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Northwest Natural Holding Company (NWN) Stock Analysis

$50.65 -$0.37 (-0.73%) |Fair · 50
Northwest Natural Holding Company (NWN) bottom line: Split View — our Council read (53/100) and AI Score (50/100) broadly agree. Strongest signal: Ray Dalio bullish · Biggest watch-out: Seth Klarman bearish.
MCap: $2.13B| P/E Ratio: 16.2| Vol: 122.6K| Target: $56.50 (+11.5%)| 52-wk range: $39.29 – $55.99
Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.

Northwest Natural Holding Company (NWN) trades at $50.65 with AI Score 50/100 (Grade B). Northwest Natural Holding Company distributes regulated natural gas in Oregon and Southwest Washington. Market cap: $2.13B, Sector: Utilities.

Price as of Aug 19, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 10, 2026
Northwest Natural Holding Company distributes regulated natural gas in Oregon and Southwest Washington. The company also operates gas storage facilities and provides water services in the Pacific Northwest and Texas.

NWN stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $56.50 for Northwest Natural Holding Company, suggesting 11.5% upside from the current price of $50.65. The AI MoonshotScore is 50/100, indicating a neutral outlook. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the NWN film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Split View 53/100 · B

NWN: the 3 scored disciplines are evenly split. Dominant signal: Seth Klarman bearish.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Growth Potential · 50/100
Business Quality
Neutral Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Neutral Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Moderate Am I paying a fair price?
Growth Durability
Moderate Is the growth real and likely to last?
Momentum
Strong Is the market already moving on this?
Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI
Ray Dalio
Bullish
Ken Griffin
Bullish
Jim Simons
Bullish
Izzy Englander
Neutral
Seth Klarman
Bearish
Moon AI
Bullish
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Weak
Margin of Safety
Undervalued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Northwest Natural Holding Company (NWN) Utility Operations & Dividend Profile

CEOJustin Palfreyman
Employees1,452
HeadquartersPortland, OR, US
IPO Year1990
SectorUtilities

Northwest Natural Holding Company (NWN) is a regulated natural gas distribution company serving Oregon and Southwest Washington, with a growing presence in water services. Its operations include gas storage and renewable natural gas investments, positioning it within the evolving energy landscape and regulated utilities sector.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NYSE Analysis: May 10, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for NWN?

As of May 10, 2026 — figures reflect the data available on that date.

Northwest Natural Holding Company presents a stable investment profile within the regulated utilities sector, supported by its established natural gas distribution network and expanding water services. With a market capitalization of $2.13B and a P/E ratio of 16.2, NWN demonstrates consistent profitability, reflected in its 9.6% profit margin and 42.3% gross margin. The company's beta of 0.49 suggests lower volatility compared to the broader market. A dividend yield of 3.90% offers an attractive income stream for investors. Growth catalysts include strategic investments in renewable natural gas and expansion of water services. However, regulatory risks and fluctuations in natural gas prices pose potential challenges. Investors may want to evaluate NWN's long-term growth strategy and its ability to navigate the evolving energy landscape.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

NWN Key Highlights

Market capitalization of $2.13B, indicating a substantial presence in the utilities sector.

  • P/E ratio of 16.2, suggesting a reasonable valuation relative to earnings.
  • Profit margin of 9.6%, reflecting consistent profitability in a regulated environment.
  • Gross margin of 42.3%, showcasing efficient cost management in gas distribution and water services.
  • Dividend yield of 3.90%, providing an attractive income stream for investors.

Who Are NWN's Competitors?

NWN is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap AI Score
CPK Chesapeake Utilities Corporation $136.84 +0.21% $3.28B 66
CTRI Centuri Holdings, Inc. $22.62 -0.13% $2.28B 42
PPAAF PT Perusahaan Gas Negara Tbk $0.08 +0.00% $2.02B 49
PPAAY PT Perusahaan Gas Negara Tbk $4.10 +0.00% $1.99B 49
THOGF Toho Gas Co., Ltd. $6.44 +0.00% $2.31B 48
TGASF Towngas Smart Energy Company Limited $0.43 -0.00% $1.62B 51
CGHLY China Gas Holdings Limited $17.03 -5.92% $3.71B 45
CGHOF China Gas Holdings Limited $0.69 +0.00% $3.76B 41

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are NWN's Key Strengths?

