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RXO, Inc. (RXO) Stock: Price, Forecast & Analyst Target

RXO, Inc. (RXO) — MoonshotScore 32/100 (Weak band), calculated Oct 4, 2026. Price $23.38 (+9.46%), as of the Oct 2, 2026 trading session; market cap $3.86B.

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$23.38 +$2.02 (+9.46%) Market Cap $3.86B

RXO, Inc. · RXO · NYSE

RXO, Inc. operates as a truckload freight transportation brokerage, providing access to capacity and complementary services through a digital marketplace. The company focuses on leveraging technology to enhance efficiency and connectivity in the fragmented trucking industry.

Price as of Oct 2, 2026

Key Statistics

32 of 100

MoonshotScore v2 · RXO (RXO)

Weak
Business Quality Average (57)
Financial Safety Fragile (12)
Valuation Full (45)
Growth Durability Flat (41)
Momentum Rising (78)
Why this rating? Method, drivers & history

Bands for the MoonshotScore: Exceptional 80-100 · Strong 65-79 · Fair 45-64 · Weak below 45.

  • Business Quality — Is this a genuinely good business?
  • Financial Safety — Could this blow up on me?
  • Valuation — Am I paying a fair price?
  • Growth Durability — Is the growth real and likely to last?
  • Momentum — Is the market already moving on this?
The ten-second read ·

Strong price action running well ahead of the business — a fragile balance sheet underneath; a move to treat with suspicion, not chase. Business Quality: Average; Financial Safety: Fragile; Valuation: Full; Growth Durability: Flat; Momentum: Rising.

  • quarterly revenue $1.77B (Q2 FY2026, quarter ended Jun 2026)
  • EPS beat 3 of 8
  • Altman Z 2.76 · Piotroski F 4

Holding back: balance-sheet strain

Helping: positive momentum

What has the MoonshotScore done over time?

MoonshotScore snapshots recorded for RXO (29 recorded, newest six shown)
RecordedScoreBand
32Weak
32Weak
32Weak
32Weak
32Weak
32Weak

The score was 32 in the stored Oct 3, 2026 snapshot and remains 32 in the current publication computed Oct 4, 2026 (0); the largest pillar moves were Growth Durability -1 and Momentum -1; the pillar moves offset under the sector-relative weighting, so the headline score is unchanged.

Calculation uses the most recent completed US trading session. Live price changes do not update the score immediately.

Computed · Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How the MoonshotScore is computed →

Price & valuation

Dates shown where recorded
MeasureValueAs of
Latest provided price$23.38
Change on the day+9.46%
52-week range$10.43 – $29.90
Market capitalisation$3.86B
Shares traded on the day3.67M

Price & events

Other perspectives

Council score for RXO (RXO): perspectives

Council is a separate blend of available disciplines; MoonshotScore above remains the five-pillar research rating.

5-Factor Breakdown

Growth Durability Neutral
Momentum Moderate
Business Quality Neutral
Financial Safety Negative
Valuation Neutral

Legends Council

6 lenses, 0 current

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Dalio-style lens (simulated) Ray Dalio Favorable read
Griffin-style lens (simulated) Ken Griffin Unfavorable read
Simons-style lens (simulated) Jim Simons Favorable read
Englander-style lens (simulated) Izzy Englander Neutral read
Klarman-style lens (simulated) Seth Klarman Unfavorable read
Moon AI lens (model) Neutral read

Read on: Sep 24, 2026 · older than the 27 hours refresh window; not a current reading

Munger's Mindset

Balance Sheet & Valuation · historical

Financial Health Neutral
Margin of Safety Fairly Valued
Profit Margin Weak
Revenue Growth Strong
Debt/Equity Neutral
ROE Negative
Gross Margin Weak

Read on: Sep 9, 2026 · older than the 27 hours refresh window; not a current reading

How to read these bars and different assessments

Council is a separate blend of available disciplines; MoonshotScore above remains the five-pillar research rating.

Bars show each model's ordered assessment on its own scale, not a probability or a comparable investment return. The adjacent words give the assessment; more filled segments indicate a stronger model reading.

