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Mesoblast Limited (MESO) Stock Analysis

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$15.50 -$0.64 (-3.97%) |Weak · 30
Mesoblast Limited (MESO) bottom line: signals are mixed — the Council read leans Split View (42/100) while the AI fundamental score is 30/100 (grade D); the two lenses disagree, so weigh the breakdown below. Strongest signal: Ray Dalio bullish · Biggest watch-out: Seth Klarman bearish.Educational signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Compare sector peers → · Read the method →
MCap: $2.01B| Vol: 182.1K| Target: $39.00 (+151.6%) (Aug 29, 2026) (estimate, not advice)| 52-wk range: $13.05 – $21.50

Market cap $2.01B is the value of all shares combined. Beta 0.79: the stock has moved about 21% less than the S&P 500.

Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gpt-4o-mini, generated Jun 14, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR

Quick Answer

Mesoblast Limited (MESO) trades at $15.50 with MoonshotScore 30/100 (Grade D). Mesoblast Limited is a biopharmaceutical company specializing in allogeneic cellular medicines, focusing on regenerative therapies for various diseases. Market cap: $2.01B, Sector: Healthcare.

Price as of Sep 10, 2026 · Last analyzed: Jun 14, 2026
Mesoblast Limited is a biopharmaceutical company specializing in allogeneic cellular medicines, focusing on regenerative therapies for various diseases. Founded in 2004 and headquartered in Melbourne, Australia, the company is advancing multiple products through clinical trials across several therapeutic areas.

MESO stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $39.00 for Mesoblast Limited, suggesting 151.6% upside from the current price of $15.50. The AI MoonshotScore is 30/100, in the Weak band (below 45) — a research signal, not a recommendation. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the MESO film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min

These figures come from statements filed 12 months ago — the most recent this company has published.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Split View 42/100 · C

MESO: 1/3 scored disciplines lean bearish. Dominant signal: Ray Dalio bullish.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Five-pillar engine · 30/100
Business Quality
Neutral Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Neutral Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Neutral Am I paying a fair price?
Growth Durability
Strong Is the growth real and likely to last?
Momentum
Neutral Is the market already moving on this?

Strongest side: Growth Durability (8/10, Strong). Weakest side: Business Quality (4/10, Neutral).

Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Dalio-style lens (simulated)Ray Dalio
Favorable read
Griffin-style lens (simulated)Ken Griffin
Neutral read
Simons-style lens (simulated)Jim Simons
Neutral read
Englander-style lens (simulated)Izzy Englander
Neutral read
Klarman-style lens (simulated)Seth Klarman
Unfavorable read
Moon AI lens (model)
Neutral read
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Neutral
Margin of Safety
Fairly Valued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →
The lenses are modelled on the published principles of the investors named. We are not affiliated with them, they have not endorsed this, and it is not their opinion of this stock.

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Mesoblast Limited (MESO) Healthcare & Pipeline Overview

CEOSilviu Itescu
Employees108
HeadquartersMelbourne, VIC, AU
IPO Year2010

Mesoblast Limited is a biopharmaceutical innovator developing allogeneic cellular medicines, leveraging its proprietary regenerative technology platform to target critical health issues in cardiovascular, orthopedic, and immune-mediated diseases across global markets.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NASDAQ Analysis: Jun 14, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for MESO?

AI-written as of Jun 14, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Key growth catalysts include the anticipated completion of Phase III trials for remestemcel-L and Rexlemestrocel-L, which could significantly enhance revenue streams upon successful commercialization. Additionally, Mesoblast's collaborations with Tasly and JCR Pharmaceuticals are expected to facilitate market entry in China, a region with substantial demand for advanced therapies. However, investors should be aware of the inherent risks associated with clinical trial outcomes and regulatory approvals, which may impact the company's financial performance. Overall, Mesoblast's unique technology platform and strategic initiatives provide a strong foundation for future growth.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

MESO Key Highlights

AI-written as of Jun 14, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Market Cap of $2.01B indicates a significant valuation within the biotechnology sector.