Stable revenue stream from regulated natural gas distribution.

  • Established presence in Oregon and Southwest Washington.
  • Diversification into water services.
  • Operation of the Mist gas storage facility.

What Are NWN's Weaknesses?

Exposure to fluctuations in natural gas prices.

  • Dependence on regulatory approvals.
  • Limited geographic diversification in gas distribution.
  • Potential environmental liabilities associated with gas operations.

What Could Drive NWN Stock Higher?

Expansion of water services through acquisitions and organic growth.

  • Investments in renewable natural gas projects and infrastructure.
  • Regulatory approvals for new gas and water infrastructure projects.
  • Infrastructure modernization and efficiency improvements.

What Are the Key Risks for NWN?

Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of 0.69 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).

  • Fluctuations in natural gas prices impacting profitability.
  • Changes in regulatory policies affecting gas distribution and water services.
  • Economic downturns impacting customer demand.
  • Environmental concerns and potential liabilities associated with gas operations.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for NWN?

  • Expansion of Water Services: NWN's water services segment represents a significant growth opportunity. With approximately 80,000 people served through 33,000 connections in the Pacific Northwest and Texas, there is potential for further acquisitions and organic growth in this fragmented market. The increasing demand for reliable water infrastructure and services supports long-term growth in this sector. This expansion diversifies NWN's revenue streams and reduces its reliance on natural gas distribution.
  • Renewable Natural Gas (RNG) Investments: NWN is strategically investing in renewable natural gas projects, aligning with the growing demand for cleaner energy sources. These investments not only enhance the company's environmental profile but also create new revenue streams through the production and distribution of RNG. The market for RNG is expanding as companies and consumers seek to reduce their carbon footprint. NWN's early adoption of RNG positions it favorably in this evolving market.
  • Infrastructure Modernization: Ongoing investments in modernizing its natural gas distribution infrastructure enhance the reliability and safety of NWN's operations. These upgrades reduce leakage, improve efficiency, and ensure compliance with evolving regulatory standards. The long-term benefits of infrastructure modernization include reduced operating costs and enhanced customer satisfaction. These improvements are crucial for maintaining a competitive edge in the regulated utilities sector.
  • Strategic Acquisitions: NWN can pursue strategic acquisitions in both the natural gas and water sectors to expand its geographic footprint and customer base. Acquisitions can provide access to new markets, technologies, and expertise. A disciplined approach to acquisitions, focusing on companies with strong financial performance and complementary operations, can drive long-term growth and shareholder value. This strategy allows NWN to consolidate its position in key markets.
  • Regulatory Support for Decarbonization: Favorable regulatory policies supporting decarbonization efforts can create new opportunities for NWN. Incentives for renewable energy projects, carbon pricing mechanisms, and mandates for reducing greenhouse gas emissions can drive demand for NWN's renewable natural gas and other sustainable energy solutions. By actively engaging with regulators and advocating for policies that support its business strategy, NWN can capitalize on these opportunities and accelerate its transition to a cleaner energy future.

What Are NWN's Competitive Advantages?

  • Regulated Utility Status: Operates as a regulated utility, providing a stable and predictable revenue stream.
  • Geographic Presence: Strong presence in Oregon and Southwest Washington, with an established customer base.
  • Essential Service: Provides essential natural gas and water services, ensuring consistent demand.
  • Gas Storage Infrastructure: Owns and operates the Mist gas storage facility, providing a strategic asset for gas storage and distribution.

What Does NWN Do?

Founded in 1859 and headquartered in Portland, Oregon, Northwest Natural Holding Company (NWN) has evolved from a local gas provider to a diversified utility company. Through its primary subsidiary, Northwest Natural Gas Company, NWN delivers regulated natural gas to residential, commercial, industrial, and transportation customers across Oregon and Southwest Washington. The company serves approximately 786,000 meters in its gas distribution business. In addition to its core gas operations, NWN operates the Mist gas storage facility, which has a capacity of 5.7 billion cubic feet and is contracted to other utilities and third-party marketers. The company also offers natural gas asset management services and operates an appliance retail center. Expanding beyond gas, NWN provides water services to approximately 80,000 people through roughly 33,000 water and wastewater connections in the Pacific Northwest and Texas. This diversification strategy includes investments in non-regulated renewable natural gas projects, reflecting a commitment to sustainable energy solutions. NWN's strategic investments aim to balance traditional utility services with emerging opportunities in renewable energy and water infrastructure.