On Sep 9, 2026, the Munger lens read the price at that time as fairly valued against its own estimate of value.

Readings on this page are from Oct 5, 2026, except a card that shows its own read date.

Watch the RXO film — every key number, told as a short cinematic story

~2 min · open the film

1 · What is it?

What is RXO (RXO), and what does it report?

Short answer · as of

A current FMP business description is unavailable; the listing and provider classification below are the available identity facts. RXO, Inc. (RXO) is listed on NYSE. It employs 6,906 people and is led by Drew Wilkerson. In Q2 FY2026 it reported revenue of $1.77B and net income of -$9M. The market values it at $3.86B.

2 · Latest results

What do the latest results show for RXO (RXO)?

Short answer · as of

The most recent reported quarter, Q2 FY2026, carried revenue of $1.77B. Against analyst estimates the company has EPS beat 3 of 8 reports.

Quarterly income statement — 4 quarters
Revenue, net income and earnings per share by quarter
PeriodRevenueNet incomeEPS
Q2 FY2026$1.77B-$9M-$0.05 (diluted)
Q1 FY2026$1.43B-$36M-$0.21 (diluted)
Q4 FY2025$1.47B-$46M-$0.27 (diluted)
Q3 FY2025$1.42B-$14M-$0.08 (diluted)
3 · Financial strengths and risks

What are the financial strengths and risks for RXO (RXO)?

Short answer

The MoonshotScore pillars rate positive momentum as strengths. What is holding it back is balance-sheet strain. The distress and quality screens read Altman Z 2.76 · Piotroski F 4. Trailing ratios: ROE -6.8% · ROA -3.0% · current ratio 1.27 · earnings yield -3.0% · free-cash-flow yield -0.5%.

Data-derived red flags

  • Negative return on equity (-6.8%) — the business is not currently generating profit on shareholder capital.
  • Inconsistent delivery — missed Wall Street EPS estimates in 3 of the last 8 reported quarters.
4 · What to check next?

What should you watch next at RXO (RXO)?

Short answer · as of

Current published price targets run low $18.00 · high $35.00 · consensus $25.73 · median $28.00 against a quoted price of $23.38 (as of Oct 2, 2026).

What the records here don't tell us

  • No forward revenue or earnings estimate is on file.
  • The next earnings date is not yet scheduled in the calendar we read.

Checked against the records this page reads, on the dates shown above.

5 · Peer comparison

How does RXO compare with its peers?

Short answer

RXO's score ranks 13th of 13 in the bounded comparison shown, against 12 same-model peers. These are company scores, not expected investment returns. The set lists named competitors first, then companies in the same data-provider industry classification closest in market value; that classification is the provider's, not our judgment of business similarity.

Peer set — price, market value and MoonshotScore
CompanyPriceMarket valueScore
Hafnia Limited (HAFN) Named competitor$10.25 Oct 2, 2026$5.12B94 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026
Corporación América Airports S.A. (CAAP) Named competitor$24.30 Oct 2, 2026$3.97B82 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026
Matson, Inc. (MATX) Named competitor$231.11 Oct 2, 2026$6.99B80 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026
ArcBest Corporation (ARCB) Same industry, near in market value$132.61 Oct 2, 2026$2.96B72 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026
TFI International Inc. (TFII) Same industry, near in market value$118.90 Oct 2, 2026$9.77B67 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026
Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. (CVLG) Same industry, near in market value$33.76 Oct 2, 2026$849M65 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026
Saia, Inc. (SAIA) Same industry, near in market value$351.12 Oct 2, 2026$9.37B63 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026
Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. (KNX) Same industry, near in market value$66.76 Oct 2, 2026$10.9B63 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026
Schneider National, Inc. (SNDR) Same industry, near in market value$32.89 Oct 2, 2026$5.76B62 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026
Werner Enterprises, Inc. (WERN) Same industry, near in market value$35.35 Oct 2, 2026$2.12B61 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026
Marten Transport, Ltd. (MRTN) Same industry, near in market value$13.34 Oct 2, 2026$1.09B51 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026
Universal Logistics Holdings, Inc. (ULH) Same industry, near in market value$18.46 Oct 2, 2026$487M44 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026
RXO (RXO) — this page$23.38$3.86B32

Only 5-pillar scores are ranked together. Other models are not directly comparable. Price and score dates are shown separately; market-value dates are unavailable.

