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Alterity Therapeutics Limited (ATHE) Stock: Price, Forecast & Analyst Target

Alterity Therapeutics Limited (ATHE) — MoonshotScore 44/100 (Weak band), calculated Oct 26, 2026. Price $2.08 (-0.48%), as of the Oct 26, 2026 trading session; market cap $35.2M.

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$2.08 −$0.01 (-0.48%) Market Cap $35.2M

Alterity Therapeutics Limited · ATHE · NASDAQ

Alterity Therapeutics Limited is an Australian biotechnology company focused on developing therapeutic drugs for neurological disorders like Parkinson's and Alzheimer's diseases.

Price as of Oct 26, 2026

Key Statistics

44 of 100

MoonshotScore v2 · Alterity Therapeutics (ATHE)

Weak
Business Quality Average (40)
Financial Safety Fortress (80)
Valuation Full (56)
Growth Durability Shrinking (11)
Momentum Slipping (22)
Why this rating? Method, drivers & history

Bands for the MoonshotScore: Exceptional 80-100 · Strong 65-79 · Fair 45-64 · Weak below 45.

  • Business Quality — Is this a genuinely good business?
  • Financial Safety — Could this blow up on me?
  • Valuation — Am I paying a fair price?
  • Growth Durability — Is the growth real and likely to last?
  • Momentum — Is the market already moving on this?
The ten-second read ·

A strong balance sheet, but stalling growth, and the price trend has turned against it. The score also carries a risk penalty for a bankruptcy-risk score in the distress zone. Business Quality: Average; Financial Safety: Fortress; Valuation: Full; Growth Durability: Shrinking; Momentum: Slipping.

  • quarterly revenue $3M (Q4 FY2025, quarter ended Jun 30, 2025)
  • EPS beat 4 of 8
  • Altman Z 0.77 · Piotroski F 2

Holding back: soft growth, weak price trend

Helping: balance-sheet strength

What has the MoonshotScore done over time?

MoonshotScore snapshots recorded for ATHE (42 recorded, newest six shown)
RecordedScoreBand
50Fair
51Fair
50Fair
50Fair
46Fair
44Weak

The score moved from 46 in the stored Oct 24, 2026 snapshot to 44 in the current publication computed Oct 26, 2026 (-2); the largest pillar moves were Momentum -1.

Calculation uses the most recent completed US trading session. Live price changes do not update the score immediately.

Computed · Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How the MoonshotScore is computed →

Price & valuation

As of
MeasureValue
Latest provided price$2.08
Change on the day-0.48%
52-week range$2.04 – $5.89
Market capitalisation$35.2M
Shares traded on the day7.9K

Price & events

Council Score · weighted blend of 2 available disciplines

Council score for Alterity Therapeutics (ATHE): Split View

47/100 · C

Council is a separate blend of available disciplines; MoonshotScore above remains the five-pillar research rating.

5-Factor Breakdown

Growth Durability Negative
Momentum Weak
Business Quality Neutral
Financial Safety Strong
Valuation Neutral

Legends Council

6 lenses, 6 current

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Dalio-style lens (simulated) Ray Dalio Favorable read
Griffin-style lens (simulated) Ken Griffin Unfavorable read
Simons-style lens (simulated) Jim Simons Favorable read
Englander-style lens (simulated) Izzy Englander Neutral read
Klarman-style lens (simulated) Seth Klarman Unfavorable read
Moon AI lens (model) Neutral read

Read on: Oct 26, 2026

Munger's Mindset

Balance Sheet & Valuation · historical

Financial Health Negative
Margin of Safety Fairly Valued
Profit Margin Weak
Revenue Growth Negative
Debt/Equity Strong
ROE Negative
Gross Margin Negative

Read on: Sep 9, 2026 · older than the 27 hours refresh window; not a current reading

How to read these bars and different assessments

Council is a separate blend of available disciplines; MoonshotScore above remains the five-pillar research rating.

Bars show each model's ordered assessment on its own scale, not a probability or a comparable investment return. The adjacent words give the assessment; more filled segments indicate a stronger model reading.

On Sep 9, 2026, the Munger lens read the price at that time as fairly valued against its own estimate of value.

Readings on this page are from Oct 27, 2026, except a card that shows its own read date.

