Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc. (GPMT) Stock Analysis
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.
Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc. (GPMT) trades at $1.13 with AI Score 28/100 (Grade F). Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc. Market cap: $54.2M, Sector: Real estate.
Price as of Aug 22, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 9, 2026GPMT stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $2.28 for Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc., suggesting 101.8% upside from the current price of $1.13. The AI MoonshotScore is 28/100, indicating a bearish outlook. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.
GPMT: 3/3 scored disciplines lean bearish. Dominant signal: Seth Klarman bearish.
How is this calculated? →Why this analysis is different
- A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
- An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
- Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.
Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc. (GPMT) Real Estate Portfolio & Strategy
Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc. (GPMT) is a REIT specializing in senior floating-rate commercial mortgage loans in the U.S., offering transitional financing for property acquisitions, recapitalizations, and renovations. With a focus on debt and debt-like investments, GPMT navigates the commercial real estate market, balancing risk and return.
What Is the Investment Thesis for GPMT?
Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc. presents a mixed investment case. The company's focus on senior floating-rate commercial mortgage loans offers potential upside in a rising interest rate environment. However, the negative profit margin of -29.8% raises concerns about profitability. The dividend yield of 13.61% may attract income-seeking investors, but its sustainability depends on improved financial performance. Key catalysts include strategic deployment of capital and effective management of its loan portfolio. Investors should closely monitor the company's ability to improve its financial metrics and navigate the competitive landscape of the REIT sector. The high beta of 1.76 indicates higher volatility compared to the market, adding another layer of risk.
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis
GPMT Key Highlights
Market capitalization of $54.2M, indicating a relatively small size within the REIT sector.
- Negative profit margin of -29.8%, signaling potential challenges in achieving profitability.
- Gross margin of 44.9%, reflecting the company's ability to generate revenue after deducting the cost of goods sold.
- Dividend yield of 13.61%, which is significantly higher than the industry average, but its sustainability needs to be evaluated.
- Beta of 1.76, suggesting higher volatility compared to the broader market, which may attract risk-tolerant investors.
Who Are GPMT's Competitors?
GPMT is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.
| Company | Price | Change | Market Cap | AI Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BXMT Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. | $14.27 | -0.56% | $2.41B | 43 |
| STAR iStar Inc. | $7.63 | +2.01% | $663M | 42 |
| KREF KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. | $7.58 | +1.34% | $487M | — |
| WMC Western Asset Mortgage Capital Corporation | $9.18 | +4.44% | $55.5M | 63 |
| LOAN Manhattan Bridge Capital, Inc. | $4.08 | +1.24% | $46.6M | 80 |
| SACH Sachem Capital Corp. | $0.83 | +5.97% | $39.7M | 36 |
| LFT Lument Finance Trust, Inc. | $0.67 | +7.91% | $34.9M | 45 |
| BMNM Bimini Capital Management, Inc. | $3.28 | -1.50% | $32.8M | 63 |
AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance
What Are GPMT's Key Strengths?
Focus on senior floating-rate commercial mortgage loans.
- Experienced management team.
- Established presence in the commercial real estate market.
- Ability to provide customized financing solutions.
What Are GPMT's Weaknesses?
Negative profit margin.
- Relatively small market capitalization.
- High beta indicating higher volatility.
- Reliance on commercial real estate market conditions.
What Could Drive GPMT Stock Higher?
Potential increase in interest rates benefiting floating-rate loan portfolio.
- Strategic deployment of capital into high-yield commercial mortgage loans.
- Management of diverse loan portfolio across various commercial property types.
- Active management of credit risk and interest rate risk.
What Are the Key Risks for GPMT?
Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of -0.83 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).
- Negative return on equity (-6.5%) — the business is not currently generating profit on shareholder capital.
- Rising interest rates impacting borrower ability to repay loans.
- Economic downturn leading to increased loan defaults.
- Competition from other lenders in the commercial real estate market.
- Regulatory changes affecting the REIT sector.
- Fluctuations in commercial property values impacting loan collateral.
What Are the Growth Opportunities for GPMT?
- Strategic Deployment of Capital: Granite Point can grow by strategically deploying its capital into high-yield commercial mortgage loans. By focusing on underserved segments of the market, such as transitional properties or niche sectors, the company can generate higher returns. Effective capital allocation and risk management are crucial for maximizing profitability. The commercial real estate market offers diverse opportunities for growth, with a potential market size in the billions of dollars.
- Expansion of Loan Portfolio: Granite Point has the opportunity to expand its loan portfolio by originating more commercial mortgage loans. This can be achieved through targeted marketing efforts, strategic partnerships, and a strong underwriting process. Increasing the volume of loans can drive revenue growth and improve economies of scale. The timeline for expanding the loan portfolio depends on market conditions and the company's ability to attract new borrowers.
