Skip to main content
Skip to main content
BRCB logo

Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. (BRCB)

$8.17 $-0.20 (-2.44%) |Weak · 39
Bottom line: HOLD — our Council read (44/100) and AI Score (39/100) broadly agree. Strongest signal: Ken Griffin bullish · Biggest watch-out: Izzy Englander bearish.
MCap: $147.12M| P/E Ratio: 105.1| Vol: 186.6K| Target: $21.00 (+157.2%)| 52-wk range: $6.63 – $30.40
Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.

Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. (BRCB) trades at $8.17 with AI Score 39/100 (Grade D). Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. operates as a holding company, focusing on providing caffeinated beverages. Market cap: $147.12M, Sector: Consumer defensive.

Price live · AI analysis from May 9, 2026
Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. operates as a holding company, focusing on providing caffeinated beverages. The company offers a variety of coffee, tea, smoothie, and energy drink options.

BRCB stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $21.00 for Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc., suggesting 157.2% upside from the current price of $8.17. The AI MoonshotScore is 39/100, indicating a bearish outlook. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
HOLD 44/100 · C

BRCB: 3/7 perspectives are bearish. Dominant signal: Ken Griffin bullish.

How is this calculated? →
Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI
Ray Dalio
Bullish
Ken Griffin
Bullish
Jim Simons
Neutral
Izzy Englander
Bearish
Seth Klarman
Bearish
Moon AI
Neutral
Council Score · 8 perspectives · See tabs for details →

Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. (BRCB) Consumer Business Overview

CEOMark D. Davis
Employees161
HeadquartersScottsdale, AZ, US
IPO Year2025

Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. is a holding company in the consumer defensive sector, specializing in caffeinated beverages. Founded in 2008, the company offers a diverse menu of coffee, tea, smoothies, and energy drinks, competing in the food confectioners industry with a focus on specialty beverages.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NASDAQ Analysis: May 9, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for BRCB?

Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. presents a unique investment case within the consumer defensive sector, specifically the food confectioners industry. With a market capitalization of $147.12M, the company's growth potential is tied to its ability to expand its store network and maintain brand loyalty. A key value driver is the company's focus on high-margin specialty beverages. However, the company's negative profit margin of 0.0% presents a significant risk. Upcoming catalysts include potential expansion into new geographic markets and the introduction of innovative product offerings. Investors should closely monitor the company's ability to improve profitability and manage its expansion strategy.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

BRCB Key Highlights

  • Market capitalization of $147.12M indicates a relatively small but growing company in the caffeinated beverage market.
  • Gross margin of 23.2% reflects the profitability of the company's products before operating expenses.
  • The company's beta of -0.73 suggests that the stock is less volatile than the overall market.
  • Founded in 2008, Black Rock Coffee Bar has established a presence in the specialty coffee and beverage sector.
  • The company employs 161 individuals, indicating a moderate-sized operation with potential for scalability.

Who Are BRCB's Competitors?

BRCB is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap AI Score
SBUX Starbucks Corporation $102.11 -2.07% 117B 57
BYCBF Barry Callebaut AG $1515.00 +9.16% $8.31B 55
TR Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc. $38.40 -5.84% $2.89B 55
BRRLY Barry Callebaut AG $14.51 -1.69% $7.96B 55
UELKY Ülker Bisküvi Sanayi A.S. $26.90 +0.00% $993.35M 55
K Kellanova $83.44 -0.01% $29.03B 44
CHLSY Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG $11.91 -1.08% $27.48B 45
LDSVF Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG $11740.00 -2.57% $27.09B 45

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are BRCB's Key Strengths?

  • Established brand in specific regional markets.
  • Unique and diverse menu offerings.
  • Franchise model allows for rapid expansion.
  • Focus on customer experience and engagement.

What Are BRCB's Weaknesses?

  • Limited geographic presence compared to larger competitors.
  • Negative profit margin.
  • Relatively small market capitalization.
  • Dependence on consumer discretionary spending.

