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Erasca, Inc. (ERAS) Stock Analysis

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$16.02 -$0.005 (-0.03%) |Fair · 64
Erasca, Inc. (ERAS) bottom line: signals are mixed — the Council read leans Bullish Lean (56/100) while the AI fundamental score is 64/100 (grade B+); the two lenses disagree, so weigh the breakdown below. Strongest signal: Izzy Englander bullish · Biggest watch-out: Seth Klarman bearish.Educational signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Compare sector peers → · Read the method →
MCap: $5.56B| Vol: 585.5K| Target: $22.50 (+40.4%) (Aug 25, 2026) (estimate, not advice)| 52-wk range: $1.53 – $24.28

Market cap $5.56B is the value of all shares combined. Beta 1.05: the stock has moved about 5% more than the S&P 500.

Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated May 4, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR

Quick Answer

Erasca, Inc. (ERAS) trades at $16.02 with MoonshotScore 64/100 (Grade B+). Erasca, Inc. is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on developing therapies for RAS/MAPK pathway-driven cancers. Market cap: $5.56B, Sector: Healthcare.

Price as of Sep 11, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 4, 2026
Erasca, Inc. is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on developing therapies for RAS/MAPK pathway-driven cancers. Their pipeline includes ERAS-007, ERAS-601, and ERAS-801, targeting various cancers.

ERAS stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $22.50 for Erasca, Inc., suggesting 40.4% upside from the current price of $16.02. The AI MoonshotScore is 64/100, in the Fair band (45-64) — a research signal, not a recommendation. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the ERAS film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min

These figures come from statements filed 12 months ago — the most recent this company has published.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Bullish Lean 56/100 · B

ERAS: the 3 scored disciplines are evenly split. Dominant signal: Izzy Englander bullish.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Five-pillar engine · 64/100
Business Quality
Weak Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Strong Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Neutral Am I paying a fair price?
Growth Durability
Moderate Is the growth real and likely to last?
Momentum
Strong Is the market already moving on this?

Strongest side: Momentum (9/10, Strong). Weakest side: Business Quality (4/10, Weak).

Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Dalio-style lens (simulated)Ray Dalio
Favorable read
Griffin-style lens (simulated)Ken Griffin
Neutral read
Simons-style lens (simulated)Jim Simons
Favorable read
Englander-style lens (simulated)Izzy Englander
Favorable read
Klarman-style lens (simulated)Seth Klarman
Unfavorable read
Moon AI lens (model)
Unfavorable read
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Weak
Margin of Safety
Fairly Valued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →
The lenses are modelled on the published principles of the investors named. We are not affiliated with them, they have not endorsed this, and it is not their opinion of this stock.

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Erasca, Inc. (ERAS) Healthcare & Pipeline Overview

CEOJonathan E. Lim
Employees103
HeadquartersSan Diego, CA, US
IPO Year2021

Erasca, Inc. is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on discovering, developing, and commercializing therapies for patients with RAS/MAPK pathway-driven cancers. The company's lead candidates target non-small cell lung cancer, colorectal cancer, acute myeloid leukemia, advanced solid tumors, and recurrent glioblastoma multiforme, positioning them in the competitive oncology therapeutics market.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NASDAQ Analysis: May 4, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for ERAS?

AI-written as of May 4, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Erasca, Inc. presents a notable research candidate within the biotechnology sector, driven by its focus on RAS/MAPK pathway-driven cancers and its pipeline of targeted therapies. The company's lead candidates, including ERAS-007, ERAS-601, and ERAS-801, address significant unmet medical needs in oncology. Key value drivers include successful clinical trial outcomes, regulatory approvals, and potential commercialization of these therapies. The company's market capitalization stands at $5.56B as of 2026-05-04. Upcoming clinical trial data releases for ERAS-007 and ERAS-601 could serve as positive catalysts. Potential risks include clinical trial failures, regulatory hurdles, and competition from other companies developing similar therapies. The company's beta of 1.05 indicates market correlation.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

ERAS Key Highlights

AI-written as of May 4, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Focus on RAS/MAPK pathway-driven cancers, a significant area of unmet medical need.

