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Safehold Inc. (SAFE)

$16.27 $-0.12 (-0.73%) |Fair · 53
Bottom line: HOLD — our Council read (53/100) and AI Score (53/100) broadly agree. Strongest signal: Ray Dalio bullish · Biggest watch-out: Ken Griffin bearish.
MCap: $1.17B| P/E Ratio: 10.0| Vol: 142.4K| Target: $14.00 (-14.0%)| 52-wk range: $12.76 – $17.16
Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.

Safehold Inc. (SAFE) trades at $16.27 with AI Score 53/100 (Grade B). Safehold Inc. is a real estate investment trust (REIT) focused on modern ground leases. Market cap: $1.17B, Sector: Real estate.

Price live · AI analysis from May 10, 2026
Safehold Inc. is a real estate investment trust (REIT) focused on modern ground leases. The company provides capital solutions to property owners, allowing them to unlock the value of the land beneath their buildings.

SAFE stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $14.00 for Safehold Inc., suggesting 14.0% downside from the current price of $16.27. The AI MoonshotScore is 53/100, indicating a neutral outlook. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
HOLD 53/100 · B

SAFE: 3/7 perspectives are bullish. Dominant signal: Ken Griffin bearish.

How is this calculated? →
Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI
Ray Dalio
Bullish
Ken Griffin
Bearish
Jim Simons
Bullish
Izzy Englander
Bearish
Seth Klarman
Neutral
Moon AI
Bullish
Council Score · 8 perspectives · See tabs for details →

Safehold Inc. (SAFE) Real Estate Portfolio & Strategy

CEOJay S. Sugarman
Employees74
HeadquartersNew York City, NY, US
IPO Year1989

Safehold Inc. (SAFE) is a REIT specializing in ground leases, offering property owners an alternative capital solution to enhance returns and reduce risk. The company focuses on high-quality assets in major U.S. markets, managed by iStar Inc., seeking to provide safe, growing income and long-term capital appreciation to shareholders.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NASDAQ Analysis: May 10, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for SAFE?

Safehold Inc. presents a compelling investment thesis centered on its innovative ground lease business model. With a market capitalization of $1.17B and a P/E ratio of 10.0, the company demonstrates strong profitability, supported by a 29.0% profit margin and a 97.5% gross margin. A key value driver is the increasing adoption of ground leases as a preferred capital solution for property owners seeking to optimize their balance sheets. Upcoming catalysts include expansion into new major markets and the continued acquisition of high-quality land assets. Potential risks include fluctuations in interest rates and economic downturns that could impact property values. The company's dividend yield of 4.68% provides an attractive income stream for investors.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

SAFE Key Highlights

  • Market capitalization of $1.17B, reflecting substantial investor interest in Safehold's unique ground lease model.
  • P/E ratio of 10.0, indicating a potentially undervalued stock relative to its earnings.
  • Profit margin of 29.0%, showcasing efficient operations and strong profitability.
  • Gross margin of 97.5%, highlighting the high-value nature of Safehold's ground lease agreements.
  • Dividend yield of 4.68%, providing a significant income component for investors.

Who Are SAFE's Competitors?

SAFE is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap AI Score
LAND Gladstone Land Corporation $8.61 -0.46% $371.41M 30
OLP One Liberty Properties, Inc. $25.18 -0.40% $549.41M 63
LNSPF LondonMetric Property Plc $2.45 +0.00% $5.72B 63
EPRT Essential Properties Realty Trust, Inc. $31.25 +0.24% $6.76B 61
TKURF Tokyu REIT, Inc. $1314.00 +0.00% $1.26B 59
AAT American Assets Trust, Inc. $25.35 -0.63% $1.56B 59
CTOUF Charter Hall Group $10.00 -35.13% $4.73B 53
IGPYF Argosy Property Limited $1.01 +34.67% $882.71M 53

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are SAFE's Key Strengths?

  • Innovative ground lease business model.
  • High gross margin of 97.5%.
  • Strong management team led by iStar Inc.
  • Focus on high-quality assets in major markets.

What Are SAFE's Weaknesses?

  • Reliance on external management by iStar Inc.
  • Exposure to interest rate fluctuations.
  • Dependence on the overall health of the real estate market.
  • Relatively high beta of 1.85, indicating higher volatility.

What Could Drive SAFE Stock Higher?

  • Expansion into new geographic markets, increasing the company's portfolio of land assets.
  • Continued adoption of ground leases as a preferred capital solution for property owners.
  • Strategic acquisitions of high-quality land assets in prime locations.
  • Development of new ground lease products tailored to specific property types or market segments.

What Are the Key Risks for SAFE?

  • Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of 0.76 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).
  • Economic downturns that could impact property values and demand for ground leases.
  • Increased competition from other REITs and real estate investment firms.
  • Rising interest rates that could increase borrowing costs and reduce profitability.
  • Reliance on external management by iStar Inc., which could create conflicts of interest.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for SAFE?

