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Avidia Bancorp, Inc. (AVBC) Stock Analysis

$22.00 -$0.10 (-0.45%) |Strong · 79
Avidia Bancorp, Inc. (AVBC) bottom line: signals are mixed — the Council read leans Bullish Lean (58/100) while the AI fundamental score is 79/100 (grade A); the two lenses disagree, so weigh the breakdown below. Strongest signal: Ray Dalio bullish · Biggest watch-out: Ken Griffin bearish.
MCap: $442M| P/E Ratio: 24.5| Vol: 164.7K| Target: $22.00 (0.0%)|
Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.

Avidia Bancorp, Inc. (AVBC) trades at $22.00 with AI Score 79/100 (Grade A). Avidia Bancorp, Inc. is the bank holding company for Avidia Bank, offering financial services to individuals and businesses. Market cap: $442M, Sector: Financial services.

Price as of Aug 20, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 9, 2026
Avidia Bancorp, Inc. is the bank holding company for Avidia Bank, offering financial services to individuals and businesses. The company provides a range of deposit accounts and loan products, while also investing in securities.

AVBC stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $22.00 for Avidia Bancorp, Inc., suggesting 0.0% upside from the current price of $22.00. The AI MoonshotScore is 79/100, indicating a strong bullish outlook. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the AVBC film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Bullish Lean 58/100 · B

AVBC: the 3 scored disciplines are evenly split. Dominant signal: Ken Griffin bearish.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Growth Potential · 79/100
Business Quality
Neutral Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Strong Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Moderate Am I paying a fair price?
Growth Durability
Weak Is the growth real and likely to last?
Momentum
Strong Is the market already moving on this?
Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI
Ray Dalio
Bullish
Ken Griffin
Bearish
Jim Simons
Bullish
Izzy Englander
Neutral
Seth Klarman
Neutral
Moon AI
Neutral
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Weak
Margin of Safety
Fairly Valued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Avidia Bancorp, Inc. (AVBC) Financial Services Profile

CEORobert D. Cozzone
Employees250
HeadquartersHudson, MA, US
IPO Year2025

Avidia Bancorp, Inc., operating as Avidia Bank, provides diverse financial services, including deposit accounts and loan products, to individual and corporate clients. Founded in 1869 and headquartered in Hudson, Massachusetts, the bank invests primarily in U.S. Treasury and government agency securities, positioning itself as a community-focused regional bank.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NYSE Analysis: May 9, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for AVBC?

As of May 9, 2026 — figures reflect the data available on that date.

Avidia Bancorp, Inc. presents a mixed investment profile. The bank's established history since 1869 and diverse financial service offerings provide a stable foundation. However, a high P/E ratio of 24.5 compared to the industry average suggests it may be overvalued. The negative beta of -1.68 indicates an inverse correlation with the market, potentially offering downside protection during market downturns. A low dividend yield of 0.25% may deter income-focused investors. Growth catalysts include expansion of its loan portfolio and strategic investment in securities. Potential risks involve interest rate sensitivity and competition from larger regional and national banks. Investors should weigh these factors carefully.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

AVBC Key Highlights

Market capitalization of $442M indicates a mid-sized community bank.

  • A profit margin of 9.5% reflects reasonable profitability in the current banking environment.
  • Gross margin of 69.3% suggests efficient management of interest income and expenses.
  • Dividend yield of 0.25% offers limited income potential for investors.
  • Negative beta of -1.68 indicates the stock moves inversely to the market, potentially offering portfolio diversification benefits.

Who Are AVBC's Competitors?

AVBC is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap AI Score
FMAO Farmers & Merchants Bancorp, Inc. $33.47 -0.09% $461M 92
PKBK Parke Bancorp, Inc. $34.15 +0.83% $404M 92
PDLB Ponce Financial Group, Inc. $20.12 -2.57% $487M 92
FNLC The First Bancorp, Inc. $34.53 -3.01% $389M 91
OBT Orange County Bancorp, Inc. $37.69 -0.15% $505M 92
BWFG Bankwell Financial Group, Inc. $65.64 -2.65% $523M 93
NWFL Norwood Financial Corp. $33.60 -2.24% $366M 92
HBCP Home Bancorp, Inc. $69.47 -2.77% $547M 94

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are AVBC's Key Strengths?

