CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF) Stock: Price, Forecast & Analyst Target
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF) — MoonshotScore 98/100 (Exceptional band), calculated Oct 4, 2026. Price $115.01 (+0.41%), as of the Oct 2, 2026 trading session; market cap $17.7B. Expected results Nov 4, 2026.
Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this
Market value / cash and short-term investments: 7.14× (market value Oct 2, 2026; cash Jun 30, 2026) · expected results Nov 4, 2026
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. · CF · NYSE · Basic Materials · Agricultural Inputs
Research dated 2026-09-12: CF Industries produces and distributes ammonia, urea, urea ammonium nitrate, ammonium nitrate and related hydrogen and nitrogen products for agriculture, emissions reduction, energy and industrial uses. Recent revenue, profit and cash generation have strengthened; durability now depends on preserving that momentum while major production sites undergo operational work.
Price as of Oct 2, 2026
Key Statistics
MoonshotScore v2 · CF Industries Holdings (CF)
ExceptionalWhy this rating? Method, drivers & history
Bands for the MoonshotScore: Exceptional 80-100 · Strong 65-79 · Fair 45-64 · Weak below 45.
- Business Quality — Is this a genuinely good business?
- Financial Safety — Could this blow up on me?
- Valuation — Am I paying a fair price?
- Growth Durability — Is the growth real and likely to last?
- Momentum — Is the market already moving on this?
Elite quality, a fortress balance sheet and elite growth, at a dirt-cheap price, with no real weak spot. Business Quality: Elite; Financial Safety: Fortress; Valuation: Cheap; Growth Durability: Compounding; Momentum: Rising.
- quarterly revenue $2.22B (Q2 FY2026, quarter ended Jun 2026)
- EPS beat 6 of 8
- expected results Nov 4, 2026
Helping: business quality, balance-sheet strength, an attractive price, durable growth, positive momentum
What has the MoonshotScore done over time?
| Recorded | Score | Band |
|---|---|---|
| 98 | Exceptional | |
| 98 | Exceptional | |
| 98 | Exceptional | |
| 98 | Exceptional | |
| 98 | Exceptional | |
| 98 | Exceptional |
The score was 98 in the stored Oct 3, 2026 snapshot and remains 98 in the current publication computed Oct 4, 2026 (0).
Calculation uses the most recent completed US trading session. Live price changes do not update the score immediately.
Computed · Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How the MoonshotScore is computed →
Price & valuation
| Measure | Value | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Latest provided price | $115.01 | |
| Change on the day | +0.41% | |
| 52-week range | $75.42–$141.96 | |
| Market capitalisation | $17.7B | |
| Price / earnings (trailing) | 8.42 | |
| Shares traded on the day | 1.88M | |
| Beta (volatility vs the S&P 500) | 0.4 | |
| Dividends per share (last 12 months) | $2.10 | |
| Dividend yield (last 12 months) | 1.83% |
Price & events
Triangles mark reported quarters on the line: pointing up is above the recorded estimate, down is below, a diamond means no estimate on file or a dated event that is not a results report. Numbers key to the dated list. Point at or tab to any week for its close.
Events behind the price
- · Earnings results · above the recorded estimate
- · Earnings results · above the recorded estimate
- · Earnings results · above the recorded estimate
- · Earnings results · below the recorded estimate
- · Earnings call · management outlook
Results dates follow the earnings feed; call dates follow the transcript provider. Nearby dates do not establish that an event caused a price move.
Upcoming events
Management outlook
Within our existing network, we expect our Yazoo City Complex to resume operations in the first half of 2027 after completing work to improve the site's long-term sustainability and operational flexibility.
Christopher Bohn · Statement from
The second part is this year, we do expect the overall CO2 to be lower throughout the Donaldsonville facility, primarily because of the turnarounds that took place there.
Christopher Bohn · Statement from
Statement dates identify the earnings call, not a deadline. Management expectations and provider estimates can change.
Read management statementsOther perspectives
Council score for CF Industries Holdings (CF): perspectives
Council is a separate blend of available disciplines; MoonshotScore above remains the five-pillar research rating.
5-Factor Breakdown
Legends Council
6 lenses, 0 current
AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built
Read on: Sep 26, 2026 · older than the 27 hours refresh window; not a current reading
Munger's Mindset
Balance Sheet & Valuation · historical
Read on: Sep 9, 2026 · older than the 27 hours refresh window; not a current reading
How to read these bars and different assessments
Council is a separate blend of available disciplines; MoonshotScore above remains the five-pillar research rating.
Bars show each model's ordered assessment on its own scale, not a probability or a comparable investment return. The adjacent words give the assessment; more filled segments indicate a stronger model reading.
On Sep 9, 2026, the Munger lens read the price at that time as fairly valued against its own estimate of value.
Readings on this page are from Oct 5, 2026, except a card that shows its own read date.
Watch the CF film — every key number, told as a short cinematic story
~2 min · open the film
What is CF Industries Holdings (CF), and what does it report?
