Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG)
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) trades at $252.44 with AI Score 54/100 (Grade B). Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. is a global insurance brokerage and risk management services firm. Market cap: $64.86B, Sector: Financial services.
Price live · AI analysis from May 10, 2026AJG stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $282.86 for Arthur J. Gallagher & Co., suggesting 12.1% upside from the current price of $252.44. The AI MoonshotScore is 54/100, indicating a neutral outlook. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.
AJG: 3/8 perspectives are bullish. Dominant signal: Ken Griffin bullish.
How is this calculated? →Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) Financial Services Profile
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) is a global leader in insurance brokerage and risk management, providing consulting and third-party claims administration. With a diversified service portfolio and extensive international presence, AJG serves commercial, public, and not-for-profit entities, maintaining a strong market position through its brokerage and risk management segments.
What Is the Investment Thesis for AJG?
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. presents a compelling investment case based on its robust market position and diversified service offerings. With a market capitalization of $64.86B and a profit margin of 10.8%, AJG demonstrates financial stability. The company's consistent performance in both Brokerage and Risk Management segments, coupled with a beta of 0.67, indicates lower volatility compared to the broader market. Growth catalysts include strategic acquisitions and expansions into emerging markets. However, investors may want to evaluate potential risks such as increased competition and regulatory changes within the insurance industry. The dividend yield of 1.33% offers a steady income stream, enhancing the investment's appeal.
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis
AJG Key Highlights
- Market capitalization of $64.86B, reflecting its significant market presence and investor confidence.
- Profit margin of 10.8%, indicating efficient operations and profitability in the insurance brokerage sector.
- Gross margin of 66.0%, showcasing the company's ability to manage costs effectively and maintain strong revenue streams.
- Beta of 0.67, suggesting lower volatility compared to the overall market, making it a relatively stable investment.
- Dividend yield of 1.33%, providing a consistent income stream for investors, enhancing its attractiveness.
Who Are AJG's Competitors?
AJG is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.
| Company | Price | Change | Market Cap | AI Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WFC Wells Fargo & Company | $85.51 | -0.50% | $261.68B | 41 |
| HDB HDFC Bank Limited | $25.77 | +0.86% | $132.18B | 56 |
| MMC Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc. | $182.70 | -1.58% | $89.82B | 50 |
| SMFG Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group (SMFG) provides a range of financial services including commercial banking, leasing, securities, and consumer finance. The company | $24.53 | +2.00% | $95.04B | 51 |
| AON Aon plc | $357.46 | +4.05% | $76.35B | 52 |
| BRO Brown & Brown, Inc. | $70.00 | +3.92% | $23.73B | 58 |
| TWFG TWFG, Inc. | $25.80 | +2.83% | $335.33M | 56 |
| ARX Accelerant Holdings | $13.77 | +7.24% | $3.00B | 53 |
AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance
What Are AJG's Key Strengths?
- Diversified service offerings across brokerage and risk management.
- Global presence with operations in multiple countries.
- Strong brand reputation and established client relationships.
- Consistent financial performance and profitability.
What Are AJG's Weaknesses?
- Exposure to regulatory changes in the insurance industry.
- Dependence on economic cycles affecting premium rates.
- Potential for increased competition from larger players.
- Integration challenges with acquired companies.
What Could Drive AJG Stock Higher?
- Strategic acquisitions to expand market presence and service offerings.
- Digital transformation initiatives to improve operational efficiency and customer experience.
- Expansion into emerging markets with high growth potential.
- Cross-selling opportunities to increase revenue per client.
- Leveraging data analytics to improve risk assessment and pricing strategies.
What Are the Key Risks for AJG?
- Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of 1.17 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).
- Inconsistent delivery — missed Wall Street EPS estimates in 2 of the last 8 reported quarters.
- Rich valuation — a P/E of 34.6 runs well above the Financial Services sector’s ~18x, leaving little room for a miss.
- Increased competition from other insurance brokers and risk management firms.
- Economic downturns affecting demand for insurance services.
- Regulatory changes impacting premium rates and brokerage revenues.
- Cybersecurity risks and data breaches.
- Integration challenges with acquired companies.
What Are the Growth Opportunities for AJG?
- Expansion into Emerging Markets: Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. has the opportunity to expand its presence in emerging markets such as India and Southeast Asia. These regions are experiencing rapid economic growth and increasing demand for insurance and risk management services. By establishing a stronger foothold in these markets, AJG can tap into new revenue streams and diversify its geographic footprint. The market size for insurance in emerging economies is projected to reach $1.5 trillion by 2030.
