to Yum! Brands' continued growth and profitability.

What Investors Ask About Yum! Brands, Inc. (YUM) — Consumer Cyclical

What does the AI Score mean for YUM?

YUM holds an AI Score of 79/100 (Grade: A). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers. Yum!

Is YUM a good stock?

Stock Expert AI does not rate YUM buy, sell or hold. Yum! Brands, Inc. carries a MoonshotScore of 79/100 on the five-pillar engine, a research rating against its peers. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns, what the price assumes, and what would prove you wrong.

What does Yum! Brands, Inc. do?

Yum! Brands, Inc. is a global quick-service restaurant company that develops, operates, and franchises a portfolio of well-known brands, including KFC, Pizza Hut, Taco Bell, and The Habit Burger Grill. Yum!

How does Yum! Brands, Inc. manage supply chain and input cost risks?

Yum! Brands, Inc. mitigates supply chain and input cost risks through diversification of suppliers, strategic sourcing agreements, and hedging strategies. The company maintains a global network of suppliers to reduce dependence on any single source. By entering into long-term contracts and hedging commodity prices, Yum! Brands aims to stabilize costs and minimize the impact of market fluctuations.

What are the key factors to evaluate for YUM?

Yum! Brands, Inc. (YUM) holds a MoonshotScore of 79/100 (high). P/E: 17.96x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $175.33 (+24%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does YUM data refresh on this page?

YUM's price was last updated on Sep 11, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours; the quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven YUM's recent stock price performance?

Yum! Brands, Inc. (YUM) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Strong brand portfolio with iconic brands like KFC, Pizza Hut, and Taco Bell. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider YUM overvalued or undervalued right now?

Yum! Brands, Inc. (YUM) trades at 17.96x earnings. Analysts target $175.33 (+24%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Can I buy fractional shares of YUM?

Yes, most major brokerages offer fractional shares of Yum! Brands, Inc. (YUM) with no minimum purchase requirement. This means you can invest any dollar amount regardless of the share price. Check your brokerage platform for specific terms, fees, and fractional share availability.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated MoonshotScore as of
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Information is based on available data as of 2021 and 2026-05-10.
  • Future performance is subject to market conditions and company-specific factors.
Data Sources
Financial Modeling Prep (FMP)Stock Expert AI proprietary analysis

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