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Adamas Trust, Inc. (ADAM) Stock Analysis

$10.18 +$0.10 (+0.99%) |Strong · 79
Adamas Trust, Inc. (ADAM) bottom line: signals are mixed — the Council read leans Bullish Lean (68/100) while the AI fundamental score is 79/100 (grade A); the two lenses disagree, so weigh the breakdown below. Strongest signal: Seth Klarman bullish · Biggest watch-out: Financial Safety weak.
MCap: $915M| P/E Ratio: 8.6| Vol: 689.9K| Target: $11.42 (+12.1%)|
Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.

Adamas Trust, Inc. (ADAM) trades at $10.18 with AI Score 79/100 (Grade A). Adamas Trust, Inc. Market cap: $915M, Sector: Real estate.

Price as of Aug 20, 2026 · Last analyzed: Jun 15, 2026
Adamas Trust, Inc. is a real estate investment trust focused on acquiring, investing in, financing, and managing mortgage-related single-family and multi-family residential assets across the United States. The company's diverse portfolio includes residential loans, various mortgage-backed securities, structured multi-family property investments, and single-family rental properties.

ADAM stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $11.42 for Adamas Trust, Inc., suggesting 12.1% upside from the current price of $10.18. The AI MoonshotScore is 79/100, indicating a strong bullish outlook. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the ADAM film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Bullish Lean 68/100 · B+

ADAM: 2/3 scored disciplines lean bullish. Dominant signal: Seth Klarman bullish.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Growth Potential · 79/100
Business Quality
Moderate Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Negative Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Strong Am I paying a fair price?
Growth Durability
Strong Is the growth real and likely to last?
Momentum
Strong Is the market already moving on this?
Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI
Ray Dalio
Bullish
Ken Griffin
Bullish
Izzy Englander
Bullish
Seth Klarman
Bullish
Moon AI
Bullish
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Weak
Margin of Safety
Undervalued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Adamas Trust, Inc. (ADAM) Real Estate Portfolio & Strategy

CEOJason T. Serrano
Employees70
HeadquartersNew York, US
IPO Year2025

Adamas Trust, Inc. operates as a specialized real estate investment trust, focusing on the acquisition, financing, and management of a diversified portfolio of mortgage-related single-family and multi-family residential assets within the United States. Its strategy encompasses residential loans, agency and non-agency RMBS, structured multi-family investments, and single-family rental properties, aiming to generate income from a broad spectrum of real estate credit assets.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NASDAQ Analysis: Jun 15, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for ADAM?

As of Jun 15, 2026 — figures reflect the data available on that date.

Adamas Trust, Inc. operates as a specialized REIT, deriving value from its diversified portfolio of U.S. residential and commercial mortgage-related assets. The company exhibits strong profitability with a 48.1% profit margin and a 75.0% gross margin, alongside a 13.0% Return on Equity (ROE), indicating efficient asset utilization. Key value drivers include its expertise in sourcing high-yielding residential loans, including business purpose loans, and structured multi-family investments. Active management of its agency and non-agency RMBS, coupled with strategic investments in CMBS, further contributes to its income generation. The September 2025 rebranding to Adamas Trust, Inc. may signal a strategic pivot or renewed market focus. Growth catalysts are expected from expanding its single-family rental property portfolio and increasing its structured multi-family property investments, leveraging demand in these housing segments. However, a significant risk is the company's high debt-to-equity ratio of 765.20, which implies substantial financial leverage and sensitivity to interest rate changes and credit market conditions. Its beta of 1.14 suggests market volatility slightly above average. Ongoing monitoring of asset quality, interest rate trends, and leverage management will be crucial for evaluating the company's long-term performance.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

ADAM Key Highlights

Market capitalization stands at $0.71 billion, reflecting its current valuation in the real estate investment trust sector.

  • Achieved a robust profit margin of 48.1%, indicating strong profitability from its mortgage-related asset investments and management activities.
  • Maintained an impressive gross margin of 75.0%, demonstrating efficient revenue generation relative to its cost of goods sold or direct operating expenses.
  • Generated a Return on Equity (ROE) of 13.0%, signifying effective utilization of shareholder capital to produce net income.
  • Operates with a high debt-to-equity ratio of 765.20, indicating significant financial leverage in its capital structure.

