The Mosaic Company (MOS) Stock: Price, Forecast & Analyst Target
The Mosaic Company (MOS) — MoonshotScore 35/100 (Weak band), calculated Oct 6, 2026. Price $21.29 (+1.04%), as of the Oct 5, 2026 trading session; market cap $6.79B. Expected results Nov 3, 2026.
Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this
Market value / cash and short-term investments: 23.10× (market value Oct 5, 2026; cash Jun 30, 2026) · expected results Nov 3, 2026
The Mosaic Company · MOS · NYSE · Basic Materials · Agricultural Inputs
Research dated 2026-09-13: Mosaic mines and processes phosphate and potash, then sells crop nutrients, feed ingredients and mineral products through a business that also procures and resells fertilizer. The case rests on whether recovering nutrient economics and lower production costs can rebuild operating profit before heavy capital spending and debt constrain financial flexibility.
Price as of Oct 5, 2026
Key Statistics
MoonshotScore v2 · The Mosaic Company (MOS)
WeakWhy this rating? Method, drivers & history
Bands for the MoonshotScore: Exceptional 80-100 · Strong 65-79 · Fair 45-64 · Weak below 45.
- Business Quality — Is this a genuinely good business?
- Financial Safety — Could this blow up on me?
- Valuation — Am I paying a fair price?
- Growth Durability — Is the growth real and likely to last?
- Momentum — Is the market already moving on this?
Cheap, but weak quality and a strained balance sheet. Business Quality: Thin; Financial Safety: Strained; Valuation: Fair; Growth Durability: Growing; Momentum: Slipping.
- EPS beat 3 of 8
- expected results Nov 3, 2026
- Altman Z 1.75 · Piotroski F 7
Holding back: weak fundamentals, weak price trend
Helping: an attractive price
What has the MoonshotScore done over time?
| Recorded | Score | Band |
|---|---|---|
| 36 | Weak | |
| 35 | Weak | |
| 35 | Weak | |
| 36 | Weak | |
| 36 | Weak | |
| 35 | Weak |
The score was 35 in the stored Oct 5, 2026 snapshot and remains 35 in the current publication computed Oct 6, 2026 (0); the largest pillar moves were Momentum +2; the pillar moves offset under the sector-relative weighting, so the headline score is unchanged. This current publication is not yet represented in the immutable snapshot archive.
Calculation uses the most recent completed US trading session. Live price changes do not update the score immediately.
Computed · Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How the MoonshotScore is computed →
Price & valuation
| Measure | Value | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Latest provided price | $21.29 | |
| Change on the day | +1.04% | |
| 52-week range | $19.80–$36.00 | |
| Market capitalisation | $6.79B | |
| Price / earnings (trailing) | 106.45 | |
| Shares traded on the day | 8.86M | |
| Beta (volatility vs the S&P 500) | 0.83 | |
| Dividends per share (last 12 months) | $0.88 | |
| Dividend yield (last 12 months) | 4.12% |
Price & events
Triangles mark reported quarters on the line: pointing up is above the recorded estimate, down is below, a diamond means no estimate on file or a dated event that is not a results report. Numbers key to the dated list. Point at or tab to any week for its close.
Events behind the price
- · Earnings results · above the recorded estimate
- · Earnings results · below the recorded estimate
- · Earnings results · below the recorded estimate
- · Earnings results · above the recorded estimate
- · Earnings call · management outlook
Results dates follow the earnings feed; call dates follow the transcript provider. Nearby dates do not establish that an event caused a price move.
Upcoming events
Management outlook
And Q3, actually, we're going to start having some contribution from Biosciences in Brazil. We expect around $30 million of sales of Biosciences only in Brazil with a kind of a margin contribution margin of around 40%.
Luciano Pires · Statement from
Overall, we expect the potash market to remain constructive through this year. And longer term, we continue to believe that announced potash capacity expansions will be absorbed by steadily growing demand.
Bruce Bodine · Statement from
Statement dates identify the earnings call, not a deadline. Management expectations and provider estimates can change.
Read management statementsOther perspectives
Council score for The Mosaic Company (MOS): perspectives
Council is a separate blend of available disciplines; MoonshotScore above remains the five-pillar research rating.
5-Factor Breakdown
Legends Council
6 lenses, 0 current
AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built
Read on: Sep 30, 2026 · older than the 27 hours refresh window; not a current reading
Munger's Mindset
Balance Sheet & Valuation · historical
Read on: Sep 10, 2026 · older than the 27 hours refresh window; not a current reading
How to read these bars and different assessments
Council is a separate blend of available disciplines; MoonshotScore above remains the five-pillar research rating.
Bars show each model's ordered assessment on its own scale, not a probability or a comparable investment return. The adjacent words give the assessment; more filled segments indicate a stronger model reading.
On Sep 10, 2026, the Munger lens read the price at that time as undervalued against its own estimate of value.
Readings on this page are from Oct 6, 2026, except a card that shows its own read date.
Watch the MOS film — every key number, told as a short cinematic story
~2 min · open the film
What is The Mosaic Company (MOS), and what does it report?
