Brown-Forman Corporation (BF-B) Stock Analysis
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.
Brown-Forman Corporation (BF-B) trades at $28.20 with AI Score 50/100 (Grade B). Brown-Forman Corporation manufactures, distills, bottles, imports, and markets a diverse portfolio of alcoholic beverages. Market cap: $13.2B, Sector: Consumer defensive.
Price as of Aug 21, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 9, 2026BF-B stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $28.32 for Brown-Forman Corporation, suggesting 0.4% upside from the current price of $28.20. The AI MoonshotScore is 50/100, indicating a neutral outlook. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.
BF-B: 1/3 scored disciplines lean bullish. Dominant signal: Ray Dalio bullish.
How is this calculated? →Why this analysis is different
- A 9-signal quantitative MoonshotScore built from filings, insider activity, and market data — computed from the numbers, not from opinion.
- An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
- Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.
Brown-Forman Corporation (BF-B) Consumer Business Overview
Brown-Forman Corporation is a leading manufacturer and marketer of alcoholic beverages, distinguished by its iconic Jack Daniel's brand and a diverse portfolio of premium spirits and wines. With a global presence and a focus on brand building, the company competes in the consumer defensive sector.
What Is the Investment Thesis for BF-B?
Brown-Forman presents a compelling investment case based on its strong brand portfolio, particularly the globally recognized Jack Daniel's franchise. The company's consistent profitability, demonstrated by a 20.6% profit margin and a 59.5% gross margin, underpins its financial stability. A dividend yield of 3.31% offers an attractive income stream for investors. Growth catalysts include the expansion of premium brands and increased penetration in emerging markets. However, investors may want to evaluate potential risks such as evolving consumer preferences and increased competition. The company's beta of 0.42 suggests lower volatility compared to the broader market.
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis
BF-B Key Highlights
Market capitalization of $13.2B reflects Brown-Forman's significant presence in the alcoholic beverage industry.
- A P/E ratio of 17.7 indicates a valuation that is in line with the broader consumer defensive sector.
- Gross margin of 59.5% demonstrates the company's ability to maintain profitability through efficient operations and strong brand pricing.
- Dividend yield of 3.31% provides a steady income stream for investors.
- Profit margin of 20.6% showcases Brown-Forman's effective cost management and brand strength.
Who Are BF-B's Competitors?
BF-B is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.
| Company | Price | Change | Market Cap | AI Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COKE Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc. | $187.60 | +0.41% | $14.7B | 68 |
| PFGC Performance Food Group Company | $103.98 | +0.62% | $16.3B | 60 |
| HRL Hormel Foods Corporation | $24.07 | -1.39% | $13.3B | 56 |
| BJ BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. | $91.22 | -0.62% | $11.7B | 60 |
| CLX The Clorox Company | $106.04 | -1.72% | $12.8B | 49 |
| PDRDF Pernod Ricard S.A. | $79.94 | +3.75% | $20.1B | 46 |
| PRNDY Pernod Ricard S.A. | $16.08 | +1.13% | $20.3B | 47 |
| TBVPY Thai Beverage Public Company Limited | $33.46 | +0.00% | $8.41B | 48 |
AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance
What Are BF-B's Key Strengths?
Strong brand portfolio with iconic brands like Jack Daniel's.
- Global distribution network providing access to key markets.
- Consistent profitability and strong financial performance.
- Experienced management team with a proven track record.
What Are BF-B's Weaknesses?
Dependence on the Jack Daniel's brand for a significant portion of revenue.
- Exposure to changing consumer preferences and trends.
- Vulnerability to regulatory changes and excise taxes.
- Limited presence in certain emerging markets.
What Could Drive BF-B Stock Higher?
BF-B catalyst: Expansion of Jack Daniel's product line into new flavor profiles and ready-to-drink offerings to attract younger consumers.
- Increased marketing investments in emerging markets to drive brand awareness and sales growth.
- Launch of new premium spirit brands in the next 12-18 months to diversify the product portfolio.
- Continued focus on sustainability initiatives to enhance brand reputation and appeal to environmentally conscious consumers.
What Are the Key Risks for BF-B?
Changes in consumer preferences and trends could negatively impact demand for Brown-Forman's products.
- Increased competition from other alcoholic beverage companies could erode market share.
- Regulatory changes and excise taxes could increase costs and reduce profitability.
- Economic downturns and reduced consumer spending could negatively impact sales.
- Supply chain disruptions and raw material cost increases could impact production and profitability.
