National Grid plc (NGG) Stock Analysis

Why this analysis is different

• A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
• An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
• Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

National Grid plc (NGG) Utility Operations & Dividend Profile

National Grid plc, a major player in the regulated electric industry, focuses on electricity and gas transmission and distribution across the UK and the US Northeast. With a strong emphasis on infrastructure and system operation, the company ensures reliable energy delivery in its key markets, boasting a substantial market capitalization.

What Is the Investment Thesis for NGG?

The company's stable revenue streams, underpinned by regulated assets in the UK and the US, offer a degree of resilience in fluctuating economic conditions. With a market capitalization of $76.8B and a dividend yield of 3.61%, NGG provides a blend of stability and income. Growth catalysts include investments in grid modernization and renewable energy infrastructure. However, investors may want to evaluate regulatory risks and potential impacts from evolving energy policies. The company's beta of 0.64 suggests lower volatility compared to the broader market.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

NGG Key Highlights

Market capitalization of $76.8B, reflecting its significant presence in the utilities sector.

• P/E ratio of 17.27, indicating investor valuation relative to earnings.
• Profit margin of 16.4%, showcasing profitability in its operations.
• Gross margin of 100.0%, reflecting efficient cost management in its core business activities.
• Dividend yield of 3.61%, offering a steady income stream for investors.

Who Are NGG's Competitors?

NGG is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance This table mixes two scoring engines — compare a number only with others carrying the same tag.

What Are NGG's Key Strengths?

Stable revenue streams from regulated assets.

• Diversified operations across the UK and the US.
• Strong market position in key energy markets.
• Experienced management team with a focus on operational efficiency.

What Are NGG's Weaknesses?

Exposure to regulatory risks and policy changes.

• Capital-intensive business model with significant debt burden.
• Vulnerability to weather-related events and infrastructure failures.
• Dependence on aging infrastructure in some areas.

What Could Drive NGG Stock Higher?

Investments in grid modernization projects to enhance network reliability and efficiency.

• Regulatory approvals for new infrastructure projects in the UK and the US.
• Expansion of renewable energy portfolio and transmission capabilities.
• Government incentives and subsidies for clean energy initiatives.

What Are the Key Risks for NGG?

Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of 1.66 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).

• Regulatory changes and policy uncertainties.
• Exposure to weather-related events and infrastructure failures.
• Increasing competition from alternative energy providers.
• Cybersecurity threats and data breaches.
• Fluctuations in currency exchange rates.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for NGG?

• Investment in Renewable Energy Infrastructure: National Grid has the opportunity to expand its renewable energy portfolio and transmission capabilities to support the growing demand for clean energy. This includes investments in offshore wind farms and interconnectors, which are projected to see significant growth in the coming years.
• Grid Modernization in the UK and US: Aging infrastructure in both the UK and the US requires significant investment in modernization and upgrades. National Grid can capitalize on this by investing in smart grid technologies, advanced metering infrastructure, and enhanced transmission capabilities. Government incentives and regulatory support for grid modernization projects are expected to drive growth in this area, with potential investments reaching billions of dollars over the next decade.
• Expansion of Electric Vehicle Charging Infrastructure: The increasing adoption of electric vehicles (EVs) presents a significant opportunity for National Grid to expand its EV charging infrastructure. This includes developing and deploying charging stations, upgrading grid capacity to support EV charging, and offering energy management services for EV owners. The global EV charging infrastructure market is projected to grow rapidly, offering a substantial growth opportunity for National Grid.
• Development of Hydrogen Infrastructure: As hydrogen emerges as a key energy carrier, National Grid can leverage its existing infrastructure and expertise to develop hydrogen production, storage, and transportation infrastructure. This includes repurposing existing gas pipelines for hydrogen transport and developing new hydrogen production facilities. Government support and industry initiatives are expected to drive growth in the hydrogen market, creating opportunities for National Grid.
• Strategic Acquisitions and Partnerships: National Grid can pursue strategic acquisitions and partnerships to expand its geographic reach, enhance its technological capabilities, and diversify its business portfolio. This includes acquiring smaller utilities, partnering with technology companies, and forming joint ventures to develop new energy solutions. Strategic acquisitions and partnerships can accelerate National Grid's growth and enhance its competitive position.

What Threats Does NGG Face?

