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BrightSpire Capital, Inc. (BRSP) Stock Price & Analysis

BrightSpire Capital, Inc. (BRSP) — MoonshotScore 31/100 (Weak band), calculated Oct 4, 2026. Price $3.81 (-0.52%), as of the Oct 2, 2026 trading session; market cap $482M.

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$3.81 −$0.02 (-0.52%) Market Cap $482M

BrightSpire Capital, Inc. · BRSP · NYSE

BrightSpire Capital, Inc. is a commercial real estate (CRE) credit real estate investment trust (REIT) in the United States. The company focuses on originating, acquiring, financing, and managing a diverse portfolio of CRE debt and net leased properties.

Price as of Oct 2, 2026

Key Statistics

31 of 100

MoonshotScore v2 · BrightSpire Capital (BRSP)

Weak
Business Quality Average (40)
Financial Safety Fragile (13)
Valuation Cheap (95)
Growth Durability Growing (61)
Momentum Falling (3)
Why this rating? Method, drivers & history

Bands for the MoonshotScore: Exceptional 80-100 · Strong 65-79 · Fair 45-64 · Weak below 45.

  • Business Quality — Is this a genuinely good business?
  • Financial Safety — Could this blow up on me?
  • Valuation — Am I paying a fair price?
  • Growth Durability — Is the growth real and likely to last?
  • Momentum — Is the market already moving on this?
The ten-second read ·

Dirt-cheap, but a fragile balance sheet and average quality, and the price trend has turned against it. Business Quality: Average; Financial Safety: Fragile; Valuation: Cheap; Growth Durability: Growing; Momentum: Falling.

  • quarterly revenue $84M (Q2 FY2026, quarter ended Jun 2026)
  • EPS beat 2 of 8
  • Altman Z -0.51 · Piotroski F 5

Holding back: balance-sheet strain, weak price trend

Helping: an attractive price

What has the MoonshotScore done over time?

MoonshotScore snapshots recorded for BRSP (29 recorded, newest six shown)
RecordedScoreBand
30Weak
31Weak
30Weak
30Weak
31Weak
31Weak

The score was 31 in the stored Oct 3, 2026 snapshot and remains 31 in the current publication computed Oct 4, 2026 (0).

Calculation uses the most recent completed US trading session. Live price changes do not update the score immediately.

Computed · Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How the MoonshotScore is computed →

Price & valuation

Dates shown where recorded
MeasureValueAs of
Latest provided price$3.81
Change on the day-0.52%
52-week range$3.97 – $6.17
Market capitalisation$482M
Shares traded on the day1.75M

Price & events

Other perspectives

Council score for BrightSpire Capital (BRSP): perspectives

Council is a separate blend of available disciplines; MoonshotScore above remains the five-pillar research rating.

9-Factor Breakdown

Revenue Growth Neutral
Gross Margin Neutral
Operating Leverage Neutral
Cash Runway Neutral
R&D Intensity Neutral
Insider Activity Moderate
Trading Liquidity Neutral
Price Momentum Negative
News Sentiment Neutral

Legends Council

5 lenses, 0 current

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Dalio-style lens (simulated) Ray Dalio Favorable read
Griffin-style lens (simulated) Ken Griffin Favorable read
Englander-style lens (simulated) Izzy Englander Neutral read
Klarman-style lens (simulated) Seth Klarman Favorable read
Moon AI lens (model) Neutral read

Read on: Sep 10, 2026 · older than the 27 hours refresh window; not a current reading

Munger's Mindset

Balance Sheet & Valuation · historical

Financial Health Weak
Margin of Safety Undervalued
Profit Margin Weak
Revenue Growth Negative
Debt/Equity Negative
ROE Negative
Gross Margin Strong

Read on: Sep 10, 2026 · older than the 27 hours refresh window; not a current reading

How to read these bars and different assessments

Council is a separate blend of available disciplines; MoonshotScore above remains the five-pillar research rating.

Bars show each model's ordered assessment on its own scale, not a probability or a comparable investment return. The adjacent words give the assessment; more filled segments indicate a stronger model reading.

On Sep 10, 2026, the Munger lens read the price at that time as undervalued against its own estimate of value.

Readings on this page are from Oct 5, 2026, except a card that shows its own read date.

