Stock Expert AI

Orchid Island Capital, Inc. (ORC)

Orchid Island Capital, Inc. is a specialty finance company that invests in residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) in the United States. The company's portfolio includes traditional pass-through Agency RMBS and structured Agency RMBS.

68/100 AI Score MCap $1.15B Vol 4.69M

Company Overview

CEORobert E. Cauley
Employees0
HeadquartersVero Beach, US
IPO Year2013

Orchid Island Capital (ORC) offers investors high dividend yields through strategic investments in residential mortgage-backed securities, specializing in Agency RMBS and structured RMBS, positioning it as a compelling income-generating asset within the REIT sector with a current dividend yield of 18.92%.

Investment Thesis

Orchid Island Capital presents a compelling investment opportunity for income-seeking investors due to its high dividend yield of 18.92% and focus on Agency RMBS. The company's expertise in navigating the complexities of the RMBS market, coupled with its REIT status, ensures consistent income distribution to shareholders. Key value drivers include the company's ability to efficiently manage its portfolio and capitalize on interest rate fluctuations. Growth catalysts include potential expansion into new RMBS segments and strategic partnerships. With a market capitalization of $1.15 billion and a P/E ratio of 7.95, ORC offers an attractive valuation relative to its peers. The company's high profit margin of 78.5% showcases its operational efficiency and ability to generate substantial returns from its investments.

Key Highlights

  • High Dividend Yield: Orchid Island Capital boasts an impressive dividend yield of 18.92%, making it an attractive option for income-focused investors.
  • Strong Profit Margin: The company exhibits a robust profit margin of 78.5%, indicating efficient operations and effective investment strategies.
  • Specialty Finance Focus: ORC specializes in residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS), allowing for targeted expertise and potential for higher returns within this niche market.
  • REIT Status: As a real estate investment trust, Orchid Island Capital benefits from specific tax advantages, enhancing its profitability and shareholder returns.
  • Market Capitalization: With a market cap of $1.15 billion, ORC demonstrates a significant presence and stability within the REIT sector.

Competitors

Arlington Asset Investment CorpCornerstone Strategic Value Fund, Inc.Dynex Capital, Inc.Ellington Residential Mortgage REITEllington Financial Inc.

Strengths

  • High dividend yield of 18.92% attracts income-seeking investors.
  • Strong profit margin of 78.5% indicates efficient operations.
  • Focus on Agency RMBS reduces credit risk.
  • REIT status provides tax advantages.

Weaknesses

  • Sensitivity to interest rate fluctuations.
  • Reliance on the RMBS market.
  • Limited diversification beyond RMBS.
  • External management structure may create conflicts of interest.

Catalysts

  • Ongoing: Active portfolio management to capitalize on interest rate fluctuations.
  • Ongoing: Strategic partnerships to expand investment opportunities.
  • Upcoming: Potential expansion into new RMBS segments within the next 2-3 years.
  • Ongoing: Implementation of advanced technology solutions for portfolio management within the next 1-2 years.

Risks

  • Potential: Rising interest rates could negatively impact RMBS values and reduce profitability.
  • Potential: Changes in government policies related to mortgage lending could affect the RMBS market.
  • Ongoing: Increased competition from other mortgage REITs could put pressure on margins.
  • Potential: Economic downturn could lead to higher mortgage defaults and reduce the value of RMBS.
  • Ongoing: The company's reliance on external management could create conflicts of interest.