Short answer · as of
CF is a chemical producer rather than merely a fertilizer distributor.
Research dated 2026-09-12.
CF is a chemical producer rather than merely a fertilizer distributor. Agricultural cooperatives, fertilizer distributors, traders, wholesalers and industrial users buy its nitrogen and hydrogen products, so agricultural demand matters alongside emissions reduction and other industrial applications.
Reported segment revenue tracks product families—ammonia, urea, urea ammonium nitrate and ammonium nitrate—rather than customer groups. Ammonia and urea ammonium nitrate lead the reported mix, with urea also substantial and ammonium nitrate much smaller.
What do the latest results show for CF Industries Holdings (CF)?
Short answer · as of
The most recent reported quarter, Q2 FY2026, carried revenue of $2.22B.
Research dated 2026-09-12.
The recent quarterly sequence shows rising revenue accompanied by a sharper expansion in gross profit, operating profit and net income. The latest period produced the strongest reported results in the available sequence, extending an annual recovery from the preceding trough while remaining below the earlier cyclical peak.
That latest release nevertheless fell short of revenue and earnings expectations after a run dominated by positive surprises. Management’s forward commentary instead centers on operating capacity: Yazoo City is expected to return after sustainability and flexibility work, while turnarounds at Donaldsonville are expected to reduce carbon dioxide output.
Where is operating spending going?
Revenue alongside research and development, selling, general and administrative expenses, and the FMP standardized operating result.
- Latest quarter · revenue
- $2.22B Jun 30, 2026
- Latest quarter · SG&A
- $89.00M Jun 30, 2026
- Latest quarter · FMP standardized operating result
- $1.05B Jun 30, 2026
| Period end | Revenue | R&D | SG&A | FMP standardized operating result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 2026 | $2.22B | Not available | $89.00M | $1.05B |
| Mar 31, 2026 | $1.99B | Not available | $103.00M | $640.00M |
| Dec 31, 2025 | $1.87B | Not available | $91.00M | $678.00M |
| Sep 30, 2025 | $1.66B | Not available | $88.00M | $580.00M |
USD. The operating result is the FMP-standardized value supplied by FMP; it may differ from a filing’s GAAP loss from operations when the provider classifies separately presented items differently. It is not net income or cash flow.
Did results meet expectations?
Reported earnings and revenue alongside the estimates recorded by the provider.
- Latest report · revenue
- $2.22B Aug 5, 2026
- Latest report · revenue estimate
- $2.45B Aug 5, 2026
- Latest report · revenue vs estimate
- Below estimate Aug 5, 2026
- Latest report · EPS vs estimate
- Below estimate Aug 5, 2026
| Report date | Revenue · reported | Revenue · estimate | EPS · reported | EPS · estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | $2.22B | $2.45B | $4.7300 | $5.6300 |
| May 6, 2026 | $1.99B | $1.84B | $3.9900 | $2.6300 |
| Feb 18, 2026 | $1.87B | $1.78B | $2.9900 | $2.4300 |
| Nov 5, 2025 | $1.66B | $1.67B | $2.1900 | $2.1600 |
Dates are report dates, not fiscal period ends. Revenue is in USD; EPS is USD per share, rounded to four decimals. The earnings feed does not establish a basic, diluted or adjusted basis. Earnings-feed EPS may differ from statement EPS; the two series are not combined.
Quarterly income statement — 4 quarters
| Period | Revenue | Net income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 FY2026 | $2.22B | $727M | $4.73 (diluted) |
| Q1 FY2026 | $1.99B | $615M | $3.98 (diluted) |
| Q4 FY2025 | $1.87B | $404M | $2.59 (diluted) |
| Q3 FY2025 | $1.66B | $353M | $2.19 (diluted) |
What are the financial strengths and risks for CF Industries Holdings (CF)?
Short answer
Cash and short-term investments were $2.48B at the Jun 30, 2026 balance-sheet date. Operating cash flow was $878.00M for the quarter ended Jun 30, 2026, meaning operations generated cash. These figures do not establish a cash runway.
Research dated 2026-09-12.
Operating cash flow has remained positive throughout the reported quarterly sequence, and cash generation exceeded capital spending in every period shown. Cash and short-term investments have also risen from their recent low, giving CF meaningful liquidity.
Debt still exceeds cash and investments, so the balance sheet is not debt-free despite healthy current liquidity and strong recent free-cash-flow generation. Operational disruption is the more company-specific pressure: prolonged work at Yazoo City or additional turnaround effects at Donaldsonville could constrain products available for sale while fixed production assets continue to require capital.
How much cash does the business generate or use?
Quarterly operating cash flow shows cash generated or used by operations.
- Latest quarter · operating cash flow
- $878.00M Jun 30, 2026
- Previous quarter · operating cash flow
- $496.00M Mar 31, 2026
| Period end | Operating cash flow | Capital expenditure (reported) |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 2026 | $878.00M | −$271.00M |
| Mar 31, 2026 | $496.00M | −$223.00M |
| Dec 31, 2025 | $539.00M | −$226.00M |
| Sep 30, 2025 | $1.06B | −$347.00M |
Operating cash-flow bars share one scale and show magnitude; negative values mean cash used.
