Astrana Health, Inc. (ASTH)
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.
Astrana Health, Inc. (ASTH) trades at $47.56 with AI Score 86/100 (Grade A+). Astrana Health, Inc. operates as a healthcare management company, providing medical care services in the United States. Market cap: $2.36B, Sector: Healthcare.
Price live · AI analysis from May 10, 2026ASTH stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $34.00 for Astrana Health, Inc., suggesting 28.5% downside from the current price of $47.56. The AI MoonshotScore is 86/100, indicating a strong bullish outlook. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.
ASTH: 3/4 perspectives are bullish. Dominant signal: Seth Klarman bullish.
How is this calculated? →Astrana Health, Inc. (ASTH) Healthcare & Pipeline Overview
Astrana Health, Inc. is a physician-centric, technology-powered healthcare management company delivering medical care services in the U.S. through its integrated, value-based model. Operating across Care Partners, Care Delivery, and Care Enablement segments, Astrana Health leverages its proprietary platform to empower providers and coordinate patient care, primarily serving insured and non-insured patients.
What Is the Investment Thesis for ASTH?
Astrana Health presents a compelling case for investment due to its strategic focus on value-based care and technology-driven healthcare management. With a market capitalization of $2.36B and a P/E ratio of 62.6, the company demonstrates significant growth potential within the expanding healthcare services market. Key value drivers include the company's integrated care model, which enhances care coordination and outcomes, and its proprietary technology platform, which improves operational efficiency. Growth catalysts include expanding its network of providers and patients, penetrating new geographic markets, and capitalizing on the shift towards value-based care. However, investors should be aware of potential risks such as regulatory changes and competition in the healthcare industry.
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis
ASTH Key Highlights
- Market capitalization of $2.36B, reflecting investor confidence in Astrana Health's growth potential.
- P/E ratio of 62.6, indicating a premium valuation based on earnings expectations.
- Gross margin of 6.8%, highlighting the need for improved cost management and operational efficiency.
- Profit margin of 0.9%, demonstrating the potential for increased profitability through strategic initiatives.
- Beta of 0.90, suggesting a slightly lower volatility compared to the overall market.
Who Are ASTH's Competitors?
ASTH is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.
| Company | Price | Change | Market Cap | AI Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HWAIF Healwell AI Inc. | $0.53 | -3.52% | $160.75M | 65 |
| ASSF Assisted 4 Living, Inc. | $1.00 | +0.00% | $45.35M | 63 |
| FTRP Field Trip Health Ltd. | $0.84 | +1.07% | $9.81M | 62 |
| TOI The Oncology Institute, Inc. | $5.45 | +3.22% | $544.91M | 61 |
| SLHGP Skylight Health Group Inc. | $12.00 | -5.88% | 61 | |
| ACHC Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc. | $31.54 | -1.16% | $2.90B | 59 |
| NHC National HealthCare Corporation | $217.43 | -0.46% | $3.40B | 58 |
| SNDA Sonida Senior Living, Inc. | $41.18 | -2.44% | $823.55M | 58 |
AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance
What Are ASTH's Key Strengths?
- Integrated care model
- Proprietary technology platform
- Focus on value-based care
- Experienced management team
What Are ASTH's Weaknesses?
- Relatively small market share
- Limited geographic presence
- Dependence on key providers
- Low gross margin
What Could Drive ASTH Stock Higher?
- Expansion into new geographic markets to broaden patient reach and revenue streams.
- Continued development and enhancement of the proprietary technology platform to improve care coordination and efficiency.
- Increasing participation in value-based care contracts to align incentives and drive cost savings.
What Are the Key Risks for ASTH?
- Rich valuation — a P/E of 62.6 runs well above the Healthcare sector’s ~23x, leaving little room for a miss.
- Insider selling — insiders were net sellers of roughly $2.6M recently.
- Regulatory changes in the healthcare industry could impact Astrana Health's operations and profitability.
