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AerCap Holdings N.V. (AER)

$153.94 +$6.10 (+4.13%) |CouncilBUY · 57 · B
Bottom line: BUY — our Council read (57/100) and AI Score (55/100) broadly agree. Strongest signal: Ray Dalio bullish · Biggest watch-out: Seth Klarman bearish.
MCap: $24.27B| P/E Ratio: 5.7| Vol: 430.8K| Target: $168.50 (+9.5%)| 52-wk range: $85.57 – $154.94
Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.

AerCap Holdings N.V. (AER) trades at $153.94 with AI Score 55/100 (Grade B). AerCap Holdings N. V. is the world's largest aircraft leasing company, providing a comprehensive range of services to airlines globally. Market cap: $24.27B, Sector: Industrials.

Price live · AI analysis from May 9, 2026
AerCap Holdings N.V. is the world's largest aircraft leasing company, providing a comprehensive range of services to airlines globally. With a diverse portfolio of aircraft, AerCap plays a crucial role in the aviation industry by facilitating fleet management and expansion for its clients.

AER stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $168.50 for AerCap Holdings N.V., suggesting 9.5% upside from the current price of $153.94. The AI MoonshotScore is 55/100, indicating a neutral outlook. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
BUY 57/100 · B

AER: 3/7 perspectives are bullish. Dominant signal: Ray Dalio bullish.

How is this calculated? →
Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI
Ray Dalio
Bullish
Ken Griffin
Neutral
Jim Simons
Bullish
Izzy Englander
Neutral
Seth Klarman
Bearish
Moon AI
Bullish
Council Score · 8 perspectives · See tabs for details →

AerCap Holdings N.V. (AER) Industrial Operations Profile

CEOAengus Kelly
Employees698
HeadquartersDublin, IE
IPO Year2006

AerCap Holdings N.V., based in Dublin, is the world's largest independent aircraft leasing company, offering lease, finance, and management solutions for commercial aircraft. Operating globally, AerCap supports airlines with fleet modernization and asset management, underpinned by a robust portfolio and extensive industry expertise.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NASDAQ Analysis: May 9, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for AER?

AerCap presents a compelling investment case driven by the increasing global demand for air travel and the essential role of aircraft leasing in the aviation industry. With a P/E ratio of 5.7 and a profit margin of 48.4%, AerCap demonstrates strong profitability. The company's extensive portfolio of aircraft and comprehensive service offerings position it favorably to capitalize on the ongoing need for fleet modernization and expansion among airlines. Key growth catalysts include the recovery of air travel post-pandemic and the increasing adoption of leasing as a preferred financing method. However, potential risks include fluctuations in interest rates and geopolitical instability, which could impact airline profitability and demand for aircraft leasing. The dividend yield of 0.81% provides a modest income component to the investment.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

AER Key Highlights

  • Market Cap of $24.27B reflects AerCap's significant size and influence in the aircraft leasing market.
  • P/E Ratio of 5.7 indicates that AerCap may be undervalued compared to its earnings.
  • Profit Margin of 48.4% showcases AerCap's ability to generate substantial profits from its operations.
  • Gross Margin of 52.9% demonstrates efficient cost management in its leasing and asset management services.
  • Portfolio of 2,369 owned, managed, or on order aircraft as of December 31, 2021, highlights the scale of AerCap's operations.

Who Are AER's Competitors?

AER is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap AI Score
ESLT Elbit Systems Ltd. $811.01 +0.96% $37.99B 62
DOV Dover Corporation $214.55 +0.39% $28.89B 68
CW Curtiss-Wright Corporation $790.69 +4.01% $29.21B 83
HUBB Hubbell Incorporated $495.60 +1.75% $26.19B 76
FTAI FTAI Aviation Ltd. $245.65 -0.97% $25.20B 40
HRI Herc Holdings Inc. $136.66 +1.30% $4.56B 59
AL Air Lease Corporation $65.00 +0.00% $7.28B 56
CFRLF China Aircraft Leasing Group Holdings Limited $0.64 +0.00% $481.92M 56

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are AER's Key Strengths?

  • Largest independent aircraft leasing company globally.
  • Diversified portfolio of modern aircraft.
  • Strong relationships with airlines and manufacturers.
  • Experienced management team.

What Are AER's Weaknesses?

  • High capital intensity.
  • Exposure to airline industry cycles.
  • Dependence on interest rates.
  • Potential for aircraft obsolescence.