USD. Negative operating cash flow means cash used. Capital expenditure keeps the provider’s reported sign; it is not added here to estimate free cash flow or runway.
What should you watch next at CF Industries Holdings (CF)?
Short answer · as of
The next earnings report is expected on Nov 4, 2026.
Research dated 2026-09-12.
Watch whether revenue, margins and operating cash flow remain near their recent strength after the latest expectations miss. Cash accumulation after capital spending would reinforce the earnings improvement; a reversal would make the debt balance and capital demands more prominent.
Yazoo City’s return to service and the production effects of Donaldsonville turnarounds are the key operating markers. Farther out, average estimates imply declining earnings and revenue before stabilization, while the widening forecast range and thinning analyst coverage signal substantial uncertainty around the cycle.
The most recent dividend rose from the preceding run of payments. Its sustainability should be judged against operating cash flow, capital spending and the cash balance rather than the latest earnings period alone.
What management is planning
Management expectations, not completed milestones or guarantees. Selected verbatim excerpts; dates follow the transcript provider.
Within our existing network, we expect our Yazoo City Complex to resume operations in the first half of 2027 after completing work to improve the site's long-term sustainability and operational flexibility.
Christopher Bohn ·
The second part is this year, we do expect the overall CO2 to be lower throughout the Donaldsonville facility, primarily because of the turnarounds that took place there.
Christopher Bohn ·
How does CF Industries Holdings compare with its peers?
Short answer
CF Industries Holdings's score ranks 1st of 13 in the bounded comparison shown, against 12 same-model peers. These are company scores, not expected investment returns. The set lists named competitors first, then companies in the same data-provider industry classification closest in market value; that classification is the provider's, not our judgment of business similarity.
Research dated 2026-09-12.
CF is best compared with nitrogen and hydrogen producers, not with broad farm-supplies merchants. Its reported revenue comes from manufactured nitrogen chemistries sold through agricultural distribution channels and to industrial users, including customers seeking emissions-reduction products.
The product mix also matters within that comparison. Ammonia and urea ammonium nitrate lead revenue, urea adds another substantial stream, and ammonium nitrate is smaller; operational changes can therefore affect the mix differently even when consolidated revenue appears stable.
| Company | Price | Market value | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| CF Industries Holdings (CF) — this page | $115.01 | $17.7B | 98 |
| $45.51 Oct 2, 2026 | $19.2B | 93 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026 | |
| $32.46 Oct 2, 2026 | $13.6B | 92 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026 | |
| $124.82 Oct 2, 2026 | $1.32B | 92 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026 | |
| $32.76 Oct 2, 2026 | $440M | 84 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026 | |
| $70.06 Oct 2, 2026 | $33.6B | 74 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026 | |
| $11.92 Oct 2, 2026 | $7.97B | 68 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026 | |
| $5.04 Oct 2, 2026 | $6.51B | 62 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026 | |
| $64.52 Oct 2, 2026 | $18.4B | 56 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026 | |
| $49.02 Oct 2, 2026 | $2.85B | 53 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026 | |
| $58.59 Oct 2, 2026 | $18.9B | 50 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026 | |
| $14.98 Oct 2, 2026 | $2.70B | 44 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026 | |
| $11.89 Oct 2, 2026 | $1.60B | 40 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026 |
Only 5-pillar scores are ranked together. Other models are not directly comparable. Price and score dates are shown separately; market-value dates are unavailable.
The records behind this page
Analyst targets & estimates
What analysts have on file
- Price target, low to high
- $110.00 – $162.00
- Consensus target
- $128.63
- Median target
- $126.00
Consensus record · Captured .
Measured against a quoted price of $115.01 (as of Oct 2, 2026).
Insider activity
Form 4 records via FMP · Of the newest 100 records, those within the last 180 days, newest dated May 26, 2026
- Transactions
- 12
- Identified insiders
- 12
- Purchases
- 0
- Sales
- 0
- Other transactions
- 12
Purchases and sales use the reported transaction category. Other transactions include awards, exercises, gifts, withholding and unclassified activity; an acquisition or disposition alone is not a purchase or sale. These records do not establish intent.
Who holds the shares?
Institutional ownership reported through 13F filings.
- Reporting holders
- 1,021 Period end Jun 30, 2026
- Previous quarter · holders
- 983 Prior to period end Jun 30, 2026
| Holders in provider snapshot | Shares |
|---|---|
| Blackrock, INC. | 13,029,812 |
| Vanguard Capital Management LLC | 10,040,045 |
| Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC | 8,532,875 |
| State Street Corp | 8,531,329 |
| Price T Rowe Associates INC /Md/ | 8,472,753 |
Quarterly filings lag the period end. Holder rows are names in the provider snapshot, not a verified ranking; individual filing dates are not supplied. Related managers may appear separately, so these positions are not summed. Holder snapshot as of Jun 30, 2026.
