Prospect Capital Corporation (PSEC) Stock Analysis
Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this
P/E 38.86 means the share price is 38.86 times one year of earnings per share; the S&P 500 usually sits near 20-25. Market cap $1.11B is the value of all shares combined. Beta 0.83: the stock has moved about 17% less than the S&P 500.
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated May 10, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR
Quick AnswerProspect Capital Corporation (PSEC) trades at $2.21 with MoonshotScore 92/100 (Grade A+). Prospect Capital Corporation is a business development company (BDC) focusing on providing debt and equity capital to middle-market companies. Market cap: $1.11B, Sector: Financial services.
Price as of Sep 11, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 10, 2026PSEC stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $2.50 for Prospect Capital Corporation, suggesting 12.9% upside from the current price of $2.21. The AI MoonshotScore is 92/100, in the Exceptional band (80-100) — a research signal, not a recommendation. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.
PSEC: 2/3 scored disciplines lean bullish. Dominant signal: Valuation strong.
How is this calculated? →Strongest side: Valuation (10/10, Strong). Weakest side: Momentum (1/10, Negative).
AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built
Why this analysis is different
- A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
- An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
- Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.
Prospect Capital Corporation (PSEC) Financial Services Profile
Prospect Capital Corporation, a business development company, specializes in providing financing solutions to middle-market companies across diverse sectors in the United States and Canada. With a focus on secured debt and equity investments, Prospect Capital aims to generate current income and long-term capital appreciation for its shareholders.
What Is the Investment Thesis for PSEC?
Prospect Capital Corporation presents a high-yield investment opportunity through its business development company (BDC) model, offering a substantial dividend yield of 21.86%. The company's focus on middle-market lending provides access to a segment underserved by traditional lenders. Growth catalysts include strategic deployment of capital into high-yield opportunities and active management of its diverse portfolio. However, the negative profit margin of -62.0% and gross margin of -38.9% raise concerns about profitability and operational efficiency. Investors should closely monitor the company's ability to improve financial performance and manage credit risk within its portfolio.
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis
PSEC Key Highlights
Market capitalization of $1.11B reflects Prospect Capital's scale and presence in the business development company sector.
- Dividend yield of 21.86% offers a high income stream for investors, but requires careful evaluation of sustainability.
- Beta of 0.83 indicates lower volatility compared to the overall market, potentially appealing to risk-averse investors.
- Negative profit margin of -62.0% signals potential challenges in operational efficiency and profitability.
- Investments range from $10 million to $500 million per transaction, targeting companies with EBITDA between $5 million and $150 million.
Who Are PSEC's Competitors?
PSEC is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.
| Company | Price | Change | Market Cap | MoonshotScore |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARCC Ares Capital Corporation | $19.68 | +0.10% | $14.1B | 845-pillar |
| MAIN Main Street Capital Corporation | $55.80 | -0.93% | $5.19B | 715-pillar |
| TCPC BlackRock TCP Capital Corp. | $4.01 | -0.50% | $336M | — |
| GSBD Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc. | $9.58 | -0.62% | $1.08B | 885-pillar |
| ASA ASA Gold and Precious Metals Limited | $61.87 | +2.65% | $1.17B | 765-pillar |
| TGONF Tetragon Financial Group Limited | $14.12 | 0.00% | $1.19B | 599-signal |
| CGBD Carlyle Secured Lending, Inc. | $11.43 | +0.40% | $794M | 885-pillar |
| TYG Tortoise Energy Infrastructure Corporation | $43.93 | +1.22% | $757M | 605-pillar |
AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance This table mixes two scoring engines — compare a number only with others carrying the same tag.
What Are PSEC's Key Strengths?
High dividend yield attracts income-seeking investors.
- Diversified investment portfolio reduces concentration risk.
- Experienced management team with expertise in middle-market lending.
What Are PSEC's Weaknesses?
Negative profit and gross margins raise concerns about profitability.
- Reliance on leverage increases financial risk.
- Sensitivity to interest rate fluctuations impacts net interest margin.
What Could Drive PSEC Stock Higher?
PSEC catalyst: Potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve could reduce borrowing costs and improve net interest margin.
- Strategic deployment of capital into high-yield investment opportunities.
- Active management of the diverse investment portfolio to optimize returns.
What Are the Key Risks for PSEC?
Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of 0.22 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).
