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Kestrel Group Ltd (KG) Stock Price & Analysis

Kestrel Group Ltd (KG) — MoonshotScore 24/100 (Weak band), calculated Oct 26, 2026. Price $4.89 (+0.62%), as of the Oct 26, 2026 trading session; market cap $38.3M.

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$4.89 +$0.03 (+0.62%) Market Cap $38.3M

Kestrel Group Ltd · KG · NASDAQ

Kestrel Group Ltd. is a Bermuda-based reinsurance company focusing on regional and specialty property and casualty insurers. The company operates through Legacy Reinsurance, Insurance Programs, and Corporate segments.

Price as of Oct 26, 2026

Key Statistics

24 of 100

MoonshotScore v2 · Kestrel Group (KG)

Weak
Business Quality Poor (1)
Financial Safety Fragile (13)
Valuation Bubble (8)
Growth Durability Compounding (92)
Momentum Falling (1)
Why this rating? Method, drivers & history

Bands for the MoonshotScore: Exceptional 80-100 · Strong 65-79 · Fair 45-64 · Weak below 45.

  • Business Quality — Is this a genuinely good business?
  • Financial Safety — Could this blow up on me?
  • Valuation — Am I paying a fair price?
  • Growth Durability — Is the growth real and likely to last?
  • Momentum — Is the market already moving on this?
The ten-second read ·

Elite growth, but bottom-tier quality, a fragile balance sheet and an expensive valuation, and the price trend has turned against it. The score also carries a risk penalty for losses on top of negative retained earnings. Business Quality: Poor; Financial Safety: Fragile; Valuation: Bubble; Growth Durability: Compounding; Momentum: Falling.

  • quarterly revenue $7M (Q2 FY2026, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026)
  • EPS beat 0 of 3
  • Altman Z 0.04 · Piotroski F 0

Holding back: weak fundamentals, balance-sheet strain, a rich price, weak price trend

Helping: durable growth

What has the MoonshotScore done over time?

MoonshotScore snapshots recorded for KG (41 recorded, newest six shown)
RecordedScoreBand
24Weak
24Weak
24Weak
24Weak
24Weak
27Weak

The score was 24 in the stored Oct 24, 2026 snapshot and remains 24 in the current publication computed Oct 26, 2026 (0). This current publication is not yet represented in the immutable snapshot archive.

Calculation uses the most recent completed US trading session. Live price changes do not update the score immediately.

Computed · Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How the MoonshotScore is computed →

Price & valuation

Dates shown where recorded
MeasureValueAs of
Latest provided price$4.89
Change on the day+0.62%
52-week range$4.31 – $26.44
Market capitalisation$38.3M
Price / earnings (trailing)1.75
Shares traded on the day7.5K

Price & events

Other perspectives

Council score for Kestrel Group (KG): perspectives

Council is a separate blend of available disciplines; MoonshotScore above remains the five-pillar research rating.

5-Factor Breakdown

Growth Durability Strong
Momentum Negative
Business Quality Negative
Financial Safety Negative
Valuation Negative

Legends Council

3 lenses, 0 current

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Englander-style lens (simulated) Izzy Englander Unfavorable read
Klarman-style lens (simulated) Seth Klarman Unfavorable read
Moon AI lens (model) Neutral read

Read on: Sep 13, 2026 · older than the 27 hours refresh window; not a current reading

Munger's Mindset

Balance Sheet & Valuation · historical

Financial Health Weak
Margin of Safety Undervalued
Profit Margin Weak
Revenue Growth Strong
Debt/Equity Negative
ROE Strong
Gross Margin Moderate

Read on: Sep 13, 2026 · older than the 27 hours refresh window; not a current reading

How to read these bars and different assessments

Council is a separate blend of available disciplines; MoonshotScore above remains the five-pillar research rating.

Bars show each model's ordered assessment on its own scale, not a probability or a comparable investment return. The adjacent words give the assessment; more filled segments indicate a stronger model reading.

On Sep 13, 2026, the Munger lens read the price at that time as undervalued against its own estimate of value.

Readings on this page are from Oct 26, 2026, except a card that shows its own read date.

Watch the KG film — every key number, told as a short cinematic story

~2 min · open the film

1 · What is it?

What is Kestrel Group (KG), and what does it report?

Short answer · as of

A current FMP business description is unavailable; the listing and provider classification below are the available identity facts. Kestrel Group Ltd (KG) is listed on NASDAQ. It employs 44 people and is led by Bradford Luke Ledbetter. In Q2 FY2026 it reported revenue of $7M and net income of -$8M. The market values it at $38.3M.