CF Industries Holdings Basic Materials Stock: Key Questions Answered
Research dated 2026-09-12; the answers below are from that research, and the full attribution is under Sources. The last 3 questions are answered from this page's own dated data, not from the research.
What does CF Industries sell besides agricultural fertilizer?
CF sells nitrogen and hydrogen products for industrial applications, energy uses and emissions reduction, including diesel exhaust fluid, urea liquor, nitric acid and aqua ammonia.
Why does the Yazoo City Complex matter to CF Industries?
Yazoo City is part of CF’s production network and remains subject to work intended to improve sustainability and operating flexibility. Its return would restore capacity within the existing asset base, making the restart an important execution marker.
How do Donaldsonville turnarounds affect CF Industries?
Management expects the turnarounds to reduce carbon dioxide output across Donaldsonville. That makes site-level production commentary relevant even when consolidated nitrogen-product results remain strong.
Are ammonia and urea ammonium nitrate central to CF Industries?
Ammonia and urea ammonium nitrate lead CF’s reported product revenue, ahead of urea and ammonium nitrate. Their performance therefore carries particular weight in the company’s consolidated sales mix.
What is the CF stock price today?
The last price recorded on this page for CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF) is $115.01, as of the Oct 2, 2026 trading session (source: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote). It is a provider snapshot, not a live exchange feed, so check a brokerage quote before you trade.
What is the CF price target?
The analyst consensus price target for CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF) is $128.63 (range $110.00 to $162.00, median $126.00), per FMP data captured Oct 4, 2026. Targets are analyst opinions and change often; they are not a Stock Expert AI forecast.
When are CF's next earnings?
The next earnings date listed on this page for CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF) is Nov 4, 2026. Companies sometimes move report dates, so the company's own announcement is the final word on timing.
Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.
Research written by Codex (gpt-5.6-sol) on 2026-09-12. AI-authored analysis; source dates are shown with each answer. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief.
Sources — records for every figure on this page (78 figures)
The 78 rows below are exactly the facts the evidence-backed sections of this page printed — the 10-second verdict, the MoonshotScore, price and market value, the five questions with their receipts, and the records behind this page. Known dates and sources are recorded on their own rows; an em dash or UNRECORDED tier preserves a stored observation without inventing either. The quarterly income statement is provider-standardized (FMP) under one row, and scale definitions — a 0-100 rating, the band ladder, the Piotroski 0–9 range — are fixed rather than measured. No number in those sections was generated by a model. The register does not cover quoted third-party headlines, the dated council readings, or the Frequently Asked Questions; each of those says where it came from where it stands.
"As of" is the date the value is true for where the source carries one — a quarter end, a filing date, a price close, the day the score was computed. A cached observation with no source date remains undated; the page publication date is not used as a substitute.
OFFICIAL — 2 facts from SEC filings and earnings calls
| Fact ID | Fact | Value as shown | As of | Tier | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
prod.outlook | Management outlook — call excerpts | Christopher Bohn (Aug 6, 2026): Within our existing network, we expect our Yazoo City Complex to resume operations in the first half of 2027 after completing work to improve the site's long-term sustainability and operational flexibility. Christopher Bohn (Aug 6, 2026): The second part is this year, we do expect the overall CO2 to be lower throughout the Donaldsonville facility, primarily because of the turnarounds that took place there. | OFFICIAL | Company earnings call, transcript via Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Selected verbatim statements from the latest available call, dated by the transcript provider. Management expectations, not completed milestones or guarantees. Relative dates retain the speaker's wording. | |
id.hq | SEC filing business address | Northbrook, IL | OFFICIAL | SEC EDGAR filer business address — The SEC filer business address. Our market-data provider separately lists "2375 Waterview Drive, Northbrook, IL, 60062, US". The FMP company description names Deerfield, Illinois as the headquarters; this page uses the address in this row. |
FMP — 67 facts from Financial Modeling Prep endpoint families
| Fact ID | Fact | Value as shown | As of | Tier | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
px.last | Latest provided price | $115.01 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote — Dated to the US trading session the price belongs to, derived from the quote record's timestamp (weekend and pre-open reads roll back to the previous weekday; exchange holidays are not modelled). The record does not establish an exchange execution time. Retrieved 2026-10-04T11:34:17.598Z. | |
px.change | Change on the day | +0.41% | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote | |
px.mcap | Market capitalisation | $17.7B | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote — Date unknown Market cap record date: 2026-10-02. FMP quote timestamp: 2026-10-02T20:02:18.000Z. Captured from FMP at 2026-10-04T11:34:16.102Z. No share-count basis is inferred; this page preserves the reported amount instead of recalculating it from shares. | |