  • Lead candidates ERAS-007, ERAS-601, and ERAS-801 target various cancers, diversifying the pipeline.
  • Clinical-stage company with ongoing clinical trials, indicating progress towards potential commercialization.
  • Market capitalization of $5.56B reflects investor confidence in the company's potential.
  • Headquartered in San Diego, a hub for biotechnology innovation.

Who Are ERAS's Competitors?

ERAS is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap MoonshotScore
MRTX Mirati Therapeutics, Inc. $58.70 -0.17% $4.12B
AMGN Amgen Inc. $382.47 -2.25% $206B 815-pillar
LLY Eli Lilly and Company $1122.21 -0.07% $1.06T 965-pillar
ORKA Oruka Therapeutics, Inc. $92.38 +0.80% $5.57B 715-pillar
LGND Ligand Pharmaceuticals Incorporated $284.47 -1.65% $5.70B 955-pillar
LQDA Liquidia Corporation $67.71 -0.21% $6.02B 965-pillar
ACAD ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Inc. $27.74 +0.22% $4.75B 805-pillar
EWTX Edgewise Therapeutics, Inc. $42.90 -1.13% $4.62B 665-pillar

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are ERAS's Key Strengths?

Focus on a specific and well-defined area of oncology (RAS/MAPK pathway).

  • Promising pipeline of drug candidates in clinical development.
  • Experienced management team with expertise in drug discovery and development.
  • Strong intellectual property position.

What Are ERAS's Weaknesses?

Clinical-stage company with no currently approved products.

  • High cash burn rate associated with drug development.
  • Reliance on successful clinical trial outcomes.
  • Competition from larger pharmaceutical companies.

What Could Drive ERAS Stock Higher?

Clinical trial data releases for ERAS-007 in non-small cell lung cancer.

  • Clinical trial data releases for ERAS-601 in advanced or metastatic solid tumors.
  • Enrollment of patients in ongoing clinical trials for ERAS-007, ERAS-601, and ERAS-801.
  • Potential for strategic partnerships or collaborations to accelerate development.
  • Regulatory submissions and potential approvals for lead drug candidates.

What Are the Key Risks for ERAS?

Negative return on equity (-80.4%) — the business is not currently generating profit on shareholder capital.

  • Weak fundamentals — a Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 flags soft profitability, leverage or efficiency.
  • Clinical trial failures or delays could negatively impact the company's pipeline.
  • Regulatory hurdles and delays in the approval process could delay commercialization.
  • Competition from other companies developing similar therapies could limit market share.
  • High cash burn rate associated with drug development requires ongoing funding.
  • Changes in the regulatory landscape could impact the company's business.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for ERAS?

  • Expansion of ERAS-007 into additional cancer types: ERAS-007, currently in development for non-small cell lung cancer, colorectal cancer, and acute myeloid leukemia, could be expanded to treat other cancers driven by ERK1/2. The global market for lung cancer therapeutics is projected to reach $38.9 billion by 2027. Successful expansion would significantly increase ERAS-007's market potential, providing a substantial growth opportunity for Erasca.
  • Advancement of ERAS-601 through clinical trials: ERAS-601, an oral SHP2 inhibitor, is being developed for patients with advanced or metastatic solid tumors. Positive results from ongoing clinical trials could lead to regulatory approval and commercialization. The market for solid tumor therapies is estimated to be worth billions of dollars, offering a significant revenue opportunity for Erasca upon successful development and launch of ERAS-601.
  • Development of ERAS-801 for recurrent glioblastoma multiforme: ERAS-801, a central nervous system-penetrant EGFR inhibitor, targets patients with recurrent glioblastoma multiforme. This specific focus addresses a critical unmet need in a difficult-to-treat cancer. The market for glioblastoma therapeutics is growing, and successful development of ERAS-801 could provide Erasca with a valuable niche product and a strong growth driver.
  • Strategic partnerships and collaborations: Erasca could pursue strategic partnerships and collaborations with other pharmaceutical companies or research institutions to accelerate the development and commercialization of its pipeline. These partnerships could provide access to additional funding, expertise, and resources, enhancing Erasca's ability to bring its therapies to market more quickly and efficiently. The value of such partnerships can be significant, often involving upfront payments, milestone payments, and royalties on future sales.
  • Expansion into new therapeutic areas: While currently focused on RAS/MAPK pathway-driven cancers, Erasca could expand its research and development efforts into other therapeutic areas within oncology. This diversification would broaden the company's pipeline and reduce its reliance on a single therapeutic pathway. The oncology market is vast and diverse, offering numerous opportunities for companies with innovative approaches to cancer treatment.

