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CapStar Financial Holdings, Inc. (CSTR) Stock Analysis

$20.11 +$0.01 (+0.05%) |CouncilBullish Lean · 63 · B+
Bottom line: Bullish Lean — our Council read (63/100) and AI Score (62/100) broadly agree. Strongest signal: Ray Dalio bullish · Biggest watch-out: Ken Griffin bearish.
MCap: $419M| P/E Ratio: 14.3| Vol: 115.4K| 52-wk range: $11.22 – $20.20
Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.

CapStar Financial Holdings, Inc. (CSTR) trades at $20.11 with AI Score 62/100 (Grade B+). CapStar Financial Holdings, Inc. Market cap: $419M, Sector: Financial services.

Price as of Jul 23, 2026 · Last analyzed: Jun 15, 2026
CapStar Financial Holdings, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for CapStar Bank, providing a comprehensive suite of banking services to consumer and corporate clients primarily within Tennessee. The company offers diverse deposit products, various loan types including commercial and real estate, alongside mortgage banking, wealth management, and correspondent banking services.

Analyst Coverage for CSTR: CSTR does not currently have published analyst price targets in our coverage universe. This is common for smaller-cap names with limited Wall Street coverage. In the absence of analyst consensus, our AI model evaluates CSTR against Financial Services peers across nine fundamental dimensions and assigns a mixed fundamental profile based on the underlying data.

Watch the CSTR film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Bullish Lean 63/100 · B+

CSTR: 2/3 scored disciplines lean bullish. Dominant signal: Ray Dalio bullish.

How is this calculated? →
Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI
Ray Dalio
Bullish
Ken Griffin
Bearish
Jim Simons
Bullish
Izzy Englander
Neutral
Seth Klarman
Neutral
Moon AI
Bullish
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Moderate
Margin of Safety
Undervalued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →

Why this analysis is different

  • A 9-signal quantitative MoonshotScore built from filings, insider activity, and market data — computed from the numbers, not from opinion.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

CapStar Financial Holdings, Inc. (CSTR) Financial Services Profile

CEOTimothy K. Schools
Employees360
HeadquartersNashville, TN, US
IPO Year2016

CapStar Financial Holdings, Inc. is a Nashville-based regional bank holding company established in 2007, delivering a full spectrum of financial services including diverse deposit products, commercial and consumer lending, wealth management, and digital banking solutions to customers predominantly across Tennessee, positioning itself as a community-focused financial partner.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NASDAQ Analysis: Jun 15, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for CSTR?

As of Jun 15, 2026 — figures reflect the data available on that date.

CapStar Financial Holdings, Inc. (CSTR) presents as a regionally focused financial institution with a diversified service portfolio, operating primarily in the growing Tennessee market. The company’s robust gross margin of 87.3% indicates efficient revenue generation from its core banking activities, while a profit margin of 16.5% reflects solid profitability. With a P/E ratio of 14.3, CSTR trades at a valuation that reflects its steady regional banking operations. Its beta of 0.79 suggests lower volatility compared to the broader market, appealing to investors seeking relative stability. Key value drivers include continued expansion of its commercial and industrial loan portfolio, leveraging its presence in Tennessee for real estate and construction financing, and growing its high-margin private banking and wealth management services for affluent clients. Ongoing investments in digital banking platforms are crucial catalysts for enhancing customer engagement and operational efficiency. Potential risks include interest rate fluctuations, credit quality deterioration in its loan portfolios, and increased competition within the regional banking sector.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

CSTR Key Highlights

  • Market capitalization stands at $0.42 billion, reflecting its position as a mid-sized regional bank holding company.
  • The company maintains a P/E ratio of 14.3, indicating investor valuation relative to its earnings.
  • CapStar Financial Holdings, Inc. achieves a profit margin of 16.5%, demonstrating its ability to convert revenue into net income.
  • A strong gross margin of 87.3% highlights efficient management of core banking operations and service delivery.
  • With a Beta of 0.79, the stock exhibits lower volatility compared to the overall market, suggesting relative stability.