Growth Opportunities

  • Expansion into New RMBS Segments: Orchid Island Capital can explore opportunities to diversify its portfolio by investing in new RMBS segments, such as those backed by manufactured housing or other specialized mortgage products. This expansion could increase the company's revenue streams and reduce its reliance on traditional single-family RMBS. The market for these alternative RMBS segments is growing, driven by increasing demand for affordable housing options. Timeline: Within the next 2-3 years.
  • Strategic Partnerships: Collaborating with other financial institutions or mortgage originators could provide Orchid Island Capital with access to a broader pool of RMBS and enhance its investment capabilities. These partnerships could also lead to cost savings and operational efficiencies. The market for strategic alliances in the financial sector is active, with many companies seeking to leverage each other's expertise and resources. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Capitalizing on Interest Rate Fluctuations: Orchid Island Capital can actively manage its portfolio to capitalize on interest rate fluctuations, adjusting its holdings to maximize returns in different interest rate environments. This requires sophisticated risk management and hedging strategies. The interest rate market is constantly evolving, presenting both challenges and opportunities for mortgage REITs. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Leveraging Technology for Portfolio Management: Implementing advanced technology solutions for portfolio management, risk assessment, and data analytics can improve Orchid Island Capital's decision-making and operational efficiency. This includes utilizing AI and machine learning to identify optimal investment opportunities and manage risk. The market for fintech solutions in the financial sector is rapidly expanding. Timeline: Within the next 1-2 years.
  • Increasing Operational Efficiency: Orchid Island Capital can focus on streamlining its operations and reducing its expenses to improve its profitability. This includes optimizing its capital structure, reducing its borrowing costs, and improving its hedging strategies. The company's high profit margin of 78.5% provides a solid foundation for further efficiency gains. Timeline: Ongoing.

Opportunities

  • Expansion into new RMBS segments.
  • Strategic partnerships with other financial institutions.
  • Capitalizing on market volatility.
  • Leveraging technology for portfolio management.

Threats

  • Rising interest rates could negatively impact RMBS values.
  • Changes in government policies related to mortgage lending.
  • Increased competition from other mortgage REITs.
  • Economic downturn could lead to higher mortgage defaults.

Competitive Advantages

  • Expertise in RMBS: Orchid Island Capital's deep understanding of the RMBS market provides a competitive advantage in identifying and managing investments.
  • REIT Status: The company's REIT status offers tax advantages and ensures consistent income distribution to shareholders.
  • Focus on Agency RMBS: By focusing on Agency RMBS, Orchid Island Capital benefits from the government-backed guarantees, reducing its credit risk.
  • High Dividend Yield: The company's high dividend yield attracts income-seeking investors and enhances its attractiveness as an investment.

About

Orchid Island Capital, Inc. was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Vero Beach, Florida. It operates as a specialty finance company focused on investing in residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) within the United States. These RMBS are primarily backed by single-family residential mortgage loans, categorized as Agency RMBS. The company's investment portfolio is diverse, encompassing both traditional pass-through Agency RMBS, such as mortgage pass-through certificates and collateralized mortgage obligations (CMOs), and structured Agency RMBS, which include interest-only (IO) securities, inverse interest-only (IIO) securities, and principal-only (PO) securities. By focusing on these specific types of mortgage-backed securities, Orchid Island Capital aims to generate attractive risk-adjusted returns for its investors. As a real estate investment trust (REIT), Orchid Island Capital adheres to specific federal income tax requirements, which mandate the distribution of a significant portion of its taxable income to shareholders, making it an appealing option for income-focused investors. The company's strategic focus on Agency RMBS reflects a preference for securities with government-backed guarantees, which typically offer a lower risk profile compared to non-agency RMBS.

What They Do

  • Invests in residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) in the United States.
  • Focuses on Agency RMBS backed by single-family residential mortgage loans.
  • Manages a portfolio of traditional pass-through Agency RMBS.
  • Invests in structured Agency RMBS, including interest-only and principal-only securities.
  • Operates as a real estate investment trust (REIT) for federal income tax purposes.
  • Generates income from the interest earned on its RMBS investments.
  • Actively manages its portfolio to optimize returns and mitigate risks.

Business Model

  • Orchid Island Capital generates revenue primarily from the interest income earned on its portfolio of RMBS.
  • The company leverages its expertise in RMBS to identify and invest in securities with attractive risk-adjusted returns.
  • As a REIT, Orchid Island Capital distributes a significant portion of its taxable income to shareholders in the form of dividends.
  • The company manages its capital structure and hedging strategies to optimize its profitability and mitigate interest rate risk.