- Strategic Acquisitions: AJG can pursue strategic acquisitions to enhance its service offerings and expand its market reach. Acquiring smaller, specialized insurance brokerages and risk management firms can provide access to new technologies, expertise, and client bases. This strategy can accelerate growth and strengthen AJG's competitive position. The market for insurance brokerage acquisitions is estimated at $50 billion annually.
- Digital Transformation: Investing in digital technologies can improve operational efficiency, enhance customer experience, and drive growth. Implementing AI-powered analytics, automation, and online platforms can streamline processes and reduce costs. This digital transformation can also enable AJG to offer innovative products and services tailored to the evolving needs of its clients. The global digital insurance market is expected to reach $400 billion by 2027.
- Cross-Selling Opportunities: AJG can leverage its existing client relationships to cross-sell a wider range of insurance and risk management services. By offering bundled solutions and personalized recommendations, the company can increase revenue per client and strengthen customer loyalty. This strategy can be particularly effective in serving commercial and public entities with diverse risk management needs. Cross-selling opportunities are estimated to increase revenue by 15-20% per client.
- Enhanced Data Analytics: Utilizing advanced data analytics can provide valuable insights into risk patterns, customer behavior, and market trends. By leveraging these insights, AJG can improve risk assessment, pricing strategies, and customer targeting. This can lead to more effective risk management solutions and increased profitability. The market for data analytics in the insurance industry is projected to reach $20 billion by 2028.
What Opportunities Does AJG Have?
- Expansion into emerging markets with high growth potential.
- Strategic acquisitions to enhance service offerings and market reach.
- Digital transformation to improve operational efficiency and customer experience.
- Cross-selling opportunities to increase revenue per client.
What Threats Does AJG Face?
- Increased competition from other insurance brokers and risk management firms.
- Economic downturns affecting demand for insurance services.
- Regulatory changes impacting premium rates and brokerage revenues.
- Cybersecurity risks and data breaches.
What Are AJG's Competitive Advantages?
- Established brand reputation and long-standing relationships with clients.
- Extensive global network of correspondent insurance brokers and consultants.
- Diversified service offerings across brokerage and risk management segments.
- Expertise in specialized and hard-to-place insurance coverage.
What Does AJG Do?
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. was founded in 1927 and has grown into one of the world's largest insurance brokerage and risk management firms. Headquartered in Rolling Meadows, Illinois, the company operates through two primary segments: Brokerage and Risk Management. The Brokerage segment offers retail and wholesale insurance brokerage services, assisting clients in placing specialized and hard-to-place insurance. It also acts as a brokerage wholesaler, managing general agent, and managing general underwriter, distributing specialized insurance coverages. This segment provides marketing, underwriting, policy issuance, premium collection, claims payment, and reinsurance negotiation services. The Risk Management segment provides contract claim settlement and administration services to enterprises and public entities, including claims management, loss control consulting, and insurance property appraisal services. AJG serves a diverse range of clients, including commercial, industrial, public, religious, and not-for-profit entities, offering tailored solutions to manage their unique risks. The company's global presence extends to the United States, Australia, Bermuda, Canada, the Caribbean, New Zealand, India, and the United Kingdom, ensuring comprehensive service delivery through a network of correspondent insurance brokers and consultants.
What Products and Services Does AJG Offer?
- Provides insurance brokerage services to commercial, public, and not-for-profit entities.
- Offers risk management consulting to help clients mitigate potential losses.
- Administers third-party claims for enterprises and public entities.
- Assists in the placement of specialized and hard-to-place insurance.
- Acts as a brokerage wholesaler, managing general agent, and managing general underwriter.
- Offers consulting services for employer-sponsored benefit programs.
- Provides claims management and loss control consulting services.
How Does AJG Make Money?
- Generates revenue through commissions and fees from insurance brokerage services.
- Earns fees from risk management consulting and claims administration services.
- Receives premiums and fees from underwriting specialized insurance coverages.
- Gains revenue from managing employer-sponsored benefit programs.
What Industry Does AJG Operate In?