- Increased competition from established healthcare providers and emerging technology companies could erode market share.
- Economic downturn could reduce patient demand for healthcare services and impact revenue.
- Cybersecurity risks could compromise patient data and disrupt operations.
What Are the Growth Opportunities for ASTH?
- Expanding Geographic Reach: Astrana Health has the opportunity to expand its geographic footprint by entering new markets and establishing partnerships with local healthcare providers. This expansion can be achieved through strategic acquisitions, joint ventures, or organic growth initiatives. The U.S. healthcare market is vast and fragmented, offering ample opportunities for Astrana Health to increase its market share and serve a larger patient population. Timeline: Ongoing.
- Enhancing Technology Platform: Astrana Health can further enhance its proprietary technology platform by incorporating advanced analytics, artificial intelligence, and machine learning capabilities. This will enable the company to improve care coordination, personalize treatment plans, and optimize operational efficiency. The market for healthcare technology is rapidly growing, driven by the increasing adoption of digital health solutions. Timeline: Ongoing.
- Increasing Value-Based Care Contracts: Astrana Health can increase its participation in value-based care contracts with health plans and government payers. This will align incentives with providers and reward them for delivering high-quality, cost-effective care. The shift towards value-based care is accelerating, driven by the need to control healthcare costs and improve patient outcomes. Timeline: Ongoing.
- Strengthening Provider Network: Astrana Health can strengthen its provider network by recruiting and retaining high-quality primary care physicians, specialists, and hospitalists. This will ensure that the company has the capacity to meet the growing demand for its services and deliver comprehensive care to its patients. The market for healthcare professionals is competitive, requiring Astrana Health to offer attractive compensation and benefits packages. Timeline: Ongoing.
- Developing New Service Offerings: Astrana Health can develop new service offerings, such as telehealth, remote patient monitoring, and chronic disease management programs. This will enable the company to expand its revenue streams and cater to the evolving needs of its patients. The market for digital health solutions is rapidly growing, driven by the increasing adoption of technology-enabled healthcare services. Timeline: Ongoing.
What Opportunities Does ASTH Have?
- Expanding geographic reach
- Increasing value-based care contracts
- Developing new service offerings
- Enhancing technology platform
What Threats Does ASTH Face?
- Regulatory changes
- Increased competition
- Economic downturn
- Cybersecurity risks
What Are ASTH's Competitive Advantages?
- Proprietary Technology Platform: Astrana Health's technology platform provides a competitive advantage by enabling efficient care coordination and data-driven decision-making.
- Integrated Care Model: The company's integrated care model fosters collaboration among providers and improves patient outcomes.
- Value-Based Care Focus: Astrana Health's focus on value-based care aligns incentives with providers and rewards them for delivering high-quality, cost-effective care.
What Does ASTH Do?
Astrana Health, Inc., formerly known as Apollo Medical Holdings, Inc., was incorporated in 1985 and rebranded in February 2024. Headquartered in Alhambra, California, the company operates as a physician-centric, technology-powered healthcare management organization. Astrana Health provides medical care services across the United States, focusing on an integrated, value-based healthcare model. The company operates through three segments: Care Partners, Care Delivery, and Care Enablement. The Care Partners segment focuses on collaborating with physician groups and health plans to improve care coordination and outcomes. The Care Delivery segment provides direct medical services through its network of primary care physicians, specialists, and hospitalists. The Care Enablement segment leverages Astrana Health's proprietary population health management and healthcare delivery platform to empower providers and enhance patient care. Astrana Health serves patients covered by private or public insurance, including Medicare, Medicaid, and HMO plans, as well as non-insured patients. The company's core mission is to improve healthcare delivery through technology and a focus on value-based care.
What Products and Services Does ASTH Offer?
- Provides medical care services in the United States.
- Operates through three segments: Care Partners, Care Delivery, and Care Enablement.
- Leverages a proprietary population health management and healthcare delivery platform.
- Operates an integrated, value-based healthcare model.
