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John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. (JMSB)

$22.11 $-0.06 (-0.27%) |Strong · 76
Bottom line: BUY — our Council read (70/100) and AI Score (76/100) broadly agree. Strongest signal: Seth Klarman bullish · Biggest watch-out: Ken Griffin bearish.
MCap: $312.02M| P/E Ratio: 13.5| Vol: 25.4K| Target: $23.00 (+4.0%)| 52-wk range: $17.30 – $22.35
Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.

John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. (JMSB) trades at $22.11 with AI Score 76/100 (Grade A). John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. Market cap: $312.02M, Sector: Financial services.

Price live · AI analysis from May 10, 2026
John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. is a regional bank holding company providing a range of banking products and financial services primarily to small and medium-sized businesses and individuals. Founded in 2005, the company operates eight branches in Virginia, positioning itself as a community-focused financial institution.

JMSB stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $23.00 for John Marshall Bancorp, Inc., suggesting 4.0% upside from the current price of $22.11. The AI MoonshotScore is 76/100, indicating a strong bullish outlook. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
BUY 70/100 · A

JMSB: 5/7 perspectives are bullish. Dominant signal: Seth Klarman bullish.

How is this calculated? →
Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI
Ray Dalio
Bullish
Ken Griffin
Bearish
Jim Simons
Bullish
Izzy Englander
Neutral
Seth Klarman
Bullish
Moon AI
Bullish
Council Score · 8 perspectives · See tabs for details →

John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. (JMSB) Financial Services Profile

CEOChristopher W. Bergstrom
Employees136
HeadquartersReston, VA, US
IPO Year2017

John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. distinguishes itself in the regional banking sector by offering comprehensive financial services tailored to small and medium-sized enterprises, alongside personal banking solutions, supported by a strong community presence in Virginia.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NASDAQ Analysis: May 10, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for JMSB?

John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. presents a compelling case for growth within the regional banking sector, driven by its strong profit margin of 19.3% and a stable P/E ratio of 13.5. The company's focus on small to medium-sized enterprises positions it well in a market where these businesses are increasingly seeking personalized banking solutions. With a dividend yield of 1.84%, investors may find value in the bank's commitment to returning capital to shareholders. Additionally, the ongoing expansion of its digital banking services could enhance customer engagement and attract new clients, further bolstering revenue growth. The bank's conservative approach to lending and risk management has historically allowed it to navigate economic fluctuations effectively, providing a stable foundation for future growth.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

JMSB Key Highlights

  • Market Cap of $312.02M reflects a solid position in the regional banking sector.
  • P/E ratio of 13.5 indicates a reasonable valuation compared to industry peers.
  • Profit margin of 19.3% showcases operational efficiency and effective cost management.
  • Gross margin of 54.1% exceeds many competitors, indicating strong pricing power.
  • Dividend yield of 1.84% offers attractive returns to income-focused investors.

Who Are JMSB's Competitors?

JMSB is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap AI Score
FNB F.N.B. Corporation $19.16 +0.71% $6.82B 85
CIVB Civista Bancshares, Inc. $28.24 -0.78% $586.87M 56
BXS BancorpSouth Bank $28.76 -1.07% $5.25B 52
MCHB Mechanics Bank $16.24 +0.50% $3.58B 71
STLE Steele Bancorp Inc. $43.05 -0.67% $80.01M 69
NASB NASB Financial, Inc. $40.30 +0.00% $289.22M 68
CIBEY Commercial International Bank (Egypt) S.A.E $2.63 +3.54% $8.68B 67
GBOOY Grupo Financiero Banorte, S.A.B. de C.V. $54.16 +0.39% $30.47B 67

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are JMSB's Key Strengths?

  • Strong profit margins indicating operational efficiency.
  • Established community presence with loyal customer base.
  • Diverse range of banking products catering to various customer segments.

What Are JMSB's Weaknesses?

  • Limited geographic footprint compared to larger banks.
  • Dependence on local economic conditions for growth.
  • Relatively small scale may limit competitive advantages.

What Could Drive JMSB Stock Higher?

  • Expansion of digital banking services to enhance customer engagement.
  • Continued focus on small business lending as the economy recovers.
  • Community engagement initiatives aimed at strengthening local relationships.

What Are the Key Risks for JMSB?

  • Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of -0.61 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).
  • Economic downturns could adversely affect loan performance and profitability.
  • Intense competition from larger banks and fintech disruptors.
  • Regulatory changes may impact operational practices and costs.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for JMSB?

