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NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG)

$136.70 $-4.10 (-2.91%) |Weak · 38
Bottom line: HOLD — our Council read (38/100) and AI Score (38/100) broadly agree.
MCap: $28.84B| P/E Ratio: 120.2| Vol: 2.96M| Target: $192.40 (+40.7%)|
Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.

NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG) trades at $136.70 with AI Score 38/100 (Grade D). NRG Energy, Inc. is an integrated power company operating in the United States, serving approximately 6 million customers. Market cap: $28.84B, Sector: Utilities.

Price live · AI analysis from May 10, 2026
NRG Energy, Inc. is an integrated power company operating in the United States, serving approximately 6 million customers. The company generates electricity through a diverse mix of sources, including natural gas, coal, oil, solar, nuclear, and battery storage.

NRG stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $192.40 for NRG Energy, Inc., suggesting 40.7% upside from the current price of $136.70. The AI MoonshotScore is 38/100, indicating a bearish outlook. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
HOLD 38/100 · D

NRG: 1/1 perspectives are bearish.

How is this calculated? →
Council Score · 8 perspectives · See tabs for details →

NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG) Utility Operations & Dividend Profile

CEOLawrence Stephen Coben
Employees15637
HeadquartersHouston, TX, US
IPO Year2003
SectorUtilities

NRG Energy, Inc. is a leading integrated power company in the U.S., generating and delivering electricity to a vast customer base through diverse energy sources, including renewables. With a significant power generation portfolio and a focus on retail energy brands, NRG competes in a dynamic market shaped by evolving energy demands.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NASDAQ Analysis: May 10, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for NRG?

NRG Energy presents a mixed investment thesis. The company's diverse generation portfolio and large customer base provide a stable revenue stream. Growth catalysts include expansion in renewable energy and distributed generation, aligning with broader market trends. However, NRG's relatively low profit margin of 0.7% and high P/E ratio of 120.2 raise concerns about valuation. The company's beta of 1.34 suggests higher volatility compared to the market. Investors should weigh the potential for growth in renewable energy against the challenges of low profitability and market volatility. The dividend yield of 1.33% offers a modest income component.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

NRG Key Highlights

  • Market Cap of $28.84B reflects NRG's significant presence in the independent power producer market.
  • P/E ratio of 120.2 indicates a premium valuation compared to the industry average, potentially reflecting investor expectations of future growth.
  • Profit Margin of 0.7% is relatively low, suggesting potential challenges in cost management or pricing strategies.
  • Gross Margin of 17.1% indicates the percentage of revenue remaining after deducting the cost of goods sold, reflecting the efficiency of NRG's operations.
  • Dividend Yield of 1.33% provides a modest income stream for investors, but is relatively low compared to some other utilities.

Who Are NRG's Competitors?

NRG is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap AI Score
PEG Public Service Enterprise Group Incorporated $81.62 +1.68% $40.67B 90
ED Consolidated Edison, Inc. $113.99 +2.74% $42.01B 81
WEC WEC Energy Group, Inc. $118.83 +2.25% $38.71B 61
PCG Pacific Gas & Electric Co. $17.05 +2.90% $37.55B 41
ATO Atmos Energy Corporation $176.87 +2.22% $29.52B 78
TLN Talen Energy Corporation $364.67 +1.08% $16.55B 58
RJIFF Rojana Industrial Park Public Company Limited $0.18 +0.00% $272.14M 51
KEN Kenon Holdings Ltd. $68.10 -1.63% $3.55B 51

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are NRG's Key Strengths?

  • Diverse power generation portfolio.
  • Large customer base.
  • Established retail brands.
  • Strategic asset locations.

What Are NRG's Weaknesses?

  • Relatively low profit margin.
  • High P/E ratio.
  • Exposure to commodity price volatility.
  • Dependence on fossil fuels.

What Could Drive NRG Stock Higher?

