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Emergent BioSolutions Inc. (EBS)

$8.20 $-0.08 (-0.97%) |Weak · 34
Bottom line: SELL — our Council read (34/100) and AI Score (34/100) broadly agree.
MCap: $423.09M| P/E Ratio: 8.0| Vol: 290.2K| Target: $12.00 (+46.3%)| 52-wk range: $5.62 – $14.06
Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.

Emergent BioSolutions Inc. (EBS) trades at $8.20 with AI Score 34/100 (Grade D). Emergent BioSolutions Inc. specializes in preparedness and response solutions for public health threats. Market cap: $423.09M, Sector: Healthcare.

Price live · AI analysis from May 10, 2026
Emergent BioSolutions Inc. specializes in preparedness and response solutions for public health threats. The company develops and manufactures vaccines, therapeutics, and devices for various biodefense and emerging infectious diseases.

EBS stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $12.00 for Emergent BioSolutions Inc., suggesting 46.3% upside from the current price of $8.20. The AI MoonshotScore is 34/100, indicating a bearish outlook. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
SELL 34/100 · D

EBS: 1/1 perspectives are bearish.

How is this calculated? →
Council Score · 8 perspectives · See tabs for details →

Emergent BioSolutions Inc. (EBS) Healthcare & Pipeline Overview

CEOJoseph C. Papa Jr.
Employees900
HeadquartersGaithersburg, MD, US
IPO Year2006

Emergent BioSolutions Inc. provides specialized preparedness and response solutions for public health threats, focusing on vaccines, therapeutics, and devices. With a portfolio addressing anthrax, smallpox, and opioid overdose, the company serves government and commercial markets, navigating a complex regulatory landscape within the specialty pharmaceutical sector.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NASDAQ Analysis: May 10, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for EBS?

Emergent BioSolutions Inc. presents a mixed investment case. The company's focus on public health threats provides a degree of revenue stability through government contracts, particularly for products like BioThrax and ACAM2000. However, the company's negative profit margin of -1.3% and high beta of 2.36 indicate significant financial risk and market volatility. Growth catalysts include the development and potential approval of new products like AP003 (Naloxone nasal spray) and AV7909 (anthrax vaccine). The company's contract development and manufacturing services also offer growth opportunities. Investors should closely monitor the company's ability to improve profitability, manage its debt, and successfully navigate the regulatory landscape.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

EBS Key Highlights

  • Market capitalization of $423.09M, reflecting its position as a smaller player in the specialty pharmaceutical market.
  • Gross margin of 44.4%, indicating a solid ability to control production costs, though this needs to translate to overall profitability.
  • Beta of 2.36, suggesting high volatility compared to the broader market, potentially due to its reliance on government contracts and regulatory approvals.
  • Focus on public health threats provides a degree of revenue stability through government contracts.
  • 900 employees, reflecting a significant operational footprint for its market capitalization.

Who Are EBS's Competitors?

EBS is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap AI Score
JNJ Johnson & Johnson $258.13 -1.87% $621.38B 90
MRK Merck & Co., Inc. $126.78 -2.15% $313.12B 83
PFE Pfizer Inc. $23.73 -2.43% $135.25B 64
ALVO Alvotech $3.51 -2.77% $1.19B 69
AERI Aerie Pharmaceuticals, Inc. $15.25 +0.00% 68
KIN Kindred Biosciences, Inc. $9.25 +0.11% 68
CNVCF BioHarvest Sciences Inc. $6.30 +0.00% $109.16M 66
ALIM Alimera Sciences, Inc. $5.54 -0.18% $301.29M 60

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are EBS's Key Strengths?

  • Specialized expertise in public health threats.
  • Established relationships with government agencies.
  • Portfolio of approved vaccines and therapeutics.
  • Contract development and manufacturing capabilities.

What Are EBS's Weaknesses?

  • Negative profit margin.
  • High debt levels.
  • Reliance on government contracts.
  • Exposure to regulatory risks.

What Could Drive EBS Stock Higher?

  • Potential FDA approval of AP003 (Naloxone multidose nasal spray) within the next 12-18 months.
  • Continued government contracts for BioThrax and ACAM2000.
  • Expansion of contract development and manufacturing services (CDMO) business.

What Are the Key Risks for EBS?

  • Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of 1.26 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).
  • Negative return on equity (-1.6%) — the business is not currently generating profit on shareholder capital.
  • Regulatory setbacks for new product approvals.
  • Competition from larger pharmaceutical companies.
  • Changes in government funding priorities for biodefense.
  • High debt levels impacting financial flexibility.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for EBS?