- Diversification of Investment Portfolio: Diversifying its investment portfolio can reduce risk and enhance returns. Granite Point can explore opportunities to invest in different types of commercial real estate assets, such as multifamily properties, office buildings, and retail centers. Diversification can help mitigate the impact of market fluctuations and economic downturns. The timeline for diversification depends on the availability of suitable investment opportunities and the company's risk appetite.
- Enhancement of Underwriting Process: Strengthening the underwriting process can improve the quality of the loan portfolio and reduce credit risk. Granite Point can invest in advanced analytics and technology to better assess the creditworthiness of borrowers and the value of commercial properties. A robust underwriting process is essential for minimizing loan losses and maximizing profitability. The timeline for enhancing the underwriting process depends on the company's resources and priorities.
- Optimization of Capital Structure: Optimizing its capital structure can improve financial flexibility and reduce borrowing costs. Granite Point can explore opportunities to refinance existing debt, issue new equity, or utilize other financing strategies to lower its cost of capital. A well-managed capital structure is crucial for supporting growth and maximizing shareholder value. The timeline for optimizing the capital structure depends on market conditions and the company's financial performance.
What Are GPMT's Competitive Advantages?
- Expertise in commercial real estate lending.
- Established relationships with borrowers and brokers.
- Focus on senior floating-rate loans.
- Experienced management team.
- Ability to provide customized financing solutions.
What Does GPMT Do?
Founded in 2015 and headquartered in New York City, Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc. operates as a real estate investment trust (REIT) that specializes in originating, investing in, and managing senior floating-rate commercial mortgage loans. The company's primary focus is on providing intermediate-term bridge or transitional financing to commercial properties across the United States. These loans support various purposes, including acquisitions, recapitalizations, and refinancing, as well as business plans centered on lease-up, renovation, repositioning, and repurposing of commercial properties. Granite Point's investment strategy targets a diverse range of commercial real estate assets, ensuring a balanced portfolio. As of December 31, 2021, Granite Point held 105 commercial real estate loan investments. By focusing on floating-rate loans, Granite Point aims to mitigate interest rate risk and capitalize on potential increases in interest rates. The company's expertise in commercial real estate lending and management positions it as a key player in the REIT sector, providing crucial financing solutions for property owners and developers.
What Products and Services Does GPMT Offer?
- Originates senior floating-rate commercial mortgage loans.
- Invests in commercial real estate debt and debt-like instruments.
- Manages a portfolio of commercial real estate loan investments.
- Provides intermediate-term bridge financing for acquisitions.
- Offers transitional financing for recapitalizations.
- Finances lease-up, renovation, and repositioning of properties.
- Supports repurposing of commercial properties.
How Does GPMT Make Money?
- Generates revenue through interest income from commercial mortgage loans.
- Invests in debt and debt-like commercial real estate investments.
- Manages and services its portfolio of commercial mortgage loans.
- Finances commercial real estate projects through bridge and transitional loans.
What Industry Does GPMT Operate In?
Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc. operates within the REIT - Mortgage industry, a segment of the broader real estate sector. This industry is characterized by companies that invest in mortgage loans and mortgage-backed securities. The market is influenced by interest rates, economic growth, and real estate market conditions. Competition includes other REITs, banks, and private lenders. Granite Point focuses on the senior floating-rate commercial mortgage loan segment, which can offer advantages in a rising interest rate environment. The industry is subject to regulatory oversight and requires careful management of credit risk and interest rate risk.
Who Are GPMT's Key Customers?
- Commercial property owners seeking financing.
- Real estate developers requiring bridge loans.
- Companies looking to recapitalize commercial properties.
- Businesses planning renovations or repositioning of properties.
- Entities needing financing for property acquisitions.
Company Profile
Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc. operates in the REIT - Mortgage industry within the Real Estate sector. It is headquartered in New York, US. The company is led by CEO John A. Taylor. GPMT has traded publicly since 2017.
Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc. Financial Trajectory
Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc. (GPMT) reported $25.3M in revenue for Q2 2026, a decline of 13.5% compared to the prior quarter. The company recorded a net loss of $58.4M, with diluted EPS of $-1.29. Revenue has contracted over three consecutive quarters, which investors in this micro-cap Real Estate stock should monitor closely. Across the four most recent quarters, GPMT averaged $-0.50 in diluted EPS.
How Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc. Is Valued
Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc. carries a market capitalization of $54.2M, placing it in the micro-cap category. Relative to its peer group, GPMT's quantitative score of 28/100 is below the peer average of 57/100.
Key Financial Metrics
Return on equity for Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc. stands at -6.5%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is -2.4%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. Its free cash flow yield is -2.6%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 0.05 means current liabilities exceed short-term assets, a liquidity point worth watching. Its earnings yield is -51.1%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.