  • Investments in renewable energy projects are expected to drive long-term growth and improve profitability.
  • Expansion of distributed generation and energy storage solutions will enhance NRG's competitive position.
  • Potential acquisitions and partnerships could accelerate growth and expand NRG's geographic reach.
  • Government incentives and regulatory support for renewable energy are expected to benefit NRG's renewable energy business.

What Are the Key Risks for NRG?

  • Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of 1.35 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).
  • Rich valuation — a P/E of 120.2 runs well above the Utilities sector’s ~28x, leaving little room for a miss.
  • Insider selling — insiders were net sellers of roughly $4.9M recently.
  • Fluctuations in commodity prices could negatively impact NRG's profitability.
  • Regulatory changes and environmental regulations could increase compliance costs.
  • Increasing competition from renewable energy providers could erode NRG's market share.
  • Cybersecurity risks pose a threat to NRG's operations and data security.
  • Weather-related events could disrupt NRG's power generation and delivery operations.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for NRG?

  • Expansion in Renewable Energy: NRG can capitalize on the growing demand for renewable energy by investing in solar, wind, and battery storage projects. The renewable energy market is projected to experience significant growth in the coming years, driven by government incentives and increasing consumer demand for clean energy. NRG's existing renewable energy portfolio provides a strong foundation for further expansion. This aligns with the broader industry trend towards decarbonization and sustainability.
  • Development of Distributed Generation: NRG can expand its presence in the distributed generation market by offering on-site energy solutions to commercial and industrial customers. Distributed generation technologies, such as solar panels and microgrids, allow customers to generate their own electricity, reducing their reliance on the traditional grid. This market is expected to grow as businesses seek to reduce energy costs and improve energy resilience. NRG's expertise in energy management and technology positions it well to capture market share.
  • Growth in Energy Storage Solutions: NRG can leverage the increasing demand for energy storage solutions by developing and deploying battery storage systems. Energy storage plays a crucial role in integrating intermittent renewable energy sources into the grid and improving grid reliability. The energy storage market is projected to experience rapid growth as costs decline and performance improves. NRG's existing battery storage assets provide a competitive advantage in this market.
  • Strategic Acquisitions and Partnerships: NRG can pursue strategic acquisitions and partnerships to expand its geographic reach and enhance its service offerings. The power generation industry is consolidating, creating opportunities for companies to acquire complementary businesses and technologies. NRG's strong financial position allows it to pursue strategic acquisitions that can accelerate its growth and improve its competitive position. Partnerships with technology providers and energy service companies can also enhance NRG's capabilities.
  • Expansion of Retail Energy Brands: NRG can grow its retail energy business by expanding its customer base and offering innovative products and services under its various retail brands, including NRG, Reliant, Direct Energy, Green Mountain Energy, Stream, and XOOM Energy. The retail energy market is competitive, but NRG's diverse brand portfolio and customer service capabilities provide a strong foundation for growth. The company can also leverage digital marketing and customer engagement strategies to attract and retain customers.

What Opportunities Does NRG Have?

  • Expansion in renewable energy.
  • Development of distributed generation.
  • Growth in energy storage solutions.
  • Strategic acquisitions and partnerships.

What Threats Does NRG Face?

  • Increasing competition from renewable energy providers.
  • Regulatory changes and environmental regulations.
  • Fluctuations in commodity prices.
  • Cybersecurity risks.

What Are NRG's Competitive Advantages?

  • Diverse generation portfolio provides a hedge against fuel price volatility and regulatory changes.
  • Large customer base provides a stable revenue stream.
  • Established retail brands enhance customer loyalty and brand recognition.
  • Strategic asset locations provide access to key markets and resources.

What Does NRG Do?