2 · Latest results

What do the latest results show for Kestrel Group (KG)?

Short answer · as of

The most recent reported quarter, Q2 FY2026, carried revenue of $7M. Against analyst estimates the company has EPS beat 0 of 3 reports.

Quarterly income statement — 4 quarters
Revenue, net income and earnings per share by quarter
PeriodRevenueNet incomeEPS
Q2 FY2026$7M-$8M-$1.03 (diluted)
Q1 FY2026$10M-$7M-$0.96 (diluted)
Q4 FY2025$10M-$18M-$2.29 (diluted)
Q3 FY2025$20M-$5M-$0.65 (diluted)
3 · Financial strengths and risks

What are the financial strengths and risks for Kestrel Group (KG)?

Short answer

The MoonshotScore pillars rate durable growth as strengths. What is holding it back is weak fundamentals, balance-sheet strain, a rich price, weak price trend. The distress and quality screens read Altman Z 0.04 · Piotroski F 0. Trailing ratios: ROE 29.2% · ROA 7.5% · earnings yield 57.1%.

Data-derived red flags

  • Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of 0.04 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).
  • Weak fundamentals — a Piotroski F-Score of 0/9 flags soft profitability, leverage or efficiency.
5 · Peer comparison

How does Kestrel Group compare with its peers?

Short answer

Kestrel Group's score ranks 7th of 7 in the bounded comparison shown, against 6 same-model peers. These are company scores, not expected investment returns. The set lists named competitors first, then companies in the same data-provider industry classification closest in market value; that classification is the provider's, not our judgment of business similarity.

Peer set — price, market value and MoonshotScore
CompanyPriceMarket valueScore
Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. (HG) Same industry, near in market value$36.30 Oct 26, 2026$3.58B100 5-pillar Oct 26, 2026
RenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd. (RNR) Same industry, near in market value$351.66 Oct 26, 2026$14.7B100 5-pillar Oct 26, 2026
Everest Re Group, Ltd. (EG) Same industry, near in market value$397.61 Oct 26, 2026$15.2B94 5-pillar Oct 26, 2026
Reinsurance Group of America, Incorporated (RGA) Same industry, near in market value$265.15 Oct 26, 2026$17.5B93 5-pillar Oct 26, 2026
Greenlight Capital Re, Ltd. (GLRE) Same industry, near in market value$15.02 Oct 26, 2026$493M86 5-pillar Oct 26, 2026
SiriusPoint Ltd. (SPNT) Same industry, near in market value$25.77 Oct 26, 2026$2.99B80 5-pillar Oct 26, 2026
Kestrel Group (KG) — this page$4.89$38.3M24

Only 5-pillar scores are ranked together. Other models are not directly comparable. Price and score dates are shown separately; market-value dates are unavailable.

Investor Questions: KG Stock

These answers are editorial: 1 of these 9 answers is drawn from the KG research dossier (written May 10, 2026 by gemini-2.0-flash); the other 8 are question templates that restate figures shown above. Figures in this section are not part of the source register.

What does the MoonshotScore mean for KG?

KG carries the MoonshotScore stated above — the Weak band. This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers. Kestrel Group Ltd. is a Bermuda-based reinsurance company focusing on regional and specialty property and casualty insurers.

Is KG a good stock to buy?

Stock Expert AI does not rate KG buy, sell or hold. Kestrel Group Ltd carries a MoonshotScore, in the Weak band, a research rating against its peers rather than a forecast. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns and what the price assumes. This is educational content, not investment advice.

What is the KG stock price today?

The last price recorded on this page for Kestrel Group Ltd (KG) is $4.89, as of the Oct 26, 2026 trading session (source: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote). It is a provider snapshot, not a live exchange feed, so check a brokerage quote before you trade.

What are the main risks for KG?

Kestrel Group Ltd. faces several key risks, including the cyclical nature of the reinsurance industry, which can impact revenue and profitability. The company also faces competition from larger, more established players with greater resources. Global events such as natural disasters can lead to significant claims and financial losses.

What are the key factors to evaluate for KG?

Kestrel Group Ltd (KG) holds a MoonshotScore in the low range. P/E: 1.75x. Technological Innovation: Kestrel Group can invest in technological innovation to improve its underwriting processes, risk management capabilities, and customer service. Not financial advice.

How frequently does KG data refresh on this page?

KG's price is the last quote we recorded, from the Oct 26, 2026 trading session. Pages are served from a cache, so the copy you are reading can lag that quote. The quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals follow quarterly filings. V2 is recalculated from the most recent completed US trading session; the score's own date shows its last successful run.