• Increasing competition from alternative energy providers.
• Rising interest rates and inflation.
• Cybersecurity threats and data breaches.
• Economic downturns and reduced energy demand.

What Are NGG's Competitive Advantages?

• Regulated asset base provides stable and predictable revenue streams.
• High barriers to entry due to significant capital investments and regulatory requirements.
• Essential service provider with a critical role in energy delivery.
• Geographic diversification across the UK and the US Northeast.

What Does NGG Do?

Founded in 1990 and headquartered in London, National Grid plc has evolved into a critical energy infrastructure company. Originally established to manage and develop the high-voltage electricity transmission network in England and Wales, National Grid has expanded its operations to include electricity and gas distribution in the UK and the US. The company operates through five key segments: UK Electricity Transmission, responsible for electricity transmission and construction in England and Wales; UK Electricity Distribution, providing electricity distribution services in the Midlands, South West England, and South Wales; UK Electricity System Operator, balancing electricity supply and demand in Great Britain; New England, offering electricity and gas distribution and electricity transmission services; and New York, providing similar services. National Grid also engages in activities such as transmission services through electricity interconnectors, LNG importation, renewables project sales, property leasing, and insurance. Its strategic focus on regulated assets ensures a stable revenue stream and positions it as a key player in the energy transition.

What Products and Services Does NGG Offer?

• Transmits high-voltage electricity across England and Wales.
• Distributes electricity to homes and businesses in the UK Midlands, South West England, and South Wales.
• Balances the supply and demand of electricity on Great Britain's transmission system.
• Provides electricity and gas distribution services in New England.
• Offers electricity and gas distribution services in New York.
• Engages in LNG importation at the Isle of Grain.
• Develops and sells renewable energy projects.
• Leases and sells commercial property.

How Does NGG Make Money?

• Operates regulated electricity and gas transmission and distribution networks.
• Generates revenue through regulated tariffs and fees for energy delivery.
• Invests in infrastructure upgrades and expansions to maintain and improve network reliability.
• Participates in energy markets to balance supply and demand and manage system operations.

What Industry Does NGG Operate In?

National Grid plc operates within the regulated electric industry, a sector characterized by high barriers to entry and significant capital investments. The industry is undergoing a transformation driven by the increasing adoption of renewable energy sources and the need for grid modernization. National Grid's focus on regulated assets and its investments in renewable energy infrastructure position it to capitalize on these trends. Competitors such as The Southern Company (SO), Duke Energy Corporation (DUK), and American Electric Power Company (AEP) also operate in this space, focusing on regulated utilities and infrastructure development.

Who Are NGG's Key Customers?

• Residential customers who receive electricity and gas through its distribution networks.
• Commercial and industrial customers who rely on its networks for energy supply.
• Energy generators who use its transmission networks to transport electricity to consumers.
• Other utilities and energy companies that interconnect with its networks.

National Grid plc has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reported quarters — a consistent record of delivering on expectations. Reported results have landed about 8.3% above estimates on average.

National Grid plc's Piotroski F-Score is 5/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 1.66 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.

Return on equity for National Grid plc stands at 8.5%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 3.0%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. NGG trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 17.27, roughly in line with the Utilities sector average of ~16.60x. Its free cash flow yield is -6.3%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 0.76 means current liabilities exceed short-term assets, a liquidity point worth watching. Its earnings yield is 5.5%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

National Grid plc (NGG) Valuation Context

Valued at $76.8B, NGG is classified as a large-cap stock. Analyst price targets span from $73.00 to $85.50, with a consensus of $79.25. At the current price of $76.38, that implies approximately 4% upside potential. Relative to its peer group, NGG's quantitative score of 58/100 is roughly in line with the peer average of 56/100.

NGG Revenue & Earnings Trend

In Q4 FY2026, NGG generated $14.58B in top-line revenue, marking a sequential increase of 53.0%. The company recorded net income of $3.60B, with diluted EPS of $3.62. Quarter-over-quarter revenue has been mixed, typical for a large-cap company operating in Utilities. Across the four most recent quarters, NGG averaged $2.11 in diluted EPS.

Company Profile

National Grid plc operates in the Regulated Electric industry within the Utilities sector. It is headquartered in London, GB. The company is led by CEO Zoë Yujnovich. NGG has traded publicly since 2005.

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Common Questions About NGG (Utilities)

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

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