What Could Drive BRCB Stock Higher?

  • Potential expansion into new geographic markets, increasing brand visibility and revenue streams.
  • Product innovation and menu diversification to attract new customers and retain existing ones.
  • Enhancement of digital presence and e-commerce capabilities to drive online sales and customer engagement.

What Are the Key Risks for BRCB?

  • Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of 0.90 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).
  • Rich valuation — a P/E of 105.1 runs well above the Consumer Defensive sector’s ~29x, leaving little room for a miss.
  • Intense competition from established coffee chains, potentially limiting market share and profitability.
  • Fluctuations in coffee bean prices and other input costs, impacting gross margins.
  • Changing consumer preferences and trends, requiring constant adaptation and innovation.
  • Economic downturns and reduced consumer spending, affecting overall sales and profitability.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for BRCB?

  • Expansion into New Geographic Markets: Black Rock Coffee Bar has the opportunity to expand its presence into new geographic markets, both domestically and potentially internationally. This expansion could involve opening new company-owned stores or establishing franchise partnerships. The market for specialty coffee and beverages is growing globally, with an estimated market size of $495.91 billion in 2026. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Product Innovation and Menu Expansion: The company can drive growth by introducing new and innovative products to its menu. This could include seasonal beverages, limited-time offerings, and healthier options to cater to changing consumer preferences. The market for innovative food and beverage products is constantly evolving, with consumers seeking unique and exciting experiences. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Enhancing Digital Presence and E-commerce: Black Rock Coffee Bar can enhance its digital presence and e-commerce capabilities to reach a wider audience and drive online sales. This could involve improving its website, developing a mobile app, and offering online ordering and delivery services. The e-commerce market for food and beverages is growing rapidly, with an estimated market size of $28.4 billion in 2026. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Strengthening Brand Loyalty and Customer Engagement: The company can focus on strengthening brand loyalty and customer engagement through loyalty programs, personalized marketing, and community involvement. Building a strong brand and fostering customer relationships can help Black Rock Coffee Bar differentiate itself from competitors and retain customers. The market for customer loyalty programs is growing, with an estimated market size of $7.58 billion in 2026. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Strategic Partnerships and Collaborations: Black Rock Coffee Bar can explore strategic partnerships and collaborations with other businesses to expand its reach and offer complementary products and services. This could involve partnering with local businesses, food delivery services, or other beverage companies. The market for strategic partnerships is constantly evolving, with companies seeking new ways to collaborate and innovate. Timeline: Ongoing.

What Opportunities Does BRCB Have?

  • Expansion into new geographic markets.
  • Product innovation and menu diversification.
  • Enhancement of digital presence and e-commerce capabilities.
  • Strategic partnerships and collaborations.

What Threats Does BRCB Face?

  • Intense competition from established coffee chains.
  • Fluctuations in coffee bean prices and other input costs.
  • Changing consumer preferences and trends.
  • Economic downturns and reduced consumer spending.

What Are BRCB's Competitive Advantages?

  • Brand recognition and customer loyalty in specific geographic markets.
  • Unique menu offerings and flavor combinations.
  • Established franchise network for expansion.
  • Focus on creating a high-energy and engaging customer experience.

What Does BRCB Do?

Founded in 2008 by Daniel Brand, Jeff Hernandez, Jake Spellmeyer, and Bryan Pereboom, Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. has evolved into a holding company centered on the caffeinated beverage market. Headquartered in Scottsdale, Arizona, the company operates and franchises coffee bars that offer a range of products, including roasted coffees, teas, smoothies, and energy drinks. Black Rock Coffee Bar aims to provide a high-energy, customer-focused experience, differentiating itself through its unique drink offerings and store atmosphere. The company's business model involves both company-owned stores and franchise locations, allowing for expansion and brand reach. Black Rock Coffee Bar's offerings cater to a broad customer base seeking specialty caffeinated and non-caffeinated beverages. The company's growth strategy focuses on expanding its store footprint and enhancing its menu to meet changing consumer preferences. The company employs 161 people.