Industry Context

Orchid Island Capital operates within the REIT - Mortgage industry, a segment characterized by companies that invest in mortgages and mortgage-backed securities rather than direct property ownership. The industry is influenced by interest rate trends, housing market conditions, and government policies related to mortgage lending. The competitive landscape includes other mortgage REITs with similar investment strategies. Orchid Island Capital's focus on Agency RMBS positions it within a relatively lower-risk segment of the market, as these securities are backed by government agencies. The broader REIT market is expected to see continued growth as investors seek alternative income streams in a low-interest-rate environment.

Key Customers

  • Individual Investors: Attracts individual investors seeking high dividend yields and exposure to the RMBS market.
  • Institutional Investors: Appeals to institutional investors looking for income-generating assets within the REIT sector.
  • Retirement Funds: Caters to retirement funds seeking stable income streams to meet their obligations.
  • Wealth Management Firms: Provides investment opportunities for wealth management firms seeking to diversify their clients' portfolios.
AI Confidence: 72% Updated: 2/8/2026

Financials

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q4 2025 $132M $103M $0.62
Q3 2025 $78M $72M $0.53
Q1 2025 $21M $17M $0.18

Source: Company filings

Chart & Info

Price Chart

Orchid Island Capital, Inc. (ORC) stock price: $7.58 (+0.00, +0.00%)

Why Bull

  • Recent insider buying suggests confidence in the company's future prospects, indicating a positive outlook from those with the most insight.
  • Community sentiment has shifted favorably, with discussions highlighting the potential for increased dividends as interest rates stabilize.
  • Market perception has been buoyed by recent reports of improved asset management strategies, positioning the company for better returns.
  • Investors are optimistic about the broader real estate market, which could benefit Orchid Island Capital as a mortgage REIT.

Why Bear

  • Concerns persist regarding the impact of rising interest rates on the company's mortgage portfolio, creating uncertainty among investors.
  • Recent bearish sentiment in the community reflects worries about potential recessionary pressures affecting real estate investments.
  • Insider selling activity has raised red flags for some, suggesting that even those close to the company may have reservations about its near-term performance.
  • Overall market volatility has heightened risk perception, leading to cautious sentiment around REITs like Orchid Island Capital.

Latest News

Technical Analysis

bullish Trend
RSI(14)
36.9
MACD
--
Volume
NaN

Rationale

AI-generated technical analysis for ORC including trend direction, momentum, and pattern recognition.

What to Watch

Key support and resistance levels, volume signals, and upcoming events.

Risk Management

Position sizing, stop-loss levels, and risk-reward assessment.

Community

Discussion

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Sentiment

Community sentiment and discussion activity for ORC.

Make a Prediction

Set your price target for Orchid Island Capital, Inc. (ORC), choose a timeframe, and track your prediction accuracy.

Current price: $7.58

Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for ORC.

Price Targets

Low
$7.50
Consensus
$7.50
High
$7.50

Median: $7.50 (-1.1% from current price)

Insider Flow (30d)

Parker Ava L
Insider
3 weeks ago
BOUGHT
106,420 shares
$830K
Parker Ava L
Insider
1 month ago
BOUGHT
104,861 shares
Morabito Paula
Insider
1 month ago
BOUGHT
48,539 shares
Bitting W Coleman
Insider
1 month ago
BOUGHT
46,728 shares
FILIPPS FRANK P
Insider
1 month ago
BOUGHT
46,728 shares
Parker Ava L
Insider
1 month ago
BOUGHT
101,389 shares
$738K
Haas G Hunter IV
Insider
1 month ago
BOUGHT
89,450 shares
Cauley Robert E
Insider
1 month ago
BOUGHT
160,741 shares
Parker Ava L
Insider
2 months ago
BOUGHT
99,745 shares
$727K

MoonshotScore

67.5/100

Score Factors

  • Revenue Growth 10/100

    Revenue surged 791.9% year-over-year, indicating explosive demand and rapid market share expansion.

  • Gross Margin 8/100

    Gross margin at 53.7% indicates good unit economics and healthy profitability per sale.

  • Operating Leverage 6/100

    Revenue growth is driving operating leverage, meaning profits can grow faster than costs.

  • Cash Runway 8/100

    Strong cash reserves of $725M provide a solid financial cushion for growth investments and market downturns.