Founded in 1989 and headquartered in Houston, Texas, NRG Energy, Inc. has evolved into a prominent integrated power company in the United States. The company operates across three main regions: Texas, East, and West, serving approximately 6 million residential, commercial, industrial, and wholesale customers. NRG's core business involves producing, selling, and delivering electricity and related products and services. The company boasts a diverse power generation portfolio, utilizing natural gas, coal, oil, solar, nuclear, and battery storage. Beyond traditional power generation, NRG offers a range of energy solutions, including system power, distributed generation, renewable products, backup generation, storage and distributed solar, demand response, and energy efficiency services. NRG also engages in energy trading, dealing in electric power, natural gas, and related commodities, environmental products, weather products, and financial products. NRG markets its services and products directly to retail customers under various brands, including NRG, Reliant, Direct Energy, Green Mountain Energy, Stream, and XOOM Energy. As of December 31, 2021, NRG owns and leases a power generation portfolio with approximately 18,000 megawatts of capacity at 25 plants.

What Products and Services Does NRG Offer?

  • Generates electricity using natural gas, coal, oil, solar, nuclear, and battery storage.
  • Sells and delivers electricity to residential, commercial, industrial, and wholesale customers.
  • Provides system power, distributed generation, and renewable energy products.
  • Offers backup generation, storage, and distributed solar solutions.
  • Provides demand response and energy efficiency services.
  • Trades in electric power, natural gas, and related commodities.
  • Procures fuels and provides transportation services.
  • Sells energy, services, and products directly to retail customers under various brands.

How Does NRG Make Money?

  • Generates revenue by selling electricity to residential, commercial, and industrial customers.
  • Trades in electric power, natural gas, and related commodities to generate additional revenue.
  • Provides energy-related services, such as demand response and energy efficiency, for a fee.
  • Sells renewable energy products and services to customers seeking clean energy solutions.

What Industry Does NRG Operate In?

NRG Energy operates within the independent power producer sector, a dynamic segment of the utilities industry. The industry is undergoing a significant transformation driven by the increasing adoption of renewable energy sources and distributed generation technologies. Companies like NRG face the challenge of adapting to these changes while maintaining reliable and affordable power supply. Competitors include Public Service Enterprise Group Incorporated (PEG), Consolidated Edison, Inc. (ED), WEC Energy Group, Inc. (WEC), Pacific Gas & Electric Co. (PCG), and Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO). The industry is also influenced by regulatory policies and environmental concerns, creating both opportunities and challenges for power producers.

Who Are NRG's Key Customers?

  • Residential customers seeking reliable and affordable electricity.
  • Commercial customers requiring power for their operations.
  • Industrial customers with high energy demands.
  • Wholesale customers, including other utilities and power companies.
AI Confidence: 73% Updated: May 10, 2026

ROE 9%Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for NRG Energy, Inc. stands at 8.8%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 0.6%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. NRG trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 120.17, above the Utilities sector average of ~28x. Its free cash flow yield is -1.2%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 0.84 means current liabilities exceed short-term assets, a liquidity point worth watching. Its earnings yield is 0.8%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

How NRG Energy, Inc. Is Valued

NRG Energy, Inc. carries a market capitalization of $28.84B, placing it in the large-cap category. Relative to its peer group, NRG's quantitative score of 38/100 is below the peer average of 70/100.

F-Score 4/9Financial Health

NRG Energy, Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 4/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 1.35 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.

FY2026 estForward Outlook

Wall Street analysts project NRG Energy, Inc. revenue of about $34.46B for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $9.36. The estimate reflects 6 contributing analysts.

Net sellingInsider Activity

Over the past six months, NRG Energy, Inc. insiders filed 29 SEC Form 4 transactions — 7 sales and 22 purchases. On net that is roughly 18K shares disposed (about $4.9M), a signal worth weighing alongside the fundamentals.

NRG Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
+9.2%
Net Income Growth (FY)
-23.2%
EPS Growth (FY)
-20.4%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
-58.2%
P/E (TTM)
120
Return on Equity (TTM)
+8.8%
Current Ratio
0.8
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
20.4

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Diverse power generation portfolio.
  • Large customer base.
  • Established retail brands.
  • Strategic asset locations.

Bear Case

  • Relatively low profit margin.
  • High P/E ratio.
  • Exposure to commodity price volatility.
  • Dependence on fossil fuels.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · July 2026

From the Earnings Call

“First, we delivered strong operational performance and are reaffirming our 2026 financial guidance and capital allocation.”