The records behind this page

Analyst targets & estimates

What analysts have on file

Price target, low to high
$18.00 – $35.00
Consensus target
$25.73
Median target
$28.00

Consensus record · Captured .

Measured against a quoted price of $23.38 (as of Oct 2, 2026).

Insider activity

Form 4 records via FMP · Of the newest 100 records, those within the last 180 days, newest dated Aug 22, 2026

Transactions
9
Identified insiders
3
Purchases
0
Sales
0
Other transactions
9

Purchases and sales use the reported transaction category. Other transactions include awards, exercises, gifts, withholding and unclassified activity; an acquisition or disposition alone is not a purchase or sale. These records do not establish intent.

What has been published about RXO (RXO)?

Read these with our analysis →

RXO Stock: Key Questions Answered

These answers are editorial: 1 of these 9 answers is drawn from the RXO research dossier (written May 10, 2026 by gemini-2.0-flash); the other 8 are question templates that restate figures shown above. Figures in this section are not part of the source register.

What does the MoonshotScore mean for RXO?

RXO carries the MoonshotScore stated above — the Weak band. This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Is RXO a good stock to buy?

Stock Expert AI does not rate RXO buy, sell or hold. RXO, Inc. carries a MoonshotScore, in the Weak band, a research rating against its peers rather than a forecast. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns and what the price assumes. This is educational content, not investment advice.

What is the RXO stock price today?

The last price recorded on this page for RXO, Inc. (RXO) is $23.38, as of the Oct 2, 2026 trading session (source: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote). It is a provider snapshot, not a live exchange feed, so check a brokerage quote before you trade.

What is the RXO price target?

The analyst consensus price target for RXO, Inc. (RXO) is $25.73 (range $18.00 to $35.00, median $28.00), per FMP data captured Oct 4, 2026. Targets are analyst opinions and change often; they are not a Stock Expert AI forecast.

What does RXO, Inc. do?

RXO, Inc. operates as a truckload freight transportation brokerage, connecting shippers and carriers through its proprietary digital freight marketplace. The company offers a comprehensive suite of services, including managed transportation, last mile delivery, and freight forwarding.

What are the key factors to evaluate for RXO?

RXO, Inc. (RXO) holds a MoonshotScore in the low range. Analysts target $25.73 (+10%). RXO operates a proprietary digital freight marketplace, enhancing efficiency and connectivity for shippers and carriers. Not financial advice.

How frequently does RXO data refresh on this page?

RXO's price is the last quote we recorded, from the Oct 2, 2026 trading session. Pages are served from a cache, so the copy you are reading can lag that quote. The quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals follow quarterly filings. V2 is recalculated from the most recent completed US trading session; the score's own date shows its last successful run.

What has driven RXO's recent stock price performance?

RXO, Inc. (RXO) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Proprietary digital freight marketplace. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider RXO overvalued or undervalued right now?

RXO, Inc. (RXO) has no trailing P/E available here, so lean on price-to-sales and cash flow in the Financials tab. Analysts target $25.73 (+10%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated May 10, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief.

Sources — records for every figure on this page (21 figures)

The 21 rows below are exactly the facts the evidence-backed sections of this page printed — the 10-second verdict, the MoonshotScore, price and market value, the five questions with their receipts, and the records behind this page. Known dates and sources are recorded on their own rows; an em dash or UNRECORDED tier preserves a stored observation without inventing either. The quarterly income statement is provider-standardized (FMP) under one row, and scale definitions — a 0-100 rating, the band ladder, the Piotroski 0–9 range — are fixed rather than measured. No number in those sections was generated by a model. The register does not cover quoted third-party headlines, the dated council readings, or the Frequently Asked Questions; each of those says where it came from where it stands.

"As of" is the date the value is true for where the source carries one — a quarter end, a filing date, a price close, the day the score was computed. A cached observation with no source date remains undated; the page publication date is not used as a substitute.