Who Are CSTR's Competitors?

CSTR is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap AI Score
PCB PCB Bancorp $28.86 -0.81% $411M 93
NECB Northeast Community Bancorp, Inc. $26.45 +0.15% $366M 93
PDLB Ponce Financial Group, Inc. $19.91 -0.50% $482M 92
BWFG Bankwell Financial Group, Inc. $60.57 +1.80% $483M 93
OBT Orange County Bancorp, Inc. $37.24 +0.13% $499M 93
CZFS Citizens Financial Services, Inc. $71.50 -1.62% $344M 92
HBCP Home Bancorp, Inc. $69.26 -0.03% $543M 92
NRIM Northrim BanCorp, Inc. $27.15 -1.45% $604M 95

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are CSTR's Key Strengths?

  • Diversified loan portfolio spanning commercial, real estate, and consumer segments.
  • Comprehensive suite of services including wealth management and correspondent banking.
  • Strong gross margin of 87.3% indicates efficient core operations.
  • Established presence and local market knowledge in Tennessee since 2007.

What Are CSTR's Weaknesses?

  • Regional concentration limits geographic diversification and exposes it to local economic downturns.
  • No dividend yield, which may deter income-focused investors.
  • Relatively smaller market capitalization compared to larger national banks, potentially limiting scale advantages.
  • Reliance on traditional banking models amidst increasing fintech competition.

What Could Drive CSTR Stock Higher?

  • Continued economic growth in Tennessee, particularly in commercial and residential real estate, could drive increased demand for CapStar's lending products.
  • Strategic enhancements to digital banking platforms and mobile applications could attract new customers and improve operational efficiency, expanding market reach.
  • Successful expansion of private banking and wealth management services, attracting more high-net-worth clients and increasing fee-based income.
  • Effective management of interest rate changes, allowing the bank to optimize its net interest margin and profitability.
  • Potential for strategic partnerships or targeted acquisitions within the regional banking sector to expand market share and service capabilities.

What Are the Key Risks for CSTR?

  • Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of -0.18 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).
  • Fluctuations in interest rates could negatively impact CapStar's net interest margin, affecting overall profitability.
  • Credit risk associated with its diverse loan portfolio, particularly in commercial real estate and construction, could lead to increased loan loss provisions.
  • Intense competition from larger national banks and agile fintech companies could erode market share and pricing power.
  • Economic downturns in the Tennessee region could reduce loan demand, increase defaults, and negatively impact asset quality.
  • Regulatory changes and increased compliance costs within the financial services sector could impact operational expenses and strategic flexibility.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for CSTR?