Watch the ATHE film — every key number, told as a short cinematic story

~2 min · open the film

1 · What is it?

What is Alterity Therapeutics (ATHE), and what does it report?

Short answer · as of

A current FMP business description is unavailable; the listing and provider classification below are the available identity facts. Alterity Therapeutics Limited (ATHE) is listed on NASDAQ. It employs 11 people and is led by David A. Stamler. In Q4 FY2025 it reported revenue of $3M and net income of -$3M. The market values it at $35.2M.

2 · Latest results

What do the latest results show for Alterity Therapeutics (ATHE)?

Short answer · as of

The most recent reported quarter, Q4 FY2025, carried revenue of $3M. Against analyst estimates the company has EPS beat 4 of 8 reports.

Quarterly income statement — 2 quarters
Revenue, net income and earnings per share by quarter (converted from AUD)
PeriodRevenueNet incomeEPS
Q4 FY2025$3M-$3M-$0.29 (diluted)
Q2 FY2025$1M-$5M-$0.59 (diluted)
3 · Financial strengths and risks

What are the financial strengths and risks for Alterity Therapeutics (ATHE)?

Short answer

The MoonshotScore pillars rate balance-sheet strength as strengths. What is holding it back is soft growth, weak price trend. The distress and quality screens read Altman Z 0.77 · Piotroski F 2. Trailing ratios: ROE -30.2% · ROA -25.6% · current ratio 21.98 · earnings yield -15.9% · free-cash-flow yield -2.4%.

Data-derived red flags

  • Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of 0.77 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).
  • Negative return on equity (-30.2%) — the business is not currently generating profit on shareholder capital.
  • Weak fundamentals — a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 flags soft profitability, leverage or efficiency.
4 · What to check next?

What should you watch next at Alterity Therapeutics (ATHE)?

Short answer · as of

Analyst estimates on file carry FY2026 revenue $2.17M · EPS -0.40 · 6 analysts. Current published price targets run low $2.00 · high $12.00 · consensus $8.00 · median $10.00 against a quoted price of $2.08 (as of Oct 26, 2026).

What the records here don't tell us

  • The next earnings date is not yet scheduled in the calendar we read.
  • No insider Form 4 transaction falls inside the window this page reads.
  • The newest quarter held here (Q4 FY2025) was filed Aug 29, 2025 — 13 months ago.

Checked against the records this page reads, on the dates shown above.

5 · Peer comparison

How does Alterity Therapeutics compare with its peers?

Short answer

Alterity Therapeutics's score ranks 13th of 13 in the bounded comparison shown, against 12 same-model peers. These are company scores, not expected investment returns. The set lists named competitors first, then companies in the same data-provider industry classification closest in market value; that classification is the provider's, not our judgment of business similarity.

Peer set — price, market value and MoonshotScore
CompanyPriceMarket valueScore
CorMedix Inc. (CRMD) Same industry, near in market value$7.94 Oct 26, 2026$612M95 5-pillar Oct 26, 2026
Rigel Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (RIGL) Same industry, near in market value$49.91 Oct 26, 2026$926M93 5-pillar Oct 26, 2026
Zevra Therapeutics, Inc. (ZVRA) Same industry, near in market value$9.53 Oct 26, 2026$566M91 5-pillar Oct 26, 2026
MiMedx Group, Inc. (MDXG) Same industry, near in market value$3.85 Oct 26, 2026$570M88 5-pillar Oct 26, 2026
Arbutus Biopharma Corporation (ABUS) Same industry, near in market value$4.20 Oct 26, 2026$832M85 5-pillar Oct 26, 2026
Rallybio Corporation (RLYB) Same industry, near in market value$16.65 Oct 26, 2026$88.5M82 5-pillar Oct 26, 2026
Pharming Group N.V. (PHAR) Same industry, near in market value$11.90 Oct 26, 2026$793M79 5-pillar Oct 26, 2026
ImmuCell Corporation (ICCC) Same industry, near in market value$10.24 Oct 26, 2026$93.6M78 5-pillar Oct 26, 2026
Oramed Pharmaceuticals Inc. (ORMP) Same industry, near in market value$4.08 Oct 26, 2026$170M75 5-pillar Oct 26, 2026
Niagen Bioscience Inc (NAGE) Same industry, near in market value$2.44 Oct 26, 2026$190M70 5-pillar Oct 26, 2026
Q32 Bio Inc. (QTTB) Same industry, near in market value$8.45 Oct 26, 2026$252M67 5-pillar Oct 26, 2026
Climb Bio, Inc. (CLYM) Same industry, near in market value$8.81 Oct 26, 2026$506M67 5-pillar Oct 26, 2026
Alterity Therapeutics (ATHE) — this page$2.08$35.2M44