  • P/E ratio of -197.14 reflects ongoing investment in R&D amid current losses.
  • Profit Margin of -500.5% highlights the challenges in achieving profitability during the development phase.
  • Gross Margin of -218.7% indicates high costs associated with product development and clinical trials.
  • Beta of 0.79 suggests lower volatility compared to the broader market, appealing to risk-averse investors.

Who Are MESO's Competitors?

MESO is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap MoonshotScore
IBRX ImmunityBio, Inc. $7.72 -4.22% $8.09B
LQDA Liquidia Corporation $67.97 -1.66% $6.04B 965-pillar
COGT Cogent Biosciences, Inc. $33.72 -1.36% $5.76B 555-pillar
VCEL Vericel Corporation $38.22 -1.97% $1.96B 915-pillar
AUPH Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc. $16.11 -0.86% $2.07B 905-pillar
ADMA ADMA Biologics, Inc. $9.42 -0.31% $2.18B 925-pillar
TRVI Trevi Therapeutics, Inc. $15.91 -4.39% $2.26B 665-pillar
HRMY Harmony Biosciences Holdings, Inc. $41.10 -1.25% $2.39B 975-pillar

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are MESO's Key Strengths?

Innovative technology platform with proprietary mesenchymal lineage cells.

  • Diverse product pipeline addressing multiple therapeutic areas.
  • Strong partnerships enhancing market access and development capabilities.
  • Experienced management team with deep industry knowledge.

What Are MESO's Weaknesses?

Negative profit margins indicating ongoing financial challenges.

  • Dependence on successful clinical trial outcomes for revenue generation.
  • Limited market presence compared to larger biopharmaceutical companies.
  • High R&D costs impacting short-term profitability.

What Are the Key Risks for MESO?

Negative return on equity (-16.1%) — the business is not currently generating profit on shareholder capital.

  • Inconsistent delivery — missed Wall Street EPS estimates in 5 of the last 8 reported quarters.
  • Regulatory hurdles may delay the approval process for key products, impacting revenue timelines.
  • Dependence on clinical trial outcomes poses significant risks to the company's financial performance and market perception.
  • Intense competition in the biotechnology sector could limit market share and pricing power for Mesoblast's therapies.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for MESO?

  • Expansion into the Chinese Market: Mesoblast has formed a strategic partnership with Tasly Pharmaceutical Group to offer its products in China, a market with a growing demand for advanced therapies.
  • Advancements in Clinical Trials: The ongoing Phase III trials for remestemcel-L and Rexlemestrocel-L are critical growth drivers. Successful outcomes could lead to regulatory approvals and commercialization, potentially generating substantial revenue streams.
  • Diversification of Product Pipeline: Mesoblast is actively developing multiple products targeting various therapeutic areas, including chronic low back pain and rheumatoid arthritis. The increasing prevalence of these conditions presents a significant market opportunity, with the global chronic pain market expected to reach $80 billion by 2026.
  • Strategic Collaborations: Partnerships with companies like JCR Pharmaceuticals and Grünenthal enhance Mesoblast's capabilities in developing and commercializing its therapies. These collaborations not only provide financial support but also facilitate market access and distribution, accelerating growth potential.
  • Focus on Regenerative Medicine: The global regenerative medicine market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 23% from 2020 to 2025. Mesoblast's focus on allogeneic cellular therapies positions it to capitalize on this trend, with increasing investment and interest from healthcare providers and patients alike.

What Threats Does MESO Face?

  • Intense competition from established biopharmaceutical companies.
  • Regulatory hurdles that could delay product approvals.
  • Market volatility impacting funding and investment opportunities.
  • Potential for negative clinical trial results affecting investor confidence.

What Are MESO's Competitive Advantages?

  • Proprietary technology platform based on mesenchymal lineage cells.
  • Strong pipeline of products in advanced stages of clinical trials.
  • Strategic partnerships with established pharmaceutical companies.
  • Focus on unmet medical needs in high-demand therapeutic areas.
  • Experienced leadership team with a track record in biotechnology.