Watch the BRSP film — every key number, told as a short cinematic story

~2 min · open the film

1 · What is it?

What is BrightSpire Capital (BRSP), and what does it report?

Short answer · as of

A current FMP business description is unavailable; the listing and provider classification below are the available identity facts. BrightSpire Capital, Inc. (BRSP) is listed on NYSE. It employs 47 people and is led by Michael Joseph Mazzei. In Q2 FY2026 it reported revenue of $84M and net income of -$18M. The market values it at $482M.

2 · Latest results

What do the latest results show for BrightSpire Capital (BRSP)?

Short answer · as of

The most recent reported quarter, Q2 FY2026, carried revenue of $84M. Against analyst estimates the company has EPS beat 2 of 8 reports.

Quarterly income statement — 4 quarters
Revenue, net income and earnings per share by quarter
PeriodRevenueNet incomeEPS
Q2 FY2026$84M-$18M-$0.14 (diluted)
Q1 FY2026$82M$5M$0.04 (diluted)
Q4 FY2025$83M-$14M-$0.11 (diluted)
Q3 FY2025$81M$984,000$0.01 (diluted)
3 · Financial strengths and risks

What are the financial strengths and risks for BrightSpire Capital (BRSP)?

Short answer

The MoonshotScore pillars rate an attractive price as strengths. What is holding it back is balance-sheet strain, weak price trend. The distress and quality screens read Altman Z -0.51 · Piotroski F 5. Trailing ratios: ROE -3.3% · ROA -0.9% · current ratio 22.74 · earnings yield -4.6% · free-cash-flow yield 10.3%.

Data-derived red flags

  • Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of -0.51 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).
  • Negative return on equity (-3.3%) — the business is not currently generating profit on shareholder capital.
  • Inconsistent delivery — missed Wall Street EPS estimates in 4 of the last 8 reported quarters.
4 · What to check next?

What should you watch next at BrightSpire Capital (BRSP)?

Short answer · as of

Current published price targets run low $6.00 · high $6.00 · consensus $6.00 · median $6.00 against a quoted price of $3.81 (as of Oct 2, 2026).

What the records here don't tell us

  • No forward revenue or earnings estimate is on file.
  • The next earnings date is not yet scheduled in the calendar we read.

Checked against the records this page reads, on the dates shown above.

5 · Peer comparison

How does BrightSpire Capital compare with its peers?

Short answer

BrightSpire Capital's score ranks 11th of 12 in the bounded comparison shown, against 11 same-model peers. These are company scores, not expected investment returns. The set lists named competitors first, then companies in the same data-provider industry classification closest in market value; that classification is the provider's, not our judgment of business similarity.

Peer set — price, market value and MoonshotScore
CompanyPriceMarket valueScore
MFA Financial, Inc. (MFA) Same industry, near in market value$7.65 Oct 2, 2026$781M92 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026
Orchid Island Capital, Inc. (ORC) Same industry, near in market value$5.11 Oct 2, 2026$887M77 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026
NexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc. (NREF) Same industry, near in market value$15.81 Oct 2, 2026$298M69 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. (ARI) Same industry, near in market value$6.20 Oct 2, 2026$812M69 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026
Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. (REFI) Same industry, near in market value$10.06 Oct 2, 2026$214M61 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026
Ladder Capital Corp (LADR) Same industry, near in market value$8.62 Oct 2, 2026$1.09B54 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026
Chimera Investment Corporation (CIM) Same industry, near in market value$9.26 Oct 2, 2026$775M40 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026
Ellington Financial Inc. (EFC) Same industry, near in market value$11.59 Oct 2, 2026$1.45B37 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026
Angel Oak Mortgage, Inc. (AOMR) Same industry, near in market value$7.32 Oct 2, 2026$182M35 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026
Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation (ACRE) Same industry, near in market value$3.83 Oct 2, 2026$212M34 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026
BrightSpire Capital (BRSP) — this page$3.81$482M31
Ready Capital Corporation (RC) Same industry, near in market value$1.13 Oct 2, 2026$187M20 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026
Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. (BXMT) Named competitor$10.90 Oct 2, 2026$1.84B— Model unavailable

Only 5-pillar scores are ranked together. Other models are not directly comparable. Price and score dates are shown separately; market-value dates are unavailable.