Short answer · as of
Mosaic is not merely a fertilizer distributor. It owns mining and processing operations, manufactures concentrated phosphate and potash nutrients, and serves wholesalers, retail chains, cooperatives, farmers and national accounts; demand therefore reflects nutrient prices, application volumes, customer purchasing and the economics of extracting and processing the minerals.
Research dated 2026-09-13.
Mosaic is not merely a fertilizer distributor. It owns mining and processing operations, manufactures concentrated phosphate and potash nutrients, and serves wholesalers, retail chains, cooperatives, farmers and national accounts; demand therefore reflects nutrient prices, application volumes, customer purchasing and the economics of extracting and processing the minerals.
What do the latest results show for The Mosaic Company (MOS)?
Research dated 2026-09-13.
The latest period brought lower revenue and gross profit than the preceding period. The operating loss narrowed sharply, yet the net loss deepened, leaving a mixed picture in which better operating performance did not restore bottom-line profitability. The earnings-history measure edged past its estimate while revenue missed, so the estimate comparison should not be mistaken for broad financial improvement.
Where is operating spending going?
Revenue alongside research and development, selling, general and administrative expenses, and the FMP standardized operating result.
- Latest quarter · revenue
- $2.82B Jun 30, 2026
- Latest quarter · SG&A
- $131.60M Jun 30, 2026
- Latest quarter · FMP standardized operating result
- −$35.50M Jun 30, 2026
| Period end | Revenue | R&D | SG&A | FMP standardized operating result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 2026 | $2.82B | Not available | $131.60M | −$35.50M |
| Mar 31, 2026 | $3.00B | Not available | $135.90M | −$372.90M |
| Dec 31, 2025 | $2.60B | Not available | $105.60M | $235.60M |
| Sep 30, 2025 | $3.45B | Not available | $125.50M | $339.80M |
USD. The operating result is the FMP-standardized value supplied by FMP; it may differ from a filing’s GAAP loss from operations when the provider classifies separately presented items differently. It is not net income or cash flow.
Did results meet expectations?
Reported earnings and revenue alongside the estimates recorded by the provider.
- Latest report · revenue
- $2.82B Aug 4, 2026
- Latest report · revenue estimate
- $3.10B Aug 4, 2026
- Latest report · revenue vs estimate
- Below estimate Aug 4, 2026
- Latest report · EPS vs estimate
- Above estimate Aug 4, 2026
| Report date | Revenue · reported | Revenue · estimate | EPS · reported | EPS · estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | $2.82B | $3.10B | $0.1300 | $0.1207 |
| May 11, 2026 | $3.00B | $2.93B | $0.0500 | $0.2449 |
| Feb 24, 2026 | $2.97B | $2.93B | $0.2200 | $0.4800 |
| Nov 4, 2025 | $3.45B | $3.53B | $1.0400 | $0.9680 |
Dates are report dates, not fiscal period ends. Revenue is in USD; EPS is USD per share, rounded to four decimals. The earnings feed does not establish a basic, diluted or adjusted basis. Earnings-feed EPS may differ from statement EPS; the two series are not combined.
Quarterly income statement — 4 quarters
| Period | Revenue | Net income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2025 | $3.01B | $411M | $1.29 (diluted) |
| Q3 FY2025 | $3.45B | $411M | $1.29 (diluted) |
| Q4 FY2025 | $2.97B | -$520M | -$1.64 (diluted) |
| Q1 FY2026 | $3.00B | -$258M | -$0.79 (diluted) |
What are the financial strengths and risks for The Mosaic Company (MOS)?
Short answer
Cash and short-term investments were $294.00M at the Jun 30, 2026 balance-sheet date. Operating cash flow was $167.40M for the quarter ended Jun 30, 2026, meaning operations generated cash. These figures do not establish a cash runway.
Research dated 2026-09-13.
Annual revenue and profit had recovered from the prior annual trough, but recent periods reversed that momentum. Operating cash flow returned to positive territory, yet it remained below capital spending, keeping free cash generation negative and making sustained margin weakness especially costly.
Data-derived red flags
- Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of 1.75 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).
- Inconsistent delivery — missed Wall Street EPS estimates in 5 of the last 8 reported quarters.
- Rich valuation — a P/E of 106.45 runs well above the Basic Materials sector’s ~20.30x, leaving little room for a miss.
How much cash does the business generate or use?
Quarterly operating cash flow shows cash generated or used by operations.
- Latest quarter · operating cash flow
- $167.40M Jun 30, 2026
- Previous quarter · operating cash flow
- $104.20M Mar 31, 2026
| Period end | Operating cash flow | Capital expenditure (reported) |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 2026 | $167.40M | −$320.30M |
| Mar 31, 2026 | $104.20M | −$356.80M |
| Dec 31, 2025 | −$56.10M | −$349.60M |
| Sep 30, 2025 | $228.50M | −$364.40M |
Operating cash-flow bars share one scale and show magnitude; negative values mean cash used.