- Empowers providers to deliver care to patients.
- Offers care coordination services to patients, families, and healthcare providers.
- Serves patients covered by private or public insurance, as well as non-insured patients.
How Does ASTH Make Money?
- Generates revenue through providing medical care services to patients.
- Receives payments from private and public insurance plans, including Medicare and Medicaid.
- Earns revenue from value-based care contracts, which reward providers for delivering high-quality, cost-effective care.
What Industry Does ASTH Operate In?
Astrana Health operates within the dynamic and evolving healthcare industry, characterized by increasing demand for value-based care and technology-driven solutions. The industry is experiencing a shift towards preventative care and chronic disease management, driven by an aging population and rising healthcare costs. The competitive landscape includes established healthcare providers, managed care organizations, and emerging technology companies. Astrana Health differentiates itself through its integrated care model and proprietary technology platform, positioning it to capitalize on the growing demand for efficient and effective healthcare services. The U.S. healthcare market is projected to reach trillions of dollars in the coming years, offering significant growth opportunities for companies like Astrana Health.
Who Are ASTH's Key Customers?
- Patients covered by private insurance plans.
- Patients covered by public insurance plans, such as Medicare and Medicaid.
- Non-insured patients.
Net buyingInsider Activity
Over the past six months, Astrana Health, Inc. insiders filed 24 SEC Form 4 transactions — 12 sales and 12 purchases. On net that is roughly 306K shares acquired (about $2.6M) — insiders putting money in tends to read as conviction.
FY2026 estForward Outlook
Wall Street analysts project Astrana Health, Inc. revenue of about $4.00B for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $1.27. The estimate reflects 7 contributing analysts.
F-Score 5/9Financial Health
Astrana Health, Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 5/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 2.79 places it in the grey zone, a middle ground that warrants monitoring.
ROE 4%Key Financial Metrics
Return on equity for Astrana Health, Inc. stands at 3.9%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 1.3%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. ASTH trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 62.59, above the Healthcare sector average of ~23x. Its free cash flow yield is 8.1%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 1.35 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 1.6%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.
Astrana Health, Inc. (ASTH) Valuation Context
Valued at $2.36B, ASTH is classified as a mid-cap stock. Relative to its peer group, ASTH's quantitative score of 86/100 is above the peer average of 62/100.
ASTH Revenue & Earnings Trend
In Q1 2026, ASTH generated $965.1M in top-line revenue, marking a sequential increase of 1.5%. The company recorded net income of $14.4M, with diluted EPS of $0.29. Quarter-over-quarter revenue has been mixed, typical for a mid-cap company operating in Healthcare. Across the four most recent quarters, ASTH averaged $0.15 in diluted EPS.
Company Profile
Astrana Health, Inc. operates in the Medical - Care Facilities industry within the Healthcare sector. It is headquartered in Alhambra, US. The company is led by CEO Brandon K. Sim. ASTH has traded publicly since 2009.
ASTH Financials
Fundamental Snapshot
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025
Bull Case vs Bear Case
Bull Case
- Integrated care model
- Proprietary technology platform
- Focus on value-based care
- Experienced management team
Bear Case
- Relatively small market share
- Limited geographic presence
- Dependence on key providers
- Low gross margin
AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · July 2026
Recent Quarterly Results
| Quarter | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | $965M | $14M | $0.29 |
| Q4 2025 | $951M | $6M | $0.12 |
| Q3 2025 | $956M | $373,000 | $0.01 |
| Q2 2025 | $655M | $9M | $0.19 |
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis
ASTH Latest News
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ASTH: Raising target price to $43.00
Argus Research · Jun 24, 2026
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Astrana Health (ASTH) Gets Upgraded by Barclays
Yahoo! Finance: ASTH News · Jun 22, 2026
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2 Growth Stocks Set to Flourish and 1 Facing Headwinds
Yahoo! Finance: ASTH News · Jun 5, 2026
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Astrana Health Named to the 2026 Fortune 1000 List Following Strong Revenue Growth
prnewswire.com · Jun 4, 2026
ASTH Analyst Consensus
Consensus Rating
Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for ASTH.