What has driven KG's recent stock price performance?

Kestrel Group Ltd (KG) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: High profit margin. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider KG overvalued or undervalued right now?

Kestrel Group Ltd (KG) trades at 1.75x earnings. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Can I buy fractional shares of KG?

Fractional-share availability for Kestrel Group Ltd (KG) depends on your brokerage, account and supported securities. Check the broker's current eligibility, minimums and fees before placing an order.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated May 10, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief.

Sources — records for every figure on this page (17 figures)

The 17 rows below are exactly the facts the evidence-backed sections of this page printed — the 10-second verdict, the MoonshotScore, price and market value, the five questions with their receipts, and the records behind this page. Known dates and sources are recorded on their own rows; an em dash or UNRECORDED tier preserves a stored observation without inventing either. The quarterly income statement is provider-standardized (FMP) under one row, and scale definitions — a 0-100 rating, the band ladder, the Piotroski 0–9 range — are fixed rather than measured. No number in those sections was generated by a model. The register does not cover quoted third-party headlines, the dated council readings, or the Frequently Asked Questions; each of those says where it came from where it stands.

"As of" is the date the value is true for where the source carries one — a quarter end, a filing date, a price close, the day the score was computed. A cached observation with no source date remains undated; the page publication date is not used as a substitute.

FMP — 9 facts from Financial Modeling Prep endpoint families

FMP facts used on this page
Fact IDFactValue as shownAs ofTierSource
px.lastLatest provided price$4.89FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote — Dated to the US trading session the price belongs to, derived from the quote record's timestamp (weekend and pre-open reads roll back to the previous weekday; exchange holidays are not modelled). The record does not establish an exchange execution time. Retrieved 2026-10-26T15:44:44.803Z.
px.changeChange on the day+0.62%FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
px.mcapMarket capitalisation$38.3MFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote — Date unknown Market cap record date: 2026-10-26. FMP quote timestamp: 2026-10-26T15:36:42.000Z. Captured from FMP at 2026-10-26T15:44:43.811Z. No share-count basis is inferred; this page preserves the reported amount instead of recalculating it from shares.
px.change_absChange on the day, in dollars+$0.03FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
fin.q_revenueRevenue, Q2 FY2026$7MFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly)
px.pePrice / earnings (trailing)1.75FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
px.volumeShares traded on the day7.5KFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
fin.q_incomeNet income, Q2 FY2026-$8MFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly)
fin.q_tableQuarterly income statement4 quarters through Q2 FY2026FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly), as filed

UNRECORDED — 6 facts from stored observations whose source was not recorded

UNRECORDED facts used on this page
Fact IDFactValue as shownAs ofTierSource
earn.historyReported versus estimated, recent quartersEPS beat 0 of 3UNRECORDEDStored earnings-history observation — Captured 2026-09-16 · Expired observation
fin.scoresDistress and quality screensAltman Z 0.04 · Piotroski F 0UNRECORDEDStored financial-scores observation — Captured 2026-10-25 · Expired observation
px.range5252-week range$4.31 – $26.44UNRECORDEDStored company-profile observation — Captured 2026-10-24
id.employeesEmployees44UNRECORDEDStored company-profile observation — Captured 2026-10-24
id.ceoChief executiveBradford Luke LedbetterUNRECORDEDStored company-profile observation — Captured 2026-10-24
fin.ratiosReturn and yield ratios (trailing twelve months)ROE 29.2% · ROA 7.5% · earnings yield 57.1%—UNRECORDEDStored key metrics — Date unknown

OURS — 2 facts from Stock Expert AI's own score and rank

OURS facts used on this page
Fact IDFactValue as shownAs ofTierSource
ours.moonshotMoonshotScore v224 of 100 · Weak · pillars 1 / 13 / 8 / 92 / 1OURSStock Expert AI MoonshotScore v2 engine
ours.moonshot_changeMoonshotScore movement24 (stored snapshot Oct 24, 2026) → 24 (current publication computed Oct 26, 2026) (0)OURSStock Expert AI current score publication and immutable score snapshots — The current score publication is not yet represented in the immutable snapshot archive.
Published
Research standards
Methodology · Editorial policy · Corrections
Data Sources & Methodology
Figures come from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP). If FMP has no figure for a ticker, a price or fundamental may come from a Yahoo Finance fallback, or a price from an Alpaca fallback. SEC EDGAR is used only for filing links and company identity details (legal name, address), never for figures. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.