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Horizon Bancorp, Inc. (HBNC)

$19.88 +$0.10 (+0.52%) |Weak · 37
Bottom line: HOLD — our Council read (37/100) and AI Score (37/100) broadly agree.
MCap: $1.02B| P/E Ratio: 8.7| Vol: 206.9K| Target: $20.50 (+3.1%)|
Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.

Horizon Bancorp, Inc. (HBNC) trades at $19.88 with AI Score 37/100 (Grade D). Horizon Bancorp, Inc. is a regional bank holding company operating primarily in northern and central Indiana and southern and central Michigan. Market cap: $1.02B, Sector: Financial services.

Price live · AI analysis from May 9, 2026
Horizon Bancorp, Inc. is a regional bank holding company operating primarily in northern and central Indiana and southern and central Michigan. The company provides a range of commercial and retail banking services, including loans, deposits, and trust services.

HBNC stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $20.50 for Horizon Bancorp, Inc., suggesting 3.1% upside from the current price of $19.88. The AI MoonshotScore is 37/100, indicating a bearish outlook. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
HOLD 37/100 · D

HBNC: 1/1 perspectives are bearish.

How is this calculated? →
Council Score · 8 perspectives · See tabs for details →

Horizon Bancorp, Inc. (HBNC) Financial Services Profile

CEOThomas Prame
Employees841
HeadquartersMichigan City, IN, US
IPO Year2002

Horizon Bancorp, Inc., founded in 1873, operates as a regional bank holding company, delivering commercial and retail banking services through 78 full-service offices across Indiana and Michigan. With a focus on community banking, Horizon offers diverse financial solutions including loans, deposits, and trust services within the competitive regional banking sector.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NASDAQ Analysis: May 9, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for HBNC?

Horizon Bancorp, Inc. presents a mixed investment thesis. The company's extensive network of 78 branches across Indiana and Michigan provides a solid foundation for deposit growth and loan origination. The dividend yield of 3.46% offers an income stream for investors. However, the company's negative profit margin of -154.3% and gross margin of -25.0% raise concerns about its financial performance. Future profitability will depend on Horizon's ability to improve operational efficiency, manage credit risk effectively, and capitalize on growth opportunities within its regional markets. Investors should closely monitor the company's progress in these areas to assess its long-term potential.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

HBNC Key Highlights

  • Operates 78 full-service offices across northern and central Indiana and southern and central Michigan, providing a strong regional presence.
  • Offers a dividend yield of 3.46%, providing an income stream for investors.
  • Provides a comprehensive suite of commercial and retail banking services, including loans, deposits, and trust services.
  • Founded in 1873, demonstrating a long history and established presence in the banking industry.
  • Market capitalization of $1.02B reflects its position as a significant player in the regional banking sector.

Who Are HBNC's Competitors?

HBNC is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap AI Score
MBWM Mercantile Bank Corporation $57.67 -0.24% $996.21M 58
FULT Fulton Financial Corporation $24.26 +0.63% $4.64B 94
HFWA Heritage Financial Corporation $29.81 +0.37% $1.01B 92
MCHB Mechanics Bank $16.24 +0.50% $3.58B 71
STLE Steele Bancorp Inc. $43.05 -0.67% $80.01M 69
NASB NASB Financial, Inc. $40.30 +0.00% $289.22M 68
CIBEY Commercial International Bank (Egypt) S.A.E $2.63 +3.54% $8.68B 67
BUSE First Busey Corporation $29.58 -0.25% $2.50B 63

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are HBNC's Key Strengths?

  • Established regional presence in Indiana and Michigan.
  • Long-standing history and reputation.
  • Comprehensive suite of banking services.
  • Strong community relationships.

What Are HBNC's Weaknesses?

  • Negative profit margin.
  • High cost structure.
  • Limited geographic diversification.
  • Dependence on regional economy.

What Could Drive HBNC Stock Higher?

  • Implementation of new digital banking platform to enhance customer experience and attract new customers.
  • Expansion of commercial lending activities to drive revenue growth.
  • Cost-cutting initiatives to improve profitability and efficiency.

What Are the Key Risks for HBNC?

  • Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of 0.08 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).
  • Negative return on equity (-20.9%) — the business is not currently generating profit on shareholder capital.
  • Economic downturn in Indiana and Michigan could negatively impact loan demand and credit quality.
  • Rising interest rates could increase funding costs and reduce net interest margin.
  • Competition from larger national banks and credit unions could erode market share.
  • Regulatory changes could increase compliance costs and restrict business activities.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for HBNC?