- Negative return on equity (-1.1%) — the business is not currently generating profit on shareholder capital.
- Rich valuation — a P/E of 38.86 runs well above the Financial Services sector’s ~17.50x, leaving little room for a miss.
- Economic downturn could increase default rates on loans and negatively impact portfolio performance.
- High dividend yield may not be sustainable if profitability does not improve.
- Sensitivity to interest rate fluctuations could impact net interest margin and profitability.
What Are the Growth Opportunities for PSEC?
- Expansion into specialized lending areas, such as technology or healthcare, could provide higher yields and diversification benefits. The market for specialized lending is growing as traditional banks retreat from certain sectors, creating opportunities for BDCs like Prospect Capital to fill the gap. By developing expertise in specific industries, Prospect Capital can attract higher-quality borrowers and command premium pricing on its loans.
- Strategic partnerships with private equity firms can provide access to a steady stream of investment opportunities. Private equity firms often require debt financing for their portfolio companies, creating a natural synergy with BDCs. By establishing strong relationships with private equity sponsors, Prospect Capital can secure attractive deal flow and co-investment opportunities.
- Increased focus on real estate investments, particularly in multi-family residential assets, can provide stable income and diversification. The multi-family real estate market benefits from demographic trends and urbanization, offering attractive risk-adjusted returns. Prospect Capital can leverage its expertise in debt and equity financing to capitalize on opportunities in this sector.
- Leveraging technology to improve operational efficiency and enhance portfolio management can drive cost savings and improve decision-making. Investing in data analytics and automation can streamline processes, reduce overhead, and improve the accuracy of credit risk assessments. Prospect Capital can also use technology to enhance its communication with borrowers and investors.
- Expanding its geographic reach beyond the United States and Canada could open up new markets and investment opportunities. While international expansion involves additional risks, it can also provide diversification and access to faster-growing economies. Prospect Capital could consider strategic partnerships or acquisitions to enter new markets and build a global presence.
What Threats Does PSEC Face?
- Economic downturn could increase default rates on loans.
- Increased competition from other BDCs and private credit funds.
- Regulatory changes could impact the BDC sector.
What Are PSEC's Competitive Advantages?
- Established relationships with private equity sponsors and middle-market companies.
- Expertise in structuring complex debt and equity financing deals.
- Diversified investment portfolio across various industries and asset classes.
What Does PSEC Do?
Prospect Capital Corporation, established as a business development company (BDC), specializes in offering financial solutions to middle-market companies. The company's core business involves providing debt and equity financing, including secured debt, senior debt, mezzanine debt, and private equity investments. Prospect Capital targets companies with EBITDA ranging from $5 million to $150 million and enterprise values between $5 million and $1 billion, primarily in the United States and Canada. Prospect Capital's investment strategy encompasses a wide array of industries, including aerospace and defense, financial services, healthcare, and industrials. Prospect Capital's approach includes both primary origination and secondary market transactions, allowing flexibility in deploying capital. The company actively participates in debt financings for private equity sponsors, acquisitions, recapitalizations, and growth financings. Prospect Capital's real estate investments, particularly in multi-family residential assets, further diversify its portfolio. Prospect Capital seeks control acquisitions by providing multiple levels of the capital structure. The company focuses on sole, agented, club, or syndicated deals.
What Products and Services Does PSEC Offer?
- Provide secured debt financing to middle-market companies.
- Offer senior and secured term loans to private businesses.
- Invest in mezzanine debt and private equity in microcap public businesses.
- Focus on both primary origination and secondary loans/portfolios.
- Participate in debt financings for private equity sponsors.
- Make real estate investments, particularly in multi-family residential assets.
- Invest across various industry sectors, including energy, industrials, and healthcare.
How Does PSEC Make Money?
- Generate income through interest payments on debt investments.
- Realize capital gains through equity investments.
- Manage a portfolio of diverse assets across various industries.
- Utilize leverage to enhance returns, while managing associated risks.
What Industry Does PSEC Operate In?
Prospect Capital Corporation operates within the asset management industry, specifically as a business development company (BDC). The BDC sector is characterized by companies that provide financing to small and medium-sized businesses. The industry is influenced by interest rate environments, credit market conditions, and regulatory changes. Prospect Capital competes with other BDCs and private credit funds, differentiating itself through its diverse investment portfolio and focus on middle-market companies. The market is competitive, with firms vying for attractive lending opportunities and managing credit risk effectively.
