Ulta Beauty, Inc. (ULTA)
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.
Ulta Beauty, Inc. (ULTA) trades at $461.33 with AI Score 82/100 (Grade A+). Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a leading beauty retailer in the United States, offering a wide range of cosmetics, skincare, haircare, and salon services. Market cap: $19.83B, Sector: Consumer cyclical.
Price live · AI analysis from May 10, 2026ULTA stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $760.88 for Ulta Beauty, Inc., suggesting 64.9% upside from the current price of $461.33. The AI MoonshotScore is 82/100, indicating a strong bullish outlook. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.
ULTA: 2/2 perspectives are bullish.
How is this calculated? →Ulta Beauty, Inc. (ULTA) Consumer Business Overview
Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a dominant player in the U.S. beauty retail market, distinguished by its extensive product selection, including cosmetics, skincare, and salon services. Its competitive advantage lies in its large store footprint and integrated online platform, catering to a broad customer base seeking both prestige and mass-market beauty solutions.
What Is the Investment Thesis for ULTA?
Ulta Beauty presents a notable research candidate due to its strong market position and growth potential. With a market capitalization of $19.83B and a P/E ratio of 18.0, the company demonstrates financial stability. A gross margin of 39.1% and a profit margin of 9.3% indicate efficient operations. Key growth catalysts include expansion of its store network and enhanced online presence. The company's beta of 0.95 suggests lower volatility compared to the market. However, potential risks include increased competition from online retailers and changing consumer preferences. Ulta Beauty's ability to adapt to evolving market dynamics and maintain its competitive edge will be crucial for sustained growth.
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis
ULTA Key Highlights
- Market Cap of $19.83B reflects Ulta Beauty's significant presence in the specialty retail sector.
- P/E Ratio of 18.0 indicates a reasonable valuation compared to its earnings.
- Gross Margin of 39.1% demonstrates effective cost management and pricing strategies.
- Profit Margin of 9.3% highlights the company's ability to convert revenue into profit.
- Operates 1,308 retail stores across 50 states as of March 2022, providing a wide geographic footprint.
Who Are ULTA's Competitors?
ULTA is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.
| Company | Price | Change | Market Cap | AI Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CASY Casey's General Stores | $797.42 | +1.68% | $29.51B | 71 |
| GELHY Geely Automobile Holdings Limited | $44.29 | +2.03% | $23.99B | 45 |
| QSR Restaurant Brands International Inc. | $74.79 | +4.66% | $25.95B | 54 |
| PHM PulteGroup, Inc. | $133.67 | +0.81% | $25.46B | 88 |
| DRI Darden Restaurants, Inc. | $204.32 | +1.17% | $23.40B | 79 |
| GPGNF Grupo Gigante, S. A. B. de C. V. | $1.64 | +0.00% | $1.63B | 68 |
| MNSO MINISO Group Holding Limited | $11.72 | -3.78% | $3.58B | 64 |
| FDIT Findit, Inc. | $0.03 | -14.86% | $30.13M | 63 |
AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance
What Are ULTA's Key Strengths?
- Large store network across 50 states.
- Wide range of products and services.
- Strong brand recognition and customer loyalty.
- Integrated online and offline presence.
What Are ULTA's Weaknesses?
- Reliance on the U.S. market.
- Exposure to economic cycles.
- Potential for inventory obsolescence.
- Dependence on third-party brands.
What Could Drive ULTA Stock Higher?
- Expansion of store network in underserved markets.
- Enhancement of online presence and mobile applications.
- Expansion of private label product offerings.
- Enhancement of salon service offerings to attract more customers.
- Potential partnerships and collaborations with beauty brands and influencers.
What Are the Key Risks for ULTA?
- Increased competition from online retailers and direct-to-consumer brands.
- Changing consumer preferences and beauty trends.
- Economic downturns affecting consumer spending on discretionary items.
- Supply chain disruptions impacting product availability and costs.
- Labor market challenges and wage inflation.
What Are the Growth Opportunities for ULTA?
- Expansion of Store Network: Ulta Beauty has the opportunity to expand its store network in underserved markets. By opening new stores in strategic locations, the company can increase its market reach and attract new customers. The beauty retail market is estimated to be worth billions of dollars, providing ample opportunity for growth. This expansion can be achieved within the next 3-5 years, enhancing Ulta Beauty's competitive position.