  • Digital Banking Expansion: The shift towards digital banking services is a significant growth driver for John Marshall Bancorp. With the increasing adoption of online and mobile banking, the company can enhance customer engagement and streamline operations. The digital banking market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 10.5% through 2028, providing ample opportunity for John Marshall Bancorp to capture new clients and increase transaction volumes.
  • Small Business Lending: The demand for loans among small businesses is on the rise, driven by economic recovery and increased entrepreneurial activity. John Marshall Bancorp's focus on providing tailored lending solutions positions it well to capitalize on this trend. The small business lending market is projected to grow to $1.5 trillion by 2027, offering significant revenue potential for the bank.
  • Community Engagement Initiatives: As a community-focused bank, John Marshall Bancorp can leverage its local presence to strengthen relationships with businesses and non-profits. By enhancing community engagement initiatives and supporting local events, the bank can increase brand loyalty and attract new customers. This strategy aligns with the growing consumer preference for supporting local businesses.
  • Diversification of Financial Services: Expanding its range of financial services, including investment and insurance products, can provide John Marshall Bancorp with additional revenue streams. The financial services market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 5.2% over the next five years, creating opportunities for the bank to cross-sell services to existing clients and attract new ones.
  • Sustainable Banking Practices: As environmental concerns rise, John Marshall Bancorp can differentiate itself by adopting sustainable banking practices. By offering green loans and promoting environmentally friendly initiatives, the bank can appeal to socially conscious consumers and businesses, tapping into a growing segment of the market.

What Opportunities Does JMSB Have?

  • Expansion of digital banking services to attract tech-savvy customers.
  • Growing demand for small business loans in the recovering economy.
  • Potential to diversify into investment and insurance products.

What Threats Does JMSB Face?

  • Intense competition from both traditional banks and fintech companies.
  • Economic downturns could negatively impact loan performance.
  • Regulatory changes may affect operational flexibility and profitability.

What Are JMSB's Competitive Advantages?

  • Strong community presence and customer relationships foster loyalty and trust.
  • Diverse range of banking products tailored to meet local market needs.
  • Focus on personalized service differentiates John Marshall Bancorp from larger banks.
  • Conservative lending practices reduce risk and enhance financial stability.

What Does JMSB Do?

John Marshall Bancorp, Inc., founded in 2005, serves as the bank holding company for John Marshall Bank, headquartered in Reston, Virginia. The company was established to provide a range of banking products and financial services to small to medium-sized businesses, their owners, and individuals. Over the years, John Marshall Bancorp has evolved to meet the diverse financial needs of its clients, offering checking, savings, and money market accounts, as well as certificates of deposit. The bank also provides an array of loan products, including commercial, construction, and mortgage loans, along with credit cards and treasury management services. With eight full-service branches located in key areas such as Alexandria, Reston, Arlington, and Tysons, John Marshall Bancorp has strategically positioned itself to serve a growing customer base in Virginia. The company prides itself on its commitment to personalized customer service and community engagement, which has helped it build strong relationships with local businesses and non-profit organizations. As a regional bank, John Marshall Bancorp continues to focus on expanding its market presence while maintaining a strong emphasis on the needs of its clients.

What Products and Services Does JMSB Offer?

  • Provide a range of deposit accounts including checking, savings, and money market accounts.
  • Offer various loan products such as commercial, construction, and mortgage loans.
  • Deliver treasury management and cash management services to businesses.
  • Facilitate online and mobile banking for convenient access to financial services.
  • Provide investment and insurance products to meet client needs.
  • Support local businesses and non-profits through tailored financial solutions.

How Does JMSB Make Money?

  • Generate revenue through interest income from loans and fees from various banking services.
  • Offer competitive interest rates on deposit accounts to attract and retain customers.
  • Provide value-added services such as treasury management and financial consulting for businesses.
  • Engage in community-focused initiatives to strengthen customer relationships and brand loyalty.

What Industry Does JMSB Operate In?

The regional banking industry is characterized by a growing demand for personalized financial services as small to medium-sized businesses seek tailored banking solutions. With a market size projected to reach $1 trillion by 2028, regional banks like John Marshall Bancorp are well-positioned to capture market share through community engagement and specialized offerings. The competitive landscape includes both traditional banks and emerging fintech companies, necessitating a focus on digital transformation and customer service to maintain relevance and attract new clients. As the economy continues to recover post-pandemic, regional banks are expected to benefit from increased lending activity and improved consumer confidence.

Who Are JMSB's Key Customers?

  • Small to medium-sized businesses seeking personalized banking solutions.
  • Individuals requiring a range of personal banking services.
  • Professional corporations looking for tailored financial products.
  • Non-profit organizations needing banking and financial services.
AI Confidence: 73% Updated: May 10, 2026

Company Profile

John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. operates in the Banks - Regional industry within the Financial Services sector. It is headquartered in Reston, US. The company is led by CEO Christopher W. Bergstrom. JMSB has traded publicly since 2017.