px.change_abs | Change on the day, in dollars | +$0.47 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote | |
fin.q_revenue | Revenue, Q2 FY2026 | $2.22B | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly) | |
px.range52 | 52-week range | $75.42–$141.96 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) quote | |
px.pe | Price / earnings (trailing) | 8.42 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote | |
px.volume | Shares traded on the day | 1.88M | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote | |
px.beta | Beta | 0.4 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) company profile | |
id.ceo | Chief executive | Christopher D. Bohn | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) key executives (proxy-derived) — Titles and pay come from the company's proxy statement as our provider parsed it. | |
id.employees | Employees | 2,900 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) employee count, from the company's filing | |
fin.annual | Revenue and net result by fiscal year | 5 fiscal years, FY2021 through FY2025: FY2021 revenue $6.54B, net result $917.00M; FY2022 revenue $11.19B, net result $3.35B; FY2023 revenue $6.63B, net result $1.52B; FY2024 revenue $5.94B, net result $1.22B; FY2025 revenue $7.08B, net result $1.46B | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-K income statements | |
fin.rev_mix | Reported revenue segments | AN $421.00M · UAN $2.16B · Urea $1.78B · Ammonia $2.18B | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) revenue segmentation, from the company's 10-K | |
fin.gross_margin | Gross margin (trailing twelve months) | 42.5% | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) key-metrics-ttm + ratios-ttm — A ratio our provider could not compute is absent rather than shown as zero. | |
fin.q_table.depth.2026-06-30.revenue_k | Revenue — period end 2026-06-30 | $2.22B | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2026-06-30.sga_k | SG&A — period end 2026-06-30 | $89.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2026-06-30.operating_result_k | FMP standardized operating result — period end 2026-06-30 | $1.05B | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2026-03-31.revenue_k | Revenue — period end 2026-03-31 | $1.99B | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2026-03-31.sga_k | SG&A — period end 2026-03-31 | $103.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2026-03-31.operating_result_k | FMP standardized operating result — period end 2026-03-31 | $640.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2025-12-31.revenue_k | Revenue — period end 2025-12-31 | $1.87B | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2025-12-31.sga_k | SG&A — period end 2025-12-31 | $91.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2025-12-31.operating_result_k | FMP standardized operating result — period end 2025-12-31 | $678.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2025-09-30.revenue_k | Revenue — period end 2025-09-30 | $1.66B | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2025-09-30.sga_k | SG&A — period end 2025-09-30 | $88.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2025-09-30.operating_result_k | FMP standardized operating result — period end 2025-09-30 | $580.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
earn.history.depth.2026-08-05.revenue_actual | Revenue · reported — report date 2026-08-05 | $2.22B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-08-05.revenue_estimated | Revenue · estimate — report date 2026-08-05 | $2.45B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-08-05.eps_actual | EPS · reported — report date 2026-08-05 | $4.7300 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-08-05.eps_estimated | EPS · estimate — report date 2026-08-05 | $5.6300 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-05-06.revenue_actual | Revenue · reported — report date 2026-05-06 | $1.99B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-05-06.revenue_estimated | Revenue · estimate — report date 2026-05-06 | $1.84B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-05-06.eps_actual | EPS · reported — report date 2026-05-06 | $3.9900 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-05-06.eps_estimated | EPS · estimate — report date 2026-05-06 | $2.6300 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-02-18.revenue_actual | Revenue · reported — report date 2026-02-18 | $1.87B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-02-18.revenue_estimated | Revenue · estimate — report date 2026-02-18 | $1.78B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-02-18.eps_actual | EPS · reported — report date 2026-02-18 | $2.9900 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-02-18.eps_estimated | EPS · estimate — report date 2026-02-18 | $2.4300 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2025-11-05.revenue_actual | Revenue · reported — report date 2025-11-05 | $1.66B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2025-11-05.revenue_estimated | Revenue · estimate — report date 2025-11-05 | $1.67B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2025-11-05.eps_actual | EPS · reported — report date 2025-11-05 | $2.1900 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2025-11-05.eps_estimated | EPS · estimate — report date 2025-11-05 | $2.1600 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
fin.q_table | Quarterly income statement | 4 quarters through Q2 FY2026 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly), as filed | |