Financial Health
Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of -0.83 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.
Earnings Track Record
Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc. has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reported quarters — more hits than misses. Reported results have landed about 35.9% below estimates on average.
Forward Outlook
Wall Street analysts project Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc. revenue of about $25.7M for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $-1.51. The estimate reflects 3 contributing analysts.
GPMT Financials
Fundamental Snapshot
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025
Bull Case vs Bear Case
Bull Case
- Focus on senior floating-rate commercial mortgage loans.
- Experienced management team.
- Established presence in the commercial real estate market.
- Ability to provide customized financing solutions.
Bear Case
- Negative profit margin.
- Relatively small market capitalization.
- High beta indicating higher volatility.
- Reliance on commercial real estate market conditions.
AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · August 2026
Recent Quarterly Results
| Quarter | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $25M | -$58M | -$1.29 |
| Q1 2026 | $29M | -$2M | -$0.13 |
| Q4 2025 | $32M | -$24M | -$0.58 |
| Q3 2025 | $36M | $3M | -$0.01 |
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis
GPMT Latest News
-
Granite Point Mortgage Trust (GPMT) Stock Fair Value Falls As Analysts Cut Growth Estimates
Yahoo! Finance: GPMT News · Jun 28, 2026
-
Earnings Scheduled For May 5, 2026
benzinga · May 5, 2026
GPMT Analyst Consensus
Consensus Rating
Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for GPMT.
Price Targets
Consensus target: $2.28
GPMT MoonshotScore
What does this score mean?
The MoonshotScore rates GPMT 0-100 on quantitative fundamentals — growth, financial health, valuation, momentum, and risk.
Latest Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc. Analysis
Leadership: John A. Taylor
CEO
John A. Taylor serves as the CEO of Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc. His background includes extensive experience in the commercial real estate finance industry. Before joining Granite Point, Taylor held leadership positions at various financial institutions, where he focused on originating, structuring, and managing commercial real estate loans. His expertise spans across different property types and geographic markets. Taylor's experience equips him with a deep understanding of the commercial real estate lending landscape.
Track Record: Under John A. Taylor's leadership, Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc. has focused on originating and managing senior floating-rate commercial mortgage loans. Key milestones include the strategic deployment of capital into targeted commercial real estate sectors and the management of a diverse loan portfolio. Taylor's leadership has been instrumental in navigating the company through fluctuating interest rate environments and competitive market conditions.
Common Questions About GPMT (Real Estate)
What does the AI Score mean for GPMT?
GPMT holds an AI Score of 28/100 (Grade: F). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc. is a real estate investment trust (REIT) focused on originating, investing in, and managing commercial mortgage loans. The company primarily deals with senior …
What does Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc. do?
Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc. is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that focuses on originating, investing in, and managing senior floating-rate commercial mortgage loans in the United States. The company provides intermediate-term bridge or transitional financing for various purposes, including acquisitions, recapitalizations, and refinancing.
What do analysts say about GPMT stock?
Analyst coverage of Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc. (GPMT) is mixed, reflecting the inherent complexities of the REIT sector and the company's specific financial situation. Key valuation metrics, such as price-to-book ratio and dividend yield, are closely monitored. Growth considerations include the company's ability to strategically deploy capital, manage credit risk, and navigate fluctuating interest rate environments.
What are the main risks for GPMT?
Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc. faces several key risks, including interest rate risk, credit risk, and market risk. Rising interest rates could impact borrower ability to repay loans, leading to increased defaults. An economic downturn could also negatively affect commercial property values and borrower financial health.
What are the key factors to evaluate for GPMT?
Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc. (GPMT) holds an AI score of 28/100 (low). Analysts target $2.28 (+102%). Not financial advice.
How frequently does GPMT data refresh on this page?
GPMT's price was last updated on Aug 22, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours — it is not a real-time exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.
What has driven GPMT's recent stock price performance?
Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc. (GPMT) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Focus on senior floating-rate commercial mortgage loans. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.
Should investors consider GPMT overvalued or undervalued right now?
Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc. (GPMT) has no trailing P/E available here, so lean on price-to-sales and cash flow in the Financials tab. Analysts target $2.28 (+102%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.
How do I research GPMT before investing?
Before investing in Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc. (GPMT), research these four areas: (1) the company's revenue model and competitive position (see Company Overview), (2) financial health through revenue growth, margins, and cash flow (see MoonshotScore), (3) analyst consensus ratings and price targets (see Analyst tab), and (4) specific risk factors that could impact the stock (see Risk Factors section).
Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.
Official Resources
Data provided for informational purposes only.
- Information is based on available data as of 2026-05-09.
- Financial data may be subject to change.
- Investment decisions should be based on thorough research and consultation with a financial advisor.