USD. Negative operating cash flow means cash used. Capital expenditure keeps the provider’s reported sign; it is not added here to estimate free cash flow or runway.
What should you watch next at The Mosaic Company (MOS)?
Short answer · as of
The next earnings report is expected on Nov 3, 2026.
Research dated 2026-09-13.
At the scheduled earnings update, watch for lower potash unit costs as production mix normalizes, alongside evidence that stripping and ammonia pressure has passed its expected peak. Brazil Biosciences sales and their contribution margin offer a separate test of whether Mosaic Fertilizantes can add a more attractive earnings stream.
What management is planning
Management expectations, not completed milestones or guarantees. Selected verbatim excerpts; dates follow the transcript provider.
And Q3, actually, we're going to start having some contribution from Biosciences in Brazil. We expect around $30 million of sales of Biosciences only in Brazil with a kind of a margin contribution margin of around 40%.
Luciano Pires ·
Overall, we expect the potash market to remain constructive through this year. And longer term, we continue to believe that announced potash capacity expansions will be absorbed by steadily growing demand.
Bruce Bodine ·
Second quarter MOP costs of $84 per tonne reflected a production mix that was more heavily weighted towards Colonsay volumes, but we expect to revert lower in the second half of the year.
Luciano Pires ·
So we're going to see a peak of that in Q3, which does kind of hurt stripping margins a little bit as well as the ammonia that Luciano talked about.
Bruce Bodine ·
How does The Mosaic Company compare with its peers?
Short answer
The Mosaic Company's score ranks 13th of 13 in the bounded comparison shown, against 12 same-model peers. These are company scores, not expected investment returns. The set lists named competitors first, then companies in the same data-provider industry classification closest in market value; that classification is the provider's, not our judgment of business similarity.
Research dated 2026-09-13.
Mosaic differs from a pure potash miner because phosphates and Mosaic Fertilizantes contribute more revenue than potash, while procurement and resale sit beside owned mining and processing. Its portfolio also reaches animal feed and industrial applications, including de-icing and water treatment, so fertilizer demand is dominant without being the only outlet for its minerals.
| Company | Price | Market value | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| $116.02 Oct 5, 2026 | $17.7B | 98 5-pillar Oct 6, 2026 | |
| $17.01 Oct 5, 2026 | $11.4B | 96 5-pillar Oct 6, 2026 | |
| $125.93 Oct 5, 2026 | $1.33B | 92 5-pillar Oct 6, 2026 | |
| $33.38 Oct 5, 2026 | $448M | 84 5-pillar Oct 6, 2026 | |
| $70.26 Oct 5, 2026 | $33.7B | 74 5-pillar Oct 6, 2026 | |
| $5.17 Oct 5, 2026 | $10.3B | 70 5-pillar Oct 6, 2026 | |
| $11.23 Oct 5, 2026 | $8.86B | 68 5-pillar Oct 6, 2026 | |
| $12.39 Oct 5, 2026 | $8.29B | 68 5-pillar Oct 6, 2026 | |
| $5.06 Oct 5, 2026 | $6.51B | 62 5-pillar Oct 6, 2026 | |
| $43.50 Oct 5, 2026 | $11.1B | 60 5-pillar Oct 6, 2026 | |
| $49.10 Oct 5, 2026 | $2.86B | 54 5-pillar Oct 6, 2026 | |
| $14.67 Oct 5, 2026 | $2.64B | 44 5-pillar Oct 6, 2026 | |
| The Mosaic Company (MOS) — this page | $21.29 | $6.79B | 35 |
Only 5-pillar scores are ranked together. Other models are not directly comparable. Price and score dates are shown separately; market-value dates are unavailable.
The records behind this page
Analyst targets & estimates
What analysts have on file
- Price target, low to high
- $22.00 – $31.00
- Consensus target
- $26.44
- Median target
- $26.00
Consensus record · Captured .
Measured against a quoted price of $21.29 (as of Oct 5, 2026).
Insider activity
Form 4 records via FMP · Of the newest 60 records, those within the last 180 days, newest dated Sep 23, 2026
- Transactions
- 35
- Identified insiders
- 12
- Purchases
- 0
- Sales
- 1
- Other transactions
- 34
Purchases and sales use the reported transaction category. Other transactions include awards, exercises, gifts, withholding and unclassified activity; an acquisition or disposition alone is not a purchase or sale. These records do not establish intent.
Who holds the shares?
Institutional ownership reported through 13F filings.
- Institutional ownership
- 96.2% Period end Jun 30, 2026
- Previous quarter · ownership
- 89.0% Prior to period end Jun 30, 2026
- Reporting holders
- 726 Period end Jun 30, 2026
- Previous quarter · holders
- 755 Prior to period end Jun 30, 2026
| Holders in provider snapshot | Shares |
|---|---|
| Blackrock, INC. | 24,751,481 |
| Vanguard Capital Management LLC | 20,744,667 |
| Aqr Capital Management LLC | 18,292,494 |
| State Street Corp | 15,039,070 |
| Invesco Ltd. | 14,904,222 |
Quarterly filings lag the period end. Holder rows are names in the provider snapshot, not a verified ranking; individual filing dates are not supplied. Related managers may appear separately, so these positions are not summed. Holder snapshot as of Jun 30, 2026.
