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Murphy USA Inc. (MUSA)

$566.63 +$5.88 (+1.05%) |Strong · 73
Bottom line: BUY — our Council read (73/100) and AI Score (73/100) broadly agree.
MCap: $10.47B| P/E Ratio: 18.8| Vol: 112.9K| Target: $457.83 (-19.2%)| 52-wk range: $345.23 – $636.05
Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.

Murphy USA Inc. (MUSA) trades at $566.63 with AI Score 73/100 (Grade A). Murphy USA Inc. operates retail gasoline and convenience stores across the Southeast, Southwest, and Midwest United States. Market cap: $10.47B, Sector: Consumer cyclical.

Price live · AI analysis from May 10, 2026
Murphy USA Inc. operates retail gasoline and convenience stores across the Southeast, Southwest, and Midwest United States. The company markets motor fuel products and convenience merchandise through its Murphy USA, Murphy Express, and QuickChek brands.

MUSA stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $457.83 for Murphy USA Inc., suggesting 19.2% downside from the current price of $566.63. The AI MoonshotScore is 73/100, indicating a bullish outlook. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
BUY 73/100 · A

MUSA: 1/1 perspectives are bullish.

How is this calculated? →
Council Score · 8 perspectives · See tabs for details →

Murphy USA Inc. (MUSA) Consumer Business Overview

CEORenee Bacon
Employees5900
HeadquartersEl Dorado, AR, US
IPO Year2013

Murphy USA Inc. (MUSA) is a leading operator of retail gasoline stations and convenience stores in the United States, primarily under the Murphy USA and Murphy Express brands. The company focuses on high-volume, low-cost fuel sales and complementary convenience merchandise, serving value-conscious customers across the Southeast, Southwest, and Midwest.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NASDAQ Analysis: May 10, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for MUSA?

Murphy USA Inc. presents a compelling investment case based on its established market position, consistent profitability, and strategic focus on value-conscious consumers. With a market capitalization of $10.47B and a P/E ratio of 18.8, the company demonstrates financial stability. The company's beta of 0.23 indicates lower volatility compared to the broader market. Ongoing catalysts include the company's expansion of its Murphy Express store network and its focus on increasing convenience merchandise sales. However, potential risks include fluctuations in fuel prices and increasing competition from other convenience store chains. The company's dividend yield of 0.40% offers a modest income stream for investors.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

MUSA Key Highlights

  • Murphy USA operates 1,679 retail gasoline stores as of December 31, 2021, providing a substantial retail footprint.
  • The company's profit margin stands at 2.8%, reflecting its ability to maintain profitability in the competitive retail gasoline market.
  • Murphy USA's gross margin is 5.5%, indicating its efficiency in managing the cost of goods sold.
  • With a beta of 0.23, Murphy USA exhibits lower volatility compared to the broader market, appealing to risk-averse investors.
  • The company's dividend yield of 0.40% offers a modest income stream for shareholders.

Who Are MUSA's Competitors?

MUSA is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap AI Score
ALSN Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. $115.50 -0.74% $9.58B 66
LEVI Levi Strauss & Co. $24.69 +1.15% $9.72B 86
VIPS Vipshop Holdings Limited $13.28 +0.11% $6.53B 42
BIRK Birkenstock Holding plc $45.98 -0.02% $8.46B 49
CHDN Churchill Downs Incorporated $89.43 -1.63% $6.23B 62
GPGNF Grupo Gigante, S. A. B. de C. V. $1.64 +0.00% $1.63B 68
MNSO MINISO Group Holding Limited $11.89 +1.49% $3.63B 64
FDIT Findit, Inc. $0.03 -14.86% $30.13M 63

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are MUSA's Key Strengths?

  • Established market position in the retail gasoline and convenience store industry.
  • Strategic locations near Walmart stores provide a competitive advantage.
  • Focus on value pricing attracts price-sensitive customers.
  • Efficient operations and cost control.

What Are MUSA's Weaknesses?

  • Reliance on motor fuel sales, which are subject to price fluctuations.
  • Limited geographic diversification.
  • Exposure to regulatory changes related to fuel standards and environmental regulations.
  • Vulnerability to economic downturns and changes in consumer spending habits.

What Could Drive MUSA Stock Higher?

  • Expansion of the Murphy Express store network, driving revenue growth and higher margins.
  • Increased focus on convenience merchandise sales, enhancing profitability.
  • Implementation of loyalty programs and digital marketing initiatives to enhance customer retention.
  • Potential strategic acquisitions and partnerships to expand geographic footprint and product offerings.

What Are the Key Risks for MUSA?

  • Insider selling — insiders were net sellers of roughly $4.1M recently.
  • Fluctuations in fuel prices can impact profitability and competitiveness.
  • Increasing competition from other convenience store chains.
  • Changes in consumer preferences and shopping habits.
  • Regulatory changes related to fuel standards and environmental regulations.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for MUSA?