How John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. Is Valued

John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. carries a market capitalization of $312.02M, placing it in the small-cap category. Relative to its peer group, JMSB's quantitative score of 76/100 is roughly in line with the peer average of 67/100.

ROE 9%Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. stands at 8.6%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 1.0%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. JMSB trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 13.46, below the Financial Services sector average of ~18x. Its free cash flow yield is 7.5%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 0.12 means current liabilities exceed short-term assets, a liquidity point worth watching. Its earnings yield is 7.1%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

F-Score 7/9Financial Health

John Marshall Bancorp, Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — signaling solid underlying fundamentals. Its Altman Z-Score of -0.61 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.

FY2026 estForward Outlook

Wall Street analysts project John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. revenue of about $71.2M for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $1.83.

JMSB Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
+2.6%
Net Income Growth (FY)
+24.0%
EPS Growth (FY)
+25.0%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
+31.3%
P/E (TTM)
14.1
Return on Equity (TTM)
+8.6%
Current Ratio
0.1
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
8.4

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Recent insider buying suggests confidence in the company's future, signaling that leadership believes in potential growth.
  • Community sentiment has shifted positively, with discussions highlighting the bank's recent strategic initiatives and customer acquisition efforts.
  • Market perception is buoyed by an overall recovery in regional banking, leading to optimism about JMSB's performance.
  • Analysts are noting an increase in demand for local banking services, positioning JMSB well within its niche.

Bear Case

  • Concerns linger over potential regulatory changes affecting regional banks, which may impact JMSB's operational flexibility.
  • Social sentiment reflects unease about the economic environment, with some investors wary of rising interest rates affecting loan demand.
  • Recent discussions have highlighted competitive pressures from larger banks, which could challenge JMSB's market share.
  • There are lingering doubts about the bank's ability to scale effectively, given its current size and market position.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · March 2026

JMSB Latest News

JMSB Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for JMSB.

Price Targets

Consensus target: $23.00

JMSB MoonshotScore

76/100

What does this score mean?

The MoonshotScore rates JMSB's growth potential on a scale of 0-100 across multiple factors including innovation, market disruption, financial health, and momentum.

Leadership: Christopher W. Bergstrom

CEO

Christopher W. Bergstrom has extensive experience in the banking sector, having held various leadership roles in regional banks prior to joining John Marshall Bancorp. He holds a degree in finance and has a proven track record in driving growth and operational efficiency within financial institutions.

Track Record: Under Bergstrom's leadership, John Marshall Bancorp has expanded its branch network and enhanced its digital banking offerings, contributing to increased customer satisfaction and growth in deposits.

Common Questions About JMSB (Financial Services)

How does John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. make money in financial services?

John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. primarily generates revenue through interest income on loans provided to small and medium-sized businesses and individuals. Additionally, the bank earns fees from various banking services, including treasury management and account maintenance. This diversified revenue model allows the bank to maintain a stable income stream while catering to the financial needs of its diverse customer base.

How is John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. adapting to fintech disruption?

John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. is actively enhancing its digital banking capabilities to remain competitive in the face of fintech disruption. The bank is investing in online and mobile banking technologies to provide customers with convenient access to their accounts and services. By focusing on user-friendly digital experiences and integrating innovative financial solutions, the bank aims to attract tech-savvy clients while retaining its traditional customer base.

What are the main risks for JMSB?

John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. faces several risks, including economic downturns that could negatively impact loan performance and increase default rates. Additionally, the bank operates in a highly competitive environment, facing pressure from both larger traditional banks and emerging fintech companies. Regulatory changes also pose a potential risk, as they may affect operational flexibility and the cost of compliance, impacting overall profitability.

What are the key factors to evaluate for JMSB?

John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. (JMSB) holds an AI score of 76/100 (high). P/E: 13.5x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $23.00 (+4%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does JMSB data refresh on this page?

JMSB prices update in real time during U.S. market hours. Fundamentals refresh after quarterly filings; analyst ratings and AI insights update daily; news is aggregated continuously.

What has driven JMSB's recent stock price performance?

John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. (JMSB) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Strong profit margins indicating operational efficiency. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider JMSB overvalued or undervalued right now?

John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. (JMSB) trades at 13.5x earnings. Analysts target $23.00 (+4%) — near fair value. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

What research should beginners do before buying JMSB?

Before investing in John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. (JMSB), research these four areas: (1) the company's revenue model and competitive position (see Company Overview), (2) financial health through revenue growth, margins, and cash flow (see MoonshotScore), (3) what Wall Street analysts recommend and their price targets (see Analyst tab), and (4) specific risk factors that could impact the stock (see Risk Factors section).

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated AI Score refreshed daily
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • The information provided is based on the latest available data and may be subject to change.
Data Sources

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