What Are ERAS's Competitive Advantages?

  • Proprietary drug candidates targeting specific cancer pathways.
  • Strong intellectual property portfolio protecting its therapies.
  • Experienced team of scientists and drug developers.
  • Focus on a specific niche within the oncology market.

What Does ERAS Do?

Erasca, Inc., founded in 2018 and headquartered in San Diego, California, is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company dedicated to developing innovative therapies for patients suffering from RAS/MAPK pathway-driven cancers. Recognizing the significant unmet medical need in this area, Erasca is focused on creating targeted treatments that can improve patient outcomes. The company's approach involves discovering, developing, and ultimately commercializing novel therapies designed to address the underlying mechanisms of these cancers. Erasca's pipeline features several promising drug candidates, including ERAS-007, an oral inhibitor of ERK1/2, which is being developed for the treatment of non-small cell lung cancer, colorectal cancer, and acute myeloid leukemia. ERAS-601, an oral SHP2 inhibitor, is another key candidate targeting patients with advanced or metastatic solid tumors. Additionally, Erasca is developing ERAS-801, a central nervous system-penetrant EGFR inhibitor, specifically for patients with recurrent glioblastoma multiforme. These candidates represent Erasca's commitment to addressing a range of cancers with significant therapeutic potential. With a team of experienced scientists and drug developers, Erasca is working to advance its pipeline through clinical trials and ultimately bring new treatment options to patients in need.

What Products and Services Does ERAS Offer?

  • Discovers and develops therapies for RAS/MAPK pathway-driven cancers.
  • Focuses on targeted treatments to improve patient outcomes in oncology.
  • Develops oral inhibitors for various cancer types.
  • Conducts clinical trials to evaluate the safety and efficacy of its drug candidates.
  • Seeks regulatory approval for its therapies from agencies like the FDA.
  • Commercializes approved therapies to reach patients in need.

How Does ERAS Make Money?

  • Develops and patents novel cancer therapies.
  • Out-licenses or partners with larger pharmaceutical companies for commercialization.
  • Generates revenue through sales of approved therapies.
  • Secures funding through venture capital, public offerings, and partnerships.

What Industry Does ERAS Operate In?

Erasca, Inc. operates within the biotechnology industry, specifically focusing on oncology therapeutics. The market for cancer therapies is substantial and growing, driven by an aging population and advancements in cancer research. The competitive landscape includes established pharmaceutical companies and other biotechnology firms developing targeted therapies. Erasca's focus on RAS/MAPK pathway-driven cancers positions it within a niche market with significant potential, as these pathways are implicated in a wide range of cancers. The biotechnology industry is characterized by high risk and high reward, with successful drug development leading to significant financial returns.

Who Are ERAS's Key Customers?

  • Patients with RAS/MAPK pathway-driven cancers.
  • Oncologists and other healthcare professionals who treat cancer patients.
  • Hospitals and cancer centers that administer cancer therapies.
  • Pharmaceutical companies that may partner with Erasca for commercialization.
Model self-rating on this text: 83% (not a measure of the evidence) Updated: May 4, 2026

Research confidence

High 100/100

Broad, current evidence sits behind this analysis.