What Products and Services Does NWN Offer?

  • Distributes regulated natural gas to residential, commercial, industrial, and transportation customers in Oregon and Southwest Washington.
  • Operates the Mist gas storage facility with a capacity of 5.7 billion cubic feet.
  • Offers natural gas asset management services.
  • Operates an appliance retail center.
  • Provides water services to approximately 80,000 people in the Pacific Northwest and Texas.
  • Invests in non-regulated renewable natural gas projects.

How Does NWN Make Money?

  • Generates revenue through the distribution of regulated natural gas to end-users.
  • Earns fees from operating the Mist gas storage facility and providing asset management services.
  • Generates revenue from water services through customer connections and usage fees.
  • Invests in and operates renewable natural gas projects, generating revenue from the sale of RNG.

What Industry Does NWN Operate In?

Northwest Natural Holding Company operates within the regulated utilities sector, characterized by stable demand and government oversight. The natural gas distribution market is influenced by factors such as weather patterns, energy prices, and regulatory policies. The industry is also undergoing a transition towards cleaner energy sources, with increasing investments in renewable natural gas and other sustainable technologies. NWN competes with other regional utilities and faces competition from alternative energy sources. The company's expansion into water services reflects a broader trend of utilities diversifying their operations to capitalize on growth opportunities in infrastructure development.

Who Are NWN's Key Customers?

  • Residential customers in Oregon and Southwest Washington.
  • Commercial and industrial businesses requiring natural gas for heating and operations.
  • Transportation companies utilizing natural gas as a fuel source.
  • Other utilities and third-party marketers contracting for gas storage services.
  • Residential and commercial customers receiving water and wastewater services in the Pacific Northwest and Texas.
AI Confidence: 73% Updated: May 10, 2026

Northwest Natural Holding Company Financial Trajectory

Northwest Natural Holding Company (NWN) reported $243.6M in revenue for Q2 2026, a decline of 50.3% compared to the prior quarter. The company recorded net income of $600K, with diluted EPS of $0.01. Quarter-over-quarter revenue has been mixed, typical for a mid-cap company operating in Utilities. Across the four most recent quarters, NWN averaged $0.76 in diluted EPS.

Company Profile

Northwest Natural Holding Company operates in the Regulated Gas industry within the Utilities sector. It is headquartered in Portland, US. The company is led by CEO Justin Palfreyman. NWN has traded publicly since 1990.

How Northwest Natural Holding Company Is Valued

Northwest Natural Holding Company carries a market capitalization of $2.13B, placing it in the mid-cap category. Relative to its peer group, NWN's quantitative score of 50/100 is roughly in line with the peer average of 51/100.

ROE 8%

Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Northwest Natural Holding Company stands at 8.3%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 1.9%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. NWN trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 16.25, below the Utilities sector average of ~19x. Its free cash flow yield is -13.3%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 0.80 means current liabilities exceed short-term assets, a liquidity point worth watching. Its earnings yield is 6.2%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

F-Score 6/9

Financial Health

Northwest Natural Holding Company's Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 0.69 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.

6/8 beats

Earnings Track Record

Northwest Natural Holding Company has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reported quarters — a consistent record of delivering on expectations. Reported results have landed about 31.9% above estimates on average.

FY2026 est

Forward Outlook

Wall Street analysts project Northwest Natural Holding Company revenue of about $1.40B for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $3.08. The estimate reflects 4 contributing analysts.

NWN Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
+11.8%
Net Income Growth (FY)
+43.7%
EPS Growth (FY)
+36.5%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
-1.9%
P/E (TTM)
16.2
Return on Equity (TTM)
+8.3%
Current Ratio
0.8
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
9.7

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Recent insider buying suggests confidence in the company's future performance, indicating that those closest to the business believe in its potential.
  • Community sentiment has shifted positively, with discussions highlighting the company's commitment to sustainable energy solutions, appealing to environmentally conscious investors.
  • Analysts have noted Northwest Natural's strong position in the utility sector, which remains stable even in volatile market conditions, providing a sense of security for investors.
  • The company's recent investments in infrastructure improvements are seen as a long-term growth strategy, enhancing service reliability and customer satisfaction.