  • Expansion of Murphy Express Store Network: Murphy USA has the opportunity to expand its Murphy Express store network, which offers a broader selection of convenience merchandise and higher margins compared to traditional Murphy USA stores. By strategically opening new Murphy Express locations in underserved markets, the company can increase its market share and drive revenue growth. The convenience store market is projected to reach $827 billion by 2028, providing a significant growth runway for Murphy USA. This expansion is an ongoing catalyst.
  • Increased Focus on Convenience Merchandise Sales: Murphy USA can increase its profitability by focusing on growing its convenience merchandise sales. By offering a wider variety of products, improving in-store merchandising, and implementing targeted promotions, the company can attract more customers and increase basket sizes. The convenience merchandise market is a high-margin business, and Murphy USA's existing store network provides a strong platform for growth. This is an ongoing catalyst.
  • Leveraging Loyalty Programs and Digital Marketing: Murphy USA can enhance customer loyalty and drive sales through the implementation of loyalty programs and digital marketing initiatives. By offering rewards, discounts, and personalized promotions to loyal customers, the company can increase customer retention and encourage repeat visits. Digital marketing can also be used to target new customers and promote special offers. This is an ongoing catalyst.
  • Strategic Acquisitions and Partnerships: Murphy USA can pursue strategic acquisitions and partnerships to expand its geographic footprint and enhance its product offerings. By acquiring smaller regional chains or partnering with complementary businesses, the company can gain access to new markets, increase its scale, and diversify its revenue streams. The retail gasoline and convenience store industry is ripe for consolidation, providing opportunities for Murphy USA to grow through acquisitions. This is an upcoming catalyst.
  • Optimization of Fuel Procurement and Distribution: Murphy USA can improve its profitability by optimizing its fuel procurement and distribution processes. By leveraging its scale and expertise, the company can negotiate favorable fuel prices with suppliers and streamline its logistics operations. Efficient fuel procurement and distribution are critical for maintaining competitiveness in the retail gasoline market. This is an ongoing catalyst.

What Opportunities Does MUSA Have?

  • Expansion of Murphy Express store network.
  • Increased focus on convenience merchandise sales.
  • Leveraging loyalty programs and digital marketing.
  • Strategic acquisitions and partnerships.

What Threats Does MUSA Face?

  • Fluctuations in fuel prices.
  • Increasing competition from other convenience store chains.
  • Changes in consumer preferences and shopping habits.
  • Regulatory changes related to fuel standards and environmental regulations.

What Are MUSA's Competitive Advantages?

  • Strategic locations near Walmart stores provide a competitive advantage.
  • Focus on value pricing attracts price-sensitive customers.
  • Established brand recognition and customer loyalty.
  • Efficient operations and cost control.

What Does MUSA Do?

Founded in 1996 and headquartered in El Dorado, Arkansas, Murphy USA Inc. has grown to become a prominent player in the retail gasoline and convenience store industry. The company operates a network of 1,679 retail gasoline stores as of December 31, 2021, primarily under the Murphy USA and Murphy Express brands, with a smaller number of QuickChek locations. Murphy USA stations are typically located near Walmart stores, leveraging the retail giant's customer traffic to drive fuel sales. Murphy Express stores offer a broader selection of convenience merchandise and are often located in stand-alone locations. The company's strategy focuses on providing value to customers through competitive fuel prices and a convenient shopping experience. Murphy USA's business model emphasizes operational efficiency and cost control to maintain profitability in a competitive market. The company's geographic footprint is concentrated in the Southeast, Southwest, and Midwest regions of the United States, allowing for regional scale and efficient distribution.

What Products and Services Does MUSA Offer?

  • Operates retail gasoline stations under the Murphy USA brand.
  • Operates convenience stores under the Murphy Express brand.
  • Markets motor fuel products to retail customers.
  • Sells convenience merchandise, including snacks, beverages, and tobacco products.
  • Provides fuel discounts and loyalty programs to attract customers.
  • Maintains a network of stores primarily located near Walmart stores.

How Does MUSA Make Money?

  • Generates revenue from the sale of motor fuel products.
  • Generates revenue from the sale of convenience merchandise.
  • Focuses on high-volume, low-cost fuel sales.
  • Emphasizes operational efficiency and cost control.

What Industry Does MUSA Operate In?

Murphy USA operates within the highly competitive retail gasoline and convenience store industry. The industry is characterized by fluctuating fuel prices, intense competition, and evolving consumer preferences. Market trends include the increasing demand for convenience merchandise, the growth of electric vehicles, and the consolidation of retail chains. Murphy USA's focus on value pricing and operational efficiency allows it to compete effectively against larger players and regional competitors. The company's strategic locations near Walmart stores provide a competitive advantage by leveraging existing customer traffic.

Who Are MUSA's Key Customers?

  • Value-conscious consumers seeking competitive fuel prices.
  • Customers seeking convenient shopping experiences.
  • Commuters and travelers.
  • Residents of the Southeast, Southwest, and Midwest United States.
AI Confidence: 72% Updated: May 10, 2026

Net sellingInsider Activity

Over the past six months, Murphy USA Inc. insiders filed 15 SEC Form 4 transactions — 8 sales and 7 purchases. On net that is roughly 9K shares disposed (about $4.1M), a signal worth weighing alongside the fundamentals.