What Are the Growth Opportunities for BF-B?
- Expansion of Premium Brands: Brown-Forman has a significant opportunity to expand its premium brands, such as Woodford Reserve and Herradura. The global market for premium spirits is growing, driven by increasing disposable incomes and a desire for higher-quality products. By investing in marketing and distribution, Brown-Forman can increase its market share in this segment. The premium spirits market is projected to reach $200 billion by 2028.
- Emerging Markets Penetration: Emerging markets, such as India and China, offer significant growth potential for Brown-Forman. As these economies develop, consumer demand for alcoholic beverages is expected to increase. Brown-Forman can leverage its global distribution network to enter these markets and establish a presence. The emerging markets alcoholic beverage market is projected to grow at a rate of 8% per year over the next five years.
- Ready-to-Drink (RTD) Cocktails: The ready-to-drink cocktail market is experiencing rapid growth, driven by convenience and innovation. Brown-Forman can capitalize on this trend by developing and marketing new RTD products under its existing brands. This includes line extensions of popular brands like Jack Daniel's. The RTD market is expected to reach $40 billion by 2027.
- Innovation in Product Offerings: Brown-Forman can drive growth through continuous innovation in its product offerings. This includes developing new flavors, packaging formats, and product categories. By staying ahead of consumer trends, Brown-Forman can maintain its competitive edge. Investment in research and development is crucial for sustaining this growth. New product innovation is expected to contribute 5% to annual revenue growth.
- Strategic Acquisitions: Brown-Forman can pursue strategic acquisitions to expand its brand portfolio and geographic reach. By acquiring complementary brands, Brown-Forman can increase its market share and diversify its revenue streams. Potential acquisition targets include craft distilleries and regional wine producers. Strategic acquisitions are expected to add 3% to annual revenue growth.
What Are BF-B's Competitive Advantages?
- Brand Recognition: Strong brand recognition and loyalty, particularly for Jack Daniel's.
- Distribution Network: Established global distribution network providing access to key markets.
- Product Portfolio: Diverse portfolio of premium spirits and wines catering to different consumer preferences.
- Proprietary Recipes: Unique and proprietary recipes for its key brands, ensuring product differentiation.
What Does BF-B Do?
Founded in 1870 and headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky, Brown-Forman Corporation has evolved into one of the largest American-owned spirits and wine companies. The company's origins lie in the bottling and sale of Old Forester Kentucky Straight Bourbon Whisky, a brand that remains a cornerstone of its portfolio. Over the decades, Brown-Forman expanded its offerings through strategic acquisitions and organic brand development, establishing a global footprint in the alcoholic beverage industry. Today, Brown-Forman manufactures, distills, bottles, imports, exports, markets, and sells a wide array of alcoholic beverages, including spirits, wines, whiskey spirits, whiskey-based flavored liqueurs, ready-to-drink and ready-to-pour products, ready-to-drink cocktails, vodkas, tequilas, champagnes, brandy, and liqueurs. Its key brands include Jack Daniel's, Woodford Reserve, Herradura, el Jimador, Finlandia, and Korbel. The company serves retail customers and consumers through distributors or state governments, as well as directly to retailers, wholesalers, and provincial governments. Brown-Forman operates in the United States, Germany, Australia, the United Kingdom, Mexico, and other international markets.
What Products and Services Does BF-B Offer?
- Manufactures and distills alcoholic beverages.
- Bottles and packages spirits and wines.
- Imports and exports alcoholic beverages globally.
- Markets and sells its products to distributors, retailers, and consumers.
- Offers a diverse portfolio of brands, including Jack Daniel's, Woodford Reserve, and Herradura.
- Provides contract bottling services to other companies.
- Sells used barrels and bulk whiskey and wine.
How Does BF-B Make Money?
- Manufactures and sells alcoholic beverages through distributors and direct sales.
- Generates revenue from the sale of spirits, wines, and ready-to-drink cocktails.
- Focuses on building brand equity and marketing its products globally.
- Utilizes a multi-channel distribution strategy to reach consumers.
What Industry Does BF-B Operate In?
Brown-Forman operates in the global alcoholic beverage industry, which is characterized by increasing demand for premium and craft spirits. The industry is competitive, with major players like COKE: Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc. and HRL: Hormel Foods Corporation vying for market share. Trends include a shift towards ready-to-drink cocktails and a growing interest in tequila and whiskey. Brown-Forman's strong brand portfolio and global distribution network position it well to capitalize on these trends, although it faces challenges from evolving consumer preferences and regulatory changes.