- Enhancement of Online Presence: Ulta Beauty can further enhance its online presence by improving its website and mobile applications. By offering a seamless online shopping experience, the company can attract and retain online customers. The e-commerce market is growing rapidly, providing a significant opportunity for Ulta Beauty to increase its online sales. This enhancement can be implemented within the next 1-2 years, driving revenue growth.
- Expansion of Private Label Products: Ulta Beauty has the opportunity to expand its private label products, such as the Ulta Beauty Collection. By offering high-quality private label products at competitive prices, the company can increase its profit margins and build brand loyalty. The private label market is growing as consumers seek value and quality. This expansion can be achieved within the next 2-3 years, enhancing Ulta Beauty's profitability.
- Enhancement of Salon Services: Ulta Beauty can enhance its salon services by offering a wider range of services and improving the customer experience. By providing high-quality salon services, the company can attract and retain customers. The salon services market is growing as consumers seek professional beauty treatments. This enhancement can be implemented within the next 1-2 years, driving revenue growth and customer loyalty.
- Partnerships and Collaborations: Ulta Beauty can pursue partnerships and collaborations with other brands and influencers to expand its reach and attract new customers. By collaborating with popular brands and influencers, the company can increase its brand awareness and drive sales. The beauty market is influenced by trends and collaborations. These partnerships can be established within the next 1-2 years, enhancing Ulta Beauty's market position.
What Opportunities Does ULTA Have?
- Expansion of store network in underserved markets.
- Enhancement of online presence.
- Expansion of private label products.
- Partnerships and collaborations with other brands.
What Threats Does ULTA Face?
- Increased competition from online retailers.
- Changing consumer preferences.
- Economic downturns.
- Supply chain disruptions.
What Are ULTA's Competitive Advantages?
- Large store network providing convenient access to customers.
- Wide range of products and services catering to diverse needs.
- Strong brand recognition and customer loyalty.
- Integrated online and offline presence.
What Does ULTA Do?
Ulta Beauty, Inc., founded in 1990 and headquartered in Bolingbrook, Illinois, has grown to become the largest beauty retailer in the United States. Originally known as Ulta Salon, Cosmetics & Fragrance, Inc., the company rebranded to Ulta Beauty, Inc. in 2017 to better reflect its comprehensive offerings. Ulta Beauty operates over 1,300 retail stores across 50 states, providing a one-stop destination for beauty enthusiasts. The company's stores offer a diverse range of products, including cosmetics, fragrances, skincare and haircare products, bath and body products, and salon styling tools. Ulta Beauty also provides professional hair products and salon services, such as hair, skin, makeup, brow, and nail services. In addition to national brands, Ulta Beauty offers its private label products, including the Ulta Beauty Collection branded cosmetics, skincare, and bath products, as well as Ulta Beauty branded gifts. The company distributes its products through its website, ulta.com, and mobile applications, enhancing accessibility and convenience for customers. Ulta Beauty's competitive positioning is strengthened by its loyalty program, which attracts and retains a large customer base.
What Products and Services Does ULTA Offer?
- Retailer of beauty products in the United States.
- Offers cosmetics, fragrances, skincare, and haircare products.
- Provides bath and body products and salon styling tools.
- Offers professional hair products.
- Provides salon services, including hair, skin, makeup, and brow services.
- Offers nail services.
- Provides private label products, such as the Ulta Beauty Collection.
- Distributes products through its website ulta.com and mobile applications.
How Does ULTA Make Money?
- Retail sales of beauty products through physical stores.
- Online sales of beauty products through ulta.com and mobile applications.
- Provision of salon services in stores.
- Sales of private label products.
What Industry Does ULTA Operate In?
Ulta Beauty operates within the specialty retail industry, which is characterized by evolving consumer preferences and increasing competition from online retailers. The beauty market is driven by trends in cosmetics, skincare, and personal care products. Ulta Beauty's competitive advantage lies in its ability to offer a wide range of products and services, catering to diverse customer needs. The company's integrated online and offline presence positions it well to capture market share in a dynamic environment. The industry is also influenced by factors such as economic conditions and changing demographics.
Who Are ULTA's Key Customers?
- Beauty enthusiasts seeking a wide range of products.
- Customers seeking salon services.
- Customers seeking value and quality in private label products.
- Online shoppers seeking convenience.