  • Expansion into New Geographic Markets: Safehold has the opportunity to expand its ground lease business into additional major metropolitan areas across the United States. By targeting high-growth markets with strong property values, Safehold can increase its portfolio of land assets and generate higher returns. This expansion strategy could increase revenue by an estimated 15-20% over the next three years, driven by increased demand for alternative financing solutions in these markets. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Increased Adoption of Ground Leases: The increasing acceptance of ground leases as a preferred capital solution for property owners presents a significant growth opportunity for Safehold. As more owners recognize the benefits of unlocking the value of their land while retaining control of their buildings, demand for Safehold's services will likely increase. This trend could lead to a 10-15% annual growth in new ground lease agreements over the next five years. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Strategic Acquisitions of High-Quality Land Assets: Safehold can continue to grow by strategically acquiring high-quality land assets in prime locations. By focusing on properties with strong long-term value and potential for appreciation, Safehold can enhance its portfolio and generate attractive returns for its shareholders. These acquisitions could add 5-10% to the company's asset base annually. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Development of New Ground Lease Products: Safehold has the opportunity to develop new and innovative ground lease products tailored to specific property types or market segments. By offering customized solutions, Safehold can attract a wider range of clients and further differentiate itself from competitors. This product diversification could increase revenue by 8-12% over the next two years. Timeline: Upcoming.
  • Leveraging Technology to Streamline Operations: Safehold can leverage technology to streamline its operations, improve efficiency, and enhance the customer experience. By investing in digital platforms and data analytics, Safehold can optimize its processes and make more informed investment decisions. This technological advancement could reduce operating costs by 5-7% annually. Timeline: Ongoing.

What Opportunities Does SAFE Have?

  • Expansion into new geographic markets.
  • Increased adoption of ground leases as a capital solution.
  • Strategic acquisitions of high-quality land assets.
  • Development of new ground lease products.

What Threats Does SAFE Face?

  • Economic downturns that could impact property values.
  • Increased competition from other REITs and real estate investment firms.
  • Changes in tax laws that could affect REIT status.
  • Rising interest rates that could increase borrowing costs.

What Are SAFE's Competitive Advantages?

  • Unique ground lease model that differentiates it from traditional REITs.
  • Focus on high-quality assets in prime locations.
  • Strong management team with experience in real estate finance.
  • Established relationships with property owners and developers.

What Does SAFE Do?

Safehold Inc. (NYSE: SAFE) is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that is revolutionizing real estate ownership through its modern ground lease capital solution. Founded to provide property owners with a more efficient way to unlock the value of the land beneath their buildings, Safehold focuses on high-quality multifamily, office, industrial, hospitality, and mixed-use properties in major markets throughout the United States. The company's ground lease structure allows owners to generate higher returns with less risk by separating land ownership from building ownership. Safehold's approach provides upfront cash to property owners while retaining long-term ownership of the land. Managed by iStar Inc., its largest shareholder, Safehold aims to deliver safe, growing income and long-term capital appreciation to its shareholders. The company operates as a REIT, benefiting from tax advantages while distributing income to shareholders. Safehold's innovative approach to real estate finance has positioned it as a key player in the evolving landscape of property ownership and investment.

What Products and Services Does SAFE Offer?

  • Provides ground lease capital solutions to property owners.
  • Helps owners unlock the value of the land beneath their buildings.
  • Focuses on high-quality multifamily, office, industrial, hospitality, and mixed-use properties.
  • Operates in major markets throughout the United States.
  • Generates higher returns for property owners with less risk.
  • Manages a portfolio of ground leases.
  • Seeks to deliver safe, growing income and long-term capital appreciation to shareholders.

How Does SAFE Make Money?

  • Safehold acquires the land beneath existing commercial properties.
  • They lease the land back to the property owner under a long-term ground lease.
  • Safehold generates revenue from the lease payments.
  • The company aims to increase the value of its land portfolio over time.

What Industry Does SAFE Operate In?

Safehold Inc. operates within the REIT sector, specifically focusing on diversified real estate investments through ground leases. The REIT industry is influenced by interest rates, economic growth, and property values. Safehold's innovative ground lease model differentiates it from traditional REITs that own and manage entire properties. The competitive landscape includes other REITs and real estate investment firms, but Safehold's unique approach provides a distinct advantage. The REIT sector is expected to grow as real estate owners seek alternative financing solutions, positioning Safehold for continued expansion.

Who Are SAFE's Key Customers?

  • Owners of high-quality multifamily properties.
  • Owners of office buildings.
  • Owners of industrial properties.
  • Owners of hospitality properties.
  • Owners of mixed-use properties.
AI Confidence: 73% Updated: May 10, 2026

FY2026 estForward Outlook

Wall Street analysts project Safehold Inc. revenue of about $439.3M for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $1.65. The estimate reflects 6 contributing analysts.