Price Targets
Consensus target: $34.00
ASTH MoonshotScore
What does this score mean?
The MoonshotScore rates ASTH's growth potential on a scale of 0-100 across multiple factors including innovation, market disruption, financial health, and momentum.
Latest News
ASTH: Raising target price to $43.00
Astrana Health (ASTH) Gets Upgraded by Barclays
2 Growth Stocks Set to Flourish and 1 Facing Headwinds
Astrana Health Named to the 2026 Fortune 1000 List Following Strong Revenue Growth
Leadership: Brandon K. Sim
Unknown
Information about Brandon K. Sim's specific background and career history is not available in the provided data. Without this, a detailed profile cannot be accurately constructed. Further research would be needed to provide a comprehensive overview of his experience, education, and previous roles.
Track Record: Due to the lack of available information, it is not possible to assess Brandon K. Sim's track record, key achievements, strategic decisions, or company milestones under his leadership. A more detailed biography or company reports would be required to evaluate his performance as CEO.
Common Questions About ASTH (Healthcare)
What does Astrana Health, Inc. do?
Astrana Health, Inc. is a healthcare management company that provides medical care services in the United States. It operates through three segments: Care Partners, Care Delivery, and Care Enablement. The company leverages its proprietary population health management and healthcare delivery platform to deliver value-based healthcare. Astrana Health's integrated model focuses on care coordination and empowers providers to deliver high-quality, cost-effective care to patients covered by private or public insurance, as well as non-insured individuals. The company's physician network includes primary care physicians, specialists, and hospitalists.
What do analysts say about ASTH stock?
Analyst sentiment on Astrana Health (ASTH) is currently unavailable due to limited data. Key valuation metrics such as price targets and ratings are not provided in the given context. Therefore, a neutral summary of analyst consensus, growth considerations, and potential investment opportunities cannot be accurately assessed. Further research and access to analyst reports would be necessary to provide a comprehensive overview of market expectations for ASTH stock.
What are the main risks for ASTH?
Astrana Health faces several risks inherent to the healthcare industry. Regulatory changes, such as those affecting reimbursement rates or healthcare policies, could significantly impact revenue and profitability. Increased competition from larger, more established healthcare providers and emerging technology companies could erode market share. Economic downturns may reduce patient demand for elective medical services, affecting revenue. Cybersecurity threats pose a risk to patient data and operational continuity. Additionally, the company's reliance on its technology platform makes it vulnerable to system failures and technological obsolescence.
What are the key factors to evaluate for ASTH?
Astrana Health, Inc. (ASTH) holds an AI score of 86/100 (high). P/E: 62.6x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $34.00 (-29%). Not financial advice.
How frequently does ASTH data refresh on this page?
ASTH prices update in real time during U.S. market hours. Fundamentals refresh after quarterly filings; analyst ratings and AI insights update daily; news is aggregated continuously.
What has driven ASTH's recent stock price performance?
Astrana Health, Inc. (ASTH) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Integrated care model. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.
Should investors consider ASTH overvalued or undervalued right now?
Astrana Health, Inc. (ASTH) trades at 62.6x earnings. Analysts target $34.00 (-29%) — downside risk seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.
What research should beginners do before buying ASTH?
Before investing in Astrana Health, Inc. (ASTH), research these four areas: (1) the company's revenue model and competitive position (see Company Overview), (2) financial health through revenue growth, margins, and cash flow (see MoonshotScore), (3) what Wall Street analysts recommend and their price targets (see Analyst tab), and (4) specific risk factors that could impact the stock (see Risk Factors section).
Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.
Official Resources
Data provided for informational purposes only.
- Limited financial data available.
- Analyst ratings and price targets are not available.
- CEO background information is limited.