What Does MESO Do?

Mesoblast Limited, established in 2004 and headquartered in Melbourne, Australia, is a pioneering biopharmaceutical company that specializes in developing and commercializing allogeneic cellular medicines. The company has built its reputation on a proprietary regenerative medicine technology platform that utilizes specialized mesenchymal lineage cells. Mesoblast's innovative approach targets a variety of serious health conditions, including cardiovascular diseases, orthopedic disorders, oncology, hematology, and immune-mediated inflammatory diseases. The company has made significant strides in advancing its product pipeline, with several candidates currently in Phase III clinical trials. Notably, remestemcel-L is being evaluated for its efficacy in treating steroid refractory acute graft versus host disease and acute respiratory distress syndrome related to COVID-19. Additionally, Rexlemestrocel-L is aimed at addressing advanced chronic heart failure, while MPC-06-ID targets chronic low back pain due to degenerative disc disease. Mesoblast is also exploring MPC-300-IV for biologic refractory rheumatoid arthritis and diabetic nephropathy. The company has formed strategic partnerships with notable organizations such as Tasly Pharmaceutical Group, JCR Pharmaceuticals Co. Ltd., and Grünenthal to enhance its product offerings and expand its market reach, particularly in China and other international markets. With a dedicated team of 73 employees, Mesoblast is committed to delivering innovative therapies that improve patient outcomes and address unmet medical needs.

What Products and Services Does MESO Offer?

  • Develop and commercialize allogeneic cellular medicines.
  • Target serious health conditions including cardiovascular diseases and orthopedic disorders.
  • Utilize proprietary regenerative medicine technology based on mesenchymal lineage cells.
  • Conduct Phase III clinical trials for multiple innovative therapies.
  • Form strategic partnerships to enhance product offerings and market reach.
  • Focus on addressing unmet medical needs in various therapeutic areas.

How Does MESO Make Money?

  • Generate revenue through the commercialization of proprietary therapies.
  • Engage in strategic partnerships to expand market access and distribution.
  • Invest in R&D to develop innovative treatments for serious health conditions.
  • Pursue regulatory approvals for products in clinical trials to drive future sales.
  • Leverage intellectual property to protect and monetize innovations.

What Industry Does MESO Operate In?

The biotechnology industry is experiencing robust growth, driven by advancements in regenerative medicine and increasing demand for innovative therapies. The global regenerative medicine market is projected to expand significantly, fueled by the rising prevalence of chronic diseases and aging populations. Mesoblast Limited is well-positioned within this landscape, focusing on allogeneic cellular therapies that address critical health issues. The competitive landscape includes notable players such as ImmunityBio, Inc., Liquidia Corporation, and Cogent Biosciences, Inc., all of which are vying for market share in the evolving biopharmaceutical space. Mesoblast's unique technology platform and strategic partnerships enhance its competitive positioning, allowing it to capitalize on emerging opportunities in the market.

Who Are MESO's Key Customers?

  • Healthcare providers seeking innovative treatment options.
  • Patients with chronic and severe medical conditions.
  • Pharmaceutical partners for collaborative product development.
  • Regulatory agencies for approval of new therapies.
  • Investors interested in biotechnology advancements.
Model self-rating on this text: 72% (not a measure of the evidence) Updated: Jun 14, 2026

Research confidence

High 100/100

Broad, current evidence sits behind this analysis.

  • Scored on 91% of our measures
  • Price is current
  • Latest filing 43 days ago
  • Covered by analysts

Why 30?

Measured against companies in the same sector. The figures below are the factor contributions the scoring engine itself produced.