  • Expansion of NARCAN Sales: The market for opioid overdose reversal medications is expanding due to the ongoing opioid crisis. Emergent BioSolutions can capitalize on this by increasing the sales and distribution of NARCAN nasal spray. The opioid overdose market is estimated to reach several billion dollars annually, providing a substantial growth opportunity. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Development and Approval of New Products: Emergent BioSolutions has several products in its pipeline, including AP003 (Naloxone multidose nasal spray) and AV7909 (anthrax vaccine). Successful development and regulatory approval of these products could significantly boost revenue. The market for new vaccines and therapeutics is substantial, with potential revenues in the hundreds of millions of dollars per product. Timeline: 2-5 years.
  • Growth in Contract Development and Manufacturing Services (CDMO): The CDMO market is growing as pharmaceutical companies increasingly outsource manufacturing and development activities. Emergent BioSolutions can expand its CDMO business by leveraging its expertise in drug substance and product manufacturing. The global CDMO market is projected to reach over $100 billion by 2026. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Government Contracts for Biodefense Products: Governments worldwide are investing in biodefense preparedness, creating opportunities for Emergent BioSolutions to secure contracts for its vaccines and therapeutics. The market for biodefense products is driven by concerns over bioterrorism and emerging infectious diseases. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • International Expansion: Emergent BioSolutions primarily operates in the United States. Expanding its operations to international markets could provide significant growth opportunities. The global market for vaccines and therapeutics is substantial, with potential revenues in the billions of dollars. Timeline: 3-5 years.

What Opportunities Does EBS Have?

  • Expansion of NARCAN sales.
  • Development and approval of new products.
  • Growth in contract development and manufacturing services.
  • International expansion.

What Threats Does EBS Face?

  • Competition from larger pharmaceutical companies.
  • Patent expirations.
  • Changes in government funding priorities.
  • Regulatory setbacks.

What Are EBS's Competitive Advantages?

  • Specialized expertise in biodefense and emerging infectious diseases.
  • Long-standing relationships with government agencies.
  • Proprietary manufacturing capabilities for vaccines and therapeutics.
  • Regulatory approvals and market exclusivity for key products.

What Does EBS Do?

Emergent BioSolutions Inc. was founded in 1998 with a mission to safeguard and enhance public health by providing specialized solutions for public health threats (PHTs). Headquartered in Gaithersburg, Maryland, the company has evolved into a key player in the biodefense and emerging infectious disease space. Its core business revolves around developing, manufacturing, and delivering vaccines, therapeutics, and devices that address accidental, deliberate, and naturally occurring PHTs. Key products include BioThrax (anthrax vaccine), ACAM2000 (smallpox vaccine), and NARCAN (naloxone nasal spray for opioid overdose). The company also offers contract development and manufacturing services (CDMO), leveraging its expertise in drug substance and product manufacturing. Emergent BioSolutions serves a diverse customer base, including government agencies like the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, as well as commercial entities. The company's strategic focus on public health preparedness positions it within a niche market, requiring continuous innovation and adaptation to evolving threats.

What Products and Services Does EBS Offer?

  • Develops and manufactures vaccines for diseases like anthrax and smallpox.
  • Produces therapeutics for botulism and other public health threats.
  • Offers NARCAN nasal spray for emergency treatment of opioid overdose.
  • Provides contract development and manufacturing services (CDMO) to other pharmaceutical companies.
  • Develops and manufactures devices, such as auto-injectors, for emergency medical use.
  • Focuses on preparedness and response solutions for chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear, and explosive (CBRNE) threats.

How Does EBS Make Money?

  • Develops and manufactures vaccines, therapeutics, and devices for public health threats.
  • Sells products to government agencies and commercial customers.
  • Provides contract development and manufacturing services (CDMO) to other pharmaceutical companies.
  • Secures government contracts for biodefense preparedness.

What Industry Does EBS Operate In?

Emergent BioSolutions Inc. operates within the specialty pharmaceutical and biodefense industry, a sector characterized by high regulatory hurdles and significant government involvement. The market for vaccines and therapeutics addressing public health threats is driven by government preparedness initiatives and concerns over emerging infectious diseases. The competitive landscape includes both large pharmaceutical companies and smaller, specialized players. Emergent BioSolutions differentiates itself through its focus on public health threats and its contract development and manufacturing services. The industry is subject to evolving regulatory requirements and technological advancements, requiring companies to invest in research and development and maintain strong relationships with government agencies.

Who Are EBS's Key Customers?

  • U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (HHS)
  • Other government agencies
  • Hospitals and healthcare providers
  • Commercial pharmaceutical companies (for CDMO services)
AI Confidence: 71% Updated: May 10, 2026

Company Profile

Emergent BioSolutions Inc. operates in the Biotechnology industry within the Healthcare sector. It is headquartered in Gaithersburg, US. The company is led by CEO Joseph C. Papa Jr.. EBS has traded publicly since 2006.

F-Score 4/9Financial Health

Emergent BioSolutions Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 4/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 1.26 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.

ROE -2%Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Emergent BioSolutions Inc. stands at -1.6%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is -0.7%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. Its free cash flow yield is 33.0%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 4.29 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is -2.1%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

EBS Valuation & Market Position

With a $423.09M market cap, Emergent BioSolutions Inc. sits in the small-cap segment of the market. Relative to its peer group, EBS's quantitative score of 34/100 is below the peer average of 75/100.

FY2026 estForward Outlook

Wall Street analysts project Emergent BioSolutions Inc. revenue of about $733.0M for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $0.33.

Net buyingInsider Activity

Over the past six months, Emergent BioSolutions Inc. insiders filed 30 SEC Form 4 transactions — 11 sales and 19 purchases. On net that is roughly 360K shares acquired (about $227K) — insiders putting money in tends to read as conviction.