Who Are PSEC's Key Customers?
- Middle-market companies seeking debt and equity financing.
- Private equity firms requiring debt financing for portfolio companies.
- Companies in need of capital for acquisitions, recapitalizations, and growth initiatives.
Research confidence
Broad, current evidence sits behind this analysis.
- ● Scored on 100% of our measures
- ● Price is current
- ● Latest filing 22 days ago
- ● Covered by analysts
Why 92?
Measured against companies in the same sector. The figures below are the factor contributions the scoring engine itself produced.
What is helping
- +0.78 Free cash flow yield (Business Quality)
- +0.54 Free cash flow yield (Valuation)
- +0.54 Price to book (Valuation)
What is holding it back
- -0.48 5-year revenue per share (Growth)
- -0.35 Share dilution (Growth)
- -0.32 Distance from the 52-week high (Momentum)
Contribution = how far the company sits from its sector on that measure, weighted by how much the pillar counts. Not investment advice. How the score is built →
MoonshotScore History
Recorded daily since 2026-08-23 · 19 snapshots
| 2026-08-23 | 80 |
| 2026-08-26 | 81 |
| 2026-08-29 | 75 |
| 2026-09-01 | 82 |
| 2026-09-04 | 81 |
| 2026-09-07 | 83 |
| 2026-09-10 | 92 |
What changed?
The grade moved from 80 to 92 (+12).
What moved it up or down:
- +8 Financial Safety
- +2 Momentum
- +1 Business Quality
Held back by:
- -2 Growth Durability
Over the same 18 days the stock moved -5.8%.
Insider Activity
Over the past six months, Prospect Capital Corporation insiders filed 10 SEC Form 4 transactions — 0 sales and 10 purchases. On net that is roughly 2.9M shares acquired (about $6.7M) — insiders putting money in tends to read as conviction.
Quarterly Financial Performance: Prospect Capital Corporation
Revenue for Prospect Capital Corporation came in at $390.5M during Q4 FY2026, a 453.6% improvement versus the preceding quarter. The company recorded a net loss of $4.5M, with diluted EPS of $-0.20. Revenue has increased across the last three reported quarters, suggesting sustained momentum for this small-cap Financial Services company. Across the four most recent quarters, PSEC averaged $0.01 in diluted EPS.
PSEC Valuation & Market Position
With a $1.11B market cap, Prospect Capital Corporation sits in the small-cap segment of the market. Analyst price targets span from $2.50 to $2.50, with a consensus of $2.50. At the current price of $2.21, that implies approximately 13% upside potential. Relative to its peer group, PSEC's quantitative score of 92/100 is above the peer average of 75/100.
Key Financial Metrics
Return on equity for Prospect Capital Corporation stands at -1.1%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is -0.6%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. Its free cash flow yield is 37.1%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 3.10 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is -3.5%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.
Financial Health
Prospect Capital Corporation's Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 0.22 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.
Earnings Track Record
Prospect Capital Corporation has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reported quarters — a consistent record of delivering on expectations. Reported results have landed about 42.3% above estimates on average.
Company Profile
Prospect Capital Corporation operates in the Asset Management industry within the Financial Services sector. It is headquartered in New York City, US. The company is led by CEO John Francis Barry. PSEC has traded publicly since 2004.
PSEC Financials
Fundamental Snapshot
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2026
Bull Case vs Bear Case
Bull Case
- High dividend yield attracts income-seeking investors.
- Diversified investment portfolio reduces concentration risk.
- Experienced management team with expertise in middle-market lending.
- Upcoming: Potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve could reduce borrowing costs and improve net interest margin.
Bear Case
- Negative profit and gross margins raise concerns about profitability.
- Reliance on leverage increases financial risk.
- Sensitivity to interest rate fluctuations impacts net interest margin.
- Potential: Economic downturn could increase default rates on loans and negatively impact portfolio performance.
AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · September 2026
Recent Quarterly Results
| Quarter | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 FY2026 | $390M | -$5M | -$0.20 |
| Q3 FY2026 | $71M | $56M | $0.12 |
| Q2 FY2026 | $57M | $24M | -$0.01 |
| Q1 FY2026 | $121M | $78M | $0.15 |
Q4 FY2026 · filed 20 Aug 2026 · SEC EDGAR →
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis
PSEC Latest News
-
5 Monthly Dividend Payers Boomers Have Quietly Made Core Holdings
247wallst.com · Sep 8, 2026
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Prospect Capital Corp (PSEC) (Q4 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Consistent NII and Strategic ...