Long-standing history and established presence in its market.

  • Diversified portfolio of loan and deposit products.
  • Strong relationships with local businesses and customers.
  • Experienced management team.

What Are AVBC's Weaknesses?

Limited geographic reach compared to larger regional and national banks.

  • Reliance on traditional banking services, with slower adoption of fintech innovations.
  • Higher operating costs compared to more efficient competitors.
  • Lower brand recognition outside of its primary market area.

What Could Drive AVBC Stock Higher?

Implementation of new digital banking platform to enhance customer experience and attract new customers.

  • Expansion of commercial lending activities targeting small and medium-sized businesses.
  • Strategic investments in securities to optimize investment income.
  • Potential acquisitions of smaller community banks to expand geographic footprint.

What Are the Key Risks for AVBC?

Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of 0.32 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).

  • Rich valuation — a P/E of 24.5 runs well above the Financial Services sector’s ~18x, leaving little room for a miss.
  • Interest rate fluctuations impacting net interest margin and profitability.
  • Increased competition from larger regional and national banks.
  • Economic downturns leading to increased loan defaults.
  • Regulatory changes impacting capital requirements and compliance costs.
  • Cybersecurity threats and data breaches compromising customer information.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for AVBC?

  • Expansion of Commercial Lending: Avidia Bancorp can grow by expanding its commercial lending portfolio, targeting small and medium-sized businesses (SMBs) in its region. The SMB lending market is estimated at $800 billion annually. By offering competitive rates and personalized service, Avidia can capture a larger share of this market. Timeline: 2-3 years.
  • Digital Banking Platform Enhancement: Investing in and enhancing its digital banking platform can attract younger customers and improve efficiency. The digital banking market is projected to reach $9 trillion in transaction value by 2027. By offering a user-friendly mobile app and online banking services, Avidia can increase customer engagement and reduce operational costs. Timeline: 1-2 years.
  • Strategic Acquisitions: Avidia Bancorp can pursue strategic acquisitions of smaller community banks or credit unions to expand its geographic footprint and customer base. The M&A activity in the banking sector is expected to remain strong. Acquiring institutions with complementary strengths can create synergies and improve overall performance. Timeline: 3-5 years.
  • Wealth Management Services: Offering wealth management services to its existing customer base can generate additional revenue streams and increase customer loyalty. The wealth management market is growing at an annual rate of 7%. By providing financial planning, investment management, and retirement planning services, Avidia can cater to the growing needs of its affluent customers. Timeline: 2-3 years.
  • Focus on Sustainable Lending: By focusing on sustainable lending practices, Avidia Bancorp can attract environmentally and socially conscious customers. The sustainable lending market is experiencing rapid growth. Offering loans for renewable energy projects, energy-efficient homes, and other sustainable initiatives can differentiate Avidia from its competitors and enhance its reputation. Timeline: Ongoing.

What Are AVBC's Competitive Advantages?

  • Established local presence and brand reputation in its operating region.
  • Strong customer relationships built over many years of service.
  • Access to stable deposit base within its community.
  • Expertise in local real estate and commercial lending markets.

What Does AVBC Do?

Avidia Bancorp, Inc., established in 1869, functions as the bank holding company for Avidia Bank. The bank delivers a comprehensive suite of financial services tailored to both individual and corporate clients. Its offerings encompass a variety of deposit accounts, including savings, checking, certificates of deposit (CDs), individual retirement accounts (IRAs), money market accounts, demand deposit accounts, and both interest-bearing and noninterest-bearing checking accounts. On the lending side, Avidia Bank provides commercial and industrial loans, one-to four-family residential mortgage loans, home equity loans, second mortgage loans, multi-family mortgage loans, commercial real estate loans, construction and land loans, and consumer loans. Additionally, the bank extends land development, business term, and auto loans. Beyond traditional banking services, Avidia Bancorp facilitates payments processing and strategically invests in securities, primarily focusing on U.S. Treasury securities, U.S. Government agency securities, and municipal securities. Headquartered in Hudson, Massachusetts, Avidia Bancorp, through Avidia Bank, maintains a community-focused approach while providing a broad range of financial solutions.