Who Are ADAM's Competitors?

ADAM is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap AI Score
ARI Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. $6.90 +1.17% $904M 83
MFA MFA Financial, Inc. $9.10 +1.11% $929M 81
MFAO MFA Financial, Inc. $25.23 +0.16% $930M 66
MFAN MFA Financial, Inc. $25.18 +0.08% $931M 66
CIM Chimera Investment Corporation $11.76 +0.26% $984M 41
ABR Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. $5.17 +5.51% $995M 71
PMTU PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust $25.75 -0.35% $828M 34
MITN AG Mortgage Investment Trust, Inc. $25.33 +0.12% $806M 46

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are ADAM's Key Strengths?

Highly diversified portfolio across various mortgage-related assets and direct property ownership.

  • Strong profitability metrics with a 48.1% profit margin and 75.0% gross margin.
  • REIT status provides tax efficiency and potential for consistent shareholder distributions (though currently no dividend).
  • Expertise in specialized residential loans and structured multi-family investments.

What Are ADAM's Weaknesses?

Very high debt-to-equity ratio (765.20) indicating significant financial leverage and interest rate sensitivity.

  • No current dividend yield, which might deter income-focused REIT investors.
  • Exposure to credit risk across various mortgage-backed securities and loan portfolios.
  • Reliance on capital markets for financing due to its asset-intensive business model.

What Could Drive ADAM Stock Higher?

ADAM catalyst: Potential strategic initiatives following the company's rebranding to Adamas Trust, Inc. in September 2025, which could involve new asset classes or market focuses.

  • Continued growth in the U.S. single-family rental market, driving increased rental income and asset appreciation for its owned properties.
  • Favorable shifts in the interest rate environment that enhance the profitability of its mortgage-related asset portfolio and reduce borrowing costs.
  • Successful execution of its strategy to expand investments in higher-yielding business purpose loans and structured multi-family property investments.

What Are the Key Risks for ADAM?

Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of 0.08 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).

  • High financial leverage, evidenced by a debt-to-equity ratio of 765.20, which amplifies exposure to interest rate volatility and credit market tightening.
  • Deterioration in the U.S. residential or commercial real estate markets, leading to declines in asset values and increased loan defaults within its portfolio.
  • Sensitivity to interest rate fluctuations, which can impact the value of its fixed-income securities and the cost of its financing.
  • Credit risk associated with its non-agency RMBS, business purpose loans, and structured investments, which carry higher default probabilities than agency-backed assets.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for ADAM?

  • Expansion in Single-Family Rental Property Portfolio: Adamas Trust's direct ownership and management of single-family rental properties presents a significant growth avenue. The U.S. single-family rental market has demonstrated resilience and growth, driven by demographic shifts and evolving housing preferences. Expanding this portfolio allows the company to capture direct rental income and potential property appreciation, diversifying its revenue streams beyond mortgage interest. This strategy leverages strong demand for rental housing, particularly in suburban markets, and offers a tangible asset base that can be less volatile than certain mortgage-backed securities. The timeline for this growth is ongoing, with opportunities arising from property acquisitions and market demand shifts.
  • Increased Investment in Business Purpose Loans: The company's focus on targeted residential loans, including business purpose loans, offers a specialized growth opportunity. These loans, often used by real estate investors for non-owner-occupied properties, can command higher interest rates and offer attractive risk-adjusted returns compared to traditional agency mortgages. As the real estate investment landscape evolves, demand for flexible financing solutions for property acquisition, rehabilitation, and rental purposes is expected to grow. Adamas Trust's expertise in underwriting and managing these specific loan types positions it to expand its market share in this niche, contributing to portfolio yield enhancement over the medium term.
  • Strategic Growth in Structured Multi-Family Property Investments: Adamas Trust's engagement in structured multi-family property investments, such as preferred equity and mezzanine loans, provides a pathway for growth by participating in the capital stack of multi-family developments and acquisitions. This allows the company to earn higher yields than senior debt while potentially having more downside protection than common equity. The multi-family sector continues to be a robust segment of the real estate market, supported by urbanization trends and rental demand. By selectively deploying capital into these structured investments, Adamas Trust can enhance its portfolio's overall return profile and diversify its exposure within the residential real estate market, with ongoing opportunities.
  • Capitalizing on Non-Agency Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities (RMBS): While agency RMBS offer stability, the non-agency RMBS market can provide opportunities for higher yields, albeit with increased credit risk. Adamas Trust's investment in non-agency RMBS allows it to pursue potentially greater returns by leveraging its analytical capabilities to assess and manage the underlying credit risks. As market conditions fluctuate, opportunities to acquire attractively priced non-agency RMBS may arise, particularly during periods of market dislocation or when specific credit segments are undervalued. This strategy requires sophisticated risk management but can significantly contribute to income generation and portfolio growth over various market cycles.
  • Expansion into Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities (CMBS): The company's existing investment in CMBS provides a foundation for further growth in the commercial real estate debt market. CMBS offer exposure to a diverse pool of commercial property types, including office, retail, industrial, and hospitality. Expanding its CMBS holdings allows Adamas Trust to diversify its credit risk beyond purely residential assets and tap into the dynamics of the commercial real estate sector. Opportunities for growth in this segment depend on the health of the commercial real estate market and the availability of attractive CMBS issuances, offering a long-term diversification and yield enhancement strategy.