SAFE Valuation & Market Position

With a $1.17B market cap, Safehold Inc. sits in the small-cap segment of the market. Relative to its peer group, SAFE's quantitative score of 53/100 is roughly in line with the peer average of 55/100.

ROE 5%Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Safehold Inc. stands at 4.7%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 1.5%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. SAFE trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 10.02, below the Real Estate sector average of ~20x. Its free cash flow yield is 2.7%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 18.82 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 10.1%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

F-Score 4/9Financial Health

Safehold Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 4/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 0.76 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.

Company Profile

Safehold Inc. operates in the REIT - Diversified industry within the Real Estate sector. It is headquartered in New York City, US. The company is led by CEO Jay S. Sugarman. SAFE has traded publicly since 1989.

SAFE Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
+5.4%
Net Income Growth (FY)
+8.2%
EPS Growth (FY)
+8.1%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
+26.3%
P/E (TTM)
9.9
Return on Equity (TTM)
+4.7%
Current Ratio
18.8
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
17.0

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Innovative ground lease business model.
  • High gross margin of 97.5%.
  • Strong management team led by iStar Inc.
  • Focus on high-quality assets in major markets.

Bear Case

  • Reliance on external management by iStar Inc.
  • Exposure to interest rate fluctuations.
  • Dependence on the overall health of the real estate market.
  • Relatively high beta of 1.85, indicating higher volatility.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · July 2026

SAFE Latest News

SAFE Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for SAFE.

Price Targets

Consensus target: $14.00

SAFE MoonshotScore

53/100

What does this score mean?

The MoonshotScore rates SAFE's growth potential on a scale of 0-100 across multiple factors including innovation, market disruption, financial health, and momentum.

Leadership: Jay S. Sugarman

Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Jay S. Sugarman is the Chairman and CEO of Safehold Inc. and also serves as the Chairman and CEO of iStar Inc. He has extensive experience in real estate finance and investment. Sugarman founded iStar in 1993 and has led the company through various market cycles. His background includes a strong focus on identifying and capitalizing on opportunities in the real estate sector. He is known for his innovative approach to real estate investment and finance.

Track Record: Under Jay Sugarman's leadership, Safehold has established itself as a leader in the ground lease industry. He has overseen the company's growth and expansion into major markets across the United States. Sugarman has also been instrumental in developing Safehold's unique ground lease model, which provides property owners with an efficient way to unlock the value of their land. His strategic decisions have contributed to the company's strong financial performance and long-term capital appreciation.

What Investors Ask About Safehold Inc. (SAFE) — Real Estate

What does Safehold Inc. do?

Safehold Inc. is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that specializes in ground leases. The company acquires the land beneath commercial properties and leases it back to the property owners under long-term agreements. This allows property owners to unlock the value of their land while retaining control of their buildings. Safehold generates revenue from the lease payments and aims to increase the value of its land portfolio over time, providing a unique capital solution within the real estate sector.

What do analysts say about SAFE stock?

Analysts generally view Safehold Inc. as a company with a unique business model and strong growth potential within the REIT sector. Key valuation metrics, such as the P/E ratio of 10.0, suggest that the stock may be undervalued. Growth considerations include the company's ability to expand into new markets and increase the adoption of ground leases. Analyst consensus is cautiously optimistic, recognizing both the opportunities and risks associated with Safehold's business.

What are the main risks for SAFE?

The main risks for Safehold Inc. include economic downturns that could impact property values and demand for ground leases. Increased competition from other REITs and real estate investment firms also poses a threat. Rising interest rates could increase borrowing costs and reduce profitability. Additionally, the company's reliance on external management by iStar Inc. could create potential conflicts of interest. These factors could affect Safehold's financial performance and long-term growth prospects.

What are the key factors to evaluate for SAFE?

Safehold Inc. (SAFE) holds an AI score of 53/100 (moderate). P/E: 10.0x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $14.00 (-14%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does SAFE data refresh on this page?

SAFE prices update in real time during U.S. market hours. Fundamentals refresh after quarterly filings; analyst ratings and AI insights update daily; news is aggregated continuously.

What has driven SAFE's recent stock price performance?

Safehold Inc. (SAFE) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Innovative ground lease business model. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider SAFE overvalued or undervalued right now?

Safehold Inc. (SAFE) trades at 10.0x earnings. Analysts target $14.00 (-14%) — downside risk seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

What research should beginners do before buying SAFE?

Before investing in Safehold Inc. (SAFE), research these four areas: (1) the company's revenue model and competitive position (see Company Overview), (2) financial health through revenue growth, margins, and cash flow (see MoonshotScore), (3) what Wall Street analysts recommend and their price targets (see Analyst tab), and (4) specific risk factors that could impact the stock (see Risk Factors section).

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated AI Score refreshed daily
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Data is based on information available as of 2026-05-10.
  • Financial metrics are subject to change based on market conditions.
  • Analyst opinions may vary.
Data Sources

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