fin.cash_investments | Cash and short-term investments | $2.48B | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's balance sheet — Long-term investments are shown separately; their marketability is not established by the provider field. The cash and short-term investment balance does not establish unrestricted availability. Long-term investments are excluded and remain unclassified. Restrictions on cash and short-term investments require separate review. | |
fin.opcf_latest | Latest-quarter operating cash flow | $878.00M | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Period end: 2026-06-30. Negative operating cash flow means cash used. This figure is not a cash-runway estimate. | |
fin.long_term_investments | Long-term investments (classification unverified) | $36.00M | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's balance sheet — Long-term investments are shown separately; their marketability is not established by the provider field. The cash and short-term investment balance does not establish unrestricted availability. | |
fin.total_debt | Total debt | $3.61B | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's balance sheet — Long-term investments are shown separately; their marketability is not established by the provider field. The cash and short-term investment balance does not establish unrestricted availability. | |
fin.price_to_book | Price to book value | 3.07× | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) key-metrics-ttm + ratios-ttm — A ratio our provider could not compute is absent rather than shown as zero. | |
fin.opcf.depth.2026-06-30.operating_cash_flow_m | Operating cash flow — period end 2026-06-30 | $878.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2026-03-31.operating_cash_flow_m | Operating cash flow — period end 2026-03-31 | $496.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2026-06-30.capex_m | Capital expenditure (reported) — period end 2026-06-30 | −$271.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2026-03-31.capex_m | Capital expenditure (reported) — period end 2026-03-31 | −$223.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2025-12-31.operating_cash_flow_m | Operating cash flow — period end 2025-12-31 | $539.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2025-12-31.capex_m | Capital expenditure (reported) — period end 2025-12-31 | −$226.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2025-09-30.operating_cash_flow_m | Operating cash flow — period end 2025-09-30 | $1.06B | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2025-09-30.capex_m | Capital expenditure (reported) — period end 2025-09-30 | −$347.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
earn.pt_range | Analyst price target, low to high | $110.00 – $162.00 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 4, 2026 · Coverage not supplied | |
earn.pt_consensus | Consensus analyst price target | $128.63 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 4, 2026 · Coverage not supplied | |
earn.pt_median | Median analyst price target | $126.00 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 4, 2026 · Coverage not supplied | |
own.insiders | Insider transactions via FMP | 12 transactions · 0 purchases, 0 sales, 12 other transactions · 12 identified insiders · of the newest 100 records, those within the last 180 days, newest dated May 26, 2026 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), carrying Form 4 transaction records — Purchases and sales use the reported transaction category. Other transactions include awards, exercises, gifts, withholding and unclassified activity; an acquisition or disposition alone is not a purchase or sale. These records do not establish intent. | |
own.institutions.depth.holders | Reporting holders | 1,021 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional ownership summary, from 13F filings — 13F filings are quarterly and lag the quarter end by up to 45 days. Period end Jun 30, 2026 | |
own.institutions.depth.holders_previous_quarter | Previous quarter · holders | 983 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional ownership summary, from 13F filings — 13F filings are quarterly and lag the quarter end by up to 45 days. Prior to period end Jun 30, 2026 | |
own.top_holders.depth.holder_0.shares | Blackrock, INC. — shares in provider snapshot | 13,029,812 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional holders, from 13F filings — Provider snapshot as of 2026-06-30; individual filing date not supplied. | |
own.top_holders.depth.holder_1.shares | Vanguard Capital Management LLC — shares in provider snapshot | 10,040,045 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional holders, from 13F filings — Provider snapshot as of 2026-06-30; individual filing date not supplied. | |
own.top_holders.depth.holder_2.shares | Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC — shares in provider snapshot | 8,532,875 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional holders, from 13F filings — Provider snapshot as of 2026-06-30; individual filing date not supplied. | |
own.top_holders.depth.holder_3.shares | State Street Corp — shares in provider snapshot | 8,531,329 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional holders, from 13F filings — Provider snapshot as of 2026-06-30; individual filing date not supplied. | |
own.top_holders.depth.holder_4.shares | Price T Rowe Associates INC /Md/ — shares in provider snapshot | 8,472,753 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional holders, from 13F filings — Provider snapshot as of 2026-06-30; individual filing date not supplied. |
UNRECORDED — 2 facts from stored observations whose source was not recorded
| Fact ID | Fact | Value as shown | As of | Tier | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