  • R&D Intensity 5/100

    R&D spending data is currently unavailable for this company.

  • Insider Activity 6/100

    No significant insider buying or selling recently, which is neutral for the stock outlook.

  • Short Interest 7/100

    Active trading at 4.75% daily turnover suggests elevated interest, which can increase volatility.

  • Price Momentum 3/100

    Weak momentum with few bullish signals. The stock may be in a downtrend or consolidation phase.

  • News Sentiment 5/100

    No sentiment data available

What does this score mean?

The MoonshotScore rates ORC's growth potential on a scale of 0-100 across multiple factors including innovation, market disruption, financial health, and momentum.

Classification

Sector Financials Industry REIT - Mortgage

Competitors & Peers

Latest News

Frequently Asked Questions

What does Orchid Island Capital, Inc. do?

Orchid Island Capital, Inc. is a specialty finance company that invests in residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) in the United States. The company focuses primarily on Agency RMBS, which are backed by single-family residential mortgage loans. Its portfolio includes traditional pass-through Agency RMBS, such as mortgage pass-through certificates and collateralized mortgage obligations, as well as structured Agency RMBS, including interest-only and principal-only securities. As a real estate investment trust (REIT), Orchid Island Capital aims to generate income for its shareholders through strategic investments in the RMBS market.

Is ORC stock a good buy?

ORC stock presents a compelling opportunity for income-seeking investors due to its high dividend yield of 18.92%. The company's focus on Agency RMBS provides a relatively lower-risk profile compared to non-agency securities. However, investors should consider the risks associated with interest rate fluctuations and changes in government policies. The company's P/E ratio of 7.95 suggests an attractive valuation, but a thorough analysis of its financial performance and risk management strategies is essential before making an investment decision.

What are the main risks for ORC?

The main risks for Orchid Island Capital include interest rate risk, credit risk, and regulatory risk. Rising interest rates could negatively impact the value of the company's RMBS portfolio and reduce its profitability. Although the company focuses on Agency RMBS, which are backed by government agencies, there is still some degree of credit risk associated with mortgage defaults. Changes in government policies related to mortgage lending could also affect the RMBS market and impact the company's investment strategies. Additionally, increased competition from other mortgage REITs could put pressure on margins.

Is ORC a good stock to buy?

Whether ORC is a good investment depends on your financial goals, risk tolerance, and investment horizon. Key factors to evaluate include the company's revenue growth trajectory, profit margins, debt-to-equity ratio, competitive moat, and valuation multiples (P/E, P/S, EV/EBITDA) relative to industry peers. Our AI-generated Investment Thesis and SWOT analysis on this page provide a data-driven starting point. Always do your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

What is the ORC MoonshotScore?

The MoonshotScore for ORC is an AI-powered rating from 0 to 100 that evaluates a stock across four dimensions: growth potential (revenue and earnings trajectory), financial health (balance sheet strength, cash flow), market momentum (price trends, volume patterns, institutional flows), and risk factors (volatility, debt levels, sector headwinds). Scores above 70 indicate strong potential, 50-70 moderate, and below 50 suggests caution. The score is recalculated daily using the latest financial data and market signals.

How often is ORC data updated?

ORC stock prices are updated in real-time during U.S. market hours (9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET, Monday through Friday). After-hours and pre-market prices are also tracked. Company fundamentals (earnings, revenue, balance sheet) are refreshed when new quarterly or annual reports are filed. Analyst ratings, price targets, and AI-generated insights are updated daily. Breaking news related to ORC is aggregated continuously from premium financial news sources throughout the day.

What are the growth catalysts for ORC?

Growth catalysts for Orchid Island Capital, Inc. (ORC) can include several categories: product catalysts (new launches, FDA approvals, patent grants), financial catalysts (earnings beats, margin expansion, share buybacks), strategic catalysts (acquisitions, partnerships, market expansion into new regions), and macro catalysts (favorable regulation, industry tailwinds, secular growth trends). Our AI analyzes Orchid Island Capital, Inc.'s specific catalysts using earnings transcripts, SEC filings, and news sentiment to identify the most impactful near-term and long-term drivers.