What Threats Does ADAM Face?

  • Rising interest rates increasing borrowing costs and impacting asset valuations.
  • Deterioration in the U.S. housing market or broader economic downturn affecting asset quality.
  • Increased competition from other mortgage REITs, banks, and private funds.
  • Regulatory changes impacting mortgage markets or REIT tax treatment.

What Are ADAM's Competitive Advantages?

  • REIT Structure: Provides tax advantages by avoiding federal corporate income tax, allowing for higher distributions to shareholders compared to traditional corporations.
  • Diversified Asset Portfolio: Investment across residential loans, agency/non-agency RMBS, structured multi-family investments, CMBS, and single-family rentals mitigates risk and captures opportunities across various market segments.
  • Specialized Expertise: Focus on targeted residential loans and structured investments requires specific underwriting and asset management capabilities, creating a barrier to entry for generalist investors.
  • Established Market Presence: Incorporated in 2003, the company has a long operational history and established relationships within the mortgage and real estate finance markets.

What Does ADAM Do?

Adamas Trust, Inc., incorporated in 2003 and headquartered in New York, New York, has evolved into a prominent real estate investment trust (REIT) specializing in mortgage-related assets across the United States. Initially known as New York Mortgage Trust, Inc., the company underwent a name change to Adamas Trust, Inc. in September 2025, signaling a strategic rebranding or repositioning within the market. The company's core business revolves around the acquisition, investment, financing, and active management of a comprehensive range of residential assets. This includes targeted residential loans, such as business purpose loans, which cater to specific market niches. A significant portion of its portfolio is dedicated to mortgage-backed securities, encompassing both agency residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS), which are typically backed by government-sponsored enterprises, and non-agency RMBS, offering exposure to a broader risk-return spectrum. Beyond traditional mortgage securities, Adamas Trust diversifies its holdings through structured multi-family property investments. These include preferred equity stakes and mezzanine loans provided to owners of multi-family properties, offering different layers of capital structure exposure and potential returns. The company also strategically invests in other mortgage-, residential housing-, and credit-related assets, demonstrating a flexible approach to capitalizing on market opportunities. Furthermore, Adamas Trust holds commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS), broadening its reach into the commercial real estate debt market. A distinctive aspect of its operations is the ownership and management of single-family rental properties, providing direct exposure to the residential housing market's operational side. As a qualified REIT for federal income tax purposes, Adamas Trust generally avoids federal corporate income taxes by distributing at least 90% of its taxable income to stockholders, a fundamental characteristic that influences its operational and distribution strategy. With 70 employees, Adamas Trust maintains its focus on specialized real estate credit investments.

What Products and Services Does ADAM Offer?