earn.next | Next earnings date | Nov 4, 2026 | UNRECORDED | Stored earnings-calendar observation — Captured 2026-09-30 | |
earn.history | Reported versus estimated, recent quarters | EPS beat 6 of 8 | UNRECORDED | Stored earnings-history observation — Captured 2026-09-28 · Expired observation |
COMPUTED — 5 facts from our arithmetic, formula restated
| Fact ID | Fact | Value as shown | As of | Tier | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
fin.mcap_to_cash | Market value per dollar of cash and short-term investments | 7.14× | — | COMPUTED | Computed on this page from the figures above — The market capitalisation printed on this page divided by cash and short-term investments of $2.48B at Jun 30, 2026. Long-term investments are excluded and remain unclassified. Restrictions on cash and short-term investments require separate review. Market cap record date: 2026-10-02. Balance-sheet reference date: 2026-06-30. The inputs do not establish a single common source date for this ratio. |
div.ttm_per_share | Dividends per share, last 12 months (split-adjusted) | $2.10 | COMPUTED | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) split-adjusted dividend history — Sum of 4 split-adjusted declared dividends with an ex-date in the 365 days to 2026-10-04, per current share. Ex-dates are not payment dates; special dividends are included. Not a declared annual rate. | |
div.ttm_yield | Dividend yield, last 12 months | 1.83% | COMPUTED | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) split-adjusted dividend history and quote — Split-adjusted dividends with ex-dates in the trailing 365-day window divided by the packet price, on the same current-share basis. Price date follows the quote, latest price bar or packet-build day when unstamped. Not a forecast or declared annual rate. | |
earn.history.depth.2026-08-05.revenue_actual.comparison | Latest report · revenue vs estimate | Below estimate | Report date · | COMPUTED | Computed from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note — Method: compare reported revenue ($2.22B) with the recorded estimate ($2.45B) at displayed precision. Equal displayed values are in line. This compares reported results with recorded estimates, not investment returns. |
earn.history.depth.2026-08-05.eps_actual.comparison | Latest report · EPS vs estimate | Below estimate | Report date · | COMPUTED | Computed from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note — Method: compare reported EPS ($4.7300) with the recorded estimate ($5.6300) at displayed precision. Equal displayed values are in line. This compares reported results with recorded estimates, not investment returns. |
OURS — 2 facts from Stock Expert AI's own score and rank
| Fact ID | Fact | Value as shown | As of | Tier | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ours.moonshot | MoonshotScore v2 | 98 of 100 · Exceptional · pillars 95 / 90 / 89 / 95 / 68 | OURS | Stock Expert AI MoonshotScore v2 engine | |
ours.moonshot_change | MoonshotScore movement | 98 (stored snapshot Oct 3, 2026) → 98 (current publication computed Oct 4, 2026) (0) | OURS | Stock Expert AI current score publication and immutable score snapshots |
Fact-family notes
- Quarterly statement note. Source series as of 2026-06-30. USD. The operating result is the FMP-standardized value supplied by FMP; it may differ from a filing’s GAAP loss from operations when the provider classifies separately presented items differently. It is not net income or cash flow. Applies to Fact IDs:
fin.q_table.depth.2026-06-30.revenue_k,fin.q_table.depth.2026-06-30.sga_k,fin.q_table.depth.2026-06-30.operating_result_k,fin.q_table.depth.2026-03-31.revenue_k,fin.q_table.depth.2026-03-31.sga_k,fin.q_table.depth.2026-03-31.operating_result_k,fin.q_table.depth.2025-12-31.revenue_k,fin.q_table.depth.2025-12-31.sga_k,fin.q_table.depth.2025-12-31.operating_result_k,fin.q_table.depth.2025-09-30.revenue_k,fin.q_table.depth.2025-09-30.sga_k,fin.q_table.depth.2025-09-30.operating_result_k. - Earnings-history note. Source series as of 2026-08-05. Dates are report dates, not fiscal period ends. Revenue is in USD; EPS is USD per share, rounded to four decimals. The earnings feed does not establish a basic, diluted or adjusted basis. Earnings-feed EPS may differ from statement EPS; the two series are not combined. Applies to Fact IDs:
earn.history.depth.2026-08-05.revenue_actual,earn.history.depth.2026-08-05.revenue_estimated,earn.history.depth.2026-08-05.revenue_actual.comparison,earn.history.depth.2026-08-05.eps_actual.comparison,earn.history.depth.2026-08-05.eps_actual,earn.history.depth.2026-08-05.eps_estimated,earn.history.depth.2026-05-06.revenue_actual,earn.history.depth.2026-05-06.revenue_estimated,earn.history.depth.2026-05-06.eps_actual,earn.history.depth.2026-05-06.eps_estimated,earn.history.depth.2026-02-18.revenue_actual,earn.history.depth.2026-02-18.revenue_estimated,earn.history.depth.2026-02-18.eps_actual,earn.history.depth.2026-02-18.eps_estimated,earn.history.depth.2025-11-05.revenue_actual,earn.history.depth.2025-11-05.revenue_estimated,earn.history.depth.2025-11-05.eps_actual,earn.history.depth.2025-11-05.eps_estimated. - Cash-flow note. Source series as of 2026-06-30. USD. Negative operating cash flow means cash used. Capital expenditure keeps the provider’s reported sign; it is not added here to estimate free cash flow or runway. Applies to Fact IDs:
fin.opcf.depth.2026-06-30.operating_cash_flow_m,fin.opcf.depth.2026-03-31.operating_cash_flow_m,fin.opcf.depth.2026-06-30.capex_m,fin.opcf.depth.2026-03-31.capex_m,fin.opcf.depth.2025-12-31.operating_cash_flow_m,fin.opcf.depth.2025-12-31.capex_m,fin.opcf.depth.2025-09-30.operating_cash_flow_m,fin.opcf.depth.2025-09-30.capex_m.