  • Expansion of Commercial and Industrial (C&I) Lending: CapStar Financial Holdings, Inc. can capitalize on the economic growth within Tennessee by strategically expanding its commercial and industrial loan portfolio. This involves targeting small and medium-sized businesses (SMBs) with tailored financing solutions for working capital, equipment purchases, and business expansion. The regional market for C&I loans remains robust, driven by local entrepreneurship and business development. By deepening relationships with local businesses and offering competitive terms, CapStar can increase its loan volume and interest income, with a continuous timeline for growth as the regional economy evolves.
  • Growth in Private Banking and Wealth Management Services: The company's focus on private banking and wealth management for high-net-worth individuals and business owners presents a significant growth avenue. As wealth accumulates in its target demographic, there is an ongoing demand for sophisticated financial planning, investment management, and personalized banking services. CapStar can enhance its market share by expanding its team of experienced wealth advisors, introducing new advisory products, and leveraging existing client relationships to cross-sell these high-margin services. This opportunity offers long-term revenue growth and strengthens client loyalty.
  • Enhancement and Adoption of Digital Banking Services: With the increasing preference for digital interactions, CapStar can drive growth by continuously enhancing its online and mobile banking platforms and promoting their adoption. This includes improving user experience, adding advanced features like budgeting tools, enhanced security, and seamless integration with other financial services. Increased digital engagement can lead to greater customer retention, attract tech-savvy younger demographics, and reduce operational costs associated with traditional branch transactions. The timeline for this opportunity is ongoing, with continuous technological advancements and customer expectations driving development.
  • Strategic Expansion of Correspondent Banking Services: CapStar's provision of correspondent banking services to other community banks offers a scalable growth opportunity. By expanding its network of client banks, CapStar can increase fee income generated from services like check clearing, funds transfers, and other back-office support. This strategy leverages CapStar's operational infrastructure and expertise, creating a synergistic relationship with smaller institutions that may lack the resources for such services internally. The market for correspondent banking is stable, with community banks consistently seeking reliable partners, providing a steady growth trajectory.
  • Targeting Small and Medium-Sized Businesses (SMBs) with Cash Management: CapStar can significantly grow its business by intensifying its focus on providing comprehensive cash management services to small and medium-sized businesses. These services, including remote deposit, treasury management, and fraud prevention tools, are critical for SMBs to efficiently manage their finances. By offering tailored and user-friendly solutions, CapStar can attract new business clients and deepen relationships with existing ones, leading to increased deposit balances and fee income. This is an ongoing opportunity, as SMBs continuously seek efficient financial tools to support their operations and growth.

What Opportunities Does CSTR Have?

  • Expansion of digital banking services to attract younger demographics and enhance customer convenience.
  • Growth in wealth management services for high-net-worth individuals within its operating region.
  • Strategic partnerships or acquisitions with smaller community banks to expand market reach.
  • Capitalizing on continued economic development and population growth in Tennessee to increase loan demand.

What Threats Does CSTR Face?

  • Fluctuations in interest rates impacting net interest margin and loan demand.
  • Increased competition from larger national banks and emerging fintech companies.
  • Potential for economic downturns leading to higher loan defaults and credit losses.
  • Evolving regulatory landscape and compliance costs impacting profitability and operational flexibility.

What Are CSTR's Competitive Advantages?

  • Strong regional focus and local market expertise in Tennessee, fostering deep customer relationships.
  • Diversified service offerings, including private banking and wealth management, catering to a broad client base.
  • Established brand and reputation within its primary operating markets since its founding in 2007.
  • Personalized customer service approach, which can differentiate it from larger national banks.
  • Existing digital banking infrastructure providing convenience and accessibility to clients.

What Does CSTR Do?

CapStar Financial Holdings, Inc. functions as the parent company for CapStar Bank, a regional financial institution founded in 2007 and headquartered in Nashville, Tennessee. The company has evolved to provide a comprehensive array of banking services tailored for both consumer and corporate customers, primarily serving the Tennessee market within the United States. Its core offerings include a variety of deposit products, such as demand deposits, interest-bearing transaction accounts, money market accounts, time and savings deposits, certificates of deposit, and CDARS reciprocal products, catering to diverse client needs for liquidity and savings. Beyond deposits, CapStar Bank is a significant provider of lending solutions, encompassing commercial and consumer real estate loans, construction and land development loans, commercial and industrial loans, consumer loans, and Paycheck Protection Program (PPP) loans. The company further diversifies its revenue streams and client services through mortgage banking products, assisting individuals with home financing needs. A key differentiator is its private banking and wealth management services, specifically designed for the owners and operators of business clients and other high-net-worth individuals, offering personalized financial guidance and solutions. Additionally, CapStar provides correspondent banking services to other community banks, extending its reach and influence within the financial ecosystem. To meet modern banking demands, the company also offers a suite of digital and convenience services, including telephone and online banking, direct deposit, mobile banking, safe deposit box facilities, remote deposit capabilities, and essential cash management services for individuals, as well well as small and medium-sized businesses, reinforcing its commitment to accessibility and efficiency for its customer base.

What Products and Services Does CSTR Offer?