EBS Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
-28.8%
Net Income Growth (FY)
+127.6%
EPS Growth (FY)
+127.2%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
+338.0%
Return on Equity (TTM)
-1.6%
Current Ratio
4.3
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
4.9

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Recent insider buying suggests confidence in the company's future prospects, indicating that executives believe in the potential for growth.
  • Community sentiment has shifted positively, with discussions highlighting the company's innovative approaches to vaccine development.
  • Emergent's partnerships with government agencies for public health initiatives have bolstered its reputation and market position.
  • Recent announcements regarding new product developments have generated excitement among investors and the trading community.

Bear Case

  • Concerns about regulatory scrutiny have surfaced, particularly around previous product quality issues that could impact reputation.
  • Social sentiment has shown skepticism, with some community members expressing doubts about the sustainability of recent growth trends.
  • Emergent's reliance on government contracts may pose risks, especially in a changing political landscape where funding priorities could shift.
  • Recent market developments have raised questions about competition in the biopharmaceutical space, potentially affecting Emergent's market share.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · January 2026

EBS Latest News

EBS Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for EBS.

Price Targets

Consensus target: $12.00

EBS MoonshotScore

34/100

What does this score mean?

The MoonshotScore rates EBS's growth potential on a scale of 0-100 across multiple factors including innovation, market disruption, financial health, and momentum.

Leadership: Joseph C. Papa Jr.

Chief Executive Officer

Joseph C. Papa Jr. is an accomplished pharmaceutical executive with extensive experience in leading and growing healthcare companies. Prior to joining Emergent BioSolutions, he served in leadership roles at various pharmaceutical companies, including as Chairman and CEO of Bausch Health Companies Inc. He has a proven track record of driving revenue growth, improving operational efficiency, and executing strategic acquisitions. Papa holds a Bachelor of Science degree in Pharmacy from the University of Connecticut and an MBA from Temple University.

Track Record: Since joining Emergent BioSolutions, Joseph C. Papa Jr. has focused on streamlining operations, reducing debt, and driving growth through strategic initiatives. He has overseen the development and commercialization of new products and has worked to strengthen the company's relationships with government agencies. His leadership is aimed at positioning Emergent BioSolutions for long-term success in the public health preparedness market.

EBS Healthcare Stock FAQ

What does Emergent BioSolutions Inc. do?

Emergent BioSolutions Inc. is a life sciences company focused on providing preparedness and response solutions for public health threats. The company develops, manufactures, and commercializes vaccines, therapeutics, and devices that address accidental, deliberate, and naturally occurring public health emergencies. Its key products include vaccines for anthrax and smallpox, as well as NARCAN nasal spray for opioid overdose reversal. Emergent BioSolutions also offers contract development and manufacturing services to other pharmaceutical companies, leveraging its specialized expertise in biodefense and emerging infectious diseases.

What do analysts say about EBS stock?

Analyst coverage of Emergent BioSolutions Inc. (EBS) is mixed, reflecting the company's complex financial situation and market position. Some analysts highlight the company's potential for growth in the opioid overdose reversal market and its established relationships with government agencies. However, concerns remain regarding the company's high debt levels, negative profit margin, and exposure to regulatory risks. Valuation metrics vary, with some analysts citing potential upside based on future product approvals and growth in the CDMO business. Overall, analyst consensus suggests a cautious approach, with a focus on monitoring the company's ability to improve profitability and manage its debt.

What are the main risks for EBS?

Emergent BioSolutions Inc. faces several key risks, including regulatory setbacks for new product approvals, competition from larger pharmaceutical companies, and changes in government funding priorities for biodefense. The company's high debt levels also pose a significant risk, limiting its financial flexibility and potentially impacting its ability to invest in research and development. Additionally, patent expirations on key products could erode revenue and market share. Successfully navigating these risks will be crucial for Emergent BioSolutions to achieve its long-term growth objectives.

What are the key factors to evaluate for EBS?

Emergent BioSolutions Inc. (EBS) holds an AI score of 34/100 (low). P/E: 8.0x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $12.00 (+46%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does EBS data refresh on this page?

EBS prices update in real time during U.S. market hours. Fundamentals refresh after quarterly filings; analyst ratings and AI insights update daily; news is aggregated continuously.

What has driven EBS's recent stock price performance?

Emergent BioSolutions Inc. (EBS) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Specialized expertise in public health threats. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider EBS overvalued or undervalued right now?

Emergent BioSolutions Inc. (EBS) trades at 8.0x earnings. Analysts target $12.00 (+46%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

What research should beginners do before buying EBS?

Before investing in Emergent BioSolutions Inc. (EBS), research these four areas: (1) the company's revenue model and competitive position (see Company Overview), (2) financial health through revenue growth, margins, and cash flow (see MoonshotScore), (3) what Wall Street analysts recommend and their price targets (see Analyst tab), and (4) specific risk factors that could impact the stock (see Risk Factors section).

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated AI Score refreshed daily
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Information is based on available data and may be subject to change.
  • Financial metrics are based on the most recent available data.
Data Sources

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