What Investors Ask About The Mosaic Company (MOS) — Basic Materials
Research dated 2026-09-13; the answers below are from that research, and the full attribution is under Sources. The last 3 questions are answered from this page's own dated data, not from the research.
What does Mosaic Fertilizantes add beyond Mosaic’s potash business?
Mosaic Fertilizantes is the largest reported revenue segment, giving the company substantial exposure beyond the smaller Potash segment. That makes Mosaic a broader crop-nutrient and distribution business rather than a concentrated potash producer.
How are Colonsay volumes affecting Mosaic’s potash costs?
Management said a production mix weighted more heavily toward Colonsay raised potash unit costs. It expects that mix effect to ease, making subsequent unit costs a direct check on the claim.
What would Biosciences add to Mosaic’s Brazil business?
Management expects Biosciences to begin contributing sales in Brazil with a comparatively strong contribution margin. The relevant evidence will be whether that contribution appears in Mosaic Fertilizantes profitability rather than only adding revenue.
Can Mosaic fund its dividend while capital spending exceeds operating cash flow?
Recent operating cash flow did not cover capital spending, while the dividend remained steady. Continued distributions therefore depend on stronger cash conversion, balance-sheet resources or outside financing if the shortfall persists.
What is the MOS stock price today?
The last price recorded on this page for The Mosaic Company (MOS) is $21.29, as of the Oct 5, 2026 trading session (source: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote). It is a provider snapshot, not a live exchange feed, so check a brokerage quote before you trade.
What is the MOS price target?
The analyst consensus price target for The Mosaic Company (MOS) is $26.44 (range $22.00 to $31.00, median $26.00), per FMP data captured Oct 5, 2026. Targets are analyst opinions and change often; they are not a Stock Expert AI forecast.
When are MOS's next earnings?
The next earnings date listed on this page for The Mosaic Company (MOS) is Nov 3, 2026. Companies sometimes move report dates, so the company's own announcement is the final word on timing.
Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.
Research written by Codex (gpt-5.6-sol) on 2026-09-13. AI-authored analysis; source dates are shown with each answer. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief.
Sources — records for every figure on this page (79 figures)
The 79 rows below are exactly the facts the evidence-backed sections of this page printed — the 10-second verdict, the MoonshotScore, price and market value, the five questions with their receipts, and the records behind this page. Known dates and sources are recorded on their own rows; an em dash or UNRECORDED tier preserves a stored observation without inventing either. The quarterly income statement is provider-standardized (FMP) under one row, and scale definitions — a 0-100 rating, the band ladder, the Piotroski 0–9 range — are fixed rather than measured. No number in those sections was generated by a model. The register does not cover quoted third-party headlines, the dated council readings, or the Frequently Asked Questions; each of those says where it came from where it stands.
"As of" is the date the value is true for where the source carries one — a quarter end, a filing date, a price close, the day the score was computed. A cached observation with no source date remains undated; the page publication date is not used as a substitute.
OFFICIAL — 2 facts from SEC filings and earnings calls
| Fact ID | Fact | Value as shown | As of | Tier | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
prod.outlook | Management outlook — call excerpts | Luciano Pires (Aug 5, 2026): And Q3, actually, we're going to start having some contribution from Biosciences in Brazil. We expect around $30 million of sales of Biosciences only in Brazil with a kind of a margin contribution margin of around 40%. Bruce Bodine (Aug 5, 2026): Overall, we expect the potash market to remain constructive through this year. And longer term, we continue to believe that announced potash capacity expansions will be absorbed by steadily growing demand. Luciano Pires (Aug 5, 2026): Second quarter MOP costs of $84 per tonne reflected a production mix that was more heavily weighted towards Colonsay volumes, but we expect to revert lower in the second half of the year. Bruce Bodine (Aug 5, 2026): So we're going to see a peak of that in Q3, which does kind of hurt stripping margins a little bit as well as the ammonia that Luciano talked about. | OFFICIAL | Company earnings call, transcript via Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Selected verbatim statements from the latest available call, dated by the transcript provider. Management expectations, not completed milestones or guarantees. Relative dates retain the speaker's wording. | |
id.hq | SEC filing business address | 101 East Kennedy Blvd., Suite 2500, Tampa, FL, 33602 | OFFICIAL | SEC EDGAR filer business address — The SEC filer business address. Our market-data provider separately lists "101 East Kennedy Boulevard, Tampa, FL, 33602, US". |
FMP — 67 facts from Financial Modeling Prep endpoint families
| Fact ID | Fact | Value as shown | As of | Tier | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
px.last | Latest provided price | $21.29 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote — Dated to the US trading session the price belongs to, derived from the quote record's timestamp (weekend and pre-open reads roll back to the previous weekday; exchange holidays are not modelled). The record does not establish an exchange execution time. Retrieved 2026-10-05T21:54:37.999Z. | |
px.change | Change on the day | +1.04% | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote | |
px.mcap | Market capitalization | $6.79B | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) quote — Provider market cap uses the share class it prices; a company with more than one class may show a larger total elsewhere. Market cap record date: 2026-10-05. Source capture time was not supplied. No share-count basis is inferred; this page preserves the reported amount instead of recalculating it from shares. | |
px.change_abs | Change on the day, in dollars | +$0.22 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote | |
px.range52 | 52-week range | $19.80–$36.00 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) quote | |
px.pe | Price / earnings (trailing) | 106.45 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote | |
px.volume | Shares traded on the day | 8.86M | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote | |
px.beta | Beta | 0.83 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) company profile | |
id.ceo | Chief executive | Bruce Bodine Jr. | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) key executives (proxy-derived) — Titles and pay come from the company's proxy statement as our provider parsed it. | |
id.employees | Employees | 13,249 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) employee count, from the company's filing | |
fin.annual | Revenue and net result by fiscal year | 5 fiscal years, FY2021 through FY2025: FY2021 revenue $12.36B, net result $1.63B; FY2022 revenue $19.13B, net result $3.58B; FY2023 revenue $13.70B, net result $1.16B; FY2024 revenue $11.12B, net result $174.90M; FY2025 revenue $12.05B, net result $540.70M | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-K income statements | |
fin.rev_mix | Reported revenue segments | Potash Segment $2.66B · Phosphates Segment $4.58B · Mosaic Fertilizantes $4.85B | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) revenue segmentation, from the company's 10-K | |
fin.gross_margin | Gross margin (trailing twelve months) | 11.5% | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) key-metrics-ttm + ratios-ttm — A ratio our provider could not compute is absent rather than shown as zero. | |
fin.q_table.depth.2026-06-30.revenue_k | Revenue — period end 2026-06-30 | $2.82B | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2026-06-30.sga_k | SG&A — period end 2026-06-30 | $131.60M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2026-06-30.operating_result_k | FMP standardized operating result — period end 2026-06-30 | −$35.50M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2026-03-31.revenue_k | Revenue — period end 2026-03-31 | $3.00B | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2026-03-31.sga_k | SG&A — period end 2026-03-31 | $135.90M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2026-03-31.operating_result_k | FMP standardized operating result — period end 2026-03-31 | −$372.90M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2025-12-31.revenue_k | Revenue — period end 2025-12-31 | $2.60B | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2025-12-31.sga_k | SG&A — period end 2025-12-31 | $105.60M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2025-12-31.operating_result_k | FMP standardized operating result — period end 2025-12-31 | $235.60M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2025-09-30.revenue_k | Revenue — period end 2025-09-30 | $3.45B | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2025-09-30.sga_k | SG&A — period end 2025-09-30 | $125.50M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2025-09-30.operating_result_k | FMP standardized operating result — period end 2025-09-30 | $339.80M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
earn.history.depth.2026-08-04.revenue_actual | Revenue · reported — report date 2026-08-04 | $2.82B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-08-04.revenue_estimated | Revenue · estimate — report date 2026-08-04 | $3.10B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-08-04.eps_actual | EPS · reported — report date 2026-08-04 | $0.1300 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-08-04.eps_estimated | EPS · estimate — report date 2026-08-04 | $0.1207 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-05-11.revenue_actual | Revenue · reported — report date 2026-05-11 | $3.00B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-05-11.revenue_estimated | Revenue · estimate — report date 2026-05-11 | $2.93B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-05-11.eps_actual | EPS · reported — report date 2026-05-11 | $0.0500 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-05-11.eps_estimated | EPS · estimate — report date 2026-05-11 | $0.2449 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-02-24.revenue_actual | Revenue · reported — report date 2026-02-24 | $2.97B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-02-24.revenue_estimated | Revenue · estimate — report date 2026-02-24 | $2.93B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-02-24.eps_actual | EPS · reported — report date 2026-02-24 | $0.2200 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-02-24.eps_estimated | EPS · estimate — report date 2026-02-24 | $0.4800 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2025-11-04.revenue_actual | Revenue · reported — report date 2025-11-04 | $3.45B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2025-11-04.revenue_estimated | Revenue · estimate — report date 2025-11-04 | $3.53B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2025-11-04.eps_actual | EPS · reported — report date 2025-11-04 | $1.0400 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2025-11-04.eps_estimated | EPS · estimate — report date 2025-11-04 | $0.9680 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
fin.cash_investments | Cash and short-term investments | $294.00M | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's balance sheet — Long-term investments are shown separately; their marketability is not established by the provider field. The cash and short-term investment balance does not establish unrestricted availability. Long-term investments are excluded and remain unclassified. Restrictions on cash and short-term investments require separate review. | |