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. operates in the insurance brokerage industry, which is characterized by increasing consolidation and technological advancements. The market is driven by the growing need for risk management solutions across various sectors. Competition is intense, with key players like MMC: Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc. and AON: Aon plc vying for market share. AJG differentiates itself through its comprehensive service offerings and global presence. The industry is also influenced by regulatory changes and economic cycles, impacting premium rates and brokerage revenues.
Who Are AJG's Key Customers?
- Commercial entities seeking insurance coverage and risk management solutions.
- Public entities requiring claims settlement and administration services.
- Not-for-profit organizations needing insurance and risk management support.
- Industrial clients looking for specialized insurance coverage.
Company Profile
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. operates in the Insurance - Brokers industry within the Financial Services sector. It is headquartered in Rolling Meadows, US. The company is led by CEO J. Patrick Gallagher Jr.. AJG has traded publicly since 1984.
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. Financial Trajectory
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) reported $4.76B in revenue for Q1 2026, reflecting 31.1% growth compared to the prior quarter. The company recorded net income of $822.0M, with diluted EPS of $3.16. Revenue has increased across the last three reported quarters, suggesting sustained momentum for this large-cap Financial Services company. Across the four most recent quarters, AJG averaged $1.55 in diluted EPS.
How Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. Is Valued
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. carries a market capitalization of $64.86B, placing it in the large-cap category. Relative to its peer group, AJG's quantitative score of 54/100 is roughly in line with the peer average of 50/100.
ROE 7%Key Financial Metrics
Return on equity for Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. stands at 6.9%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 2.1%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. AJG trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 34.62, above the Financial Services sector average of ~18x. Its free cash flow yield is 3.3%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 1.06 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 2.9%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.
F-Score 7/9Financial Health
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.'s Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — signaling solid underlying fundamentals. Its Altman Z-Score of 1.17 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.
3/8 beatsEarnings Track Record
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. has missed Wall Street's EPS estimate in 2 of its last 8 reported quarters — a mixed record worth weighing.
FY2026 estForward Outlook
Wall Street analysts project Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. revenue of about $16.73B for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $13.23. The estimate reflects 8 contributing analysts.
Net sellingInsider Activity
Over the past six months, Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. insiders filed 15 SEC Form 4 transactions — 3 sales and 12 purchases. On net that is roughly 7K shares disposed (about $513K), a signal worth weighing alongside the fundamentals.
AJG Financials
Fundamental Snapshot
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025
Bull Case vs Bear Case
Bull Case
- Recent insider buying suggests confidence in AJG's future performance, indicating strong belief in the company's growth potential.
- Community sentiment has turned positive, with discussions highlighting AJG's robust client relationships and market position in the insurance sector.
- Analysts are optimistic about AJG's strategic acquisitions, which are viewed as a means to enhance service offerings and expand market reach.
- Increased demand for insurance products amid economic uncertainties is seen as a long-term growth driver for AJG, appealing to investors.
Bear Case
- Concerns over rising interest rates have led to skepticism about the overall insurance sector, impacting AJG's perceived risk profile.
- Some community members express worries about potential integration challenges following recent acquisitions, which could hinder short-term performance.
- Market sentiment has been cautious due to broader economic indicators, leading to hesitancy among investors regarding AJG's stock.
- Recent discussions reflect apprehension about competition in the insurance market, with fears that AJG may struggle to maintain its market share.
AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · March 2026
From the Earnings Call
“This gives us confidence in the durability of our results and provides further confidence in our 2026 full year organic growth outlook of 6%.”
— J. Gallagher, CEO
“Brokerage organic at 5%, right in line with our March IR Day expectations.”
— Douglas Howell, CFO
AJG Q1 FY2026 earnings call transcript · 2026-04-30
Recent Quarterly Results
| Quarter | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | $4.76B | $822M | $3.16 |
| Q4 2025 | $3.63B | $151M | $0.58 |
| Q3 2025 | $3.37B | $273M | $1.05 |
| Q2 2025 | $3.22B | $366M | $1.40 |
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis
AJG Latest News
-
Does Arthur J. Gallagher & Co (AJG) Have a Defensive Business Model?
Insider Monkey · Jul 3, 2026
-
Piper Sandler Adjusts Price Target on Arthur J. Gallagher to $225 From $211, Maintains Neutral Rating
MT Newswires · Jun 18, 2026
-
Goldman Sachs Adjusts Price Target on Arthur J. Gallagher to $242 From $239, Maintains Buy Rating
MT Newswires · Jun 18, 2026
-
Keefe Bruyette & Woods Adjusts PT on Arthur J. Gallagher to $242 From $235, Keeps Market Perform Rating
MT Newswires · Jun 18, 2026
AJG Analyst Consensus
Consensus Rating
Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for AJG.