FMP — 13 facts from Financial Modeling Prep endpoint families

FMP facts used on this page
Fact IDFactValue as shownAs ofTierSource
px.lastLatest provided price$23.38FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote — Dated to the US trading session the price belongs to, derived from the quote record's timestamp (weekend and pre-open reads roll back to the previous weekday; exchange holidays are not modelled). The record does not establish an exchange execution time. Retrieved 2026-10-04T21:04:47.759Z.
px.changeChange on the day+9.46%FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
px.mcapMarket capitalisation$3.86BFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote — Date unknown Market cap record date: 2026-10-02. FMP quote timestamp: 2026-10-02T20:00:02.000Z. Captured from FMP at 2026-10-04T21:04:46.469Z. No share-count basis is inferred; this page preserves the reported amount instead of recalculating it from shares.
px.change_absChange on the day, in dollars+$2.02FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
fin.q_revenueRevenue, Q2 FY2026$1.77BFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly)
px.volumeShares traded on the day3.67MFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
fin.q_incomeNet income, Q2 FY2026-$9MFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly)
fin.q_tableQuarterly income statement4 quarters through Q2 FY2026FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly), as filed
earn.ptStored analyst price targetslow $18.00 · high $35.00 · consensus $25.73 · median $28.00FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 4, 2026 · Coverage not supplied
earn.pt_rangeAnalyst price target, low to high$18.00 – $35.00FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 4, 2026 · Coverage not supplied
earn.pt_consensusConsensus analyst price target$25.73FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 4, 2026 · Coverage not supplied
earn.pt_medianMedian analyst price target$28.00FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 4, 2026 · Coverage not supplied
own.insidersInsider transactions via FMP9 transactions · 0 purchases, 0 sales, 9 other transactions · 3 identified insiders · of the newest 100 records, those within the last 180 days, newest dated Aug 22, 2026FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP), carrying Form 4 transaction records — Purchases and sales use the reported transaction category. Other transactions include awards, exercises, gifts, withholding and unclassified activity; an acquisition or disposition alone is not a purchase or sale. These records do not establish intent.

UNRECORDED — 6 facts from stored observations whose source was not recorded

UNRECORDED facts used on this page
Fact IDFactValue as shownAs ofTierSource
earn.historyReported versus estimated, recent quartersEPS beat 3 of 8UNRECORDEDStored earnings-history observation — Captured 2026-10-01 · Expired observation
fin.scoresDistress and quality screensAltman Z 2.76 · Piotroski F 4UNRECORDEDStored financial-scores observation — Captured 2026-10-04
px.range5252-week range$10.43 – $29.90UNRECORDEDStored company-profile observation — Captured 2026-10-01
id.employeesEmployees6,906UNRECORDEDStored company-profile observation — Captured 2026-10-01
id.ceoChief executiveDrew WilkersonUNRECORDEDStored company-profile observation — Captured 2026-10-01
fin.ratiosReturn and yield ratios (trailing twelve months)ROE -6.8% · ROA -3.0% · current ratio 1.27 · earnings yield -3.0% · free-cash-flow yield -0.5%—UNRECORDEDStored key metrics — Date unknown

OURS — 2 facts from Stock Expert AI's own score and rank

OURS facts used on this page
Fact IDFactValue as shownAs ofTierSource
ours.moonshotMoonshotScore v232 of 100 · Weak · pillars 57 / 12 / 45 / 41 / 78OURSStock Expert AI MoonshotScore v2 engine
ours.moonshot_changeMoonshotScore movement32 (stored snapshot Oct 3, 2026) → 32 (current publication computed Oct 4, 2026) (0)OURSStock Expert AI current score publication and immutable score snapshots
Published
Research standards
Methodology · Editorial policy · Corrections
Data Sources & Methodology
Figures come from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP). If FMP has no figure for a ticker, a price or fundamental may come from a Yahoo Finance fallback, or a price from an Alpaca fallback. SEC EDGAR is used only for filing links and company identity details (legal name, address), never for figures. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.