fin.opcf_latest | Latest-quarter operating cash flow | $167.40M | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Period end: 2026-06-30. Negative operating cash flow means cash used. This figure is not a cash-runway estimate. | |
fin.long_term_investments | Long-term investments (classification unverified) | $1.81B | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's balance sheet — Long-term investments are shown separately; their marketability is not established by the provider field. The cash and short-term investment balance does not establish unrestricted availability. | |
fin.total_debt | Total debt | $5.86B | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's balance sheet — Long-term investments are shown separately; their marketability is not established by the provider field. The cash and short-term investment balance does not establish unrestricted availability. | |
fin.price_to_book | Price to book value | 0.58× | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) key-metrics-ttm + ratios-ttm — A ratio our provider could not compute is absent rather than shown as zero. | |
fin.opcf.depth.2026-06-30.operating_cash_flow_m | Operating cash flow — period end 2026-06-30 | $167.40M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2026-03-31.operating_cash_flow_m | Operating cash flow — period end 2026-03-31 | $104.20M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2026-06-30.capex_m | Capital expenditure (reported) — period end 2026-06-30 | −$320.30M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2026-03-31.capex_m | Capital expenditure (reported) — period end 2026-03-31 | −$356.80M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2025-12-31.operating_cash_flow_m | Operating cash flow — period end 2025-12-31 | −$56.10M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2025-12-31.capex_m | Capital expenditure (reported) — period end 2025-12-31 | −$349.60M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2025-09-30.operating_cash_flow_m | Operating cash flow — period end 2025-09-30 | $228.50M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2025-09-30.capex_m | Capital expenditure (reported) — period end 2025-09-30 | −$364.40M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
earn.pt_range | Analyst price target, low to high | $22.00 – $31.00 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 5, 2026 · Coverage not supplied | |
earn.pt_consensus | Consensus analyst price target | $26.44 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 5, 2026 · Coverage not supplied | |
earn.pt_median | Median analyst price target | $26.00 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 5, 2026 · Coverage not supplied | |
own.insiders | Insider transactions via FMP | 35 transactions · 0 purchases, 1 sales, 34 other transactions · 12 identified insiders · of the newest 60 records, those within the last 180 days, newest dated Sep 23, 2026 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), carrying Form 4 transaction records — Purchases and sales use the reported transaction category. Other transactions include awards, exercises, gifts, withholding and unclassified activity; an acquisition or disposition alone is not a purchase or sale. These records do not establish intent. | |
own.institutions.depth.ownership_pct | Institutional ownership | 96.2% | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional ownership summary, from 13F filings — 13F filings are quarterly and lag the quarter end by up to 45 days. Period end Jun 30, 2026 | |
own.institutions.depth.ownership_pct_previous_quarter | Previous quarter · ownership | 89.0% | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional ownership summary, from 13F filings — 13F filings are quarterly and lag the quarter end by up to 45 days. Prior to period end Jun 30, 2026 | |
own.institutions.depth.holders | Reporting holders | 726 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional ownership summary, from 13F filings — 13F filings are quarterly and lag the quarter end by up to 45 days. Period end Jun 30, 2026 | |
own.institutions.depth.holders_previous_quarter | Previous quarter · holders | 755 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional ownership summary, from 13F filings — 13F filings are quarterly and lag the quarter end by up to 45 days. Prior to period end Jun 30, 2026 | |
own.top_holders.depth.holder_0.shares | Blackrock, INC. — shares in provider snapshot | 24,751,481 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional holders, from 13F filings — Provider snapshot as of 2026-06-30; individual filing date not supplied. | |
own.top_holders.depth.holder_1.shares | Vanguard Capital Management LLC — shares in provider snapshot | 20,744,667 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional holders, from 13F filings — Provider snapshot as of 2026-06-30; individual filing date not supplied. | |
own.top_holders.depth.holder_2.shares | Aqr Capital Management LLC — shares in provider snapshot | 18,292,494 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional holders, from 13F filings — Provider snapshot as of 2026-06-30; individual filing date not supplied. | |
own.top_holders.depth.holder_3.shares | State Street Corp — shares in provider snapshot | 15,039,070 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional holders, from 13F filings — Provider snapshot as of 2026-06-30; individual filing date not supplied. | |
own.top_holders.depth.holder_4.shares | Invesco Ltd. — shares in provider snapshot | 14,904,222 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional holders, from 13F filings — Provider snapshot as of 2026-06-30; individual filing date not supplied. |
UNRECORDED — 3 facts from stored observations whose source was not recorded
| Fact ID | Fact | Value as shown | As of | Tier | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