What Products and Services Does AVBC Offer?

  • Provides savings and checking accounts to individuals and businesses.
  • Offers certificates of deposit (CDs) and individual retirement accounts (IRAs).
  • Provides money market and demand deposit accounts.
  • Offers commercial and industrial loans.
  • Provides residential mortgage loans, including one-to four-family and multi-family properties.
  • Offers home equity and second mortgage loans.
  • Provides commercial real estate, construction, and land loans.
  • Offers consumer loans, land development loans, business term loans, and auto loans.

How Does AVBC Make Money?

  • Generates revenue from interest earned on loans.
  • Generates revenue from fees charged for various banking services.
  • Invests in securities, primarily U.S. Treasury and government agency securities, to generate investment income.

What Industry Does AVBC Operate In?

Avidia Bancorp operates within the regional banking sector, which is characterized by increasing competition from larger national banks and fintech companies. The industry is currently navigating a period of evolving regulatory requirements and fluctuating interest rates. Regional banks like Avidia are focused on maintaining strong relationships with local businesses and consumers. The market is seeing increased demand for digital banking services, requiring regional banks to invest in technology to remain competitive. The U.S. banking sector has total assets of approximately $23 trillion, with regional banks holding a significant portion.

Who Are AVBC's Key Customers?

  • Individual customers seeking personal banking services.
  • Small and medium-sized businesses requiring commercial banking solutions.
  • Real estate developers and investors seeking financing for projects.
AI Confidence: 78% Updated: May 9, 2026

Company Profile

Avidia Bancorp, Inc. operates in the Banks - Regional industry within the Financial Services sector. It is headquartered in Hudson, US. The company is led by CEO Robert D. Cozzone. AVBC has traded publicly since 2025.

ROE 4%

Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Avidia Bancorp, Inc. stands at 4.3%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 0.5%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. AVBC trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 24.51, above the Financial Services sector average of ~18x. Its free cash flow yield is 6.9%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 0.00 means current liabilities exceed short-term assets, a liquidity point worth watching. Its earnings yield is 3.8%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

AVBC Valuation & Market Position

With a $442M market cap, Avidia Bancorp, Inc. sits in the small-cap segment of the market. Relative to its peer group, AVBC's quantitative score of 79/100 is below the peer average of 92/100.

Quarterly Financial Performance: Avidia Bancorp, Inc.

Revenue for Avidia Bancorp, Inc. came in at $39.1M during Q2 2026, a 3.3% improvement versus the preceding quarter. The company recorded net income of $7.2M, with diluted EPS of $0.39. Revenue has increased across the last three reported quarters, suggesting sustained momentum for this small-cap Financial Services company. Across the four most recent quarters, AVBC averaged $0.24 in diluted EPS.

F-Score 7/9

Financial Health

Avidia Bancorp, Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — signaling solid underlying fundamentals. Its Altman Z-Score of 0.32 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.

FY2026 est

Forward Outlook

Wall Street analysts project Avidia Bancorp, Inc. revenue of about $118.6M for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $1.44.

AVBC Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
+4.9%
Net Income Growth (FY)
-128.6%
EPS Growth (FY)
-131.6%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
-100.0%
P/E (TTM)
26.1
Return on Equity (TTM)
+4.3%
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
32.4

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Recent insider buying suggests confidence in the company's future, indicating that executives believe in AVBC's growth potential.
  • Community sentiment has shifted positively, with increased discussions around Avidia's strategic initiatives and community engagement efforts.
  • The banking sector shows signs of resilience, and AVBC's local focus positions it well to capitalize on regional opportunities.
  • Recent developments in digital banking services have attracted attention, highlighting AVBC's commitment to innovation and customer service.