The records behind this page

Analyst targets & estimates

What analysts have on file

Price target, low to high
$6.00 – $6.00
Consensus target
$6.00
Median target
$6.00

Consensus record · Captured .

Measured against a quoted price of $3.81 (as of Oct 2, 2026).

Insider activity

Form 4 records via FMP · Available records within the last 180 days, newest dated May 20, 2026 (coverage not recorded)

Transactions
5
Identified insiders
5
Purchases
0
Sales
0
Other transactions
5

Purchases and sales use the reported transaction category. Other transactions include awards, exercises, gifts, withholding and unclassified activity; an acquisition or disposition alone is not a purchase or sale. These records do not establish intent.

What has been published about BrightSpire Capital (BRSP)?

Read these with our analysis →

What Investors Ask About BrightSpire Capital (BRSP)

These answers are editorial: 2 of these 9 answers are drawn from the BRSP research dossier (written May 7, 2026 by gemini-2.0-flash); the other 7 are question templates that restate figures shown above. Figures in this section are not part of the source register.

What does the MoonshotScore mean for BRSP?

BRSP carries the MoonshotScore stated above — the Weak band. This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers. BrightSpire Capital, Inc. is a commercial real estate (CRE) credit real estate investment trust (REIT) in the United States.

Is BRSP a good stock to buy?

Stock Expert AI does not rate BRSP buy, sell or hold. BrightSpire Capital, Inc. carries a MoonshotScore, in the Weak band, a research rating against its peers rather than a forecast. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns and what the price assumes. This is educational content, not investment advice.

What is the BRSP stock price today?

The last price recorded on this page for BrightSpire Capital, Inc. (BRSP) is $3.81, as of the Oct 2, 2026 trading session (source: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote). It is a provider snapshot, not a live exchange feed, so check a brokerage quote before you trade.

What is the BRSP price target?

The analyst consensus price target for BrightSpire Capital, Inc. (BRSP) is $6.00 (range $6.00 to $6.00, median $6.00), per FMP data captured Oct 4, 2026. Targets are analyst opinions and change often; they are not a Stock Expert AI forecast.

What are the main risks for BRSP?

BrightSpire Capital, Inc. faces several key risks inherent to the CRE sector and its business model. Economic downturns can negatively impact CRE values and demand, leading to decreased rental income and increased loan defaults.

How does BrightSpire Capital, Inc. compare to competitors in its industry?

BrightSpire Capital, Inc. competes with other commercial real estate REITs such as Blackstone Mortgage Trust (BXMT) and KKR Real Estate Finance Trust (KREF). BRSP differentiates itself through its diversified portfolio of CRE debt and net leased properties.

What are the key factors to evaluate for BRSP?

BrightSpire Capital, Inc. (BRSP) holds a MoonshotScore in the low range. Analysts target $6.00 (+57%). Expansion of Net Leased Portfolio: Growing the net leased portfolio can provide a stable and predictable income stream for BrightSpire Capital. Not financial advice.

How frequently does BRSP data refresh on this page?

BRSP's price is the last quote we recorded, from the Oct 2, 2026 trading session. Pages are served from a cache, so the copy you are reading can lag that quote. The quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals follow quarterly filings. V2 is recalculated from the most recent completed US trading session; the score's own date shows its last successful run.

What has driven BRSP's recent stock price performance?

BrightSpire Capital, Inc. (BRSP) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Diversified portfolio of CRE assets. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated May 7, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief.

Sources — records for every figure on this page (21 figures)

The 21 rows below are exactly the facts the evidence-backed sections of this page printed — the 10-second verdict, the MoonshotScore, price and market value, the five questions with their receipts, and the records behind this page. Known dates and sources are recorded on their own rows; an em dash or UNRECORDED tier preserves a stored observation without inventing either. The quarterly income statement is provider-standardized (FMP) under one row, and scale definitions — a 0-100 rating, the band ladder, the Piotroski 0–9 range — are fixed rather than measured. No number in those sections was generated by a model. The register does not cover quoted third-party headlines, the dated council readings, or the Frequently Asked Questions; each of those says where it came from where it stands.