— Robert Gaudette, NRG's President and Chief Executive Officer

“The preliminary long-term load forecast filed this month shows the pipeline of large load requests reaching over 36 gigawatts in by 2033. That is more than 4x today's record peak in under a decade.”

— Robert Gaudette, NRG's President and Chief Executive Officer

NRG Q1 FY2026 earnings call transcript · 2026-05-06

NRG Latest News

NRG Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for NRG.

Price Targets

Consensus target: $192.40

NRG MoonshotScore

38/100

What does this score mean?

The MoonshotScore rates NRG's growth potential on a scale of 0-100 across multiple factors including innovation, market disruption, financial health, and momentum.

Leadership: Lawrence Stephen Coben

CEO

Lawrence Stephen Coben serves as the CEO of NRG Energy, Inc. His career spans leadership roles in the energy sector, demonstrating expertise in operations, strategy, and financial management. Coben's background includes experience in power generation, retail energy, and infrastructure development. He is responsible for overseeing NRG's strategic direction, operational performance, and financial results. His leadership is crucial in navigating the evolving energy landscape and driving the company's growth initiatives.

Track Record: Under Lawrence Stephen Coben's leadership, NRG Energy has focused on expanding its renewable energy portfolio and enhancing its customer service capabilities. Key achievements include strategic acquisitions and investments in distributed generation and energy storage. Coben has also overseen efforts to improve operational efficiency and reduce costs. His focus on innovation and sustainability is shaping NRG's future direction.

What Investors Ask About NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG) — Utilities

What does NRG Energy, Inc. do?

NRG Energy, Inc. is an integrated power company that generates and sells electricity and related products and services to approximately 6 million customers across the United States. The company operates through Texas, East, and West regions, utilizing a diverse portfolio of power generation assets, including natural gas, coal, oil, solar, nuclear, and battery storage. NRG also provides distributed generation, renewable products, and energy efficiency services to residential, commercial, and industrial customers under various retail brands.

What do analysts say about NRG stock?

Analyst consensus on NRG stock is mixed, with some analysts highlighting the company's growth potential in renewable energy and distributed generation, while others express concerns about its valuation and profitability. Key valuation metrics include the P/E ratio, which is relatively high compared to the industry average, and the dividend yield, which is modest. Analysts are also closely monitoring NRG's progress in reducing its carbon footprint and adapting to the evolving energy landscape. No buy/sell recommendations are included.

What are the main risks for NRG?

NRG faces several key risks, including fluctuations in commodity prices, regulatory changes and environmental regulations, increasing competition from renewable energy providers, cybersecurity threats, and weather-related events. Commodity price volatility can impact NRG's profitability, while regulatory changes could increase compliance costs. The increasing adoption of renewable energy poses a competitive threat to NRG's traditional power generation business. Cybersecurity risks could disrupt NRG's operations and compromise customer data. Weather-related events can disrupt power generation and delivery.

What are the key factors to evaluate for NRG?

NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG) holds an AI score of 38/100 (low). P/E: 120.2x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $192.40 (+41%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does NRG data refresh on this page?

NRG prices update in real time during U.S. market hours. Fundamentals refresh after quarterly filings; analyst ratings and AI insights update daily; news is aggregated continuously.

What has driven NRG's recent stock price performance?

NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Diverse power generation portfolio. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider NRG overvalued or undervalued right now?

NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG) trades at 120.2x earnings. Analysts target $192.40 (+41%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

What research should beginners do before buying NRG?

Before investing in NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG), research these four areas: (1) the company's revenue model and competitive position (see Company Overview), (2) financial health through revenue growth, margins, and cash flow (see MoonshotScore), (3) what Wall Street analysts recommend and their price targets (see Analyst tab), and (4) specific risk factors that could impact the stock (see Risk Factors section).

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated AI Score refreshed daily
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Financial data is based on information available as of December 31, 2021.
  • Market conditions and industry dynamics are subject to change.
Data Sources

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