Net buyingInsider Activity
Over the past six months, Ulta Beauty, Inc. insiders filed 15 SEC Form 4 transactions — 2 sales and 13 purchases. On net that is roughly 83K shares acquired (about $35.5M) — insiders putting money in tends to read as conviction.
FY2027 estForward Outlook
Wall Street analysts project Ulta Beauty, Inc. revenue of about $13.24B for fiscal 2027, with EPS near $28.78. The estimate reflects 20 contributing analysts.
6/8 beatsEarnings Track Record
Ulta Beauty, Inc. has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reported quarters — a consistent record of delivering on expectations. Reported results have landed about 10.1% above estimates on average.
F-Score 6/9Financial Health
Ulta Beauty, Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 5.79 places it in the safe zone, indicating low near-term bankruptcy risk.
ROE 45%Key Financial Metrics
Return on equity for Ulta Beauty, Inc. stands at 44.8%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 17.2%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. ULTA trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 17.99, below the Consumer Cyclical sector average of ~39x. Its free cash flow yield is 5.3%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 1.31 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 5.9%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.
Ulta Beauty, Inc. (ULTA) Valuation Context
Valued at $19.83B, ULTA is classified as a large-cap stock. Relative to its peer group, ULTA's quantitative score of 82/100 is above the peer average of 67/100.
ULTA Revenue & Earnings Trend
In Q2 2026, ULTA generated $3.16B in top-line revenue, marking a sequential decrease of 18.8%. The company recorded net income of $340.5M, with diluted EPS of $7.74. Quarter-over-quarter revenue has been mixed, typical for a large-cap company operating in Consumer Cyclical. Across the four most recent quarters, ULTA averaged $6.65 in diluted EPS.
Company Profile
Ulta Beauty, Inc. operates in the Specialty Retail industry within the Consumer Cyclical sector. It is headquartered in Bolingbrook, US. The company is led by CEO Kecia L. Steelman. ULTA has traded publicly since 2007.
ULTA Financials
Fundamental Snapshot
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025
Bull Case vs Bear Case
Bull Case
- Ulta's focus on experiential retail keeps customers coming back; it's not just about buying online. Think Apple Store appeal.
- Insider activity shows recent buying, suggesting confidence from those who know the company best.
- Social sentiment indicates strong brand loyalty; people seem to genuinely love the Ulta experience.
- The beauty market is resilient; people will always spend on self-care, even in uncertain times.
Bear Case
- Competition is intensifying; Sephora and online retailers are aggressively vying for market share.
- Consumer spending could slow down if the economy weakens, impacting discretionary purchases like cosmetics.
- Shifting beauty trends can be a risk; Ulta needs to stay ahead to maintain its relevance.
- Negative social media mentions regarding customer service could erode brand perception if unaddressed.
AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · February 2026
From the Earnings Call
“Reflecting these assumptions, we anticipate diluted EPS will be between $28.05 and $28.55 per share, representing growth between 9.4%–11.4%, respectively, including the impact of share repurchases and an assumed tax rate between 24.2%–24.4%.”
— Chris Del Orfus, Chief Financial Officer
“We expect capital expenditures for the year will be between $400 million and $450 million, primarily to expand and refresh our store portfolio as well as investments in digital and information technology capabilities and supply chain optimization to support the guest experience and drive further operational productivity.”
— Chris Del Orfus, Chief Financial Officer
ULTA Q4 FY2025 earnings call transcript · 2026-03-12
Recent Quarterly Results
| Quarter | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $3.16B | $340M | $7.74 |
| Q1 2026 | $3.90B | $357M | $7.93 |
| Q4 2025 | $2.86B | $231M | $5.14 |
| Q3 2025 | $2.79B | $261M | $5.78 |
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis
ULTA Latest News
-
Saks Global exits Chapter 11 as Exemplar Luxury Group
Yahoo! Finance: ULTA News · Jun 29, 2026
-
Bath & Body Works: Ulta Beauty Partnership Adds To An Already Compelling Value Story
seekingalpha.com · Jun 28, 2026
-
Ulta Beauty: Market Share Gains At A Terrific P/E Ratio
seekingalpha.com · Jun 27, 2026
-
Saks Global Renames Itself Exemplar Luxury Group After Exit From Bankruptcy
Yahoo! Finance: ULTA News · Jun 26, 2026
ULTA Analyst Consensus
Consensus Rating
Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for ULTA.