Only 5-pillar scores are ranked together. Other models are not directly comparable. Price and score dates are shown separately; market-value dates are unavailable.

The records behind this page

Analyst targets & estimates

What analysts have on file

Price target, low to high
$2.00 – $12.00
Consensus target
$8.00
Median target
$10.00
Revenue estimate
$2.17M
EPS estimate
$-0.40

Consensus record · Captured .

Measured against a quoted price of $2.08 (as of Oct 26, 2026).

What has been published about Alterity Therapeutics (ATHE)?

Read these with our analysis →

Investor Questions: ATHE Stock

These answers are editorial: they are written from question templates that restate figures shown above. They are not part of the source register.

What does the MoonshotScore mean for ATHE?

ATHE carries the MoonshotScore stated above — the Weak band. This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Is ATHE a good stock to buy?

Stock Expert AI does not rate ATHE buy, sell or hold. Alterity Therapeutics Limited carries a MoonshotScore, in the Weak band, a research rating against its peers rather than a forecast. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns and what the price assumes. This is educational content, not investment advice.

What is the ATHE stock price today?

The last price recorded on this page for Alterity Therapeutics Limited (ATHE) is $2.08, as of the Oct 26, 2026 trading session (source: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote). It is a provider snapshot, not a live exchange feed, so check a brokerage quote before you trade.

What is the ATHE price target?

The analyst consensus price target for Alterity Therapeutics Limited (ATHE) is $8.00 (range $2.00 to $12.00, median $10.00), per FMP data captured Oct 26, 2026. Targets are analyst opinions and change often; they are not a Stock Expert AI forecast.

What are the key factors to evaluate for ATHE?

Alterity Therapeutics Limited (ATHE) holds a MoonshotScore in the low range. Analysts target $8.00 (+285%). This foundational growth driver underpins all other opportunities, with continuous impact over the next decade and beyond. Not financial advice.

How frequently does ATHE data refresh on this page?

ATHE's price is the last quote we recorded, from the Oct 26, 2026 trading session. Pages are served from a cache, so the copy you are reading can lag that quote. The quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals follow quarterly filings. V2 is recalculated from the most recent completed US trading session; the score's own date shows its last successful run.

What has driven ATHE's recent stock price performance?

Alterity Therapeutics Limited (ATHE) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider ATHE overvalued or undervalued right now?

Alterity Therapeutics Limited (ATHE) has no trailing P/E available here, so lean on price-to-sales and cash flow in the Financials tab. Analysts target $8.00 (+285%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

How do I research ATHE before investing?

Before investing in Alterity Therapeutics Limited (ATHE), research these four areas: (1) the company's revenue model and competitive position (see Company Overview), (2) financial health through revenue growth, margins, and cash flow (see MoonshotScore), (3) analyst consensus ratings and price targets (see Analyst tab), and (4) specific risk factors that could impact the stock (see Risk Factors section).

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.5-flash, generated Jun 14, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief.

Sources — records for every figure on this page (23 figures)

The 23 rows below are exactly the facts the evidence-backed sections of this page printed — the 10-second verdict, the MoonshotScore, price and market value, the five questions with their receipts, and the records behind this page. Known dates and sources are recorded on their own rows; an em dash or UNRECORDED tier preserves a stored observation without inventing either. The quarterly income statement is provider-standardized (FMP) under one row, and scale definitions — a 0-100 rating, the band ladder, the Piotroski 0–9 range — are fixed rather than measured. No number in those sections was generated by a model. The register does not cover quoted third-party headlines, the dated council readings, or the Frequently Asked Questions; each of those says where it came from where it stands.