  • Scored on 89% of our measures
  • Price is current
  • Latest filing 31 days ago
  • Covered by analysts

Why 64?

Measured against companies in the same sector. The figures below are the factor contributions the scoring engine itself produced.

What is helping

  • +0.60 Bankruptcy-risk score (Financial Strength)
  • +0.36 12-month price trend (Momentum)
  • +0.30 Short-term liquidity (Financial Strength)

What is holding it back

  • -0.27 Financial-health checklist (Financial Strength)
  • -0.21 Return on assets (Business Quality)
  • -0.17 Return on equity (Business Quality)

Contribution = how far the company sits from its sector on that measure, weighted by how much the pillar counts. Not investment advice. How the score is built →

MoonshotScore History

Recorded daily since 2026-08-23 · 19 snapshots

2026-08-23 66
2026-08-26 65
2026-08-29 66
2026-09-01 66
2026-09-04 64
2026-09-07 64
2026-09-10 63

What changed?

The grade moved from 66 to 63 (-3).

What moved it up or down:

  • -6 Momentum
  • -3 Valuation

Held back by:

  • +4 Financial Safety
  • +2 Growth Durability

Over the same 18 days the stock moved -4.2%.

Net buying

Insider Activity

Over the past six months, Erasca, Inc. insiders filed 10 SEC Form 4 transactions — 2 sales and 8 purchases. On net that is roughly 1.4M shares acquired (about $25.1M) — insiders putting money in tends to read as conviction.

Quarterly Financial Performance: Erasca, Inc.

Revenue for Erasca, Inc. came in at $0 during Q2 FY2026. The company recorded a net loss of $44.1M, with diluted EPS of $-0.14. Quarter-over-quarter revenue has been mixed, typical for a mid-cap company operating in Healthcare. Across the four most recent quarters, ERAS averaged $-0.24 in diluted EPS.

ERAS Valuation & Market Position

With a $5.56B market cap, Erasca, Inc. sits in the mid-cap segment of the market. Analyst price targets span from $16.00 to $30.00, with a consensus of $22.50. At the current price of $16.02, that implies approximately 40% upside potential. Relative to its peer group, ERAS's quantitative score of 64/100 is below the peer average of 84/100.

ROE -80%

Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Erasca, Inc. stands at -80.4%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is -66.0%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. Its free cash flow yield is -1.6%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 8.29 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is -5.2%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

F-Score 1/9

Financial Health

Erasca, Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 1/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — flagging fundamental weakness worth scrutiny. Its Altman Z-Score of 40.51 places it in the safe zone, indicating low near-term bankruptcy risk.

4/8 beats

Earnings Track Record

Erasca, Inc. has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reported quarters — more hits than misses. Reported results have landed about 50.3% below estimates on average.

Company Profile

Erasca, Inc. operates in the Biotechnology industry within the Healthcare sector. It is headquartered in San Diego, US. The company is led by CEO Jonathan E. Lim. ERAS has traded publicly since 2021.

ERAS Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Net Income Growth (FY)
+23.0%
EPS Growth (FY)
+36.2%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
+27.6%
Return on Equity (TTM)
-80.4%
Current Ratio
8.3

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Focus on a specific and well-defined area of oncology (RAS/MAPK pathway).
  • Promising pipeline of drug candidates in clinical development.
  • Experienced management team with expertise in drug discovery and development.
  • Strong intellectual property position.

Bear Case

  • Clinical-stage company with no currently approved products.
  • High cash burn rate associated with drug development.
  • Reliance on successful clinical trial outcomes.
  • Competition from larger pharmaceutical companies.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · September 2026

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 FY2026 $0 -$44M -$0.14
Q1 FY2026 $0 -$183M -$0.60
Q4 FY2025 $0 -$29M -$0.10
Q3 FY2025 $0 -$31M -$0.11

Q2 FY2026 · filed 11 Aug 2026 · SEC EDGAR →

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

ERAS Latest News

ERAS Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for ERAS.