What is helping

  • +0.48 Revenue growth (Growth)
  • +0.22 Return on equity (Business Quality)
  • +0.20 Gross margin (Business Quality)

What is holding it back

  • -0.78 Operating margin (Business Quality)
  • -0.57 Net margin (Business Quality)
  • -0.14 Debt to equity (Financial Strength)

Risk penalties applied

  • -1.57 Loss-making with negative retained earnings

Contribution = how far the company sits from its sector on that measure, weighted by how much the pillar counts. Not investment advice. How the score is built →

MoonshotScore History

Recorded daily since 2026-08-23 · 19 snapshots

2026-08-23 65
2026-08-26 65
2026-08-29 65
2026-09-01 27
2026-09-04 27
2026-09-07 24
2026-09-10 30

What changed?

The grade moved from 65 to 30 (-35).

Over the same 18 days the stock moved -8.8%.

Company Profile

Mesoblast Limited operates in the Biotechnology industry within the Healthcare sector. It is headquartered in Melbourne, AU. The company is led by CEO Silviu Itescu. MESO has traded publicly since 2010.

ROE -16%

Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Mesoblast Limited stands at -16.1%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is -12.1%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. Its free cash flow yield is -2.6%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 1.58 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is -4.6%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

MESO Valuation & Market Position

With a $2.01B market cap, Mesoblast Limited sits in the mid-cap segment of the market. Analyst price targets span from $39.00 to $39.00, with a consensus of $39.00. At the current price of $15.50, that implies approximately 152% upside potential. Relative to its peer group, MESO's quantitative score of 30/100 is below the peer average of 84/100.

Quarterly Financial Performance: Mesoblast Limited

Revenue for Mesoblast Limited came in at $34.5M during Q4 FY2026. The company recorded a net loss of $8.7M, with diluted EPS of $-0.07. Quarter-over-quarter revenue has been mixed, typical for a mid-cap company operating in Healthcare. Across the four most recent quarters, MESO averaged $-0.11 in diluted EPS.

F-Score 4/9

Financial Health

Mesoblast Limited's Piotroski F-Score is 4/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 4.32 places it in the safe zone, indicating low near-term bankruptcy risk.

3/8 beats

Earnings Track Record

Mesoblast Limited has missed Wall Street's EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reported quarters — a mixed record worth weighing. Reported results have landed about 17.2% below estimates on average.

Net buying

Insider Activity

Over the past six months, Mesoblast Limited insiders filed 26 SEC Form 4 transactions — 0 sales and 26 purchases. On net that is roughly 8.5M shares acquired (about $19.9M) — insiders putting money in tends to read as conviction.

MESO Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Net Income Growth (FY)
+43.5%
EPS Growth (FY)
+46.7%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
+11.8%
Return on Equity (TTM)
-16.1%
Current Ratio
1.6

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2026

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Innovative technology platform with proprietary mesenchymal lineage cells.
  • Diverse product pipeline addressing multiple therapeutic areas.
  • Strong partnerships enhancing market access and development capabilities.
  • Experienced management team with deep industry knowledge.

Bear Case

  • Negative profit margins indicating ongoing financial challenges.
  • Dependence on successful clinical trial outcomes for revenue generation.
  • Limited market presence compared to larger biopharmaceutical companies.
  • High R&D costs impacting short-term profitability.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · September 2026

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q4 FY2026 $34M -$9M -$0.07
Q3 FY2026 $34M -$9M -$0.07
Q2 FY2026 $26M -$20M -$0.16
Q1 FY2026 $26M -$20M -$0.16

Q4 FY2026 · filed 30 Jul 2026 · SEC EDGAR →

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

MESO Latest News

MESO Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for MESO.

Price Targets

Low
$39.00
Consensus
$39.00
High
$39.00

Median: $39.00 (+151.6% from current price)

Source: FMP analyst consensus · as of Aug 29, 2026 · an estimate, not advice

MESO MoonshotScore

30/100

What does this score mean?

MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. MESO scores 30/100 (Grade D): the number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Latest Mesoblast Limited Analysis

Leadership: Silviu Itescu

CEO

Silviu Itescu is the CEO of Mesoblast Limited, bringing extensive experience in the biopharmaceutical sector. He holds a medical degree and has a strong background in regenerative medicine. Prior to joining Mesoblast, he held various leadership roles in biotechnology companies, focusing on product development and commercialization.