"As of" is the date the value is true for where the source carries one — a quarter end, a filing date, a price close, the day the score was computed. A cached observation with no source date remains undated; the page publication date is not used as a substitute.

FMP — 12 facts from Financial Modeling Prep endpoint families

FMP facts used on this page
Fact IDFactValue as shownAs ofTierSource
px.lastLatest provided price$2.08FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote — Dated to the US trading session the price belongs to, derived from the quote record's timestamp (weekend and pre-open reads roll back to the previous weekday; exchange holidays are not modelled). The record does not establish an exchange execution time. Retrieved 2026-10-26T22:04:36.391Z.
px.changeChange on the day-0.48%FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
px.mcapMarket capitalisation$35.2MFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote — Date unknown Market cap record date: 2026-10-26. FMP quote timestamp: 2026-10-26T20:00:01.000Z. Captured from FMP at 2026-10-26T22:04:34.267Z. No share-count basis is inferred; this page preserves the reported amount instead of recalculating it from shares.
px.change_absChange on the day, in dollars−$0.01FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
fin.q_revenueRevenue, Q4 FY2025$3MFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly)
px.volumeShares traded on the day7.9KFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
fin.q_incomeNet income, Q4 FY2025-$3MFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly)
fin.q_tableQuarterly income statement2 quarters through Q4 FY2025FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly), as filed
earn.ptStored analyst price targetslow $2.00 · high $12.00 · consensus $8.00 · median $10.00FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 26, 2026 · Coverage not supplied
earn.pt_rangeAnalyst price target, low to high$2.00 – $12.00FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 26, 2026 · Coverage not supplied
earn.pt_consensusConsensus analyst price target$8.00FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 26, 2026 · Coverage not supplied
earn.pt_medianMedian analyst price target$10.00FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 26, 2026 · Coverage not supplied

UNRECORDED — 9 facts from stored observations whose source was not recorded

UNRECORDED facts used on this page
Fact IDFactValue as shownAs ofTierSource
earn.historyReported versus estimated, recent quartersEPS beat 4 of 8UNRECORDEDStored earnings-history observation — Captured 2026-10-09 · Expired observation
fin.scoresDistress and quality screensAltman Z 0.77 · Piotroski F 2UNRECORDEDStored financial-scores observation — Captured 2026-10-25 · Expired observation
px.range5252-week range$2.04 – $5.89UNRECORDEDStored company-profile observation — Captured 2026-10-26
id.employeesEmployees11UNRECORDEDStored company-profile observation — Captured 2026-10-26
id.ceoChief executiveDavid A. StamlerUNRECORDEDStored company-profile observation — Captured 2026-10-26
fin.ratiosReturn and yield ratios (trailing twelve months)ROE -30.2% · ROA -25.6% · current ratio 21.98 · earnings yield -15.9% · free-cash-flow yield -2.4%—UNRECORDEDStored key metrics — Date unknown
earn.estimatesAnalyst estimates, next fiscal yearFY2026 revenue $2.17M · EPS -0.40 · 6 analystsUNRECORDEDStored analyst estimates — Captured 2026-08-22 · Expired observation
earn.est_revenueRevenue estimate, FY2026$2.17MUNRECORDEDStored analyst estimates — Captured 2026-08-22 · Expired observation
earn.est_epsEPS estimate, FY2026$-0.40UNRECORDEDStored analyst estimates — Captured 2026-08-22 · Expired observation

OURS — 2 facts from Stock Expert AI's own score and rank

OURS facts used on this page
Fact IDFactValue as shownAs ofTierSource
ours.moonshotMoonshotScore v244 of 100 · Weak · pillars 40 / 80 / 56 / 11 / 22OURSStock Expert AI MoonshotScore v2 engine
ours.moonshot_changeMoonshotScore movement46 (stored snapshot Oct 24, 2026) → 44 (current publication computed Oct 26, 2026) (-2)OURSStock Expert AI current score publication and immutable score snapshots
Published
Research standards
Methodology · Editorial policy · Corrections
Data Sources & Methodology
Figures come from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP). If FMP has no figure for a ticker, a price or fundamental may come from a Yahoo Finance fallback, or a price from an Alpaca fallback. SEC EDGAR is used only for filing links and company identity details (legal name, address), never for figures. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.