  • Acquires and invests in mortgage-related single-family and multi-family residential assets across the United States.
  • Finances various residential loans, including specialized business purpose loans.
  • Manages a portfolio of agency residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS).
  • Invests in non-agency residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) for diversified exposure.
  • Engages in structured multi-family property investments, such as preferred equity and mezzanine loans.
  • Owns and actively manages single-family rental properties.
  • Invests in commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS).
  • Operates as a Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT), distributing taxable income to stockholders.

How Does ADAM Make Money?

  • Generates revenue primarily from interest income on its portfolio of residential loans, mortgage-backed securities, and structured investments.
  • Earns rental income from its owned and managed single-family rental properties.
  • Qualifies as a REIT, allowing it to avoid federal corporate income tax by distributing at least 90% of its taxable income to shareholders.
  • Employs leverage to finance asset acquisitions, aiming to enhance returns on equity.

What Industry Does ADAM Operate In?

Adamas Trust, Inc. is positioned within the specialized REIT - Mortgage industry, a segment of the Real Estate sector focused on financing income-producing real estate through mortgages and mortgage-backed securities. This industry is highly sensitive to interest rate environments, housing market health, and credit availability. Competitors include other mortgage REITs, banks, and specialized asset managers. Adamas Trust differentiates itself through a diversified portfolio that includes targeted residential loans, agency and non-agency RMBS, structured multi-family property investments, CMBS, and direct ownership of single-family rental properties. This broad asset base allows the company to navigate varying market conditions and capitalize on opportunities across different layers of the real estate credit market, aiming for stable income generation in a dynamic competitive landscape.

Who Are ADAM's Key Customers?

  • Borrowers seeking business purpose loans for residential real estate investments.
  • Owners and developers of multi-family properties seeking structured financing (preferred equity, mezzanine loans).
  • Tenants of the single-family rental properties owned and managed by the company.
  • Institutional investors seeking exposure to mortgage-related assets through its securities.
AI Confidence: 68% Updated: Jun 15, 2026
Net buying

Insider Activity

Over the past six months, Adamas Trust, Inc. insiders filed 8 SEC Form 4 transactions — 1 sales and 7 purchases. On net that is roughly 85K shares acquired (about $0) — insiders putting money in tends to read as conviction.

Quarterly Financial Performance: Adamas Trust, Inc.

Revenue for Adamas Trust, Inc. came in at $227.7M during Q2 2026, a 14.6% contraction versus the preceding quarter. The company recorded net income of $55.2M, with diluted EPS of $0.47. Quarter-over-quarter revenue has been mixed, typical for a small-cap company operating in Real Estate. Across the four most recent quarters, ADAM averaged $0.42 in diluted EPS.

ADAM Valuation & Market Position

With a $915M market cap, Adamas Trust, Inc. sits in the small-cap segment of the market. Relative to its peer group, ADAM's quantitative score of 79/100 is above the peer average of 67/100.

ROE 13%

Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Adamas Trust, Inc. stands at 13.0%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 1.6%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. ADAM trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 8.61, below the Real Estate sector average of ~21x. Its free cash flow yield is 0.0%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 0.82 means current liabilities exceed short-term assets, a liquidity point worth watching. Its earnings yield is 0.0%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

F-Score 7/9

Financial Health

Adamas Trust, Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — signaling solid underlying fundamentals. Its Altman Z-Score of 0.08 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.

FY2026 est

Forward Outlook

Wall Street analysts project Adamas Trust, Inc. revenue of about $275.0M for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $1.49. The estimate reflects 3 contributing analysts.

Company Profile

Adamas Trust, Inc. operates in the REIT - Mortgage industry within the Real Estate sector. It is headquartered in New York, US. The company is led by CEO Jason T. Serrano. ADAM has traded publicly since 2025.

ADAM Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
+44.1%
Net Income Growth (FY)
+340.3%
EPS Growth (FY)
+198.2%
P/E (TTM)
8.6
Return on Equity (TTM)
+13.0%
Current Ratio
0.8

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Highly diversified portfolio across various mortgage-related assets and direct property ownership.
  • Strong profitability metrics with a 48.1% profit margin and 75.0% gross margin.
  • REIT status provides tax efficiency and potential for consistent shareholder distributions (though currently no dividend).
  • Expertise in specialized residential loans and structured multi-family investments.