What Could Drive AER Stock Higher?

  • Recovery of global air travel following the COVID-19 pandemic, driving demand for aircraft leasing.
  • Fleet modernization initiatives by airlines seeking to replace older, less fuel-efficient aircraft.
  • Potential acquisitions of smaller leasing companies or aircraft portfolios to expand AerCap's market presence.
  • Expansion of AerCap's asset management services to generate recurring revenue streams.

What Are the Key Risks for AER?

  • Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of 0.97 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).
  • Insider selling — insiders were net sellers of roughly $44.9M recently.
  • Economic downturns impacting airline profitability and demand for air travel.
  • Geopolitical instability disrupting air travel and trade routes.
  • Rising interest rates increasing the cost of financing aircraft acquisitions.
  • Regulatory changes impacting the aviation industry.
  • Aircraft obsolescence due to technological advancements.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for AER?

  • Increased Air Travel Demand: The resurgence of global air travel following the COVID-19 pandemic presents a significant growth opportunity for AerCap. As passenger numbers rise, airlines will need to expand and modernize their fleets, driving demand for aircraft leasing services. The International Air Transport Association (IATA) projects a steady increase in passenger traffic over the next decade, with emerging markets leading the growth. This trend positions AerCap favorably to capitalize on the growing need for aircraft.
  • Fleet Modernization: Airlines are increasingly focused on replacing older, less fuel-efficient aircraft with newer models to reduce operating costs and meet environmental regulations. AerCap can leverage this trend by offering attractive leasing options for next-generation aircraft, such as the Boeing 737 MAX and Airbus A320neo families. The market for fuel-efficient aircraft is expected to grow substantially over the next decade, providing AerCap with a significant opportunity to expand its leasing portfolio.
  • Expansion in Emerging Markets: Emerging markets, particularly in Asia and Latin America, are experiencing rapid growth in air travel. AerCap can capitalize on this trend by expanding its presence in these regions and offering tailored leasing solutions to local airlines. These markets often have less access to capital and a greater reliance on leasing to finance fleet expansion. Establishing strong relationships with airlines in these regions will be crucial for AerCap to capture this growth opportunity.
  • Asset Management Services: AerCap's comprehensive asset management services, including remarketing, maintenance monitoring, and contract compliance, provide a valuable source of revenue. As airlines seek to optimize their operations and reduce costs, they are increasingly turning to third-party providers for asset management expertise. AerCap can leverage its experience and global network to expand its asset management business and generate recurring revenue streams.
  • Strategic Acquisitions: AerCap has a history of strategic acquisitions that have expanded its portfolio and market presence. Future acquisitions of smaller leasing companies or aircraft portfolios could provide additional growth opportunities. By carefully selecting and integrating acquisitions, AerCap can further consolidate its position as the world's largest aircraft leasing company and enhance its competitive advantage.

What Opportunities Does AER Have?

  • Growing demand for air travel in emerging markets.
  • Increasing trend of airlines leasing aircraft.
  • Fleet modernization initiatives.
  • Expansion of asset management services.

What Threats Does AER Face?

  • Economic downturns impacting airline profitability.
  • Geopolitical instability.
  • Rising fuel prices.
  • Regulatory changes.

What Are AER's Competitive Advantages?

  • Scale: As the world's largest aircraft leasing company, AerCap benefits from economies of scale and a global network.
  • Expertise: AerCap has extensive experience and expertise in aircraft leasing and asset management.
  • Relationships: Strong relationships with airlines and aircraft manufacturers.
  • Diversified Portfolio: A large and diversified portfolio of aircraft reduces risk.

What Does AER Do?

Founded in 1995 and headquartered in Dublin, Ireland, AerCap Holdings N.V. has grown to become the world's largest independent aircraft leasing company. The company's core business involves leasing, financing, selling, and managing commercial flight equipment across the globe, serving clients in China, Hong Kong, Macau, the United States, Ireland, and other international markets. AerCap provides comprehensive aircraft asset management services, including remarketing of aircraft and engines, collection of rental and maintenance payments, monitoring aircraft maintenance, and ensuring contract compliance. These services also extend to restructuring negotiations, repossession of aircraft, and arranging insurance coverage. Beyond asset management, AerCap offers cash management services, such as treasury functions, and administrative services, including accounting and corporate secretarial support. The company also provides airframe and engine parts, along with supply chain solutions, catering to airlines, maintenance providers, and parts distributors. As of December 31, 2021, AerCap managed a portfolio of 2,369 owned, managed, or on-order aircraft, highlighting its significant presence in the aviation industry. AerCap's evolution has been marked by strategic acquisitions and organic growth, solidifying its position as a key player in facilitating the global movement of people and goods by air.