Track Record: Under Silviu Itescu's leadership, Mesoblast has advanced multiple products through clinical trials, establishing strategic partnerships that enhance its market position. His vision for the company has driven innovation and growth, positioning Mesoblast as a leader in regenerative medicine.

Mesoblast Limited ADR Information Sponsored

An American Depositary Receipt (ADR) is a financial instrument that represents shares in a foreign company, allowing U.S. investors to buy shares in foreign companies without dealing with foreign stock exchanges. Mesoblast Limited's ADR is classified as Level II, which allows for greater visibility and trading ease in the U.S. market.

  • Home Market Ticker: Melbourne, Australia
  • ADR Level: 2
  • ADR Ratio: 1:1
Currency Risk: Investors in Mesoblast's ADR are exposed to currency risk, as fluctuations in the Australian dollar can affect the value of their investment. If the Australian dollar weakens against the U.S. dollar, the value of the ADR may decrease, impacting returns for U.S. investors.
Tax Implications: U.S. investors holding Mesoblast's ADR may be subject to a foreign dividend withholding tax rate of 15%. However, tax treaties between the U.S. and Australia may reduce this rate, depending on individual circumstances.
Trading Hours: The Australian stock market operates from 10:00 AM to 4:00 PM AEST, while U.S. stock exchanges operate from 9:30 AM to 4:00 PM EST. This results in a time difference that can affect trading volumes and price movements for Mesoblast's ADR.

Common Questions About MESO (Healthcare)

What does the AI Score mean for MESO?

MESO holds an AI Score of 30/100 (Grade: D). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers. Mesoblast Limited is a biopharmaceutical company specializing in allogeneic cellular medicines, focusing on regenerative therapies for various diseases.

Is MESO a good stock?

Stock Expert AI does not rate MESO buy, sell or hold. Mesoblast Limited carries a MoonshotScore of 30/100 on the five-pillar engine, a research rating against its peers. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns, what the price assumes, and what would prove you wrong.

How does Mesoblast Limited manage patent expiration risks?

Mesoblast Limited employs a robust intellectual property strategy to manage patent expiration risks. This includes filing for new patents to protect innovative therapies, maintaining a diverse product pipeline to ensure continuous revenue streams, and engaging in lifecycle management strategies to extend the commercial viability of existing products.

What are the key factors to evaluate for MESO?

Mesoblast Limited (MESO) holds an AI score of 30/100 (low). Analysts target $39.00 (+152%). P/E ratio of -197.14 reflects ongoing investment in R&D amid current losses. Not financial advice.

How frequently does MESO data refresh on this page?

MESO's price was last updated on Sep 10, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours; the quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven MESO's recent stock price performance?

Mesoblast Limited (MESO) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Innovative technology platform with proprietary mesenchymal lineage cells. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider MESO overvalued or undervalued right now?

Mesoblast Limited (MESO) is loss-making, so its trailing P/E is negative (-222.14x) and not usable for valuation — lean on price-to-sales and cash flow in the Financials tab. Analysts target $39.00 (+152%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Can I buy fractional shares of MESO?

Yes, most major brokerages offer fractional shares of Mesoblast Limited (MESO) with no minimum purchase requirement. This means you can invest any dollar amount regardless of the share price. Check your brokerage platform for specific terms, fees, and fractional share availability.

How can I track MESO's earnings and financial reports?

Mesoblast Limited (MESO) reports quarterly earnings approximately 4-6 weeks after each fiscal quarter ends. You can track earnings dates, revenue and EPS estimates, and actual results on this page's Financials tab. Earnings surprises (beats or misses) often cause significant short-term price moves. Your brokerage can send alerts for MESO earnings announcements.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated MoonshotScore as of
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Data sourced from company profile and financial reports.
Data Sources
Financial Modeling Prep (FMP)Stock Expert AI proprietary analysis

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