Yahoo! Finance: PSEC News · Aug 21, 2026
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Prospect Capital: An 18%+ Yield For All The Wrong Reasons; What Could Happen Next
seekingalpha.com · Aug 21, 2026
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Transcript: Prospect Capital Q4 2026 Earnings Conference Call
benzinga · Aug 21, 2026
PSEC Analyst Consensus
Consensus Rating
Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for PSEC.
Price Targets
Median: $2.50 (+12.9% from current price)
Source: FMP analyst consensus · as of Aug 25, 2026 · an estimate, not advice
PSEC MoonshotScore
What does this score mean?
MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. PSEC scores 92/100 (Grade A+): the number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.
Latest News
5 Monthly Dividend Payers Boomers Have Quietly Made Core Holdings
Prospect Capital Corp (PSEC) (Q4 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Consistent NII and Strategic ...
Prospect Capital: An 18%+ Yield For All The Wrong Reasons; What Could Happen Next
Transcript: Prospect Capital Q4 2026 Earnings Conference Call
Leadership: John Francis Barry
Managing Director
John Francis Barry serves as a Managing Director at Prospect Capital Corporation. His background encompasses extensive experience in finance and investment management. He oversees various aspects of the company's investment activities, including deal origination, structuring, and portfolio management. His expertise spans across multiple sectors, contributing to Prospect Capital's diversified investment approach. Barry's leadership is instrumental in guiding the company's strategic direction and investment decisions.
Track Record: Under John Francis Barry's leadership, Prospect Capital Corporation has maintained a focus on middle-market lending and strategic deployment of capital. Key achievements include navigating various economic cycles and maintaining a high dividend yield for investors. Strategic decisions have involved diversifying the investment portfolio and managing credit risk effectively. Barry's tenure has seen Prospect Capital adapt to changing market conditions and capitalize on emerging opportunities in the financial sector.
What Investors Ask About Prospect Capital Corporation (PSEC) — Financial Services
What does the AI Score mean for PSEC?
PSEC holds an AI Score of 92/100 (Grade: A+). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers. Prospect Capital Corporation is a business development company (BDC) focusing on providing debt and equity capital to middle-market companies.
Is PSEC a good stock?
Stock Expert AI does not rate PSEC buy, sell or hold. Prospect Capital Corporation carries a MoonshotScore of 92/100 on the five-pillar engine, a research rating against its peers. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns, what the price assumes, and what would prove you wrong.
What do analysts say about PSEC stock?
Analyst consensus on Prospect Capital Corporation (PSEC) reflects a mixed outlook, primarily influenced by its high dividend yield and concerns about profitability. Key valuation metrics include its market capitalization of $1.11B and a dividend yield of 21.86%.
What are the key factors to evaluate for PSEC?
Prospect Capital Corporation (PSEC) holds a MoonshotScore of 92/100 (high). P/E: 38.86x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $2.50 (+13%). Not financial advice.
How frequently does PSEC data refresh on this page?
PSEC's price was last updated on Sep 11, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours; the quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.
What has driven PSEC's recent stock price performance?
Prospect Capital Corporation (PSEC) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: High dividend yield attracts income-seeking investors. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.
Should investors consider PSEC overvalued or undervalued right now?
Prospect Capital Corporation (PSEC) trades at 38.86x earnings. Analysts target $2.50 (+13%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.
Can I buy fractional shares of PSEC?
Yes, most major brokerages offer fractional shares of Prospect Capital Corporation (PSEC) with no minimum purchase requirement. This means you can invest any dollar amount regardless of the share price. Check your brokerage platform for specific terms, fees, and fractional share availability.
How can I track PSEC's earnings and financial reports?
Prospect Capital Corporation (PSEC) reports quarterly earnings approximately 4-6 weeks after each fiscal quarter ends. You can track earnings dates, revenue and EPS estimates, and actual results on this page's Financials tab. Earnings surprises (beats or misses) often cause significant short-term price moves. Your brokerage can send alerts for PSEC earnings announcements.
Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.
Official Resources
Data provided for informational purposes only.
- Financial data is based on the most recent available information.
- Analyst opinions may vary and should be considered as part of a comprehensive investment analysis.