What Products and Services Does BRCB Offer?

  • Operates and franchises coffee bar locations.
  • Offers a variety of roasted coffees.
  • Provides a selection of teas.
  • Serves smoothies and blended beverages.
  • Creates flavorful energy drinks.
  • Focuses on providing a high-energy customer experience.

How Does BRCB Make Money?

  • Generates revenue through the sale of beverages and food items at company-owned stores.
  • Collects franchise fees and royalties from franchise locations.
  • Focuses on high-margin specialty beverages.
  • Emphasizes customer service and brand loyalty.

What Industry Does BRCB Operate In?

Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. operates in the competitive food confectioners industry, which is part of the broader consumer defensive sector. This sector is generally considered stable, as demand for food and beverage products remains relatively constant regardless of economic conditions. The market is characterized by established players like Starbucks and Dunkin', as well as numerous smaller regional chains and independent coffee shops. Black Rock Coffee Bar differentiates itself through its unique menu offerings and high-energy brand. The company's growth depends on its ability to capture market share in a crowded and competitive landscape.

Who Are BRCB's Key Customers?

  • Coffee enthusiasts seeking specialty beverages.
  • Consumers looking for a high-energy coffee shop experience.
  • Individuals seeking a variety of caffeinated and non-caffeinated options.
  • Customers who value convenience and quick service.
AI Confidence: 72% Updated: May 9, 2026

Net sellingInsider Activity

Over the past six months, Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. insiders filed 29 SEC Form 4 transactions — 12 sales and 17 purchases. On net that is roughly 32.3M shares disposed (about $74.0M), a signal worth weighing alongside the fundamentals.

Quarterly Financial Performance: Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc.

Revenue for Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. came in at $55.5M during Q1 2026, a 3.4% improvement versus the preceding quarter. The company recorded net income of $378K, with diluted EPS of $0.02. Revenue has increased across the last three reported quarters, suggesting sustained momentum for this micro-cap Consumer Defensive company. Across the four most recent quarters, BRCB averaged $0.02 in diluted EPS.

BRCB Valuation & Market Position

With a $147.12M market cap, Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. sits in the micro-cap segment of the market. Relative to its peer group, BRCB's quantitative score of 39/100 is below the peer average of 55/100.

ROE 2%Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. stands at 2.3%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 0.4%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. BRCB trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 105.06, above the Consumer Defensive sector average of ~29x. Its free cash flow yield is -28.0%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 0.87 means current liabilities exceed short-term assets, a liquidity point worth watching. Its earnings yield is 1.0%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

F-Score 6/9Financial Health

Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 0.90 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.

FY2026 estForward Outlook

Wall Street analysts project Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. revenue of about $254.4M for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $0.20. The estimate reflects 6 contributing analysts.

Company Profile

Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. operates in the Food Confectioners industry within the Consumer Defensive sector. It is headquartered in Scottsdale, US. The company is led by CEO Mark D. Davis. BRCB has traded publicly since 2025.

BRCB Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
+24.5%
Net Income Growth (FY)
+98.4%
EPS Growth (FY)
+98.6%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
-244.5%
P/E (TTM)
28.1
Return on Equity (TTM)
-30.5%
Current Ratio
0.9

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Recent insider buying suggests confidence in Black Rock Coffee Bar's future, indicating that executives believe the company is undervalued.
  • Community sentiment has shifted positively, with increased discussions around new store openings and brand expansion, signaling growth potential.
  • Social media buzz highlights strong customer loyalty and satisfaction, positioning the brand favorably in a competitive market.
  • The company's focus on sustainability and quality resonates well with consumers, aligning with current market trends toward conscious consumption.