  • Operates as a bank holding company for CapStar Bank, primarily serving customers in Tennessee, United States.
  • Provides a range of deposit products including demand, interest-bearing transaction, money market, time, and savings accounts.
  • Offers various loan types such as commercial and consumer real estate, construction and land development, commercial and industrial, and consumer loans.
  • Delivers mortgage banking products and services to assist clients with home financing.
  • Offers private banking and wealth management services for high-net-worth individuals and business owners.
  • Provides correspondent banking services to other community banks.
  • Facilitates digital banking through telephone, online, and mobile banking platforms.
  • Offers cash management services, direct deposit, safe deposit boxes, and remote deposit for individuals and businesses.

How Does CSTR Make Money?

  • Generates interest income primarily from its diverse loan portfolio, including commercial, real estate, and consumer loans.
  • Earns non-interest income through fees from services such as mortgage banking, wealth management, and cash management.
  • Attracts and manages customer deposits, utilizing these funds for lending activities and generating net interest margin.
  • Provides correspondent banking services to other financial institutions, generating fee-based revenue.
  • Manages a diversified portfolio of assets and liabilities to optimize profitability while managing risk.

What Industry Does CSTR Operate In?

CapStar Financial Holdings, Inc. operates within the highly competitive Banks - Regional industry, a segment of the broader Financial Services sector. Regional banks like CapStar typically focus on serving specific geographic markets, building strong local relationships with businesses and consumers. The industry is characterized by its sensitivity to interest rate changes, economic cycles, and regulatory environments. Current market trends include an increasing demand for digital banking solutions, consolidation among smaller institutions, and a focus on personalized customer service to differentiate from larger national banks. CapStar's strategic positioning in Tennessee allows it to capitalize on local economic growth, while its diversified offerings, from commercial loans to wealth management, enable it to compete effectively against both larger financial institutions and smaller community banks by offering a comprehensive suite of services tailored to its regional clientele.

Who Are CSTR's Key Customers?

  • Individual consumers seeking deposit accounts, consumer loans, and mortgage banking services.
  • Small and medium-sized businesses requiring commercial loans, cash management, and treasury services.
  • Owners and operators of businesses, along with other high-net-worth individuals, utilizing private banking and wealth management services.
  • Other community banks that leverage CapStar's correspondent banking services.
  • Real estate developers and investors seeking construction and land development financing.
AI Confidence: 70% Updated: Jun 15, 2026

Company Profile

CapStar Financial Holdings, Inc. operates in the Banks - Regional industry within the Financial Services sector. It is headquartered in Nashville, US. The company is led by CEO Timothy K. Schools. CSTR has traded publicly since 2016.

CapStar Financial Holdings, Inc. (CSTR) Valuation Context

Valued at $419M, CSTR is classified as a small-cap stock. Relative to its peer group, CSTR's quantitative score of 62/100 is below the peer average of 93/100.

ROE 8%Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for CapStar Financial Holdings, Inc. stands at 8.3%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 0.9%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. CSTR trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 14.27, below the Financial Services sector average of ~18x. Its free cash flow yield is 5.8%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 0.19 means current liabilities exceed short-term assets, a liquidity point worth watching. Its earnings yield is 7.0%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

F-Score 7/9Financial Health

CapStar Financial Holdings, Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — signaling solid underlying fundamentals. Its Altman Z-Score of -0.18 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.

CSTR Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

P/E (TTM)
14.3
Return on Equity (TTM)
+8.3%
Current Ratio
0.2
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
7.2

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Recent insider buying suggests confidence in the company's future performance, indicating that executives believe in the growth potential.
  • Community sentiment has leaned positive lately, with discussions highlighting the company's strong regional presence and customer loyalty.
  • Analysts have noted improvements in loan growth, which could signal a strengthening financial position and increased profitability.
  • The banking sector's recovery from recent challenges has led to a more favorable outlook for financial institutions like CapStar.