Bear Case

  • Concerns about rising operational costs have been voiced in community discussions, which could impact profit margins moving forward.
  • The recent market perception has been cautious, with some investors worried about regulatory changes that might affect utility pricing and operations.
  • Insider selling activity has raised eyebrows, leading to speculation about potential issues within the company that insiders may be aware of.
  • Overall bearish sentiment in the broader market has led to increased scrutiny of utility stocks, including Northwest Natural, as investors seek safer havens.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · March 2026

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 2026 $244M $600,000 $0.01
Q1 2026 $490M $97M $2.38
Q4 2025 $394M $58M $1.39
Q3 2025 $165M -$30M -$0.73

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

NWN Latest News

NWN Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for NWN.

Price Targets

Consensus target: $56.50

NWN MoonshotScore

50/100

What does this score mean?

The MoonshotScore rates NWN 0-100 on quantitative fundamentals — growth, financial health, valuation, momentum, and risk.

Leadership: Justin Palfreyman

CEO

Justin Palfreyman serves as the CEO of Northwest Natural Holding Company, bringing extensive experience in the utilities sector. His career includes leadership roles focused on strategic planning, operations, and financial management. Palfreyman's background encompasses a deep understanding of regulated industries and a track record of driving growth and innovation. He is committed to sustainable energy solutions and community engagement. His expertise is pivotal in guiding NWN through the evolving energy landscape.

Track Record: Under Justin Palfreyman's leadership, Northwest Natural Holding Company has expanded its water services business and made strategic investments in renewable natural gas projects. He has overseen infrastructure modernization efforts and navigated complex regulatory environments. Palfreyman's focus on operational efficiency and customer satisfaction has contributed to the company's consistent financial performance. He has also championed sustainability initiatives, positioning NWN as a leader in the transition to a cleaner energy future.

What Investors Ask About Northwest Natural Holding Company (NWN) — Utilities

What does the AI Score mean for NWN?

NWN holds an AI Score of 50/100 (Grade: B). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Northwest Natural Holding Company distributes regulated natural gas in Oregon and Southwest Washington. The company also operates gas storage facilities and provides water services in the Pacific …

What does Northwest Natural Holding Company do?

Northwest Natural Holding Company (NWN) is a diversified utility company primarily engaged in the regulated natural gas distribution business. Through its subsidiary, Northwest Natural Gas Company, NWN provides natural gas service to approximately 786,000 meters in Oregon and southwest Washington. The company also operates the Mist gas storage facility and offers natural gas asset management services.

What do analysts say about NWN stock?

Analyst consensus on Northwest Natural Holding Company (NWN) reflects a generally neutral outlook, acknowledging its stable position within the regulated utilities sector. Key valuation metrics, such as its P/E ratio of 16.2 and dividend yield of 3.90%, suggest a reasonable valuation and attractive income stream. Growth considerations include the company's expansion into water services and investments in renewable natural gas.

What are the main risks for NWN?

Northwest Natural Holding Company (NWN) faces several risks inherent to the regulated utilities sector. Fluctuations in natural gas prices can impact profitability, requiring effective hedging strategies. Changes in regulatory policies related to gas distribution and water services could affect revenue and operating costs. Economic downturns may reduce customer demand for gas and water services.

What are the key factors to evaluate for NWN?

Northwest Natural Holding Company (NWN) holds an AI score of 50/100 (moderate). P/E: 16.2x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $56.50 (+12%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does NWN data refresh on this page?

NWN's price was last updated on Aug 19, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours — it is not a real-time exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven NWN's recent stock price performance?

Northwest Natural Holding Company (NWN) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Stable revenue stream from regulated natural gas distribution. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider NWN overvalued or undervalued right now?

Northwest Natural Holding Company (NWN) trades at 16.2x earnings. Analysts target $56.50 (+12%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

How do I research NWN before investing?

Before investing in Northwest Natural Holding Company (NWN), research these four areas: (1) the company's revenue model and competitive position (see Company Overview), (2) financial health through revenue growth, margins, and cash flow (see MoonshotScore), (3) analyst consensus ratings and price targets (see Analyst tab), and (4) specific risk factors that could impact the stock (see Risk Factors section).

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated AI Score refreshed daily
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Information is based on publicly available sources and company filings.
  • Financial data is as of 2026-05-10.
Data Sources

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