Bear Case

  • Concerns regarding rising operational costs have emerged, potentially impacting profit margins and long-term sustainability.
  • Recent negative sentiment from some community members indicates worry about market saturation in the coffee industry, which could hinder growth.
  • Insider selling activity raises questions about the company's short-term outlook, sparking caution among investors.
  • Market perception is mixed, with some analysts expressing skepticism about the scalability of the business model, particularly in challenging economic conditions.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · March 2026

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2026 $55M $378,000 $0.02
Q4 2025 $54M $652,000 $0.04
Q3 2025 $51M -$712,000 -$0.05
Q2 2025 $48M $972,500 $0.07

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

BRCB Latest News

BRCB Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for BRCB.

Price Targets

Consensus target: $21.00

BRCB MoonshotScore

39/100

What does this score mean?

The MoonshotScore rates BRCB's growth potential on a scale of 0-100 across multiple factors including innovation, market disruption, financial health, and momentum.

Leadership: Mark D. Davis

CEO

Mark D. Davis serves as the CEO of Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. His background includes extensive experience in the food and beverage industry, with a focus on operations, franchising, and brand management. Prior to joining Black Rock Coffee Bar, Davis held leadership positions at several regional and national restaurant chains. He has a proven track record of driving growth, improving operational efficiency, and enhancing customer satisfaction. Davis holds a degree in Business Administration from Arizona State University.

Track Record: Since becoming CEO, Mark D. Davis has focused on expanding Black Rock Coffee Bar's footprint through strategic franchising and company-owned store openings. He has also overseen the introduction of new menu items and the implementation of technology to improve the customer experience. Under his leadership, the company has seen increased brand awareness and customer loyalty, though profitability remains a challenge.

Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. Consumer Defensive Stock: Key Questions Answered

What does Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. Class A Common Stock do?

Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. operates as a holding company that franchises and operates coffee bars. The company's core business revolves around providing a variety of caffeinated beverages, including roasted coffees, teas, smoothies, and energy drinks. Black Rock Coffee Bar aims to differentiate itself through its unique menu offerings, high-energy store atmosphere, and customer-focused service. The company generates revenue through sales at company-owned stores and franchise fees and royalties from franchise locations. Its market position is primarily regional, with opportunities for expansion into new geographic areas.

What are the main risks for BRCB?

Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. faces several key risks, including intense competition from established coffee chains like Starbucks and Dunkin'. Fluctuations in coffee bean prices and other input costs could negatively impact the company's gross margins. Changing consumer preferences and trends require constant adaptation and innovation to maintain market share. Economic downturns and reduced consumer spending could affect overall sales and profitability. The company's negative profit margin also poses a significant risk, requiring improved operational efficiency and cost management.

What are the key factors to evaluate for BRCB?

Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. (BRCB) holds an AI score of 39/100 (low). P/E: 105.1x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $21.00 (+157%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does BRCB data refresh on this page?

BRCB prices update in real time during U.S. market hours. Fundamentals refresh after quarterly filings; analyst ratings and AI insights update daily; news is aggregated continuously.

What has driven BRCB's recent stock price performance?

Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. (BRCB) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Established brand in specific regional markets. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider BRCB overvalued or undervalued right now?

Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. (BRCB) trades at 105.1x earnings. Analysts target $21.00 (+157%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

What research should beginners do before buying BRCB?

Before investing in Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. (BRCB), research these four areas: (1) the company's revenue model and competitive position (see Company Overview), (2) financial health through revenue growth, margins, and cash flow (see MoonshotScore), (3) what Wall Street analysts recommend and their price targets (see Analyst tab), and (4) specific risk factors that could impact the stock (see Risk Factors section).

Why might investors consider adding BRCB to a portfolio?

Key strength of Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. (BRCB): Established brand in specific regional markets. Weigh rewards against risks and diversify. Not financial advice.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated AI Score refreshed daily
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Information is based on available data and may be subject to change.
  • Analyst consensus is not available due to limited coverage.
Data Sources

Popular Stocks