Bear Case

  • Concerns about rising interest rates could impact loan demand and profitability, creating uncertainty around future earnings.
  • Some community members express skepticism over the company's ability to compete with larger banks, citing potential market share losses.
  • Recent regulatory changes in the banking sector have raised questions about compliance costs and operational challenges for smaller institutions.
  • Market perception has been cautious, with some analysts warning of potential headwinds in the economic environment that could affect financial performance.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · March 2026

CSTR Latest News

CSTR Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for CSTR.

Price Targets

Wall Street price target analysis for CSTR.

CSTR MoonshotScore

62/100

What does this score mean?

The MoonshotScore rates CSTR 0-100 on quantitative fundamentals — growth, financial health, valuation, momentum, and risk.

Leadership: Timothy K. Schools

Chief Executive Officer

Timothy K. Schools serves as the Chief Executive Officer of CapStar Financial Holdings, Inc., overseeing the strategic direction and operational performance of the company and its subsidiary, CapStar Bank. With a career likely spanning several decades in the financial services industry, Mr. Schools is expected to possess extensive experience in banking operations, risk management, and strategic growth initiatives. His leadership is critical in navigating the complexities of the regional banking sector, ensuring compliance, and fostering a culture of client-centric service. His background would typically include senior executive roles at other financial institutions, demonstrating a deep understanding of market dynamics and financial stewardship.

Track Record: Under Timothy K. Schools' leadership, CapStar Financial Holdings, Inc. has managed its operations with a team of 360 employees, focusing on delivering a broad range of banking services to its Tennessee customer base. His tenure has likely involved strategic decisions aimed at diversifying the loan portfolio, expanding into wealth management, and enhancing digital banking capabilities. Key achievements would include maintaining a competitive position in the regional market, adapting to changing economic conditions, and fostering growth in both commercial and consumer segments, contributing to the company's financial metrics such as its 16.5% profit margin.

Common Questions About CSTR (Financial Services)

What does the AI Score mean for CSTR?

CSTR holds an AI Score of 62/100 (Grade: B+). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. CapStar Financial Holdings, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for CapStar Bank, providing a comprehensive suite of banking services to consumer and corporate clients primarily within …

What does CapStar Financial Holdings, Inc. do?

CapStar Financial Holdings, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for CapStar Bank, a regional financial institution based in Nashville, Tennessee. The company provides a comprehensive suite of banking and financial services to both individual consumers and corporate clients primarily within Tennessee.

What is CapStar Financial Holdings, Inc.'s credit quality and risk management approach?

CapStar Financial Holdings, Inc.'s credit quality and risk management approach are central to its operations as a regional bank. The company's loan portfolio is diversified across commercial and consumer real estate, construction and land development, commercial and industrial, and consumer loans.

How is CapStar Financial Holdings, Inc. adapting to fintech disruption?

CapStar Financial Holdings, Inc. is adapting to fintech disruption by integrating and enhancing its digital banking capabilities. The company already provides essential digital services such as telephone and online banking, direct deposit, and mobile banking, indicating an existing foundation for digital engagement.

What are the main risks for CSTR?

The main risks for CapStar Financial Holdings, Inc. (CSTR) are multifaceted, inherent to the regional banking industry. Interest rate fluctuations pose a significant risk, as changes can compress net interest margins, affecting profitability.

What are the key factors to evaluate for CSTR?

CapStar Financial Holdings, Inc. (CSTR) holds an AI score of 62/100 (moderate). P/E: 14.3x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Not financial advice.

How frequently does CSTR data refresh on this page?

CSTR's price was last updated on Jul 23, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours — it is not a real-time exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven CSTR's recent stock price performance?

CapStar Financial Holdings, Inc. (CSTR) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Diversified loan portfolio spanning commercial, real estate, and consumer segments. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider CSTR overvalued or undervalued right now?

CapStar Financial Holdings, Inc. (CSTR) trades at 14.3x earnings. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated AI Score refreshed daily
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

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