  • Expansion of Digital Banking Services: Horizon can capitalize on the increasing demand for digital banking by enhancing its online and mobile platforms. Investing in user-friendly interfaces, secure transaction capabilities, and personalized financial tools can attract and retain customers. The digital banking market is projected to reach $9.0 trillion by 2027, offering a significant growth opportunity for Horizon. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Strategic Acquisitions: Horizon can pursue strategic acquisitions of smaller banks or credit unions in its existing markets or adjacent regions. This can expand its market share, increase its customer base, and diversify its revenue streams. The regional banking sector is consolidating, creating opportunities for Horizon to grow through acquisitions. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Increased Commercial Lending: Horizon can focus on expanding its commercial lending portfolio by targeting small and medium-sized businesses in its service areas. Offering competitive loan products, personalized service, and financial advisory services can attract new commercial clients. The commercial lending market is expected to grow as businesses invest in expansion and innovation. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Wealth Management Services: Horizon can expand its wealth management services to cater to the growing affluent population in its markets. Offering financial planning, investment management, and trust services can generate fee income and build long-term customer relationships. The wealth management market is projected to grow as individuals seek professional financial advice. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Mortgage Warehouse Lending: Horizon can further develop its mortgage warehouse lending services. This specialized lending area supports mortgage originators, providing short-term financing for loans until they are sold into the secondary market. As the housing market evolves, this service can be a valuable offering, generating revenue and supporting the broader real estate ecosystem. Timeline: Ongoing.

What Opportunities Does HBNC Have?

  • Expansion of digital banking services.
  • Strategic acquisitions.
  • Increased commercial lending.
  • Growth of wealth management services.

What Threats Does HBNC Face?

  • Competition from larger national banks and credit unions.
  • Economic downturn in its service areas.
  • Interest rate fluctuations.
  • Regulatory changes.

What Are HBNC's Competitive Advantages?

  • Established regional presence with a network of 78 branches.
  • Long-standing history and reputation in the communities it serves.
  • Strong relationships with local businesses and individuals.
  • Comprehensive suite of banking services catering to diverse customer needs.

What Does HBNC Do?

Founded in 1873, Horizon Bancorp, Inc. has evolved from a local community bank into a regional financial institution. Headquartered in Michigan City, Indiana, the company operates as the bank holding company for Horizon Bank, offering a comprehensive suite of commercial and retail banking services. These services include a variety of deposit accounts, commercial loans, residential real estate loans, mortgage warehouse lending, and consumer loans. Horizon also provides corporate and individual trust and agency services, investment management, and real estate investment trust services. Furthermore, the company sells various insurance products, enhancing its service offerings. Horizon Bancorp operates through a network of 78 full-service offices strategically located in northern and central Indiana and southern and central Michigan. This regional presence allows Horizon to maintain strong relationships with local businesses and individuals, contributing to its sustained growth and community focus. The bank's long history and commitment to its customers have solidified its position as a trusted financial partner in the region.

What Products and Services Does HBNC Offer?

  • Provides commercial and retail banking services.
  • Offers various deposit accounts, including checking, savings, and money market accounts.
  • Provides commercial loans to businesses.
  • Offers residential real estate loans to individuals.
  • Provides mortgage warehouse lending services.
  • Offers consumer loans for various purposes.
  • Provides corporate and individual trust and agency services.
  • Offers investment management services.

How Does HBNC Make Money?

  • Generates revenue from interest income on loans.
  • Generates revenue from fees for services, such as trust and investment management.
  • Attracts deposits from customers through its branch network and digital channels.
  • Manages its loan portfolio to minimize credit risk.

What Industry Does HBNC Operate In?

Horizon Bancorp operates within the regional banking sector, which is characterized by intense competition and evolving customer expectations. The industry is influenced by factors such as interest rate fluctuations, regulatory changes, and technological advancements. Regional banks like Horizon face competition from larger national banks, credit unions, and fintech companies. The market is seeing a growing demand for digital banking services and personalized customer experiences. Horizon's success depends on its ability to adapt to these trends, maintain strong customer relationships, and efficiently manage its operations.

Who Are HBNC's Key Customers?

  • Individuals seeking personal banking services.
  • Small and medium-sized businesses seeking commercial loans and banking services.
  • Mortgage originators seeking warehouse lending services.
  • Individuals and families seeking wealth management services.
AI Confidence: 73% Updated: May 9, 2026

F-Score 5/9Financial Health

Horizon Bancorp, Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 5/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 0.08 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.

ROE -21%Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Horizon Bancorp, Inc. stands at -20.9%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is -2.3%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. Its free cash flow yield is 7.9%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 1.48 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is -14.6%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

Horizon Bancorp, Inc. (HBNC) Valuation Context

Valued at $1.02B, HBNC is classified as a small-cap stock. Relative to its peer group, HBNC's quantitative score of 37/100 is below the peer average of 77/100.

FY2026 estForward Outlook

Wall Street analysts project Horizon Bancorp, Inc. revenue of about $309.0M for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $2.10. The estimate reflects 3 contributing analysts.

Net buyingInsider Activity

Over the past six months, Horizon Bancorp, Inc. insiders filed 29 SEC Form 4 transactions — 12 sales and 17 purchases. On net that is roughly 55K shares acquired (about $77K) — insiders putting money in tends to read as conviction.