FY2026 estForward Outlook

Wall Street analysts project Murphy USA Inc. revenue of about $21.93B for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $32.11. The estimate reflects 9 contributing analysts.

F-Score 7/9Financial Health

Murphy USA Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — signaling solid underlying fundamentals. Its Altman Z-Score of 7.28 places it in the safe zone, indicating low near-term bankruptcy risk.

ROE 90%Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Murphy USA Inc. stands at 89.5%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 11.4%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. MUSA trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 18.76, below the Consumer Cyclical sector average of ~39x. Its free cash flow yield is 5.4%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 0.83 means current liabilities exceed short-term assets, a liquidity point worth watching. Its earnings yield is 5.3%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

Murphy USA Inc. (MUSA) Valuation Context

Valued at $10.47B, MUSA is classified as a large-cap stock. Relative to its peer group, MUSA's quantitative score of 73/100 is above the peer average of 61/100.

Company Profile

Murphy USA Inc. operates in the Specialty Retail industry within the Consumer Cyclical sector. It is headquartered in El Dorado, US. The company is led by CEO Donald R. Smith Jr.. MUSA has traded publicly since 2013.

MUSA Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
-4.2%
Net Income Growth (FY)
-6.3%
EPS Growth (FY)
-0.4%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
-3.9%
P/E (TTM)
18.8
Return on Equity (TTM)
+89.5%
Current Ratio
0.8
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
11.5

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Established market position in the retail gasoline and convenience store industry.
  • Strategic locations near Walmart stores provide a competitive advantage.
  • Focus on value pricing attracts price-sensitive customers.
  • Efficient operations and cost control.

Bear Case

  • Reliance on motor fuel sales, which are subject to price fluctuations.
  • Limited geographic diversification.
  • Exposure to regulatory changes related to fuel standards and environmental regulations.
  • Vulnerability to economic downturns and changes in consumer spending habits.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · July 2026

MUSA Latest News

MUSA Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for MUSA.

Price Targets

Consensus target: $457.83

MUSA MoonshotScore

73/100

What does this score mean?

The MoonshotScore rates MUSA's growth potential on a scale of 0-100 across multiple factors including innovation, market disruption, financial health, and momentum.

Latest Murphy USA Inc. Analysis

Leadership: Renee Bacon

Unknown

Information on Renee Bacon's background is not available in the provided context. Additional research would be needed to provide a comprehensive biography, including her career history, education, and previous roles.

Track Record: Information on Renee Bacon's track record and key achievements is not available in the provided context. Further research would be required to assess her performance and strategic decisions as CEO.

MUSA Consumer Cyclical Stock FAQ

What does Murphy USA Inc. do?

Murphy USA Inc. operates retail gasoline stations and convenience stores, primarily under the Murphy USA and Murphy Express brands. The company focuses on providing value to customers through competitive fuel prices and a convenient shopping experience. Murphy USA stations are typically located near Walmart stores, leveraging the retail giant's customer traffic to drive fuel sales. Murphy Express stores offer a broader selection of convenience merchandise and are often located in stand-alone locations. The company's business model emphasizes operational efficiency and cost control to maintain profitability in a competitive market.

What are the main risks for MUSA?

The main risks for Murphy USA Inc. include fluctuations in fuel prices, which can impact profitability and competitiveness. The company also faces increasing competition from other convenience store chains, as well as potential changes in consumer preferences and shopping habits. Regulatory changes related to fuel standards and environmental regulations could also pose a risk to the company's operations. These risks are inherent in the retail gasoline and convenience store industry and require careful monitoring and management.

What are the key factors to evaluate for MUSA?

Murphy USA Inc. (MUSA) holds an AI score of 73/100 (high). P/E: 18.8x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $457.83 (-19%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does MUSA data refresh on this page?

MUSA prices update in real time during U.S. market hours. Fundamentals refresh after quarterly filings; analyst ratings and AI insights update daily; news is aggregated continuously.

What has driven MUSA's recent stock price performance?

Murphy USA Inc. (MUSA) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Established market position in the retail gasoline and convenience store industry. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider MUSA overvalued or undervalued right now?

Murphy USA Inc. (MUSA) trades at 18.8x earnings. Analysts target $457.83 (-19%) — downside risk seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

What research should beginners do before buying MUSA?

Before investing in Murphy USA Inc. (MUSA), research these four areas: (1) the company's revenue model and competitive position (see Company Overview), (2) financial health through revenue growth, margins, and cash flow (see MoonshotScore), (3) what Wall Street analysts recommend and their price targets (see Analyst tab), and (4) specific risk factors that could impact the stock (see Risk Factors section).

Why might investors consider adding MUSA to a portfolio?

Key strength of Murphy USA Inc. (MUSA): Established market position in the retail gasoline and convenience store industry. Its MoonshotScore of 73/100 reflects strong quantitative fundamentals. Weigh rewards against risks and diversify. Not financial advice.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated AI Score refreshed daily
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • CEO Renee Bacon's title and track record could not be determined from the provided information.
  • Analyst consensus and detailed financial projections were not available in the provided context and would require additional research.
Data Sources

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