What Products and Services Does AER Offer?

  • Lease commercial aircraft to airlines worldwide.
  • Finance aircraft acquisitions for airlines.
  • Manage aircraft assets, including maintenance and remarketing.
  • Buy, sell, and trade aircraft.
  • Provide cash management services to aviation clients.
  • Offer airframe and engine parts and supply chain solutions.

How Does AER Make Money?

  • Generates revenue primarily through lease rentals from airlines.
  • Profits from the sale of aircraft at favorable prices.
  • Provides asset management services for fees.
  • Offers financing solutions and earns interest income.

What Industry Does AER Operate In?

AerCap operates within the aircraft leasing industry, a sector that plays a vital role in the global aviation market. The industry is characterized by high capital intensity and long-term lease agreements. As airlines seek to manage costs and maintain modern fleets, aircraft leasing has become an increasingly popular option. The competitive landscape includes other leasing companies and aircraft manufacturers who also offer financing solutions. The industry is influenced by factors such as air travel demand, fuel prices, and regulatory changes.

Who Are AER's Key Customers?

  • Airlines of all sizes, from low-cost carriers to major international airlines.
  • Aircraft maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) providers.
  • Aircraft parts distributors.
  • Financial institutions involved in aircraft financing.
AI Confidence: 73% Updated: May 9, 2026

Company Profile

AerCap Holdings N.V. operates in the Rental & Leasing Services industry within the Industrials sector. It is headquartered in Dublin, IE. The company is led by CEO Aengus Kelly. AER has traded publicly since 2006.

AerCap Holdings N.V. Financial Trajectory

AerCap Holdings N.V. (AER) reported $2.16B in revenue for Q1 2026, a decline of 0.1% compared to the prior quarter. The company recorded net income of $818.1M, with diluted EPS of $4.96. Quarter-over-quarter revenue has been mixed, typical for a large-cap company operating in Industrials. Across the four most recent quarters, AER averaged $5.71 in diluted EPS.

How AerCap Holdings N.V. Is Valued

AerCap Holdings N.V. carries a market capitalization of $24.27B, placing it in the large-cap category. Relative to its peer group, AER's quantitative score of 55/100 is below the peer average of 66/100.

ROE 22%Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for AerCap Holdings N.V. stands at 21.6%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 5.5%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. AER trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 5.74, below the Industrials sector average of ~30x. Its free cash flow yield is 1.7%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 0.63 means current liabilities exceed short-term assets, a liquidity point worth watching. Its earnings yield is 17.4%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

F-Score 8/9Financial Health

AerCap Holdings N.V.'s Piotroski F-Score is 8/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — signaling solid underlying fundamentals. Its Altman Z-Score of 0.97 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.

FY2026 estForward Outlook

Wall Street analysts project AerCap Holdings N.V. revenue of about $8.46B for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $17.19. The estimate reflects 5 contributing analysts.

Net sellingInsider Activity

Over the past six months, AerCap Holdings N.V. insiders filed 29 SEC Form 4 transactions — 26 sales and 3 purchases. On net that is roughly 309K shares disposed (about $44.9M), a signal worth weighing alongside the fundamentals.

AER Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
+2.4%
Net Income Growth (FY)
+78.7%
EPS Growth (FY)
+96.9%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
+42.3%
P/E (TTM)
5.7
Return on Equity (TTM)
+21.6%
Current Ratio
0.6
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
9.6

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • AerCap's dominance in aircraft leasing positions them well as air travel rebounds, similar to how pent-up demand fueled growth in other sectors post-pandemic.
  • Insider buying activity often signals confidence in the company's future prospects, suggesting those closest to the business see value.
  • Positive community sentiment around AerCap's strategic acquisitions indicates belief in their growth strategy, much like investors cheered Disney's acquisition of Pixar.
  • The market's perception of AerCap as a key player in the aviation industry contributes to bullish sentiment, as seen with other companies vital to infrastructure.