earn.next | Next earnings date | Nov 3, 2026 | UNRECORDED | Stored earnings-calendar observation — Captured 2026-09-30 | |
earn.history | Reported versus estimated, recent quarters | EPS beat 3 of 8 | UNRECORDED | Stored earnings-history observation — Captured 2026-09-30 · Expired observation | |
fin.scores | Distress and quality screens | Altman Z 1.75 · Piotroski F 7 | UNRECORDED | Stored financial-scores observation — Captured 2026-10-05 · Expired observation |
COMPUTED — 5 facts from our arithmetic, formula restated
| Fact ID | Fact | Value as shown | As of | Tier | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
fin.mcap_to_cash | Market value per dollar of cash and short-term investments | 23.10× | — | COMPUTED | Computed on this page from the figures above — The market capitalisation printed on this page divided by cash and short-term investments of $294.00M at Jun 30, 2026. Long-term investments are excluded and remain unclassified. Restrictions on cash and short-term investments require separate review. Market cap record date: 2026-10-05. Balance-sheet reference date: 2026-06-30. The inputs do not establish a single common source date for this ratio. |
div.ttm_per_share | Dividends per share, last 12 months (split-adjusted) | $0.88 | COMPUTED | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) split-adjusted dividend history — Sum of 4 split-adjusted declared dividends with an ex-date in the 365 days to 2026-10-05, per current share. Ex-dates are not payment dates; special dividends are included. Not a declared annual rate. | |
div.ttm_yield | Dividend yield, last 12 months | 4.12% | COMPUTED | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) split-adjusted dividend history and quote — Split-adjusted dividends with ex-dates in the trailing 365-day window divided by the packet price, on the same current-share basis. Price date follows the quote, latest price bar or packet-build day when unstamped. Not a forecast or declared annual rate. | |
earn.history.depth.2026-08-04.revenue_actual.comparison | Latest report · revenue vs estimate | Below estimate | Report date · | COMPUTED | Computed from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note — Method: compare reported revenue ($2.82B) with the recorded estimate ($3.10B) at displayed precision. Equal displayed values are in line. This compares reported results with recorded estimates, not investment returns. |
earn.history.depth.2026-08-04.eps_actual.comparison | Latest report · EPS vs estimate | Above estimate | Report date · | COMPUTED | Computed from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note — Method: compare reported EPS ($0.1300) with the recorded estimate ($0.1207) at displayed precision. Equal displayed values are in line. This compares reported results with recorded estimates, not investment returns. |
OURS — 2 facts from Stock Expert AI's own score and rank
| Fact ID | Fact | Value as shown | As of | Tier | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ours.moonshot | MoonshotScore v2 | 35 of 100 · Weak · pillars 31 / 38 / 68 / 61 / 34 | OURS | Stock Expert AI MoonshotScore v2 engine | |
ours.moonshot_change | MoonshotScore movement | 35 (stored snapshot Oct 5, 2026) → 35 (current publication computed Oct 6, 2026) (0) | OURS | Stock Expert AI current score publication and immutable score snapshots — The current score publication is not yet represented in the immutable snapshot archive. |
Fact-family notes
- Quarterly statement note. Source series as of 2026-06-30. USD. The operating result is the FMP-standardized value supplied by FMP; it may differ from a filing’s GAAP loss from operations when the provider classifies separately presented items differently. It is not net income or cash flow. Applies to Fact IDs:
fin.q_table.depth.2026-06-30.revenue_k,fin.q_table.depth.2026-06-30.sga_k,fin.q_table.depth.2026-06-30.operating_result_k,fin.q_table.depth.2026-03-31.revenue_k,fin.q_table.depth.2026-03-31.sga_k,fin.q_table.depth.2026-03-31.operating_result_k,fin.q_table.depth.2025-12-31.revenue_k,fin.q_table.depth.2025-12-31.sga_k,fin.q_table.depth.2025-12-31.operating_result_k,fin.q_table.depth.2025-09-30.revenue_k,fin.q_table.depth.2025-09-30.sga_k,fin.q_table.depth.2025-09-30.operating_result_k. - Earnings-history note. Source series as of 2026-08-04. Dates are report dates, not fiscal period ends. Revenue is in USD; EPS is USD per share, rounded to four decimals. The earnings feed does not establish a basic, diluted or adjusted basis. Earnings-feed EPS may differ from statement EPS; the two series are not combined. Applies to Fact IDs:
earn.history.depth.2026-08-04.revenue_actual,earn.history.depth.2026-08-04.revenue_estimated,earn.history.depth.2026-08-04.revenue_actual.comparison,earn.history.depth.2026-08-04.eps_actual.comparison,earn.history.depth.2026-08-04.eps_actual,earn.history.depth.2026-08-04.eps_estimated,earn.history.depth.2026-05-11.revenue_actual,earn.history.depth.2026-05-11.revenue_estimated,earn.history.depth.2026-05-11.eps_actual,earn.history.depth.2026-05-11.eps_estimated,earn.history.depth.2026-02-24.revenue_actual,earn.history.depth.2026-02-24.revenue_estimated,earn.history.depth.2026-02-24.eps_actual,earn.history.depth.2026-02-24.eps_estimated,earn.history.depth.2025-11-04.revenue_actual,earn.history.depth.2025-11-04.revenue_estimated,earn.history.depth.2025-11-04.eps_actual,earn.history.depth.2025-11-04.eps_estimated. - Cash-flow note. Source series as of 2026-06-30. USD. Negative operating cash flow means cash used. Capital expenditure keeps the provider’s reported sign; it is not added here to estimate free cash flow or runway. Applies to Fact IDs:
fin.opcf.depth.2026-06-30.operating_cash_flow_m,fin.opcf.depth.2026-03-31.operating_cash_flow_m,fin.opcf.depth.2026-06-30.capex_m,fin.opcf.depth.2026-03-31.capex_m,fin.opcf.depth.2025-12-31.operating_cash_flow_m,fin.opcf.depth.2025-12-31.capex_m,fin.opcf.depth.2025-09-30.operating_cash_flow_m,fin.opcf.depth.2025-09-30.capex_m.