Bear Case

  • Very high debt-to-equity ratio (765.20) indicating significant financial leverage and interest rate sensitivity.
  • No current dividend yield, which might deter income-focused REIT investors.
  • Exposure to credit risk across various mortgage-backed securities and loan portfolios.
  • Reliance on capital markets for financing due to its asset-intensive business model.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · August 2026

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 2026 $228M $55M $0.47
Q1 2026 $267M $49M $0.40
Q4 2025 $236M $54M $0.45
Q3 2025 $227M $45M $0.36

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

ADAM Latest News

ADAM Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for ADAM.

Price Targets

Consensus target: $11.42

ADAM MoonshotScore

79/100

What does this score mean?

The MoonshotScore rates ADAM 0-100 on quantitative fundamentals — growth, financial health, valuation, momentum, and risk.

Leadership: Jason T. Serrano

Chief Executive Officer

Unknown. Specific details regarding Mr. Serrano's career history, educational background, or previous roles prior to his current position at Adamas Trust, Inc. are not provided in the source data.

Track Record: Unknown. Specific achievements, strategic decisions, or company milestones directly attributable to Mr. Serrano's leadership at Adamas Trust, Inc. are not detailed in the provided information.

What Investors Ask About Adamas Trust, Inc. (ADAM) — Real Estate

What does the AI Score mean for ADAM?

ADAM holds an AI Score of 79/100 (Grade: A). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Adamas Trust, Inc. is a real estate investment trust focused on acquiring, investing in, financing, and managing mortgage-related single-family and multi-family residential assets across the United …

What does Adamas Trust, Inc. do, and how does it generate revenue?

Adamas Trust, Inc. operates as a real estate investment trust (REIT) primarily focused on acquiring, investing in, financing, and managing a diverse portfolio of mortgage-related single-family and multi-family residential assets across the United States. Its activities encompass targeted residential loans, including business purpose loans, and investments in both agency and non-agency residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS).

What are the key financial metrics investors should monitor for Adamas Trust, Inc.?

Investors evaluating Adamas Trust, Inc. should closely monitor several key financial metrics pertinent to a mortgage REIT. The company's high profit margin of 48.1% and gross margin of 75.0% indicate strong operational efficiency in its asset management and financing activities. Return on Equity (ROE) at 13.0% is important, reflecting how effectively the company generates profits from shareholders' investments.

How does Adamas Trust, Inc.'s REIT structure impact its business and investor returns?

Adamas Trust, Inc.'s qualification as a Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) fundamentally shapes its business model and potential returns for investors. As a REIT, the company is legally required to distribute at least 90% of its taxable income to its stockholders annually.

What are the primary risks associated with investing in Adamas Trust, Inc.?

Investing in Adamas Trust, Inc. carries several inherent risks, primarily stemming from its business model as a mortgage REIT and its financial structure. A significant risk is its exceptionally high debt-to-equity ratio of 765.20, which indicates substantial financial leverage. This leverage magnifies the company's exposure to adverse movements in interest rates, potentially increasing borrowing costs and compressing net interest margins.

What are the key factors to evaluate for ADAM?

Adamas Trust, Inc. (ADAM) holds an AI score of 79/100 (high). P/E: 8.6x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $11.42 (+12%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does ADAM data refresh on this page?

ADAM's price was last updated on Aug 20, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours — it is not a real-time exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven ADAM's recent stock price performance?

Adamas Trust, Inc. (ADAM) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Highly diversified portfolio across various mortgage-related assets and direct property ownership. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider ADAM overvalued or undervalued right now?

Adamas Trust, Inc. (ADAM) trades at 8.6x earnings. Analysts target $11.42 (+12%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated AI Score refreshed daily
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Competitor information is not available in the provided source data, therefore the 'competitors' array is empty.
  • CEO background and track record details were not provided in the source data and are marked as 'Unknown'.
Data Sources

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