Bear Case

  • Lingering concerns about airline bankruptcies and restructuring could impact AerCap's lease revenues, mirroring challenges faced by lenders during economic downturns.
  • Negative community sentiment regarding potential oversupply of aircraft raises concerns about future lease rates and asset values.
  • Market perception of AerCap being heavily reliant on the cyclical aviation industry makes it vulnerable to economic downturns, similar to commodity-based companies.
  • Recent insider selling, while not always indicative of negative sentiment, warrants caution as it contrasts with previous buying activity.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · March 2026

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2026 $2.16B $818M $4.96
Q4 2025 $2.17B $633M $3.79
Q3 2025 $1.89B $1.22B $6.98
Q2 2025 $1.89B $1.26B $7.09

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

AER Latest News

AER Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for AER.

Price Targets

Consensus target: $168.50

AER MoonshotScore

55/100

What does this score mean?

The MoonshotScore rates AER's growth potential on a scale of 0-100 across multiple factors including innovation, market disruption, financial health, and momentum.

Leadership: Aengus Kelly

Chief Executive Officer

Aengus Kelly has served as the Chief Executive Officer of AerCap since 2011. He joined AerCap in 1998 and has held various leadership positions within the company, including Head of Portfolio Management and Chief Operating Officer. Kelly has extensive experience in the aircraft leasing industry and a deep understanding of the global aviation market. He holds a Bachelor of Commerce degree from University College Dublin.

Track Record: Under Aengus Kelly's leadership, AerCap has grown to become the world's largest aircraft leasing company. He has overseen several strategic acquisitions, including the acquisition of ILFC in 2014, which significantly expanded AerCap's portfolio and market presence. Kelly has also focused on modernizing AerCap's fleet and expanding its presence in emerging markets.

Common Questions About AER (Industrials)

What does AerCap Holdings N.V. do?

AerCap Holdings N.V. is the world's largest independent aircraft leasing company. It primarily leases commercial aircraft to airlines globally, providing them with access to modern fleets without the significant capital expenditure of purchasing aircraft outright. AerCap also offers aircraft asset management services, including remarketing, maintenance oversight, and technical support, ensuring the long-term value and operational efficiency of its leased assets. Additionally, the company engages in aircraft trading, buying and selling aircraft to optimize its portfolio and meet airline demands.

What do analysts say about AER stock?

Analyst consensus on AerCap Holdings N.V. reflects a generally positive outlook, driven by the anticipated recovery in air travel and the company's strong market position. Key valuation metrics, such as the P/E ratio, suggest that AerCap may be undervalued relative to its earnings potential. Growth considerations include the company's ability to capitalize on fleet modernization trends and expand its presence in emerging markets. However, analysts also note potential risks, such as economic downturns and rising interest rates, which could impact airline profitability and demand for aircraft leasing.

What are the main risks for AER?

AerCap faces several key risks inherent to the aircraft leasing industry. Economic downturns can significantly impact airline profitability, leading to lease defaults or renegotiations. Geopolitical instability and conflicts can disrupt air travel and trade routes, affecting demand for aircraft. Rising interest rates increase the cost of financing aircraft acquisitions, potentially reducing AerCap's profitability. Regulatory changes in the aviation industry, such as stricter environmental standards, can also pose challenges. Finally, the risk of aircraft obsolescence due to technological advancements requires AerCap to carefully manage its fleet and adapt to changing market demands.

What are the key factors to evaluate for AER?

AerCap Holdings N.V. (AER) holds an AI score of 55/100 (moderate). P/E: 5.7x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $168.50 (+9%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does AER data refresh on this page?

AER prices update in real time during U.S. market hours. Fundamentals refresh after quarterly filings; analyst ratings and AI insights update daily; news is aggregated continuously.

What has driven AER's recent stock price performance?

AerCap Holdings N.V. (AER) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Largest independent aircraft leasing company globally. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider AER overvalued or undervalued right now?

AerCap Holdings N.V. (AER) trades at 5.7x earnings. Analysts target $168.50 (+9%) — near fair value. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

What research should beginners do before buying AER?

Before investing in AerCap Holdings N.V. (AER), research these four areas: (1) the company's revenue model and competitive position (see Company Overview), (2) financial health through revenue growth, margins, and cash flow (see MoonshotScore), (3) what Wall Street analysts recommend and their price targets (see Analyst tab), and (4) specific risk factors that could impact the stock (see Risk Factors section).

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated AI Score refreshed daily
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Information is based on available data and may be subject to change.
  • Financial metrics are as of the latest reporting period.
Data Sources

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