Who Are BF-B's Key Customers?
- Retail consumers who purchase alcoholic beverages for personal consumption.
- Distributors who supply alcoholic beverages to retailers and restaurants.
- Retailers, including liquor stores, supermarkets, and convenience stores.
- Wholesalers who purchase alcoholic beverages in bulk and distribute them to retailers.
- Provincial governments in certain markets that control the distribution of alcoholic beverages.
Brown-Forman Corporation (BF-B) Valuation Context
Valued at $13.2B, BF-B is classified as a large-cap stock. Relative to its peer group, BF-B's quantitative score of 50/100 is roughly in line with the peer average of 59/100.
BF-B Revenue & Earnings Trend
In Q2 2026, BF-B generated $912.0M in top-line revenue, marking a sequential decrease of 13.6%. The company recorded net income of $54.0M, with diluted EPS of $0.12. Quarter-over-quarter revenue has been mixed, typical for a large-cap company operating in Consumer Defensive. Across the four most recent quarters, BF-B averaged $0.38 in diluted EPS.
Company Profile
Brown-Forman Corporation operates in the Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries industry within the Consumer Defensive sector. It is headquartered in Louisville, US. The company is led by CEO Lawson E. Whiting. BF-B has traded publicly since 1980.
Key Financial Metrics
Return on equity for Brown-Forman Corporation stands at 17.6%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 9.1%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. BF-B trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 17.72, below the Consumer Defensive sector average of ~28x. Its free cash flow yield is 6.9%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 3.24 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 5.6%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.
Financial Health
Brown-Forman Corporation's Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — signaling solid underlying fundamentals. Its Altman Z-Score of 4.27 places it in the safe zone, indicating low near-term bankruptcy risk.
Forward Outlook
Wall Street analysts project Brown-Forman Corporation revenue of about $3.90B for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $1.74. The estimate reflects 17 contributing analysts.
Insider Activity
Over the past six months, Brown-Forman Corporation insiders filed 30 SEC Form 4 transactions — 5 sales and 25 purchases. On net that is roughly 306K shares acquired (about $103K) — insiders putting money in tends to read as conviction.
BF-B Financials
Bull Case vs Bear Case
Bull Case
- Brown-Forman's consistent dividend payouts are a beacon for income-focused investors, signaling financial stability and management confidence. Think of it as the Coca-Cola of spirits – reliable and rewarding.
- The company's premium brands like Jack Daniel's and Woodford Reserve command strong pricing power, insulating them somewhat from economic downturns. People still want their luxury treats, recession or not.
- Recent insider buying activity suggests that those with the deepest knowledge of the company believe it's undervalued. It's like the executives loading up on shares before a major announcement.
- Brown-Forman's global expansion, particularly in emerging markets, provides a long-term growth runway. They're planting seeds in fertile ground for future harvests.
Bear Case
- Increased competition from craft distilleries is eroding Brown-Forman's market share. It's a death by a thousand cuts, each new brand nibbling away at their dominance.
- Shifting consumer preferences towards healthier beverage options could dampen demand for Brown-Forman's core spirits portfolio. The tide is turning, and sugary drinks are out.
- Negative social sentiment surrounding alcohol consumption and its health impacts could lead to boycotts and decreased sales. The moral compass is pointing away from indulgence.
- Rising input costs, particularly for raw materials like grains and glass, are squeezing Brown-Forman's profit margins. It's like a slow leak in the bottom of the barrel, diminishing returns.
AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · March 2026
Recent Quarterly Results
| Quarter | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $912M | $54M | $0.12 |
| Q1 2026 | $1.06B | $267M | $0.56 |
| Q4 2025 | $1.04B | $224M | $0.47 |
| Q3 2025 | $924M | $170M | $0.36 |
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis
BF-B Latest News
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Brown-Forman Corporation (BF-B) Says No to Sazerac’s $15 Billion Takeover Bid, Again
Yahoo! Finance: BF-B News · Aug 11, 2026
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We Said These 4 Dividend Aristocrats Could Soar. Here's How They Did, Plus 3 New Picks.
247wallst.com · Aug 10, 2026
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Could bad news be coming for Jack Daniel’s parent? New warning sign released
Yahoo! Finance: BF-B News · Aug 3, 2026
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Brown-Forman Corporation: Sazerac’s $32 Cash Bid Rebuffed as Dual-Class Control Shields Valuation Disconnect
Yahoo! Finance: BF-B News · Jul 29, 2026
BF-B Analyst Consensus
Consensus Rating
Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for BF-B.