Who are ORC's main competitors?

Orchid Island Capital, Inc. (ORC) competes with companies in its industry that target similar customers, markets, or product categories. Competitor analysis involves comparing key metrics: market share, revenue growth rates, profit margins, R&D spending, and valuation multiples. Understanding competitive positioning helps investors assess whether ORC has a sustainable competitive advantage (moat) through brand strength, network effects, cost leadership, or switching costs. Our Competitors section provides a side-by-side comparison with relevant peers.

What do analysts say about ORC?

Wall Street analyst coverage for ORC includes consensus ratings (buy, hold, or sell), 12-month price targets, and earnings estimates. Analyst opinions are aggregated from major investment banks and research firms. Key metrics to watch include the consensus price target (average, high, and low estimates), the number of analysts covering the stock, any recent rating changes (upgrades or downgrades), and how actual earnings compare to analyst estimates (beat or miss history). Our platform aggregates these from multiple data providers for a comprehensive view.

What is ORC's market cap?

Market capitalization (market cap) for ORC is calculated by multiplying the current share price by the total number of outstanding shares. It represents the market's total valuation of the company. Stocks are typically categorized as mega-cap ($200B+), large-cap ($10B-$200B), mid-cap ($2B-$10B), small-cap ($300M-$2B), or micro-cap (under $300M). Market cap influences index inclusion, institutional ownership eligibility, and risk profile. Our Key Statistics section shows ORC's current market cap alongside enterprise value and other valuation metrics.

How has ORC stock performed recently?

ORC's recent stock performance can be evaluated across multiple timeframes: daily price changes, week-over-week momentum, monthly trends, and year-to-date returns. Important performance indicators include the stock's 52-week high and low, moving averages (50-day and 200-day SMA), relative strength index (RSI), and volume trends. Comparing ORC's performance against its sector index and the S&P 500 provides context on whether it is outperforming or underperforming the broader market.

What are the risks of investing in ORC?

Key risk categories for ORC include: market risk (overall market downturns affecting stock prices), company-specific risk (management changes, product failures, competitive threats), financial risk (high debt levels, cash burn, dilution from stock issuance), regulatory risk (government policy changes, lawsuits, compliance issues), and macroeconomic risk (interest rate changes, inflation, currency fluctuations). Beta measures ORC's volatility relative to the market - a beta above 1.0 means higher volatility than the S&P 500. Our AI-generated risk assessment identifies the most relevant risk factors for this specific stock.

Are insiders buying or selling ORC?

Insider trading activity for ORC tracks purchases and sales by company executives, directors, and major shareholders (10%+ owners) as reported in SEC Form 4 filings. Insider buying is generally considered a bullish signal because insiders have the deepest knowledge of company operations, while selling may have various motivations (diversification, tax planning, pre-planned 10b5-1 trading plans). Key metrics include the buy-to-sell ratio, total dollar value of insider transactions, and whether multiple insiders are trading in the same direction. Our Insider Flow tab shows recent transactions with dates and dollar amounts.

Is ORC a good stock for beginners?

Orchid Island Capital, Inc. (ORC) can be suitable for beginner investors depending on several factors. Look at the MoonshotScore on this page for an overall AI-powered assessment of growth potential and risk. Beginners should also check the company's market cap (larger companies tend to be less volatile), gross margin (higher margins mean stronger business fundamentals), and cash position (healthy cash reduces bankruptcy risk). Always start with a small position size and never invest money you cannot afford to lose.

How risky is ORC for first-time investors?

Every stock carries risk, including Orchid Island Capital, Inc. (ORC). First-time investors should review the Risk Factors section on this page for company-specific risks. Key risk indicators include price volatility (check the chart for daily swings), insider selling activity (see Insider Flow tab), and cash runway (see MoonshotScore breakdown). A diversified portfolio with an index fund like the S&P 500 as a core holding is generally recommended before adding individual stocks like ORC.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Data provided for informational purposes only.

AI Analysis Notes
  • Stock data pending update. The analysis is based on the provided financial data and business description. Market conditions and company-specific factors may change over time.
Data Sources
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