"As of" is the date the value is true for where the source carries one — a quarter end, a filing date, a price close, the day the score was computed. A cached observation with no source date remains undated; the page publication date is not used as a substitute.

FMP — 13 facts from Financial Modeling Prep endpoint families

FMP facts used on this page
Fact IDFactValue as shownAs ofTierSource
px.lastLatest provided price$3.81FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote — Dated to the US trading session the price belongs to, derived from the quote record's timestamp (weekend and pre-open reads roll back to the previous weekday; exchange holidays are not modelled). The record does not establish an exchange execution time. Retrieved 2026-10-04T21:24:34.465Z.
px.changeChange on the day-0.52%FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
px.mcapMarket capitalisation$482MFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote — Date unknown Market cap record date: 2026-10-02. FMP quote timestamp: 2026-10-02T20:00:02.000Z. Captured from FMP at 2026-10-04T21:24:33.312Z. No share-count basis is inferred; this page preserves the reported amount instead of recalculating it from shares.
px.change_absChange on the day, in dollars−$0.02FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
fin.q_revenueRevenue, Q2 FY2026$84MFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly)
px.volumeShares traded on the day1.75MFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
fin.q_incomeNet income, Q2 FY2026-$18MFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly)
fin.q_tableQuarterly income statement4 quarters through Q2 FY2026FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly), as filed
earn.ptStored analyst price targetslow $6.00 · high $6.00 · consensus $6.00 · median $6.00FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 4, 2026 · Coverage not supplied
earn.pt_rangeAnalyst price target, low to high$6.00 – $6.00FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 4, 2026 · Coverage not supplied
earn.pt_consensusConsensus analyst price target$6.00FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 4, 2026 · Coverage not supplied
earn.pt_medianMedian analyst price target$6.00FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 4, 2026 · Coverage not supplied
own.insidersInsider transactions via FMP5 transactions · 0 purchases, 0 sales, 5 other transactions · 5 identified insiders · available records within the last 180 days, newest dated May 20, 2026 (coverage not recorded)FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP), carrying Form 4 transaction records — Purchases and sales use the reported transaction category. Other transactions include awards, exercises, gifts, withholding and unclassified activity; an acquisition or disposition alone is not a purchase or sale. These records do not establish intent.

UNRECORDED — 6 facts from stored observations whose source was not recorded

UNRECORDED facts used on this page
Fact IDFactValue as shownAs ofTierSource
earn.historyReported versus estimated, recent quartersEPS beat 2 of 8UNRECORDEDStored earnings-history observation — Captured 2026-09-21 · Expired observation
fin.scoresDistress and quality screensAltman Z -0.51 · Piotroski F 5UNRECORDEDStored financial-scores observation — Captured 2026-10-03 · Expired observation
px.range5252-week range$3.97 – $6.17UNRECORDEDStored company-profile observation — Captured 2026-09-29
id.employeesEmployees47UNRECORDEDStored company-profile observation — Captured 2026-09-29
id.ceoChief executiveMichael Joseph MazzeiUNRECORDEDStored company-profile observation — Captured 2026-09-29
fin.ratiosReturn and yield ratios (trailing twelve months)ROE -3.3% · ROA -0.9% · current ratio 22.74 · earnings yield -4.6% · free-cash-flow yield 10.3%—UNRECORDEDStored key metrics — Date unknown

OURS — 2 facts from Stock Expert AI's own score and rank

OURS facts used on this page
Fact IDFactValue as shownAs ofTierSource
ours.moonshotMoonshotScore v231 of 100 · Weak · pillars 40 / 13 / 95 / 61 / 3OURSStock Expert AI MoonshotScore v2 engine
ours.moonshot_changeMoonshotScore movement31 (stored snapshot Oct 3, 2026) → 31 (current publication computed Oct 4, 2026) (0)OURSStock Expert AI current score publication and immutable score snapshots
Published
Research standards
Methodology · Editorial policy · Corrections
Data Sources & Methodology
Figures come from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP). If FMP has no figure for a ticker, a price or fundamental may come from a Yahoo Finance fallback, or a price from an Alpaca fallback. SEC EDGAR is used only for filing links and company identity details (legal name, address), never for figures. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.