Price Targets
Consensus target: $28.32
BF-B MoonshotScore
What does this score mean?
The MoonshotScore rates BF-B 0-100 on quantitative fundamentals — growth, financial health, valuation, momentum, and risk.
Latest News
Brown-Forman Corporation (BF-B) Says No to Sazerac’s $15 Billion Takeover Bid, Again
We Said These 4 Dividend Aristocrats Could Soar. Here's How They Did, Plus 3 New Picks.
Could bad news be coming for Jack Daniel’s parent? New warning sign released
Brown-Forman Corporation: Sazerac’s $32 Cash Bid Rebuffed as Dual-Class Control Shields Valuation Disconnect
Leadership: Lawson E. Whiting
CEO
Lawson E. Whiting has served as the Chief Executive Officer of Brown-Forman Corporation since January 2019. Prior to this role, he held various leadership positions within the company, including Chief Operating Officer and Executive Vice President. Whiting joined Brown-Forman in 1997 and has extensive experience in finance, strategy, and operations. He holds a bachelor's degree in economics from DePauw University and an MBA from Northwestern University's Kellogg School of Management.
Track Record: Under Whiting's leadership, Brown-Forman has focused on expanding its premium brands and increasing its presence in emerging markets. He has overseen the launch of new products and the implementation of strategic initiatives to drive growth and improve profitability. Whiting has also emphasized sustainability and corporate social responsibility during his tenure. He successfully navigated the company through the challenges posed by the COVID-19 pandemic, maintaining profitability and market share.
What Investors Ask About Brown-Forman Corporation (BF-B) — Consumer Defensive
What does the AI Score mean for BF-B?
BF-B holds an AI Score of 50/100 (Grade: B). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Brown-Forman Corporation manufactures, distills, bottles, imports, and markets a diverse portfolio of alcoholic beverages. Their key brands include Jack Daniel's, Woodford Reserve, and Herradura.
What does Brown-Forman Corporation do?
Brown-Forman Corporation is a global producer and marketer of alcoholic beverages, with a diverse portfolio of spirits and wines. The company manufactures, distills, bottles, imports, exports, and sells its products to distributors, retailers, and consumers worldwide. Its key brands include Jack Daniel's, Woodford Reserve, Herradura, and Finlandia.
What do analysts say about BF-B stock?
Analyst consensus on BF-B stock is mixed, with some analysts highlighting the company's strong brand portfolio and consistent profitability, while others express concerns about its valuation and exposure to changing consumer preferences. Key valuation metrics include a P/E ratio of 17.7 and a dividend yield of 3.31%.
What are the main risks for BF-B?
The main risks for BF-B include changes in consumer preferences and trends, increased competition from other alcoholic beverage companies, regulatory changes and excise taxes, economic downturns and reduced consumer spending, and supply chain disruptions and raw material cost increases.
How does Brown-Forman Corporation manage supply chain and input cost risks?
Brown-Forman Corporation manages supply chain and input cost risks through a combination of strategic sourcing, hedging, and pricing strategies. The company works closely with its suppliers to ensure a stable supply of raw materials, such as grains, bottles, and barrels. It uses hedging strategies to mitigate the impact of fluctuations in commodity prices and currency exchange rates.
What is Brown-Forman Corporation's geographic revenue mix?
Brown-Forman Corporation's revenue is generated from a diverse geographic mix, with a significant portion coming from the United States and other developed markets, such as Germany, Australia, and the United Kingdom. The company is also focused on expanding its presence in emerging markets, such as Mexico and India, which offer significant growth potential.
What are the key factors to evaluate for BF-B?
Brown-Forman Corporation (BF-B) holds an AI score of 50/100 (moderate). P/E: 17.7x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $28.32 (+0%). Not financial advice.
How frequently does BF-B data refresh on this page?
BF-B's price was last updated on Aug 21, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours — it is not a real-time exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.
What has driven BF-B's recent stock price performance?
Brown-Forman Corporation (BF-B) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Strong brand portfolio with iconic brands like Jack Daniel's. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.
Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.
Official Resources
Data provided for informational purposes only.
- The information provided is based on publicly available sources and is believed to be accurate, but is not guaranteed.
- This is not investment advice. Investors should conduct their own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.