Price Targets

Low
$16.00
Consensus
$22.50
High
$30.00

Median: $21.50 (+40.4% from current price)

Source: FMP analyst consensus · as of Aug 25, 2026 · an estimate, not advice

ERAS MoonshotScore

64/100

What does this score mean?

MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. ERAS scores 64/100 (Grade B+): the number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Latest Erasca, Inc. Analysis

Leadership: Jonathan E. Lim

CEO

Jonathan E. Lim is the CEO of Erasca, Inc. He has extensive experience in the biopharmaceutical industry, with a proven track record of leading and growing successful companies. Prior to Erasca, he held leadership positions at several other biotechnology firms, where he oversaw drug development programs and strategic initiatives. Lim has a strong background in oncology and a deep understanding of the challenges and opportunities in the field. He is committed to bringing innovative therapies to patients in need.

Track Record: Under Jonathan E. Lim's leadership, Erasca, Inc. has advanced its pipeline of drug candidates through clinical trials and secured significant funding to support its research and development efforts. He has overseen the company's strategic direction and built a strong team of scientists and drug developers. His leadership has been instrumental in positioning Erasca as a leading player in the RAS/MAPK pathway-driven cancer therapeutics market.

What Investors Ask About Erasca, Inc. (ERAS) — Healthcare

What does the AI Score mean for ERAS?

ERAS holds an AI Score of 64/100 (Grade: B+). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers. Erasca, Inc. is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on developing therapies for RAS/MAPK pathway-driven cancers.

Is ERAS a good stock?

Stock Expert AI does not rate ERAS buy, sell or hold. Erasca, Inc. carries a MoonshotScore of 64/100 on the five-pillar engine, a research rating against its peers. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns, what the price assumes, and what would prove you wrong.

What do analysts say about ERAS stock?

As of 2026-05-04, analyst consensus on Erasca, Inc. is not available. Key valuation metrics and growth considerations will depend on the company's clinical trial results, regulatory approvals, and commercialization efforts.

What are the key factors to evaluate for ERAS?

Erasca, Inc. (ERAS) holds a MoonshotScore of 64/100 (moderate). Analysts target $22.50 (+40%). Erasca, Inc. presents a notable research candidate within the biotechnology sector, driven by its focus on RAS/MAPK pathway-driven cancers and its pipeline of targeted therapies. Not financial advice.

How frequently does ERAS data refresh on this page?

ERAS's price was last updated on Sep 11, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours; the quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven ERAS's recent stock price performance?

Erasca, Inc. (ERAS) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Focus on a specific and well-defined area of oncology (RAS/MAPK pathway). See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider ERAS overvalued or undervalued right now?

Erasca, Inc. (ERAS) has no trailing P/E available here, so lean on price-to-sales and cash flow in the Financials tab. Analysts target $22.50 (+40%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Can I buy fractional shares of ERAS?

Yes, most major brokerages offer fractional shares of Erasca, Inc. (ERAS) with no minimum purchase requirement. This means you can invest any dollar amount regardless of the share price. Check your brokerage platform for specific terms, fees, and fractional share availability.

How can I track ERAS's earnings and financial reports?

Erasca, Inc. (ERAS) reports quarterly earnings approximately 4-6 weeks after each fiscal quarter ends. You can track earnings dates, revenue and EPS estimates, and actual results on this page's Financials tab. Earnings surprises (beats or misses) often cause significant short-term price moves. Your brokerage can send alerts for ERAS earnings announcements.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated MoonshotScore as of
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Information is based on available data as of 2026-05-04.
  • Analyst consensus may vary and should be independently verified.
  • Clinical trial outcomes are inherently uncertain.
Data Sources
Financial Modeling Prep (FMP)Stock Expert AI proprietary analysis

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