Bear Case

  • Concerns about potential regulatory changes in the banking sector have led to hesitancy among investors, impacting overall sentiment.
  • Some community members express doubts about the scalability of AVBC's current business model in a competitive landscape.
  • Recent earnings reports have raised questions about cost management, leading to skepticism about future profitability.
  • Market perception remains cautious due to broader economic uncertainties, affecting confidence in smaller regional banks like Avidia.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · March 2026

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 2026 $39M $7M $0.39
Q1 2026 $38M $6M $0.32
Q4 2025 $37M $5M $0.29
Q3 2025 $38M -$907,000 -$0.05

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

AVBC Latest News

AVBC Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for AVBC.

Price Targets

Consensus target: $22.00

AVBC MoonshotScore

79/100

What does this score mean?

The MoonshotScore rates AVBC 0-100 on quantitative fundamentals — growth, financial health, valuation, momentum, and risk.

Leadership: Robert D. Cozzone

CEO

Robert D. Cozzone serves as the CEO of Avidia Bancorp, Inc. His career reflects extensive experience in the financial services sector. He has held various leadership positions within the banking industry, contributing to strategic planning, operational efficiency, and customer relationship management. His background includes a strong focus on community banking and a commitment to serving the financial needs of local businesses and individuals. He is responsible for managing 250 employees.

Track Record: Under Robert D. Cozzone's leadership, Avidia Bancorp has maintained a stable financial performance and continued to serve its community. He has overseen the bank's efforts to adapt to changing market conditions and invest in new technologies. Key milestones include maintaining a consistent profit margin and navigating the challenges of a fluctuating interest rate environment.

Common Questions About AVBC (Financial Services)

What does the AI Score mean for AVBC?

AVBC holds an AI Score of 79/100 (Grade: A). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Avidia Bancorp, Inc. is the bank holding company for Avidia Bank, offering financial services to individuals and businesses. The company provides a range of deposit accounts and loan products …

What does Avidia Bancorp, Inc. do?

Avidia Bancorp, Inc. functions as the holding company for Avidia Bank, a regional bank providing a comprehensive range of financial services to individuals and businesses. These services include deposit accounts such as savings, checking, and money market accounts, as well as lending solutions like commercial and industrial loans, residential mortgages, and consumer loans.

What do analysts say about AVBC stock?

Analyst coverage of Avidia Bancorp, Inc. (AVBC) is limited due to its size and regional focus. Key valuation metrics include a P/E ratio of 24.5, which is relatively high compared to some of its peers.

What are the main risks for AVBC?

Avidia Bancorp, Inc. faces several risks inherent to the banking industry. Interest rate risk is a significant concern, as fluctuations in interest rates can impact the bank's net interest margin and profitability. Credit risk, or the risk of loan defaults, is another key consideration, particularly during economic downturns.

How is Avidia Bancorp, Inc. adapting to fintech disruption?

Avidia Bancorp, Inc. is adapting to fintech disruption by investing in and enhancing its digital banking platform. This includes offering user-friendly mobile apps and online banking services to attract younger customers and improve customer engagement. The bank is also exploring partnerships with fintech companies to offer innovative financial solutions and streamline its operations.

What regulatory challenges does Avidia Bancorp, Inc. face?

Avidia Bancorp, Inc. faces a number of regulatory challenges common to the banking industry. These include compliance with capital requirements set by regulatory bodies, such as the Federal Reserve. The bank must also adhere to regulations related to anti-money laundering (AML), consumer protection, and data privacy. Compliance costs can be significant, requiring ongoing investment in technology and personnel.

What are the key factors to evaluate for AVBC?

Avidia Bancorp, Inc. (AVBC) holds an AI score of 79/100 (high). P/E: 24.5x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $22.00 (0%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does AVBC data refresh on this page?

AVBC's price was last updated on Aug 20, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours — it is not a real-time exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven AVBC's recent stock price performance?

Avidia Bancorp, Inc. (AVBC) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Long-standing history and established presence in its market. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated AI Score refreshed daily
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • The information provided is based on available data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice.
Data Sources

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