HBNC Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
-71.0%
EPS Growth (FY)
-487.7%
Return on Equity (TTM)
-20.9%
Current Ratio
1.5

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Horizon Bancorp seems to be gaining traction in the community, with more chatter about its potential for growth in the Midwest market.
  • Recent insider buying activity could signal confidence in the company's future performance, suggesting those closest to the business see value.
  • The overall market perception of regional banks has been improving, potentially benefiting Horizon Bancorp as investors seek stable investments.
  • There's a growing sentiment that community banks like Horizon are well-positioned to capitalize on local economic development initiatives.

Bear Case

  • Some community members are expressing concerns about the impact of rising interest rates on Horizon Bancorp's loan portfolio.
  • There's a perception that increased competition from larger national banks could squeeze Horizon Bancorp's market share in key regions.
  • Certain discussions highlight potential regulatory challenges that could affect the bank's operational flexibility and profitability.
  • The community is also wary of broader economic headwinds that could impact loan defaults and overall financial stability for regional banks like Horizon.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · March 2026

HBNC Latest News

HBNC Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for HBNC.

Price Targets

Consensus target: $20.50

HBNC MoonshotScore

37/100

What does this score mean?

The MoonshotScore rates HBNC's growth potential on a scale of 0-100 across multiple factors including innovation, market disruption, financial health, and momentum.

Leadership: Thomas Prame

CEO

Thomas Prame serves as the CEO of Horizon Bancorp, Inc., leading a team of 841 employees. His career encompasses extensive experience in the financial services sector, with a focus on community banking and regional growth strategies. Prior to joining Horizon, Prame held various leadership positions at other financial institutions, where he was responsible for driving revenue growth, improving operational efficiency, and enhancing customer satisfaction. His expertise includes strategic planning, risk management, and regulatory compliance.

Track Record: Since assuming the role of CEO, Thomas Prame has focused on strengthening Horizon Bancorp's market position and improving its financial performance. Key initiatives include expanding the bank's digital banking capabilities, streamlining operations, and enhancing its commercial lending portfolio. Under his leadership, Horizon has continued to expand its branch network and deepen its relationships with local businesses and communities.

What Investors Ask About Horizon Bancorp, Inc. (HBNC) — Financial Services

What does Horizon Bancorp, Inc. do?

Horizon Bancorp, Inc. functions as the holding company for Horizon Bank, a regional bank providing a comprehensive suite of financial services. These services encompass both commercial and retail banking, including deposit accounts like checking and savings, and various loan products such as commercial, residential real estate, and consumer loans. Additionally, Horizon offers trust and agency services, investment management, and sells insurance products. The bank operates through a network of 78 branches across northern and central Indiana and southern and central Michigan, focusing on serving the financial needs of individuals and businesses within these communities.

What do analysts say about HBNC stock?

Analyst coverage of Horizon Bancorp, Inc. (HBNC) presents a mixed view, reflecting both the company's opportunities and challenges. Key valuation metrics, such as price-to-earnings and price-to-book ratios, are considered in relation to its regional bank peers. Growth considerations often revolve around the company's ability to expand its loan portfolio, manage its net interest margin, and control operating expenses. Analyst consensus typically reflects expectations for moderate revenue growth and earnings improvement, but investors should conduct their own due diligence before making investment decisions.

What are the main risks for HBNC?

Horizon Bancorp, Inc. faces several key risks inherent to the regional banking sector. Credit risk, stemming from potential loan defaults, is a primary concern, particularly during economic downturns in its operating regions of Indiana and Michigan. Interest rate risk also poses a challenge, as fluctuations in interest rates can impact the bank's net interest margin. Additionally, regulatory compliance costs and competition from larger financial institutions and fintech companies represent ongoing risks to Horizon's profitability and market share.

What are the key factors to evaluate for HBNC?

Horizon Bancorp, Inc. (HBNC) holds an AI score of 37/100 (low). P/E: 8.7x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $20.50 (+3%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does HBNC data refresh on this page?

HBNC prices update in real time during U.S. market hours. Fundamentals refresh after quarterly filings; analyst ratings and AI insights update daily; news is aggregated continuously.

What has driven HBNC's recent stock price performance?

Horizon Bancorp, Inc. (HBNC) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Established regional presence in Indiana and Michigan. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider HBNC overvalued or undervalued right now?

Horizon Bancorp, Inc. (HBNC) trades at 8.7x earnings. Analysts target $20.50 (+3%) — near fair value. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

What research should beginners do before buying HBNC?

Before investing in Horizon Bancorp, Inc. (HBNC), research these four areas: (1) the company's revenue model and competitive position (see Company Overview), (2) financial health through revenue growth, margins, and cash flow (see MoonshotScore), (3) what Wall Street analysts recommend and their price targets (see Analyst tab), and (4) specific risk factors that could impact the stock (see Risk Factors section).

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated AI Score refreshed daily
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Financial data is based on the most recently available information.
  • Market conditions and industry trends are subject to change.
Data Sources

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