Price Targets
Consensus target: $760.88
ULTA MoonshotScore
What does this score mean?
The MoonshotScore rates ULTA's growth potential on a scale of 0-100 across multiple factors including innovation, market disruption, financial health, and momentum.
Latest News
Saks Global exits Chapter 11 as Exemplar Luxury Group
Bath & Body Works: Ulta Beauty Partnership Adds To An Already Compelling Value Story
Ulta Beauty: Market Share Gains At A Terrific P/E Ratio
Saks Global Renames Itself Exemplar Luxury Group After Exit From Bankruptcy
Latest Ulta Beauty, Inc. Analysis
Leadership: Kecia L. Steelman
Chief Executive Officer
Kecia L. Steelman is the Chief Executive Officer of Ulta Beauty, Inc. She has extensive experience in the retail industry, having held various leadership positions at Ulta Beauty. Her career spans over two decades, during which she has demonstrated expertise in operations, merchandising, and marketing. Steelman's background includes a strong focus on customer experience and driving business growth. She is known for her strategic vision and ability to adapt to changing market dynamics. She is responsible for managing 20,000 employees.
Track Record: Under Kecia Steelman's leadership, Ulta Beauty has continued to expand its store network and enhance its online presence. She has overseen the launch of new private label products and the implementation of innovative marketing strategies. Steelman has also focused on improving the customer experience and driving operational efficiencies. Her strategic decisions have contributed to Ulta Beauty's sustained growth and market leadership.
ULTA Consumer Cyclical Stock FAQ
What does Ulta Beauty, Inc. do?
Ulta Beauty, Inc. operates as a retailer of beauty products and salon services in the United States. The company's stores offer a wide range of cosmetics, fragrances, skincare, haircare, and bath and body products. Ulta Beauty also provides salon services, including hair, skin, makeup, and brow services. The company distributes its products through its retail stores, website, and mobile applications. Ulta Beauty's business model is focused on providing a one-stop destination for beauty enthusiasts, offering both prestige and mass-market brands.
What do analysts say about ULTA stock?
Analyst consensus on Ulta Beauty (ULTA) stock is generally positive, reflecting the company's strong market position and growth potential. Key valuation metrics, such as the P/E ratio of 18.0, suggest a reasonable valuation compared to its earnings. Analysts consider Ulta Beauty's expansion of its store network, enhancement of its online presence, and expansion of its private label products as key growth drivers. However, they also note potential risks, such as increased competition and changing consumer preferences. Analyst ratings and price targets vary, reflecting different perspectives on the company's future performance. No buy or sell recommendations are made here.
What are the main risks for ULTA?
Ulta Beauty faces several risks, including increased competition from online retailers and direct-to-consumer brands. Changing consumer preferences and beauty trends could also impact the company's sales and profitability. Economic downturns could reduce consumer spending on discretionary items, affecting Ulta Beauty's revenue. Supply chain disruptions could impact product availability and costs, while labor market challenges and wage inflation could increase operating expenses. These risks could negatively impact Ulta Beauty's financial performance and market position.
What are the key factors to evaluate for ULTA?
Ulta Beauty, Inc. (ULTA) holds an AI score of 82/100 (high). P/E: 18.0x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $760.88 (+65%). Not financial advice.
How frequently does ULTA data refresh on this page?
ULTA prices update in real time during U.S. market hours. Fundamentals refresh after quarterly filings; analyst ratings and AI insights update daily; news is aggregated continuously.
What has driven ULTA's recent stock price performance?
Ulta Beauty, Inc. (ULTA) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Large store network across 50 states. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.
Should investors consider ULTA overvalued or undervalued right now?
Ulta Beauty, Inc. (ULTA) trades at 18.0x earnings. Analysts target $760.88 (+65%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.
What research should beginners do before buying ULTA?
Before investing in Ulta Beauty, Inc. (ULTA), research these four areas: (1) the company's revenue model and competitive position (see Company Overview), (2) financial health through revenue growth, margins, and cash flow (see MoonshotScore), (3) what Wall Street analysts recommend and their price targets (see Analyst tab), and (4) specific risk factors that could impact the stock (see Risk Factors section).
Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.
Official Resources
Data provided for informational purposes only.
- Financial data is based on the latest available information.
- Market conditions and competitive landscape are subject to change.
- This is a research report and not investment advice.