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Sources used for research written 2026-09-12
Historical evidence preserved with this analysis. Current figures are listed separately above.
| Evidence | Captured value | Source date | Source type | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business description | CF Industries Holdings, Inc. is a global producer and distributor of hydrogen and nitrogen-based products. These essential chemicals serve a variety of purposes worldwide, including energy generation, agricultural fertilization, environmental emissions reduction, and numerous other industrial applications. The company's core product lineup features vital nitrogen compounds such as anhydrous ammonia, granular urea, urea ammonium nitrate (UAN), and different forms of ammonium nitrate. In addition to these primary offerings, CF Industries also provides specialized chemicals like diesel exhaust fluid, urea liquor, nitric acid, and aqua ammonia, alongside complex fertilizers containing nitrogen, phosphorus, and potassium. Its diverse customer base includes agricultural cooperatives, independent fertilizer distributors, commodity traders, wholesalers, and a wide array of industrial end-users. Founded in 1946, the firm is headquartered in Deerfield, Illinois. | 2026-09-12 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) company profile |
| Revenue by segment | AN: $421.00M; UAN: $2.16B; Urea: $1.78B; Ammonia: $2.18B | 2025-12-31 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) revenue segmentation, from the company's 10-K |
| Quarterly income statement (USD thousands) | Captured record · 8 entries
| 2026-06-30 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements |
| Operating cash flow by quarter (USD millions) | Captured record · 8 entries
| 2026-06-30 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements |
| Management outlook — dated call excerpts | Captured record · 2 entries
Selected verbatim statements from the latest available call, dated by the transcript provider. Management expectations, not completed milestones or guarantees. Relative dates retain the speaker's wording. | 2026-08-06 | OFFICIAL | Company earnings call, transcript via Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) |
| Sector / industry (provider taxonomy) | Basic Materials / Agricultural Inputs The company's SEC filings classify it under SIC 2870 — Agricultural Chemicals. | 2026-09-12 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) company profile |
| Annual revenue and net result (USD millions) | Captured record · 5 entries
| 2025-12-31 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-K income statements |
| Reported versus estimated, last 8 quarters | Captured record · 8 entries
| 2026-08-05 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings |
| Most recent periodic reports | 2026-08-06 | OFFICIAL | SEC EDGAR filer submissions | |
| Cash, investments and debt | Total debt: $3.61B; Liquidity basis: cash and short-term investments; Total liabilities: $6.18B; Cash and short-term investments: $2.48B; Cash and investments: $2.52B; Long-term investments: $36.00M; Long-term investments classification: unclassified Long-term investments are shown separately; their marketability is not established by the provider field. The cash and short-term investment balance does not establish unrestricted availability. | 2026-06-30 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's balance sheet |
| Cash and investment components | Total basis: cash short and long-term investments; Total: $2.52B; Cash and short-term investments: $2.48B; Long-term investments: $36.00M; Long-term investments classification: unclassified Sums the balance sheet's cash and short-term investments with its long-term investments.; The long-term investment field does not establish marketability; the sum is not a measure of available liquidity.; These provider fields do not establish investment access restrictions or explain differences from third-party cash figures. | 2026-06-30 | COMPUTED | Computed from the balance sheet |
| Cash and short-term investments over time (USD millions) | Captured record · 8 entries
| 2026-06-30 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's quarterly balance sheets |
| Cash against market value | As of: 2026-06-30; Cash basis: cash and short-term investments; Net cash: -$1.13B; Total debt: $3.61B; Cash and investments: $2.48B Price-based multiples captured at research time are not repeated here; the page shows each once, from current figures with their own dates. Cash is the latest reported cash and short-term investment balance; long-term investments are excluded. Market capitalization is the latest provider value.; The reported balance does not establish unrestricted availability or liquidation value.; The two are measured on different dates — the balance sheet is a quarter-end, the market cap is a recent close.; Debt is total debt as reported, including operating lease liabilities where the filer includes them. | 2026-06-30 | COMPUTED | Computed from the balance sheet and the latest market capitalization |
| Trailing twelve-month ratio set | Quick ratio: 4.32; Current ratio: 4.86; Debt to equity: 0.63; Net margin: 27.1%; Gross margin: 42.5%; Operating margin: 38.1%; Return on assets: 13.9%; Return on equity: 40.4% Price-based multiples captured at research time are not repeated here; the page shows each once, from current figures with their own dates. A ratio our provider could not compute is absent rather than shown as zero. | 2026-09-12 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) key-metrics-ttm + ratios-ttm |
| Next earnings report | Date: 2026-11-04; EPS estimate: $3.02 per share; Revenue estimate: $1.79B The date is our provider's estimate until the company confirms it. | 2026-09-12 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings calendar |
| Analyst revenue and earnings estimates (average) | Captured record · 4 entries
| 2026-09-12 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) analyst estimates |
| Recent dividends paid | Captured record · 4 entries
Declared amounts per share on their ex-dates. A single payment does not establish an annual rate, and a special dividend is not separated here. | 2026-08-14 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) dividend history |
Data provided for informational purposes only.
ETFs that hold CF
Funds in our ETF coverage that list CF among the top 10 holdings on their fund page, largest weight first. Each weight is the fund's reported holding weight as of the date in its row.
| ETF | Weight | Holdings as of |
|---|---|---|
| First Trust Large Cap Value AlphaDEX Fund (FTA) | 1.04% |