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Sources used for research written 2026-09-13
Historical evidence preserved with this analysis. Current figures are listed separately above.
| Evidence | Captured value | Source date | Source type | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business description | Operating on a global scale via its various subsidiaries, The Mosaic Company specializes in the creation and distribution of concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients. Its business is structured into three distinct segments: Phosphates, Potash, and Mosaic Fertilizantes. The company maintains and operates its own mining facilities to extract raw materials, which are then processed into a diverse array of phosphate-based products. These offerings encompass crucial agricultural fertilizers such as diammonium phosphate (DAP), monoammonium phosphate (MAP), and various ammoniated phosphate compounds. Additionally, Mosaic produces phosphate-derived ingredients for animal feed, primarily marketed under the Biofos and Nexfos brands, along with K-Mag, a unique double sulfate of potash magnesia product. Beyond phosphates, Mosaic is a key producer and vendor of potash. This versatile mineral finds application in compound fertilizer manufacturing, animal feed formulations, industrial processes, de-icing preparations, and as a regenerant for water softeners. The company further broadens its portfolio by providing nitrogen-based crop nutrients, supplemental animal feed ingredients, and a range of supporting services. It also actively engages in the procurement and resale of phosphate, potash, and nitrogen products. Mosaic's products reach a wide array of customers, including major wholesale distributors, extensive retail chains, agricultural cooperatives, individual farmers, independent retailers, and large national accounts. Incorporated in 2004, The Mosaic Company is headquartered in Tampa, Florida. | 2026-09-13 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) company profile |
| Revenue by segment | Potash Segment: $2.66B; Phosphates Segment: $4.58B; Mosaic Fertilizantes: $4.85B | 2025-12-31 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) revenue segmentation, from the company's 10-K |
| Quarterly income statement (USD thousands) | Captured record · 8 entries
| 2026-06-30 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements |
| Operating cash flow by quarter (USD millions) | Captured record · 8 entries
| 2026-06-30 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements |
| Cash, investments and debt | Total debt: $5.86B; Liquidity basis: cash and short-term investments; Total liabilities: $13.01B; Cash and short-term investments: $294.00M; Cash and investments: $2.10B; Long-term investments: $1.81B; Long-term investments classification: unclassified Long-term investments are shown separately; their marketability is not established by the provider field. The cash and short-term investment balance does not establish unrestricted availability. | 2026-06-30 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's balance sheet |
| Management outlook — dated call excerpts | Captured record · 4 entries
Selected verbatim statements from the latest available call, dated by the transcript provider. Management expectations, not completed milestones or guarantees. Relative dates retain the speaker's wording. | 2026-08-05 | OFFICIAL | Company earnings call, transcript via Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) |
| Sector / industry (provider taxonomy) | Basic Materials / Agricultural Inputs The company's SEC filings classify it under SIC 2870 — Agricultural Chemicals. | 2026-09-13 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) company profile |
| Reported versus estimated, last 8 quarters | Captured record · 8 entries
| 2026-08-04 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings |
| Annual revenue and net result (USD millions) | Captured record · 5 entries
| 2025-12-31 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-K income statements |
| Trailing twelve-month ratio set | Quick ratio: 0.43; Current ratio: 1.34; Debt to equity: 0.51; Net margin: 0.4%; Gross margin: 11.5%; Operating margin: 1.4%; Return on assets: 0.2%; Return on equity: 0.4% Price-based multiples captured at research time are not repeated here; the page shows each once, from current figures with their own dates. A ratio our provider could not compute is absent rather than shown as zero. | 2026-09-13 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) key-metrics-ttm + ratios-ttm |
| Next earnings report | Date: 2026-11-03; EPS estimate: $0.09 per share; Revenue estimate: $3.08B The date is our provider's estimate until the company confirms it. | 2026-09-13 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings calendar |
| Recent dividends paid | Captured record · 4 entries
Declared amounts per share on their ex-dates. A single payment does not establish an annual rate, and a special dividend is not separated here. | 2026-09-10 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) dividend history |
| Dividends per share, last 12 months (split-adjusted) | $0.88 Sum of 4 split-adjusted declared dividends with an ex-date in the 365 days to 2026-09-13, per current share. Ex-dates are not payment dates; special dividends are included. Not a declared annual rate. | 2026-09-10 | COMPUTED | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) split-adjusted dividend history |
Data provided for informational purposes only.
ETFs that hold MOS
Funds in our ETF coverage that list MOS among the top 10 holdings on their fund page, largest weight first. Each weight is the fund's reported holding weight as of the date in its row.
| ETF | Weight | Holdings as of |
|---|---|---|
| Harbor Long-Short Equity ETF (LSEQ) (LSEQ) | 2.49% |