Price Targets
Consensus target: $282.86
AJG MoonshotScore
What does this score mean?
The MoonshotScore rates AJG's growth potential on a scale of 0-100 across multiple factors including innovation, market disruption, financial health, and momentum.
Latest News
Does Arthur J. Gallagher & Co (AJG) Have a Defensive Business Model?
Piper Sandler Adjusts Price Target on Arthur J. Gallagher to $225 From $211, Maintains Neutral Rating
Goldman Sachs Adjusts Price Target on Arthur J. Gallagher to $242 From $239, Maintains Buy Rating
Keefe Bruyette & Woods Adjusts PT on Arthur J. Gallagher to $242 From $235, Keeps Market Perform Rating
Leadership: J. Patrick Gallagher Jr.
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer
J. Patrick Gallagher Jr. has served as the Chief Executive Officer of Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. since 1995 and as the Chairman since 2020. He joined the company in 1983 and has held various leadership positions, contributing significantly to its growth and strategic direction. Gallagher is actively involved in industry associations and community organizations. His extensive experience in the insurance brokerage and risk management sectors has been instrumental in shaping AJG's global presence and service offerings. He is known for his strategic vision and commitment to client service.
Track Record: Under J. Patrick Gallagher Jr.'s leadership, Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. has experienced significant growth and expansion. Key achievements include strategic acquisitions, enhanced service offerings, and increased global presence. He has successfully navigated economic cycles and regulatory changes, maintaining the company's financial stability and profitability. Gallagher's focus on innovation and client service has strengthened AJG's competitive position in the insurance brokerage industry.
AJG Financial Services Stock FAQ
What does Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. do?
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. operates as a global insurance brokerage and risk management services firm. The company provides a range of services, including insurance brokerage, consulting, third-party claims settlement, and administration. It operates through two segments: Brokerage and Risk Management. The Brokerage segment assists clients in placing specialized insurance, while the Risk Management segment provides contract claim settlement and administration services. AJG serves commercial, public, and not-for-profit entities, offering tailored solutions to manage their unique risks and insurance needs.
What do analysts say about AJG stock?
Analysts generally view Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. favorably, citing its consistent financial performance and diversified service offerings. Key valuation metrics, such as the P/E ratio of 34.6, reflect investor confidence in the company's earnings potential. Growth considerations include strategic acquisitions, expansion into emerging markets, and digital transformation initiatives. However, analysts also note potential risks such as increased competition and regulatory changes within the insurance industry. Overall, the consensus suggests a positive outlook for AJG, driven by its strong market position and growth strategies.
What are the main risks for AJG?
The main risks for Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. include increased competition from other insurance brokers and risk management firms, which could pressure pricing and market share. Economic downturns could affect demand for insurance services, impacting revenue and profitability. Regulatory changes in the insurance industry could also pose challenges, affecting premium rates and brokerage revenues. Additionally, cybersecurity risks and data breaches represent a significant threat, potentially leading to financial losses and reputational damage. Integration challenges with acquired companies could also hinder growth and operational efficiency.
What are the key factors to evaluate for AJG?
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) holds an AI score of 54/100 (moderate). P/E: 34.6x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $282.86 (+12%). Not financial advice.
How frequently does AJG data refresh on this page?
AJG prices update in real time during U.S. market hours. Fundamentals refresh after quarterly filings; analyst ratings and AI insights update daily; news is aggregated continuously.
What has driven AJG's recent stock price performance?
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Diversified service offerings across brokerage and risk management. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.
Should investors consider AJG overvalued or undervalued right now?
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) trades at 34.6x earnings. Analysts target $282.86 (+12%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.
What research should beginners do before buying AJG?
Before investing in Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG), research these four areas: (1) the company's revenue model and competitive position (see Company Overview), (2) financial health through revenue growth, margins, and cash flow (see MoonshotScore), (3) what Wall Street analysts recommend and their price targets (see Analyst tab), and (4) specific risk factors that could impact the stock (see Risk Factors section).
Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.
Official Resources
Data provided for informational purposes only.
- Information is based on available financial data and company descriptions as of 2026-05-10.
- Future performance may be subject to market conditions and company-specific factors.